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ERG — Investor Presentation 2018
Aug 3, 2018
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Investor Presentation
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SECOND QUARTER 2018 RESULTS
3 AUGUST 2018LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based.
There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
2Q 2018 Highlights
-Key Figures
-Recent Developments
Results Review
-Business Environment
- -1H 2018 Group EBITDA
- -Results by Segments
Key Financials
-Profit & Loss
-Investments
-Cash Flow Statement
2018 Guidance and Conclusions
Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Good results thanks to ERG generation mix
(1) It excludes TE contribution for €8.6mn in 2Q 2017 and €14.8mn in 1H 2017(2) It includes Vendor Loan to api for €36mn.
LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN 1H 2018
Liability Management for about €500mn in 1H 2018
BOOSTED GROWTH IN UK
Deal description
On August 2, 2018 ERG acquired 100% of Creag RiabhachWind Farm
- •79.2MW authorized project in Scotland
- •Construction to start in 2020
- •Entry into operation by March 2022
- •Expected production: 250GWh, more than 3,000 heq per year
- •Total Capex: 89mn GBP (€98mn)
Strategic rationale
- •Boosting ERG growth strategy in UK
- •Secured pipeline in UK to increase from 84MW to 163MW
- • The project will enable to accelerate the path towards the 2018-2022 BP targets
GREENFIELDDEVELOPMENT WELL ON TRACK
REPOWERING& REBLADING IN PROGRESS
- •4 projects entered into the permitting phase
- •1 project to apply for authorization by 3Q 2018
- •Engineering in course for 1 project, to start permitting by year end
- •1 project under construction
- •2 projects in the permitting phase
- •1 project in the engineering phase
NEWCOWITH QUERCUS IN THE SOLAR IN ITALY
Deal description
On August 3, 2018 ERG and Quercus Assets Selection Sarl signed an agreement for the constitution of
- • ERG Q Solar1 (60% ERG, 40% Quercus) active in the solar sector in Italy
- focus on acquisition of small solar plants (below 1MW) for a total target up to 150MW by 2021
- total expected CAPEX up to €350mn
•Investment Approval based on predefined guidelines
(1) With casting vote
Low Double Digit target return on Equity (at premium vs traditional M&A)
NEWCO: STRATEGIC RATIONALE AND TARGETS
Approach & Strategic rationale
Potential targets: 0.2-1.0MW plants
- Dedicated M&A team, based on a standardized business model
- Quick & Efficient decision making process
- •Focus on medium small plants sector, with low liquidity
- •Competitive returns vs. large scale M&A
- Way out clause exercisable in 18 months
- Target up to 150MW
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
| ( ) ly lec du d h I E ic i Pr io De T W ta tr ty t o c n v s m an : |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
2 Q 2 0 8 1 |
l % De ta |
||||
| l ian lec ic i d I E De ta tr ty ma n |
7 7 |
7 7 |
% 0 |
|||
| l lec du I ian E ic i Pr io ta tr ty t o c n |
6 9 |
6 7 |
-2 % |
|||
| f h h: ic o w |
||||||
| he T rm o - |
4 4 |
3 7 |
-1 6 % |
|||
| dr Hy o - |
1 1 |
1 7 |
5 4 % |
|||
| lar So - |
8 | 8 | % -6 |
|||
| in d W - |
4 | 4 | 0 % |
All-in Wind Prices abroad (€/MWh)
1H 2018 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
Total 1H 2018 Production: 4.0TWhTotal Energy Portfolio including hedging & other sales: 7.1TWh
WIND RESULTS
Generalized weak wind conditions, coupled with end of incentives in Italy
SOLAR RESULTS
Solar consolidated as of 01/01/2018
HYDRO RESULTS
531
Strong hydro conditions
CCGT RESULTS
Tough trading environment
INVESTMENTS
(1) M&A CAPEX include: Vent d'Est acquisition for €12mn, Epuron acquisition for €67.3mn, Valle de l'AA extension acquisitionfor €1mn and ForVEI consolidation for €345mn
(2) M&A CAPEX include: Epuron acquisition for €67.3mn and Valle de l'AA extension acquisition for €1mn
KEY FINANCIALS
ADJUSTED COSTS P&L
| 1 H 2 0 1 8 |
d Re ta te s 1 H 2 0 1 7 |
l l Eu i io ro m ns |
2 Q 2 0 1 8 |
d Re ta te s 2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 7 7 |
2 5 8 |
d d A j E B I T D A te us |
1 1 4 |
1 0 7 |
| ( ) 1 3 6 |
( ) 1 2 6 |
d de Am iza ion iat ion t t or an p rec |
( ) 6 8 |
( ) 6 4 |
| 1 4 0 |
1 3 3 |
d d A j E B I T te us |
4 7 |
4 3 |
| ( ) 3 8 |
( ) 3 4 |
( ) f ina ia l inc Ne t nc om e ex p en se s |
( ) 2 0 |
( ) 8 1 |
| 0 | ( ) 0 |
( ) f inc los ity inv Ne t tm ts om e s ro m eq u es en |
( ) 0 |
( ) 0 |
| 1 0 3 |
9 9 |
d d l be fo A j Re te ts ta us su re xe s |
2 7 |
2 5 |
| ( ) 2 7 |
( ) 2 6 |
Inc e t om ax es |
( ) 8 |
( ) 7 |
| 6 7 |
2 7 |
fo d j d l he io d A Re te ts t us su r p er |
9 1 |
8 1 |
| ( ) 0 |
0 | M ino ity int sts r ere |
( ) 0 |
0 |
| 7 6 |
7 2 |
d d f A j Ne Pr i te t t us o |
1 9 |
1 8 |
| 2 6 % |
2 6 % |
Ta Ra te x |
2 8 % |
2 8 % |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
1H 2018 CASH FLOW STATEMENT
(1) Acquisitions include: Vent d'Est for €12mn, Vaa2 extension for €1mn, Epuron for €67.3mn and ForVEI consolidation for €345mn(2) It includes €179mn referred to TotalERG disposal (on January 10, 2018), and €106mn referred to Brockaghboy disposal (on March 8, 2018)
2018 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2018 GUIDANCE
Adj. EBITDA: Guidance raised from €475mn to €490-500mn range
Guidance increased to €520-540mn range to include recent agreement for further development in the solar business
Guidance increased to €1.35bn
(1) CAPEX include the closing of Vent d'Est acquisition (which took place on March 22, 2018 amounting to €12mn), and ForVEI consolidation (whose acquisition took place onJanuary 12, 2018) for €345mn
(2) It includes Vendor Loan to api for €36mn
2018 FCST
1H 2018
APPENDIX
2Q 2018 GROUP EBITDA EVOLUTION
(1) Acquisitions related to the closing of Vent d'Est (which took place on March 22, 2018 amounting to €12mn) and ForVEI consolidation (whose acquisition took place on January 12, 2018) for €345mn.
WIND: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 1 H 2 0 1 8 |
1 H 2 0 1 7 |
l l Eu i ion ro m s |
2 Q 2 0 1 8 |
2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, 8 3 9 |
1, 7 6 8 |
l le d c ( d- d, ) Ins ity io M W ta ap ac en p er |
1, 7 9 1 |
1, 7 6 8 |
| f w hic h: o |
||||
| 09 3 1, |
09 1, 4 |
aly - It |
09 3 1, |
09 1, 4 |
| 27 6 |
25 2 |
- F ran ce |
27 6 |
25 2 |
| 21 6 |
21 6 |
- G erm an y |
21 6 |
21 6 |
| 82 | 82 | ola nd - P |
82 | 82 |
| 70 | 70 | - R ia om an |
70 | 70 |
| 54 | 54 | ulg ari - B a |
54 | 54 |
| 48 | 0 | - U K |
0 | 0 |
| 1, 9 3 1 |
1, 8 0 9 |
lec du ( h ) E ic ity Pro ion G W tr ct |
7 1 1 |
7 4 6 |
| f w hic h: o |
||||
| 1, 15 1 |
1, 07 8 |
aly - It |
41 9 |
42 1 |
| 29 6 |
24 4 |
- F ran ce |
96 | 88 |
| 8 17 |
6 17 |
- G erm an y |
71 | 98 |
| 11 2 |
12 1 |
ola nd - P |
51 | 58 |
| 91 | 11 2 |
- R ia om an |
43 | 52 |
| 74 | 78 | ulg - B ari a |
31 | 29 |
| 29 | 0 | - U K |
0 | 0 |
WIND: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 1 H 2 0 1 8 |
1 H 2 0 1 7 |
l l Eu i ion ro m s |
2 Q 2 0 1 8 |
2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| / ( h ) Un ita Re € M W ry ve nu es : |
||||
| 12 3 |
15 0 |
ly - It a |
11 8 |
15 8 |
| 87 | 89 | - F ran ce |
86 | 89 |
| 93 | 96 | - G erm an y |
93 | 95 |
| 52 | 42 | lan - P d o |
55 | 41 |
| 50 | 64 | - R ia om an |
50 | 63 |
| 71 | 71 | - B lga ria u |
71 | 79 |
| 10 0 |
n.a | - U K |
n.a | n.a |
| d j d A E B I T D A: te us |
||||
| 11 6 |
13 2 |
ly - It a |
39 | 51 |
| 18 | 15 | - F ran ce |
4 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | - G erm an y |
4 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | lan d - P o |
2 | 0 |
| 3 | 6 | - R ia om an |
2 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | lga - B ria u |
2 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | - U K |
0 | 0 |
| 1 5 9 |
1 7 0 |
l d d To A j E B I T D A ta te us |
5 2 |
6 6 |
| ( ) 8 1 |
( ) 9 7 |
ia ion De t p re c |
( ) 0 4 |
( ) 1 4 |
| 7 8 |
9 1 |
d d A j E B I T te us |
1 3 |
2 6 |
SOLAR: KEY FIGURES
| 1 H 2 0 1 8 |
1 H 2 0 1 7 |
i l l io Eu ro m ns |
2 Q 2 0 1 8 |
2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 4 |
n. a. |
le du ( h ) E ic i Pr io G W tr ty t c o n |
4 3 |
n. a. |
| 2 9 0 |
n. a. |
/ ( h ) Un i € W Re M ta ry ve nu es |
2 9 1 |
n. a. |
| 1 6 |
n. a. |
d j d A E B I T D A te us |
1 1 |
n. a. |
| ( ) 1 0 |
n. a. |
De ia io t p re c n |
( ) 5 |
n. a. |
| 6 | n. a. |
d d A j E B I T te us |
6 | n. a. |
HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 1 H 2 0 1 8 |
1 H 2 0 1 7 |
l l Eu i io ro m ns |
2 Q 2 0 1 8 |
2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, 0 0 1 |
6 5 2 |
le du ( h ) E ic i Pr io G W tr ty t c o n |
5 3 1 |
2 6 6 |
| 9 9 |
1 0 1 |
( / ) h Un i Re € M W ta ry ve nu es |
1 0 4 |
1 1 0 |
| 8 0 |
5 4 |
d d A j E B I T D A te us |
4 5 |
1 9 |
| ( ) 2 9 |
( ) 2 9 |
De ia io t p re c n |
( ) 1 4 |
( ) 1 5 |
| 5 1 |
2 5 |
d j d A E B I T te us |
3 1 |
4 |
CCGT: KEY FIGURES
| 1 H 2 0 1 8 |
1 H 2 0 1 7 |
l l Eu i io ro m ns |
2 Q 2 0 1 8 |
2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, 0 5 4 |
1, 1 7 5 |
le du ( h ) E ic i Pr io G W tr ty t c o n |
5 2 8 |
5 7 4 |
| 3 7 |
4 7 |
( / ) i h Un Re € M W ta ry ve nu es |
2 4 |
5 1 |
| 3 0 |
4 0 |
d d A j E B I T D A te us |
1 1 |
2 5 |
| ( ) 1 5 |
( ) 1 6 |
De ia io t p re c n |
( ) 8 |
( ) 8 |
| 1 4 |
2 4 |
d j d A E B I T te us |
3 | 1 7 |
INVESTMENTS
| 2 0 8 1 H 1 |
2 0 1 H 1 7 |
i l l io Eu ro m ns |
2 Q 2 0 8 1 |
2 Q 2 0 1 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ( 1) 9 7 |
6 0 |
in d W |
( 2) 8 0 |
5 2 |
| ( 3) 3 4 5 |
n. a. |
lar So |
( ) 1 |
n. a. |
| 1 | 1 | dr Hy o |
1 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | C C G T |
1 | 2 |
| 1 | 1 | Co te rp or a |
0 | 1 |
| 4 4 7 |
6 6 |
l To ta |
8 1 |
5 5 |
(1) It includes: Vent d'Est acquisition for €12mn, Epuron acquisition for €67.3mn and Valle de l'AA extension acquisition for €1mn
(2)It includes: Epuron acquisition for €67.3mn and Valle de l'AA extension acquisition for €1mn
(3)It refers to ForVEI consolidation