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ERG — Investor Presentation 2017
May 12, 2017
4235_er_2017-05-12_8b64b9ec-55e7-4f68-9cf3-fc85663db391.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FIRST QUARTER 2017 RESULTS 12 MAY 2017 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
FIRST QUARTER 2017 RESULTS
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
1Q 2017 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 1Q 2017 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- 2017 Guidance and Conclusions
- Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Earnings up despite worse Wind and CCGT, keep deleveraging
Highlights
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
(1) Italian theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) in Italy + feed-in premium
1Q 2017 GROUP EBITDA
Better Hydro, offset by worst wind conditions and by end of Essential Unit Regime in CCGT
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
1Q 2017 vs 1Q 2016 (TWh)
Larger Energy Management portfolio
NON-PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Worst wind conditions in Italy and in France
PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Good Hydro results offset end of Essential Unit Regime in CCGT
Results Review
(1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €292mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€14mn)
TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)
| 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2017 |
| 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2107 |
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | Recurring EBITDA | 41 | 30 |
| 18 | Recurring EBIT | 23 | 12 |
| 7 | Recurring Net Profit | 12 | 5 |
| 244 | NFP | 334 | 431 |
| 10.9% | TOTALERG retail market share | 10.9% | 11.0% |
KEY FINANCIALS
PRO-FORMA RECURRING P&L
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | Recurring EBITDA | 151 | 163 |
| (60) | Amortization and depreciation | (62) | (64) |
| 44 | Recurring EBIT | 90 | 99 |
| (20) | Net financial income (expenses) | (16) | (19) |
| 4 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 6 | 2 |
| 28 | Recurring Results before taxes | 80 | 82 |
| (3) | Income taxes | (19) | (21) |
| 24 | Recurring Results for the period | 61 | 61 |
| 0 | Minority interests | (3) | |
| 24 | Recurring Net profit | 61 | 57 |
| 12% | Tax Rate | 24% | 26% |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
14
1Q 2017 CASHFLOW STATEMENT
Net deleverage of €93mn
2017 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2017 GUIDANCE
11
1Q 2017
EBITDA:
✓Guidance confirmed at €430mn
CAPEX:
✓Guidance confirmed at €140mn
2017 FCST
≈140
NFP:
✓Guidance confirmed at €1.45bn
Business Plan to be presented in December 2017
2017 Guidance and Conclusions
APPENDIX
1Q 2017 RESULTS
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268 | Revenues | 303 | 295 | |
| 104 | Recurring EBITDA | 151 | 163 | |
| 78 | - Non-Programmable | 104 | 117 | |
| of which: | ||||
| 56 | - Italy | 81 | 87 | |
| 21 | - Abroad | 23 | 29 | |
| 32 | - Programmable | 50 | 48 | |
| of which: | ||||
| 7 | - Thermo | 14 | 27 | |
| 25 | - Hydro | 35 | 21 | |
| (5) | - Corporate | (2) | (2) |
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 4Q 2016 | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,720 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,720 | 1,720 |
| of which: | |||
| 1,094 | - Italy | 1,094 | 1,094 |
| 252 | - France | 252 | 252 |
| 168 | - Germany | 168 | 168 |
| 82 | - Poland | 82 | 82 |
| 70 | - Romania | 70 | 70 |
| 54 | - Bulgaria | 54 | 54 |
| 870 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 1,062 | 1,226 |
| of which: | |||
| 509 | - Italy | 658 | 774 |
| 121 | - France | 156 | 208 |
| 66 | - Germany | 77 | 81 |
| 75 | - Poland | 63 | 63 |
| 54 | - Romania | 60 | 54 |
| 46 | - Bulgaria | 49 | 46 |
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recurring EBITDA: | |||
| 56 | Italy | 81 | 87 |
| 8 | France | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Germany | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Romania | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 3 | 2 |
| 78 | Total Recurring EBITDA | 104 | 117 |
| (38) | Depreciation | (38) | (41) |
| 39 | Recurring EBIT | 65 | 75 |
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 661 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 600 | 695 |
| 7 | Recurring EBITDA | 14 | 27 |
| (8) | Depreciation | (8) | (7) |
| (1) | Recurring EBIT | 7 | 20 |
ERG HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 329 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 386 | 384 |
| 25 | Recurring EBITDA | 35 | 21 |
| (14) | Depreciation | (15) | (15) |
| 11 | Recurring EBIT | 21 | 6 |
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Non-Programmable | 8 | (1) 308 |
| 5 | Programmable | 2 | 2 |
| of which: | |||
| 4 | - Thermo | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | - Hydro | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Corporate | 0 | 1 |
| 29 | Total | 11 | 310 |
(1) In 1Q 2016: M&A CAPEX include investments related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €292mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€14mn)