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ERG — Investor Presentation 2017
May 23, 2017
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Investor Presentation
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COMPANY OVERVIEW AND 1Q 2017 RESULTS
24 MAY 2017
ITALIAN INVESTMENT CONFERENCE
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
- A successful transformation into Green
- 1Q 2017 Results Review
- A Snapshot of 2015-2018 Business Plan
- ERG in a nutshell as at 31.12.2016
- Appendix
- Management Profiles
A SUCCESSFUL TRANSFORMATION INTO GREEN
OUR STRATEGIC LONG-TERM VIEW DRIVEN BY RENEWABLES
✓ Worldwide wind installed capacity: from 282GW in 2012 to 2,033GW in 2040(2), more than 7x ✓ Europe to post a significant growth: from 110GW to 400GW(2), almost 4x
EU 2030 Targets:
✓ 27% of Renewables
✓ 40% reductions of emissions
(1) Levelized Cost of Electricity: generation cost including initial investment, return on investment and OPEX (2) Sources: New Energy Outlook 2015, Bloomberg
EU 2030 Target 27% RES share in gross final consumption
Develop and integrate
renewable energy into the market
| ✚ Priority of dispatch for existing wind energy installations |
|
|---|---|
| ✚ Access to balancing and ancillary services market |
|
| ✚ 3-year (minimum) tender schedule for expected allocation of support |
|
| ✚ Simplification to the permit granting process for RES projects (including repowering) |
|
| ✚ Grandfathering clause - no retroactive measures |
BUSINESS PORTFOLIO REPOSITIONED TOWARDS RENEWABLES
✓ Proceeds from disposal of oil-linked assets fully re-invested into "green" 840(2)
(1) It refers only to M&A and organic growth CAPEX (2) It includes dividends to be paid in May 2017 (ca. €74mn) (3) Cash-in net of minorities buyback from GDF
Capital employed
✓ Built-up a solid platform of renewable assets in Europe
A STRICT GOVERNANCE
- Maintaining over time a strict financial discipline on investments (organic and M&A) through:
- Strategic Committee (EVP, CEO, 3 Board Members)
- Investment Committee (CEO, Management team)
- Anew BoD in place as of April 24, 2015, with 7(1) Independent Board Members out of 12 (25% women)
- Nominations and Remuneration Committee composed by 3 Independent members(2)
- Increasing focus on risk management:
- Internal Control and Risk Committee composed by 3 Independent members(2)
- Strengthening Risk Committee towards Energy Management
- BoD approved a LTI compensation scheme for Top Management, 40% based on TSR (reference price based on last 6 months average price)
(1) Only 5 Independent referring to both the Finance Consolidation Act and the Self-Discipline Code set out by the Italian Stock Exchange (2) Only 2 Independent referring to both the Finance Consolidation Act and the Self-Discipline Code set out by the Italian Stock Exchange
(1) Financial Target Operations Model
GROWTH AND CONSOLIDATION
ONE COMPANY: A LEANER GROUP STRUCTURE
- One Company: a complete Group re-organization aimed at creating a leaner Group structure more consistent with the new business model (IPP mainly based on renewable sources)
- Board of Directors approved merger of ERG Services into ERG S.pA. effective as of January 1, 2017
- creation of a Business Development Unit
- creation of an integrated Risk Management Unit
- centralization of the procurement, the Legal Services and the IT units
- efficiency improvement, optimization of decisional processes and synergies expected
- ERG subsidiaries Board of Directors approved merger of ERG Renew and ERG Renew O&M into ERG Power Generation, effective as of January 1, 2017:
- unique generation company for the 3 complementary technologies (CCGT, wind and hydro)
- unique energy management
ERG Group Structure The new organizational/corporate model
A successful transformation into Green
FURTHER CONSOLIDATION IN GERMAN WIND GENERATION
DEAL DESCRIPTION:
- ✓ On March 7, 2017 ERG signed an agreement to acquire 6 wind
- farms in Germany for a total installed capacity of 48.4MW
- ✓Equity value of €14mn, EV ca. €40mn
- ✓Parks in operation since 2007-2008
- ✓Producibility slightly above 1,700heq
- ✓EBITDA of ca. €5mn pa.
- ✓Closing in 2Q 2017
STRATEGIC RATIONALE:
- ✓Further consolidation of ERG in Germany, with installed capacity to reach 216MW from 168MW
- ✓ERG as one of the first wind onshore players in Germany
- ✓Good localization, near to ERG wind farms
- ✓Possibility to lever on the technical services developed by ERG in Germany
ERG: AN IPP WITH A EU ASSET PLATFORM
(1) It refers to Brockaghboy wind farm, currently under construction (2) It includes 48.4MW acquisition in Germany, whose closing will take place within 2Q 2017
A BIGGER AND DIVERSIFIED ELECTRICITY PORTFOLIO ERG TODAY: A NEW GENERATION PORTFOLIO
Adding value through enlargement of electricity portfolio • Energy Management based on a larger and diversified portfolio • Development of a portfolio for electricity sales and modulation • Integrated Energy Portfolio Management leads to a significant reduction of PAR • Development of a portfolio for electricity sales and modulation
Sfondi legenda mappa 8 Discontinous - low Partial modulation Partial
(1) It includes Wind production abroad
Adding value through enlargement of electricity portfolio
• Integrated Energy Portfolio Management leads to a significant reduction of PAR
• Integrated Energy Portfolio Management leads to a significant reduction of PAR
1Q 2017 RESULTS REVIEW
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Earnings up despite worse Wind and CCGT, keep deleveraging
1Q 2017 CASHFLOW STATEMENT
Net deleverage of €93mn
Leverage
2017 GUIDANCE
11
1Q 2017
EBITDA:
✓Guidance confirmed at €430mn
CAPEX:
✓Guidance confirmed at €140mn
2017 FCST
≈140
NFP:
✓Guidance confirmed at €1.45bn
Business Plan to be presented in December 2017
18
A SNAPSHOT OF 2015-2018 BUSINESS PLAN
STRATEGIC GUIDELINES*
| Wind | (Intermittant): • Shifting to a new growth business model: ORGANIC vs. M&A • 2016: consolidation of new assets and operations • Organic growth abroad of >200MW in 2017-18 |
|---|---|
| Hydro | (Programmable): • Consolidation of Hydro Terni integrated hydroelectric system • Extracting value from asset management and synergies |
| CCGT | (Programmable): |
- Continuous improvement of ERG Power CCGT plant efficiency
- Return to exploit CCGT generating flexibility and modulation
Energy Management:
- Portfolio diversification and better risk control through a single PAR
- Opportunities to enlarge the portfolio by including the foreign generation and to enter new segments of the value chain
O&M and technical services:
- Integration of CSO (28 professionals in technical services) abroad
- Completion of O&M internalization across operations in Italy
- Potential development of technical services to third parties
* Slide presented to the Market on 16.12.2015
2015-2018 GROUP EBITDA & CAPEX EVOLUTION*
Solid EBITDA with a different breakdown Wind organic investments for roughly €400mn in 2016-2018
* Slide presented to the Market on 16.12.2015 (1) 2015 FCST EBITDA includes €10mn from Hydro Terni consolidation as of 1.12.2015
2015-2018 NFP(1) EVOLUTION
De-leverage and further financial optimisation
(1) Assuming dividend distribution flat in the plan period at €0.5/share per year, and including special dividend paid in May 2016 and CAPEX anticipation in the U.K. for the Brockaghboy wind farm
(2) Based on average NFP
2015-2018 Business Plan
ERG IN A NUTSHELL AS AT 31.12. 2016
FINANCIAL AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE AS AT 31.12.2016
ERG 2016 SUSTAINABILITY
APPENDIX
GROUP DIVERSIFICATION
18%
19%
63%
THERMO HYDRO WIND
Appendix
27
ERG TODAY: COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
Asset quality as a key objective for our portfolio
Appendix
PRO-FORMA RECURRING P&L
| 4Q 2016 | Euro millions | 1Q 2017 | 1Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | Recurring EBITDA | 151 | 163 |
| (60) | Amortization and depreciation | (62) | (64) |
| 44 | Recurring EBIT | 90 | 99 |
| (20) | Net financial income (expenses) | (16) | (19) |
| 4 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 6 | 2 |
| 28 | Recurring Results before taxes | 80 | 82 |
| (3) | Income taxes | (19) | (21) |
| 24 | Recurring Results for the period | 61 | 61 |
| 0 | Minority interests | (3) | |
| 24 | Recurring Net profit | 61 | 57 |
| 12% | Tax Rate | 24% | 26% |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Appendix
MANAGEMENT PROFILES
LUCA BETTONTE - CEO
Born in Rovigo on 30th September 1963. Graduated in economics and business at the University of Bologna. Chartered Accountant and Auditor.
Chief Executive Officer of ERG S.p.A. Director of TotalErg S.p.A.
From July 2016 to December 2016 Chief Executive Officer of ERG Renew S.p.A. From April 2012 to July 2016 Director of ERG Renew S.pA. From July 2011 to April 2012 Chairman of the Board of Directors of ERG Renew S.p.A. From December 2009 to April 2012 General Manager Corporate and Director of ERG S.p.A. From November 2007 to December 2009 CFO of ERG S.p.A.
As from 2003 up to 2007 he has been CFO of Atlantia S.p.A., Finance Director of Autostrade per l'Italia S.p.A., Chairman of Autostrade International US Holdings, Director of Impregilo S.p.A., Autostrade Sud America Srl and of Emittenti Titoli S.pA.
As from 1998 up to 2003 he worked at Indesit Company S.p.A. both as Group Financial Controller at first and lately, starting from year 2000, as CFO, respectively.
As from 1990 up to 1998 he worked for Pricewaterhouse Coopers S.p.A. in Italy and Great Britain.
Professor at the Faculty of Economics and Commerce of the "Università Cattolica Sacro Cuore" in Milan from 2008 to 2010 and of the University of Bologna as from 2004 up to 2008, respectively.
PAOLO MERLI - CFO
Born in Milan on 24th June 1971, he graduated in Electrical Engineering from the University of Pavia in March 1996. After doing his national service at the Italian Red Cross, in June 1998 he was awarded an MBA in Finance from the Eni "Scuola Superiore Enrico Mattei".
He joined the ERG Group in September 2006 where he is currently Chief Financial Officer: reporting directly to the CEO, he is in charge of the Group Administration, Finance, Merger & Acquisitions, Procurement, Planning, Control & Reporting, Group Risk Management & Corporate Finance, Investor Relations.
He is a Board Director of ERG Power Generation S.p.A. and TotalErg S.p.A., beside being Secretary of the Strategic Committee and member of other internal committees such as Management Committee, Investment Committee, Risk Committee and Human Capital Committee. As from 2014 he is the Manager Responsible for preparing the Company's financial reports.
Other positions held in the past:
He previously worked for around 7 years as a financial analyst covering the European Energy and Motorways sectors at Intermonte, a leading brokerage firm owned by the Monte dei Paschi Banking Group. At Intermonte he was also a "specialist" in ERG stock when ERG joined the STAR segment. From 1998 to 2000 he worked in the sales department at Snam S.p.A. (current Gas & Power division of Eni Group).
Outside of work, his biggest passion is sport, particularly cycling (racing and mountain biking) and skiing (alpine and cross-country).
He is married, with two children.