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ERG — Investor Presentation 2017
Nov 10, 2017
4235_er_2017-11-10_e9f0ad44-0831-45dd-8e3a-6fd05bc5107f.pdf
Investor Presentation
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THIRD QUARTER 2017 RESULTS
10 NOVEMBER 2017
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
3Q 2017 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- ✓ TotalERG Disposal
- Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 3Q 2017 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- 2017 Guidance and Conclusions
- Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
Strong results and continuous deleverage
Highlights
5
TotalERG disposal process:
- ✓ On August 10, 2017 TotalERG finalized the sale of Restiani to Ambienta SGR
- ✓ On October 5, 2017 TotalERG disposed its subsidiary Totalgaz to Ugi
- ✓ On November 3, 2017 TotalERG approved the spin-off of its lubrificants business unit in favour of Total Italia: ERG agreed to sell to Total its 51% stake in this company
- ✓ On November 3, 2017 ERG and Total signed a binding agreement with API to sell 100% of TotalERG
- ✓ Total equity value for ERG 51% stake disposal: €273mn, including extraordinary dividends distributed by TotalERG for €71mn and a deferred component of €36mn
Strategic rationales:
- ✓ Disposal of TotalERG represents the definitive exit from the Oil industry
- ✓ Deal structure allows to maximize the value of our equity investment
- ✓ Further strengthening our financial structure, sustaining our growth path in the Renewables
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
3Q 2017 GROUP EBITDA
Solid performance across all segments
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
9M 2016 vs 9M 2017 (TWh)
3Q 2016 vs 3Q 2017 (TWh)
An enlarged and diversified electricity portfolio
Results Review
9
NON-PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Improved wind conditions in Italy and abroad
Results Review
PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Weaker hydro production more than offset by better trading environment
INVESTMENTS
- (1) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €292mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€14mn)
- (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of DIF acquisition in Germany (€39.5mn), which took place on May 2, 2017.
12
TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)
Results Review
KEY FINANCIALS
PRO-FORMA RECURRING COST P&L
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | Euro millions | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356 | 351 | Recurring EBITDA | 98 | 78 |
| (188) | (193) | Amortization and depreciation | (62) | (65) |
| 168 | 158 | Recurring EBIT | 36 | 13 |
| (49) | (56) | Net financial income (expenses) | (15) | (18) |
| 25 | 11 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 10 | 9 |
| 144 | 113 | Recurring Results before taxes | 31 | 4 |
| (31) | (27) | Income taxes | (5) | 4 |
| 113 | 86 | Recurring Results for the period | 26 | 8 |
| (3) | Minority interests | 1 | ||
| 113 | 83 | Recurring Net profit | 26 | 9 |
| 21% | 24% | Tax Rate | 16% | (100%) |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Key Financials
3Q 2017 CASHFLOW STATEMENT
2017 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2017 GUIDANCE
EBITDA:
- ✓Guidance increased to €455mn (previous at €430mn) due to:
- more favourable pricing scenario
- stronger contribution from Energy Management
CAPEX:
✓ New guidance at €100mn (previous at €140mn)
NFP:
- ✓Guidance improved at €1.3bn (previous at €1.45bn) due to:
- higher cash generation
- €50mn extraordinary dividends received from TotalERG
Due to recent transactions, Business Plan presentation to be postponed to the first months of 2018
(1) It includes €39.5mn referred to the closing of DIF acquisition in Germany, which took place on May 2, 2017.
APPENDIX
9M 2017 GROUP EBITDA
Generalized slowdown in production, offset by rising prices
Appendix
9M 2017 CASHFLOW STATEMENT
(1) Equity consideration for DIF acquisition (€39.5mn) in Germany
Appendix
9M AND 3Q 2017 RESULTS
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | Euro millions | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 765 | 757 | Revenues | 227 | 227 | |
| 356 | 351 | Recurring EBITDA | 98 | 78 | |
| 227 | 230 | - Non-Programmable | 57 | 43 | |
| of which: | |||||
| 178 | 179 | - Italy | 46 | 34 | |
| 49 | 51 | - Abroad | 11 | 10 | |
| 136 | 129 | - Programmable | 42 | 36 | |
| of which: | |||||
| 63 | 70 | - Thermo | 23 | 19 | |
| 73 | 59 | - Hydro | 19 | 17 | |
| (6) | (8) | - Corporate | (0) | (2) |
22
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,768 | 1,720 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,768 | 1,720 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,094 | 1,094 | - Italy | 1,094 | 1,094 |
| 252 | 252 | - France | 252 | 252 |
| 216 | 168 | - Germany | 216 | 168 |
| 82 | 82 | - Poland | 82 | 82 |
| 70 | 70 | - Romania | 70 | 70 |
| 54 | 54 | - Bulgaria | 54 | 54 |
| 2,532 | 2,631 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 723 | 583 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,523 | 1,711 | - Italy | 444 | 368 |
| 337 | 378 | - France | 93 | 73 |
| 237 | 175 | - Germany | 61 | 43 |
| 166 | 138 | - Poland | 45 | 35 |
| 153 | 127 | - Romania | 42 | 38 |
| 116 | 102 | - Bulgaria | 38 | 26 |
Appendix
23
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | Euro millions | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recurring EBITDA: | ||||
| 178 | 179 | Italy | 46 | 34 |
| 20 | 24 | France | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | 12 | Germany | 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | Poland | 1 | (0) |
| 6 | 6 | Romania | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | Bulgaria | 1 | 2 |
| 227 | 230 | Total Recurring EBITDA | 57 | 43 |
| (119) | (125) | Depreciation | (40) | (42) |
| 108 | 105 | Recurring EBIT | 17 | 2 |
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | Euro millions | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,812 | 2,032 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 638 | 740 |
| 63 | 70 | Recurring EBITDA | 23 | 19 |
| (23) | (22) | Depreciation | (7) | (7) |
| 39 | 48 | Recurring EBIT | 16 | 11 |
Appendix
ERG HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | Euro millions | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 884 | 1,028 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 232 | 277 |
| 73 | 59 | Recurring EBITDA | 19 | 17 |
| (44) | (44) | Depreciation | (15) | (15) |
| 29 | 14 | Recurring EBIT | 4 | 3 |
INVESTMENTS
| 9M 2017 | 9M 2016 | Euro millions | 3Q 2017 | 3Q 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 327 | Non-Programmable (1) | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | Programmable | 4 | 3 |
| of which: | ||||
| 5 | 6 | - Thermo | 2 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | - Hydro | 2 | 1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporate | 0 | 0 |
| 77 | 337 | Total | 11 | 12 |
(1) M&A CAPEX for non-programmable include:
-
in 9M 2017: investments related to the closing of DIF acquisition in Germany (€39.5mn), which took place on May 2, 2017
-
in 9M 2016: investments related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)
Appendix