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ERG — Investor Presentation 2016
May 13, 2016
4235_er_2016-05-13_e9395373-f882-4a2a-9168-15b26e469808.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FIRST QUARTER 2016 RESULTS 13 MAY 2016 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
FIRST QUARTER 2016 RESULTS
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
1Q 2016 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- ✓ Total Installed Capacity Evolution
- Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 1Q 2016 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- 2016 Guidance and Conclusions
- Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
New business mix implied a very good set of results
Highlights
EVOLUTION OF TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY
A big jump in technological and geographical diversification
Highlights
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
(1) Italian theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) in Italy + GC
(2) It is worth noting that in 4Q 2015 our plants in Bulgaria exceeded threshold of production, and therefore they sold electricity in the
- Dispatching Market, thus receiving prices lower than feed-in
- (3) Figures refer only to Gebeleisis wind farm
1Q 2016 GROUP EBITDA
New electricity mix resulted in a positive contribution from all ERG divisions
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
1Q 2016 vs 1Q 2015 (TWh)
A new enlarged and diversified electricity portfolio
NON-PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Consolidation of new assets and better wind conditions
Results Review (1) As of December 23, 2015 LUKERG asset split became effective. From 1.1.2016 ERG Renew owns Tcherga and Hrabrovo wind farms in Bulgaria, and Gebeleisis wind farm in Romania.
PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Solid set of results
ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS
(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)
TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)
| 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2015 | 2015 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2015 | 2015 | 2015 | 2016 |
| 4Q 2015 | Euro millions | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Adjusted RC EBITDA | 30 | 22 |
| 27 | - Marketing | 19 | 21 |
| 2 | - Refining & Logistics | 11 | 1 |
| (19) | Adjusted Depreciation | (18) | (20) |
| 10 | Adjusted RC EBIT | 12 | 2 |
| 2 | Adjusted Net Profit | 5 | (6) |
| 27 | Investments | 11 | 11 |
| 294 | NFP | 431 | 456 |
| 10.9% | TOTALERG retail market share | 11.0% | 10.7% |
Results Review
KEY FINANCIALS
PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L
| 4Q 2015 | Euro millions | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | RC Adjusted EBITDA | 163 | 111 |
| (48) | Amortization and depreciation | (64) | (41) |
| 38 | RC Adjusted EBIT | 99 | 71 |
| (18) | Net financial income (expenses) | (19) | (15) |
| 2 | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 2 | (3) |
| 22 | RC Results before taxes | 82 | 52 |
| (1) | Income taxes | (21) | (15) |
| 21 | RC Results for the period | 61 | 37 |
| (0) | Minority interests | (3) | (2) |
| 20 | RC Net profit | 57 | 34 |
| 4% | Tax Rate | 26% | 29% |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Key Financials
1Q 2016 ADJUSTED CASHFLOW STATEMENT
Leverage
(1) Equity consideration for IMPAX acquisition (€293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition for about €13mn
Key Financials
2016 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2016 GUIDANCE
EBITDA:
✓2016 guidance confirmed at €440mn
CAPEX:
✓2016 guidance confirmed at €400mn
NFP:
✓2016 guidance confirmed at €1.73bn
(1) It includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016), and Brockaghboy acquisition
APPENDIX
1Q 2016 RESULTS
| 4Q 2015 | Euro millions | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231 | Adjusted Revenues | 295 | 275 | |
| 86 | RC EBITDA Adjusted | 163 | 111 | |
| 52 | - Non-Programmable | 117 | 95 | |
| of which: | ||||
| 39 | - Italy | 87 | 84 | |
| 13 | - Abroad | 29 | 12 | |
| 37 | - Programmable | 48 | 22 | |
| of which: | ||||
| 29 | - Thermo | 27 | 22 | |
| 8 | - Hydro | 21 | 0 | |
| (3) | - Corporate | (2) | (6) |
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 4Q 2015 | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,506 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,720 | 1,341 |
| of which: | |||
| 1,087 | - Italy | 1,094 | 1,087 |
| 128 | - France | 252 | 64 |
| 86 | - Germany | 168 | 86 |
| 82 | - Poland (1) | 82 | n.a. |
| 70 | - Romania (2) | 70 | 77 |
| 54 | - Bulgaria (2) | 54 | 27 |
| 604 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 1,226 | 860 |
| of which: | |||
| 368 | - Italy | 774 | 680 |
| 78 | - France | 208 | 44 |
| 45 | - Germany | 81 | 49 |
| 42 | - Poland (1) | 63 | n.a. |
| 55 | - Romania (2) | 54 | 62 |
| 16 | - Bulgaria (2) | 46 | 26 |
(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015
(2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 4Q 2015 | Euro millions | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| RC EBITDA: | |||
| 39 | Italy | 87 | 84 |
| 5 | France | 16 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Poland (1) | 3 | n.a. |
| 2 | Romania (2) | 3 | 3 |
| 0 | Bulgaria (2) | 2 | 2 |
| 52 | Total RC EBITDA | 117 | 95 |
| (35) | Depreciation | (41) | (33) |
| 17 | RC EBIT | 75 | 62 |
(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015 (2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
| 4Q 2015 | Euro millions | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 698 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 695 | 614 |
| 29 | RC EBITDA | 27 | 22 |
| (8) | Depreciation | (7) | (7) |
| 21 | RC EBIT | 20 | 15 |
ERG HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 4Q 2015 | Euro millions | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 384 | 0 |
| 8 | RC EBITDA | 21 | 0 |
| (5) | Depreciation | (15) | 0 |
| 3 | RC EBIT | 6 | 0 |
| 4Q 2015 | Euro millions | 1Q 2016 | 1Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | Non-Programmable (1) | 308 | 18 |
| 951 | Programmable | 2 | 2 |
| of which: | |||
| 3 | - Thermo | 1 | 2 |
| 948 | - Hydro (2) | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | Corporate | 1 | 0 |
| 1,012 | Adjusted Total | 310 | 20 |
(1) 1Q 2015 figure includes SPV in Poland. 1Q 2016 figure includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016) and Brockaghboy acquisition (2) 4Q 2015 figure refers to Hydro acquisition