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ERG Investor Presentation 2016

May 13, 2016

4235_er_2016-05-13_e9395373-f882-4a2a-9168-15b26e469808.pdf

Investor Presentation

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FIRST QUARTER 2016 RESULTS 13 MAY 2016 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

FIRST QUARTER 2016 RESULTS

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

1Q 2016 Highlights

  • ✓ Key Figures
  • ✓ Total Installed Capacity Evolution
  • Results Review
  • ✓ Business Environment
  • ✓ 1Q 2016 Group EBITDA
  • ✓ Results by Segments
  • Key Financials
  • ✓ Profit & Loss
  • ✓ Investments
  • ✓ Cash Flow Statement
  • 2016 Guidance and Conclusions
  • Appendix

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

New business mix implied a very good set of results

Highlights

EVOLUTION OF TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY

A big jump in technological and geographical diversification

Highlights

RESULTS REVIEW

PAOLO MERLI, CFO

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

(1) Italian theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) in Italy + GC

(2) It is worth noting that in 4Q 2015 our plants in Bulgaria exceeded threshold of production, and therefore they sold electricity in the

  • Dispatching Market, thus receiving prices lower than feed-in
  • (3) Figures refer only to Gebeleisis wind farm

1Q 2016 GROUP EBITDA

New electricity mix resulted in a positive contribution from all ERG divisions

ENERGY PORTFOLIO

1Q 2016 vs 1Q 2015 (TWh)

A new enlarged and diversified electricity portfolio

NON-PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS

Consolidation of new assets and better wind conditions

Results Review (1) As of December 23, 2015 LUKERG asset split became effective. From 1.1.2016 ERG Renew owns Tcherga and Hrabrovo wind farms in Bulgaria, and Gebeleisis wind farm in Romania.

PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS

Solid set of results

ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS

(2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)

TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016
4Q 2015 Euro millions 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
29 Adjusted RC EBITDA 30 22
27 - Marketing 19 21
2 - Refining & Logistics 11 1
(19) Adjusted Depreciation (18) (20)
10 Adjusted RC EBIT 12 2
2 Adjusted Net Profit 5 (6)
27 Investments 11 11
294 NFP 431 456
10.9% TOTALERG retail market share 11.0% 10.7%

Results Review

KEY FINANCIALS

PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L

4Q 2015 Euro millions 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
86 RC Adjusted EBITDA 163 111
(48) Amortization and depreciation (64) (41)
38 RC Adjusted EBIT 99 71
(18) Net financial income (expenses) (19) (15)
2 Net income (loss) from equity investments 2 (3)
22 RC Results before taxes 82 52
(1) Income taxes (21) (15)
21 RC Results for the period 61 37
(0) Minority interests (3) (2)
20 RC Net profit 57 34
4% Tax Rate 26% 29%

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

Key Financials

1Q 2016 ADJUSTED CASHFLOW STATEMENT

Leverage

(1) Equity consideration for IMPAX acquisition (€293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition for about €13mn

Key Financials

2016 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS

LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

2016 GUIDANCE

EBITDA:

✓2016 guidance confirmed at €440mn

CAPEX:

✓2016 guidance confirmed at €400mn

NFP:

✓2016 guidance confirmed at €1.73bn

(1) It includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016), and Brockaghboy acquisition

APPENDIX

1Q 2016 RESULTS

4Q 2015 Euro millions 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
231 Adjusted Revenues 295 275
86 RC EBITDA Adjusted 163 111
52 - Non-Programmable 117 95
of which:
39 - Italy 87 84
13 - Abroad 29 12
37 - Programmable 48 22
of which:
29 - Thermo 27 22
8 - Hydro 21 0
(3) - Corporate (2) (6)

NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (1/2)

4Q 2015 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
1,506 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,720 1,341
of which:
1,087 - Italy 1,094 1,087
128 - France 252 64
86 - Germany 168 86
82 - Poland (1) 82 n.a.
70 - Romania (2) 70 77
54 - Bulgaria (2) 54 27
604 Electricity Production (GWh) 1,226 860
of which:
368 - Italy 774 680
78 - France 208 44
45 - Germany 81 49
42 - Poland (1) 63 n.a.
55 - Romania (2) 54 62
16 - Bulgaria (2) 46 26

(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015

(2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%

NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (2/2)

4Q 2015 Euro millions 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
RC EBITDA:
39 Italy 87 84
5 France 16 3
4 Germany 6 3
2 Poland (1) 3 n.a.
2 Romania (2) 3 3
0 Bulgaria (2) 2 2
52 Total RC EBITDA 117 95
(35) Depreciation (41) (33)
17 RC EBIT 75 62

(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015 (2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%

ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES

4Q 2015 Euro millions 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
698 Electricity Production (GWh) 695 614
29 RC EBITDA 27 22
(8) Depreciation (7) (7)
21 RC EBIT 20 15

ERG HYDRO: KEY FIGURES

4Q 2015 Euro millions 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
84 Electricity Production (GWh) 384 0
8 RC EBITDA 21 0
(5) Depreciation (15) 0
3 RC EBIT 6 0
4Q 2015 Euro millions 1Q 2016 1Q 2015
60 Non-Programmable (1) 308 18
951 Programmable 2 2
of which:
3 - Thermo 1 2
948 - Hydro (2) 1 0
1 Corporate 1 0
1,012 Adjusted Total 310 20

(1) 1Q 2015 figure includes SPV in Poland. 1Q 2016 figure includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016) and Brockaghboy acquisition (2) 4Q 2015 figure refers to Hydro acquisition