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ERG — Investor Presentation 2016
Aug 5, 2016
4235_er_2016-08-05_a00a1338-e3dc-432b-8afd-4de92e2d95c8.pdf
Investor Presentation
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SECOND QUARTER 2016 RESULTS 5 AUGUST 2016 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
DISCLAIMER
This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.
AGENDA
2Q 2016 Highlights
- ✓ Key Figures
- ✓ Debt Structure optimized
- Results Review
- ✓ Business Environment
- ✓ 2Q 2016 Group EBITDA
- ✓ Results by Segments
- Key Financials
- ✓ Profit & Loss
- ✓ Investments
- ✓ Cash Flow Statement
- 2016 Guidance and Conclusions
- Appendix
HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES
A good set of results spread over all the business areas
Highlights
DEBT STRUCTURE OPTIMIZED
Action delivered
✓ Repricing of roughly €0.4bn(1) of PF with an average reduction of 100bps ✓ Pre-payment of tranche A(2) (€350mn) and PF facility in Romania (€70mn) ✓ Fund raising for €325mn(3) through 3 corporate lines (5y tenor) and KD slightly above 1% ✓ PF for €42mn (9.5y tenor) for 63.4MW wind farms in France
Results(4)
- ✓ Net KD(5) @ 4.7% in 1H 2016 vs. 14.8% in 1H 2015
- ✓ Gross KD(6) @ 3.4% in 1H 2016 vs. 4.2% in 1H 2015
- ✓ Full benefits from 2H 2016
Execution better than Business Plan guidance
- (1) It includes several different PF facilities in Italy and abroad
- (2) Related to the Hydro Terni acquisition
- (3) To partially replace pre-payments
- (4) Average NFP in 1H 2015 of €415mn vs. €1.63bn in 1H 2016
- (5) Annualized ratio between net financial charges and average net debt in the period
- (6) Annualized ratio between financial charges and average gross debt in the period (both referred to long-term facilities)
Highlights
RESULTS REVIEW
PAOLO MERLI, CFO
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh)
(1) Italian theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) in Italy + feed-in premium
(2) Figures refer only to Gebeleisis wind farm
Results Review
2Q 2016 GROUP EBITDA
New electricity mix implied very good results from all ERG divisions
ENERGY PORTFOLIO
1H 2015 vs 1H 2016 (TWh)
2Q 2015 vs 2Q 2016 (TWh)
An enlarged and diversified electricity portfolio
NON-PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Good wind conditions and consolidation of new assets
Results Review (1) As of December 23, 2015 LUKERG asset split became effective. From 1.1.2016 ERG Renew owns Tcherga and Hrabrovo wind farms in Bulgaria, and Gebeleisis wind farm in Romania.
PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS
Strong set of results
ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS
(1) It includes €7mn of equity consideration for the acquisition of two wind farms in Poland now in operation (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)
TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | Euro millions | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 53 | Adjusted RC EBITDA | 23 | 31 |
| 17 | 12 | Adjusted RC EBIT | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | (3) | Adjusted Net Profit | 0 | 3 |
| 246 | 255 | NFP | 246 | 255 |
| 10.9% | 10.6% | TOTALERG retail market share | 10.8% | 10.5% |
KEY FINANCIALS
PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | Euro millions | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273 | 198 | RC Adjusted EBITDA | 111 | 86 |
| (129) | (81) | Amortization and depreciation | (65) | (41) |
| 145 | 116 | RC Adjusted EBIT | 46 | 46 |
| (38) | (31) | Net financial income (expenses) | (19) | (15) |
| 3 | (1) | Net income (loss) from equity investments | 0 | 2 |
| 109 | 84 | RC Results before taxes | 27 | 32 |
| (31) | (24) | Income taxes | (10) | (9) |
| 78 | 60 | RC Results for the period | 17 | 23 |
| (4) | (3) | Minority interests | (0) | (1) |
| 74 | 57 | RC Net profit | 17 | 23 |
| 28% | 28% | Tax Rate | 37% | 27% |
Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures
Key Financials
2Q 2016 ADJUSTED CASHFLOW STATEMENT
16
2016 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS
LUCA BETTONTE, CEO
2016 GUIDANCE
LIQUIDITY PF OTHER AT MLT
1H 2016
2016 FCST
EBITDA:
✓2016 guidance confirmed at €440mn
CAPEX:
✓2016 guidance confirmed at €400mn
NFP:
✓2016 guidance confirmed at €1.73bn
(1) It includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)
APPENDIX
1H 2016 GROUP EBITDA
New electricity mix resulted in a positive contribution from all ERG divisions
(1) Equity consideration for IMPAX acquisition (€293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition for about €13mn
Key Financials
1H AND 2Q 2016 RESULTS
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | Euro millions | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530 | 497 | Adjusted Revenues | 235 | 222 | |
| 273 | 198 | RC EBITDA Adjusted | 111 | 86 | |
| 187 | 157 | - Non-Programmable | 70 | 62 | |
| of which: | |||||
| 145 | 138 | - Italy | 58 | 54 | |
| 41 | 19 | - Abroad | 12 | 7 | |
| 93 | 52 | - Programmable | 44 | 30 | |
| of which: | |||||
| 52 | 52 | - Thermo | 24 | 30 | |
| 41 | - Hydro | 20 | 0 | ||
| (6) | (11) | - Corporate | (4) | (5) |
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (1/2)
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,720 | 1,383 | Installed capacity (end-period, MW) | 1,720 | 1,383 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,094 | 1,087 | - Italy | 1,094 | 1,087 |
| 252 | 64 | - France | 252 | 64 |
| 168 | 86 | - Germany | 168 | 86 |
| 82 | 42 | - Poland (1) | 82 | 42 |
| 70 | 77 | - Romania (2) | 70 | 77 |
| 54 | 27 | - Bulgaria (2) | 54 | 27 |
| 2,048 | 1,482 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 822 | 623 |
| of which: | ||||
| 1,343 | 1,181 | - Italy | 569 | 501 |
| 305 | 71 | - France | 97 | 27 |
| 132 | 82 | - Germany | 51 | 33 |
| 103 | n.a. | - Poland (1) | 40 | n.a. |
| 89 | 103 | - Romania (2) | 35 | 42 |
| 76 | 45 | - Bulgaria (2) | 30 | 18 |
(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015
(2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%
NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (2/2)
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | Euro millions | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC EBITDA: | ||||
| 145 | 138 | Italy | 58 | 54 |
| 21 | 5 | France | 5 | 2 |
| 10 | 6 | Germany | 4 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | Poland (1) | 1 | n.a. |
| 4 | 5 | Romania (2) | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | Bulgaria (2) | 1 | 1 |
| 187 | 157 | Total RC EBITDA | 70 | 62 |
| (83) | (66) | Depreciation | (42) | (33) |
| 104 | 91 | RC EBIT | 28 | 29 |
(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015 (2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%
ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | Euro millions | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,293 | 1,211 | Electricity Production (GWh) | 597 | 597 |
| 52 | 52 | RC EBITDA | 24 | 30 |
| (15) | (15) | Depreciation | (7) | (7) |
| 37 | 37 | RC EBIT | 17 | 22 |
ERG HYDRO: KEY FIGURES
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | Euro millions | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 751 | n.a. | Electricity Production (GWh) | 367 | n.a. |
| 41 | n.a. | RC EBITDA | 20 | n.a. |
| (29) | n.a. | Depreciation | (15) | n.a. |
| 12 | n.a. | RC EBIT | 5 | n.a. |
INVESTMENTS
| 1H 2016 | 1H 2015 | Euro millions | 2Q 2016 | 2Q 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 | 55 | Non-Programmable (1) | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | 3 | Programmable | 3 | 2 |
| of which: | ||||
| 4 | 3 | - Thermo | 3 | 2 |
| 1 | 0 | - Hydro | 1 | 0 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporate | 0 | 0 |
| 325 | 59 | Adjusted Total | 15 | 39 |
(1) 1H 2015 figure includes €7mn of equity consideration for the acquisition of two wind farms in Poland now in operation. 1H 2016 figure includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)