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ERG Investor Presentation 2016

Aug 5, 2016

4235_er_2016-08-05_a00a1338-e3dc-432b-8afd-4de92e2d95c8.pdf

Investor Presentation

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SECOND QUARTER 2016 RESULTS 5 AUGUST 2016 LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

DISCLAIMER

This document contains certain forward-looking information that is subject to a number of factors that may influence the accuracy of the statements and the projections upon which the statements are based. There can be non assurance that the projections or forecasts will ultimately prove to be accurate; accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of such information or the likelihood that the Company will perform as projected.

AGENDA

2Q 2016 Highlights

  • ✓ Key Figures
  • ✓ Debt Structure optimized
  • Results Review
  • ✓ Business Environment
  • ✓ 2Q 2016 Group EBITDA
  • ✓ Results by Segments
  • Key Financials
  • ✓ Profit & Loss
  • ✓ Investments
  • ✓ Cash Flow Statement
  • 2016 Guidance and Conclusions
  • Appendix

HIGHLIGHTS: KEY FIGURES

A good set of results spread over all the business areas

Highlights

DEBT STRUCTURE OPTIMIZED

Action delivered

✓ Repricing of roughly €0.4bn(1) of PF with an average reduction of 100bps ✓ Pre-payment of tranche A(2) (€350mn) and PF facility in Romania (€70mn) ✓ Fund raising for €325mn(3) through 3 corporate lines (5y tenor) and KD slightly above 1% ✓ PF for €42mn (9.5y tenor) for 63.4MW wind farms in France

Results(4)

  • ✓ Net KD(5) @ 4.7% in 1H 2016 vs. 14.8% in 1H 2015
  • ✓ Gross KD(6) @ 3.4% in 1H 2016 vs. 4.2% in 1H 2015
  • ✓ Full benefits from 2H 2016

Execution better than Business Plan guidance

  • (1) It includes several different PF facilities in Italy and abroad
  • (2) Related to the Hydro Terni acquisition
  • (3) To partially replace pre-payments
  • (4) Average NFP in 1H 2015 of €415mn vs. €1.63bn in 1H 2016
  • (5) Annualized ratio between net financial charges and average net debt in the period
  • (6) Annualized ratio between financial charges and average gross debt in the period (both referred to long-term facilities)

Highlights

RESULTS REVIEW

PAOLO MERLI, CFO

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

Italy: Electricity Production vs Demand (TWh)

(1) Italian theoretical price based on National Average Electricity Price (PUN) in Italy + feed-in premium

(2) Figures refer only to Gebeleisis wind farm

Results Review

2Q 2016 GROUP EBITDA

New electricity mix implied very good results from all ERG divisions

ENERGY PORTFOLIO

1H 2015 vs 1H 2016 (TWh)

2Q 2015 vs 2Q 2016 (TWh)

An enlarged and diversified electricity portfolio

NON-PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS

Good wind conditions and consolidation of new assets

Results Review (1) As of December 23, 2015 LUKERG asset split became effective. From 1.1.2016 ERG Renew owns Tcherga and Hrabrovo wind farms in Bulgaria, and Gebeleisis wind farm in Romania.

PROGRAMMABLE RESULTS

Strong set of results

ADJUSTED INVESTMENTS

(1) It includes €7mn of equity consideration for the acquisition of two wind farms in Poland now in operation (2) M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)

TOTALERG: KEY FIGURES(1)

1H 2016 1H 2015 Euro millions 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
53 53 Adjusted RC EBITDA 23 31
17 12 Adjusted RC EBIT 4 10
5 (3) Adjusted Net Profit 0 3
246 255 NFP 246 255
10.9% 10.6% TOTALERG retail market share 10.8% 10.5%

KEY FINANCIALS

PRO-FORMA REPLACEMENT COST P&L

1H 2016 1H 2015 Euro millions 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
273 198 RC Adjusted EBITDA 111 86
(129) (81) Amortization and depreciation (65) (41)
145 116 RC Adjusted EBIT 46 46
(38) (31) Net financial income (expenses) (19) (15)
3 (1) Net income (loss) from equity investments 0 2
109 84 RC Results before taxes 27 32
(31) (24) Income taxes (10) (9)
78 60 RC Results for the period 17 23
(4) (3) Minority interests (0) (1)
74 57 RC Net profit 17 23
28% 28% Tax Rate 37% 27%

Note: figures based on NO GAAP measures

Key Financials

2Q 2016 ADJUSTED CASHFLOW STATEMENT

16

2016 GUIDANCE AND CONCLUSIONS

LUCA BETTONTE, CEO

2016 GUIDANCE

LIQUIDITY PF OTHER AT MLT

1H 2016

2016 FCST

EBITDA:

✓2016 guidance confirmed at €440mn

CAPEX:

✓2016 guidance confirmed at €400mn

NFP:

✓2016 guidance confirmed at €1.73bn

(1) It includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)

APPENDIX

1H 2016 GROUP EBITDA

New electricity mix resulted in a positive contribution from all ERG divisions

(1) Equity consideration for IMPAX acquisition (€293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition for about €13mn

Key Financials

1H AND 2Q 2016 RESULTS

1H 2016 1H 2015 Euro millions 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
530 497 Adjusted Revenues 235 222
273 198 RC EBITDA Adjusted 111 86
187 157 - Non-Programmable 70 62
of which:
145 138 - Italy 58 54
41 19 - Abroad 12 7
93 52 - Programmable 44 30
of which:
52 52 - Thermo 24 30
41 - Hydro 20 0
(6) (11) - Corporate (4) (5)

NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (1/2)

1H 2016 1H 2015 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
1,720 1,383 Installed capacity (end-period, MW) 1,720 1,383
of which:
1,094 1,087 - Italy 1,094 1,087
252 64 - France 252 64
168 86 - Germany 168 86
82 42 - Poland (1) 82 42
70 77 - Romania (2) 70 77
54 27 - Bulgaria (2) 54 27
2,048 1,482 Electricity Production (GWh) 822 623
of which:
1,343 1,181 - Italy 569 501
305 71 - France 97 27
132 82 - Germany 51 33
103 n.a. - Poland (1) 40 n.a.
89 103 - Romania (2) 35 42
76 45 - Bulgaria (2) 30 18

(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015

(2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%

NON-PROGRAMMABLE: KEY FIGURES (2/2)

1H 2016 1H 2015 Euro millions 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
RC EBITDA:
145 138 Italy 58 54
21 5 France 5 2
10 6 Germany 4 2
4 0 Poland (1) 1 n.a.
4 5 Romania (2) 1 2
3 3 Bulgaria (2) 1 1
187 157 Total RC EBITDA 70 62
(83) (66) Depreciation (42) (33)
104 91 RC EBIT 28 29

(1) Production in Poland started in July 2015 (2) 2015 figures correspond to ERG 's stake in the joint venture LUKERG = 50%

ERG POWER: KEY FIGURES

1H 2016 1H 2015 Euro millions 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
1,293 1,211 Electricity Production (GWh) 597 597
52 52 RC EBITDA 24 30
(15) (15) Depreciation (7) (7)
37 37 RC EBIT 17 22

ERG HYDRO: KEY FIGURES

1H 2016 1H 2015 Euro millions 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
751 n.a. Electricity Production (GWh) 367 n.a.
41 n.a. RC EBITDA 20 n.a.
(29) n.a. Depreciation (15) n.a.
12 n.a. RC EBIT 5 n.a.

INVESTMENTS

1H 2016 1H 2015 Euro millions 2Q 2016 2Q 2015
319 55 Non-Programmable (1) 11 37
5 3 Programmable 3 2
of which:
4 3 - Thermo 3 2
1 0 - Hydro 1 0
1 1 Corporate 0 0
325 59 Adjusted Total 15 39

(1) 1H 2015 figure includes €7mn of equity consideration for the acquisition of two wind farms in Poland now in operation. 1H 2016 figure includes M&A CAPEX related to the closing of IMPAX acquisition (which took place on February 2, 2016, amounting to €293mn) and Brockaghboy acquisition (€13mn)