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TRATON SE — Call Transcript 2021
Mar 22, 2021
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Munich - March 22, 2021
INVESTOR RELATIONS CONFERENCE CALL FOR FISCAL YEAR 2020
MATTHIAS GRÜNDLER, CEO CHRISTIAN SCHULZ, CFO
ISIN: DE000TRAT0N7 WKN: TRAT0N Bloomberg Ticker: 8TRA GY/8TRA SS http://ir.traton.com
DISCLAIMER
This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only.
It does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Volkswagen AG, TRATON SE, or any company of the TRATON GROUP in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation, nor any part of it, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contractual commitment or investment decision in relation to the securities of Volkswagen AG, TRATON SE, or any company of the TRATON GROUP in any jurisdiction, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding any such securities.
It contains forward-looking statements and information on the business development of the TRATON GROUP. These statements and information are based on assumptions relating in particular to the TRATON GROUP's business and operations and the development of the economies in the countries in which the TRATON GROUP is active. As far as information or statements on Navistar are concerned, the same applies to Navistar. Please note that TRATON SE has signed definitive agreements on the acquisition of Navistar but the acquisition requires a number of approvals and is therefore not yet closed.
The TRATON GROUP has made such forward-looking statements on the basis of the information available to it and assumptions it believes to be reasonable. The forward-looking statements and information may involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those forecasts. If any of these or other risks or uncertainties materialize, or if the assumptions underlying any of these statements prove incorrect, the actual results may significantly differ from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and information. The TRATON GROUP will not update this presentation, particularly not the forward-looking statements. The presentation is valid on the date of publication only.
Certain financial information and financial data included in this presentation are preliminary, unaudited, and may be subject to revision. Due to their preliminary nature, statements contained in this presentation should not be unduly relied upon, and past events or performance should not be taken as a guarantee or indication of future events or performance. Financial figures might be translated from different currencies, using the exchange rate prevailing at the relevant date or for the relevant period that the relevant financial figures relate to.
All statements with regard to markets or market position(s) of TRATON SE or any affiliated company or any of its competitors are estimates based on data available to the TRATON GROUP. As far as information or statements on Navistar are concerned, the same applies to Navistar.
IHS Markit Data referenced herein are the copyrighted property of IHS Markit Ltd. and its subsidiaries ("IHS Markit"). The IHS Markit Data are from sources considered reliable; however, the accuracy and completeness thereof are not warranted, nor are the opinions and analyses published by IHS Markit representations of fact. The IHS Markit Data speak as of the original publication date thereof and are subject to change without notice. IHS Markit and other trademarks appearing in the IHS Markit Data are the property of IHS Markit or their respective owners.
The percentage figures shown may be subject to rounding differences. Due to different proportions and scaling in graphs, data shown in different graphs is not comparable.

AGENDA
-
2020 at Glance
-
Outlook 2021
-
Back up
a. TRATON GROUP Highlights b. Segment Industrial Business c. Segment Financial Services d. Appendix
2020 – A YEAR OF TWO FACES

DESPITE THE CHALLENGES, 2020 WAS A YEAR WITH MANY SUCCESSES FOR TRATON


- Incoming orders: -5% to 216,251 units
- Unit sales: -21% to 190,180 units
- Sales revenue: -16% to €22,580 mn FY
- Adjusted operating result: €135 mn, adjusted RoS 0.6% 2020
- Net cash flow Industrial Business: €676 mn1
- Net liquidity Industrial Business: €27 mn2
- New MAN Truck Generation introduced
- First-time solid investment grade ratings assigned to TRATON SE by Moody´s and Standard & Poor´s 2020
- Debut syndicated revolving credit facility signed by TRATON SE
- Scania introduces first electric truck range
- TRATON and TuSimple global partnership for autonomous trucks
- TRATON and Hino start e-mobility joint venture
- TRATON reached binding merger agreement to acquire Navistar
- VWCO presents the new family of heavy-duty trucks
- MAN Truck & Bus key issues paper to realign the company agreed 2021


March 22, 2021 / Investor Relations / Conference Call for fiscal year 2020 1 FY 2019 reported net cash flow of €2,711 mn; adjusted net cash flow €518 mn before the sale of Power Engineering (€1,978 mn), parts of the RMMV Joint Venture (€101 mn incl. dividend) and repayment for amounts and interest resulting from security deposits provided in Brazil (€114 mn) ). 2 Mainly due to the net cash outflow of €-1.4 bn resulting primarily from the end of the domination and profit and loss transfer agreement (DPLTA) with Volkswagen AG for the fiscal year 2019. Note: Delta FY 2020 vs. FY 2019

SECOND HALF OF 2020 WITH STRONG RECOVERY…

Noticeable market recovery, though business activities still significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic

Incoming orders: +47% vs. H1 2020

Unit sales: +45% vs. H1 2020

Net cash flow in Industrial Business: €1,023 mn (€+1,370 mn vs. H1 2020)

Capital expenditure TRATON GROUP1and primary R&D in Industrial Business: clearly reduced in FY 2020

March 22, 2021 / Investor Relations / Conference Call for fiscal year 2020 1 Capital expenditures in property, plant, and equipment and in intangible assets (including capitalized development costs)
…IN ALMOST ALL AREAS
| H2 2020 | H1 2020 | +/- | H2 2020 | H1 2020 | +/- | H2 2020 | H1 2020 | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trucks and buses (units) | |||||||||
| Incoming orders | 58,667 | 34,273 | 71% | 46,729 | 38,192 | 22% | 23,630 | 15,175 | 56% |
| Unit sales | 41,648 | 30,437 | 37% | 50,011 | 31,662 | 58% | 21,087 | 15,887 | 33% |
| of which trucks11 | 39,244 | 27,655 | 42% | 46,802 | 29,531 | 58% | 17,702 | 13,540 | 31% |
| of which buses | 2,404 | 2,782 | -14% | 3,209 | 2,131 | 51% | 3,385 | 2,347 | 44% |
| Financial KPIs (€ million) | |||||||||
| Sales revenue | 6,252 | 5,269 | 19% | 5,580 | 4,079 | 37% | 623 | 612 | 2% |
| Operating result | 527 | 221 | 306 | -166 | -387 | 221 | -5 | -10 | 5 |
| Operating result (adjusted) | 581 | 221 | 359 | -166 | -387 | 221 | -5 | -10 | 5 |
| Operating RoS (in %) | 8.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 pp | -3.0 | -9.5 | 6.5 pp | -0.8 | -1.7 | 0.9 pp |
| Operating RoS (adjusted) (in %) | 9.3 | 4.2 | 5.1 pp | -3.0 | -9.5 | 6.5 pp | -0.8 | -1.7 | 0.9 pp |
| • | Incoming orders and unit | • | Unit sales and sales | • | Higher unit sales, but |
sales severely improved
• Favorable portfolio and
cost savings
- revenue severely up
- Improved result, but negative factors weigh on
negative currency effects weigh on sales revenue
• Improved product position

AGENDA
-
2020 at Glance
-
Outlook 2021
-
Back up
a. TRATON GROUP Highlights b. Segment Industrial Business c. Segment Financial Services d. Appendix
BUSINESS CLIMATE IS BRIGHTENING, BUT STILL FRAGILE
Growth in 2021 expected, but fragile environment
Global growth1 collapsed in 2020. Recovery expected in 2021, but less buoyant in EU than initially expected. US powering ahead.

Truck registrations (> 16t) in Europe improving2

2 ACEA new heavy commercial vehicles (HCV) registrations of 16t and over for EU + EFTA + UK
1 IMF World Economic Outlook

YET THE POSITIVE TREND CONTINUED IN THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2020


POSITIVE TRUCK MARKET OUTLOOK, DEPENDING HEAVILY ON COVID-19 DEVELOPMENT
TRUCK MARKET EXPECTATIONS (˃ 6t, k units)

March 22, 2021 / Investor Relations / Conference Call for fiscal year 2020 Source: Historical data based on own calculations and estimates. 1 EU27+3 region (EU27 countries without Malta, plus the United Kingdom, Norway, and Switzerland) 2 Includes estimates from different institutes, companies, and data/information services.

TRATON OUTLOOK 2021 – RECOVERY AFTER STRONG DECLINE
| FY 2019 | FY 2020 | FY 2021 Outlook1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unit sales | 242.2 k | 190.2 k | Sharp |
| +4% | -21% | increase | |
| Group sales revenue | €26.9 bn | €22.6 bn | Substantial |
| +4% | -16% | increase | |
| Operating return on sales | 7.0% | 0.4% | 5.0 – |
| & operating result2 | €1.9 bn | €81 mn | 6.0% |
| Cash conversion rate3 (Industrial Business) |
179% | n/a4 | 25 – 35% |
1 Before expenses from the MAN Truck & Bus restructuring program and effects from the planned acquisition of Navistar International Corporation. 2 FY 2019: adjusted RoS 7.0%, adjusted operating result €1.9 bn; FY 2020: adjusted operating RoS 0.6%, adjusted operating result €135 mn 3 Calculated as the ratio of net cash flow to profit after tax; cash conversion rate in FY 2019 was positively affected by the proceeds of approximately €2.0 bn from the disposal of the Power Engineering business. 4 In FY 2020, the negative earnings after tax did not result in any meaningful cash conversion rate.
2021 REMAINS CHALLENGING, BUT RECOVERY EXPECTED

MAN T&B MEASURES TO IMPROVE EARNINGS

Key Issues Paper to realign MAN T&B agreed
- Strong focus on future technologies.
- Repositioning of the production and development network.
- Reduction of ~3,500 jobs across all areas in Germany by the end of 2022.
- Steyr site in Austria (~2,200 employees) is being discussed.
- In total, the restructuring measures are currently expected to incur cost in a high triple-digit million Euro amount.
efforts Ensuring sustainable uplift in RoS and cash flows
NAVISTAR NEXT STEPS – CLOSING OF PLANNED AQUISITION & SUBSEQUENT INTEGRATION
Signing and announcement of binding merger agreement on November 7, 2020

On March 2, 2021 Navistar shareholders approved TRATON's proposal to acquire Navistar

Regulatory approvals expected in first half 2021
Closing expected mid-2021


OUR BRANDS FOCUS ON E-MOBILITY LEADERSHIP
SINCE 2020
Common modular electric powertrain toolkit, used in the first series produced all-electric city buses from Scania and MAN.
BY 2025
Electrified vehicles will account for around 10% of Scania's total vehicle sales volumes in Europe. Half of MAN's new buses will run on alternative drives.
BY 2030
Electrified vehicles will account for 50% of Scania's total vehicle sales volumes. At least 60% of MAN's delivery trucks and 40% of long-haul trucks will be emissionfree.




TRATON INCREASES R&D INVESTMENT IN E-MOBILITY TO €1.6 BILLION

1 Product development budget comprises the share of primary R&D costs, that could be assigned to specific product projects or product project roadmaps before start of production. Product development budget does not include efforts for general base research or R&D support after start of production (i.e. for quality assurance or product cost optimization during the lifecycle).

AGENDA
-
2020 at Glance
-
Outlook 2021
-
Back up
a. TRATON GROUP Highlights
b. Segment Industrial Business
c. Segment Financial Services
d. Appendix
GROUP – SEGMENT HIGHLIGHTS Q4/FY 2020
| Industrial Business (IB) | Financial Services (FS) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | YoY | FY 2020 | YoY | Q4 2020 | YoY | FY 2020 | YoY | ||
| Incoming orders (units) | 70,318 | +22% | 216,251 | -5% | Net portfolio2 (€ bn) |
9.5 | -4% | ||
| Unit sales (units) | 62,520 | -1% | 190,180 | -21% | Penetration rate (%) | 38 | -3.9 pp | 40 | -1.5 pp |
| Book-to-bill (units) | 1.12 | +21 bp | 1.14 | +20 bp | Sales revenue (€ mn) | 208 | -3% | 820 | -3% |
| Sales revenue (€ mn) | 6,736 | -3% | 22,156 | -16% | Operating result (€ mn) | 25 | €-13 mn | 107 | €-35 mn |
| Operating result (€ mn) | 114 | €-250 mn | -26 | €-1,768 mn | Profit after tax (€ mn) | 22 | €-14 mn | 75 | €-36 mn |
| Return on sales (%) | 1.7 | -3.5 pp | -0.1 | -6.7 pp | |||||
| Adjusted operating result (€ mn) | 118 | €-246 mn | 28 | €-1,701 mn | |||||
| Adjusted return on sales (%) | 1.8 | -3.5 pp | 0.1 | -6.4 pp | |||||
| Profit after tax (€ mn) | 42 | €-334 mn | -170 | €-1,688 mn | |||||
| Net cash flow (€ mn)1 | 824 | €+435 mn | 676 | €-2,036 mn |
• After key figures especially in the second quarter were heavily negatively influenced by the uncertainties and impacts from COVID-19 pandemic, a noticeable recovery was evident in the second half of 2020.
• Positive operating result in the Industrial Business of €239 mn in H2 2020 compared to a negative result in H1 2020 of €-265 mn.
• Positive net cash flow in Q4 2020 of €824 mn in the Industrial Business supported by the release of funds tied up in working capital, despite the substantial drop in operating result.
March 22, 2021 / Investor Relations / Conference Call for fiscal year 2020 1 FY 2019 reported net cash flow of €2,711 mn; adjusted net cash flow €518 mn before the sale of Power Engineering (€1,978 mn), parts of the RMMV Joint Venture (€101 mn incl. dividend) and repayment for amounts and interest resulting from security deposits provided in Brazil (€114 mn). 2 Reflecting closing balances, as of December 31, 2020.
GROUP – SALES REVENUE AND RETURN ON SALES
SALES REVENUE (€ mn)


March 22, 2021 / Investor Relations / Conference Call for fiscal year 2020 1 Operating result in FY 2020 contained costs that were primarily incurred in connection with the reorganization of production facilities at Scania V&S of €54 mn (Q3 2020: €50 mn, Q4 2020: €4 mn); adjusted RoS Q3 2020: 3.7%/Q4 2020: 2.1%/9M 2020: -0.1%/FY 2020 0.6%.
GROUP – UNIT SALES DEVELOPMENT
Unit Sales (units)

- Economic downturn already expected for 2020 was amplified by the uncertainty due to the COVID-19 pandemic, especially in Q2 2020. However, a noticeable recovery was evident in H2 2020.
- All core regions and products with significantly higher unit sales compared to first half.
- In Q4 2020 trucks unit sales ex MAN TGE nearly unchanged YoY (-1%), buses unit sales down by -24% YoY.
GROUP – UNIT SALES GROWTH IN CORE MARKETS

1 Excluding MAN TGE vans. 2 EU27+3 region (defined as the EU27 countries with the exception of Malta, plus the United Kingdom, Norway, and Switzerland). 3 Information shown might include estimates or preliminary data; for EU27+3 and Germany data collected from ACEA provisional new registrations figures as at January 26, 2021, trucks ˃ 16t; for Brazil data collected from ANFAVEA trucks ˃ 6t as at January 8, 2021; South America own estimates.

AGENDA
-
2020 at Glance
-
Outlook 2021
-
Back up
a. TRATON GROUP Highlights
b. Segment Industrial Business
c. Segment Financial Services
d. Appendix
INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS – INCOMING ORDERS
INCOMING ORDERS (units)

• Weaker demand already expected for 2020 was exacerbated by the impact of COVID-19 pandemic, particularly in Q2 2020.
- The recovery was reflected most clearly in incoming orders, Q3 2020 and Q4 2020 were even above prior-year quarters.
- Truck business strongly recovered across all regions.
INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS – UNIT SALES UNIT SALES (units)

- The expected decline in truck business in the EU27+3 in 2020 was further exacerbated by the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic, particularly in Q2 2020. Truck unit sales ex MAN TGE in Q4 2020 nearly unchanged YoY (-1%), noticeable recovery in all countries in the region in H2 2020. Brazil also returned to growth in H2 2020, with Q4 2020 up +3% YoY.
- Bus unit sales decreased by -24% in Q4 2020 YoY, but recovered in H2 2020 vs. H1 2020.


- Decline in sales revenue resulted primarily from the new vehicle business (-23% YoY), following the decline in truck and bus unit sales, although H2 2020 did see a significant recovery. After-sales recorded a relatively small decline of -6% YoY in FY 2020 (share of 21%).
- Positive return on sales in H2 2020, clearly above previous half-year due to positive unit sales and sales revenue development, supported by cost savings measures.
March 22, 2021 / Investor Relations / Conference Call for fiscal year 2020 1 Operating result in FY 2020 contained costs that were primarily incurred in connection with the reorganization of production facilities at Scania Vehicles & Services of €54 mn (Q3 2020: €50 mn, Q4 2020: €4 mn); adjusted RoS Q3 2020: 3.1%/Q4 2020: 1.8%/FY 2020 0.1%.
INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS – REGIONAL TRUCK UNIT SALES DEVELOPMENT1

1 Excluding MAN TGE vans. 2 In connection with the exit of United Kingdom on January 31, 2020, the region "EU28+2" has been referred to as region "EU27+3" since 2020 (defined as the EU27 countries with the exception of Malta, plus the United Kingdom, Norway, and Switzerland).

INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS – SALES REVENUE BY BRAND AND RETURN ON SALES

Note: Figures shown as at Q4 2020/FY 2020; percentage change calculated YoY, Q4 2020 vs. Q4 2019/FY 2020 vs. FY 2019.
1 Operating result in FY 2020 contained costs that were primarily incurred in connection with the reorganization of production facilities at Scania V&S of €54 mn (Q3 2020: €50 mn, Q4 2020: €4 mn); adjusted RoS Scania V&S Q4 2020: 9.7%/FY 2020 7.5%, adjusted RoS Industrial Business Q4 2020: 1.8%/FY 2020 0.1%.

Net liquidity as of December 31, 2020 amounted to €27 mn, mainly due to the net cash outflow of €-1.4 bn resulting primarily from the end of the domination and profit and loss transfer agreement (DPLTA) with Volkswagen AG for the fiscal year 2019.
INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS – LEVERAGE RATIOS GEARING RATIO1 (in %) NET DEBT/ADJUSTED EBITDA2(x)

Note: Industrial Business net liquidity/net financial debt per FY 2018: €227 mn, Q1 2019: €604 mn, H1 2019: €689 mn, 9M 2019: €1,207 mn, FY 2019: €1,500 mn, Q1 2020: €-162 mn, H1 2020: €-376 mn, 9M 2020: €-727 mn, FY 2020: €27 mn. 1 For Industrial Business: calculated as net liquidity/net financial debt divided by book value of equity. 2 For Industrial Business: calculated as net liquidity/net financial debt divided by last twelve month adjusted EBITDA (actual quarter + last 3 quarters).
INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS – NET LIQUIDITY NET LIQUIDITY/NET FINANCIAL DEBT BRIDGE (€ mn)

1 Thereof €-1,404 mn for the profit transfer for fiscal year 2019 to Volkswagen AG, €-501 mn dividend payments, €+54 mn capital contribution by Volkswagen.

INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS – FINANCIAL RESILIENCE
SOUND BALANCE SHEET POSITION (Industrial Business; as of December 31, 2020)
- Equity ratio: solidly at 36%
- Gearing1 : currently at only 0%
- Net debt/adjusted EBITDA2 : at 0.0x after the end of the DPLTA with Volkswagen AG, €-1.4 bn were transferred in February 2020 and dividend payment in September 2020
SOUND LIQUIDITY POSITION (Industrial Business; as of December 31, 2020)
- Strict cash and cost management
- Net Cash Flow of €676 mn in FY 2020
- Cash and cash equivalents of €1.6 bn
- Undrawn credit lines totaling €7.3 bn
- TRATON put in place its debut syndicated revolving credit facility with a volume of €3.75 bn in Q3 2020
- Reprioritizing of our capital expenditures and our research and development projects
Note: Net liquidity as of December 31, 2020 amounted to €27 mn, mainly due to the net cash outflow of €-1.4 bn resulting primarily from the end of the domination and profit and loss transfer agreement (DPLTA) with Volkswagen AG for the fiscal year 2019. 1 For Industrial Business: calculated as net liquidity/net financial debt divided by book value of equity. 2 For Industrial Business: calculated as net liquidity/net financial debt divided by last twelve month adjusted EBITDA (actual quarter + last 3 quarters).

SCANIA VEHICLES & SERVICES – KEY FIGURES PER QUARTER
Incoming orders (k units) 32.7 26.7 22.1 17.8 22.2 20.7 13.6 25.9 +48%
Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20

Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q3 20 Q2 20 Q4 20
Sales revenue (€ mn) Return on sales2 Operating result (%) 2 3,350 3,765 3,312 3,507 2,982 2,287 2,825 3,428 -2%
Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20

Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20


Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20

1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered. 2 Operating result in FY 2020 contained costs that were primarily incurred in connection with the reorganization of production facilities at Scania V&S of €54 mn (Q3 2020: €50 mn, Q4 2020: €4 mn); adjusted RoS Q3 2020: 8.7%/Q4 2020: 9.7%.
MAN TRUCK & BUS – KEY FIGURES PER QUARTER
Incoming orders (k units) 24.9 29.9 25.0 20.8 24.1 14.1 21.6 25.2 +1%
Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20


Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q2 20


Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20

1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered.

VOLKSWAGEN CAMINHÕES E ÔNIBUS – KEY FIGURES PER QUARTER

Incoming orders (k units)
Q1 19 Q2 20 Q3 19 Q1 20 Q2 19 Q4 19 Q3 20 Q4 20

Q1 20 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20



Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20

1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered. 2 Q2 2019 includes an adjustment of €-13 mn from the reversal of a restructuring provision.

AGENDA
-
2020 at Glance
-
Outlook 2021
-
Back up
a. TRATON GROUP Highlights
b. Segment Industrial Business
c. Segment Financial Services
d. Appendix

FINANCIAL SERVICES – SALES REVENUE AND RETURN ON SALES

• Operating result declined by -25% to €107 mn in FY 2020, attributable to higher bad debt allowances, lower margins, and negative exchange rate effects. Positive effects from a larger average portfolio.
FINANCIAL SERVICES – NET PORTFOLIO AND PENETRATION RATE

- By the end of December 2020 customer finance portfolio amounted to €9.5 bn (-4% compared to year end 2019), resulting from lower financing activities due to the reduced unit sales and negative currency effects.
- Penetration rate on new trucks stood at 40% in FY 2020 in those markets where Financial Services operates.
- Book value of equity decreased slightly compared to year end to €961 mn (FY 2019: €971 mn).
1 Reflecting closing balances; net portfolio defined as gross portfolio less bad debt provisions; growth excl. currency effects. 2 Trucks only.

AGENDA
-
2020 at Glance
-
Outlook 2021
-
Back up
a. TRATON GROUP Highlights
b. Segment Industrial Business
c. Segment Financial Services
d. Appendix

GROUP – OVERVIEW BY QUARTER
| € million | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change Q4 2020 v. Q4 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRATON GROUP | 6,839 | 5,667 | 4,394 | 5,679 | 7,075 | -235 |
| Industrial Business | 6,736 | 5,565 | 4,290 | 5,564 | 6,953 | -217 |
| New Vehicles | 4,372 | 3,331 | 2,393 | 3,290 | 4,601 | -229 |
| After Sales1 | 1,228 | 1,163 | 1,033 | 1,268 | 1,260 | -31 |
| Others | 1,136 | 1,072 | 865 | 1,006 | 1,092 | 44 |
| Financial Services | 208 | 200 | 197 | 216 | 215 | -7 |
| Consolidation/Others | -104 | -98 | -93 | -101 | -93 | -11 |
| € million | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change Q4 2020 v. Q4 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue | 6,839 | 5,667 | 4,394 | 5,679 | 7,075 | -235 |
| Cost of sales | -5,777 | -4,708 | -3,978 | -4,659 | -5,792 | 16 |
| Gross profit | 1,063 | 960 | 416 | 1,020 | 1,282 | -219 |
| Distribution expenses | -611 | -532 | -510 | -594 | -670 | ਵਿੱਚ |
| Administrative expenses | -231 | -222 | -185 | -238 | -238 | 7 |
| Other operating result | -82 | -44 | -103 | -27 | 27 | -109 |
| Operating result | 139 | 162 | -382 | 161 | 401 | -262 |
| Operating return on sales (in %) | 2.0 | 2.9 | -8.7 | 2.8 | 5.7 | -3.6 pp |
| Financial result | -40 | 25 | -71 | -30 | -22 | -17 |
| Earnings before tax | 100 | 187 | -453 | 131 | 379 | -279 |
| Income taxes | -65 | -56 | ୧୫ | -35 | -53 | -13 |
| Earnings after tax | ਤਵ | 131 | -385 | વેદ | 327 | -292 |
GROUP – CONDENSED INCOME STATEMENT
| TRATON GROUP | Industrial Business |
Financial Services |
Others/ reconciliation |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € million | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 |
| Sales revenue | 22,580 | 26,901 | 22,156 | 26,444 | 820 | 849 | -396 | -392 |
| Cost of sales | -19,121 | -21,618 | -18,997 | -21,462 | -519 | -547 | 395 | 391 |
| Gross profit | 3,459 | 5,284 | 3,158 | 4,983 | 302 | 302 | -1 | -1 |
| Distribution expenses |
-2,247 | -2,480 | -2,125 | -2,356 | -123 | -126 | 1 | 1 |
| Administrative expenses |
-876 | -973 | -876 | -973 | ||||
| Other operating result |
-255 | ਦਤ | -184 | 88 | -71 | -34 | 0 | -1 |
| Operating result | 81 | 1,884 | -26 | 1,741 | 107 | 142 | 0 | O |
| Operating return on sales (in %) |
0.4 | 7.0 | -0.1 | 6.6 | 13.1 | 16.8 | ||
| Financial result | -115 | 81 | -86 | 140 | 0 | 8 | -30 | -67 |
| Earnings before tax | -34 | 1,965 | -12 | 1,881 | 107 | 151 | -29 | -67 |
| Income taxes | -89 | -401 | -58 | -361 | -32 | -40 | 1 | -1 |
| Earnings from discontinued |
||||||||
| operations, net of tax | -2 | -2 | ||||||
| Earnings after tax | -124 | 1,561 | -170 | 1,518 | 75 | רור | -28 | -67 |
GROUP – CONDENSED STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
| TRATON GROUP | Industrial Business | Financial Services | Others/reconciliation | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € million | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 |
| Cash and cash equivalents as of 01/01 | 1,913 | 2,997 | 1,853 | 2,945 | 60 | ਦੇਤੋ | O | |
| Gross cash flow¹ | 1,972 | 3,460 | 1,846 | 3,384 | 540 | 498 | -413 | -422 |
| Change in working capital | 15 | -2,373 | 158 | -1,276 | -528 | -1,480 | 385 | 383 |
| Net cash provided by/used in operating activities | 1,987 | 1,088 | 2,003 | 2,108 | 12 | -982 | -28 | -38 |
| Net cash provided by/used in investing activities attributable to operating activities |
-1,293 | 634 | -1,327 | 603 | -1 | -3 | 35 | 33 |
| Change in marketable securities, investment deposits, and loans | 1,078 | -2,994 | 1,189 | -2,268 | O | 90 | -111 | -816 |
| Net cash provided by/used in investing activities | -215 | -2,360 | -138 | -1,665 | T | 87 | -76 | -782 |
| Net cash provided by/used in financing activities | -1,873 | 183 | -1,983 | -1,540 | 7 | 902 | 103 | 820 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | -98 | 6 | -94 | 5 | -5 | O | O | |
| Change in cash and cash equivalents | -198 | -1,085 | -212 | -1,092 | 14 | 7 | O | O |
| Cash and cash equivalents as of 12/31 | 1,714 | 1,913 | 1,641 | 1,853 | 73 | ୧୦ | O | O |
| Gross cash flow | 1,972 | 3,460 | 1,846 | 3,384 | 540 | 498 | -413 | -422 |
| Change in working capital | 15 | -2,373 | 158 | -1,276 | -528 | -1,480 | 385 | 383 |
| Net cash provided by/used in investing activities attributable to operating activities |
-1,293 | 634 | -1,327 | 603 | -1 | -3 | ਤ ਦ | ਤੇਤ |
| Net cash flow | 694 | 1,721 | 676 | 2,711 | -985 | 7 | -5 |
GROUP – NET LIQUIDITY
| TRATON GROUP | Industrial Business | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € million | 12/31/2020 | 12/31/2019 | 12/31/2020 | 12/31/2019 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1.714 | 1,913 | 1,641 | 1,853 | |
| Marketable securities, investment deposits, and loans |
2,114 | 3,195 | 2,114 | 3,288 | |
| Gross liquidity | 3,828 | 5,108 | 3,755 | 5,141 | |
| Total third-party borrowings | -12,298 | -12,497 | -3,728 | -3,641 | |
| Net liquidity/net financial debt | -8,470 | -7,390 | 27 | 1,500 |
| € million | 12/31/2020 | 09/30/2020 | 06/30/2020 | 03/31/2020 | 12/31/2019 | Change 12/31/2020 v. 12/31/2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,641 | 2,124 | 2,488 | 1,551 | 1,853 | -212 |
| Marketable securities, investment deposits, and loans to affiliated companies |
2,114 | 1,114 | 2,014 | 1,794 | 3,288 | -1,174 |
| Gross liquidity | 3,755 | 3,238 | 4,502 | 3,345 | 5,141 | -1,386 |
| Total third-party borrowings | -3,728 | -3,965 | -4,878 | -3,507 | -3,641 | -87 |
| Net liquidity/net financial debt | 27 | -727 | -376 | -162 | 1,500 | -1,473 |
GROUP – CONDENSED BALANCE SHEET
| TRATON GROUP | Industrial Business | Financial Services | Others/reconciliation | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € million | 12/31/2020 | 12/31/2019 | 12/31/2020 | 12/31/2019 | 12/31/2020 | 12/31/2019 | 12/31/2020 | 12/31/2019 |
| Intangible assets | 6,766 | 6,755 | 6,762 | 6,750 | 4 | 4 | ||
| Property, plant, and equipment | 6,908 | 6,789 | 6,897 | 6,778 | 22 | 25 | -11 | -13 |
| Assets leased out | 6,496 | 7,119 | 6,489 | 7,115 | 752 | 826 | -745 | -821 |
| Equity-method investments | 1,380 | 1,365 | 1,380 | 1,365 | ||||
| Other equity investments | 72 | 34 | 460 | 386 | O | O | -388 | -352 |
| Income tax receivables | 115 | 167 | ರಿತ | 141 | 27 | 26 | -5 | |
| Deferred tax assets | 1,231 | 970 | 1,192 | 935 | દર્ભ | 48 | -18 | -13 |
| Financial services receivables | 7,741 | 7,991 | 7 | 10 | 7,733 | 7,981 | O | O |
| Inventories | 4,325 | 4,943 | 4,325 | 4,943 | ||||
| Trade receivables | 1,906 | 2,144 | 1,947 | 2,216 | 47 | 34 | -88 | -106 |
| Other assets | 2,008 | 1,816 | 1,864 | 1,727 | 1,228 | 1,320 | -1,085 | -1,231 |
| Marketable securities and investment deposits | 2,105 | 3,178 | 2,105 | 3,178 | ||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,714 | 1,913 | 1,641 | 1,853 | 73 | റ്റോ | O | O |
| Total assets | 42,767 | 45,183 | 35,164 | 37,396 | 9,943 | 10,324 | -2,339 | -2,536 |
| Equity | 13,169 | 14,134 | 12,599 | 13,365 | 961 | 971 | -391 | -201 |
| Financial liabilities | 12,298 | 12,497 | 3,728 | 3,641 | 8,581 | 8,998 | -11 | -141 |
| Provisions for pensions and other post-employment benefits | 1,828 | 1,769 | 1,817 | 1,759 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Income tax payables | 117 | 278 | 103 | 265 | 20 | 13 | -2 | |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 767 | 787 | 721 | 733 | 60 | 63 | -15 | -9 |
| Income tax provisions | 128 | 51 | 123 | 47 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Other provisions | 2,280 | 2,094 | 2,277 | 2,092 | 3 | د | ||
| Other liabilities | 9,411 | 11,101 | 11,041 | 13,042 | 199 | 138 | -1,830 | -2,079 |
| Trade payables | 2,769 | 2,472 | 2,753 | 2,453 | 104 | 125 | -88 | -106 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 42,767 | 45,183 | 35,164 | 37,396 | 9,943 | 10,324 | -2,339 | -2,536 |

GROUP – ADJUSTMENTS
| Adjustments (€ million) | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPERATING RESULT | 727 | 1,512 | 1,513 | 1,884 | 81 |
| Expense for antitrust proceedings (Scania) | 403 | ||||
| Release of restructuring provisions at MAN T&B | -50 | ||||
| Expenses in relation to India market exit at MAN T&B | 137 | ||||
| Recognition and release of restructuring provisions at VWCO | 58 | -13 | |||
| Expenses in connection with the realignment of production facilities Scania V&S |
54 | ||||
| OPERATING RESULT (ADJUSTED) | 1,188 | 1,462 | 1,650 | 1,871 | 135 |
GROUP – SUMMARY OF EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT
| Actual 2020 | Forecast 2021 | |
|---|---|---|
| TRATON GROUP | ||
| Unit sales | 190,180 | sharp increase |
| Sales revenue (€ million) | 22,580 | substantial increase |
| Operating return on sales (in %) | 0.6 | 5.0-6.0 |
| Industrial Business | ||
| Sales revenue (€ million) | 22,156 | substantial increase |
| Operating return on sales (in %) | 0.1 | 4.5-5.5 |
| Return on investment (in %) | -0.1 | 6.5-7.5 |
| Cash conversion rate (in %)2 | n/a | 25-35 |
| Capex (€ million) | 992 | considerable increase |
| Primary research and development costs (€ million) |
1.165 | substantial increase |
| Financial Services | ||
| Sales revenue (€ million) | 820 | moderate increase |
| Operating return on sales (in %) | 13.1 | 13.5-17.5 |

INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS & FINANCIAL BUSINESS – AT A GLANCE
| 2020 | 2019 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Business | |||
| Sales revenue (€ million) | 22,156 | 26,444 | -16% |
| Operating result (€ million) | -26 | 1,741 | -1,768 |
| Operating result (adjusted) (€ million) | 28 | 1,729 | -1,701 |
| Operating return on sales (in %) | -0.1 | 6.6 | -6.7 pp |
| Operating return on sales (adjusted) (in %) | 0.1 | 6.5 | -6.4 pp |
| Return on investment (in %) | -0.1 | 9.7 | -9.8 pp |
| Adjusted EBITDA (€ million) | 1,300 | 3,022 | -57% |
| Primary R&D costs (€ million) | 1,165 | 1,376 | -15% |
| Capex (€ million) | 992 | das | 0% |
| Net cash flow (€ million) | 676 | 2,711 | –2,036 |
| Cash conversion rate (in %) | n/a | 179 | n/a |
| Net liquidity/net financial debt (€ million)2 | 27 | 1,500 | -1,473 |
| Financial Services | |||
| Sales revenue (€ million) | 820 | 849 | -3% |
| Operating result (€ million) | 107 | 142 | -35 |
| Net portfolio (€ million)2 | 9,520 | 9,936 | -416 |
TRATON SHARE

| ISIN (International Securities Identification Number) | DE000TRAT0N7 |
|---|---|
| WKN (German Security Identification number) | TRAT0N |
| Common code | 196390065 |
| Stock exchange | Frankfurt Stock Exchange (Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse) & Nasdaq Stockholm (börsen) |
| Market segment | Regulated market (Prime Standard) of Frankfurt Stock Exchange & Large Cap segment of Nasdaq Stockholm |
| Bloomberg ticker | 8TRA GY/8TRA SS |
| Reuters ticker | 8TRA.DE/8TRA.ST |
| Shares outstanding | 500.000.000 |
| Type of share | Bearer shares / common shares |
| Free Float | 10.28% |

CONTACTS INVESTOR RELATIONS

Rolf Woller Head of Treasury & Investor Relations
+49 89 360 98 335 [email protected]

Margit Hartmann Annual General Meeting, Events
+49 89 360 98 381 [email protected]

Marvin Kalberlah Analysts and Investors, Consensus
+49 89 360 98 334 [email protected]

Michael Lankes Annual General Meeting, Events
+49 89 360 98 328 [email protected]

Analysts and Investors, Rating, Debt Capital Markets +49 89 360 98 283 [email protected]
Philipp Lotz

Thomas Paschen Analysts and Investors, Private Investors
+49 89 360 98 474 [email protected]

Helga Würtele Nordic Analysts and Investors, Sustainability
+49 151 163 58 157 [email protected]
FINANCIAL CALENDAR (EXPECTED DATES1 )
| Event/Publication of | |
|---|---|
| March 22, 2021 | Annual Media Conference for fiscal year 2020 |
| May 10, 2021 | 3M 2021 Interim Statement |
| July 30, 2021 | 2021 Half-Year Financial Report |
| October 29, 2021 | 9M 2021 Interim Statement |



TRATON SE Dachauer Str. 641 80995 Munich www.traton.com http://ir.traton.com
WWW.TRATON.COM
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