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Terna — Investor Presentation 2025
Mar 25, 2025
4300_rns_2025-03-25_06611523-177e-4acf-83c4-bf9e1899b546.pdf
Investor Presentation
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| ed | emarket sdir scorage |
|---|---|
| CERTIFIED | |
Agenda
| Achievements 2024 | 2 |
|---|---|
| Scenario | 4 |
| 1 0 -year National Development Plan |
12 |
| Strategy | 15 |
| FY 2024 Results | 21 |
| 2024 – 2028 Group Financial Targets |
28 |
| Closing Remarks | 36 |
| Annexes | 38 |




2024 Key Indicators
up high-double digits
Terna reconfirmed as global
sustainability leader
Achievements 2024
Main highlights

A solid base for future growth





EU and Italian decarbonization targets for 2030


FOCUS ON ITALIAN RES

5

Source: National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) 2024 * 2024 provisional data
System towards Energy Transition: Terna's Role



Robust acceleration in RES installed capacity
RES capacity evolution
7

FER 2 Decree to enable the development of innovative RES FER X Decree to accelerate solar and onshore wind New supportive measures to achieve NECP Policy 2030
1. Source: National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) 2024
Supporting integration of intermittent Renewables through new utility-scale Storage
Current Storage Landscape and NECP 2030 Targets
8

Source: Terna's 10-years National Development Plan 2025

MACSE incentive mechanism will support growth of utility-scale Storage by accompanying development of Renewable capacity
Source: Scenarios Description Document (October 2024) developed jointly by Terna and Snam. 1. On top of the existing Hydro-pumping installed capacity.

Transition enables energy independence
Evolution of fixed/variable costs for the electricity system Dependence of the Italian electricity system on imported commodities from foreign countries*


Source: Terna Estimates Source: Terna Estimates *commodities include imported electricity
The development of the transmission network will contribute to energy independence, achieve decarbonization targets and enable greater stability of electricity bills for end users

Extreme weather events rapidly increasing due to climate change


Source: Legambiente - Bilancio Città Clima 2024
An adaptive grid infrastructure is crucial to address unprecedented challenges

Terna enables the transition and energy independence


10-year National Development Plan


10-year National Development Plan
Overview

Creating a safer and more efficient system

10-year National Development Plan
Main interzonal initiatives and interconnections with foreign countries

Developing the infrastructure of the future
14
GR.ITA.2 First pole: +500 MW by 2033
GR.ITA.2 Second pole: +500 MW by 2035 *The network scheme of the project is under further analysis with the TSO counterpart Swissgrid to identify the most suitable solutions to implement 1. Possibility of bringing forward the complete project within the 2025-2034 planning horizon is under evaluation.





Further increase in the five-year capex plan


16.6 billion euros allocated to the national electricity grid, a new historical record of regulated investments

Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding 1. Includes: Non-Regulated capex and capitalized financial charges
Planned investments continue at a faster pace in permitting, procurement, and execution

Projects covered at ~90% for authorizations and ~80% for procurement despite +1.1 billion euros of regulated capex compared to the previous plan

Non-Regulated Activities integrated into Terna's business model


Maximizing profitability leveraging fast growing markets

Digital Transformation scale-up



ESG commitments and ambitions




FY 2024 Key Numbers
| emarke sdir storage |
|---|
| CERTIFIED |
| FY 2024 | FY 2023 | ∆ vs FY 2023 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual €mn |
Guidance €bn |
Actual €mn |
||
| Revenues | 3,680 | 3.61 | 3,187 | +15% |
| EBITDA | 2,566 | 2.50 | 2,169 | +18% |
| Group Net Income1 | 1,062 | ~1.042 | 885 | +20% |
| Capex | 2,692 | 2.6 | 2,290 | +18% |
| Net Debt | 11,160 | 10,494 |
Double digit increase in all P&L lines. Guidance exceeded
Notes: 1. Attributable to Terna 2. Equivalent to old reported EPS guidance of 52 €/cents per share

Revenues

REGULATED NON-REGULATED & INTERNATIONAL

Growth driven by both Regulated and Non-Regulated activities
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding

EBITDA

Regulated Activities as EBITDA growth driver
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding

From EBITDA to Net Income

20% increase in Net Income
25
Note: figures may not add up due to rounding 1. Attributable to Terna

Capex

Strong Capex delivery to serve system needs
26
Note: figures may not add up due to rounding 1. Of which about 74 €mn of Capitalized Financial Charges in FY24 and 48 €mn in FY23


Cash Flow & Net Debt Evolution

Net debt evolution under control
Note: figures may not add up due to rounding
1. Including Other Fixed Assets Changes
2. Including Assets Held for Sale, Cash Flow Hedge reserve, Hybrid Green Bonds and other




Domestic Regulated Activities

9% RAB CAGR thanks to the acceleration of domestic regulated investments
Notes: 1. Gross of 0.1 €bn of EU Contributions 2. Gross of 1.1 €bn of EU Contributions 3. Gross of 1.0 €bn of EU Contributions 4. Updated 2021-2025 Plan in 2022 5. Calendar RAB including WIP. RAB inflation at 2.7% on average during the plan period * Includes the acquisition of the portion of Rome HV grid from Acea.

Domestic Regulated Activities

Highest regulated investment plan ever
Notes: Including EU contributions; figures may not add up due to rounding

Regulatory milestones

Start of ROSS Base
Towards ROSS model

Non-Regulated Activities


Guidance 2025 and 2028
| FY 2024 | FY 2025 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2028 | |||
| Actual €bn |
Guidance €bn |
Guidance €bn Plan 2024-2028 Plan 2024-2028 Update |
|
| 3.68 | 4.03 | 5.19 4.60 |
|
| 2.57 | 2.70 | 3.36 3.25 |
|
| 1.06 | 1.08 | 1.10 1.19 |
|
| 2.7 | 3.4 | 17.7 16.5 Cumulated 2024-2028 |
|
CAGR 23-28: EBITDA +9%, Net Income +6%
Notes: P&L values restated for International deconsolidation 1. Including Regulated, Non-Regulated, capitalized financial charges and EU contributions

Yield & Growth

Providing long-term visibility and stability

Financial Efficiency and Financial Structure
- Gross Debt @ ~84% Fix rate1,2
- Average duration of ~6 years2
- Strong commitment to maintain current rating level
- Average Cost of Net Debt 2024-2028 @ 3.1%
| CREDIT RATING | ESG RATING | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terna | Sovereign | Advance Moody's ESG |
|||
| Rating | Outlook | Rating | Outlook | Negligible risk Sustainalytics |
|
| S&P | BBB+ | Stable | BBB | Stable | S&P Global CSA 87/100 (Corporate Sustainability Assessment) score: |
| Moody's | Baa2 | Stable | Baa3 | Stable | CDP A (former Carbon Disclosure Project) |
| Prime ISS ESG |
Renewed commitment to maintain a solid financial structure
Notes: 1. As of FY2024 2. Calculated on medium-long term debt

Closing Remarks


Closing Remarks

Strengthening Terna's role in decarbonization and energy independence process, contributing to higher stability of electricity bills
- Focus on execution of our investment plan
Accelerating returns while maintaining financial stability
Ensuring a balanced mix of yield and growth
A Twin Transition for a Just Transition



2025 Total Grid Fee update1

Notes: 1) ARERA Resolutions and Terna's preliminary estimates, net of pass-through items

Consolidated Income Statement1
| € mn | FY24 | FY23 | Δmn | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | 3,680 | 3,187 | 494 | 15.5% |
| Regulated Activities | 3,096 | 2,670 | 426 | 16.0% |
| Transmission | 2,424 | 2,108 | 316 | 15.0% |
| Dispatching | 500 | 431 | 69 | 16.0% |
| Other² | 60 | 51 | 9 | 17.9% |
| IFRIC12 | 113 | 81 | 32 | 40.1% |
| Non Regulated and International Activities | 584 | 517 | 67 | 13.0% |
| Total Costs | 1,114 | 1,018 | 96 | 9.4% |
| Regulated Activities | 635 | 584 | 51 | 8.6% |
| Labour Costs | 295 | 285 | 10 | 3.5% |
| External Costs | 193 | 187 | 6 | 3.2% |
| Other² | 34 | 31 | 2 | 7.4% |
| IFRIC12 | 113 | 81 | 32 | 40.1% |
| Non Regulated Activities | 476 | 430 | 46 | 10.8% |
| International Activities | 3 | 4 | -1 | -27.5% |
| EBITDA | 2,566 | 2,169 | 398 | 18.3% |
| D&A | 889 | 806 | 83 | 10.3% |
| EBIT | 1,677 | 1,362 | 315 | 23.1% |
| Net Financial Charges | 172 | 118 | 54 | 45.7% |
| Pre Tax Profit | 1,506 | 1,245 | 261 | 21.0% |
| Taxes | 455 | 364 | 91 | 24.9% |
| Tax Rate (%) | 30.2% | 29.3% | - | 0.9 pp |
| Net Income | 1,051 | 880 | 171 | 19.4% |
| Profit/(Loss) From Discontinued Operations Net Financial Charges |
12 | 3 | 9 | -364.0% |
| Total Net Income | 1,063 | 883 | 180 | 20.4% |
| Minority Interest | 1 | -3 | 3 | -123.1% |
| Group Net Income | 1,062 | 885 | 177 | 19.9% |
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding; 1. Managerial Accounting


Consolidated Balance Sheet

| € mn | Dec. 31,2024 | Dec. 31,2023 | Δmn |
|---|---|---|---|
| PP&E | 19,237 | 17,597 | 1,640 |
| Intangible Asset | 982 | 867 | 115 |
| Financial Inv. and Other | 485 | 501 | -16 |
| Total Fixed Assets | 20,704 | 18,965 | 1,739 |
| Net WC | -2,025 | -2,175 | 149 |
| Funds | 10 | -33 | 43 |
| Net Capital Invested | 18,689 | 16,757 | 1,932 |
| Net Assets Held for Sale | 15 | 80 | -65 |
| Total Net Capital Invested | 18,704 | 16,838 | 1,867 |
| Financed by: | |||
| Consolidated Net Debt | 11,160 | 10,494 | 666 |
| Total Shareholder's Equity | 7,544 | 6,343 | 1,201 |
| Total | 18,704 | 16,838 | 1,867 |

Consolidated Cash Flow

| € mn | FY24 | FY23 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Net Income | 1,063 | 883 |
| D&A1 | 876 | 788 |
| Net Change in Funds | -43 | -35 |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1,896 | 1,636 |
| 2 Δ Working Capital & Other |
-73 | -536 |
| Cash Flow from Operating Activities | 1,823 | 1,100 |
| Capital Expenditures | -2,692 | -2,290 |
| Free Cash Flow to Equity | -870 | -1,190 |
| Net Assets Held for Sale | 65 | -19 |
| 3 Dividends & Equity |
138 | -709 |
| Change in Net Cash (Debt) | -666 | -1,918 |
Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding;
1. Net of assets' disposal
2. Including Other Fixed Assets Changes
3. Including Cash Flow Hedge accruals, Hybrid Green Bond and other

Disclaimer

THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY TERNA S.P.A. (THE "COMPANY") FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE DESCRIBED HEREIN. IN NO CASE MAY IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS SUBSIDIARIES.
THE CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT OR ANY MATERIAL DISCUSSED DURING THE PRESENTATION.
THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE CONFERENCE CALL MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANY'S BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES, PROJECTIONS AND PROJECTS, AND CANNOT BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE OF WHATSOEVER NATURE.
HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND ARE CURRENT ONLY AT THE DATE THEY ARE MADE. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANY'S ACTUAL RESULTS AND PROVISIONS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. SUCH FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: TRENDS IN COMPANY'S BUSINESS, ITS ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT COST-CUTTING PLANS, CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, DIFFERENT INTERPRETATION OF THE LAW AND REGULATION, ITS ABILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFY AND THE EXPECTED LEVEL OF FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. THEREFORE, YOU SHOULD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. TERNA DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO UPDATE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN TERNA'S EXPECTATIONS WITH REGARD THERETO OR ANY CHANGES IN EVENTS.
EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF THE PREPARATION OF ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS "FRANCESCO BECCALI" DECLARES, PURSUANT TO PARAGRAPH 2 OF ARTICLE 154-BIS OF THE CONSOLIDATED LAW ON FINANCE, THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, FOR WHAT CONCERNS THE ACTUAL FIGURES, CORRESPONDS TO THE DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS.

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