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Pirelli & C — Investor Presentation 2020
May 13, 2020
4052_ip_2020-05-13_90b6d455-2134-4af7-a6ce-6d9b3a3bba93.pdf
Investor Presentation
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1Q 2020 RESULTS
Milan, May 13th, 2020


DISCLAIMER
In General. This disclaimer applies to this document and any oral comments of any person presenting it. This document, taken together with any such oral comments, is referred to herein as the "Presentation". This document has been prepared by Pirelli & C. S.p.A. ("Pirelli" or the "Company" and, together with its subsidiaries the "Group"). The Presentation is being furnished to you for information purposes only and for use in presentations of the results and strategies of the Group.
No distribution of this Presentation. This Presentation is being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or redistributed to any other individual or legal entity. Forward-looking statement. "Forward-looking statements" (which expression shall include opinions, predictions or expectations about any future event) that may be contained in the Presentation are based on a variety of estimates and assumptions by the Group, including, among others, estimates of future operating results, the value of assets and market conditions. These estimates and assumptions are inherently uncertain and are subject to numerous business, industry, market, regulatory, geo-political, competitive and financial risks that are outside of the Group's control. There can be no assurance that the assumptions made in connection with the forward-looking statements will prove accurate, and actual results may differ materially. The inclusion of the forward-looking statements herein should not be regarded as an indication that the Group considers the forward-looking statements to be a reliable prediction of future events and the forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as such. Neither the Group nor any of its representatives has made or makes any representation to any person regarding the forward-looking statements and none of them intends to update or otherwise revise the forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances existing after the date when made or to reflect the occurrence of future events, even in the event that any or all of the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are later shown to be in error.
No update. The information and opinions in this Presentation is provided to you as of the dates indicated and the Group does not undertake to update the information contained in this Presentation and/or any opinions expressed relating thereto after its presentation, even in the event that the information becomes materially inaccurate, except as otherwise required by applicable laws.
Verbal explanation. This Presentation has to be accompanied by a verbal explanation. A simple reading of this Presentation without the appropriate verbal explanation could give rise to a partial or incorrect understanding.
No offer to purchase or sell securities. The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the "Other Countries"), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries.
Rounding. Due to rounding, numbers presented throughout this Presentation may not add up precisely to the totals provided and percentages may not precisely reflect the absolute figures.
The data contained in this presentation are preliminary in nature and refer to the date hereof and, therefore, may be subject to further variations. Please note that these preliminary data are subject to review by the independent auditors that still have to complete their necessary analysis in order to release their report. The 2019 final results will be approved by the Board of Directors scheduled on the 2 nd of March 2020 and will be disclosed to the market according to, and in the terms set for by, the applicable laws and regulations.
Neither the Company nor any member of the Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors, employees or agents accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.
Francesco Tanzi, the manager in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents, declares that, pursuant to art. 154-bis, paragraph 2, of the Legislative Decree no. 58 of February 24, 1998, the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records. ****
Non-IFRS and Other Performance Measures
This Presentation contains certain items as part of the financial disclosure which are not defined under IFRS. Accordingly, these items do not have standardized meanings and may not be directly comparable to similarly-titled items adopted by other entities.
Pirelli management has identified a number of "Alternative Performance Indicators" ("APIs"). These APIs (i) are derived from historical results of Pirelli & C. S.p.A. and are not intended to be indicative of future performance, (ii) are non-IFRS financial measures and, although derived from the Financial Statements, are unaudited and (iii) are not an alternative to financial measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. The APIs presented herein include EBIT, EBIT margin, EBITDA, EBITDA margin.
In addition, this Presentation includes certain measures that have been adjusted by us to present operating and financial performance net of any non-recurring events and non-core events. The adjusted indicators are EBITDA adjusted, EBITDA margin adjusted, EBITDA adjusted without start-up costs, EBITDA margin adjusted without start-up costs, EBIT adjusted, EBIT margin adjusted, EBIT adjusted without start-up costs, EBIT margin adjusted without start-up costs.
In order to facilitate the understanding of our financial position and financial performance, this Presentation contains other performance measures, such as CapEx (Capital Expenditures) or Investments in property, plant & equipment, Operating working capital related to continuing operations, Net Financial (liquidity) / debt Position, Net financial (liquidity)/debt position without IFRS 16, Operating net cash flow, Net cash flow and Net cash flow before dividends.
These measures are not indicative of our historical operating results, nor are they meant to be predictive of future results.
These measures are used by our management to monitor the underlying performance of our business and operations. Similarly entitled non-IFRS financial measures reported by other companies may not be calculated in an identical manner, consequently our measures may not be consistent with similar measures used by other companies. Therefore, investors should not place undue reliance on this data.


KEY MESSAGES

April 3 rd 2020 Outlook confirmed
- global car tyre demand down 20% YoY
- High Value resilience vs. Standard
- Pirelli volume trend (-19% on total car, -12.5% on ≥18")

Fully on track on "Competitiveness Program". A second program launched to offset Covid impact and protect profitability.
> Working on transforming Pirelli into a leaner and faster player ready for the new post-crisis scenario in late 2020


2020 OUTLOOK
MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
1Q 2020 FINANCIAL REVIEW
APPENDIX


APRIL 3RD 2020 OUTLOOK CONFIRMED: WEAK CAR TYRE DEMAND, H.V. RESILIENCE, PIRELLI VOLUMES TREND


1Q 2020 RESULTS Milan, May 13th, 2020 4

PIRELLI COMPETITIVENESS PROGRAM COUPLED WITH «COVID ACTIONS» TO PROTECT MARGIN, ALREADY DELIVERYING IN 1Q 2020

1Q 2020 RESULTS
Milan, May 13th, 2020 5
TRANSFORMING PIRELLI INTO A LEANER AND FASTER PLAYER
Markets will take 2 years to go back to 2019 level. We are therefore working to transform Pirelli.
A LEANER COMPANY THROUGH:

- Product Range Streamlining
- Organization Simplification
- Digitalization of Processes
- Adoption of new working methods
A FASTER COMPANY THROUGH:

- Direct Connection to Consumers and Customers
- Advanced Collaborative forecasting
- Enhanced Simulation application to New Product Introduction
- Reduction of plant throughput time


2020 TARGETS CONFIRMED
€ billion
| @ 3-Apr | @ 13-May | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 A | 2020 E | 2020 E | |
| Net Sales | 5.3 | Tot. Vol.: ~-18%÷-20% ~4.3 ÷ ~4.4 • High Value: ~-14% • Standard: ~-26% |
confirmed |
| adj. EBIT margin |
0.9 17.2% |
~14% ÷ ~15% |
confirmed |
| CapEx | 0.39 | ~0.13 | Confirmed |
| Net Cash Flow bef. Dividends | 0.33 | ~0.23 ÷ ~0.26 assuming no dividends |
confirmed |
| Net Financial Position (IFRS 16) | 3.5 | ~3.3 | confirmed |



2020 OUTLOOK
MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
1Q 2020 FINANCIAL REVIEW
APPENDIX

1Q 2020 MARKET SCENARIO HEAVILY IMPACTED BY COVID-19


VERY CHALLENGING OUTLOOK, TYRE MARKET DEMAND AT ~-40% IN 2Q

KEY TRENDS IN 2Q TYRE MARKET DEMAND
Channels
• OE: <-40% globally (Car production <-45% YoY) >
• Repl: slightly better than OE, heavily impacted by lock-down measures >
High Value Regions
- APac: cautious optimism in China (good April trends), but Japan and South East Asia to suffer >
- EU and N. America: facing the worst quarter of the year, with deep demand contraction especially in OE >
Standard Regions
- LatAm severely hit by lockdowns >
- Russia impacted also by Oil crisis and Ruble trend >
DEEP DIVE ON COMPETITIVENESS AND COVID ACTIONS

CONTAINING PRODUCTION SLOWDOWN COSTS
COST COMPETITIVENESS AND COVID ACTIONS

Actions to mitigate the costs of reduced level of Capacity Utilization
- > Adhesion to Social Safety Net
- Reduction of complexity cost inside plants to maximize efficiency thanks to modularity and product range simplification >
- > Faster mix rotation to privilege clients' service level
- > Faster allocation of standard volumes in low cost plants
- > Quick alignment of Raw material inflow to lowered needs
- > Acceleration in Digitalization processes within Plants


ACCELLERATING COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND INNOVATION
COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT
DESTOCKING 1Q
- Commercial policy aimed at maintaining low inventory levels with distribution partners (Mainly Europe & N. America)
- Ready for the restart of activities

CHINA EXPOSURE
- Leverage experience gained in China, where production and commercial activities are returning to normal
- China rebound supporting in next quarters given our exposure (~12% Group Sales in 2019)

TRADE
- Accelerating new clients activation in Europe and N. America
- In Germany widening client Portfolio and renewing Franchising distribution
O.E.
• Client base broadening confirmed in N. America and APAC
TECHNOLOGY-BASED INNOVATION

NEW PRODUCTS INTRODUCTION
• Anticipating Product Roadmap milestones to introduce New Lines in 4Q 2020 (N. America and Europe)


2020 TARGETS: OPERATIONAL DRIVERS
€ billion
| @ 3-Apr | @ 13-May | 2020 MAIN OPERATIONAL DRIVERS | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 A | 2020 E | 2020 E | 2020 E | ||
| Net Sales | 5.3 | ~4.3 ÷ ~4.4 |
confirmed | Volumes • o/w High Value |
~ -18% ÷ -20% ~ -14% |
| adj. EBIT margin |
0.9 17.2% |
~14% ÷ ~15% |
confirmed | • o/w Standard Price/mix |
~ -26% ~ +2% |
| CapEx | 0.39 | ~0.13 | confirmed | Forex | ~ -2% |
| Net Cash Flow bef. Dividends | 0.33 | ~0.23 ÷ ~0.26 assuming no div. |
confirmed | Efficiencies (net of inflation) Raw Mat. |
~ +€110m ~ +€15m |
| Net Financial Position (IFRS 16) | 3.5 | ~3.3 | confirmed | Cost Cutting (Covid Actions) Slowdown |
~ +€120m ~ -€90m |



1 2020 OUTLOOK
2 MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
3 1Q 2020 FINANCIAL REVIEW
4 APPENDIX


1Q 2020 NET SALES BRIDGE
€ million

• 1Q Price/Mix performance: >
- Price in line with 4Q'19 trend (O.E. re-negotiation and competitive dynamics on 18" non specialties)
- Mix impacted by both the temporary negative Channel mix (better O.E. trend) and Regional mix (lower sales in Europe, N.A. and APac vs. EM) and limited contribution from H.V. / Std. relative performance.
1Q 2020 ADJUSTED EBIT BRIDGE
€ million


1Q 2020 CASH FLOW AND NET FINANCIAL POSITION
€ million

Main working capital dynamics in 1Q'20
- ▬ Inventories: 22%1 on Sales (raw mat. and finished products increase, due to slowdown); ongoing actions to normalize this level through the year
- ▬ Trade receivables: 13%1 on Sales (16% in 1Q'19), almost stable in absolute value vs. 2019 year end
- ▬ Trade payables: 19%1 on Sales (22% in 1Q'19) due to the reductions of purchases and investments in line with the new outlook

CURRENT CAPITAL STRUCTURE (MARCH 2020)
€ million

Liquidity Margin covering maturities until 1Q'23, considering the extension option

1 2020 OUTLOOK
2 MARKET AND PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
3 1Q 2020 FINANCIAL REVIEW
4 APPENDIX


1Q 2020 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
| € million | 1Q'19 | 1Q'20 | Δ YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,314 | 1,052 | -20.0% |
| Organic Growth1 | -18.5% | ||
| High Value Revenues | 895 | 732 | -18.2% |
| % on total Revenues | 68.1% | 69.6% | +1.5 pp |
| EBITDA adjusted2 | 316 | 244 | -22.6% |
| Margin | 24.0% | 23.2% | -0.8 pp |
| EBIT adjusted3 | 219 | 141 | -35.6% |
| Margin | 16.7% | 13.4% | -3.3 pp |
| PPA amortization | -29 | -29 | |
| Non recurring & restructuring costs |
-7 | -24 | |
| EBIT | 183 | 88 | -51.7% |
| Margin | 13.9% | 8.4% | -5.5 pp |
| Results from Equity Investments | 2 | -5 | |
| Financial Income (Charges) |
-48 | -33 | |
| EBT | 137 | 51 | |
| Tax Rate | 26.0% | 24.0% | |
| Net Income | 101 | 38 | |

1Q 2020 PIRELLI BALANCE SHEET
| € million | 31-March-2019 | 31-Dec-2019 | 31-March-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed assets related to continuing operations (before IFRS 16) | 9,070 | 9,007 | 8,724 |
| Right of use IFRS 16 | 472 | 463 | 451 |
| Fixed assets related to continuing operations (incl. IFRS 16) | 9,542 | 9,470 | 9,175 |
| Inventories | 1,166 | 1,094 | 1,137 |
| Trade receivables |
858 | 649 | 659 |
| Trade payables | (1,143) | (1,612) | (961) |
| Operating net working capital related to continuing operations |
881 | 132 | 835 |
| Other receivables / payables |
74 | 81 | 163 |
| Net Working Capital related to continuing operations | 955 | 213 | 998 |
| Net invested capital held for sale | 1 | - | - |
| Total net invested capital | 10,498 | 9,683 | 10,173 |
| Equity | 4,688 | 4,827 | 4,590 |
| Provisions | 1,423 | 1,349 | 1,322 |
| Net Financial Position (excl. IFRS 16) |
3,913 | 3,024 | 3,787 |
| Lease Obligations (IFRS 16) | 474 | 483 | 474 |
| Net Financial Position (incl. IFRS 16) |
4,387 | 3,507 | 4,261 |
| Total financing and shareholders' equity | 10,498 | 9,683 | 10,173 |

1Q 2020 PIRELLI GROUP CASH FLOW
€ million
| 1Q'19 | 1Q '20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBIT1 | 219 | 141 |
| Depreciation & Amortization (excl. PPA amortization) |
97 | 103 |
| Capital expenditures | (78) | (57) |
| Rights of use (IFRS 16) | (3) | (23) |
| Change in working capital / other |
(836) | (861) |
| Operating Cash Flow |
(602) | (697) |
| Financial income / (expenses) | (48) | (33) |
| Taxes paid | (30) | (31) |
| Cash-out for non recurring items and restructuring costs |
(16) | (21) |
| Exchange rates difference / other | - | 28 |
| Net cash flow before dividends & extraordinary operations |
(696) | (754) |
| Financial asset disposals / (acquisitions) |
(17) | - |
| Net cash flow before dividends | (713) | (754) |
| Dividends paid | - | - |
| Net cash flow | (713) | (754) |

2020 E RAW MATERIAL GUIDANCE
€ million

2020 E FOREX GUIDANCE
Breakdown FY 2019 A based on currency 18% USD 37% EUR 13% other 3% RUB 6% GBP 11% BRL 12% CNY MAIN AVERAGE EXCHANGE RATES 2019 A 2020 E ∆ YoY EUR / USD 1.12 1.10 -6.9% USD / BRL 3.95 5.08 +38.9% EUR / GBP 0.88 0.89 +0.7% EUR / RUB 72.4 79.3 +7.3% USD / CNY 6.9 7.03 +6.2% TOT. IMPACT ON SALES ∆ YoY vs. EUR +29.3% -1.0% -6.9% +7.3% +0.7% ~-2% 2020 E 4.07 7.05 1.12 73.0 0.90 ~-2% € million May-20 guid. Feb-20 guid. / / / / /

KEY CAR MARKET TRENDS: EUROPE

Milan, May 13th, 2020 26 Source: Pirelli tyre market estimates based on main data provider for the Region; historical market data may be subject to restatement

KEY CAR MARKET TRENDS: NORTH AMERICA


KEY CAR MARKET TRENDS: ASIA PACIFIC


KEY MARKET TRENDS: RUSSIA & NORDICS / SOUTH AMERICA


RAW MATERIAL COSTS TREND AND MIX
Main raw materials price trend


1Q 2020 mix (based on purchasing cost)


MANUFACTURING FOOTPRINT AS OF MARCH 31ST, 2020




