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Pirelli & C — Investor Presentation 2015
May 13, 2015
4052_ip_2015-05-13_a243c086-dced-45fb-ac0a-7d5657bca1e3.pdf
Investor Presentation
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PIRELLI 1Q 2015 RESULTS
MILANO – MAY 13, 2015
AGENDA
KEY MESSAGES
> A solid 1Q 2015 with Premium outperformance despite market trends
- - Slow start of the year in European and North American markets
- - Truck and Non-Premium tyre markets show no signs of recovery in South America and Russia
-
> Best price/mix in the industry : +3.7% in 1Q 2015 vs. negative peers average
-
> FY 2015 targets confirmed based on our focused business model and regional volatility management
- Faster growth in APac and NAFTA offsetting the market weakness in South America and Russia
AGENDA
KEY MESSAGES
1Q 2015 RESULTS
2015 OUTLOOK & TARGETS
1Q 15 TYRE OVERVIEW
APPENDIX
PIRELLI KEY FINANCIAL RESULTS
| 1Q '14 | 1Q 15 | Δ YOY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,473.2 | 1,568.4 | +6.5% | • Premium outperformance (+10% Pirelli volume vs. +6% of the Premium market) delivers sound revenue |
| Organic Growth* | +2.4% | growth and price/mix improvement | ||
| EBITDA before Restr. Costs |
277.3 | 291.9 | +5.3% | • Non-premium and Industrial business impacted by the negative market trend in South America and Russia |
| Margin | 18.8% | 18.6% | -0.2 p.p. | • Supportive FX (strong USD and GBP) |
| EBIT before Restr. Costs |
206.7 | 213.4 | +3.2% | |
| Margin | 14.0% | 13.6% | -0.4 p.p. | • Ebit improvement on the back of operating levers quality, efficiency gains and lower raw mats |
| Restructuring Costs | (5.7) | (3.3) | • Stable margin overall: growth in Consumer balances |
|
| EBIT | 201.0 | 210.1 | +4.5% | impact of market weakness and lower utilization rate in |
| Margin | 13.6% | 13.4% | -0.2 p.p. | the Industrial business |
| Results from Equity Investments | (13.8) | (2.5) | ||
| Financial Income / (Charges) | (43.3) | (52.1) | • Slightly higher financial charges discount Bolivar |
|
| PBT | 143.9 | 155.5 | impact on trade receivables, in line with guidance, and interest rate increase in Russia |
|
| Tax Rate | 37.2% | 34.8% | • Tax rate in line with FY guidance |
|
| Net income before discontinued operations | 90.4 | 101.4 | +12.2% | • Double-digit increase in Net Income before |
| Discontinued operations | 1.1 | (16.8) | discontinued operations | |
| Net Income | 91.5 | 84.6 | • Discontinued Operations: one-off impact due to FX losses related to the Turkish Steelcord activities*** |
|
| Attributable Net Income | 89.7 | 82.0 | ||
| Investments** | 65.3 | 85.6 | • Net Debt trend in line with seasonality of the net |
|
| Net Debt | 1965.6 | 1,732.9 | working capital to be reversed in the following quarters | |
* Excluding exchange rate effects
** Tangible and Intangible investments
*** These losses, recorded in previous financial years, were already booked in the net equity and reclassified in the 1Q '15 profit & loss statement following the disposal of the Turkish company in Feb. '15
1Q 2015 PERFORMANCE BY REGION
* Excluding exchange rate effects
PREMIUM PERFORMANCE BY REGION
* Excluding exchange rate effects
PIRELLI NET INCOME 1Q 2015 VS 1Q 2014
PIRELLI DEBT STRUCTURE AS OF MARCH 31, 2015
Gross Debt Maturity
Liquidity Profile
| Liquidity Margin | 1,689.8 |
|---|---|
| Total committed lines not drawn due 2015 |
883.3 |
| Liquidity position | 806.5 |
| €/Mln |
Debt Profile
- ~ 48% of the debt maturity beyond 2016
- Cost of debt 6.17% as of March 31, 2015
- Gross debt profile ~75% Fixed and ~25% Floating
- Average debt maturity: ~ 2.6 years
PIRELLI 1Q 2015 NET FINANCIAL POSITION
Strong cash generation expected in the following quarters, in line with our track record and seasonality of the business
* Tangible and intangible investments
AGENDA
KEY MESSAGES
1Q 2015 RESULTS
2015 OUTLOOK & TARGETS
1Q 2015 TYRE OVERVIEW
APPENDIX
2015 REGIONAL TARGETS
| Tyre Market ( | yoy) | 2015 Pirelli Tyre Business Target | What has changed vs. the previous guidance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | EBIT Margin** | |||
| c a P A |
Car ≥+4% o/w Premium > +10% Truck* > +1% |
= Mid-teen organic = growth (>20% in €) = |
Twenties increasing YOY |
• Faster growth in Super Premium |
| A T F A N |
Car ~ -2% (lower imports) o/w Premium >+5% Truck* > +2% |
Mid single-digit organic growth = (>20% in €) |
= High-teens increasing YOY |
• Supportive ForEx and mix improvement |
| AI E M |
Car ~ +5% o/w Premium ~+7% Truck* > +2% |
High single-digit organic growth = (high teens in €) |
High-teens = stable YOY |
• Better than expected growth in both Consumer and Industrial |
| E P O R U E |
Car ~ +2% o/w Premium ~ +10% Truck* ~ +1% |
Mid single-digit organic growth |
= = Mid-teens stable YOY |
• Super Premium growth compensating for a slow start of Truck market |
| M A T A L |
Car OE ~ -10%, Repl. ~+1% o/w Premium ~ +15% Truck* OE -16%, Repl. flat |
Mid single-digit = organic growth (~ flat in €) |
Low-teens stable YOY |
• Market weakness in non-Premium and OE, unchanged focus on value |
| A SI S U R |
Car ~ -15% o/w Premium ~ -19% Truck* ~ -6% |
Mid single-digit organic growth (high teen decline in €) |
= High single-digit increasing YOY |
• Coping with market contraction by focusing on mix and higher exports |
| TOTAL | Car ~ +1% o/w Premium +7% Truck* ~ +1% |
= | ||
| = | vs previous guidance |
* All steel only | ** Before Restructuring Costs |
FY 2015 GUIDANCE
| 2015 targets February 2015 |
2015 targets May 2015 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | ~ 6.4 € bln |
confirmed | (yearly | 2015 FX Guidance avg) |
|
| • Volumes |
≥ +3% | ~+2% | Old | New | |
| - o/w Premium |
≥+10% | confirmed | EUR/USD | 1.22 | 1.10 |
| • Price/mix |
≥ +4% | ~+4% | EUR/RUB | 65.0 | confirmed |
| • Foreign Exchange |
~ -1% | ~+1% | USD/BRL | 2.65 | 3.0 |
| USD/VEF | 20 | confirmed | |||
| Total revenues growth | ~ +6%/+6.5% | ~ +6.5%/+7% | USD/ARS | 11.5 | confirmed |
| EBIT post restructuring | ~ 930 € mln |
confirmed | |||
| • Non-recurring expenses |
~40 | confirmed | |||
| 2015 EBIT risk of 30€/mln in Venezuela and volumes -10/-15% YoY in Argentina |
should Venezuela and Argentina scenarios further deteriorate, with utilization rate down to 30% |
confirmed | |||
| Capex | < 400 € mln |
confirmed | |||
| Net cash flow before dividends and Steelcord disposal |
≥ 300 € mln |
confirmed | |||
| Net Financial Position | ~850 € mln |
2015 CONSUMER & INDUSTRIAL GUIDANCE
| Industrial Business | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2015 targets February 2015 |
2015 Targets May 2015 |
|
| Revenues | ~1.5 € bln |
~1.4 € bln |
| • Volumes |
+4.5%/5% | ~+1% |
| • Price/mix |
~ +4.5% | >+2.5% |
| • Forex |
~ -2% | confirmed |
| Total | +7%/+7.5% | ~+1.5% |
| EBIT margin before non-recurring items |
~12% | ~11% |
AGENDA
1Q 2015 RESULTS
2015 OUTLOOK & TARGETS
1Q 2015 TYRE OVERVIEW
APPENDIX
KEY TYRE RESULTS
| 1Q'14 | ∆ % | 1Q'15 | ∆ % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,469.5 | -2.4% | 1,565.3 | +6.5% |
| o/w Premium |
639.9 | +12.9% | 726.9 | +13.6% |
| EBITDA before restr. costs |
280.3 | +8.7% | 293.5 | +4.7% |
| Margin | 19.1% | +2.0 p.p. | 18.8% | -0.3 p.p. |
| EBIT before restr. costs | 210.3 | +12.2% | 215.3 | +2.4% |
| Margin | 14.3% | +1.8 p.p. | 13.8% | -0.5 p.p. |
| EBIT | 204.9 | +11.2% | 213.3 | +4.1% |
| Margin | 13.9% | +1.7 p.p. | 13.6% | -0.3 p.p. |
| Revenue drivers | 1Q'14 | 2Q'14 | 3Q'14 | 4Q'14 | FY'14 | 1Q'15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ∆ Price/Mix | +4.6% | +6.0% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +4.2% | +3.7% |
| ∆ Volumes | +3.8% | -0.2% | +3.1% | +1.6% | +2.0% | -1.3% |
| o/w Premium | +22.2% | +20.9% | +17.3% | +10.7% | +17.8% | +10.0% |
| ∆ Revenues (before exchange rate impact) |
+8.4% | +5.8% | +6.4% | +4.4% | +6.2% | +2.4% |
| ∆ Exchange Rate | -10.8% | -9.4% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -6.6% | +4.1% |
PIRELLI TYRE OPERATING PERFORMANCE
€/Mln
CONSUMER BUSINESS: PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
€/Mln
| 1Q'14 | ∆ % | 1Q'15 | ∆ % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 1,128.7 | +1.1% | 1,237.4 | +9.6% |
| o/w Premium | 639.9 | +12.9% | 726.9 | +13.6% |
| % revenues | 56.7% | +5.9 p.p. | 58.7% | +2.0 p.p. |
| EBITDA before restr. costs |
219.4 | +12.6% | 246.3 | +12.3% |
| Margin | 19.4% | +2.0 p.p. | 19.9% | +0.5 p.p. |
| EBIT before restr. costs | 162.7 | +17.9% | 182.0 | +11.9% |
| Margin | 14.4% | +2.0 p.p. | 14.7% | +0.3 p.p. |
| EBIT | 158.8 | +16.8% | 180.4 | +13.6% |
| Margin | 14.1% | +1.9 p.p. | 14.6% | +0.5 p.p. |
| Revenue drivers | 1Q'14 | 2Q'14 | 3Q'14 | 4Q'14 | FY'14 | 1Q'15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ∆ Price/Mix | +4.4% | +5.8% | +3.1% | +2.5% | +3.9% | +4.7% |
| ∆ Volumes | +5.9% | +4.3% | +5.3% | +4.5% | +5.0% | +0.4% |
| o/w Premium | +22.2% | +20.9% | +17.3% | +10.7% | +17.8% | +10.0% |
| ∆ Revenues (before exchange rate impact) |
+10.3% | +10.1% | +8.4% | +7.0% | +8.9% | +5.1% |
| ∆ Exchange Rate | -9.2% | -8.3% | -3.5% | -3.0% | -6.0% | +4.5% |
INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS: PIRELLI PERFORMANCE
€/Mln
| 1Q'14 | ∆ % | 1Q'15 | ∆ % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 340.8 | -12.2% | 327.9 | -3.8% |
| EBITDA before restr. costs |
60.9 | -3.3% | 47.2 | -22.5% |
| Margin | 17.9% | +1.7 p.p. | 14.4% | -3.5 p.p. |
| EBIT before restr. costs | 47.6 | -3.8% | 33.3 | -30.0% |
| Margin | 14.0% | +1.3 p.p. | 10.2% | -3.8 p.p. |
| EBIT | 46.1 | -4.6% | 32.9 | -28.6% |
| Margin | 13.5% | +1.1 p.p. | 10.0% | -3.5 p.p. |
-2.7pp vs. 1Q 2014 excl. Steelcord business
| Revenue drivers | 1Q'14 | 2Q'14 | 3Q'14 | 4Q'14 | FY'14 | 1Q'15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ∆ Price/Mix | +5.4% | +6.5% | +4.0% | +3.9% | +5.0% | -0.1% |
| ∆ Volumes | -2.2% | -12.2% | -3.6% | -7.3% | -6.5% | -6.7% |
| ∆ Revenues (before exchange rate impact) |
+3.2% | -5.7% | +0.4% | -3.4% | -1.5% | -6.8% |
| ∆ Exchange Rate | -15.4% | -12.4% | -1.8% | -3.3% | -8.0% | +3.0% |
2015 PROFITABILITY GUIDANCE
| Driver | 2015 targets February 2015 Impact |
2015 targets May 2015 Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Volumes | ≥3% of sales | +2% of sales |
| Price/Mix | ≥+4% of sales | ~+4% of sales |
| Forex | -1% of sales | +1% of sales |
| Δ YoY on EBIT |
Δ YoY on EBIT |
|
|---|---|---|
| Efficiencies | ~+90 €/mln | confirmed |
| Raw Materials | +6 €/mln | +30 €/mln |
| Other Input Costs | ~ -135 €/mln | confirmed |
| D&A, Other Costs | -80 €/mln | -90€/mln including 10 €/mln of cost of Industrial BU separation |
| Minor businesses | ~ YoY slightly positive (FY15E EBIT: < -10 €/mln ) |
confirmed |
| Restructuring costs | -10 €/mln | confirmed |
| Ebit | 930 €/mln | Confirmed |
2015 RAW MATERIAL GUIDANCE
Raw material breakdown 1Q 2015
AGENDA
KEY MESSAGES
1Q 2015 RESULTS
2015 OUTLOOK & TARGETS
1Q 2015 TYRE OVERVIEW
APPENDIX
PIRELLI GROUP – 1Q 2015 RESULTS
Profit & Loss Statement and Net Financial Position by Business Unit
| Pirelli tyre |
Other | Pirelli | & C. Cons. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Q'14 | 1Q'15 | 1Q'14 | 1Q'15 | 1Q'14 | 1Q'15 | |
| SALES | 1,469.5 | 1,565.3 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 1,473.2 | 1,568.4 |
| EBITDA before Restr. Costs |
280.3 | 293.5 | (3.0) | (1.6) | 277.3 | 291.9 |
| % of sales | 19.1% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 18.6% | ||
| EBIT before Restr. Costs |
210.3 | 215.3 | (3.6) | (1.9) | 206.7 | 213.4 |
| % of sales | 14.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.6% | ||
| Restructuring Costs | (5.4) | (2.0) | (0.3) | (1.3) | (5.7) | (3.3) |
| EBIT | 204.9 | 213.3 | (3.9) | (3.2) | 201.0 | 210.1 |
| % of sales | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | ||
| Results from equity participations |
(13.8) | (2.5) | ||||
| Financial income/charges | (43.3) | (52.1) | ||||
| EBT | 143.9 | 155.5 | ||||
| Fiscal Charges | (53.5) | (54.1) | ||||
| Net income before discontinued operations |
90.4 | 101.4 | ||||
| Discontinued operations | 1.1 | 16.8 | ||||
| Net Income | 91.5 | 84.6 | ||||
| Attributable Net Income |
89.7 | 82.0 | ||||
| Net Financial Position | 1,965.6 | 1,732.9 |
PIRELLI GROUP – 2014 QUARTERLY RESULTS
| Q1'14 | Q2'14 | Q3'14 | Q4'14 | FY'14 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyre | Group | Tyre | Group | Tyre | Group | Tyre | Group | Tyre | Group | |
| SALES | 1,469.5 | 1,473.2 | 1,511.3 | 1,513.7 | 1,539.2 | 1,541.8 | 1,487.5 | 1,489.4 | 6,007.5 | 6,018.1 |
| EBITDA before Restr. Costs |
280.3 | 277.3 | 308.7 | 305.5 | 287.2 | 284.9 | 300.7 | 300.3 | 1,176.9 | 1,168.0 |
| % of sales | 19.1% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 19.4% |
| EBIT before Restr. Costs |
210.3 | 206.7 | 236.1 | 232.2 | 211.7 | 208.9 | 222.3 | 221.4 | 880.4 | 869.2 |
| % of sales | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
| Restructuring Costs | (5.4) | (5.7) | (7.0) | (7.0) | (5.4) | (5.4) | (10.0) | (13.2) | (27.8) | (31.3) |
| EBIT | 204.9 | 201.0 | 229.1 | 225.2 | 206.3 | 203.5 | 212.3 | 208.2 | 852.6 | 837.9 |
| % of sales | 13.9% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
| Results from equity partecipations |
(13.8) | (13.4) | (5.1) | (54.7) | (87.0) | |||||
| Financial Income / (Charges) | (43.3) | (48.8) | (43.6) | (126.7) | (262.4) | |||||
| EBT | 143.9 | 163.0 | 154.8 | 26.8 | 488.5 | |||||
| Fiscal Charges | (53.5) | (61.3) | (49.5) | (9.0) | (173.3) | |||||
| Net Income before discontinued operations |
90.4 | 101.7 | 105.3 | 47.8 | 350.4 | |||||
| Discontinued Operations | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 15.0 | 17.6 | |||||
| Net Income | 91.5 | 102.3 | 106.2 | 32.8 | 332.8 | |||||
| Attributable Net Income | 89.7 | 99.4 | 101.4 | 28.8 | 319.3 | |||||
| Net Financial Position |
1,965.6 | 1,935.2 | 2,003.9 | 979.6 | 979.6 |
PIRELLI GROUP CASH FLOW
| €/Mln | 1Q'14 | 2Q'14 | 3Q'14 | 4Q'14 | FY '14 | 1Q'15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT before restructuring costs | 206.7 | 232.2 | 208.9 | 221.4 | 869.2 | 213.4 |
| Depreciation / Amortization | 70.6 | 73.3 | 76.0 | 78.9 | 298.8 | 78.5 |
| Net investments | (65.3) | (78.3) | (101.1) | (133.4) | (378.1) | (85.6) |
| Working capital / other variations | (686.6) | 77.4 | (155.0) | 714.6 | (49.6) | (895.2) |
| OPERATING CASH FLOW | (474.6) | 304.6 | 28.8 | 881.5 | 740.3 | (688.9) |
| Financial income / (expenses) |
(43.3) | (48.8) | (43.6) | (126.7) | (262.4) | (52.1) |
| Taxes | (53.5) | (61.3) | (49.5) | (9.0) | (173.3) | (54.2) |
| NET OPERATING CASH FLOW | (571.4) | 194.5 | (64.3) | 745.8 | 304.6 | (795.1) |
| Financial investments/divestments | (3.7) | 2.8 | (12.1) | (6.4) | (19.4) | (14.4) |
| Other dividends paid | (0.5) | (2.9) | - | - | (3.4) | (7.6) |
| Cash-out for restructuring | (12.9) | (5.9) | (8.0) | (4.3) | (31.1) | (6.4) |
| Deval. Venezuela incl. in financial charges |
- | - | - | 72.1 | 72.1 | - |
| Deferred tax assets incl. in fiscal charges |
- | - | - | (30.2) | (30.2) | - |
| Net cash flow from discontinued operations | (8.7) | 10.5 | 2.5 | (4.3) | - | - |
| Exchange rate differentials / others | (46.0) | (11.9) | 13.2 | 63.7 | 19.0 | 45.8 |
| Dividends paid | - | (156.7) | - | - | (156.7) | - |
| Impact on NFP Steelcord units disposal | - | - | - | 187.9 | 187.9 | 24.4 |
| NET CASH FLOW | (643.2) | 30.4 | (68.7) | 1,024.3 | 342.8 | (753.3) |
PIRELLI BALANCE SHEET
| €/Mln | FY'14 | 1Q'15 |
|---|---|---|
| FIXED ASSETS | 3,874.0 | 4,055.3 |
| Inventories | 1,055.0 | 1,142.5 |
| Trade receivables |
673.8 | 1,063.7 |
| Trade payables | (1,394.4) | (1,072.4) |
| NET OPERATING WORKING CAPITAL |
334.4 | 1,133.8 |
| Other payables/receivables | 33.9 | 111.5 |
| Net Working Capital | 368.3 | 1,245.3 |
| Net Invested Capital held for sale |
30.8 | - |
| NET INVESTED CAPITAL | 4,273.1 | 5,300.6 |
| Total Net Equity | 2,611.5 | 2,877.1 |
| Provisions | 682.0 | 690.6 |
| Net Financial Position | 979.6 | 1,732.9 |
| TOTAL | 4,273.1 | 5,300.6 |
| Attributable Net Equity |
2,548.3 | 2,811.4 |
| Equity per Share (euro) | 5.22 | 5.76 |
CONSUMER BUSINESS: KEY MARKET TRENDS
1Q 2015 RESULTS 26
INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS: KEY MARKET TRENDS
* Turkey included and Russia excluded
** Non-pool members' imports not included
1Q 2015 PIRELLI TYRE MIX
1Q 2015 RESULTS 28
MARCH 2015 PIRELLI PEOPLE
PIRELLI PLANTS IN THE WORLD
RAW MATERIALS
Raw Material Price Trend
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
1Q 2015 Mix (Based on Purchasing Cost)
1Q 2015 RESULTS 31
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements based on Pirelli & C SpA's current expectations and projections about future events and does not constitute an offer or solicitation for the sale, purchase or acquisition of securities of any of the companies mentioned and is directed to professionals of the financial community.
These statements appear in a number of places in this presentation and include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of the customer base, estimates regarding future growth in the different business lines and the global business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the Company.
Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these forward looking statements as a result of various factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Pirelli & C SpA to control or estimate precisely. Consequently it is recommended that they be viewed as indicative only.
Analysts are cautioned not to place undue reliance on those forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.
Pirelli & C. SpA undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to these forward looking statements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation, changes in Pirelli & C. SpA business or acquisition strategy or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Statement
\
The Manager mandated to draft corporate accounting documents of Pirelli & C. SpA. Francesco Tanzi, attests – as per art.154-bis. comma 2 of the Testo Unico della Finanza (D.Lgs. 58/1998) – that all the accounting information contained in this presentation correspond to the documented results, books and accounting of the Company.