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Iren Investor Presentation 2021

Mar 25, 2021

4243_10-k_2021-03-25_d666d01e-8bd0-4cdd-a83c-788af935d621.pdf

Investor Presentation

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IREN RESULTS

FY 2020

25th March 2021

2014 -2020 Economic and Financial growth

EBITDA BRIDGE (m€)

NFP/EBITDA (m€)

DPS (€c/share)

2

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING

FY 2020 Sustainability path

CIRCULAR ECONOMY WATER SOURCES DECARBONIZATION RESILIENT CITIES PEOPLE
Acquisition
and
creation
of
new

recovery
plants
Extension
of
door-to-door

collection
system

JustIren
for
digitalization
and
efficiency
improvement
Division
of
the
networks
into

small
and
equal
areas
(districts)
Efficiency
improvement
of
water

treatment
plants
Increase
in
thermal
and

electricity
storage
Energy
efficiency
projects:
Smart

Solutions
Extension
of
district
heating

networks
Smart
metering


Eco-mobility

Distributed
photovoltaic
generation
Competence
enhancement
and

reskilling
New
working
modes
supported

by
digitalization

Diversity
enhancement

People
care
Waste recovered in our plants (t) Water network leaks Power generation carbon intensity
(tCO2/GWh)
District heated volumes Training hours per capita
Sorted waste collection Wastewater plants capacity Energy savings Eco-vehicles on total fleet Women in executive & managerial roles
3
PAST
ESG
ACHIEVEMENT
EBITDA
NETWORKS
WASTE
ENERGY
MARKET
CASHFLOW &
P&L
FINANCIALS
NFP
CLOSING
ANNEXES
REMARKS

FY 2020 A year of growth despite the pandemic

m€ FY '19 FY '20 Δ Δ%
Revenues 4,275 3,725 -550 -12.8%
Ebitda 917 927 10 1.1%
Ebit 452 416 -36 -8.0%
Group net profit 236 235 -1 -0.4%
Tech. Capex 524 685 161 30.7%
  • Revenues -12.8%: decrease mainly in the energy value chain caused by lower volumes and prices and strategic choices in market BU
  • Ebitda +1.1%: Positive results leveraging on clients' portfolio margins normalization, organic growth and consolidation despite a difficult scenario affected by Covid for 15 m€ and a negative impact from regulation of 10m€.
  • Ebit -8.0%: higher depreciations and provisions to bad debt due to the emergency partially offset by a release of a provision fund for 19m€
  • Group net profit -0.4%: reduction in the cost of debt and a temporary lower tax rate
  • Tech. Capex +30.7%: strong capex plan following business plan assumptions.

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

Organic growth & synergies exceed negative regulation NETWORKS

    • Organic growth through an increased RAB led a rise of Ebitda of 16m€
    • Positive impact of 10m€ from synergies
    • Investments are in line with last year despite Covid emergency
    • Strong acceleration in the activities of districtization, reaching 56% of the network
  • Negative impact of 10m€ from regulation due to lower costs recognized in tariffs, mainly in water and gas sector

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

WASTE Ebitda up thanks to organic growth & consolidation

    • I.Blu and Unieco positive contribution for 11m€
    • Saturation of WTE plants, through the reorganization of flows
    • Increase in waste managed (+9%) compared to FY 2019
  • Reduction of the contribution from landfill of 6m€, led by Covid emergency
  • Lower PUN price affected the electricity sold for 6m€

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

ENERGY Reduction for opportunistic choice in hydro & lower heat margins

    • Positive ancillary services (81m€ vs 71m€ in 2019)
    • Increase of DH volumes now at 96.7mcm
    • Contribution of energy efficiency projects
  • Lower hydro volumes due to an opportunistic management (~90GWh & related GC shift to '21)
  • Drop in PUN achieved (-18%), in electricity clean spark spread (-17%) and in heat spark spread (-8%)
  • Lower heat volumes for mild temperatures

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

7

MARKET Margins' stabilization and volatile scenario led the growth

    • Margins normalization thanks to the recovery of negative '19 scenario and commercial policy
    • 14m€ of extra return due to commodities price volatility
    • Customer base at 1.877m clients of which 23k national clients
  • Lower electricity volumes mainly in SMEs and Business segment, primarily for Covid impact
  • Lower gas volumes to end clients due to the mild climate
  • Structural emerging costs related to our CRM systems and marketing activities

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

FY '19* FY '20 Δ Δ%
EBITDA 917.3 927.3 10.0 1.1%
Depreciation -403.6 -440.9
Provisions to bad debt -37.2 -61.7
Other provisions and write-downs -24.6 -8.9
EBIT 451.9 415.8 -36.1 -8.0%
Financial charges -61.9 -68.5
Companies cons with e.m. 5.0 4.6
Other financial -18.0 13.3
EBT 377.0 365.2 -11.8 -3.1%
Taxes -111.5 -100.1
Minorities -29.1 -29.8
Group net profit 236.4 235.3 -1.1 -0.4%
  • Higher depreciation led by capital intensive investments and consolidation
  • Release of Hydroelectric provision funds for 19m€
  • Higher provisions to bad debt related to COVID emergency for 25 million euros
  • Lower cost of debt counterbalance by higher debt amount and a reduction in interest income
  • Capital gain on the disposal of equity investments and lower liability management costs

Temporary reduction of tax-rate, at 27.4%

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

Cash-flow and NFP FY 2020

  • The cash flow generation partially offsets the growing investments
  • The consolidation activities of I.Blu, Sei, NOS and Unieco led to higher debt
  • NWC optimization led by reduction of tax receivables
  • The third tranche of SBB program started in 4Q

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

  • 96% of gross debt at fixed interest rate and 4% of gross debt at variable interest rate
  • Average long-term debt duration of about 6.1 years vs 5.8 years in FY 2019
  • Reduction in the average cost of debt (2.1% vs. 2.4% in FY 2019)
  • 59% of the Iren total debt is composed of green and

assimilated instruments (45% Green Bond, 14% EIB loans)

  • On 10th December Iren issued its fourth Green Bond of 300m€
  • Iren is the only Italian local multiutility to have issued 4 Green Bonds for a total size of 1.8b€

MAIN FY 2020 TAKEAWAYS

  • Ebitda increase despite pandemic and several positive one-offs reported last year
  • Negative Covid impact on Ebitda: 15m€
  • M&A activism confirmed
  • Investment plan confirmed
  • Dividend proposed to AGM of 9.5 €c/share (+2.7% vs 2019)

2021 EXPECTATIONS

Organic growth leveraging on further capex acceleration

Energy scenario: recovery in volumes and prices

Integration of consolidated companies

COVID impacts on:

  • Ebitda impact not more than 10m€
  • Net working capital around 40m€ (from 60m€ in FY2020)
  • Credit losses up to 10m€

In light of the previous elements, we provide the following FY 2021 guidance

GUIDANCE ON 2021

  • Ebitda: 960/970m€
  • NFP/Ebitda: ̴3.4x
  • Capex: ̴800m€

12

Annexes

Iren at a glance
FY 2020
REGULATED
ACTIVITIES
Energy Infrastructure Water Service Urban Waste Collection
>7million
INHABITANTS IN IREN'S 3
REFERENCE REGIONS
QUASI
REGULATED
ACTIVITIES
Hydroelectric Green Certificates District
Heating
Urban Waste Disposal
UNREGULATED
ACTIVITIES
2020 Data
Generation Energy Market Special Waste

14

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW & NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

Ebitda breakdown by activity FY 2020

REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

Sustainability Ratings FY 2020

16

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

Business units' results FY 2020

NETWORKS
m€ FY '19 FY '20 Δ Δ%
Revenues 1,046 1,041 -5 0%
Ebitda 373 376 3 1%
Electricity 75 79 4 5%
Gas 89 85 -4 -4%
Water 209 212 3 1%
Ebit 198 186 -12 -6%
Gross Capex 297 294 -3 -1%
ENERGY MARKET
m€ FY '19 FY '20 Δ Δ%
Revenues 1,473 1,145 -328 -22%
Ebitda 274 228 -46 -17%
Hydro&Renewables 80 56 -24 -30%
Thermo/Coge, DH 184 159 -25 -14%
Energy efficiency 10 13 3 30%
Ebit 140 111 -29 -21%
Gross Capex 67 172 105 n.s.
WASTE
m€ FY '19 FY '20 Δ Δ%
Revenues 715 765 50 7%
Ebitda 158 173 15 9%
Collection 47 60 13 28%
Treatment & disposal 111 113 2 2%
Ebit 56 50 -6 -11%
Gross Capex 76 116 40 53%
m€ FY '19 FY '20 Δ Δ%
Revenues 2,746 2,085 -661 -24%
Ebitda 110 147 37 33%
Electricity 35 56 21 59%
Gas&Heat 75 91 16 21%
Ebit 58 67 9 17%
Gross Capex 41 51 10 24%

REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING

  • Strong capex plan in Network, mainly in water for the improvement of the infrastructure and the construction of new purification plants
  • Investments in energy concerning the expansion of district heating, energy efficiency projects and the thermoelectric combined cycle
  • In waste business we planned to build 8 new treatment plants and improve the quality of collection activity
  • In market the capex are related to maintain the value of our clients' portfolio and increase the customer base

  • 61% of investments in BP are related to Sustainable projects

  • The bulk of the capex are in the multi-circle economy

Capex plan FY 2020

Actual pogress vs business plan targets FY 2020

EBITDA BRIDGE (m€)

  • Growth is driven by RAB increase, improvement in service quality and synergies
  • The new treatment plants will allow to close the waste cycle and to increase margins of the whole waste value chain along with the positive contribution of consolidated companies
  • Widening of district heating network , increase in thermo capacity and the energy efficiency projects led the growth supported also by a recovery in energy scenario
  • Expansion of the customer base and sales growth of Iren Plus products

19 ACHIEVEMENT ESG

REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING

Ebitda progress by SBU FY 2020

NETWORKS EBITDA BRIDGE (m€)

WASTE EBITDA BRIDGE (m€)

  • 1.3b€ of Investments to significantly increase RAB by 700m€, reaching 2.93b€ by the end of 2025
  • Capex devoted to develop water purification plants, in order to complete our circular vision also in the integrated water cycle
  • Further synergies will be exploited from continuous improvement in asset/workforce management system
  • Participation in tenders within reference areas in which IREN is incumbent (not included in BP figures)
  • Over 700m€ of capex to build new treatment plants and improve the quality of the collection activity
  • +1 million tons waste treated in our plants thanks to new treatment plants (paper, plastic, wood, organic fraction, sludge)
  • +4 bps, reaching more than 70%, in sorted waste collection supported by widening of door-to-door and pay-as-you-throw collection systems. Confirmation of all the currently owned concessions
  • Fully consolidation of I.Blu and Unieco
  • Possible participation in tenders within reference areas in which IREN is not incumbent (not included in BP figures)

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

Ebitda progress by SBU FY 2020

ENERGY EBITDA BRIDGE (m€)

MARKET EBITDA BRIDGE (m€)

  • Over 1b€ of capex to expand district heating, improve the flexibility of generation plants and to sustain energy efficiency interventions
  • Significant increase in thermoelectric production thanks to the new gas combined cycle Group in Turbigo.
  • Launch of the capacity market
  • Extension of the district heating networks and saturation of the existing infrastructure (+15 cubic meters) with the achievement of 100 million cubic meters in 2022.
  • Growth in the energy efficiency segment also taking advantage of the introduction of the 110% Superecobonus
  • 300m€ of investments to expand the client base (+28%) by going national, keeping the churn rate as one of the lowest in the sector, thanks to a new customer experience driven by digital platforms
  • 5x national clients thanks to digital strategy and commercial excellence
  • +100% Iren Plus penetration rate driven by the extension of products and services offered, favored by Superbonus
  • FY2020 includes an extra profitability of 14m€ due to commodities price volatility

21

REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING

Regulatory framework FY 2020

Gas
distribution
Electricity
distribution
Water
service
Integrated
waste
collection
service
Regulatory period 6 years (2020

2025)
8 years (2016 –
2023)
4 years (2020

2023)
4 years
(2018-2021)
WACC methodology
update
6 years (2016 –
2021)
6 years (2016 –
2021)
4 years (2020 –
2023)
4 years
(2018-2021)
WACC update every three years (2022)
update of β
in 2020
every three years (2022) every two years (2020) every
four
years
(2022)
Until
2021
2022 -
2025
Gas distribution
and metering
6.3%
6.3%
Electricity distrib. and metering
5.9%
5.9%
Until
2023
2024 -
2025
Integrated water service
5.2%
5.2%
Until
2021
2022 -
2025
Integrated
waste
collection
serv.
6.3%
6.3%

Networks concessions FY 2020

GAS CONCESSIONS WATER CONCESSIONS ELECTRICITY CONCESSIONS
ATEM Expiry AREA Expiry AREA Expiry
Genova 1 Expired Piacenza* Expired Torino 2030
Parma Expired Reggio Emilia* Expired Parma 2030
Reggio Emilia Expired Genova 2032 Vercelli 1 2030
Vercelli Expired Parma 2025
Piacenza 2 -
Est
Expired Vercelli 1 2023
La Spezia 2033
AREA Expiry
Torino 2030
Parma 2030
Vercelli 1 2030

23

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

*Ongoing tenders

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

Hydroelectric and waste concessions FY 2020

HYDROELECTRIC CONCESSIONS

AREA Hydroelectric plant Electric Power
(MW)
Expiry
Piemonte 1 Pont Ventoux-Susa 157 2034
Piemonte 2 Valle Orco e S. Mauro 300 Expired
2010
Piemonte 3 S. Lorenzo, Moncalieri, La
Loggia, valle Susa
25 ---*
Campania Nucleo Tusciano 108 2029
Liguria Brugneto, Canate 10 Expired
2014

MAIN WASTE CONCESSIONS

AREA Expiry
Parma** 1st in ranking
Piacenza** 1st in ranking
Reggio Emilia Expired
Torino 2033
Vercelli 1 2028
Vercelli 2 Expired
La Spezia 2028
Novara** 1st in ranking

* The expiring date is not provided for electric power plants <3 MW ** 1st in ranking, pending the official final award

24

REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING

FY 2020 Shareholding
structure
>50%
Public
Shareholders
Public
entities
IREN's
Shareholders
are
more
than
50%:
Municipality
of
Genoa
~19%,
Municipality
of
Turin
~14%,
Emilia
Municipalities
(Reggio
Emilia,
Parma,
Piacenza
and
other
minor
Municipalities)
~17%,
La
Spezia
Municipalities
~2%.
FCT (Municipality
of Turin)
13.80%
Municipality
of Reggio Emilia
6.42%
FSU (Municipality
of Genoa)
18.85%
LSS
Loyalty Shares
Scheme
In
2016,
a
LSS
which
establishes
the
rules
for
the
double
voting
right
for
specific
Shareholders'
Resolutions
and
the
elimination
of
the
obligation
for
Public
Shareholders
to
hold
at
least
51%
of
Iren's
share
capital
has
been
introduced
in
Iren's
bylaws.
Since
2018,
Public
Shareholders
must
hold
at
least
50%+1
of
the
voting
rights
in
relation
to
the
Shareholders'
Resolutions
with
increased
vote.
According
to
the
Shareholders'
Agreement
updated
in
2019,
Public
Shareholders
who
signed
the
agreement
must
hold
at
least
35%
of
Iren's
share
capital.
Other
Munic.
in Reggio Emilia
province
5.29%
Municipality
of Parma
3.16%
4
Shareholders
Agreements
Four
Shareholders'
agreements:
-
One
between
FSU
(Municip.
Of
Genoa)
,
FCT
(Municip.
of
Turin),
Emilia
Shareholders
and
former
ACAM
Municipalities
(expiring
April
2022)
-
One
between
FSU
and
FCT
(expiring
July
2021)
-
One
between
Emilia
Shareholders
(expiring
April
2022)
-
One
between
former
ACAM
Municipalities
(expiring
May
2022
)
Municipality
of Piacenza
1.37%
Other
Municipalities
0.04%
They
guarantee
that
all
the
most
important
decisions
relating
to
Corporate
Governance
are
taken
25/03/2021
by
agreement
of
the
public
Shareholders.
In
particular,
out
of
15
members
of
IREN's
BoDs,
13
are
appointed
by
the
members
of
the
shareholders
agreements,
including
the
CEO,
Chairman
and
Vice-Chairman
which
are
unanimously
appointed.
La Spezia
Municipalities
1.89%
Treasury shares
1.37*%
SBB
25
PAST
ACHIEVEMENT
5th
On
April
2019,
the
shareholders
meeting
approved
a
share
buyback
program
up
to
5%
of
Iren's
share
capital.
13th
On
May
2019,
the
Board
of
Directors
approved
the
launch
of
share
buyback
program
on
2%
of
share
capital.
CASHFLOW &
ESG
EBITDA
NETWORKS
WASTE
ENERGY
MARKET
P&L
NFP
Free float
47.80%
*Updated to March, 19 2020
FINANCIALS
CLOSING
ANNEXES
REMARKS

Public entities/shareholders FY 2020

IREN SHAREHOLDING STRUCTURE
Shareholders Total Shares % Total Voting
rights
%
FSU Municipality of Genoa 245,249,617 18.85% 490,499,234 24.84%
FCT Municipality of Turin 179,567,795 13.80% 359,135,582 18.19%
Municipality
of Reggio Emilia
83,559,569 6.42% 167,119,138 8.46%
Other Municipalities of Reggio Emilia 68,754,590 5.29% 135,103,475 6.84%
Municipality of Parma 41,158,566 3.16% 82,317,132 4.17%
Municipality of Piacenza 17,846,547 1.37% 35,306,094 1.79%
Other Municipalities 534,070 0.04% 1,061,676 0.05%
La Spezia Municipalities 24,593,215 1.89% 45,045,196 2.28%
Shares/voting rights owned by public
entities
661,263,969 50.83% 1,315,587,527 66.64%
Free float 621,811,763 47.80% 640,806,899 32.46%
Treasury shares* 17,855,645 1.37% 17,855,645 0.90%
IREN's
Share capital
1,300,931,377 100% 1,974,250,071 100%

TRADE REGIME OF PUBLIC SHAREHOLDERS' SHARES

Shareholders Total Shares Non
negotiable
shares
(until
may
2022)
Negotiable shares
(under specific
policy to avoid
overhang risk)
Freely negotiable
shares (not
included in the
shareholders
agreement)
FSU Municipality of
Genoa
245,249,617 154,281,688 90,967,929 -
FCT Municipality of
Turin
179,567,795 154,281,689 25,286,106
Municipality of
Reggio Emilia
83,559,569 58,228,078 25,331,491 -
Other
Municipalities of
Reggio Emilia
68,754,590 44,147,738 22,628,456 1,928,396
Municipality
of
Parma
41,158,566 14,025,186 5,292,380 21,841,000
Municipality of
Piacenza
17,846,547 12,248,901 5,597,646 -
Other
Municipalities
534,070 311,318 216,288 6,464
Former ACAM
Municipalities
24,593,215 17,804,838 2,805,654 3,982,723
Shares owned by
public entities
661,263,969 455,329,436 178,125,950 27,758,583

On the 1st June 2018, the "loyalty share scheme" came into force. All the Shareholders that have kept IREN shares for at least two years and have been registered in the proper list have now a double voting right for each shares (only in relation to specific matters, such as the appointmentofthe Board ofDirectors and oftheBoard of Statutory Auditors).

*The voting right relating to treasury shares in the portfolio is suspended. The treasury shares, however, are included in the calculation of the quorum constituting the shareholders'meeting

26

ACHIEVEMENT ESG

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

capital NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

205.884.533 negotiable shares equal to 15.8%ofIREN's share

FY 2020

27

Scenario

NETWORKS WASTE MARKET P&L CASHFLOW &

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING REMARKS EBITDA ENERGY ANNEXES PAST

FY
'19
FY '20 Δ%
Gas
Demand
(bcm)
73.8 70.7 -4.1%
TTF
€/000
scm
135 99 -27.1%
PSV
€/000
scm
160 110 -31.7%
Energy
Demand
(Twh)
319.6 302.8 -5.3%
PUN
(€/Mwh)
52.3 38.9 -25.7%
CO2
€/Ton
24.9 24.8 -0.3%
Green
Cert.
Hydro
(€/Mwh)
92.1 99.1 +7.5%
TEE (€/TEE) 260 271 +4.1%

Balance sheet FY 2020

FY '19* FY '20
Net
fixed
assets
6,102 6,581
Net
Working
Capital
166 42
Funds -625 -657
Other
assets
and
liabilities
-286 -254
Net
invested
capital
5,357 5,712
Group
Shareholders'
equity
2,651 2,764
Net
Financial
Position
2,706 2,948
Total
Funds
5,357 5,712
*Restated

NFP FINANCIALS CLOSING

The Manager in charge of drawing up the corporate accounting documents and the Chief Financial Officer of IREN S.p.A., Mr. Massimo Levrino, hereby declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of article 154 bis of the Consolidated Finance Act (Legislative Decree No 58/1998), that the accounting information contained in this presentation is consistent with the accounting documents, records and books.

This document was prepared by IREN mainly for use during meetings with investors and financial analysts. This document does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or subscribe shares and neither this entire document or any portion of it may constitute a basis or provide a reference for any contract or commitment.

Some of the information contained in this document may contain projected data or estimates that are based on current expectations and on opinions developed by IREN and are based on current plans, estimates, projections and projects. Consequently, it is recommended that they be viewed as indicative only.

Projected data and estimates entail risks and uncertainties. There are a number of factors that could produce significant differences between projected results and actual results. In addition, results may be affected by trends that are often difficult to anticipate, are generally beyond IREN's control and could produce results and developments that are substantially different from those explicitly or implicitly described or computed in the abovementioned projected data and estimates. The non-exhaustive list that follows being provided merely by way of example, these risks include: significant changes in the global business scenario, fluctuations in the prices of certain commodities, changes in the market's competitive conditions and changes in the general regulatory framework.

Notice is also given that projected data are valid only on the date they are produced. Except for those cases in which the applicable statutes require otherwise, IREN assumes no obligation to provide updates of the abovementioned estimates and projected data.