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Iren Investor Presentation 2015

Aug 27, 2015

4243_10-k-afs_2015-08-27_e08dba62-aedf-44cf-a91c-1c78028a73a8.pdf

Investor Presentation

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1H 2015: six months of constant development and innovation…

Starting from December 2014 the integration and streamlining process inside the company, outlined in the latest IREN's business plan, has accelerated through well defined and significant steps.

Organization streamlining

  • Centralization at "Holding level" of the main corporate functions (H&R, Finance, Administration, Accounting management, Communication, etc.).
  • Reinforcement of control over the Strategic Business Units with their transformation in centralized staff units.
  • Unification of accounting procedures through the adoption of a single Accounting and Enterprise Performance Management software.

Business plan

IREN@2020

After 3 years from its last business plan, IREN presented the new one.

…which will continue in 2H 2015 as well.

  • At the end of July IREN launched an operating project, aimed at the rationalization of the Company's structure, which will be completed by the next December.
  • The Group's organization will be based on four Business Units and the operating activity will be carried out by the four companies resulting from the re-organizational process (involving the merger of approximately 15 companies).
  • It is a key element in achieving the ambitious synergies target set out in the 2015-2020 Business plan. In 1H 2015 the Group achieved 8m€ synergies, in line with 2015 FY target of ~15m€

1H 2015: double digit growth in Net Profit.

Income statement Ebitda Bridge
m
1H '141 1H '15 Δ Δ% +2.0%
Revenues 1.521 1.579 57,9 3,8% 378
8
371
1
4
14
Ebitda 371 378 7,6 2,0% (6)
(14)
Ebit 229 217 -12,2 -5,3%
Net profit 77 103 25,6 33,3% 1H 2014
Gener.
Market
Networks
Networks
Waste
Other
1H 2015
and DH
(El./Gas
(Water
  • Revenues up by 3.8%: Revenues benefitted from a substantially stable volumes/tariff dynamics together with a change in consolidation perimeter (AMIAT).
  • Ebitda +2.0%: Slight growth in EBITDA linked mainly to the regulated activities (+13m€), thanks also to the achievement of important synergies, and to Market business unit (+14m€). These elements were partly offset by the expiry of Moncalieri plant's green certificates (approximately -12m€).
  • Ebit -5.3%: The decrease is due to higher D&A (AMIAT full consolidation) and to the absence of the release of provisions reported in 1H 2014 (approximately -11m€).
  • Net profit +33.3%: All the results under EBIT show a positive trend. Particularly significant is the decrease in tax-rate, thanks mainly to the deductibility of labor costs from IRAP and the cancellation of Robin Hood tax.

GENERATION AND DH – Expiry of GCs and the absence of a positive 2014 one-off have impacted the sector's performance.

  • Cogeneration sector hit by the absence of an approximately 10m€ non-recurrent item reported in 1H 2014. Net of this, 1H 2015 results would have been in line with the same period of the previous year.
  • Hydroelectric sector continues to benefit from higher production, +12% (bucking the national trend, -13%) which more than offset the reduction in prices.
  • District heating sector suffered from the green certificates expiry (worth approx. 12m€ in the first half of the year, 20m€ FY).
  • EBIT performances were impacted by the absence of the release of provisions (~11m€) reported in 1H 2014
3,324
685
2,638
+8% 3,577
767
2,810
Hydro
Thermo
1,552 +5%
1H '14 1H '15

m€ 1H '14 1H '15 Δ Δ% Revenues 463 398 -65 -14% Ebitda 117 103 -14 -12% Ebit 72 38 -34 -48% Gross Capex 30 9 -21 -70%

ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION (GWh)

MARKET – Growth in all the sub-sectors.

  • The Gas Sales maintained the good performance already reported in the 1Q of the year, scoring a +36% increase, thanks to sound policies for both purchases and sales.
  • Electricity sales benefitted from the good performance reported in the free market, thanks mainly to favorable procurement conditions.
  • Significant improvement in EBITDA margin (5.2% vs. 3.7%).
m€ 1H '14 1H '15 Δ Δ%
Revenues 1,299 1,199 -100 -8%
Ebitda 48 62 14 29%
Electricity 12 13 1 12%
Gas&Heat 36 49 13 36%
Ebit 28 46 18 66%
Gross Capex 5 7 2 31%

Pag. 6

NETWORKS – Positive results both in energy and water sector.

ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE

  • Electricity networks: the same positive elements reported in 1Q 2015 drove the growth in the sector (equalization for previous year and higher white certificates).
  • Gas networks: the temporary slowdown is due mainly to the absence of a positive one-off reported in 1H 2014 along with a number of non-recurrent minor negative elements.
m€ 1H '14 1H '15 Δ Δ%
Revenues 161 197 36 22%
Ebitda 70 71 1 1%
Electricity 33 37 4 11%
Gas 37 34 -3 -9%
Ebit 49 49 0 1%
Gross Capex 29 28 -1 -3%
El. distr. (GWh) 1,915 1,887
Gas distr. (mcm) 661 720

WATER INFRASTRUCTURES

The increase in margins reflects the tariff trend, compliant with the regulatory framework established by AEEGSI along with the achievement of synergies.

m€ 1H '14 1H '15 Δ Δ%
Revenues 222 223 1 1%
Ebitda 84 88 4 5%
Ebit 49 54 5 11%
Gross Capex 25 36 11 42%
Volume sold (mcm) 71,9 71,3

WASTE – One of the main EBITDA growth drivers.

  • The positive effects resulting from the full operation of Parma WTE, the strong increase in special waste collection (~60% in volumes) and contribution of AMIAT more than offset the negative impact from the absence of some positive one-offs reported in 2014 and the shutdown of a landfill.
  • Sorted waste collection percentage in Emilia area reached 67% (up from 63% reported in 1H 2014).
  • Lower capex thanks to the completion of the WTE in Parma.
m€ 1H '14 1H '15 Δ Δ%
Revenues 115 234 119 102%
Ebitda 28 36 8 29%
Ebit 11 12 1 11%
Gross Capex 12 6 -6 -47%

WTEs - Energy and Heat prod. (GWh)

From EBITDA to Net Profit.

1H '14 1H '15 Δ Δ%
EBITDA 370,5 378,1 7,6 2,0%
Higher D&A related mainly
D&A -118,4 -130,9 the consolidation of AMIAT.

Higher provision due to
Provisions -23,2 -30,5 the absence of the ~11m€
EBIT 228,9 216,7 -12,2 -5,3% risk-fund release reported in
1H 2014.
Financial charges for loans -43,2 -37,1
Lower FC due to lower cost
of debt.
Other financial charges -6,7 -1,6
Lower actualization costs
Companies consolidated with e.m. -11,2 4,8 due to the interests rate
trend.
EBT 167,8 182,8 15,0 9,0%
Taxes -81,1 -67,9
Minorities -9,7 -12,3
Lower tax-rate linked to
the cancellation of RHT
and the change in IRAP
Group net profit 77,0 102,6 25,6 33,3% regulatory framework.

Cash-flow and NFP Bridge.

  • The ~130m€ reduction in NFP is related to an operating cash flow generation of approximately 300m€ which easily covers the cash-out for capex and dividends.
  • Capex totalled 98m€, 12% less compared to what reported in 1H 2014.

Interest rate and debt structure.

  • 25% of gross debt at variable interest rate.
  • Average long-term debt duration of about 4.8 years.
  • Relevant reduction in cost of debt (3.4% compared to 3.8% in FY 2014).
  • Well-balanced debt structure (one quarter of Iren's total debt is funded through bonds).

Annexes

1H '14 1H '15 Δ%
Brent USD/bbl 108,9 57,9 -46,8%
€/USD 1,4 1,1 -18.6%
Brent €/bbl 79,5 42,3 -46,8%
Gas Demand (bcm) 33 35 +7,9%
PSV €/000 scm 245 248 +1,3%
Energy Demand (Twh) 153,7 153,2 -0,3%
PUN (€/Mwh) 49,5 49,8 +0,7%
CO2
€/Ton
5,6 7,2 +28,6%
Green Cert. Hydro (€/Mwh) 90,6 97,9 +8,1%

The normalization of climate conditions, along with a recovery in Thermoelectric uses, led to a 7.9% growth in gas demand

PUN level substantially aligned with 1H 2014.

FY '14 1H '15
Net fixed assets 4,619 4,582
Net Working Capital 238 173
Funds -550 -540
Other assets and liabilities -28 -23
Net invested capital 4,279 4,192
Group Sharholders' equity 1,994 2,037
Net Financial Position 2,285 2,155
Total Funds 4,279 4,192

DISCLAIMER

The Manager in charge of drawing up the corporate accounting documents and the Chief Financial Officer of IREN S.p.A., Mr. Massimo Levrino, hereby declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of article 154 bis of the Consolidated Finance Act (Legislative Decree No 58/1998), that the accounting information contained in this presentation is consistent with the accounting documents, records and books.

This document was prepared by IREN mainly for use during meetings with investors and financial analysts. This document does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or subscribe shares and neither this entire document or any portion of it may constitute a basis or provide a reference for any contract or commitment.

Some of the information contained in this document may contain projected data or estimates that are based on current expectations and on opinions developed by IREN and are based on current plans, estimates, projections and projects. Consequently, it is recommended that they be viewed as indicative only.

Projected data and estimates entail risks and uncertainties. There are a number of factors that could produce significant differences between projected results and actual results. In addition, results may be affected by trends that are often difficult to anticipate, are generally beyond IREN's control and could produce results and developments that are substantially different from those explicitly or implicitly described or computed in the abovementioned projected data and estimates. The non-exhaustive list that follows being provided merely by way of example, these risks include: significant changes in the global business scenario, fluctuations in the prices of certain commodities, changes in the market's competitive conditions and changes in the general regulatory framework.

Notice is also given that projected data are valid only on the date they are produced. Except for those cases in which the applicable statutes require otherwise, IREN assumes no obligation to provide updates of the abovementioned estimates and projected data.