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Hunter Group ASA — Investor Presentation 2020
Mar 6, 2020
3626_rns_2020-03-06_ea78b988-45bb-4c28-a886-d8f89f4dc505.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Fourth quarter 2019 presentation 6 March 2019
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CERTAIN STATEMENTS INCLUDED IN THIS DOCUMENT CONTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE STATEMENTS CONCERNING PLANS, OBJECTIVES, GOALS, STRATEGIES, FUTURE EVENTS OR PERFORMANCE, AND UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS AND OTHER STATEMENTS, WHICH ARE OTHER THAN STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS. THE WORDS "BELIEVE," "ANTICIPATE," "INTENDS," "ESTIMATE," "FORECAST," "PROJECT," "PLAN," "POTENTIAL," "MAY," "SHOULD," "EXPECT" "PENDING" AND SIMILAR EXPRESSIONS IDENTIFY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS DOCUMENT ARE BASED UPON VARIOUS ASSUMPTIONS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BASED, IN TURN, UPON FURTHER ASSUMPTIONS, INCLUDING WITHOUT LIMITATION, MANAGEMENT'S EXAMINATION OF HISTORICAL OPERATING TRENDS, DATA CONTAINED IN HUNTER GROUP'S RECORDS AND OTHER DATA AVAILABLE FROM THIRD PARTIES. ALTHOUGH HUNTER GROUP BELIEVES THAT THESE ASSUMPTIONS WERE REASONABLE WHEN MADE, BECAUSE THESE ASSUMPTIONS ARE INHERENTLY SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AND CONTINGENCIES WHICH ARE DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT AND ARE BEYOND HUNTER GROUP'S CONTROL, YOU CANNOT BE ASSURED THAT HUNTER GROUP WILL ACHIEVE OR ACCOMPLISH THESE EXPECTATIONS, BELIEFS OR PROJECTIONS. THE INFORMATION SET FORTH HEREIN SPEAKS ONLY AS OF THE DATES SPECIFIED AND HUNTER GROUP UNDERTAKES NO DUTY TO UPDATE ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO CONFORM THE STATEMENT TO ACTUAL RESULTS OR CHANGES IN EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES. IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT, IN HUNTER GROUP'S VIEW, COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE DISCUSSED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INCLUDE, WITHOUT LIMITATION: THE STRENGTH OF WORLD ECONOMIES AND CURRENCIES, GENERAL MARKET CONDITIONS, INCLUDING FLUCTUATIONS IN CHARTERHIRE RATES AND VESSEL VALUES, CHANGES IN DEMAND IN THE TANKER MARKET, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO CHANGES IN OPEC'S PETROLEUM PRODUCTION LEVELS AND WORLD WIDE OIL CONSUMPTION AND STORAGE, CHANGES IN HUNTER GROUP'S OPERATING EXPENSES, INCLUDING BUNKER PRICES, DRYDOCKING AND INSURANCE COSTS, THE MARKET FOR HUNTER GROUP'S VESSELS, AVAILABILITY OF FINANCING AND REFINANCING, ABILITY TO COMPLY WITH COVENANTS IN SUCH FINANCING ARRANGEMENTS, FAILURE OF COUNTERPARTIES TO FULLY PERFORM THEIR CONTRACTS WITH US, CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL RULES AND REGULATIONS OR ACTIONS TAKEN BY REGULATORY AUTHORITIES, POTENTIAL LIABILITY FROM PENDING OR FUTURE LITIGATION, GENERAL DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL CONDITIONS, POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF SHIPPING ROUTES DUE TO ACCIDENTS OR POLITICAL EVENTS, VESSEL BREAKDOWNS, INSTANCES OF OFF-HIRE AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS.
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO PURCHASE OR SELL, ANY SECURITIES OR A SOLICITATION OF ANY VOTE OR APPROVAL.
Apollo Asset Ltd. Other shareholders ~29% ~71% Indicator AS* 100% Hunter GroupASA Oslo Axess ("HUNT") 100% Hunter Tankers AS *Limited activities Future opportunities?
4x VLCCs on the water 3x VLCC delivering Q2-Q3 '20
Company overview Top 10 shareholders (as of 5 March 2020)
| Investor | Shares (m) |
Ownership |
|---|---|---|
| APOLLO ASSET LIMITED |
168 | 29.1% |
| SONGA | 50 | 8.6% |
| SUNDT AS |
46 | 7.9% |
| SWAP INVEST AS |
16 | 2.7% |
| BNP PARIBAS SECURITIES SERVICES |
15 | 2.6% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB SMB |
9 | 1.6% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET FONDSFINANS NORGE |
8 | 1.3% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET NORDEA KAPITAL |
7 | 1.2% |
| NORDNET LIVSFORSIKRING AS |
6 | 1.0% |
| HALVORSENS FABRIKK AS |
6 | 1.0% |
| Sum 10 top |
328 | 57.0% |
| Total | 575 | 43.0% |
- Owns 7x ECO scrubber-fitted VLCC newbuilds from DSME, ordered for avg. all-in price of ~\$86m
- Sister vessel recently sold for \$106m
- Superior access to cargo flow provided by Tankers International, the world's largest VLCC pool
- Quality and bespoke technical management services provided by OSM in Arendal
Key events
- Took delivery of Hunter Saga and Hunter Laga, 40 and 80 days ahead of schedule, respectively, significantly improving Q4 earnings power
- Completed the sale of H.No. 5457 for \$98m, resulting in gain of \$12.3m and positive cash effect of \$46.1m
- Secured a \$220 million takeout loan for the remaining four vessels with 275bps margin and 16-year repayment profile
- Fourth quarter daily pool revenues of \$66,600
- As of 28 February 2020, 70% of available pool days had been booked at an average TCE of approx. \$88,300
| Q4 2019 financial highlights | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating days | 231 | ||
| Pool days | 181 | ||
| Revenue | \$24.4m | ||
| Pool revenue | \$12.0m | ||
| Gain on sale | \$12.3m | ||
| Operating expenses | 3.4m | ||
| Opex incl. insurance |
1.4m | ||
| Cash based G&A | 0.2m | ||
| "Start-up" voyage expenses | 1.97m | ||
| Net income | \$16.1m | ||
| Yard instalments | \$120m | ||
| Remaining capex | \$269m | ||
| Cash balance | \$52.5m | ||
| Interest-bearing debt | \$180.0m |
- All four deliveries so far taken place ahead of original schedule
- Hunter Atla: 37 days
- Hunter Saga: 40 days
- Hunter Laga: 80 days
- Hunter Freya: 18 days
Increasing earnings power by a combined 175 days
~Equal to worldscale 30-35 on benchmark AG-East route
Avg. fully delivered CBE
Hunter Freya fuel savings vs. benchmark VLCC (\$/day)
- Quoted VLCC dayrates are on the basis of a 10-year old "benchmark" vessel
- 2010-built vessels were ordered in a market environment where fuel efficiency was less important
- Hence, dayrates for modern scrubber-equipped VLCCs are higher
Avg consumption: 45 tons HSFO per day 60 tons of VLSFO per day
Hunter Freya "Benchmark" 2010 built w.o. scrubber
Expect rebound from recent market weakness
So far in 2020 What to expect going forward
- 41 new vessels absorbed in market
- 15 newbuildings so far in 2020
- 26 Cosco VLCCs reentered the fleet
- Seasonal weakness with Lunar new year and refinery maintenance
- Coronavirus causing drop in Chinese oil demand of 3-5mbd
- 87% reduction in road travel post lunar new year
- 83% reduction in rail travel " -
- 77% air travel " -
Modern scrubber equipped vessels bottomed at ~\$30,000day
- Chinese coronavirus situation under control, and people are returning to work
- 3.5 trillion yuan (\$505bn) Chinese stimulus pledged so far
- 7 out of 31 provincial governments
- Will lead to catch-up effect to regain lost activity
- 103 VLCCs scheduled for scrubber retrofits
- Low fleet growth and a high number of older vessels are cash flow negative in current environment
- No new vessel orders due to regulatory uncertainty around future decarbonization requirements
All time low orderbook and non-existent new ordering
38 26 36 36 29 31 19 28 39 53 58 65 49 31 23 21 47 50 39 68 15 -28 -26 -34 -28 -3 -1 -3 -9 -13 -6 -16 -18 -7 -1 -2 -10 -31 -4 34 21 7 -45 -65 -101 -13 Fleet overview * VLCC equivalents basis 45 days for scrubber installation • LNG dual fuel VLCCs currently priced with \$15-20m premium 4 2 2 3 4 3 7 3 6 -12 -10 -11 -13 -11 -9 -6 -5 -6 -3 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Deliveries Scrubber offhire (monthly equivalents)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Delivered Scrapped Orderbook Scrap candidates (cumulative) Scrubber offhire (VLCC equivalents)
- 801 VLCCs currently on the water
- All time low orderbook of ~7.7%, with 62 VLCCs
-
101 VLCCs turning 20 years old or more by 2022, equal to 12.6% of current fleet
-
103 VLCCs scheduled for scrubber retrofit in 2020, equal to 13 VLCC years assuming 45 days in drydock
- Limited new orders due to uncertainty around decarbonization requirements
Rem. 2020 deliveries and scrubber offhire*
Requires seaborne transportation
+2.4mbd North America OPEC +0.7mbd Latin America +0.4mbd North Sea -1.0mbd OPEC RT = 120 days 30 VLs per 0.5mbd RT = ~110 days 28 VLs per +0.5mbpd RT = 80 days 20 VLs per 0.5mbd 130 30 25 -20 RT = 45 days (10 VLs per 0.5mbd)
US/MEG/NS oil production growth 2020-21 and VLCCs required
| Implied pricing per VLCC | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| close Last |
NOK | 3 5 |
|
| USDNOK | x | 9 3 |
|
| Shares (fully dil)* |
Million | 592 | |
| Market cap |
USDm | 223 | |
| Cash | " | 53 | |
| other* Net |
" | 12 | |
| bearing debt Interest |
" | 180 | |
| Remaining capex |
" | 269 | |
| EV | " | 608 | |
| VLCCs | # | 7 | |
| Implied value per VLCC |
USDm | 87 |
* Adj. for warrants/options
FMV \$103.5 avg. two brokers
| Quarters | Year date to |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Unaudited figures in USD 1 000) |
Q4 2019 |
Q4 2018 |
Note | 12/31/2019 | 12/31/2018 |
| Continuing operations |
|||||
| Revenues | |||||
| Pool revenues |
12,026 | 0 | 8 | 12,026 | 0 |
| Other income |
97 | 52 | 5, 7 |
378 | 52 |
| Net gain on sale of assets |
12,308 | 0 | 12,308 | 0 | |
| Total Revenues |
24,431 | 52 | 24,712 | 52 | |
| Operating expenses |
|||||
| Vessel operating expenses |
1,442 | 0 | 1,442 | 0 | |
| Voyage expenses |
1,968 | 0 | 1 | 1,968 | 0 |
| Depreciation and amortisation expense |
1,886 | 0 | 1, 7, 8 |
1,915 | 0 |
| General and administrative expenses |
410 | 506 | 4 | 1,113 | 2,816 |
| Total operating expenses |
5,706 | 506 | 6,438 | 2,816 | |
| (loss) Operating profit continuing operations |
18,726 | -454 | 18,274 | -2,765 | |
| Net interest expense |
-2,559 | 314 | 8 | -2,465 | 874 |
| other financial items Net |
-59 | 1,321 | 144 | 2,406 | |
| financial (loss) Net income |
-2,618 | 1,635 | -2,321 | 3,280 | |
| Profit (loss) before from continuing operations taxes |
16,107 | 1,180 | 15,953 | 515 | |
| Tax on ordinary result |
0 | 76 | 0 | -374 | |
| profit (loss) from continuing operations Net |
16,107 | 1,256 | 15,953 | 142 | |
| Discontinued operations |
|||||
| profit (loss) from discontinued operations Net |
0 | 0 | 0 | -4,410 | |
| Net profit (loss) |
16,107 | 1,256 | 15,953 | -4,268 |
Balance Sheet
| (Unaudited figures in USD 000) 1 |
Note | 12/31/2019 | 9/30/2019 | 12/31/2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NON-CURRENT ASSETS |
||||
| VLCC vessels |
8 | 254,234 | 84,837 | 0 |
| VLCC vessels under construction |
5, 8 |
79,663 | 162,387 | 56,682 |
| Other tangible assets |
7, 8 |
217 | 158 | 10 |
| Total tangible assets |
334,114 | 247,382 | 56,692 | |
| TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS |
334,114 | 247,382 | 56,692 | |
| CURRENT ASSETS |
||||
| Trade and other receivables |
7,351 | 0 | 83 | |
| Other short-term receivables |
818 | 1,217 | 147 | |
| Total current receivables |
8,170 | 1,217 | 231 | |
| Other financial investments |
0 | 0 | 24,758 | |
| Total other financial investments |
0 | 0 | 24,758 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents |
6 | 52,455 | 9,725 | 35,001 |
| TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS |
60,625 | 10,942 | 59,990 | |
| TOTAL ASSETS |
394,739 | 258,323 | 116,681 | |
| and Liabilities Equity |
||||
| EQUITY | ||||
| Share capital (575 362 013 shares) |
2 | 82,625 | 82,625 | 55,376 |
| Share premium |
2 | 112,626 | 112,467 | 61,123 |
| Other equity |
15,953 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOTAL EQUITY |
211,204 | 195,092 | 116,499 | |
| LIABILITIES | ||||
| Non-current interest-bearing debt |
7, 8 |
174,494 | 58,730 | 0 |
| Total non-current liabilities |
174,494 | 58,730 | 0 | |
| Trade creditors |
3,077 | 552 | 132 | |
| Accrued public charges and indirect taxes |
15 | 16 | 9 | |
| Current portion of interest-bearing debt |
8 | 5,932 | 1,440 | 0 |
| Other current liabilities |
4 | 16 | 2,492 | 42 |
| Total current liabilities |
9,040 | 4,500 | 182 | |
| TOTAL LIABILITIES |
183,534 | 63,230 | 182 | |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES |
394,739 | 258,323 | 116,681 |
Cash flow
| Quarters | date Year to |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Unaudited figures in USD 1 000) |
Q4 2019 |
Q4 2018 |
Note | 31.12.2019 | 12/31/2018 | |
| Profit (loss) before from continuing operations tax |
16,107 | 807 | 15,953 | 142 | ||
| Profit (loss) before discontinued operations tax |
0 | 0 | 0 | -4,410 | ||
| Profit (loss) before tax |
16,107 | 807 | 15,953 | -4,268 | ||
| Depreciation | 1,886 | 0 | 8 | 1,915 | 1,126 | |
| Gain on sale of VLCC |
-12,308 | 0 | 5 | -12,308 | 0 | |
| Net write-down intangible and capitalized assets grants |
0 | 0 | 0 | 2,228 | ||
| Interest received |
-506 | -314 | -509 | -874 | ||
| paid Interest |
2,882 | 0 | 8 | 2,974 | 33 | |
| Change working capital in items |
-6,673 | 116 | -4,818 | -1,222 | ||
| cash flow from operating activities Net |
1,388 | 609 | 3,208 | -2,977 | ||
| Investments in VLCC newbuilds and PP & E |
-122,358 | -25,683 | 5, 8 |
-312,840 | -59,672 | |
| Sale of VLCC |
46,136 | 0 | 5 | 46,136 | 0 | |
| Investments in other financial investments |
0 | -31,172 | 0 | -81,502 | ||
| Sale of other financial investments |
0 | 55,349 | 24,758 | 55,349 | ||
| Net cash flow from investment activities |
-76,222 | -1,507 | -241,946 | -85,825 | ||
| received Interest |
506 | 314 | 509 | 874 | ||
| paid Interest |
-2,882 | 0 | 8 | -2,974 | -33 | |
| Proceeds from borrowings financial institution |
120,184 | 0 | 8 | 180,184 | -84 | |
| Installment leasing-debt (IFRS 16) |
-19 | 0 | -48 | 0 | ||
| Capital contribution |
0 | 0 | 2 | 79,168 | 92,738 | |
| Transaction capital contribution cost |
-225 | 329 | 2 | -647 | -1,625 | |
| Net cash flow from financing activities |
117,565 | 643 | 256,192 | 91,870 | ||
| Total changes cash flow in net |
42,730 | -255 | 17,454 | 3,068 | ||
| effect on cash Currency |
0 | -2,202 | 0 | -2,125 | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents beginning of period |
9,725 | 37,459 | 35,001 | 34,059 | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents end of period |
52,455 | 35,001 | 52,455 | 35,001 |
Hunter Group ASA Org. nr. 985 955 107
Dronningen 1 0287 Oslo, Norway +47 975 31 227 [email protected]