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Axactor SE — Investor Presentation 2023
Aug 17, 2023
3549_rns_2023-08-17_506fc771-0ffa-4b4a-ae7c-cebc66f91b66.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Financial highlights for the quarter on continuing operations

- Gross revenue growth of 5% y-o-y
- 8% y-o-y with constant currency

- Cash EBITDA growth of 4% y-o-y
- 6% y-o-y with constant currency

- Healthy EBITDA margin of 50%
- EBITDA of EUR 33m, up from EUR 30m last year

- Double digit annualized return on equity of 11%
- Despite increased cost of funding
Going forward we will stick to our successful strategy developed in 2020
| 1 Accretive investments |
• Invest in accretive portfolios with attractive gross IRR driving margin expansion on NPL • Target of reaching total backbook Gross IRR above 20%. Currently experiencing Gross IRR of 30+% on newly signed acquisitions |
|---|---|
| 2 Cost leadership |
• Cloud based unified IT-infrastructure, optimized processes and a strong cost culture • Currently investing extensively in data-driven valuation and -operation to further excel |
| 3 Best at what we do |
Targeted focus to become best at what we do1 • Industry: Bank & finance • Debt type: B2C, unsecured • Markets: Existing six countries |

Axactor has had a healthy growth of 20% in ERC since year-end 2021
NPL ERC and company acquisitions (EUR billion)

NPL gross IRR on the total book is steadily increasing
- Currently signing deals with a gross IRR twice as high as the total NPL book

NPL investment estimate of EUR 100 - 150m for the year
NPL investments (EUR million)

NPL investment estimate of EUR 100 - 150m for the year
- Invested EUR 40m during the quarter and EUR 73m YTD
- Additional EUR 20m in committed NPL investments
Experiencing fewer transactions as sellers and buyers are trying to agree on new price levels.
NPL cost-to-collect stabilizing at a record low level
- Materializing in an EBITDA percentage among the best in the industry
Axactor NPL cost-to-collect per year1

8 1) Cost is calculated as segment OPEX + allocation of unallocated OPEX and Depreciation & Amortization (excluding amortization of NPL portfolios). Segment OPEX is used as allocation key. Income is calculated as Total income adjusted for revaluations to show income excluding one-time effects based on changes in future expectations.

Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Group: Continued growth on gross revenue y-o-y
Gross revenue (EUR million)

- Gross revenue is up 5% y-o-y
- NPL gross revenue growth of 8% y-o-y
- 3PC gross revenue growth of -10% y-o-y
- Estimated gross revenue growth of 8% y-o-y with constant currency
NPL segment: Steady total income growth with stable margins
NPL Total income and CM% (EUR million, and %)

Satisfying growth in total income of 13% y-o-y, with stable margins, despite headwind.
Collection performance of 102% for the quarter
- Satisfactory quarter in southern Europe
- Debtors in Nordics and Germany opt for longer payment plans with lower monthly installments
3PC segment: Total income and margins under pressure
3PC Total income and CM% (EUR million and %)

- 3PC total income growth of -10% y-o-y
- Competition puts pressure on both total income and contribution margin
- Axactor is currently going through all contracts and terminate those with too low margins
- Axactor will exit 3PC in Sweden during the fall (4% of 3PC total income in Q2)
Group: Growth y-o-y in all key parameters despite headwind on currency and macro
Total income (EUR million)

EBITDA and EBITDA-margin (EUR million and %)

Cash EBITDA (EUR million)

RCF refinanced according to the plan in Q2. Expect to refinance ACR02 in Q3 according to the plan

Stable ROE of 10% on continuing operations last twelve months – despite increased cost of funding
Return on equity to shareholders (%)


Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A
Outlook
| Key driver | Outlook | |
|---|---|---|
| Accretive investments |
+ | • Highly accretive gross IRR on new deals of 30+% compared to the backbook of 18% |
| Growth | + | NPL: Minimum 10% growth in interest income in 20231 • • 3PC: Competition puts pressure on both total income and contribution margin |
| Funding | ~ | Interest rate hedge secures partial protection of financial expenses for 10 more quarters2 • • RCF renewal closed in Q2. Next step is the planned refinancing of ACR02 in Q3 |
| Collection | ~ | • Expect continued negative macroeconomic impact in Nordics and Germany • Collection curves are adjusted to reflect the current macroeconomic conditions |

Q2 highlights
Financial update
Outlook
Q&A

Supporting information
NPL investment commitments of EUR 26m next 12 months
Quarterly NPL investments (EUR million)

ERC increasing by 12% y-o-y driven by increased NPL investments in 2022
ERC development (EUR million)

Forward ERC profile by year (EUR million)

3PC volumes by geographic region
3PC Total income split by geographic region

- Spain accounting for 49% of total income on 3PC
- Italy share of Total income increased to 20% (15%) following organic growth in Italy
Discontinued operations
- REO book value reduced to EUR 5m ultimo Q2
REO Total income and net profit1 (EUR million and %)

REO book value (EUR million)

REO number of units

Bond covenants (1/2)
Loan-to-value - covenant ≤75%
(Total portfolio book value divided by net interest-bearing debt)

Secured Loan-to-value - covenant ≤65%
(Total portfolio book value divided by secured net interest-bearing debt)

Bond covenants (2/2)
Leverage ratio - covenant ≤4.0x (Net interest-bearing debt divided by LTM Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA

Interest coverage ratio - covenant ≥4.0x (Pro-forma adjusted cash EBITDA divided by net interest expenses)

Terms and abbreviations
Abbreviations
WAEP Weighted average exercise price
| 3PC | Third-party collection |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| AGM | Annual general meeting |
||
| APM | Alternative performance measures |
||
| ARM | Accounts receivable management |
||
| B2B | Business to business |
||
| Terms | B2C | Business to consumer |
|
| BoD | Board of Directors |
||
| Active forecast |
Forecast of estimated remaining collection on NPL portfolios |
BS | Consolidated statement of financial position (balance sheet) |
| Board | Board of directors |
CF | Consolidated statement of cash flows |
| Cash EBITDA margin |
Cash EBITDA as a percentage of gross revenue |
CGU | Cash generating unit |
| Chair | Chair of the board of directors |
CM | Contribution margin |
| Contribution margin (%) |
Total operating expenses (excluding SG&A, IT and corporate cost) as a percentage |
D&A | Depreciation and amortization |
| of total income |
Dopex | Direct operating expenses |
|
| Collection performance |
Gross collection on NPL portfolios in relation to active forecast, including sale of | ||
| repossessed assets in relation to book value |
EBIT | Operating profit/Earnings before interest and tax | |
| Cost-to-collect | Cost to collect is calculated as segment operating expenses plus a pro rata | EBITDA | Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization |
| allocation of unallocated operating expenses and unallocated depreciation and |
ECL | Expected credit loss |
|
| amortization. The segment operating expense is used as allocation key for the |
EGM | Extraordinary general meeting |
|
| unallocated costs | EPS | Earnings per share |
|
| Equity ratio |
Total equity as a percentage of total equity and liabilities |
ERC | Estimated remaining collection |
| Forward flow agreement |
Agreement for future acquisitions of NPLs at agreed prices and delivery |
ESG | Environmental, social and governance |
| Gross IRR |
The credit adjusted interest rate that makes the net present value of ERC equal to |
ESOP | Employee stock ownership plan |
| NPL book value, calculated using monthly cash flows over a 180-months period |
FSA | The financial supervisory authority |
|
| FTE | Full time equivalent |
||
| Group | Axactor ASA and all its subsidiaries |
GHG | Greenhouse gas emissions |
| NPL amortization rate |
NPL amortization divided by collection on own NPL portfolios |
IFRS | International financial reporting standards |
| NPL cost-to-collect ratio |
NPL cost to collect divided by NPL total income excluding NPV of changes in |
LTV | Loan to value |
| collection forecasts and change in fair value of forward flow commitments |
NCI | Non-controlling interests |
|
| One off portfolio acquisition |
Acquisition of a single portfolio of NPLs |
NPL | Non-performing loan |
| Opex | Total operating expenses |
OB | Outstanding balance, the total amount Axactor can collect on claims under |
| Recovery rate |
Portion of the original debt repaid |
management, including outstanding principal, interest and fees |
|
| Replacement capex |
Acquisitions of new NPLs to keep the same book value of NPLs from last period |
OCI | Consolidated statement of other comprehensive income |
| Repossession | Taking possession of property due to default on payment of loans secured by |
P&L | Consolidated statement of profit or loss |
| property | PCI | Purchased credit impaired |
|
| Repossessed assets |
Property repossessed from secured non-performing loans |
PPA | Purchase price allocations |
| REO | Real estate owned |
||
| SG&A, IT and corporate cost |
Total operating expenses for overhead functions, such as HR, finance and legal etc |
ROE | Return on equity |
| Solution rate |
Accumulated paid principal amount for the period divided by accumulated | SDG | Sustainable development goal |
| collectable principal amount for the period. Usually expressed on a monthly basis |
SG&A | Selling, general & administrative |
|
| SPV | Special purpose vehicle |
||
| VIU | Value in use |
||
| VPS | Verdipapirsentralen/Norwegian central securities depository |
||
| WACC | Weighted average cost of capital |
