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Acea — Investor Presentation 2016
Mar 14, 2016
4350_rns_2016-03-14_4ecde629-8324-4da5-8c37-18350d835077.pdf
Investor Presentation
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2015 Results 2016-2020 Business Plan
Rome, 14 March 2016 ''The future is now''
Agenda
2015 Results
3 Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan Acea Group 2015 Results
2015 Financial highlights
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | Change % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,038.3 | 2,917.3 | -4.0% | |||||
| EBITDA | 717.7 | 732.0 | +2.0% | Increased |
depreciation | and | ||
| EBIT | 390.4 | 386.5 | -1.0% | amortisation growth |
(capex intangible assets |
growth; resulting |
||
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 289.8 | 296.4 | +2.3% | from the entry in operation information technology) |
of | |||
| Taxes* | 120.9 | 114.9 | -5.0% | Reduced (improved |
bad debt provisions collections) |
|||
| Net profit/(loss) | 168.9 | 181.5 | +7.5% | Increased |
provisions | |||
| Minority interest | 6.4 | 6.5 | +1.6% | |||||
| Group net profit/(loss) | 162.5 | 175.0 | +7.7% | |||||
| Dividend per share (€) | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.1% | |||||
| | 84% of capex regards |
regulated | ||||||
| Capex | 318.5 | 428.9 | +34.7% | businesses, with positive impact on development of RAB |
||||
| (€m) | 31 Dec 2014 (a) |
30 Sept 2015 (b) |
31 Dec 2015 (c) |
Change (c/a) |
Change (c/b) |
|||
| NET DEBT | 2,089.1 | 2,130.8 | 2,010.1 | -3.8% | -5.7% | |||
| Shareholders' Equity | 1,502.4 | 1,553.8 | 1,596.1 | +6.2% | +2.7% |
4 Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan - recognition, in 2014, of a charge of €17.1m due to abolition of "Robin Hood Tax"; - recognition, in 2015, of a charge of €19.9m due to reduction in IRES rate from 2017 (2016 Stability Law). ACEA Group
*Tax expense reflects the negative impact of the reassessment of deferred taxation:
Invested Capital 3,591.5 3,684.6 3,606.2 +0.4% -2.1%
Acea Group 2015 Results
2015 EBITDA
Acea Group 2015 Results 5 ACEA Group
2015 Results: financial highlights
| (€m) | 31 Dec 2014 (a) |
30 Sept 2015 (b) |
31 Dec 2015 (c) |
Change (c-a) |
Change (c-b) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET DEBT | 2,089.1 | 2,130.8 | 2,010.1 | (79.0) | (120.7) |
| Medium/Long-term | 3,006.4 | 2,656.0 | 2,657.0 | (349.4) | 1.0 |
| Short-term | (917.3) | (525.2) | (646.9) | 270.4 | (121.7) |
| NET DEBT/ SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY 31 Dec 2014 |
NET DEBT/ SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY 31 Dec 2015 |
NET DEBT /EBITDA 31 Dec 2014 |
NET DEBT/EBITDA 31 Dec 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4x | 1.3x | 2.9x | 2.7x |
CAPEX (€m)
Status of receivables Highlights from results 2013-2015
ACEA Group
The process of improving the receivable management, begun in 2014, is currently in progress, but has brought significant results as of 31 December 2015.
Status of receivables
Principal improvements already completed and implemented, such as to enable a significant increase in Group's ability to generate cash, an objective partially met in 2015
| Initiatives COMPLETED |
Date | Initiatives LAUNCHED (Ongoing) |
Go-live/Status | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| • • • PROCESSES |
Efficiencies in billing process Introduction of online Credit Checks for customers for Mass Market, Small & Large Business Complete Re-engineering of Water segment processes |
Oct 2014 Jan 2015 Sep 2015 |
Review of debt collection strategies • for existing and former customers • Complete re-engineering of electricity sales and distribution processes • Clean-up of customer database to support new billing systems Digital Transformation & Self-care • |
Apr 2016 Jul 2016 Jul 2016 Jul 2016 |
| • • GOVERNANCE |
Start Monitoring performance of receivables Centralisation at holding co. of management of credit checks and debt collection from former customers of Energy segment |
Apr 2014 Jan 2015 |
Reorganisation of Group's receivables • management to obtain further efficiencies and synergies New control & treasury models • |
Mar 2016 Apr 2016 |
| • • IT SYSTEMS |
Launch of Project ACEA 2puntozero to change applications map Go-live of new billing system at Acea Ato2 |
Apr 2014 Sep 2015 |
Addition of data from info providers for • customer profiling in relation to credit risk • Launch of new billing systems for Enhanced Protection Market and Distribution • Launch of new application for collection of debts from former customers Completion of new applications map • |
Jul 2016 Jul 2016 Jul 2016 Jun 2017 |
Acea Group 2015 Results ACEA Group 8
2016-2020 Business Plan highlights
Acea today
WATER
Leading operator in Italy ~ 42% of Group EBITDA
Lazio, Tuscany, Umbria and Campania
Water sold: 527 million m3
Customers: nearly 9 million
Engineering, procurement, construction and management of integrated water services, laboratory analysis Water Management services in Latin American countries
One of the main Italian energy retailers
~ 15% of Group EBITDA
- Electricity sold: over 9.4TWh
- Customers: ~ 1.4 million
- 7 hydroelectric power plants (122 MW)
- 3 thermo/cogen plants (243 MW).
Number 6 Italian operator ~ 8% of Group EBITDA Umbria, Lazio and Tuscany Waste treated: ~ 770,000 Tons Electricity produced (WTE): 265 GWh
One of the leading operators in Italy
- ~ 35% of Group EBITDA
- Electricity distributed: ~ 11 TWh in the city of Rome
- Public lighting and floodlighting managed: over 217,000 lighting points
- Energy efficiency projects.
2015 data
ACEA Group
Well-positioned to capture opportunities in all business areas
Source: CONSOB (March 2016)
Acea's Ownership Structure EBITDA from Regulated activities
Strategic Pillars
ACEA Group
Maintaining our strategic pillars…..
Balanced risk profile
- 74% of EBITDA from regulated businesses at the end of the Plan
- 80% of investment in regulated businesses
Efficiencies and innovation
- ~94 €m of efficiencies relates to Acea 2.0 (billing, WFM, insourcing)
- Corporate rationalisation
- Operational efficiency
Organic growth
- Focus on regulated businesses
- New regulatory framework for electricity distribution and water
- Upgrade/development of WTE and composting plants
Financial strength
- Improving financial ratios: Net Debt/Ebitda 2020 2.5x
- Working capital optimization
…. increasing shareholder returns: Dividend Per Share CAGR: 3%-6%
Further opportunities not included in the Plan targets
- Acquisitions of water companies in existing areas of operation
- Consolidation in core areas
- Acquisitions in Latin America
Acea 2.0 – digital and technological transformation
New corporate culture open to change
Acea is revolutionising the way it goes about its business, making sizeable investments in digital technologies
CUSTOMERS
~831 PLANTS
ACEA 2.0 Programme: an ambitious strategic initiative, and a crucial stage in the Group's growth process.
Faced with the arduous task of ensuring the integrity, univocity and quality of data handled, ACEA has chosen SAP solutions (world leader in the sphere of management systems for Utilities).
ACEA Group
2016-2020 Business Plan Acea Group
Key highlights
ACEA Group
CONSOLIDATED TRACK RECORD OF EXCEEDING PREVIOUSLY ANNOUNCED TARGETS
| 2015 | 2020 Plan |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA (€m) | 732 | 890 | EBITDA CAGR 2015-2020: +4.0% |
| NET PROFIT before non-controlling interests (€m) |
182 | 276 | |
| NET DEBT (€m) | 2,010 | 2,252 | 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: ~12% |
| NET DEBT/EBITDA | 2.7x | 2.5x | |
| INVESTED CAPITAL (€bn) | 3,606 | 4,244 | DPS CAGR 2015-2020: 3%-6% |
All Acea employees are committed to the successful execution of the Group's Strategic Plan
15 Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan
Business Plan 2016-2020
EBITDA growth by business area
EBITDA trend €m
Holding
- Roll-in Acea 2.0
- Insourcing of activities
- Redundancy plan
- Corporate rationalisation
- Optimisation of real estate
Environment
- Completion of San Vittore plant
- Revamping of WTE in Lazio region
- Growth in composting market
Energy
- Introduction of Acea 2.0
- Customers: consolidation of customer base in 2017 and growth in 2020
Water
- Revised WACC
- Bonus for quality
- Acea 2.0-WFM
Grids
- Revised WACC
- Introducton of Acea 2.0- WFM
- Renewal of Public Lighting contract
- Growth in Public Lighting (Campania)
2016-2020 Business Plan Acceleration of efficiencies identified
Total efficiencies over the period of the Plan: €94m from 2020: ~ €40m on a recurring basis
ACEA Group
Capex optimization
Renewal and maintenance of grids, plants and IT systems and development of projects already authorised in Environment segment
20% 37% Grids 43% Water New Plan 2016-2020 Unregulated Regulated Capex €2.4m 80% Old Plan 2015-2019
Debt Structure
Long-term debt life and a solid liquidity position
| (€m) | 31 Dec 2014 (a) |
30 Sept 2015 | 31 Dec 2015 (b) |
Change (b-a) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medium/Long-term | 3,006.4 | 2,656.0 | 2,657.0 | (349.4) |
| Short-term | (917.3) | (525.2) | (646.9) | 270.4 |
| Net Debt | 2,089.1 | 2,130.8 | 2,010.1 | (79.0) |
SOLID FINANCIAL STRUCTURE TO SERVE YIELD AND GROWTH
Dividend Policy: consistent and sustainable
Payout ratio of 50%-60% DPS CAGR 3%-6%
2015-2020 Business Plan Environment
2016-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
- Number 3 operator in Italy in 2020
- Completion of previously approved initiatives:
- Revamping line 1 of San Vittore WTE plant in Lazio
- Construction of new composting plant with anaerobic digestion
- Expansion of Orvieto landfill
- Development of composting and sludge conditioning plants
- Consolidation in regions where present, with potential for synergies with other areas of business
| ('000 tons) | 2015 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| WTE | 354 | 553 |
| Mechanical treatment |
- | 355 |
| Landfill | 94 | 133 |
| Composting/anaerobic digestion |
7 | 310 |
| Chemical conditioning of sludge for use in agriculture |
29 | 196 |
| Sludge management |
224 | 241 |
| Liquid waste | - | 295 |
| Total | 708* | 2,083 |
Opportunities Risks
Regolatori:
- Completion of management of waste cycle in Lazio region Competitors:
- Number 6 operator in Italy in Environment sector by volume of waste treated, with 2.4% share of Italian market
- Leading Italian operator of composting plants
Growth:
- Insourcing of sludge treatment at Group level
- Average IRR for acquisitions / new constructions approx. 14%
Plants:
Delays in investment in construction or revamping of plants
Regulatory:
Changes to regulatory framework and authorisation process
Environmental:
- Environmental risks
- Local relations (administrative challenges, protest groups)
Targets and Results
Ebitda (€m)
CAGR +9.8%
2015-2019 Business Plan Energy
2015-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
Energy
Retail
- Moderate growth of customer base, with focus on existing areas of operation
- Improved service quality
- Acea 2.0: new billing and CRM system
- Efficiency of processes and overheads, including via insourcing Production
- Plants modernisation: Castel Madama and Mandela
- Devolopment of energy efficiency initiatives
Opportunities
Risks
Regulatory:
Complete revision of RCV (Remuneration commercialisation retail)
Competitors:
Customer loyalty
Systems:
Improved billing performance
Regulatory:
Failure to revise RCV
Competitors:
Increase in churn rate
Systems:
Migration of data and ''go-live'' of new billing system
Targets and Results
2015-2019 Business Plan Water
2015-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
- Opportunities Risks Regulatory: Recognition of FoNI component (to finance new investment) Introduction of a component linked to quality factor Systems: Improved billing performance External growth: Acquisition opportunities Systems: Roll out new IT platform • New Regulation: cycle 2016-2019 • Acea 2.0 project: radical transformation, standardisation and integration of all IT systems, obtaining operating cost and process efficiencies (WFM and new billing system started on 28 Sept 2015) • Overseas growth (Latin America) ATO2-Roma (expiry 2032) ATO5 Frosinone (exp. 2032) Other ATOs: • ATO3 Firenze (exp. 2021) • ATO6 Siena-Grosseto (exp. 2026) • ATO2 Pisa (exp. 2021) • ATO1 Perugia (exp. 2027) • ATO3 Sarnese V. (exp. 2032)
Water
2015-2020 Business Plan
Regulatory Opportunities
Introduction of a component linked to quality factor
The new MTI-2 tariff method also provides incentive mechanisms for the improvement of the contractual and technical quality of the service, by introducing two different mechanisms of awards/penalties.
- The first one involves an award for performance improvements compared to the minimum standards defined by the national Authority.
This mechanism is defined with the local Authority and the maximum amount of the premium is a function of the operator's efficiency in comparison to the national average.
In fact the premium is higher, the more the operator is efficient compared to the national average operating cost per customer served, set by the national Authority at 109 € per customer. The award is not subject to the tariff increase limit.
| ATO2 - Commercial Quality Awards (€m) |
2017-2020 Total |
Annual impact from 2019 on |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximun Value |
104 | 35 | ||||
| Impact included in BP targets |
62 | 24 | ||||
| ATO 5 | ||||||
| No awards, operating cost for customer served is higher than national avarage |
- The second mechanism, which is valid throughout the entire Country, is supplied by a specific tariff component, mandatory for all operators, to be allocated to a specific fund for the quality. During the first activation this mechanism promotes, rewarding the best practices, the growth of the contractual quality levels with respect to the parameters defined by the resolution on the contractual quality (655/2015/R/idr). Not included in Business Plan targets
| Recognition of FoNI component |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FoNI component (€m) |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | ||||
| ATO2 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 6 | ||||
| Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan | ATO5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Targets and Results
29 Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan
2015-2019 Business Plan Grids
2015-2020 Business Plan Strategies, opportunities and risks
Grids
- New Regulation: tariff cycle 2016-2023
- Acea2.0 project: improvement of service quality, cost efficiencies (WFM to go live in 2016)
- Modernisation of distribution network
- Modernisation of public lighting network (''Roma LED'')
- Expansion of public lighting network (Campania)
Opportunities Risks
Regulatory:
Recognition of t-1 depreciation in tariffs
Growth:
- Acquisition of minor grids
- IP LED technology in other municipalities
Systems:
Improved billing performance
Regulatory:
- Impact of new regulatory cycle
- Quality and service continuity
Systems:
Migration of data and go-live of new billing system
Targets and Results
Capex (€m)
156 763 878 2015 Old Plan 2015-2019 New Plan 2016-2020
RAB Net Debt (€m)
2015-2019 Business Plan
Corporate
Targets and results
- Further simplify the corporate structure
- Facilitate synergies through Project Acea 2.0
- Greater operational efficiency insourcing
2016-2020 Capex: €54m
2020 EBITDA: ~€3m
A solid base for the future Additional initiatives not included in Business Plan
ACQUISITIONS SUBJECT TO BoD DECISIONS
PROCESS SUBJECT TO LOCAL AUTHORITIES' AND PUBLIC SHAREHOLDERS' DECISIONS
* Consolidated using the equity method
Business Plan: Key Takeaways
2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 15.9% ACEA GROUP
2016-2020 CAPEX: €2.4bn
2020 EBITDA: €890m
CAGR EBITDA: +4.0%
DPS CAGR: 3%-6%
2020 NET DEBT: €2,252m
Environment
2020 EBITDA: €91m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €262m
Energy 2020 EBITDA: €138m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €159m 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 13.9%
Water 2020 EBITDA: €380m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €1,042m 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 11.5%
Grids 2020 EBITDA: €277m 2016-2020 CAPEX: €878m 2020 Pre-tax ROIC: 9.3%
Conclusions
Continued efforts in operating efficiency
Stable and predictable regulatory framework
Significant investment ensuring the Company's future growth
Strong financial position
Attractive shareholder returns as main strategic priority
Appendix
Appendix 2015 Results Water regulatory framework Electricity Distribution regulatory framework Main assumptions and sensitivity analysis Environmental Sustainability
2015 Financial highlights
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | Change % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3,038.3 | 2,917.3 | -4.0% | |||||
| EBITDA | 717.7 | 732.0 | +2.0% | Increased |
depreciation | and | ||
| EBIT | 390.4 | 386.5 | -1.0% | growth | amortisation (capex intangible |
growth: assets resulting |
||
| Profit/(loss) before tax | 289.8 | 296.4 | +2.3% | from the entry in operation information technology) |
of | |||
| Taxes* | 120.9 | 114.9 | -5.0% | Reduced |
bad debt (improved collections) |
provisions | ||
| Net profit/(loss) | 168.9 | 181.5 | +7.5% | Increased |
provisions | |||
| Minority interest | 6.4 | 6.5 | +1.6% | |||||
| Group net profit/(loss) | 162.5 | 175.0 | +7.7% | |||||
| Dividend per share (€) | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.1% | |||||
| Capex | 318.5 | 428.9 | +34.7% | | 84% of capex regards businesses, with positive impact on development of RAB |
regulated | ||
| (€m) | 31 Dec 2014 (a) |
30 Sept 2015 (b) |
31 Dec 2015 (c) |
Change (c/a) |
Change (c/b) |
|||
| NET DEBT | 2,089.1 | 2,130.8 | 2,010.1 | -3.8% | -5.7% | |||
| Shareholders' Equity | 1,502.4 | 1,553.8 | 1,596.1 | +6.2% | +2.7% | |||
| Invested | Capital | 3,591.5 | 3,684.6 | 3,606.2 | +0.4% | -2.1% |
- recognition, in 2014, of a charge of €17.1m due to abolition of "Robin Hood Tax";
Acea Group 2015 Results
40 Acea Group: 2016-2020 Business Plan - recognition, in 2015, of a charge of €19.9m due to reduction in IRES rate from 2017 (2016 Stability Law).
EBITDA
| Total number of employees |
2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Acea Spa | 661 | 636 |
| Environment | 221 | 227 |
| Energy | 522 | 549 |
| Water ° | 1,954 | 1,983 |
| Network | 1,335 | 1,315 |
| Total | 4,693 | 4,710 |
° Figures do not include:
-
2014 Overseas water operations: 412
-
2015 Overseas water operations: 268
EBITDA €m
+ €14m +2.0%
Aria's plants: increase in volume of electricity sold +€3.8m
Aquaser: +€1.7m
Kyklos: shutdown of plant -€2.2m
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change | Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 54.5 | 57.4 | +5.3% | Treatment and disposal ('000s of tonnes) |
774 | 765 |
| Capex | 13.3 | 25.9 | +94.7% | WTE electricity sold (GWh) |
249 | 265 |
Electricity production: +€0.4m Fall in energy prices and reduced volumes Consolidation of photovoltaic business
Electricity sales: -€4.1m
Recognition of non-recurring item
Increased margin from enhanced protection market due to revised retail price Reduced margin from free market (lower volumes)
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change |
Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 111.6 | 107.9 | -3.3% | Total Electricity production (GWh) |
513 | 470 |
| Production | 33.8 | 34.2 | +1.2% | Total Electricity sold (GWh) |
10,887 | 9,419 |
| Sales | 77.8 | 73.7 | -5.3% | Enhanced Protection Market | 3,000 | 2,951 |
| Free Market | 7,887 | 6,468 | ||||
| Capex | 19.7 | 30.6 | +55.3% | Total Gas sold (Mmc) |
103 | 126 |
Acea ATO2: tariff increase +€16.7m
Efficiency
Growth at companies consolidated using the equity method +€9.6m
Overseas water operations: +€0.4m
Recognition, in 2014, of non-recurring items by Acea Ato2 for adjustments
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change | Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 292.2 | 310.8 | +6.4% | Total volume of water sold | 540 | 527 |
| of which: Profit/(Loss) on investments consolidated under IFRS 11 |
19.0 | 28.6 | +50.5% | (Mmc) | ||
| Capex | 148.9 | 204.4 | +37.3% |
Acea Distribuzione margin increase
Pubblic Lighting margin increase
Deconsolidation of photovoltaic business
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change | Key quantitative data | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 253.3 | 255.7 | +0.9% | Total Electricity distributed |
10,294 | 10,557 |
| Capex | 122.4 | 156.2 | +27.6% | (GWh) |
| (€m) | 2014 | 2015 | % change |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 6.1 | 0.2 | n.s. |
| Capex | 14.2 | 11.8 | -16.9% |
EBIT and Net Profit
Cash flow
| CASH FLOW ANALYSIS (€m) | 2014 | 1Q15 | 1H15 | 9M15 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 718 | 177 | 353 | 531 | 732 |
| Change in net working capital | 76 | (98) | (23) | (32) | 113 |
| Investment | (317) | (72) | (168) | (287) | (423) |
| Change in net fixed assets | (21) | (5) | (17) | (21) | (51) |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 455 | 2 | 145 | 191 | 371 |
| Net finance income/(costs) | (101) | (24) | (45) | (67) | (91) |
| Income tax expense | (121) | (27) | (53) | (75) | (115) |
| Free Cash Flow 2 | 233 | (49) | 47 | 49 | 165 |
| Dividends and other (Equity) | (74) | (2) | (86) | (90) | (87) |
| Profit/(loss) from investments | 1 | 0 | (1) | (1) | 1 |
| Change in Net Debt | 160 | (51) | (40) | (42) | 79 |
2015 Results: financial highlights
| (€m) | 31 Dec 2014 (a) |
30 Sept 2015 (b) |
31 Dec 2015 (c) |
Change (c-a) |
Change (c-b) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NET DEBT | 2,089.1 | 2,130.8 | 2,010.1 | (79.0) | (120.7) |
| Medium/Long-term | 3,006.4 | 2,656.0 | 2,657.0 | (349.4) | 1.0 |
| Short-term | (917.3) | (525.2) | (646.9) | 270.4 | (121.7) |
| NET DEBT/ SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY 31 Dec 2014 |
NET DEBT/ SHAREHOLDER'S EQUITY 31 Dec 2015 |
NET DEBT/EBITDA 31 Dec 2015 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4x | 1.3x | 2.9x | 2.7x |
Water regulatory framework
RESOLUTION 664/2015 "Approval of the Water Tariff Regime for the second regulatory period MTI-2" 28 December 2015
On 28 December of last year, the AEEGSI approved its Final Resolution (664/2015), setting out the Water Tariff Regime for the second regulatory period (2016-2019).
The applicable regulations are broadly based on a matrix chart with 6 different quadrants relating to: the ratio of required capex to the value of existing infrastructure; eventual changes in the operator's objectives or operations (consolidation, significant improvements in service quality); the value of the operator's opex per inhabitant served compared with the estimated average opex for the sector as a whole in 2014.
Key points in the Resolution are set out below:
- The duration of the regulatory period has been set at four years, with biennial revision of the RAB and of controllable opex. The cost of debt and tax expense may be reviewed every two years in the event of "significant changes".
- There is further support for the consolidation process, allowing for tariffs to be standardised in the event of a combination of operators holding concessions for different areas.
- A system of quality performance rewards and penalties has been introduced. The reward component is excluded from any tariff caps.
- Application of a tariff multiplier has been confirmed.
- The "sharing" mechanism has been confirmed, based on a matrix that penalises the least efficient operators.
- The mechanism for allowing for a portion of late payment costs has been defined (80% of the costs effectively incurred by operators), taking into account the varying impact of this problem throughout the country (North: 2.1% of turnover; Central: 3.8% of turnover; South: 7.1% of turnover) and providing incentives for the adoption of efficient credit management solutions.
- The "ψ" parameter, on which determination of the component intended to pre-finance the cost of new investment (FNI), may be selected within a range of 0.4-0.8.
- The distinction between non-controllable and controllable opex has been retained. Costs linked to the integration of operations and/or significant improvements in service quality are also allowed for.
- The cost of debt has been set at 2.8% (compared with 2% for the electricity sector).
- The ERP (Equity Risk Premium) is 4% (compared with 5.5% for the electricity sector).
- The real RF (Risk Free) rate is 0.5%, determined on the basis of yields on 10-year euro area government bonds with ratings of at least "AA" (in line with the electricity sector).
- The WRP (Water Risk Premium) is 1.5% (compared with a CRP Country Risk Premium of 1% used in the electricity sector).
- The 1% time-lag for capex has been confirmed.
Based on the provisions in the Resolution, the WACC for the Water sector is 5.34% (compared with 6.1% for the regulatory period 2014-2015 and 6.4% for the period 2012-2013).
Electricity Distribution regulatory framework
RESOLUTION 654/2015 and 583/2015
"Tariff regulation for the supply of electricity transmission, distribution and metering services in the regulatory period 2016-2023" (December, 2015)
"Rate of return on capital invested in infrastructure services in the electricity and gas sectors: criteria for determination and revision" (December, 2015)
The Regulator has extended the duration of the regulatory period to eight years, dividing it into two sub-periods, each lasting four years. In the second sub-period (2020-2023), a Totex-based approach will be introduced.
Key points in the Resolution are set out below:
- Opex based on 2014 figures.
- Equal allocation of productivity improvements (sharing) among users and operators (50%-50%).
- Greater selectivity applied to capex, with particular attention paid to service quality.
- A reduction in the time-lag from 2 to 1 year.
- Confirmation of the determination of net working capital with reference to parameters based on net fixed assets, applying a lower percentage than the one applied in previous regulatory periods.
GAS GRIDS
The WACC is fixed for two years (2016-2017) for the transmission service and for three years (2016-2018) for gas distribution and storage:
Gas transmission: 5.4% (compared with the previous 6.3%);
Gas distribution: 6.1% (compared with the previous 6.9%);
Storage: 6.5% (compared with the previous 6.0%).
ELECTRICITY GRIDS
The WACC is fixed for three years (2016-2018) for the electricity transmission and distribution
Electricity transmission: 5.3% (compared with the previous 6.3%)
Electricity distribution: 5.6% (compared with the previous 6.4%)
Main assumptions
| Main assumptions |
2015 | 2016 Piano |
2017 Piano |
2018 Piano |
2019 Piano |
2020 Piano |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exchange | \$/€ | 1.110 | 1.119 | 1.031 | 1.082 | 1.180 | 1.220 |
| Brent | \$/Bbl | 52.4 | 53.6 | 61.8 | 66.9 | 69.0 | 75.0 |
| PUN | €/MWh | 52.3 | 47.7 | 45.8 | 46.8 | 47.6 | 48.6 |
| Green certificates |
€/MWh | 100.1 | 102.0 | 104.7 | 103.9 | 103.3 | 102.5 |
| EU-ETS | €/tons of CO2 |
7.7 | 10.8 | 10.3 | 12.2 | 13.3 | 14.5 |
| CIP6 | €/MWh | 224.6 | 217.9 | 225.6 | 227.0 | 224.4 | 226.8 |
Sensitivity analysis on key drivers
ACEA – SUSTAINABILITY
Acea is assessed by leading analysts, rating Agencies and ESG asset managers:
- Oekom Research
- Vigeo
- KeplerCheuvreux
- Forum Ethibel
- Kempen SNS
GOVERNANCE
- ACEA is the number one Italian listed company for gender diversity on its board of directors majority of women (5 out of 9). All board committees are assigned to women.
- The Sustainability Report is approved annually by the BoD and published together with the annual financial statements.
- Currently the 2016-2020 Sustainability plan is being drafted.
SOCIAL
- Stakeholder engagement and creation of shared value: The stakeholders of the municipality of Rome presented about 800 projects to be financed and developed with the contribution of Acea.
- Long-term relations with suppliers: towards building a durable partnership.
ENVIRONMENTAL
- Satellite monitoring to safeguard drinking water sources;
- 78% renewable power generation (613 GWh out of 783 GWh);
- Very low carbon footprint in water distribution system (ex 0.41 kg CO2/m3)
- Composting activities moving towards a circular economy;
-
Acea Distribuzione Italian Leader in smart grids.
-
Governance Acea has set up an Ethics Committee – consisting of 3 directors and 2 external members – with responsibility for promoting and applying the Group's Code of Ethics. A whistleblowing system is also in place, in line with national and international best practices, for reporting any violations of the Code.
- Social The Acea per Roma project, launched in 2015, has seen Acea provide €450,000 in funding for 55 urban regeneration projects, selected from among around 800 proposals submitted by members of the public from all the municipalities; given the success of this initiative, Acea plans to repeat it in 2016. In 2015, Acea awarded the first Single Contracts for maintenance of the water network (in Lazio) and electricity grid, involving large amounts and long-term contracts, thereby establishing highly evolved partnerships with its suppliers. With the implementation of Project Acea2.0, designed to modernise IT systems in order to support the businesses and a new managerial approach, Acea aims, among other things, to significantly improve the quality of the services provided and its customer relations over the medium term.
- Environment and Innovation Environmental and technological development initiatives include: safeguards for drinking water sources; the production of renewable energy; low carbon emissions in the water distribution system; LED technology in public lighting, composting; smart grids, within a smart city context.
Acea is engaged on CSR also through its COP (Communication on Progress) promoted by Global Compact Network. From 2014 the Acea COP qualifies for Advanced level - only 12 Italian Companies.
The last Acea ranking (99 B) represents a high level of transparency in the communication of practices adopted to combat climate change and the ability to limit the carbon footprint of processes. In the Utilities sector, in which seven enterprises are represented, Acea achieved the third best evaluation, behind Enel and Snam.
| Organization | Answer: Public/ Not Public Score |
Final |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | ||
| A2A | Public | 96C |
| ACEA SpA | Public | 99B |
| Enel Green Power SpA SA | N/A | |
| ENEL SpA | Public | 100B |
| Hera | Public | 98B |
| Iren SpA | Public | 97C |
| Snam S.P.A | Public | 100B |
| Terna | Public | 96C |
Acea signs up to the UN's Global Compact from 2007, committing to integrate the ten principles regarding human rights and labour, environmental protection and efforts to combat corruption into its strategic vision and organisational culture and to support the UN's wider Sustainable Development Goals. Through its Communications on Progress (COPs), Acea informs stakeholders about the activities carried out and the results achieved. From 2014, Acea's COPs have been classified as Advanced, in that they go beyond the basic requirements. There are 1,735 companies in the world out of 20,540 classified as Advanced, including 12 in Italy.
The Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP), the organisation that assesses corporate disclosure regarding climate change and water, has ranked Acea as 99B, indicating a high degree of transparency in its communication of the measures adopted to combat climate change and its ability to limit greenhouse gas emissions. Acea is the third best performer among Italian utilities after Enel and Snam.
55 Acea Acea Group: 2016 Group Presentation -2020 Business Plan ACEA Group
Coming soon: next challenges concerning Sustainability
2016 Corporate Governance Code for Listed Companies and application of corporate social responsibility principles
2017
EU Directive 95/2014 as regards disclosure of non-financial and diversity information
Acea is ready to comply with upcoming disclosure obligations and grasp the opportunities arising from the strategic management of aspects of ESG in its operations, to ensure the sustainable creation of shared value
Disclaimer
THIS PRESENTATION CONTAINS CERTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT REFLECT THE COMPANY'S MANAGEMENT'S CURRENT VIEWS WHIT RESPECT TO FUTURE EVENTS AND FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE OF THE COMPANY AND ITS SUBSIDIARIES.
THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON ACEA S.P.A.'S CURRENT EXPECTATIONS AND PROJECTIONS ABOUT FUTURE EVENTS. BECAUSE THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES, ACTUAL FUTURE RESULTS OR PERFORMANCE MAY DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE EXPRESSED IN OR IMPLIED BY THESE STATEMENTS DUE TO ANY NUMBER OF DIFFERENT FACTORS, MANY OF WHICH ARE BEYOND THE ABILITY OF ACEA S.P.A. TO CONTROL OR ESTIMATE PRECISELY, INCLUDING CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, FUTURE MARKET DEVELOPMENTS, FLUCTUATIONS IN THE PRICE AND AVAILABILITY OF FUEL AND OTHER RISKS.
YOU ARE CAUTIONED NOT TO PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN, WHICH ARE MADE ONLY AS OF THE DATE OF THIS PRESENTATION. ACEA S.P.A. DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO PUBLICLY RELEASE ANY UPDATES OR REVISIONS TO ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT EVENTS OR CIRCUMSTANCES AFTER THE DATE OF THIS PRESENTATION.
THIS PRESENTATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE A RECOMMENDATION REGARDING THE SECURITIES OF THE COMPANY.
***
PURSUANT TO ART. 154-BIS, PAR. 2, OF THE UNIFIED FINANCIAL ACT OF FEBRUARY 24, 1998, THE EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF PREPARING THE CORPORATE ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS AT ACEA, DEMETRIO MAURO – CFO OF THE COMPANY - DECLARES THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN CORRESPOND TO DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS.