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WISDOM — Investor Presentation 2020
Sep 17, 2020
52177_rns_2020-09-17_a93be7e6-9332-448d-9048-055cf6d44e5d.pdf
Investor Presentation
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慧洋海運股份有限公司 Wisdom Marine Lines Co., Limited TWSE: 2637 |LSE: WML
18 September 2020 http://www.wisdomlines.com.tw
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大綱Agenda
-
公司概況 / Outlook
-
產業概況 / Industry
-
營運策略 / Strategy
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2
財務成長Financial Trend
USD mm 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 - 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 # of 1 8 12 13 17 16 19 23 29 33 51 67 75 84 92 94 106 114 124 130 129 135 Vsls Revenue Op. Profit Op. Margin BDI *2020/8/31
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80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
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2019財務資訊Monthly Earning
| 2019 | Op. Revenue (USD) | Op. Profit (USD) | Op. Margin | Net Income (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38,380,069 | 10,511,950 | 27.39% | 4,820,714 |
| 2 | 34,193,313 | 8,558,138 | 25.03% | 4,147,241 |
| 3 | 37,697,013 | 9,623,226 | 25.53% | 4,371,509 |
| 4 | 36,348,549 | 8,079,524 | 22.23% | 26,380,797 |
| 5 | 37,501,111 | 8,821,123 | 23.52% | 3,843,378 |
| 6 | 36,586,374 | 8,999,955 | 24.60% | 1,108,366 |
| 7 | 38,006,168 | 8,863,866 | 23.32% | 2,048,893 |
| 8 | 38,719,025 | 9,477,716 | 24.48% | 4,291,812 |
| 9 | 38,111,814 | 9,679,929 | 25.40% | 5,994,607 |
| 10 | 38,597,787 | 9,886,868 | 25.62% | 3,869,546 |
| 11 | 36,250,045 | 8,721,170 | 24.06% | 6,876,363 |
| 12 | 37,119,646 | 9,016,400 | 24.29% | 3,929,069 |
| Total | 447,510,914 | 110,245,838 | 24.64% | 71,123,928 |
EPS : 3.38
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2020財務資訊Monthly Earning
| 2020 | Op. Revenue (USD) | Op. Profit (USD) | Op. Margin | Net Income (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33,544,644 | 4,466,991 | 13.32% | 1,122,668 |
| 2 | 28,014,749 | 959,325 | 3.42% | -2,132,388 |
| 3 | 31,151,635 | 2,083,266 | 6.69% | -3,069,507 |
| 4 | 29,949,173 | 1,714,727 | 5.73% | -4,956,576 |
| 5 | 30,764,584 | 1,781,948 | 5.79% | -1,167,224 |
| 6 | 30,451,462 | 518,053 | 1.70% | -3,921,688 |
| 7 | 34,863,802 | 5,292,496 | 15.18% | 88,119 |
| 8 | 36,571,320 | 5,965,179 | 16.31% | 2,652,959 |
| Total | 255,311,369 | 22,781,985 | 8.92% | -11,383,637 |
EPS : -0.47
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船隊Fleet
| Vessel Type Dry Bulk Cape |
Current (# of vessels) Owned BBHP&TC Managed Total %* 3 0 0 3 2% |
NB No. - |
Total No. % 3 2% 32 22% 28 19% 47 32% 32 22% 6 3% 148 100% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panamax | 24 3 1 28 21% |
4 | |
| Supramax | 23 3 0 26 19% |
2 | |
| Handy | 38 1 1 40 30% |
7 | |
| Small Handy | 30 0 2 32 24% |
- | |
| Others Other |
3 1 2 6 4% |
- | |
| Overall Group | 121 8 6 135 100% |
13 |
- Average age : 7.0Y (as at 2020/08/31)
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同業船型Peer Fleet
| 慧洋 | 新興 | 裕民 | 中航 | 台航 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WML | Sincere Nav. | U-Ming | CMT | Taiwan Nav. | |
| Cape | 3 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| Panamax | 28 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 6 |
| Supramax | 26 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| Handy | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Small Handy | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Others | 6 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| Total | 135 | 17 | 44 | 10 | 26 |
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同業營收及損益Peer Financial
| 2020Q1~Q2 | Operating Revenue |
Operating Profit |
Operating Margin |
Net Income | EPS (TWD) |
ROE(%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 慧洋 WML |
5,516,471 | 345,741 | 6% | -431,730 | -0.61 | -1.49 |
| 新興 Sincere Nav. |
2,241,564 | 301,377 | 14% | 214,993 | 0.37 | 1.47 |
| 裕民 U-Ming |
3,519,021 | -178,139 | -5% | -283,710 | -0.34 | -1.07 |
| 中航 CMT |
1,552,550 | 92,338 | 6% | 135,085 | 0.68 | 1.37 |
| 台航 Taiwan Nav. |
1,209,552 | 185,073 | 16% | 273,571 | 0.66 | 2.67 |
Unit: 1,000 TWD Source: MOPS
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2020 新船營運New Vessels
| No. | DWT | Type | Delivery | TC | Hire (USD) | Gross Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| *1 | 61000 | Supramax | Jan-20 | 1Y | ※10,000+ | 36.05% |
| 2 | 82400 | Panamax | Mar-20 | 1+1Y | 13,000+ | 48.44% |
| *3 | 61000 | Supramax | Mar-20 | 7~10 months | 9,000+ | 27.48% |
| 4 | 63000 | Supramax | Apr-20 | 1+1Y | 12,000+ | 47.46% |
| 5 | 37800 | Handy | Jun-20 | 5~7 months | 8,000+ | 31.30% |
| 6 | 82400 | Panamax | Jun-20 | 1Y | 11,000+ | 38.68% |
| 7 | 37800 | Handy | Sep-20 | 1+1Y | 9,000+ | 35.69% |
| 8 | 63300 | Supramax | Nov-20 | 1Y | 11,000+ | 40.75% |
| Total | 83,000+ | 38.23% |
- scrubber-equipped
※ index-linked
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2019 換約情形TC Renewal
| No. of | Vsl | *Avg. Hire Adjustment | Effect on Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019Q1 | 21 | 3.00% | 0.41% | |
| 2019Q2 | 15 | 0.91% | 0.06% | |
| 2019Q3 | 11 | 3.17% | 0.09% | |
| 2019Q4 | 13 | 9.42% | 0.08% | |
| Total | 60 | 3.96% | 0.64% |
- (Total Hire After Adj. - Total Hire Before Adj.) / Total Hire Before Adj.
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2020 換約情形TC Renewal
| No. of Vsl | *Avg. Hire Adjustment | Effect on Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020Q1 | 13 | -10.96% | -1.02% |
| 2020Q2 | 10 | -9.35% | -0.42% |
| Est. 2020Q3 | 10 | -2.02% | -0.10% |
| Est. 2020Q4 | 14 | 3.82% | 0.06% |
| Total | 47 | -4.59% | -1.48% |
- (Total Hire After Adj. - Total Hire Before Adj.) / Total Hire Before Adj.
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自營船隊Self Operation
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平均船數 Avg. Fleet:32
-
主要船型 Ship Type:Handy+Small Handy
-
平均船齡 Avg. Age:11Y
-
運費及短期租金收入佔營收比重20% Freight & short-period hire revenue on total revenue
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Handy Small Handy
10000 18 7000 30
15
8000 12 6000 20
9
6000 6 5000 10
3
4000 0 4000 0
Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20
No. TCE No. TCE
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指數連結船舶Index-linked
Panamax
Supramax
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15000 6 12000 18
15
12000
9000
4 12
9000
6000 9
6000
2 6
3000
3000 3
0 0 0 0
Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20
No. BPI Avg. TC Avg. Hire No. BSI Avg. TC Avg. Hire
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Handy
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12000 6
9000
4
6000
2
3000
0 0
Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20
No. BHSI Avg. TC Avg. Hire
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-
船數 Fleet at Aug-20 : 26
-
至8月底已有18艘船舶鎖定固定租金 18 vessels' rate had been fixed
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新冠肺炎疫情COVID-19
對散裝航運之影響
Impact On Dry Bulk Market
公司應對措施 Our Responses
-
工廠產能受限、原物料需求減少
-
提前安排船舶進塢
Reduced global demand
Early dry docking
-
自營船舶收入減少、指數連結船舶租金下滑 Impact on spot market & index-linked hire
-
港口及邊境封鎖Port & border lockdown
• 現金增資、向銀行申請寬緩以穩定現金流 New share issuance & deferred loan repayments
-
港務作業延遲、船員換班困難
-
Delay in port operation, crew change
-
二手船舶、拆船市況不佳
Sluggish S&P Market
- 公司處分船舶計畫延後
Delay in vessel disposal
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產業走勢Industrial Trend
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6000
5000
4000
6-July
1956
3000
14-May
393
2000
1000
0
2-Jan-19 2-Mar-19 2-May-19 2-Jul-19 2-Sep-19 2-Nov-19 2-Jan-20 2-Mar-20 2-May-20 2-Jul-20 2-Sep-20
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-1000
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BDI BCI BPI BSI
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船舶市況World Fleet & Wisdom
| Avg. Age (yrs) | Number of Vessels | Number of Vessels |
|---|---|---|
| Type World Fleet Wisdom |
World Fleet | Wisdom |
| Order Current Order(%) 20+yrs(%) |
Order Current |
|
| Cape (110,000+) 9.3 8.7 |
125 1,564 8.0% 1.3% |
0 3 |
| Panamax (67-110,000) 10.6 4.7 |
186 2,850 6.5% 9.9% |
4 28 |
| Supramax (40-67,000) 10.5 5.3 |
185 3,582 5.2% 8.7% |
2 26 |
| Handy (25-40,000) 11.0 6.5 |
109 2,515 4.3% 11.7% |
7 40 |
*Source : Maersk Dry Bulk Fleet _August 2020
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船舶市況World Fleet 2016~2020
| Order % (Number of Vessels) 20+yrs(%) (Number of Vessels) |
Order % (Number of Vessels) 20+yrs(%) (Number of Vessels) |
|---|---|
| Type \ Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 |
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 |
| Cape (110,000+) 3.0% 4.5% 8.4% 11.6% 8.0% |
3.8% 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% |
| Panamax (67-110,000) 6.9% 7.9% 11.7% 10.5% 6.5% |
8.5% 6.5% 7.5% 9.0% 9.9% |
| Supramax (40-67,000) 8.5% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 5.2% |
9.3% 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% 8.7% |
| Handy (25-40,000) 8.2% 5.7% 5.8% 5.1% 4.3% |
12.9% 10.7% 10.4% 11.4% 11.7% |
*Source: Maersk Dry Bulk Fleet Status _ August 2020
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船舶市況World Fleet 2016~2020
| Fleet Change (No.) | 2016 2017 2018 2019 ※2020 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Fleet 1st January | 10,710 10,878 11,379 11,612 11,963 |
|
| Changes | Delvieries | 564 456 299 438 345 |
| Sold for Scrap | (404) (217) (56) (83) (86) |
|
| Misc. Additions | - - - - - |
|
| Misc. Removals/Losses | (6) (2) (3) (4) (2) |
|
| Net Change during | Year | 154 237 240 351 257 |
| Fleet End Year | 10,864 11,115 11,619 11,963 12,220 |
*Source: Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Weekly_04-September-2020
※as of 04-September-2020
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拆船市況Scrapping
| Type \ Year (m dwt) 2016 2017 2018 2019* |
※2020 % |
|---|---|
| Cape (110,000+) 13.3 6.4 3.1 5.9 7.1 73% |
|
| Panamax (67-110,000) 8.3 3.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 77% |
|
| Supramax (40-67,000) 4.3 3.1 0.7 0.8 1.2 128% |
|
| Handy (10-40,000) 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 -1% |
|
| Total 29.1 14.6 4.4 7.9 9.3 72% |
*Source : Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Weekly_04-September-2020 The % change is based on annualized figures for this year against last year.
※ as of 04-September-2020
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限硫令Sulphur Cap
• 公司應對措施 Our Responses
新造船 New Building
現成船隊 Existing Fleet
部分安裝脫硫設備install scrubbers
預留裝設空間reserving place
使用低硫油using low sulphur oil
• 油品價差 Price Difference
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Price $/mt
800
600
400
200
0
Nov-19 Feb-20 May-20 Aug-20
Global 20 Ports -IFO380 Global 20 Ports -VLSFO
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未來營運策略Strategy
• 新造船訂單On Order: 13
• 船舶處分Disposal of Vessels
-
-以節能船為主Mainly Eco-ship
-
-以老舊船舶為主
-
-油耗表現Consumption Saving
Prioritize sale of vessels over 10 years old
老舊船舶 Fleet over 10 years old
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panamax | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Supramax | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Handy | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 10-15y | 15-20y | 20-25y | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cape | - | - | - |
| Panamax | - | - | - |
| Supramax | 3 | - | - |
| Handy | 7 | 1 | - |
| Small Handy | 18 | 1 | - |
| Other | 2 | - | 2 |
| Total | 30 | 2 | 2 |
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Q&A
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