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WISDOM — Investor Presentation 2019
Mar 18, 2019
52177_rns_2019-03-18_d332a583-a9c5-4796-bdab-5447ee8bf7be.pdf
Investor Presentation
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慧洋海運股份有限公司 Wisdom Marine Lines Co., Limited TWSE: 2637 |LSE: WML
19 March 2019
http://www.wisdomlines.com.tw
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1
大綱 Agenda
-
公司概況 / Outlook
-
產業概況 / Industry
-
營運策略 / Strategy
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2
財務成長 Financial Trend
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450 60%
400
50%
350
300 40%
250
30%
200
150 20%
100
10%
50
- 0%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
# of 1 8 12 13 17 16 19 23 29 33 51 67 75 84 92 94 106 114 124 130
Vsls
Revenue Op. Profit Op. Margin BDI
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3
2018財務資訊 Monthly Earning
| 2018 | Op. Revenue (USD) | Op. Profit (USD) | Op. Margin | Net Income (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34,271,782 | 8,347,564 | 24.36% | 1,153,432 |
| 2 | 31,142,073 | 6,682,409 | 21.46% | 2,827,095 |
| 3 | 35,512,365 | 8,760,887 | 24.67% | 3,401,058 |
| 4 | 34,529,511 | 8,497,331 | 24.61% | 5,345,321 |
| 5 | 36,765,265 | 9,796,336 | 26.65% | 4,162,379 |
| 6 | 36,199,294 | 9,328,544 | 25.77% | 5,957,704 |
| 7 | 37,339,839 | 10,525,821 | 28.19% | 4,677,068 |
| 8 | 37,287,969 | 10,489,459 | 28.13% | 5,404,659 |
| 9 | 35,812,327 | 9,372,713 | 26.17% | 4,871,547 |
| 10 | 38,440,435 | 11,180,689 | 29.09% | 6,346,467 |
| 11 | 37,355,864 | 10,462,189 | 28.01% | 11,901,147 |
| 12 | 38,778,077 | 12,219,427 | 31.51% | 5,829,479 |
| Total | 433,434,801 | 115,254,976 | 26.59% | 60,008,818 |
| EPS : 2.92 |
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4
2019財務資訊 Monthly Earning
| 2019 | Op. Revenue (USD) | Op. Profit (USD) | Op. Margin | Net Income (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38,380,069 | 10,511,950 | 27.39% | 4,820,714 |
| 2 | 34,193,313 | 8,558,138 | 25.03% | 4,147,241 |
| Total | 72,573,382 | 19,070,088 | 26.28% | 8,967,955 |
| EPS : 0.44 |
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5
船隊 Fleet
| Vessel Type Dry Bulk Cape |
Current (# of vessels) Owned BBHP&TC Managed Total %* 3 0 0 3 2% |
NB No. - |
Total No. % 3 2% 30 21% 27 19% 42 29% 36 25% 6 4% 144 100% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panamax | 22 4 0 26 20% |
4 | |
| Supramax | 20 1 0 21 16% |
6 | |
| Handy | 36 2 0 38 29% |
4 | |
| Small Handy | 34 1 1 36 28% |
- | |
| Others Other |
3 1 2 6 5% |
- | |
| Overall Group | 118 9 3 130 100% |
14 |
- Average age : 6.6Y (as at 2019/2/28)
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6
同業船型Peer Fleet
| 慧洋 | 新興 | 裕民 | 中航 | 台航 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WML | Sincere Nav. | U-Ming | CMT | Taiwan Nav. | |
| Cape | 3 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| Panamax | 26 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 7 |
| Supramax | 21 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| Handy | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Small Handy | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Others | 6 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| Total | 130 | 17 | 46 | 10 | 35 |
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7
2018 新船營運 New Vessels
| No. | DWT | Type | Delivery | TC (Year) | Hire (USD) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 81,600 | Panamax | 18-Jan | 3Y | 11,000+ | 41.88% |
| 2 | 37,600 | Handy | 18-Jan | 2Y | 10,000+ | 44.24% |
| 3 | 61,950 | Supramax | 18-Jan | 5Y | 11,000+ | 42.88% |
| 4 | 81,600 | Panamax | 18-Apr | 1Y | 14,000+ | 54.70% |
| 5 | 6,400 | Other | 18-Jun | 6Y | 10,000+ | 31.39% |
| 6 | 55,000 | Supramax | 18-Aug | 1Y | 12,000+ | 48.81% |
| 7 | 63,700 | Supramax | 18-Sep | 1Y | 14,000+ | 51.78% |
| 8 | 34,000 | Handy | 18-Nov | 1Y | 11,000+ | 43.12% |
| Total | 82,000+ | 44.85% |
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8
2019 新船營運 New Vessels
| No. | DWT | Type | Delivery | TC (Year) | Hire (USD) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34000 | Handy | 19-Apr | - | 11,000+ | 49.89% |
| 2 | 63000 | Supramax | 19-Apr | 5Y | 11,000+ | 40.84% |
| 3 | 37600 | Handy | 19-Jul | 7Y | 10,000+ | 44.91% |
| 4 | 61000 | Supramax | 19-Nov | - | 14,000+ | 54.88% |
| 5 | 61000 | Supramax | 19-Dec | - | 14,000+ | 54.88% |
| Total | 60,000+ | 49.08% |
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9
2018 換約情形 TC Renewal
| Est. | No. of Vsl | Est. Avg. Hire* Adjustment** |
Est. Effect on Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018Q1 | 20 | 19.28% | 2.26% | |
| 2018Q2 | 12 | 30.70% | 1.66% | |
| 2018Q3 | 9 | 18.13% | 0.53% | |
| 2018Q4 | 8 | 4.59% | 0.08% | |
| Total | 49 | 18.78% | 4.53% |
- (Total Hire After Adj. - Total Hire Before Adj.) / Total Hire Before Adj.
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10
自營船隊 Self Operation
-
自營船隊OP Fleet
-
平均船數Avg. Fleet: 11
-
船型Ship Type: Handy + Small Handy
-
平均船齡Avg. Age: 9.8Y
-
佔營收比重% on Revenue : 3%
| 2019 avg. | 2018 avg. | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BDI | 856 | 1186 | -27.82% |
| BHSI | 403 | 560 | -28.04% |
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11
產業走勢 Industrial Trend
3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 3-Sep-18 3-Oct-18 3-Nov-18 3-Dec-18 3-Jan-19 3-Feb-19 3-Mar-19 BDI BCI BPI BSI
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12
第一季散裝市況Q1 Market Situation
- 農曆春節Chinese New Year
長假期間交易量清淡 Limited cargo avalibility
-
中美貿易戰Trade War
-
美灣大豆出口受限,BPI/BSI承壓
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2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
3-Jan-19 3-Feb-19 3-Mar-19
BDI BCI BPI BSI
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Soybean exports dropped, BPI & BSI under pressure
- 巴西淡水河谷大壩崩塌Brazil Mining Dam Collapse
鐵礦砂產能不足,BCI積弱不振
Insufficient iron ore supply led to BCI plunge
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13
船舶市況 World Fleet & Wisdom
| Avg. Age (yrs) | Number of Vessels | Number of Vessels |
|---|---|---|
| Type World Fleet Wisdom |
World Fleet | Wisdom |
| Order Current Order(%) 20+yrs(%) |
Order Current |
|
| Cape (110,000+) 8.6 7.2 |
161 1,488 10.8% 1.5% |
0 3 |
| Panamax (67-110,000) 10.2 3.5 |
332 2,600 12.0% 8.0% |
4 26 |
| Supramax (40-67,000) 9.6 4.8 |
247 3,380 7.3% 8.2% |
6 21 |
| Handy (25-40,000) 10.0 5.5 |
134 2,446 5.2% 10.7% |
4 38 |
*Source : Maersk Dry Bulk Fleet _Mar 2019
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17
船舶市況 World Fleet 2015~2019
| Order % (Number of Vessels) |
20+yrs(%) (Number of Vessels) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Type \ Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 |
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 |
|
| Cape (110,000+) 14.0% 3.0% 4.5% 8.4% 10.8% |
3.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.6% 1.5% |
|
| Panamax (67-110,000) 12.1% 6.9% 7.9% 11.7% 12.0% |
6.3% 8.5% 6.5% 7.5% 8.0% |
|
| Supramax (40-67,000) 15.5% 8.5% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% |
8.4% 9.3% 7.6% 8.0% 8.2% |
|
| Handy (25-40,000) 12.5% 8.2% 5.7% 5.8% 5.2% |
14.0% 12.9% 10.7% 10.4% 10.7% |
*Source: Maersk Dry Bulk Fleet Status _ Mar 2019
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18
船舶市況 World Fleet 2015~2019
| Fleet Change (No.) | 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Fleet 1st January | 10,484 10,710 10,878 11,120 11,353 |
|
| Changes | Delvieries | 659 564 456 293 68 |
| Sold for Scrap | (429) (404) (217) (57) (16) |
|
| Misc. Additions | - - - - - |
|
| Misc. Removals/Losses | (6) (6) (2) (3) - |
|
| Net Change during | Year | 224 154 237 233 51 |
| Fleet End Year | 10,708 10,864 11,115 11,353 11,404 |
*Source: Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Weekly_08-Mar-2019
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19
新造船價格New Buildings Price
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NB Price Second Hand Price-5Y
60 50
40
40
30
20
20
10
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Cape Panamax Supramax Handy Cape Panamax Supramax Handy
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Source: Clarkson Shipping Intelligence
• 新造船價格回升速度緩慢Upward but slow trend for NB price
-
-NB price recovered by 18% from 2016
-
-Second hand price recovered by 50% from 2016
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17
拆船市況 Demolition Market
| Type \ Year (m dwt)* | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape (110,000+) 15.4 13.3 6.4 3.1 |
1.3 118% |
|||||
| Panamax (67-110,000) 6.8 8.3 3.6 0.1 |
0.1 149% |
|||||
| Supramax (40-67,000) 3.1 4.3 3.1 0.7 |
0.0 -66% |
|||||
| Handy (10-40,000) 5.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 |
0.1 27% |
|||||
| Total 30.5 29.1 14.6 4.4 |
1.5 91% |
*Source : Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Weekly_08-Mar-2019
*The % change is based on annualized figures for this year against last year.
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20
法規要求 Regulatory Challenges
-
溫室氣體Greenhouse Gas
-
EU MRV : Monitoring, Reporting, Verification (2018/1/1~)
-
IMO DCS : Data Collection System (2019/1/1~)
-
氮氧化物排放Nitrogen Oxide(NOx)
-
MARPOL Annex VI Tier III regulation (2016/1/1~)
-
壓艙水處理系統Ballast Water Treatment System
-
International Convention for the BWM (2019/9/7~)
-
硫化物排放Sulphur Dioxide(SOx)
-
ECA : Emission Control Area < 0.1% (2015/1/1~)
-
MARPOL Annex VI : the global sulphur cap will be reduced from current 3.50% to 0.50% (2020/1/1~)
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19
限硫令Sulphur Cap
Option 1 : 低硫油Low Sulphur Oil
• 油品價差Price Difference
| *Average price | Consumption Incremental Cost(*70%) |
|
|---|---|---|
| IFO380 USD$398.00 |
Panamax 28 tons/day USD$3,606 |
|
| VLSFO USD$582.00 |
Supramax 26 tons/day USD$3,349 |
|
| Difference USD$184.00 |
Handy 22 tons/day USD$2,834 |
*From Jan 2, '18 – Mar 8, '19
-
低硫油供給問題Uncertainty of Low Sulphur Oil Supply
-
-MGO→Amount?Price?
-
-VLSFO→Amount?Price?Quality?
-
替代能源?Alternative Energy?
-
LNG?Solar?Wind?
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20
限硫令Sulphur Cap
Option 2 : 脫硫設備Scrubber
-
資本支出Capital Expenditure
-
USD2.5~3mm
-
裝設條件Conditions
-
-時間Time 、空間Space、電力供給Electric Capacity
-
技術進步空間?Technological Advancement?
-
-成本降低Cost Down、裝設時間降低Shorter Time、汙染問題Water Pollution
-
-現成船改裝Retrofitting
-
租金溢價?Hire Premium?
-
-Amount?Who pays?
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21
限硫令Sulphur Cap
公司應對措施Our Responses
• 新造船New Buildings
-
-預先安排裝設空間Reserving Space
-
-與廠商進行技術合作Technological Cooperation
-
現成船隊Existing Fleet
-
-暫時使用低硫燃油Using low sulphur oil in short term
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22
新造船舶計畫 New Buildings
• 新造船訂單On Order: 14
-以節能船為主
Mainly Eco-ship
-油耗表現
Consumption Saving
| Type | Panamx | Supramax | Handy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 2020 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
• ME主機&壓艙水處理系統裝設情形ME Engine & Ballast Water System
-Ballast Water System
→預計2019進塢安裝11艘
11 Vsl. will be installed with in 2019
| Ballast Water System |
Existing Fleet 56.92% |
Total Fleet (NB included) 61.11% |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| ME Engine | 35.38% | 41.67% |
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23
舊船處分 Disposal of Vessels
• 2018
| Vessel Name | Built Year | Age | DWT | Type | Disposal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Ace | 1997/Dec | 20.3 | 8,704 | Small Handy | 2018/Apr |
| Genius Star ll | 2005/Jul | 12.7 | 10,977 | Small Handy | 2018/Sep |
| Del Sol | 1998/Jun | 19.8 | 11,410 | Small Handy | 2018/Nov |
• Candidates
| Vessel Name | Built Year | Age | DWT | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius Star I | 2004/Oct | 14.4 | 10,977 | Small Handy |
| Beagle Vl | 2001/Mar | 18.0 | 18,320 | Small Handy |
| Pacific Venus | 2001/Mar | 18.0 | 18,712 | Small Handy |
| Hibiscus | 2002/Jun | 16.8 | 48,610 | Handy |
| Wisdom Grace | 1998/Jun | 20.8 | 18,193 | Other |
| Arikun | 2007/Jun | 11.8 | 8,763 | Small Handy |
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24
Q&A
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