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WISDOM — Investor Presentation 2019
Oct 22, 2019
52177_rns_2019-10-22_f6f0ba57-6d0d-453e-975d-06e40e2f93d3.pdf
Investor Presentation
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慧洋海運股份有限公司 Wisdom Marine Lines Co., Limited TWSE: 2637 |LSE: WML
23 October 2019
http://www.wisdomlines.com.tw
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1
大綱Agenda
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公司概況 / Outlook
-
產業概況 / Industry
-
營運策略 / Strategy
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財務成長Financial Trend
USD mm 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 - 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 *2019 # of 1 8 12 13 17 16 19 23 29 33 51 67 75 84 92 94 106 114 124 130 133 Vsls Revenue Op. Profit Op. Margin BDI *2019/9/30
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60%
50%
40%
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0%
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2018財務資訊Monthly Earning
| 2018 | Op. Revenue (USD) | Op. Profit (USD) | Op. Margin | Net Income (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34,271,782 | 8,347,564 | 24.36% | 1,153,432 |
| 2 | 31,142,073 | 6,682,409 | 21.46% | 2,827,095 |
| 3 | 35,512,365 | 8,760,887 | 24.67% | 3,401,058 |
| 4 | 34,529,511 | 8,497,331 | 24.61% | 5,345,321 |
| 5 | 36,765,265 | 9,796,336 | 26.65% | 4,162,379 |
| 6 | 36,199,294 | 9,328,544 | 25.77% | 5,957,704 |
| 7 | 37,339,839 | 10,525,821 | 28.19% | 4,677,068 |
| 8 | 37,287,969 | 10,489,459 | 28.13% | 5,404,659 |
| 9 | 35,812,327 | 9,372,713 | 26.17% | 4,871,547 |
| 10 | 38,440,435 | 11,180,689 | 29.09% | 6,346,467 |
| 11 | 37,355,864 | 10,462,189 | 28.01% | 11,901,147 |
| 12 | 38,778,077 | 12,219,427 | 31.51% | 5,829,479 |
| Total | 433,434,801 | 115,254,976 | 26.59% | 60,008,818 |
| EPS : 2.92 |
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2019財務資訊Monthly Earning
| 2018 | Op. Revenue (USD) | Op. Profit (USD) | Op. Margin | Net Income (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38,380,069 | 10,511,950 | 27.39% | 4,820,714 |
| 2 | 34,193,313 | 8,558,138 | 25.03% | 4,147,241 |
| 3 | 37,697,013 | 9,623,226 | 25.53% | 4,371,509 |
| 4 | 36,348,549 | 8,079,524 | 22.23% | 26,380,797 |
| 5 | 37,501,111 | 8,821,123 | 23.52% | 3,843,378 |
| 6 | 36,586,374 | 8,999,955 | 24.60% | 1,108,366 |
| 7 | 38,006,168 | 8,863,866 | 23.32% | 2,048,893 |
| 8 | 38,719,025 | 9,477,716 | 24.48% | 4,291,812 |
| 9 | 38,111,814 | 9,679,929 | 25.40% | 5,994,607 |
| Total | 335,543,436 | 82,615,427 | 24.62% | 57,007,317 |
EPS : 2.78
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船隊Fleet
| Vessel Type Dry Bulk Cape |
Current (# of vessels) Owned BBHP&TC Managed Total %* 3 0 0 3 2% |
NB No. - |
Total No. % 3 2% 30 20% 28 19% 45 30% 36 24% 6 5% 148 100% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panamax | 22 4 0 26 20% |
4 | |
| Supramax | 20 2 0 22 16% |
6 | |
| Handy | 37 2 1 40 30% |
5 | |
| Small Handy | 34 0 2 36 27% |
- | |
| Others Other |
3 1 2 6 5% |
- | |
| Overall Group | 119 9 5 133 100% |
15 |
- Average age : 6.8Y (as at 2019/9/30)
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同業船型Peer Fleet
| 慧洋 | 新興 | 裕民 | 中航 | 台航 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WML | Sincere Nav. | U-Ming | CMT | Taiwan Nav. | |
| Cape | 3 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| Panamax | 26 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| Supramax | 22 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| Handy | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Small Handy | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Others | 6 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| Total | 133 | 17 | 44 | 10 | 33 |
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同業營收及損益Peer Financial
| 2019Q2 | Operating Revenue |
Operating Profit |
Operating Margin |
Net Income | EPS (TWD) |
ROE(%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 慧洋 WML |
6,838,146 | 1,691,384 | 25% | 1,373,014 | 2.17 | 4.82 |
| 新興 Sincere Nav. |
1,713,222 | (215,351) | (13%) | (322,369) | (0.57) | (1.86) |
| 裕民 U-Ming |
4,248,870 | 242,471 | 6% | 127,785 | 0.15 | 0.49 |
| 中航 CMT |
1,913,623 | 266,390 | 14% | 189,912 | 0.96 | 1.84 |
| 台航 Taiwan Nav. |
1,544,709 | 344,018 | 22% | 266,389 | 0.64 | 2.54 |
Unit: 1,000 TWD Source: MOPS
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2018 新船營運New Vessels
| No. | DWT | Type | Delivery | TC (Year) | Hire (USD) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 81,600 | Panamax | 18-Jan | 3Y | 11,000+ | 41.88% |
| 2 | 37,600 | Handy | 18-Jan | 2Y | 10,000+ | 44.24% |
| 3 | 61,950 | Supramax | 18-Jan | 5Y | 11,000+ | 42.88% |
| 4 | 81,600 | Panamax | 18-Apr | 1Y | 11,000+ | 44.09% |
| 5 | 6,400 | Other | 18-Jun | 6Y | 10,000+ | 31.39% |
| 6 | 55,000 | Supramax | 18-Aug | 1Y | 11,000+ | 38.94% |
| 7 | 63,700 | Supramax | 18-Sep | 1Y | 14,000+ | 50.70% |
| 8 | 34,000 | Handy | 18-Nov | - | 10,000+ | 43.12% |
| Total | 89,000+ | 42.15% |
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2019 新船營運New Vessels
| No. | DWT | Type | Delivery | TC (Year) | Hire (USD) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34000 | Handy | 19-Apr | 1Y | 10,000+ | 44.28% |
| 2 | 63000 | Supramax | 19-Apr | 5Y | 11,000+ | 40.91% |
| 3 | 37600 | Handy | 19-Jul | 7Y | 10,000+ | 46.04% |
| 4 | 61000 | Supramax | 19-Nov | - | 13,000+ | 50.00% |
| 5 | 61000 | Supramax | 19-Dec | - | 13,000+ | 50.00% |
| Total | 55,000+ | 46.24% |
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2018 換約情形TC Renewal
| Est. | No. of Vsl | Est. Avg. Hire* Adjustment** |
Est. Effect on Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018Q1 | 20 | 19.28% | 2.26% | |
| 2018Q2 | 12 | 30.70% | 1.66% | |
| 2018Q3 | 9 | 18.13% | 0.53% | |
| 2018Q4 | 8 | 4.59% | 0.08% | |
| Total | 49 | 18.78% | 4.53% |
- (Total Hire After Adj. - Total Hire Before Adj.) / Total Hire Before Adj.
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2019 預計換約情形TC Renewal
| Est. | No. of Vsl | Est. Avg. Hire* Adjustment** |
Est. Effect on Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019Q1 | 21 | 3.00% | 0.41% | |
| 2019Q2 | 15 | 0.91% | 0.06% | |
| 2019Q3 | 10 | 6.43% | 0.22% | |
| 2019Q4 | 15 | 5.45% | 0.06% | |
| Total | 61 | 3.60% | 0.74% |
- (Total Hire After Adj. - Total Hire Before Adj.) / Total Hire Before Adj.
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自營船隊Self Operation
• 自營船隊OP Fleet
-
平均船數Avg. Fleet: 31
-
船型Ship Type: Handy + Small Handy
-
平均船齡Avg. Age: 8.7Y
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運費及短期租金收入佔營收比重20%
Freight & short-period hire revenue on total revenue
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產業走勢Industrial Trend
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BDI BCI BPI BSI
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船舶市況World Fleet & Wisdom
| Avg. Age (yrs) | Number of Vessels | Number of Vessels |
|---|---|---|
| Type World Fleet Wisdom |
World Fleet | Wisdom |
| Order Current Order(%) 20+yrs(%) |
Order Current |
|
| Cape (110,000+) 8.9 7.2 |
174 1,497 11.6% 1.6% |
0 3 |
| Panamax (67-110,000) 10.3 3.5 |
282 2,692 10.5% 8.9% |
4 26 |
| Supramax (40-67,000) 9.9 4.8 |
229 3,458 6.6% 8.4% |
6 22 |
| Handy (25-40,000) 10.3 5.5 |
126 2,483 5.1% 11.3% |
5 40 |
*Source : Maersk Dry Bulk Fleet _September 2019
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船舶市況World Fleet 2015~2019
| Order % (Number of Vessels) |
20+yrs(%) (Number of Vessels) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Type \ Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 |
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 |
|
| Cape (110,000+) 14.0% 3.0% 4.5% 8.4% 11.6% |
3.0% 3.8% 2.5% 1.6% 1.6% |
|
| Panamax (67-110,000) 12.1% 6.9% 7.9% 11.7% 10.5% |
6.3% 8.5% 6.5% 7.5% 8.8% |
|
| Supramax (40-67,000) 15.5% 8.5% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% |
8.4% 9.3% 7.6% 8.0% 8.4% |
|
| Handy (25-40,000) 12.5% 8.2% 5.7% 5.8% 5.1% |
14.0% 12.9% 10.7% 10.4% 11.3% |
*Source: Maersk Dry Bulk Fleet Status _ September 2019
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船舶市況World Fleet 2015~2019
| Fleet Change (No.) | 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Fleet 1st January | 10,484 10,710 10,878 11,379 11,618 |
|
| Changes | Delvieries | 659 564 456 298 329 |
| Sold for Scrap | (429) (404) (217) (56) (59) |
|
| Misc. Additions | - - - - - |
|
| Misc. Removals/Losses | (6) (6) (2) (3) (2) |
|
| Net Change during | Year | 224 154 237 239 268 |
| Fleet End Year | 10,708 10,864 11,115 11,618 11,886 |
*Source: Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Weekly_10-May-2019
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拆船市況Demolition Market
| Type \ Year (m dwt)* | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cape (110,000+) 15.4 13.3 6.4 3.1 |
4.1 65% |
|||||
| Panamax (67-110,000) 6.8 8.3 3.6 0.1 |
0.3 146% |
|||||
| Supramax (40-67,000) 3.1 4.3 3.1 0.7 |
0.5 3% |
|||||
| Handy (10-40,000) 5.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 |
0.5 44% |
|||||
| Total 30.5 29.1 14.6 4.4 |
5.4 45% |
*Source : Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Weekly_11-October-2019
*The % change is based on annualized figures for this year against last year.
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18
法規要求Regulatory Challenges
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溫室氣體Greenhouse Gas
-
EU MRV : Monitoring, Reporting, Verification (2018/1/1~)
-
IMO DCS : Data Collection System (2019/1/1~)
-
氮氧化物排放Nitrogen Oxides(NOx)
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MARPOL Annex VI Tier III regulation (2016/1/1~)
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壓艙水處理系統Ballast Water Treatment System
-
International Convention for the BWM (2019/9/8~)
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硫化物排放Sulphur Oxides(SOx)
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ECA : Emission Control Area < 0.1% (2015/1/1~)
-
MARPOL Annex VI : the global sulphur cap will be reduced from current 3.50% to 0.50% (2020/1/1~)
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19
公司應對措施Our Responses
-
Ballast Water System
-
-2020年預計安裝13艘 13 Vsl. will be installed with in 2020
| Vessels equipped with system | 95 |
|---|---|
| Existing Fleet (as at 30 Sep.) | 133 |
| Completion % | 71.43% |
-
限硫令Sulphur Cap
-
-新造船New Buildings → 預留裝設空間reserving place
-
-現成船隊Existing Fleet → 使用低硫油using low sulphur oil
-
**油品價差Price difference (6 months Avg. : Apr. 2019~Sep.2019)
| Average price IFO380 422.0 VLSFO 525.5 Difference 103.5 |
Consumption Incremental Cost |
|---|---|
| Panamax 28 tons/day 2028.60 |
|
| Supramax 26 tons/day 1883.70 |
|
| Handy 22 tons/day 1593.90 |
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未來營運策略Strategy
• 新造船訂單On Order: 15
-以節能船為主Mainly Eco-ship
-油耗表現Consumption Saving
| Type | Panamax | Supramax | Handy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2020 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
• 舊船處分Disposal of Vessels
2019
| Vessel Name | Age | DWT | Type | Disposal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius Star l | 14.4 | 10,977 | Small Handy | 2019/Mar |
| Beagle Vl | 18.0 | 18,320 | Small Handy | 2019/May |
Candidates
| Vessel Name | Age | DWT | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific Venus | 18.0 | 18,712 | Small Handy |
| Daiwan Ace | 5.5 | 34,358 | Handy |
| Daiwan Brave | 5.5 | 34,358 | Handy |
| Hibiscus | 16.8 | 48,610 | Handy |
| Wisdom Grace | 20.8 | 18,193 | Other |
| Arikun | 11.8 | 8,763 | Small Handy |
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21
Q&A
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