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TÜRKİYE GARANTİ BANKASI A.Ş.

Investor Presentation Jul 30, 2025

5967_rns_2025-07-30_184857ad-259b-48b2-8733-8496a72c630c.pdf

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1H25 EARNINGS PRESENTATION

Based on BRSA Consolidated Financials

July 30th, 2025

MACRO RECAP

TURKISH ECONOMY (I/II)

(YoY)

  • We still observe a smooth adjustment in activity as we nowcast a slightly positive quarterly growth in 2Q25, resulting in an annual growth >3% in 1H25.
  • 2025 GDP growth forecast of 3.5% is maintained, yet we evaluate the balance of risks tilted to the downside due to tight monetary policy and efforts on fiscal consolidation.

CBRT FUNDING RATE & CPI EXPECTATIONS (%)

  • Annual consumer inflation decreased to 35.05% in June (vs. 44.4% by year end 2024), with the support of tight financial conditions, moderating domestic demand and lower commodity prices.
  • We slightly lower our YE inflation forecast to 30% (from 31%), given the last 3 months' positive surprises.
  • We still expect 36% policy rate by end 2025.

TURKISH ECONOMY (II/II)

CA DEFICIT / GDP (year end)

CG BUDGET DEFICIT / GDP (year end)

We expect current account deficit to GDP to slightly worsen to 1.3% of GDP in 2025 due to a deterioration in core trade deficit and increasing net gold imports, where tourism revenues might still be supportive parallel to the MTP target.

2Q25 cash balance signaled increasing efforts not to introduce new fiscal impulse to the economy. However, considering the sensitivity on growth and employment outlook, we assume a cash deficit to GDP of at least 4% in 2025.

1H25 FINANCIALS

OUR DISTINGUISHED EARNINGS STRENGTH PRESERVED…

Resillient NII, robust fee income and provision reversals from a few large-ticket items reinforced solid earnings delivery.

refer to the Appedix: Summary P&L for non-recurring items

…WITH PROVEN CAPABILITY TO GENERATE CORE BANKING REVENUE

Well-defended Core NII, despite increased funding costs.

  • Strong fee base supported by the contribution from payment systems & Money transfer and lending related fees
  • Our subsidiaries' contribution continued to be supportive.

CORE BANKING REVENUES TO ASSETS

Pure trading: Trading income excluding Swap cost, currency hedge Core NII: NII – CPI linkers' income + swap costs Peer average represents the average of the Top 3 Private Banks.

LENDING DRIVEN ASSET MIX CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN DIFFERENTIATOR -OPPORTUNISTIC FIXED RATE SECURITIES ADDITIONS OFFSET REDEMPTIONS FROM CPI LINKERS

PERFORMING LOANS (TL, US \$ billion)

CONSUMER LOANS & CREDIT CARDS GAINED PACE IN 2Q

PROFITABLE & SELECTIVE GROWTH FOCUS MAINTAINED

TL Micro & Small Enterprises 22.9% 24.0%1

Consumer GPL (incl. overdraft) 19.5% 20.4%

Consumer Mortgage 27.7% 29.3%

Consumer Credit Cards 24.0% 23.2%

Consumer (excl. CCs) 21.3% 22.2%

Sector figures used in market share calculations are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data as of 27.06.2025, for private commercial banks. Rankings are as of March 2025

1 As of May 2025. BRSA-defined SME loan figures for May and June include customers who were temporarily excluded from the SME category, as their 2024 financials had not yet been submitted to the Bank's system. Since May, the data collection process has accelerated, and final records are expected to be completed in the coming months.

DECLINING SHARE OF STAGE-2 MAINLY DUE TO RECOVERY PERFORMANCE RELATED OUTFLOWS

1 SICR: Significant Increase in Credit Risk per our threshold for Probability of Default (PD) changes 2 2024 balance sheet FX rates are taken into account when calculating Stage 2 base for March & June 2025.

NPL FLOW FARING AS EXPECTED

NPL EVOLUTION (TL mn)

QUARTERLY

COVERAGE RATIOS

*Adjusted with write-downs since 2019

Retail & CCs made up ~70% of net NPL flows.

BETTER THAN EXPECTED NET COR LED BY LARGE-TICKET PROVISION REVERSALS

Decline in net provisions, was stemming from provision release of a few large-ticket items and resilient economic activity

CUSTOMER-DRIVEN FUNDING & ACTIVELY MANAGED PRICING

TL CUST. DEPOSITS (TL bn)

  • THE BACKBONE OF OUR SUCCESS

MAINTAINED FOCUS ON STICKY & LOWER-COST DEPOSITS

68% Retail & SME deposits* / TL customer deposits

HIGHLY LIQUID BALANCE SHEET

\$4.9bn FC Liquidity Buffer2 vs. ST external debt of 3.1bn\$ Total external debt of 7.5bn\$

1 Includes funds borrowed, sub-debt & FC securities issued

2 FC Liquidity Buffer includes Swaps, money market placements, CBRT eligible unencumbered securities * Per bank-only MIS data

WELL-DEFENDED NII AMID MARKET SHIFTS

NIM INCL. SWAP COST1

NET INTEREST INCOME INCL. SWAP COST (TL BN)

TL LOAN-TIME DEPOSIT SPREAD2 QUARTERLY

Core NII sustained its strong level on the back of well-managed funding costs & upward loan repricings TL Loan – Time deposit spread has been widening since July and is projected to accelerate further in 4Q25 Quarterly increase in net swap costs was due to less utilization of swap depo transactions.

CPI estimate used in CPI linker valuation remained stable at 28% in 1H25 (vs. 48.6% in 2024)

1 Calculated based on unconsolidated BRSA financials. TL reserves are taken into account in the calculation of IEAs.

2 Based on MIS data, using Daily averages. In the calculation of TL loan yields, CC related interest income is deducted from the numerator and CC volume is deducted from denominator as only ~33% of CC balances are interest bearing. Core NIM = NIM incl. Swap cost excluding CPI linker income

CUSTOMER-DRIVEN ASSET MIX ENSURES MARGIN RESILIENCE

HIGHER WEIGHT OF CUSTOMER-DRIVEN & LOWER COST OF FUNDING (% in TL Liabilities, 1H25)

ENSURE THE SUSTAINABILITY OF STRONG BANKING REVENUE GENERATION

TL loans' yield was ~2x higher than the securities' in 1H25

Rely on customer-driven funding and actively managed pricing

Note, Yields and Costs are based on MIS data, using Daily averages. In the calculation of TL loan yields, CC related interest income is deducted from the numerator and CC volume is deducted from denominator as only ~33% of CC balances are interest bearing.

ROBUST FEE GENERATION REFLECTS THE STRENGTH IN PAYMENT SYSTEMS, RELATIONSHIP BANKING AND DIGITALIZATION

1 Net Fees&Comm . breakdown is based on Consolidated Financials. Garanti Pension premiums are shown under Other Income. Rankings are among private banks

OPEX GROWTH FARING IN-LINE WITH BUDGET STRATEGIC SPENDING TO FUEL SUSTAINABLE REVENUES

*100% of currency linked expenses are hedged, thus no impact on bottom-line

Note: Income defined as NII inc. Swaps + Net F&C + Dividend Income + Subsidiary Income + Net Trading Income (excludes swaps & currency hedge) + Other income (net of prov. Reversals, free provision reversals and one-off income) Peer average represent the average of Top 3 Private Banks

SUSTAINED SOUND SOLVENCY NEW TIER-2 ISSUANCE IS SET TO POSITIVELY IMPACT 3Q CAPITAL RATIOS

USDTRY 34.55 37.79 39.75 14.7% 13.0% 12.6% 18.2% 16.2% 15.6% 2024 1Q25 2Q25 CET1 CAR

SOLVENCY RATIOS (without BRSA's forbearance)

2024 – 1H25 CAR EVOLUTION (Consolidated, without BRSA's forbearance)

1 Required Consolidated CAR level = 8.0% + SIFI Buffer for Group 2 (1.5%) + Capital Conservation Buffer (2.5%) + Counter Cyclical Buffer (0.16%); Required Consolidated Tier-I =6.0% + Buffers; Required Consolidated CET-1= 4.5%+Buffers

1H25 IN SUMMARY: UNMATCHED LEADERSHIP SUSTAINED

ROAE: 30.7% with low leverage

GOING FORWARD…NIM HEADWINDS IS LIKELY TO BE MITIGATED BY LARGE TICKET PROVISION RELEASES AND ROBUST FEE GROWTH

2025 OPERATING
PLAN GUIDANCE
TL Loan
Growth
(YoY)
>avg. CPI On track
FC Loan
Growth
(in US\$, YoY)
Low-teens Better
than
guidance
largely
due
to
EUR/USD parity
impact
Net Cost
of Risk
(exc. currency
impact)
2 –
2.5%
Trending
toward
lower
end
of the projected
range
due to
provision
release
of a few
large-ticket
items
that
were
not
foreseen
in the
initial
guidance
NIM incl. swap cost +3% expansion Our
margin expansion
has been delayed by two quarters
due
to
CBRT's
tight
stance
Fee
Growth
(YoY)
>avg. CPI Faring
better
than
expected
due
to
payment
systems
fees
Fee/OPEX
(YoY, bank-only)
~80-85% Upside
due
to
better
than
expected
fee
performance
ROAE (%) Low-30s Large
ticket
provision releases
and fee
performance
are set to ease NIM pressure,
leading ROE to settle near the lower bound of
the
guided
range

Q&A SESSION

Appendix

Sector Breakdown of Gross Loans PG. 23

PG. 24 FC Loan Breakdown

  • PG. 25 Maturity Profile of External Debt
  • PG. 26 Adjusted L/D and Liquidity Coverage Ratios,
  • PG. 27 Market Shares
  • Securities Portfolio PG. 28
  • Summary Balance Sheet PG. 29
  • Summary P&L PG. 30
  • Key Financial Ratios PG. 31
  • Quarterly & Cumulative Net Cost of Risk PG. 32

APPENDIX: SECTOR BREAKDOWN OF GROSS LOANS

SECTOR BREAKDOWN OF GROSS LOANS1

% SHARE COVERAGE RATIO
Key
Sectors
Stage
1
Stage
2
Stage
3
Stage
1
Stage
2
Stage
3
Retail 84% 11% 5% 0.7% 6.9% 65.8%
Energy 74% 23% 2% 0.3% 17.7% 84.0%
Construction 86% 10% 4% 0.6% 5.2% 60.9%
Textile
& Made
83% 14% 3% 0.6% 8.3% 68.4%
Tourism
&
Entertainment
89% 9% 2% 0.6% 6.2% 72.9%
Real Estate 68% 31% 2% 0.6% 35.7% 62.1%

SECTOR BREAKDOWN OF STAGE 2 EXCLUDING SICR1

APPENDIX: CLOSELY MONITORED AND WELL-PROVISIONED FC LOANS

FC PERFORMING LOANS

(38% of total performıng loans)

107.5 103.5 133.8 151.5 10.2 11.6 13.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 9.8% 2023 TIMELY DELEVERAGING (in \$ bn) 2024 8.7% 1H25 8.6%

Regular conduct of FX sensitivity analysis for proactive staging and provisioning

APPENDIX: MATURITY PROFILE OF EXTERNAL DEBT

APPENDIX: ADJUSTED LDR AND LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIOS

Loans funded via long-term on B/S alternative funding sources ease LDR

1 Represents the average of June's last week.

APPENDIX: MARKET SHARES

banks1
Market
Shares
among
private
Dec-24 Mar-25 June-25 QoQ
D
YtD
D
Rank
TL Performing
Loans
21.8% 21.7% 21.7% 1 bps -8 bps #1*
FC Performing
Loans
15.4% 15.6% 15.6% 7 bps 18 bps #2*
Consumer Loans inc. Consumer CCs 22.7% 22.7% 22.7% 3 bps 0 bps #1*
Cons. Mortgage
Loans
27.7% 28.8% 29.3% 53 bps 162 bps #2*
Consumer Auto Loans 33.3% 34.6% 37.0% 243 bps 368 bps #1*
Cons. General Purpose
Loans
19.5% 19.7% 20.4% 68 bps 85 bps #1*
TL Business Banking 20.2% 19.9% 19.6% -33 bps -56 bps #2*
TL Customer
Deposits
20.5% 21.7% 21.2% -47 bps 65 bps #1*
FC Customer
Deposits
18.0% 19.3% 17.8% -147 bps -22 bps #2*
Payment
Systems
Market Share
in the
sector
Dec-24 Mar-25 June-25 QoQ
D
YtD
D
Rank
# of CC customers2 14.2% 14.3% 14.5% 14 bps 34 bps #1
2
Issuing
Volume (Cumulative)
17.0% 17.2% 17.2% 17 bps 20 bps #1
2
Acquiring
Volume (Cumulative)
16.6% 16.1% 15.9% -58 bps -78 bps #1

* Rankings are among private banks as of March 2025

1 Sector figures used in market share calculations are based on bank-only BRSA weekly data as of 27.06.2025, for commercial private banks 2 Cumulative figures and rankings as of June 2025, as per Interbank Card Center data. Rankings are among private banks.

APPENDIX: SECURITIES PORTFOLIO

TOTAL SECURITIES (TL bn)

13% of Total Assets

SECURITIES COMPOSITION

APPENDIX: SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET

(TL billion)

ASSETS 30.06.2024 30.09.2024 31.12.2024 31.03.2025 30.06.2025
Cash & Cash Equivalents 272.2 341.8 301.0 367.8 375.2
Balances
at CBRT
313.1 325.0 322.1 494.1 478.6
Securities 396.6 409.9 421.3 460.3 481.1
Gross
Loans
& Receivables
1530.2 1689.0 1826.0 2047.3 2329.3
+TL Loans 975.5 1062.6 1177.1 1271.3 1411.3
TL NPL 23.7 30.2 33.9 43.8 55.5
info: TL Performing
Loans
951.8 1032.5 1143.2 1227.6 1355.9
+FC Loans (in US\$ terms) 16.0 17.3 17.3 18.9 21.2
FC NPL (in US\$ terms) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
info: FC Performing Loans (in US\$ terms) 15.9 17.2 17.2 18.8 21.1
info: Performing
Loans
(TL+FC)
1459.9 1608.7 1738.6 1937.1 2193.4
Fixed Assets & Subsidiaries 41.6 42.7 52.5 57.1 67.4
Other 63.8 69.5 79.7 71.8 90.1
2,617.4 2,877.8 3,002.6 3,498.3 3,821.7
TOTAL ASSETS
LIABILITIES & SHE 30.06.2024 30.09.2024 31.12.2024 31.03.2025 30.06.2025
Total Deposits 1854.1 2058.6 2154.3 2584.7 2680.0
+Demand Deposits 726.6 807.7 819.7 961.2 1066.8
TL Demand 181.9 196.6 204.0 255.6 245.5
FC Demand (in US\$ terms) 17.1 18.3 17.8 18.7 20.7
+Time Deposits 1127.5 1250.9 1334.7 1623.5 1613.2
TL Time 906.2 970.0 1047.2 1192.7 1222.3
FC Time (in US\$ terms) 6.9 8.4 8.3 11.4 9.8
Interbank Money Market 124.9 113.7 46.9 38.9 140.0
Bonds Issued 10.0 18.4 28.1 46.7 85.1
Funds
Borrowed
159.8 165.8 192.4 213.2 235.6
Other liabilities 188.3 217.3 249.4 274.2 301.8
Shareholders' Equity 280.3 304.0 331.4 340.7 379.1

APPENDIX: SUMMARY P&L

QUARTERLY P&L CUMULATIVE P&L
TL Million 1Q25 2Q25 QoQ 1H24 1H25 YoY
(+) Net Interest Income including Swap costs 37,506 38,834 4% 37,384 76,340 104%
(+) NII excluding CPI linkers' income 31,108 34,924 12% 39,990 66,032 65%
(+) Income on CPI linkers 8,213 8,126 -1% 17,740 16,340 -8%
(-) Swap Cost -1,816 -4,216 132% -20,345 -6,031 -70%
(+) Net Fees & Comm. 30,383 35,087 15% 41,833 65,470 57%
(+) Net Trading & FX gains/losses
(excl. Swap costs and currency hedge)
3,296 1,853 -44% 19,517 5,149 -74%
info: Gain on Currency Hedge1 2,710 2,397 -12% 2,583 5,106 98%
(+) Income
from
investments
under
equity
541 808 50% 1,347 1,349 0%
(+) Other income (excl. Prov. reversals & one-offs) 5,162 6,650 29% 6,861 11,812 72%
(+) Non-recurring other income 238 1,060 345% 746 1,298 74%
(+) Gain on asset sale
& Revaluation
of real
estate
238 1,060 345% 746 1,298 74%
(-) OPEX -35,640 -40,725 14% -45,192 -76,365 69%
(-) HR -13,561 -14,078 4% -17,562 -27,639 57%
(-) Non-HR -22,079 -26,646 21% -27,630 -48,726 76%
(-) Net Expected Loss (excl. Currency impact) -6,647 -6,101 -8% -4,348 -12,748 193%
(-) Expected Loss -23,812 -18,511 -22% -28,816 -42,323 47%
info: Currency Impact1 -2,710 -2,397 -12% -2,583 -5,106 98%
(+) Provision Reversal under other Income 14,455 10,014 -31% 21,884 24,468 12%
(-) Taxation and other provisions -9,440 -9,253 -2% -13,560 -18,692 38%
(-) Taxation -9,186 -9,254 1% -13,492 -18,441 37%
(-) Other provisions -253 2 -101% -67 -252 273%
= NET INCOME 25,399 28,215 11% 44,590 53,613 20%

1 Neutral impact at bottom line, as provision increase due to currency depreciation are 100% hedged (FX gain included in Net trading income line)

APPENDIX: KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS

Jun-24 Sep-24 Dec-24 Mar-25 Jun-25
Profitability ratios
ROAE (Cumulative)1 35.0% 33.4% 33.0% 30.6% 30.7%
ROAA (Cumulative)1 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.1%
Cost/Income 42.3% 42.7% 44.1% 46.4% 47.7%
Liquidity ratios
Loans / Deposits 78.7% 78.1% 80.7% 74.9% 81.8%
TL Loans / TL Deposits 87.5% 88.5% 91.4% 84.8% 92.4%
Adj. Loans/Deposits
(Loans adj. with on-balance sheet alternative funding sources)
68% 68% 70% 64% 69%
TL Loans / (TL Deposits + TL Bonds + Merchant Payables) 81.3% 81.7% 84.0% 78.5% 85.0%
FC Loans / FC Deposits 66.3% 64.6% 65.9% 62.4% 69.1%
Asset quality ratios
NPL Ratio 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6%
Coverage Ratio 3.6% 3.6% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2%
+ Stage1 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5%
+ Stage2 18.8% 17.4% 12.3% 11.4% 10.2%
+ Stage3 64.2% 63.3% 66.9% 65.7% 65.7%
Cumulative Net Cost of Risk (excluding currency impact, bps)2 62 88 75 139 124
Solvency ratios
CAR
(excl. BRSA Forbearance)
15.2% 15.8% 18.2% 16.2% 15.6%
Common Equity Tier I Ratio
(excl. BRSA Forbearance)
12.8% 13.4% 14.7% 13.0% 12.6%
Leverage 8.3x 8.5x 8.1x 9.3x 9.1x

1 Note: Excludes non-recurring items when annualizing Net Income for the remaining quarters of the year in calculating Return On Average Equity (ROAE) and Return On Average Assets (ROAA) Please refer to the Appedix: Summary P&L for non-recurring items

2 Neutral impact at bottom line, as provision increase due to currency depreciation are 100% hedged

(FX gain included in Net trading income line)

APPENDIX: QUARTERLY & CUMULATIVE NET CoR

(Million TL)
(Million
TL)
Quarterly Net Expected Credit Loss 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25
(-) Expected
Credit
Losses
12,844 11,185 18,095 23,812 18,511
Stage
1
1,600 2,122 1,936 6,500 2,970
Stage
2
6,148 2,691 7,588 6,838 3,743
Stage
3
5,096 6,372 8,572 10,474 11,798
(+) Provision Reversals under other income 10,409 3,924 16,214 14,455 10,014
Stage
1
2,930 1,141 3,600 5,424 3,519
Stage 2 4,712 2,088 11,306 6,048 2,281
Stage 3 2,602 719 1,117 2,823 1,992
(=) (a) Net Expected Credit Losses 2,435 7,262 1,881 9,357 8,497
(b) Average
Gross
Loans
1,480,270 1,609,582 1,757,457 1,936,622 2,188,311
(a/b) Quarterly Total Net CoR
(bps)
66 179 43 196 156
info: Currency Impact1 3 47 -
1
57 44
Total Net CoR
excl. currency impact (bps)
63 133 44 139 112
Cumulative Net Expected Credit Loss 1H25
(-) Expected
Credit
Losses
42,323
Stage 1 9,470
Stage 2 10,581
Stage 3 22,272
(+) Provision Reversals under other income 24,468
Stage 1 8,943
Stage 2 8,330
Stage 3 4,816
(=) (a) Net Expected Credit Losses 17,854
(b) Average Gross Loans 2,067,528
(a/b) Cumulative
Total Net CoR (bps)
174
info: Currency Impact1 50
Total Net CoR
excl. currency impact (bps)
124

1 Neutral impact at bottom line, as provisions due to currency depreciation are 100% hedged (FX gain included in Net trading income line)

DISCLAIMER STATEMENT

Türkiye Garanti Bankasi A.Ş. ("Garanti BBVA") has prepared this presentation document (the "Document") thereto for the sole purposes of providing information which include forward looking projections and statements relating to Garanti BBVA (the "Information"). No representation or warranty is made by Garanti BBVA for the accuracy or completeness of the Information contained herein. The Information is subject to change without any notice. Neither the Document nor the Information can construe any investment advise, or an offer, invitation or solicitation to purchase or subscribe to Garanti BBVA shares or any other securities or other instruments or to undertake or divest investments. This Document and/or the Information cannot be copied, disclosed or distributed to any person other than the person to whom the Document and/or Information delivered or sent by TGB or who required a copy of the same from the TGB.

Furthermore, the investment information, comments and advices given herein are not part of investment advisory activity. Investment advisory services are provided by authorized institutions to persons and entities privately by considering their risk and return preferences. Therefore, they may not fit to your financial situation and risk and return preferences. For this reason, making an investment decision only by relying on the information given herein may not give rise to results that fit your expectations. Garanti BBVA shall have no liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any damage, loss or expense that may be incurred by third parties howsoever arising from any use of this Document or Information.

Investor Relations

Levent Nispetiye Mah. Aytar Cad. No:2 Beşiktaş 34340 Istanbul – Turkey Email: [email protected] Tel: +90 (212) 318 2352 www.garantibbvainvestorrelations.com

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