Business and Financial Review • Oct 30, 2025
Business and Financial Review
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UPDATED ON October 30th, 2025
| 2025 INITIAL GUIDANCE |
2025 REVISED GUIDANCE |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| TL Loan Growth (YoY) |
>avg. CPI | >avg. CPI | On track |
| FC Loan Growth (in US\$, YoY) |
Low-teens | High-teens (bank-only) |
Better than guidance largely due to EUR/USD parity impact |
| Net Cost of Risk (exc. currency impact) |
2 – 2.5% |
<2% | Supported by exceptionally high provision release of a few large-ticket items. |
| NIM incl. swap cost | +3% expansion | +1.5 -2% expansion |
Margin expansion will remain strong even under tighter monetary policy (2025 YE policy rate assumption: 38.5% vs. 31% in the initial budget) and regulations. NIM level will continue to outperform peers. |
| Fee Growth (YoY) |
>avg. CPI | >avg. CPI | Supported by strong momentum in payment systems fees |
| Fee/OPEX (YoY, bank-only) |
~80-85% | ~90-95% (bank-only) |
Better than expected fee performance led the upside revision |
| ROAE (%) | Low-30s | Low-30s | ROE to settle near the lower bound of the guided range |
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