Investor Presentation • Nov 4, 2019
Investor Presentation
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9M 2019 RESULTS Munich, 04 November 2019
CHRISTIAN SCHULZ, CFO
ISIN: DE000TRAT0N7 WKN: TRAT0N Bloomberg Ticker: 8TRA GY / 8TRA SS http://ir.traton.com




This presentation has been prepared for information purposes only. It does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Volkswagen AG, TRATON SE or any company of TRATON GROUP in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation, nor any part of it, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contractual commitment or investment decision in relation to the securities of Volkswagen AG, TRATON SE or any company of TRATON GROUP in any jurisdiction, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding any such securities.
The following presentation contains forward-looking statements and information on the business development of the TRATON GROUP. These statements may be spoken or written and can be recognized by terms such as "expects", "anticipates", "intends", "plans", "believes", "seeks", "estimates", "will" or words with similar meaning. These statements and information are based on assumptions relating in particular to TRATON GROUP's business and operations and the development of the economies in the countries in which the TRATON GROUP is active. TRATON GROUP has made such forward-looking statements on the basis of the information available to it and assumptions it believes to be reasonable. The forwardlooking statements and information may involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those forecasts. If any of these or other risks or uncertainties materialize, or if the assumptions underlying any of these statements prove incorrect, the actual results may significantly differ from those expressed or implied by such forward looking statements and information. TRATON GROUP will not update the following presentation, particularly not the forward-looking statements. The presentation is valid on the date of publication only.
Certain financial information and financial data included in this presentation are preliminary, unaudited and may be subject to revision. Due to their preliminary nature, statements contained in this presentation should not be unduly relied upon and past events or performance should not be taken as a guarantee or indication of future events or performance. Financial figures expressed in EUR might be translated from different currencies into EUR, using the exchange rate prevailing at the relevant date or for the relevant period that the relevant financial figures relate to.
All statements with regard to markets or market position(s) of TRATON SE or any company of TRATON GROUP or any of its competitors are estimates of TRATON GROUP based on data available to TRATON GROUP. Such data are neither comprehensive nor independently verified. Consequently, the data used are not adequate for and the statements based on such data are not meant to be an accurate or proper definition of regional and/or product markets or markets shares of TRATON GROUP and any of the participants in any market.
Unless otherwise stated, all amounts are shown in million of EUR. Please note that rounding differences may arise when adding or subtracting the individual items together. The percentage figures may also be subject to rounding differences because these are calculated based on whole numbers in the year-on-year or quarterly comparisons. Due to different proportions and scaling in graphs, data shown in different graphs are not comparable.

Segment Industrial Business (MAN T&B, Scania V&S and VWCO)
Segment Financial Services
Outlook





1 Prior year excluding €487 mn VGSG sales revenue, which was sold as at January 01, 2019 2 Adjusted operating profit +20.2% to €1,470 mn, adjusted RoS 7.4% (+85bpt); Q1 2019 including €19 mn insurance claim 3 +29.4% before discontinued operations (€111 mn in 9M 2018) Note: Delta 9M 2019 vs. 9M 2018
| Industrial Business (IB) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 19 | Y-o-Y | 9M 19 | Y-o-Y | |
| Order intake (units) | 49,217 | -7.0% | 169,708 | -6.0% |
| Unit sales (units) | 55,755 | +2.9% | 179,091 | +7.7% |
| Book-to-bill (units) | 0.88 | -9bpt | 0.95 | -14bpt |
| Sales revenue (€mn) | 6,171 | +7.0% | 19,491 | +9.3% |
| Operating profit (€mn)1 | 369 | +90.9% | 1,377 | +40.5% |
| Return on sales (%)1 | 6.0 | +263bpt | 7.1 | +157bpt |
| Profit after tax (€mn) | 451 | -11.5% | 1,142 | +22.8% |
| Net cash flow (€mn)3 | 539 | +€687mn | 2,323 | +€2,722mn |
| Financial Services (FS) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 19 | Y-o-Y | 9M 19 | Y-o-Y | |
| Net portfolio2 (€bn) |
9.7 | +11.0% | ||
| Penetration rate (%) | 42.9 | -77bpt | 41.9 | -33bpt |
| Sales revenue (€mn) | 215 | +11.4% | 635 | +10.7% |
| Operating profit (€mn) | 35 | -5.6% | 105 | +3.1% |
| Profit after tax (€mn) | 23 | -1.4% | 75 | +4.3% |
1 Adjusted operating profit Q3 2019: +19.7% to €369 mn, adjusted RoS 6.0% (+64bpt); Adjusted operating profit 9M 2019: +24.6% to €1,365 mn, adjusted RoS 7.0% (+86bpt); Q1 2019 including €19 mn insurance claim 2 Reflecting closing balances, as of September 30, 2019 vs. December 31, 2018; 3 Adjusted net cash flow €314 mn in Q3 2019 / €120 mn in 9M 2019; before the sale of Power Engineering (€1,978 mn), parts of the RMMV Joint Venture (€111 mn incl. dividend) and repayment for amounts and interest resulting from security deposits provided in Brazil (€114 mn) Note: Delta Q3 2019 vs. Q3 2018 / 9M 2019 vs. 9M 2018


1 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue 2 Including €196 mn (Q1 2018) / €151 mn (Q2 2018) / €140 mn (Q3 2018) VGSG sales revenue, which was sold as at January 01, 2019; adjusted growth rates: Q1 2019 9.5% / Q2 2019: 11.2% / Q3 2019: 7.0% 3 Q3 2018 impacted by the restructuring of the activities in India (€115 mn), adjusted RoS 6.0%
Unit sales (units)

1 Including MAN TGE vans (units in 2018: Q1 1,335 / Q2 1,843 / Q3 1,689; units in 2019: Q1 3,122 / Q2 4,144 / Q3 2,845) 2 EU member states excluding Malta plus Norway and Switzerland

1 Excluding MAN TGE vans 2 EU28+2: EU member states excluding Malta plus Norway and Switzerland 3 Information shown might include estimates or preliminary data; for EU28+2 and Germany data collected from ACEA provisional new registrations figures as at October 24 2019, trucks ˃ 16t; for Brazil data collected from ANFAVEA trucks ˃ 6t as at October 07, 2019; South America own estimates

• Order intake trend in 2019 continued downwards quarter on quarter. Noticeable decrease mainly due to lower orders in the EU28+2 region, driven in particular by Germany and UK. However, book-to-bill still at 0.95
• Substantial declines in Russia, India, and Turkey. Strong increase in Brazil in the wake of the economic recovery
1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and buses units ordered to trucks and buses units delivered
Unit sales (units)

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19

• All brands with increased sales revenue, Q3 2019 driven by all product groups, 9M 2019 after-sales grew by +5% (share at 19%)
• Return on sales benefited from increased volume and the end of parallel production at Scania, higher costs ahead of rollout of new truck and bus generations weighed on MAN Truck & Bus; 2018 impacted by restructuring of Indian activities
November 04, 2019 / Investor Relations / 9M 2019 Results 1 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue 2 Q3 2018 impacted by the restructuring of the activities in India (€115 mn), adjusted RoS 5.3%


Note: Figures shown as at Q3 2019 / 9M 2019; percentage change calculated YoY, Q3 2019 vs. Q3 2018 / 9M 2019 vs. 9M 2018 1 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue


1 Investments in PP&E and intangible assets 2 Amongst others reflecting the Power Engineering disposal 3 Including, amongst others, €-994 mn payments for tendered MAN shares, €-3,250 mn contribution of capital reserves and €4,161 mn DPLTA with VW AG 4 €-376 mn before the sale of Power Engineering (€1,978 mn) 5 €314 mn before the sale of parts of the RMMV Joint Venture (€111 mn incl. dividends) and repayment for amounts and interest resulting from security deposits provided in Brazil (€114 mn) 6 €120 mn before the sale of Power Engineering (€1,978 mn), the sale of parts of the RMMV Joint Venture (€111 mn incl. dividends) and repayment for amounts and interest resulting from security deposits provided in Brazil (€114 mn)


Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19

Q3 18 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q4 19





1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered 2 Q2 2018 contained an earnings effect of €19 mn resulting from the transfer of the RIO brand to a TRATON GROUP company; Q3 2018 impacted by the restructuring of the activities in India (€115 mn), adjusted RoS 4.0% 3 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue
GROUP HIGHLIGHTS INDUSTRIAL BUSINESS FINANCIAL SERVICES OUTLOOK
APPENDIX


Q3 18 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 19 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q4 19

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19




1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered 2 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue


Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q4 19 Q3 19



Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19

1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered 2 Q2 2019 includes an adjustment of (€13 mn) from the reversal of a restructuring provision 3 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue

FINANCIAL SERVICES OUTLOOK
APPENDIX

1 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue

1 Reflecting closing balances; net portfolio defined as gross portfolio less bad debt provisions; growth excl. currency effects 2 Trucks only

Source: Own calculation and estimates based on publicly available sources (ACEA, IHS Markit, ANFAVEA, …)
1 EU28+2 region consisting of EU member states excluding Malta plus Norway and Switzerland 2 In addition to the EU28+2 countries with particular focus on Germany, these markets comprise Brazil, Russia, South Africa, and Turkey


Note: VGSG operations (sold as of January 2019) included in 2018
1 FY 2018: Adjusted RoS 6.4%, adjusted operating profit €1.7 bn, 9M 2019: Adjusted RoS 7.4%, adjusted operating profit €1.5 bn; 9M 2019 including €19 mn insurance claim proceeds 2 No adjustments applied to estimated return on sales 2019

| Scenarios 2020: Truck Market EU28+21 Market |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -20% | ||
| Measures possibly to be evaluated |
|||
| Reduction of time accounts | |||
| Reduction of temporary workers | |||
| Reduction of non - personnel overhead costs |
|||
| Reduction of direct personnel costs (e.g. short-time work) |
|||
| Reduction of indirect personnel costs (e.g. reduction working hours) |
|||
| Reduction of non-product investments | |||
| Reduction of external R&D costs |
1 EU28+2 region consisting of EU member states excluding Malta plus Norway and Switzerland, (˃ 6t)


Rolf Woller

Helga Würtele

Thomas Paschen

Philipp Lotz
TRATON SE Dachauer Str. 641 80995 Munich www.traton.com

| DATE | EVENT / PUBLICATION OF |
|---|---|
| May 7, 2019 | Q1 2019 |
| July 29, 2019 |
Half-year 2019 |
| November 4, 2019 | 9-month 2019 |
| March 27, 2020 | Annual Press Conference & Annual Report 2019 |
| May 4, 2020 | Q1 2020 |
| May 28, 2020 | Annual General Meeting 2020 |
| July 28, 2020 |
Half-year 2020 |
| November 3, 2020 | 9-month 2020 |


| ISIN (International Securities Identification Number) | DE000TRAT0N7 |
|---|---|
| WKN (German Security Identification number) | TRAT0N |
| Common code | 196390065 |
| Stock exchange | Frankfurt Stock Exchange (Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse) & Nasdaq Stockholm (börsen) |
| Market segment | Regulated market (Prime Standard) of Frankfurt Stock Exchange & Large Cap segment of Nasdaq Stockholm |
| Bloomberg ticker | 8TRA GY / 8TRA SS |
| Reuters ticker | 8TRA.DE / 8TRA.ST |
| Shares outstanding | 500.000.000 |
| Type of share | Bearer shares / common shares |


Within 10-15 years, one of three of our vehicles will have an alternative powertrain. In most cases it is electric
Common modular electric powertrain toolkit, used in 2020 in the first serial produced all-electric city buses made by Scania and MAN

1 Excluding MAN TGE vans 2 EU member states excluding Malta plus Norway and Switzerland

1 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue 2 Q3 2018 impacted by the restructuring of the activities in India (€115 mn), adjusted RoS 6.0%

1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered 2 H1 2018 contained an earnings effect of €19 mn resulting from the transfer of the RIO brand to a TRATON GROUP company; 9M 2018 impacted by the restructuring of the activities in India (€115 mn) 2 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue


1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered 2 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue

1 Book-to-bill is defined as the ratio of trucks and bus units ordered to trucks and bus units delivered 2 Q2 2019 includes an adjustment of (€13 mn) from the reversal of a restructuring provision 3 Calculated as the ratio of operating profit to sales revenue

| in € million | 9M 2019 | 9M 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Sales revenue | 19,827 | 18,623 |
| Cost of sales | -15,825 | -14,965 |
| Gross profit | 4,001 | 3,658 |
| Distribution expenses | -1,811 | -1,741 |
| Administrative expenses | -734 | -736 |
| Net impairment losses on financial assets | -35 | -35 |
| Other operating income | 432 | 520 |
| Other operating expenses | -371 | -558 |
| Operating profit | 1,482 | 1,108 |
| Share of profits and losses of equity-method investments | 262 | 184 |
| Interest income | 59 | 61 |
| Interest expenses | -191 | -186 |
| Other financial result | -28 | 100 |
| Financial result | 103 | 159 |
| Profit before tax | 1,586 | 1,267 |
| Income taxes | -349 | -335 |
| Current | -319 | -266 |
| Deferred | -30 | -69 |
| Profit from continuing operations, net of tax | 1,237 | 931 |
| Profit/loss from discontinued operations, net of tax | -2 | 111 |
| Profit after tax | 1,235 | 1,042 |
| of which attributable to shareholders of TRATON SE | 1,202 | 1,036 |
| of which attributable to noncontrolling interests | 33 | 6 |
| in € million | 09/30/2019 | 12/31/2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||
| Noncurrent assets | ||
| Intangible assets | 6,548 | 6,597 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 6,456 | 5,469 |
| Assets leased out | 6,985 | 6,599 |
| Equity-method investments | 1,384 | 1,223 |
| Other equity investments | 49 | 37 |
| Noncurrent income tax receivables | 41 | 50 |
| Deferred tax assets | 953 | 939 |
| Noncurrent financial services receivables | 4,746 | 4,212 |
| Other noncurrent financial assets | 107 | 63 |
| Other noncurrent receivables | 305 | 663 |
| 27,574 | 25,851 | |
| Current assets | ||
| Inventories | 5,562 | 4,822 |
| Trade receivables | 2,153 | 2,319 |
| Current income tax receivables | 149 | 140 |
| Current financial services receivables | 2,973 | 2,688 |
| Other current financial assets | 321 | 6,371 |
| Other current receivables | 1,043 | 939 |
| Marketable securities and investment deposits | 2,907 | 98 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,116 | 2,997 |
| Assets held for sale | - | 157 |
| 17,225 | 20,533 | |
| Total assets | 44,799 | 46,384 |
| in € million | 09/30/2019 | 12/31/2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity and Liabilities | ||
| Equity | ||
| Subscribed capital | 500 | 10 |
| Capital reserves | 20,841 | 21,331 |
| Retained earnings | -5,104 | -2,064 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | -2,892 | -2,478 |
| Equity attributable to shareholders of TRATON SE | 13,345 | 16,799 |
| Noncontrolling interests | 257 | 2 |
| 13,602 | 16,801 | |
| Noncurrent liabilities | ||
| Noncurrent financial liabilities | 6,010 | 5,449 |
| Provisions for pensions and other post-employment benefits | 1,832 | 1,506 |
| Noncurrent income tax payables | 123 | 122 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 755 | 824 |
| Noncurrent income tax provisions | 18 | 16 |
| Other noncurrent provisions | 1,190 | 1,184 |
| Other noncurrent financial liabilities | 2,580 | 2,333 |
| Other noncurrent liabilities | 1,939 | 1,780 |
| 14,446 | 13,217 | |
| Current liabilities | ||
| Put options/compensation rights granted to noncontrolling interest shareholders | - | 1,827 |
| Current financial liabilities | 6,509 | 5,366 |
| Trade payables | 2,682 | 2,969 |
| Current income tax payables | 142 | 125 |
| Current income tax provisions | 32 | 137 |
| Other current provisions | 902 | 938 |
| Other current financial liabilities | 2,881 | 1,620 |
| Other current liabilities | 3,601 | 3,263 |
| Liabilities directly associated with assets held for sale | - | 123 |
| 16,750 | 16,366 | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 44,799 | 46,384 |
$$\text{If } {\alpha, \beta} \text{ is a } {\alpha, \beta} \text{-valued, then } {\alpha, \beta} \text{ is a } {\alpha, \beta} \text{-valued.}$$
| in € million | 9M 2019 | 9M 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents as of January 1 | 2,997 | 4,593 |
| Profit before tax | 1,586 | 1,267 |
| Income taxes paid | -398 | -392 |
| Depreciation and amortization of, and impairment losses on, intangible assets, | 626 | 479 |
| property, plant, and equipment, and investment property* | ||
| Amortization of and impairment losses on capitalized development costs* | 144 | 125 |
| Impairment losses on equity investments* | 0 | 6 |
| Depreciation of products leased out* | 838 | 799 |
| Change in pension obligations | -4 | 36 |
| Loss on disposal of noncurrent assets and equity investments | -95 | -13 |
| Share of losses of equity-method investments | -112 | -320 |
| Other noncash expense/income | 79 | -3 |
| Change in inventories | -769 | -931 |
| Change in receivables (excluding financial services) | 143 | -233 |
| Change in liabilities (excluding financial liabilities) | 241 | 514 |
| Change in provisions | -5 | 48 |
| Change in products leased out | -1,193 | -1,061 |
| Change in financial services receivables | -784 | -532 |
| Net cash used in operating activities - discontinued operations | - | -68 |
| Net cash used in operating activities | 297 | -280 |
| Payments to acquire property, plant, and equipment and intangible assets | ||
| (excluding capitalized development costs) | -572 | -535 |
| Additions to capitalized development costs | -327 | -269 |
| Payments to acquire other investees | -6 | -21 |
| Proceeds from the disposal of subsidiaries | 1,978 | 0 |
| Disposal of other equity investments | 101 | 0 |
| Proceeds from the disposal of intangible assets, property, plant, and equipment, and | ||
| investment property | 22 | 58 |
| Investing activities attributable to operating acitivities | 1,196 | -766 |
| Net cash flow - continuous operations | 1,494 | -978 |
| *Net of | impairment | reversals | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| --------- | -- | ------------ | ----------- | -- |
| in EUR million | 9M 2019 | 9M 2018 |
|---|---|---|
| Change in marketable securities and investment deposits | -2,813 | -30 |
| Changes in loans | 82 | 4 |
| Net cash used in investing activities – discontinued operations | - | -99 |
| Net cash provided by/used in investing activities | -1,536 | -891 |
| Loss absorption by Volkswagen AG | 4,161 | 28 |
| Distribution of retained earnings | -3,250 | - |
| Noncontrolling interest shareholders of MAN SE: acquisition of shares tendered and | -1,109 | -455 |
| compensation payments | ||
| Proceeds from issuance of bonds | 2,469 | 2,147 |
| Repayments of bonds | -1,144 | - |
| Change in miscellaneous financial liabilities | -639 | -506 |
| Repayment of lease liabilities | -125 | 0 |
| Net cash provided by/used in financing activities – discontinued operations | - | -2 |
| Net cash provided by/used in financing activities | 364 | 1,211 |
| Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents | -7 | -57 |
| Change in cash and cash equivalents | -881 | -17 |
| Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30 | 2,116 | 4,577 |
| Adjustments (€ million) |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 9M 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPERATING PROFIT | 727 | 1,512 | 1,513 | 1,482 |
| Expense for antitrust proceedings (Scania) |
403 | |||
| Release of restructuring provisions at MAN T&B |
-50 | |||
| Expenses in relation to India market exit at MAN T&B |
137 | |||
| Restructuring expenses at VWCO |
58 | -13 | ||
| OPERATING PROFIT (ADJUSTED) | 1,188 | 1,462 | 1,650 | 1,470 |
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