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TERRACOM LIMITED Capital/Financing Update 2020

Nov 5, 2020

65910_rns_2020-11-05_da04b80a-9ade-4ca7-940a-902bc3776c4a.pdf

Capital/Financing Update

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TerraCom Limited
Blair Athol Mine Access Road
Clermont, Queensland, 4721
+61 7 4983 2038
ASX ANNOUNCEMENT
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6 November 2020

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VALUATION OF SOUTH AFRICA BUSINESS

Following requests to provide shareholders with a more comprehensive overview of the South Africa business, TerraCom Limited ( TerraCom or Company ) recently commissioned an independent specialist advisory company in South Africa to prepare an independent valuation report (the Report ) of the assets purchased as part of the Universal Coal acquisition completed earlier in the year.

The South African based independent advisory firm specialises in advisory related matters on mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate restructuring, capital raising (equity and debt), Black Economic Empowerment transactions and valuations of listed and unlisted companies operating in Sub-Saharan Africa across various sectors. The firm is well regarded throughout Sub-Saharan Africa and has proven capabilities and a successful track record of both origination and execution of major projects.

The outcomes of the Report are summarised in this announcement and should provide shareholders with a better understanding of the Company’s decision to acquire the 100% equity in Universal Coal plc ( Universal ) and also clearly demonstrate the value add of the transaction.

Valuation Summary

The valuation of the assets was completed as a combination of discounted cash flow nominal basis method (DCF) for the operating assets mine plan, and resource multiples for resources outside the mine plan (Resource)[1] .

Discounted
Cash Flow2
Resource
Multiples
Valuation Total
Valuation Total
Asset (South African
Rand, ZAR)
(South African
Rand, ZAR)
(South African
Rand, ZAR)
(Australian
Dollars, AUD)3
North Block Complex
New Clydesdale Colliery
Eloff & Kangala
Ubuntu
2,118,123,759
25,000,000
2,143,123,759
1,661,151,272
126,000,000
1,787,151,272
3,646,218,604
487,000,000
4,133,218,604
421,807,480
81,000,000
502,807,480
187,664,077
156,493,106
361,928,074
44,028,676
Total 7,847,301,115
719,000,000
8,566,301,115
750,113,933

As stakeholders are aware, TerraCom’s equity interest in the South African assets is 49% and therefore its equity interest in the valuation of the assets is $367.5 million . This valuation compares favourably to TerraCom’s final acquisition purchase price of Universal of $118.0 million[4] – representing more than 3 times value acquired compared to purchase price.

1 Refer Appendix for macro assumptions summary for this valuation. 2 The nominal discount rate (weight average cost of capital) utilised is 12.27%. 3 Converted from ZAR to AUD using 11.42:1. 4 Purchase price comprised of $59.1 million cash and $58.9 million in TerraCom equity as disclosed within the Audited Financial Report for the year ended 30 June 2020. This acquisition price was calculated in accordance with prescribed accounting standards.

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This announcement has been approved by the Company’s Disclosure Committee for release.

Craig Ransley Megan Etcell Executive Deputy Chairman Company Secretary P +61 7 4983 2038 P +61 7 4983 2038 E [email protected] E [email protected]

About TerraCom Limited

TerraCom Limited ( ASX: TER ) is an emerging company originating as a resource explorer with a large portfolio of operating assets in Australia and South Africa. We are currently enacting a growth strategy towards delivering a Mid-Tier diversified operating and trading business and have a global focus on the development of a high yielding diversified asset portfolio for its investors. To learn more about TerraCom visit terracomresources.com.

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APPENDIX - VALUATION ASSUMPTIONS SUMMARY – SOURCED FROM ISSUED THIRD PARTY VALUATION REPORT

TABLE 1 – RUN OF MINE PRODUCTION (BY MINING COMPLEX)

Year NBC
(Mt)
NCC
(Mt)
Eloff/ Kangala
(Mt)
Ubuntu
(Mt)
Total
(Mt)
2021 3.56 3.45 2.54 1.30 10.84
2022 4.00 4.31 3.70 1.90 13.90
2023 4.00 4.29 5.08 1.62 14.99
2024 4.00 4.34 10.29 1.58 20.21
2025 4.00 4.39 12.03 1.87 22.29
2026 4.00 4.57 12.08 1.85 22.50
2027 4.00 4.56 5.04 0.43 14.04
2028 4.00 4.55 5.10 0.00 13.65
2029 4.00 4.54 5.22 0.00 13.77
2030 3.98 3.17 5.23 0.00 12.39
2031 4.00 2.40 5.19 0.00 11.59
2032 4.01 3.44 1.45 0.00 8.89
2033 3.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.99
2034 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00

TABLE 2 – COAL SALES (BY MINING COMPLEX)

Year NBC
(Mt)
NCC
(Mt)
Eloff/ Kangala
(Mt)
Ubuntu
(Mt)
Total
(Mt)
2021 2.75 3.00 1.80 1.30 8.86
2022 3.02 3.65 3.00 1.90 11.57
2023 2.95 3.72 4.20 1.62 12.49
2024 2.83 3.72 8.12 1.58 16.25
2025 2.82 3.82 9.57 1.87 18.08
2026 2.85 3.94 9.57 1.85 18.22
2027 2.86 3.97 4.77 0.43 12.04
2028 2.83 3.97 4.77 0.00 11.57
2029 2.83 3.96 4.77 0.00 11.56
2030 2.89 2.94 4.77 0.00 10.6
2031 2.97 2.38 4.77 0.00 10.13
2032 2.95 3.74 1.34 0.00 8.02
2033 3.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.03
2034 3.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.12

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APPENDIX (continued) - VALUATION ASSUMPTIONS SUMMARY – SOURCED FROM ISSUED THIRD PARTY VALUATION REPORT

TABLE 3 – COAL SALES SPLIT (DOMESTIC AND EXPORT)

Year Domestic
(Mt)
Export
(Mt)
Total
(Mt)
2021 6.43 1.93 8.36
2022 9.05 1.92 10.97
2023 10.04 1.85 11.89
2024 13.85 1.81 15.65
2025 15.67 1.81 17.48
2026 15.65 1.97 17.62
2027 9.75 1.7 11.44
2028 9.39 1.58 10.97
2029 9.35 1.61 10.96
2030 8.63 1.38 10.00
2031 8.31 1.22 9.53
2032 5.34 1.48 6.82
2033 2.35 0.68 3.03
2034 2.38 0.74 3.12

TABLE 4 – MACRO REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS (NOMINAL)

Year Export Coal
Price – RB1
(USD)
Export Coal
Price – RB3
(USD)
Foreign
Exchange Rate
– USD/ZAR
2021 58.00 45.00 16.47
2022 61.77 48.24 16.95
2023 68.91 54.51 17.45
2024 74.08 59.01 17.95
2025 77.81 62.20 18.48
2026 81.66 65.51 18.48
2027 85.64 68.92 18.48
2028 89.75 72.45 18.48
2029 94.00 76.10 18.48
2030 98.38 79.86 18.48
2031 102.91 83.76 18.48
2032 107.59 87.78 18.48
2033 112.41 91.93 18.48
2034 117.39 96.22 18.48

This Table 4 is the basis for the revenue to be earned on the Export coal sales in Table 3.

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APPENDIX (continued) - VALUATION ASSUMPTIONS SUMMARY – SOURCED FROM ISSUED THIRD PARTY VALUATION REPORT

TABLE 5 – RESOURCES AND RESERVES SUMMARY

Reserves Resources Resources
Proved Probable Total Measured Indicated Inferred Total
NBC 48.2 - 48.2 56.0 11.3 12.1 79.4
NCC 41.7 5.9 47.5 81.2 32.6 6.5 120.4
Eloff/ Kangala 1.3 - 1.3 60.1 281.0 282.9 623.9
Ubuntu 9.0 - 9.0 31.4 39.4 4.7 75.5
Total 100.2 5.9 106.1 228.7 364.3 306.2 899.2

Refer to ASX Announcement on 30 October 2020 for further information and clarification on the Resources and Reserves in South Africa. The Company confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the original announcement, and that all material assumptions and technical parameters in the announcement made in the original announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed.

TABLE 6 – DISCOUNT RATE (NOMINAL)

The conversion from free cash flow from the operations relative to the discounted cash flow is shown in the below table:

Year Portion of Free Cash Flow in
Year that gets allocation to the
discounted cash flow
2021 0.96
2022 0.86
2023 0.76
2024 0.68
2025 0.61
2026 0.54
2027 0.48
2028 0.43
2029 0.38
2030 0.34
2031 0.30
2032 0.27
2033 0.24
2034 0.21

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Forward Looking Statement

This document contains summary information about, TerraCom, its subsidiaries, and its activities which are current as at the date of this document. The information in this document is general in nature and does not purport to be complete nor does it contain all the information which a prospective investor may require in evaluating a possible investment in TerraCom or that would be required in a prospectus or product disclosure statement prepared in accordance with the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) . Information in this document should therefore be read in conjunction with other announcements made by TerraCom to the ASX.

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document (or any associated presentation, information or matters). To the maximum extent permitted by law, TerraCom and its related bodies corporate and affiliates, and their respective directors, officers, employees, agents and advisers, disclaim any liability (including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault, negligence or negligent misstatement) for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from any use or reliance on this document or its contents, including any error or omission from, or otherwise in connection with, it.

Certain statements in or in connection with this document contain or comprise forward looking statements. Such statements may include, but are not limited to, statements with regard to capital cost, capacity, future production and grades, sales projections and financial performance and may be (but are not necessarily) identified by the use of phrases such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "project", "forecast", "estimate", "likely", "intend", "should", "could", "may", "target", "plan", "consider", "foresee", "aim", "will". By their nature, forward looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future and may be outside TerraCom’s control. Accordingly, results, events or outcomes could differ materially from the results, events or outcomes expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in product prices and exchange rates and business and operational risk management. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or relevant stock exchange listing rules, TerraCom undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal or other advice. You must not act on the basis of any matter contained in this document but must make your own independent investigation and assessment of TerraCom and obtain any professional advice you require before making any investment decision based on your investment objectives and financial circumstances. An investment in TerraCom shares is subject to known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of TerraCom. Investors should have careful regard to the risk factors outlined in this document.

This document does not constitute an offer, invitation, solicitation, advice or recommendation with respect to the issue, purchase or sale of any security in any jurisdiction.

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