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TERRACOM LIMITED — Capital/Financing Update 2020
Nov 5, 2020
65910_rns_2020-11-05_da04b80a-9ade-4ca7-940a-902bc3776c4a.pdf
Capital/Financing Update
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TerraCom Limited
Blair Athol Mine Access Road
Clermont, Queensland, 4721
+61 7 4983 2038
ASX ANNOUNCEMENT
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6 November 2020
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VALUATION OF SOUTH AFRICA BUSINESS
Following requests to provide shareholders with a more comprehensive overview of the South Africa business, TerraCom Limited ( TerraCom or Company ) recently commissioned an independent specialist advisory company in South Africa to prepare an independent valuation report (the Report ) of the assets purchased as part of the Universal Coal acquisition completed earlier in the year.
The South African based independent advisory firm specialises in advisory related matters on mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate restructuring, capital raising (equity and debt), Black Economic Empowerment transactions and valuations of listed and unlisted companies operating in Sub-Saharan Africa across various sectors. The firm is well regarded throughout Sub-Saharan Africa and has proven capabilities and a successful track record of both origination and execution of major projects.
The outcomes of the Report are summarised in this announcement and should provide shareholders with a better understanding of the Company’s decision to acquire the 100% equity in Universal Coal plc ( Universal ) and also clearly demonstrate the value add of the transaction.
Valuation Summary
The valuation of the assets was completed as a combination of discounted cash flow nominal basis method (DCF) for the operating assets mine plan, and resource multiples for resources outside the mine plan (Resource)[1] .
| Discounted Cash Flow2 Resource Multiples Valuation Total |
Valuation Total | |
|---|---|---|
| Asset | (South African Rand, ZAR) (South African Rand, ZAR) (South African Rand, ZAR) |
(Australian Dollars, AUD)3 |
| North Block Complex New Clydesdale Colliery Eloff & Kangala Ubuntu |
2,118,123,759 25,000,000 2,143,123,759 1,661,151,272 126,000,000 1,787,151,272 3,646,218,604 487,000,000 4,133,218,604 421,807,480 81,000,000 502,807,480 |
187,664,077 156,493,106 361,928,074 44,028,676 |
| Total | 7,847,301,115 719,000,000 8,566,301,115 |
750,113,933 |
As stakeholders are aware, TerraCom’s equity interest in the South African assets is 49% and therefore its equity interest in the valuation of the assets is $367.5 million . This valuation compares favourably to TerraCom’s final acquisition purchase price of Universal of $118.0 million[4] – representing more than 3 times value acquired compared to purchase price.
1 Refer Appendix for macro assumptions summary for this valuation. 2 The nominal discount rate (weight average cost of capital) utilised is 12.27%. 3 Converted from ZAR to AUD using 11.42:1. 4 Purchase price comprised of $59.1 million cash and $58.9 million in TerraCom equity as disclosed within the Audited Financial Report for the year ended 30 June 2020. This acquisition price was calculated in accordance with prescribed accounting standards.
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This announcement has been approved by the Company’s Disclosure Committee for release.
Craig Ransley Megan Etcell Executive Deputy Chairman Company Secretary P +61 7 4983 2038 P +61 7 4983 2038 E [email protected] E [email protected]
About TerraCom Limited
TerraCom Limited ( ASX: TER ) is an emerging company originating as a resource explorer with a large portfolio of operating assets in Australia and South Africa. We are currently enacting a growth strategy towards delivering a Mid-Tier diversified operating and trading business and have a global focus on the development of a high yielding diversified asset portfolio for its investors. To learn more about TerraCom visit terracomresources.com.
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APPENDIX - VALUATION ASSUMPTIONS SUMMARY – SOURCED FROM ISSUED THIRD PARTY VALUATION REPORT
TABLE 1 – RUN OF MINE PRODUCTION (BY MINING COMPLEX)
| Year | NBC (Mt) |
NCC (Mt) |
Eloff/ Kangala (Mt) |
Ubuntu (Mt) |
Total (Mt) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3.56 | 3.45 | 2.54 | 1.30 | 10.84 |
| 2022 | 4.00 | 4.31 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 13.90 |
| 2023 | 4.00 | 4.29 | 5.08 | 1.62 | 14.99 |
| 2024 | 4.00 | 4.34 | 10.29 | 1.58 | 20.21 |
| 2025 | 4.00 | 4.39 | 12.03 | 1.87 | 22.29 |
| 2026 | 4.00 | 4.57 | 12.08 | 1.85 | 22.50 |
| 2027 | 4.00 | 4.56 | 5.04 | 0.43 | 14.04 |
| 2028 | 4.00 | 4.55 | 5.10 | 0.00 | 13.65 |
| 2029 | 4.00 | 4.54 | 5.22 | 0.00 | 13.77 |
| 2030 | 3.98 | 3.17 | 5.23 | 0.00 | 12.39 |
| 2031 | 4.00 | 2.40 | 5.19 | 0.00 | 11.59 |
| 2032 | 4.01 | 3.44 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 8.89 |
| 2033 | 3.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.99 |
| 2034 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
TABLE 2 – COAL SALES (BY MINING COMPLEX)
| Year | NBC (Mt) |
NCC (Mt) |
Eloff/ Kangala (Mt) |
Ubuntu (Mt) |
Total (Mt) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2.75 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.30 | 8.86 |
| 2022 | 3.02 | 3.65 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 11.57 |
| 2023 | 2.95 | 3.72 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 12.49 |
| 2024 | 2.83 | 3.72 | 8.12 | 1.58 | 16.25 |
| 2025 | 2.82 | 3.82 | 9.57 | 1.87 | 18.08 |
| 2026 | 2.85 | 3.94 | 9.57 | 1.85 | 18.22 |
| 2027 | 2.86 | 3.97 | 4.77 | 0.43 | 12.04 |
| 2028 | 2.83 | 3.97 | 4.77 | 0.00 | 11.57 |
| 2029 | 2.83 | 3.96 | 4.77 | 0.00 | 11.56 |
| 2030 | 2.89 | 2.94 | 4.77 | 0.00 | 10.6 |
| 2031 | 2.97 | 2.38 | 4.77 | 0.00 | 10.13 |
| 2032 | 2.95 | 3.74 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 8.02 |
| 2033 | 3.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03 |
| 2034 | 3.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.12 |
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APPENDIX (continued) - VALUATION ASSUMPTIONS SUMMARY – SOURCED FROM ISSUED THIRD PARTY VALUATION REPORT
TABLE 3 – COAL SALES SPLIT (DOMESTIC AND EXPORT)
| Year | Domestic (Mt) |
Export (Mt) |
Total (Mt) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 6.43 | 1.93 | 8.36 |
| 2022 | 9.05 | 1.92 | 10.97 |
| 2023 | 10.04 | 1.85 | 11.89 |
| 2024 | 13.85 | 1.81 | 15.65 |
| 2025 | 15.67 | 1.81 | 17.48 |
| 2026 | 15.65 | 1.97 | 17.62 |
| 2027 | 9.75 | 1.7 | 11.44 |
| 2028 | 9.39 | 1.58 | 10.97 |
| 2029 | 9.35 | 1.61 | 10.96 |
| 2030 | 8.63 | 1.38 | 10.00 |
| 2031 | 8.31 | 1.22 | 9.53 |
| 2032 | 5.34 | 1.48 | 6.82 |
| 2033 | 2.35 | 0.68 | 3.03 |
| 2034 | 2.38 | 0.74 | 3.12 |
TABLE 4 – MACRO REVENUE ASSUMPTIONS (NOMINAL)
| Year | Export Coal Price – RB1 (USD) |
Export Coal Price – RB3 (USD) |
Foreign Exchange Rate – USD/ZAR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 58.00 | 45.00 | 16.47 |
| 2022 | 61.77 | 48.24 | 16.95 |
| 2023 | 68.91 | 54.51 | 17.45 |
| 2024 | 74.08 | 59.01 | 17.95 |
| 2025 | 77.81 | 62.20 | 18.48 |
| 2026 | 81.66 | 65.51 | 18.48 |
| 2027 | 85.64 | 68.92 | 18.48 |
| 2028 | 89.75 | 72.45 | 18.48 |
| 2029 | 94.00 | 76.10 | 18.48 |
| 2030 | 98.38 | 79.86 | 18.48 |
| 2031 | 102.91 | 83.76 | 18.48 |
| 2032 | 107.59 | 87.78 | 18.48 |
| 2033 | 112.41 | 91.93 | 18.48 |
| 2034 | 117.39 | 96.22 | 18.48 |
This Table 4 is the basis for the revenue to be earned on the Export coal sales in Table 3.
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APPENDIX (continued) - VALUATION ASSUMPTIONS SUMMARY – SOURCED FROM ISSUED THIRD PARTY VALUATION REPORT
TABLE 5 – RESOURCES AND RESERVES SUMMARY
| Reserves | Resources | Resources | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Proved | Probable | Total | Measured | Indicated | Inferred | Total | |
| NBC | 48.2 | - | 48.2 | 56.0 | 11.3 | 12.1 | 79.4 |
| NCC | 41.7 | 5.9 | 47.5 | 81.2 | 32.6 | 6.5 | 120.4 |
| Eloff/ Kangala | 1.3 | - | 1.3 | 60.1 | 281.0 | 282.9 | 623.9 |
| Ubuntu | 9.0 | - | 9.0 | 31.4 | 39.4 | 4.7 | 75.5 |
| Total | 100.2 | 5.9 | 106.1 | 228.7 | 364.3 | 306.2 | 899.2 |
Refer to ASX Announcement on 30 October 2020 for further information and clarification on the Resources and Reserves in South Africa. The Company confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the original announcement, and that all material assumptions and technical parameters in the announcement made in the original announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed.
TABLE 6 – DISCOUNT RATE (NOMINAL)
The conversion from free cash flow from the operations relative to the discounted cash flow is shown in the below table:
| Year | Portion of Free Cash Flow in Year that gets allocation to the discounted cash flow |
|---|---|
| 2021 | 0.96 |
| 2022 | 0.86 |
| 2023 | 0.76 |
| 2024 | 0.68 |
| 2025 | 0.61 |
| 2026 | 0.54 |
| 2027 | 0.48 |
| 2028 | 0.43 |
| 2029 | 0.38 |
| 2030 | 0.34 |
| 2031 | 0.30 |
| 2032 | 0.27 |
| 2033 | 0.24 |
| 2034 | 0.21 |
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Forward Looking Statement
This document contains summary information about, TerraCom, its subsidiaries, and its activities which are current as at the date of this document. The information in this document is general in nature and does not purport to be complete nor does it contain all the information which a prospective investor may require in evaluating a possible investment in TerraCom or that would be required in a prospectus or product disclosure statement prepared in accordance with the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) . Information in this document should therefore be read in conjunction with other announcements made by TerraCom to the ASX.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document (or any associated presentation, information or matters). To the maximum extent permitted by law, TerraCom and its related bodies corporate and affiliates, and their respective directors, officers, employees, agents and advisers, disclaim any liability (including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault, negligence or negligent misstatement) for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from any use or reliance on this document or its contents, including any error or omission from, or otherwise in connection with, it.
Certain statements in or in connection with this document contain or comprise forward looking statements. Such statements may include, but are not limited to, statements with regard to capital cost, capacity, future production and grades, sales projections and financial performance and may be (but are not necessarily) identified by the use of phrases such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "project", "forecast", "estimate", "likely", "intend", "should", "could", "may", "target", "plan", "consider", "foresee", "aim", "will". By their nature, forward looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future and may be outside TerraCom’s control. Accordingly, results, events or outcomes could differ materially from the results, events or outcomes expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in product prices and exchange rates and business and operational risk management. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or relevant stock exchange listing rules, TerraCom undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Nothing in this document constitutes investment, legal or other advice. You must not act on the basis of any matter contained in this document but must make your own independent investigation and assessment of TerraCom and obtain any professional advice you require before making any investment decision based on your investment objectives and financial circumstances. An investment in TerraCom shares is subject to known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of TerraCom. Investors should have careful regard to the risk factors outlined in this document.
This document does not constitute an offer, invitation, solicitation, advice or recommendation with respect to the issue, purchase or sale of any security in any jurisdiction.
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