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Terna

Investor Presentation Mar 25, 2025

4300_rns_2025-03-25_06611523-177e-4acf-83c4-bf9e1899b546.pdf

Investor Presentation

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CERTIFIED

Agenda

Achievements 2024 2
Scenario 4
1
0
-year National Development Plan
12
Strategy 15
FY 2024 Results 21
2024

2028 Group Financial Targets
28
Closing Remarks 36
Annexes 38

2024 Key Indicators

up high-double digits

Terna reconfirmed as global

sustainability leader

Achievements 2024

Main highlights

A solid base for future growth

EU and Italian decarbonization targets for 2030

FOCUS ON ITALIAN RES

5

Source: National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) 2024 * 2024 provisional data

System towards Energy Transition: Terna's Role

Robust acceleration in RES installed capacity

RES capacity evolution

7

FER 2 Decree to enable the development of innovative RES FER X Decree to accelerate solar and onshore wind New supportive measures to achieve NECP Policy 2030

1. Source: National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) 2024

Supporting integration of intermittent Renewables through new utility-scale Storage

Current Storage Landscape and NECP 2030 Targets

8

Source: Terna's 10-years National Development Plan 2025

MACSE incentive mechanism will support growth of utility-scale Storage by accompanying development of Renewable capacity

Source: Scenarios Description Document (October 2024) developed jointly by Terna and Snam. 1. On top of the existing Hydro-pumping installed capacity.

Transition enables energy independence

Evolution of fixed/variable costs for the electricity system Dependence of the Italian electricity system on imported commodities from foreign countries*

Source: Terna Estimates Source: Terna Estimates *commodities include imported electricity

The development of the transmission network will contribute to energy independence, achieve decarbonization targets and enable greater stability of electricity bills for end users

Extreme weather events rapidly increasing due to climate change

Source: Legambiente - Bilancio Città Clima 2024

An adaptive grid infrastructure is crucial to address unprecedented challenges

Terna enables the transition and energy independence

10-year National Development Plan

10-year National Development Plan

Overview

Creating a safer and more efficient system

10-year National Development Plan

Main interzonal initiatives and interconnections with foreign countries

Developing the infrastructure of the future

14

GR.ITA.2 First pole: +500 MW by 2033

GR.ITA.2 Second pole: +500 MW by 2035 *The network scheme of the project is under further analysis with the TSO counterpart Swissgrid to identify the most suitable solutions to implement 1. Possibility of bringing forward the complete project within the 2025-2034 planning horizon is under evaluation.

Further increase in the five-year capex plan

16.6 billion euros allocated to the national electricity grid, a new historical record of regulated investments

Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding 1. Includes: Non-Regulated capex and capitalized financial charges

Planned investments continue at a faster pace in permitting, procurement, and execution

Projects covered at ~90% for authorizations and ~80% for procurement despite +1.1 billion euros of regulated capex compared to the previous plan

Non-Regulated Activities integrated into Terna's business model

Maximizing profitability leveraging fast growing markets

Digital Transformation scale-up

ESG commitments and ambitions

FY 2024 Key Numbers

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CERTIFIED
FY 2024 FY 2023 ∆ vs FY 2023
Actual
€mn
Guidance
€bn
Actual
€mn
Revenues 3,680 3.61 3,187 +15%
EBITDA 2,566 2.50 2,169 +18%
Group Net Income1 1,062 ~1.042 885 +20%
Capex 2,692 2.6 2,290 +18%
Net Debt 11,160 10,494

Double digit increase in all P&L lines. Guidance exceeded

Notes: 1. Attributable to Terna 2. Equivalent to old reported EPS guidance of 52 €/cents per share

Revenues

REGULATED NON-REGULATED & INTERNATIONAL

Growth driven by both Regulated and Non-Regulated activities

Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding

EBITDA

Regulated Activities as EBITDA growth driver

Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding

From EBITDA to Net Income

20% increase in Net Income

25

Note: figures may not add up due to rounding 1. Attributable to Terna

Capex

Strong Capex delivery to serve system needs

26

Note: figures may not add up due to rounding 1. Of which about 74 €mn of Capitalized Financial Charges in FY24 and 48 €mn in FY23

Cash Flow & Net Debt Evolution

Net debt evolution under control

Note: figures may not add up due to rounding

1. Including Other Fixed Assets Changes

2. Including Assets Held for Sale, Cash Flow Hedge reserve, Hybrid Green Bonds and other

Domestic Regulated Activities

9% RAB CAGR thanks to the acceleration of domestic regulated investments

Notes: 1. Gross of 0.1 €bn of EU Contributions 2. Gross of 1.1 €bn of EU Contributions 3. Gross of 1.0 €bn of EU Contributions 4. Updated 2021-2025 Plan in 2022 5. Calendar RAB including WIP. RAB inflation at 2.7% on average during the plan period * Includes the acquisition of the portion of Rome HV grid from Acea.

Domestic Regulated Activities

Highest regulated investment plan ever

Notes: Including EU contributions; figures may not add up due to rounding

Regulatory milestones

Start of ROSS Base

Towards ROSS model

Non-Regulated Activities

Guidance 2025 and 2028

FY 2024 FY 2025
FY 2028
Actual
€bn
Guidance
€bn
Guidance
€bn
Plan 2024-2028
Plan 2024-2028
Update
3.68 4.03 5.19
4.60
2.57 2.70 3.36
3.25
1.06 1.08 1.10
1.19
2.7 3.4 17.7
16.5
Cumulated
2024-2028

CAGR 23-28: EBITDA +9%, Net Income +6%

Notes: P&L values restated for International deconsolidation 1. Including Regulated, Non-Regulated, capitalized financial charges and EU contributions

Yield & Growth

Providing long-term visibility and stability

Financial Efficiency and Financial Structure

  • Gross Debt @ ~84% Fix rate1,2
  • Average duration of ~6 years2
  • Strong commitment to maintain current rating level
  • Average Cost of Net Debt 2024-2028 @ 3.1%
CREDIT RATING ESG RATING
Terna Sovereign Advance
Moody's ESG
Rating Outlook Rating Outlook Negligible risk
Sustainalytics
S&P BBB+ Stable BBB Stable S&P Global CSA
87/100
(Corporate Sustainability Assessment) score:
Moody's Baa2 Stable Baa3 Stable CDP
A
(former Carbon Disclosure Project)
Prime
ISS ESG

Renewed commitment to maintain a solid financial structure

Notes: 1. As of FY2024 2. Calculated on medium-long term debt

Closing Remarks

Closing Remarks

Strengthening Terna's role in decarbonization and energy independence process, contributing to higher stability of electricity bills

  • Focus on execution of our investment plan

Accelerating returns while maintaining financial stability

Ensuring a balanced mix of yield and growth

A Twin Transition for a Just Transition

2025 Total Grid Fee update1

Notes: 1) ARERA Resolutions and Terna's preliminary estimates, net of pass-through items

Consolidated Income Statement1

€ mn FY24 FY23 Δmn Δ%
Total Revenue 3,680 3,187 494 15.5%
Regulated Activities 3,096 2,670 426 16.0%
Transmission 2,424 2,108 316 15.0%
Dispatching 500 431 69 16.0%
Other² 60 51 9 17.9%
IFRIC12 113 81 32 40.1%
Non Regulated and International Activities 584 517 67 13.0%
Total Costs 1,114 1,018 96 9.4%
Regulated Activities 635 584 51 8.6%
Labour Costs 295 285 10 3.5%
External Costs 193 187 6 3.2%
Other² 34 31 2 7.4%
IFRIC12 113 81 32 40.1%
Non Regulated Activities 476 430 46 10.8%
International Activities 3 4 -1 -27.5%
EBITDA 2,566 2,169 398 18.3%
D&A 889 806 83 10.3%
EBIT 1,677 1,362 315 23.1%
Net Financial Charges 172 118 54 45.7%
Pre Tax Profit 1,506 1,245 261 21.0%
Taxes 455 364 91 24.9%
Tax Rate (%) 30.2% 29.3% - 0.9 pp
Net Income 1,051 880 171 19.4%
Profit/(Loss) From Discontinued Operations
Net Financial Charges
12 3 9 -364.0%
Total Net Income 1,063 883 180 20.4%
Minority Interest 1 -3 3 -123.1%
Group Net Income 1,062 885 177 19.9%

Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding; 1. Managerial Accounting

Consolidated Balance Sheet

€ mn Dec. 31,2024 Dec. 31,2023 Δmn
PP&E 19,237 17,597 1,640
Intangible Asset 982 867 115
Financial Inv. and Other 485 501 -16
Total Fixed Assets 20,704 18,965 1,739
Net WC -2,025 -2,175 149
Funds 10 -33 43
Net Capital Invested 18,689 16,757 1,932
Net Assets Held for Sale 15 80 -65
Total Net Capital Invested 18,704 16,838 1,867
Financed by:
Consolidated Net Debt 11,160 10,494 666
Total Shareholder's Equity 7,544 6,343 1,201
Total 18,704 16,838 1,867

Consolidated Cash Flow

€ mn FY24 FY23
Total Net Income 1,063 883
D&A1 876 788
Net Change in Funds -43 -35
Operating Cash Flow 1,896 1,636
2
Δ Working Capital & Other
-73 -536
Cash Flow from Operating Activities 1,823 1,100
Capital Expenditures -2,692 -2,290
Free Cash Flow to Equity -870 -1,190
Net Assets Held for Sale 65 -19
3
Dividends & Equity
138 -709
Change in Net Cash (Debt) -666 -1,918

Notes: figures may not add up due to rounding;

1. Net of assets' disposal

2. Including Other Fixed Assets Changes

3. Including Cash Flow Hedge accruals, Hybrid Green Bond and other

Disclaimer

THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY TERNA S.P.A. (THE "COMPANY") FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE DESCRIBED HEREIN. IN NO CASE MAY IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS SUBSIDIARIES.

THE CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT OR ANY MATERIAL DISCUSSED DURING THE PRESENTATION.

THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE CONFERENCE CALL MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANY'S BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES, PROJECTIONS AND PROJECTS, AND CANNOT BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE OF WHATSOEVER NATURE.

HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND ARE CURRENT ONLY AT THE DATE THEY ARE MADE. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANY'S ACTUAL RESULTS AND PROVISIONS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. SUCH FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: TRENDS IN COMPANY'S BUSINESS, ITS ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT COST-CUTTING PLANS, CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, DIFFERENT INTERPRETATION OF THE LAW AND REGULATION, ITS ABILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFY AND THE EXPECTED LEVEL OF FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. THEREFORE, YOU SHOULD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. TERNA DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO UPDATE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN TERNA'S EXPECTATIONS WITH REGARD THERETO OR ANY CHANGES IN EVENTS.

EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF THE PREPARATION OF ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS "FRANCESCO BECCALI" DECLARES, PURSUANT TO PARAGRAPH 2 OF ARTICLE 154-BIS OF THE CONSOLIDATED LAW ON FINANCE, THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, FOR WHAT CONCERNS THE ACTUAL FIGURES, CORRESPONDS TO THE DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS.

Notes

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Notes

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Notes

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