AI assistant
Terna — Investor Presentation 2016
Feb 17, 2016
4300_rns_2016-02-17_a6550c4e-0169-4de1-bf29-80097e3478b0.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
Delivery and Growth
CATIA BASTIOLI CHAIRWOMAN
MATTEO DEL FANTE CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
PIERPAOLO CRISTOFORI CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
Agenda
OVERVIEW
2016-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 88
FINAL REMARKS
The environment ahead of us Key Trends
Efficient use of resources
Circular economy
CO2 reduction
Transport sector electrification
Economy decarbonization 2030 A global deadline
COP21
United Nations Sustainable Development Goals
Towards high standards for a reduced environmental impact
What Terna has done so far
Main Achievements
Replacement of old lines
- higher integration of renewables
- reduction in soil consumption
- 600km of old lines removed in the last 6 years
Reduced Emissions
A reduction1 of 15 mn tons of CO2 emissions expected yearly thanks to investments included in the National Development Plan
Maximize energy efficiency
Dispatching optimization Recycle materials used for investments and maintenance of the Grid
Reduction of service costs
R&D as a catalyst for innovation, contributing to value creation
Open approach to innovation leveraging also on external resources and partnerships
What's next in Corporate Governance
Agenda
OVERVIEW
2016-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
FINAL REMARKS
European electricity market trends
A New Role for the Transmission System Operator
A technology frontrunner through innovation
Italian electricity market trends
Execution Excellence
Strong delivery in 2015
A solid base for the future
Delivery and Growth
THE NEW ENVIRONMENT
4 years regulatory visibility 4 years Plan period
Change in perimeter due to RHV Grid acquisition
A NEW FOCUS ON CORE BUSINESS
A stronger asset base to start from
- Shorter Time-lag
- RHV Grid
+1.6€bn RAB
effect
- A new wave of growth low risk profile
- RHV Grid capex integration
- Capex acceleration in domestic regulated
Opex efficiency
Higher visibility with
The New Framework
STRATEGIC MATRIX
| REGULATED Capex Driven |
NON – REG Capital Light |
|
|---|---|---|
| DOMESTIC | Integration of RHV Grid Project delivery acceleration |
Services Interconnectors Tamini |
| INTERNATIONAL | New Approach | EPC |
Sustainable growth focused on value creation
2016-2019 Key Targets – Capital Allocation and Results
EPS CAGR 2016-2019 ∼3% Free Cash Flow 2€bn cumulated Net Debt reduction starting from 2018/2019
Regulated Capex Plan 2016-2019
Capex plan build-up due to:
- RHV Grid Acquisition, requiring investments for overall network connection
- Acceleration program in accordance with the new regulatory schedule
CAPEX
Grid Expansion – Integration of RHV Grid
Capex 2016-2019: ∼300€mn o/w 70% for integration within Terna's grid €mn 0 40 80 120 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Integration Renewal & Other
EFFICIENCY TARGETS
Operational Activities Optimization
Insourcing & synergies on top of allowed opex
Headcount for O&M:
- rationalization from current ∼400* to less than 200 incremental headcount
EPS accretion starting from 2017
Regulated Capex Plan 2016-2019
WIP 2016-2019 mostly below the regulatory Cap
(equal to stock WIP at 2015YE net of Sorgente-Rizziconi: ∼1.4€bn)
Grid Expansion
TARIFF RAB EVOLUTION
.
Non Regulated - Capital Light
DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO ALREADY CONTRACTED
Based on our Core Capabilities
International Growth Our Approach
ENGAGEMENT RULES CAPITAL ALLOCATION CRITERIA
No change in Group's risk profile
Savings on Regulated Opex (excl. RHV Grid)
Total headcount ∼3,400 in 2019 (∼3,600 incl. RHV Grid )
Further effort on Cost Saving vs Old Plans
Group Targets P&L
BOTTOM LINE
EPS CAGR 2016-2019 ∼3%
Summary Targets Free Cash Flow
NET DEBT AND CASH FLOW CUMULATED 2016-2019
Net Debt reduction from 2018/2019
Maintain a solid financial structure
- Average kd in the period ∼2%
- Average Net Debt/RAB at 58%
MAIN FINANCIAL RATIO UNDER THE RADAR OF RATING AGENCIES
Preliminary 2015 and Guidance 2016
| FY2015 | FY2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Guidance | Preliminary1 | Guidance | |
| REVENUES | ~ 2.05 €bn |
> 2.07 €bn |
2 ~ 2.09 €bn |
| EBITDA | ~ 1.52 €bn |
> 1.53 €bn |
~ 1.52 €bn |
| CAPEX | ~ 1.0 €bn |
~ 1.1 €bn |
~ 0.9 €bn |
| EPS | ~ 28 €cents |
||
| Net Debt | ~ 8.0 €bn |
||
Dividend Policy Consistent and Sustainable
CAGR 2015-2019 +3% starting from DPS 2015
Consistent with EPS and RAB evolution
Sustainable implied payout ratio: <75% at the end of the Plan period
Agenda
OVERVIEW
2016-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
Final Remarks
Low Risk Profile and Solid Cash flow
Solid Cash flow to serve yield and growth
THANK YOU. QUESTIONS?
Matteo Del Fante Chief Executive Officer Pierpaolo Cristofori Chief Financial Officer
Disclaimer Notes
| SUBSIDIARIES. CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT OR ANY MATERIAL DISCUSSED DURING THE PRESENTATION. THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE CONFERENCE CALL MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANY'S BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES, PROJECTIONS AND PROJECTS, AND CANNOT BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE WHATSOEVER NATURE. HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND ARE CURRENT ONLY AT THE DATE THEY ARE MADE. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANY'S ACTUAL RESULTS AND PROVISIONS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. SUCH FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: TRENDS IN COMPANY'S BUSINESS, ITS ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT COST-CUTTING PLANS, CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, DIFFERENT INTERPRETATION OF THE LAW AND REGULATION, ITS ABILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFY AND THE EXPECTED LEVEL OF FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. THEREFORE, YOU SHOULD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. TERNA DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO UPDATE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN TERNA'S EXPECTATIONS WITH REGARD THERETO OR ANY CHANGES IN EVENTS. EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF THE PREPARATION OF ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS "PIERPAOLO CRISTOFORI" DECLARES, PURSUANT TO PARAGRAPH 2 OF ARTICLE 154-BIS OF THE CONSOLIDATED LAW ON FINANCE, THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, FOR WHAT CONCERNS THE ACTUAL FIGURES, CORRESPONDS TO THE DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS. THE SORGENTE-RIZZICONI PROJECT AND THE ITALY-FRANCE INTERCONNECTION ARE CO-FINANCED BY THE EUROPEAN UNION'S EUROPEAN ENERGY PROGRAMME FOR RECOVERY PROGRAMME. THE SOLE RESPONSIBILITY OF THIS PUBLICATION LIES WITH THE |
MAY | IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS |
|---|---|---|
| THE | ||
| OR | ||
| OF | ||
Disclaimer Notes
| SUBSIDIARIES. CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT OR ANY MATERIAL DISCUSSED DURING THE PRESENTATION. THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE CONFERENCE CALL MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANY'S BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES, PROJECTIONS AND PROJECTS, AND CANNOT BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE WHATSOEVER NATURE. HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND ARE CURRENT ONLY AT THE DATE THEY ARE MADE. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANY'S ACTUAL RESULTS AND PROVISIONS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. SUCH FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: TRENDS IN COMPANY'S BUSINESS, ITS ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT COST-CUTTING PLANS, CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, DIFFERENT INTERPRETATION OF THE LAW AND REGULATION, ITS ABILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFY AND THE EXPECTED LEVEL OF FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. THEREFORE, YOU SHOULD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. TERNA DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO UPDATE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN TERNA'S EXPECTATIONS WITH REGARD THERETO OR ANY CHANGES IN EVENTS. EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF THE PREPARATION OF ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS "PIERPAOLO CRISTOFORI" DECLARES, PURSUANT TO PARAGRAPH 2 OF ARTICLE 154-BIS OF THE CONSOLIDATED LAW ON FINANCE, THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, FOR WHAT CONCERNS THE ACTUAL FIGURES, CORRESPONDS TO THE DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS. THE SORGENTE-RIZZICONI PROJECT AND THE ITALY-FRANCE INTERCONNECTION ARE CO-FINANCED BY THE EUROPEAN UNION'S EUROPEAN ENERGY PROGRAMME FOR RECOVERY PROGRAMME. THE SOLE RESPONSIBILITY OF THIS PUBLICATION LIES WITH THE |
MAY | IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS |
|---|---|---|
| THE | ||
| OR | ||
| OF | ||
Disclaimer
THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY TERNA S.P.A. (THE "COMPANY") FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE DESCRIBED HEREIN. IN NO CASE MAY IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS SUBSIDIARIES.
THE CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENTS OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT OR ANY MATERIAL DISCUSSED DURING THE PRESENTATION.
THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE CONFERENCE CALL MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANY'S BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES, PROJECTIONS AND PROJECTS, AND CANNOT BE INTERPRETED AS A PROMISE OR GUARANTEE OF WHATSOEVER NATURE.
HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND ARE CURRENT ONLY AT THE DATE THEY ARE MADE. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANY'S ACTUAL RESULTS AND PROVISIONS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. SUCH FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: TRENDS IN COMPANY'S BUSINESS, ITS ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT COST-CUTTING PLANS, CHANGES IN THE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT, DIFFERENT INTERPRETATION OF THE LAW AND REGULATION, ITS ABILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY DIVERSIFY AND THE EXPECTED LEVEL OF FUTURE CAPITAL EXPENDITURES. THEREFORE, YOU SHOULD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. TERNA DOES NOT UNDERTAKE ANY OBLIGATION TO UPDATE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN TERNA'S EXPECTATIONS WITH REGARD THERETO OR ANY CHANGES IN EVENTS.
EXECUTIVE IN CHARGE OF THE PREPARATION OF ACCOUNTING DOCUMENTS "PIERPAOLO CRISTOFORI" DECLARES, PURSUANT TO PARAGRAPH 2 OF ARTICLE 154-BIS OF THE CONSOLIDATED LAW ON FINANCE, THAT THE ACCOUNTING INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION, FOR WHAT CONCERNS THE ACTUAL FIGURES, CORRESPONDS TO THE DOCUMENT RESULTS, BOOKS AND ACCOUNTING RECORDS.
THE SORGENTE-RIZZICONI PROJECT INTERCONNECTION IS CO-FINANCED BY THE EUROPEAN UNION'S EUROPEAN ENERGY PROGRAMME FOR RECOVERY PROGRAMME. THE SOLE RESPONSIBILITY OF THIS PUBLICATION LIES WITH THE AUTHOR. THE EUROPEAN UNION IS NO RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY USE THAT MAY BE MADE OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED THEREIN.