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Telenor ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
Feb 2, 2021
3773_rns_2021-02-02_00d136a1-f8c4-4206-9ad2-56d44ea9f06c.pdf
Investor Presentation
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TELENOR GROUP Fourth quarter 2020
Sigve Brekke, CEO

Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.
This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Telenor Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.
This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Telenor Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives. In particular, the slide "Outlook for 2021" contains forwardlooking statements regarding the Telenor Group's expectations. All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
The comments in the presentation are related to Telenor's development in 2020 compared to the same quarter of 2019, unless otherwise stated.
2020 – Highlights
Empowering societies; employees, customers and connectivity
Modernisation; provide ability to accelerate and innovate
Financial robustness confirmed; growth in EBITDA and strong cash flow


Robust performance in the Nordics

Norway S&T revenue growth (yoy change)



Timing of Asia recovery remains uncertain
- Thailand and Malaysia influenced by shortfall in tourist and migrant segment.
- Second Covid-19 wave increases the duration.
- Reduced economic activity starts to impact Asian consumer behaviour
Key developments Organic subs & traffic revenue growth (%)

Adapting to changing environments

Net adds turned positive in Q4, up 173k
5G roll-out started on the low band frequency
Domestic focus in Thailand Targeted efforts in Pakistan yield results

- Strong trend in customer intake
- Increasing data demand supporting revenue development
Improving trend in Myanmar
Subscription net adds in million


Strategic update


Strategic growth areas for 2021-2022


Data growth Emerging Asia
Value added services Norway

Increasing data demand driving growth in revenues
- B2B opportunities across Asian portfolio
- Increasing contribution from value added services
- Implementing Nordic Product House
- Initially through speed based bundling and 5G tariffs
- Targeted partnership to explore expansion of core market

Sensitivity: Internal
Accretive 5G opportunity

Modernisation – a foundation for growth

Enabling digital customer interaction

Digital recharge in Pakistan (transactions in million & share of total %)
• Sale in digital channels scaled up with discounts, partnerships and targeted sales
Executing on structural efficiencies

• NOK 1.5 bn in realised structural effects for 2020

Taking action to reduce emissions


- Data growth across Telenor of 42% in 2020 driving increased energy consumption
- Efforts already yielding results: Breaking the energy consumption curve, -1.5% in 2020
- Solar sites in Asia increased by 27% yoy, to 3,800 sites, contributing to ~35,000 tonnes CO2 p.a.

Carbon neutral in the Nordics


TELENOR GROUP Fourth quarter 2020
Tone Hegland Bachke, CFO

Highlights

12 Q4 2020 *FX adjusted **FX adjusted & excluding DNA
Organic subscription and traffic revenues -2% in 2020

Organic growth rate. Subscription & traffic revenues defined as revenues from mobile subscription & traffic, fixed internet & TV, retail telephony and data services

Solid opex reduction of 7% in 2020

Organic EBITDA growth of 2% in 2020


Steady execution on portfolio development

- properties in Norway
- Sale of Tapad
Continued focus on passive infrastructure in 2021
2020 2021
Establish infrastructure company in Norway Establish Nordic tower setup
- Strong first year of operation, hitting all performance targets
- External revenue up 10%
- EBITDA of MNOK 900
-
Tenancy ratio of 2.2 for ground-based towers
-
Establish tower companies for owned towers
- Report key financials within 2021
- 32k sites directly owned or through JV's
- Focus on operational advancement and strategic optionality


Net income to equity holders of NOK 17 billion in 2020

Earnings per share

2020 free cash flow before M&A of NOK 12.5 billion



Capex on par with last year Reduced ratio from improved EBITDA and NOK strengthening
19 Q4 2020
Proposing ordinary dividend of NOK 12.6 bn to shareholders
3% growth in ordinary dividend per share Solid shareholder remuneration
- Proposing a dividend of NOK 9.0 per share for FY 2020, in line with current dividend policy. Subject to approval by AGM.
- First tranche of NOK 5.0 in May, second tranche of NOK 4.0 in October
- Dividend yield of 6%, total payout of NOK 12.6 billion
- NOK 85 billion returned to shareholders last 5 years



Outlook 2021

Mid term ambitions maintained

Sensitivity: Internal
Subscription & traffic revenues from mobile, fixed and TV services. Org. revenue growth in fixed currency, adj. for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Mid term guidance as communicated at CMD 2020


TELENOR GROUP Fourth quarter 2020
Appendix

Geographic split of key financials 2020



Norway

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin


24 Q4 2020
Sweden

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and Organic growth disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs. and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin


Additional information – Norway and Sweden
672 685 702 712 713 147 128 110 93 77 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 High-speed Low-speed 826 819 814 812 805
Norway – fixed broadband subscribers ('000) Sweden – fixed broadband subscribers ('000)
High-speed Low-speed


Denmark

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin


Finland

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees



Thailand (dtac)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin


Organic growth

Malaysia (Digi)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. Organic growth EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin

1 784 1 723 1 786 1 735 1 694 451 314 412 279 600 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 EBITDA CAPEX -5%
Bangladesh (Grameenphone)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin


Organic growth
Pakistan

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
1 239 1 294 1 214 1 130 1 184 48% 55% 56% 52% 53% 0% Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20
859 825 EBITDA CAPEX

Organic growth

Myanmar

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. Organic growth EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin

854 185 87 128 135 191 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 -1%
Organic EBITDA growth

Organic EBITDA growth (Q4 20 vs Q4 19) EBITDA margin (Q4 20)

Q4 growth in subscription and traffic revenues and EBITDA
| Subscription & traffic revenues |
EBITDA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | Organic | Reported | Organic | ||
| Norway | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 3.0%* | |
| Sweden | 3.5% | -6.5% | -2.0% | -11.5% | |
| Denmark | 5.4% | -1.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% | |
| Finland | 11.4% | 2.3% | 23.1% | 13.1% | |
| Thailand | -11.2% | -9.0% | -12.1% | -9.2% | |
| Malaysia | -4.0% | -4.4% | -5.1% | -5.3% | |
| Bangladesh | -4.0% | -2.8% | -5.0% | -3.9% | |
| Pakistan | -4.4% | -0.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | |
| Myanmar | 1.1% | -7.1% | 7.6% | -0.7% | |
| Telenor Group | -1.9% | -3.4% | 0.9% | -0.2% |
Net income of NOK 7.7 billion for Q4 2020
| NOK m | 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q4 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 113,666 | 31,737 | 30,949 |
| EBITDA before other items | 50,735 | 13,397 | 13,512 |
| Other items | (459) | (215) | 2,974 |
| EBITDA | 50,276 | 13,182 | 16,486 |
| Depreciation & amortisation | (24,574) | (6,899) | (7,194) |
| Operating profit | 25,702 | 6,283 | 9,292 |
| Associated companies | (849) | (588) | (55) |
| Net financials | (3,884) | (73) | 923 |
| Taxes | (9,033) | (1,351) | (1,691) |
| Profit (loss) from discontinued operations |
(742) | (1,562) | 44 |
| Minorities | 3,421 | 935 | 824 |
| Net income - Telenor equity holders |
7,773 | 1,774 | 7,689 |
| Earnings per share (NOK) | 5.40 | 1.25 | 5.49 |

Debt maturity profile (NOK bn)
Net debt* in partly-owned subsidiaries:
| NOK bn | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Digi | 9.1 | 8.1 |
| dtac | 19.6 | 19.2 |
| Grameenphone | 1.4 | 0.3 |

7.9


Net debt reconciliation
| NOK bn | Q4 2020 |
Q4 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Non–current interest bearing liabilities |
98.6 | 84.0 |
| Non-current lease liabilities | 35.6 | 32.0 |
| Current interest bearing liabilities |
7.3 | 14.8 |
| Current lease liabilities |
9.3 | 9.3 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | (20.6) | (13.9) |
| Fair value hedge instruments |
(2.4) | (2.0) |
| Financial instruments | (0.4) | (0.5) |
| Non-current Licence obligations |
(13.4) | (12.3) |
| Current Licence obligations |
(3.6) | (4.4) |
| Net interest bearing debt excl. licence obligations |
110.4 | 107.0 |

Balance sheet and key ratios
| 31 Dec 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total assets |
256.4 | 248.9 |
| Equity attributable to Telenor ASA shareholders |
38.3 | 38.1 |
| Gross debt* | 150.8 | 140.0 |
| Net debt | 110.4 | 107.0 |
| Net debt/EBITDA** | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Return on capital employed*** | 13.2% | 11.6% |
*) Gross debt = current interest bearing liabilities + non-current interest bearing liabilities + current and non current lease liabilities
**) 12 months rolling EBITDA. For periods before consolidation of DNA, pro forma figures have been included.
***) Calculated based on an after tax basis of the last twelve months return on average capital employed

Return on capital employed

*) ROCE is calculated excluding DNA and discontinued operations (Canal Digital)
