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Telenor ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
Jul 20, 2021
3773_rns_2021-07-20_8cae8dd7-20f7-40b9-9db2-109ee38d16ad.pdf
Investor Presentation
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TELENOR GROUP
Second quarter 2021
Sigve Brekke, CEO
1
Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.
This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Telenor Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.
This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Telenor Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives. In particular, the slide "Outlook for 2021" contains forward-looking statements regarding the Telenor Group's expectations. All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.
The comments in the presentation are related to Telenor's development in 2021 compared to the same quarter of 2020, unless otherwise stated.
Highlights Second quarter 2021
2% organic S&T revenue growth
4% organic EBITDA growth
2 million new subscribers
3
Exit Myanmar
Norway: EBITDA growth whilst copper decommissioning at its peak
- Copper decommissioning at peak impact (CAGR -25 %)
-
Fixed future revenues CAGR +39 %
-
1.5 % Mobile S&T revenue growth driven by 4 % ARPU growth
- Fibre (BB & TV) and FWA growth of 28 %
Despite revenue drag, Norway deliver continued strong modernisation efforts and 2 % EBITDA growth
Strong performance in Finland and Denmark, stabilisation in Sweden
- Continued upselling driving +2% mobile S&T revenue growth
-
Fixed S&T revenues +8% from a growing broadband subs base
-
18% EBITDA growth from strong market performance and opex efficiency
-
Nordic VAS expansion started with launch of NetSikker (security product)
-
Stabilised S&T revenue trend
- Fourth consecutive quarter with positive net ads
S&T revenue growth in Asia despite pandemic impact
- Strong revenue development in Pakistan and Bangladesh from data and subscription growth
- Topline stabilisation QoQ in Thailand and Malaysia supported by targeted market initiatives and government stimuli packages
- Continued uncertainty related to duration from third Covid-19 wave
Key developments Organic subs & traffic revenue growth (%)
Myanmar exit: A decision founded on our commitment to responsible business
• Telenor has built up a profitable, state of the art telecom operator providing modern services since 2014
- Announced an agreement to sell Telenor Myanmar on 8 July*
- Deteriorating situation, dilemmas related to people security and regulatory environment
• Decision founded by our responsible business practices
Asia strategy
We believe in
Data growth
Digitalisation
B2B growth
Beyond Connectivity
Our actions
Hands on execution
Strengthen position in present markets
Leading player in Malaysia
Further explore structural options for the Asian portfolio
TELENOR GROUP
Second quarter 2021
Tone Hegland Bachke, CFO
Highlights Second quarter 2021
Organic subscription and traffic revenues +2% in Q2
Organic growth rate. Subscription & traffic revenues defined as revenues from mobile subscription & traffic, fixed internet & TV, retail telephony and data services
Organic subscription and traffic revenues Strong performance in Pakistan and Bangladesh
11 Q2 2021
Opex reduction of 1% in Q2
* FX adjusted
Organic EBITDA growth of 4% in Q2
Percentage points contribution to growth
Net income to equity holders of NOK 2.2 billion in Q2
Net income to equity holders of Telenor
Earnings per share
14
Free cash flow of NOK 2 billion in Q2
NOK billion Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 3.7 3.5 5.6 3.7 4.4
- Capex driven by:
- 5G in Norway and Finland
- Fibre in Norway
- Capacity/coverage expansion in Thailand
Reduced FCF from lower EBITDA, higher taxes paid and negative working capital development
Net debt / EBITDA
Increased ratio from deconsolidation of Myanmar and dividend payment
15 Q2 2021
Telenor Tower Holding to develop one of the largest tower portfolios in the Nordics
• Telenor has an industrial perspective on towers and infrastructure
- Targets operational synergies
- TowerCo operational in Norway Q120, Sweden Q221 and Finland Q321
- Separate financial reporting for Towers from 2022
• Norway: Largest asset owner with 15k sites
• Sweden: Owned through Tower Sweden, 3GIS JV and N4M JV with 7.5k sites
- Denmark: Large tower portfolio through Telia JV with 3.6k sites
- Finland: Sites being transferred to DNA Towers with 3.8k sites
Outlook 2021
| Current | YTD | Previous | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Organic subscription & traffic revenues |
0-1% | -0.4% | Around 2020 level |
|
| Organic EBITDA | 0-2% | 1.4% | Around 2020 level |
|
| Capex/sales | 15-16% | 14.7% | 15-16% | |
| Mid term ambitions maintained | ||||
17 Q2 2021 Subscription & traffic revenues from mobile, fixed and TV services. Org. revenue growth in fixed currency, adj. for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licences. Mid term ambitions as communicated at CMD 2020
TELENOR GROUP
Second quarter 2021
Appendix
Geographic split of key financials YTD Q2 2021
EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licences.
Norway
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Mobile ARPU (NOK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)
Organic growth YoY
Sweden
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs. and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Mobile ARPU (SEK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)
Organic growth YoY
Denmark
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth YoY
22 Q2 2021 Finland
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth YoY
Additional information – Nordics
FWA Fibre HFC DSL
Q2 2021
Thailand (dtac)
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Organic growth YoY
Malaysia (Digi)
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
26 Q2 2021
Bangladesh (Grameenphone)
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Organic growth YoY
Pakistan
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees
Mobile subscribers ('000) Subs and traffic revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin
Organic growth YoY
Q2 growth in subscription and traffic revenues and EBITDA
| Country | Subscription & traffic revenues | EBITDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | Organic | Reported | Organic | |
| Norway | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Sweden | -3.7% | 0.1% | -1.5% | 2.5% |
| Denmark | 5.3% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 17.5% |
| Finland | 5.2% | 3.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% |
| Thailand | -16.7% | -2.2% | -15.0% | -0.5% |
| Malaysia | -10.9% | 1.8% | -15.6% | -3.7% |
| Bangladesh | -9.5% | 8.5% | -10.3% | 7.5% |
| Pakistan | -1.9% | 10.7% | -2.4% | 10.3% |
| Telenor Group | -7.6% | 2.1% | -6.2% | 3.6% |
Net income of NOK 2.2 billion for Q2 2021
| NOK m | 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 115 839 | 28 978 | 27 158 |
| EBITDA before other items | 52 349 | 13 175 | 12 353 |
| Other items | 1 946 | (1 340) | (254) |
| EBITDA | 54 293 | 11 835 | 12 098 |
| Depreciation & amortisation | (26 298) | (7 160) | (6 422) |
| Operating profit | 27 984 | 6 851 | 5 671 |
| Associated companies | (361) | (95) | (166) |
| Net financials | (3 331) | 421 | (1 124) |
| Taxes | (6 419) | (1 992) | (1 471) |
| Profit (loss) from discontinued operations | 3 186 | 2 031 | 81 |
| Minorities | 3 718 | 920 | 803 |
| Net income - Telenor equity holders |
17 341 | 4 428 | 2 188 |
| Earnings per share (NOK) | 12.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
Debt maturity profile (NOK bn)
Net debt* in partly-owned subsidiaries:
| NOK bn | Q2 2021 | Q2 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| Digi | 8.2 | 8.4 |
| dtac | 19.2 | 20.4 |
| Grameenphone | 2.3 | 1.1 |
2.8 5.1 5.1 10.6 6.6 4.4 1.4 3.1 3.8 4.7 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026->
Subsidiaries Telenor ASA
7.4
45.7
31 *Net debt excl. licences Q2 2021
Net debt reconciliation
| NOK bn | Q2 2021 |
Q2 2020 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non–current interest-bearing liabilities | 88.9 | 102.5 | 98.6 |
| Non-current lease liabilities | 30.8 | 30.0 | 31.4 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities |
13.7 | 12.0 | 7.3 |
| Current lease liabilities |
8.4 | 8.7 | 7.9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | (19.7) | (15.6) | (19.8) |
| Fair value hedge instruments |
(1.4) | (2.6) | (2.4) |
| Financial instruments | (0.3) | (0.3) | (0.4) |
| Non-current Licence obligations |
(13.6) | (13.4) | (13.3) |
| Current Licence obligations |
(3.6) | (4.5) | (3.6) |
| Net interest bearing debt excl. licence obligations |
103.1 | 121.9 | 110.4 |
Balance sheet and key ratios
| 30 Jun 2021 |
31 Dec 2020 |
30 Jun 2020 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total assets |
235.9 | 256.5 | 264.4 |
| Equity attributable to Telenor ASA shareholders | 23.6 | 38.3 | 27.8 |
| Gross debt* | 141.8 | 150.8 | 159.6 |
| Net debt | 103.1 | 110.4 | 121.9 |
| Net debt/EBITDA** | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Return on capital employed*** | 13% | 13% | 12% |
*) Gross debt = current interest-bearing liabilities + non-current interest-bearing liabilities + current and non-current lease liabilities
**) 12 months rolling EBITDA. For periods before consolidation of DNA, pro forma figures have been included.
***) Calculated based on an after tax basis of the last twelve months return on average capital employed
Return on capital employed
Return on capital employed*
*) See APM section in quarterly report for ROCE calculation and definition
**) 2012-2019 numbers including Myanmar