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Telenor ASA Investor Presentation 2016

Apr 27, 2016

3773_rns_2016-04-27_24457ed9-0f6b-499e-8bce-aaae295e3f21.pdf

Investor Presentation

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TELENOR GROUP – FIRST QUARTER Sigve Brekke, CEO

DISCLAIMER

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.

This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Telenor Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.

This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Telenor Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives. In particular, the slide "Outlook for 2016" contains forward-looking statements regarding the Telenor Group's expectations. All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2016

A SOLID START TO THE YEAR

  • 5.4 million new mobile subscribers
  • 6% organic growth in mobile subscription and traffic revenues
  • 5% organic EBITDA growth
  • Operating cash flow of NOK 6.1 billion

REVENUE GROWTH IN NORWAY IMPACTED BY LOWER HANDSET SALES AND DECLINING FIXED LEGACY REVENUES

MOBILE

  • 1% organic growth in mobile subscription and traffic revenues
  • Lower handset sales volumes
  • New tariffs launched includes EU roaming

FIXED

  • 6% revenue decline, primarily driven by telephony, ADSL and wholesale
  • 12k new high-speed internet subscribers, compensating for ADSL decline

4 Organic revenue growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

SOLID PROFITABILITY IN NORWAY, PROGRESS ON LONG TERM EFFICIENCY INITIATIVES

44% EBITDA MARGIN

  • Mobile gross profit stable despite lower roaming and wholesale contribution
  • Opex impacted by lower commissions and operation & maintenance costs

LONG TERM EFFICIENCY INITIATIVES

  • Reduce complexity of products, processes and IT systems
  • Scope extended to include cable operation
  • Net positive effect from 2017

5 EBITDA margin before other items.

CONTINUED GROWTH IN CONSUMER MOBILE IN SWEDEN

MOBILE

  • 2% organic growth in mobile subscription and traffic revenues driven by consumer
  • 3k net subscriber growth
  • Total mobile revenues impacted by handset sales

Mobile organic subscription & traffic revenue growth Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

6 Organic revenue growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

FIXED

  • 11k new high-speed internet subscribers
  • Aiming to cover 500k new single dwelling households by 2020

CONTINUATION OF TRENDS IN OTHER EUROPEAN MARKETS

DENMARK

  • Continued intense competition
  • Launch of new business support system

HUNGARY

• Solid trends in postpaid consumer segment, offset by pressure in prepaid and SME

MONTENEGRO AND SERBIA

• 6% organic ARPU growth from increased IC revenues and higher postpaid share

BULGARIA

• Cost control supporting EBITDA margin

Q1 15 Q1 16

Q1 15 Q1 16

Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

8

SUBSCRIBER GROWTH AMIDST INTENSE COMPETITION IN THAILAND

  • 225k net subscriber growth
  • 2% organic decline in subscription and traffic revenues
  • EBITDA margin improvement from lower device subsidies
  • 3G population coverage at 94%, 4G now in all 77 provinces
  • Solid spectrum portfolio until concession expiry in September 2018
Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and
disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.
concession $v$ LICENSE 2/ TOTAL
850MHZ 1800MHZ 2100MHZ
20 10MHz 10MHz
30 10MHz 10MHz 20MHz
4Q 15MHz 5MHz 20MHz
TOTAL 10MHz 25MHz 15MHz 50MHz

Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

SOLID POSTPAID PERFORMANCE IN MALAYSIA

  • 221k net subscriber growth and maintained market share in highly competitive market
  • 2% organic decline in subscription and traffic revenues
  • 7% organic growth in postpaid service revenues and stable postpaid ARPU*
  • 3G/4G population coverage at 88%/73%
  • EBITDA continues to be impacted by margin pressure on international traffic

Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items. *) Service revenues according to local definition.

9

STRONG PERFORMANCE IN BANGLADESH AND PAKISTAN

BANGLADESH (GRAMEENPHONE)

  • 12% organic subscription and traffic revenue growth
  • 55% EBITDA margin
  • SIM re-registration >50% completed

PAKISTAN

  • 2.2 million net subscriber growth
  • 2% organic subscription and traffic revenue growth
  • 40% EBITDA margin

Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

10 Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Organic revenue growth

FIRST QUARTER WITH POSITIVE OPERATING CASH FLOW IN MYANMAR

CONTINUED SUBSCRIBER GROWTH

  • 1.8 million net subscriber growth
  • 52% active data users
  • SIM market share estimated at 38%

STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

  • 42% EBITDA margin
  • 10% operating cash flow margin

NETWORK ROLLOUT ACCORDING TO PLAN

  • 5,000 network sites on air
  • 62% population coverage
  • Aiming for around 9,000 sites

Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16

11 Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

CONTINUED SUBSCRIBER AND REVENUE GROWTH IN INDIA

  • 1.5 million subscriber growth (+15% YoY)
  • Total subscriber base of 44 million
  • ARPU remains under pressure, with 8% decline YoY
  • 9% organic growth in subscription and traffic revenues

CAPITAL MARKETS DAY

Date: 22 September 2016 Venue: London

SAVE THE DATE

TELENOR GROUP – FIRST QUARTER Morten Karlsen Sørby, Acting CFO

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

  • 6% organic growth in mobile subscription & traffic revenues
  • 35% EBITDA margin and 5% organic growth in EBITDA
  • Operating cash flow of NOK 6.1 billion
  • Outlook for 2016 maintained
YTD
Organic revenue growth 1.5%
EBITDA margin 35.4%
Capex / sales 16.8%

15 Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. spectrum and licence fees.

ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH SOFTENED BY LOWER HANDSET SALES

35% EBITDA MARGIN AND 5% ORGANIC EBITDA GROWTH

CAPEX OF NOK 5.5 BILLION

OPERATING CASH FLOW OF NOK 6.1 BILLION

SIGNIFICANT ONE-TIME ITEMS IN THE QUARTER

Issue Account P&L effect (NOK m)
Write-down of non-current receivables in India Other
items
-611
Impairment write-down India Impairment -2,302
Reversal of write-down of VimpelCom
stake
Associated companies +4,398
Impairment write-down in connection with sale
of Amedia
stake
Associated
companies
-363
Partial repayment of net investment in
Denmark and recycling of related OCI effects
Financial
items
-577

NORMALISED NET INCOME OF NOK 3.6 BILLION

NOK m Q1 16 Q1 15
Revenues 33 013 31
446
Broadcast (+211m)
EBITDA before other items 11
685
10 795
Other items -691 -38 India (-611m), Norway (-77m), dtac (-37m)
EBITDA 10 994 10
757
Depreciation and amortisation -5 044 -4 180
India (-2,302m), Broadcast (-128m)
Impairment losses -2
430
-13
VimpelCom
(4 582m)
EBIT 3 520 6
564

Amedia
(-363m)
Associated companies 4
175
428
Online classifieds (-46m)
Net financials -1
008
-550
Profit before taxes 6 688 6 667 Telenor ASA (-577m)
Taxes -1
601
-1850
Non-controlling interests 830 967
Net income to Telenor 4
256
3
852
EPS (NOK) 2.83 2.57

NET DEBT OF NOK 53.6 BN AND NET DEBT/EBITDA OF 1.2X

46.8 43.9 47.1 46.6 54.1 53.6 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Net debt (NOK bn) and net debt/EBITDA Change in net debt (NOK bn) *

Net debt 31 Dec 2015 54.1
EBITDA (11.0)
Income taxes paid 1.3
Net interest paid 0.5
Capex paid 6.2
Investments in Tapad 2.7
Divi. paid and minority share purchase 0.7
Net revenue share dtac (0.4)
Currency effects (1.6)
Licence
obligations paid in Myanmar
1.1
Net change during Q116 (0.5)
Net debt 31 Mar 2016 53.6

OUTLOOK FOR 2016 MAINTAINED

2016 YTD
Organic revenue growth 2-4% 1.5%
EBITDA margin 33-34% 35.4%
Capex/sales ratio 17-19% 16.8%

Organic revenue growth in fixed currency, adj. for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees.

HIGHLIGHTS Q1 2016

A SOLID START TO THE YEAR

  • 5.4 million new mobile subscribers
  • 6% organic growth in mobile subscription and traffic revenues
  • 5% organic EBITDA growth
  • Operating cash flow of NOK 6.1 billion

TELENOR GROUP – FIRST QUARTER Q&A

TELENOR GROUP – FIRST QUARTER APPENDIX

TELENOR GROUP

208 million consolidated mobile subscribers Revenues in 2015: NOK 128 bn (USD 14 bn) Market cap: NOK 202 bn (USD 22 bn)

GEOGRAPHIC SPLIT OF KEY FINANCIALS 2015

PRIORITIES FOR CAPITAL ALLOCATION

NORWAY

30

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile ARPU (NOK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

SWEDEN

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

3 114 2 984 2 996 3 188 3 409 3 121 25% 29% 28% 32% 28% 29% Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 -5%

Mobile ARPU (SEK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

31

DANMARK

32

From 31 March 2016, pay-as-you-go cards will no longer be part of Telenor Denmark's product offering. Subscription and ARPU figures have been updated retrospectively.

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile ARPU (DKK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

33

BROADCAST

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

DTH ARPU (NOK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

HUNGARY

34

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

35

MONTENEGRO AND SERBIA

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

883 853 918 1 061 982 952 32% 33% 35% 38% 32% 31% Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 3%

Mobile ARPU (EUR/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

BULGARIA

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin

Mobile ARPU (BGN/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

36

37

THAILAND (DTAC)

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin 5 265 5 443 5 112 4 600 5 533 5 260 27% 32% 31% 36% 29% 34% Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 -5%

Mobile ARPU (THB/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

38

MALAYSIA (DIGI)

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile ARPU (MYR/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

39

BANGLADESH (GRAMEENPHONE)

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

2 306 2 516 2 630 2 811 2 924 3 045 50% 54% 54% 51% 55% 55% Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 9%

Mobile ARPU (BDT/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

PAKISTAN

40

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin

INDIA

41

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin

Mobile ARPU (INR/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

MYANMAR

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA margin before other items.

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin 287 768 1 142 1 433 1 496 1 722 20% 42% 48% 43% 42% Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 146%

Mobile ARPU (MMK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

42

CHANGES IN REVENUES AND EBITDA

Revenues EBITDA
Reported Organic Reported Organic
Norway -4.4 % -4.4 % -0.7 % -0.7 %
Sweden 4.6 % -4.7 % 4.6 % -4.6 %
Denmark 0.0 % -8.2 % -22.3 % -28.7 %
Hungary 1.8 % -5.7 % 0.1 % -7.2 %
Montenegro and Serbia 11.6 % 3.1 % 3.7 % -4.3 %
Bulgaria 10.7 % 1.4 % 13.1 % 3.7 %
Thailand -3.4 % -5.3 % 1.1 % -0.9 %
Malaysia -11.2 % -7.7 % -14.4 % -11.0 %
Bangladesh 21.0 % 9.5 % 23.6 % 11.8 %
Pakistan 17.3 % 8.6 % 10.5 % 2.3 %
India 9.9 % 7.0 % nm nm
Broadcast 15.3 % 15.3 % 60.3 % 60.3 %
Telenor Group 5.0 % 1.5 % 8.2 % 5.0 %

43 Organic growth YoY in fixed currency and adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items.

DEBT MATURITY AND NET DEBT

Debt maturity profile (NOK bn)

Net debt in partly owned subsidiaries (NOK m)

(NOK m) Q1 2016 Q4 2015 Q1 2015
Digi 2 441 2 205 1 539
dtac 7 584 9 193 6 231
Grameenphone 2 746 3 385 2 662

44 Per 31 Mar 2016. Excl. licence commitments of NOK 3.6 bn

Net debt in partly owned subsidiaries is shown on 100% figures