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Telenor ASA Earnings Release 2016

Feb 2, 2017

3773_rns_2017-02-02_f4994839-3c91-4e02-8d5f-f11499c13371.pdf

Earnings Release

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TELENOR GROUP – FOURTH QUARTER Jørgen C. Arentz Rostrup, CFO

DISCLAIMER

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation relating to the price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.

This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in any company within the Telenor Group. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.

This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Telenor Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives. In particular, the slide "Outlook for 2017" contains forward-looking statements regarding the Telenor Group's expectations. All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

HIGHLIGHTS 2016

FOURTH QUARTER

  • Revenues of NOK 33.1 bn (+1%)
  • EBITDA of NOK 10.8 bn (+2%)
  • High investments in mobile and fibre networks

FULL YEAR

  • Revenues of NOK 131.4 bn (+1%)
  • EBITDA of NOK 46.5 bn (+5%)
  • Progress on transformation agenda
  • Free cash flow to equity of NOK 10.3 bn
  • Dividend of NOK 7.80 per share

GOOD MOMENTUM ON FIBRE ROLL-OUT IN NORWAY AND SWEDEN

NORWAY

  • 3% mobile ARPU growth adj. for handset related effects
  • 17% growth in high-speed broadband revenues
  • Capex of NOK 1.5 bn, focused on 4G and fibre roll-out

SWEDEN

  • 5% EBITDA growth, adj. for one-time effects
  • 5% growth in fixed revenues, driven by fibre

DENMARK

4

  • 44,000 net mobile subscriber growth in continued highly competitive environment
  • 6% organic revenue decline and 12% EBITDA margin

Sweden - Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

Organic revenue growth.

Sweden EBITDA % in Q4 16 adjusted for one-time effect

PERFORMANCE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE IN LINE WITH TRENDS

HUNGARY

  • 2% organic decline in subscription and traffic revenues
  • 10% organic growth in EBITDA, driven by opex reduction

BULGARIA

5

  • 5% organic subscription and traffic revenue growth
  • Focus on pre to post migration in a highly competitive environment
  • Awarded fastest mobile network in Bulgaria (Ookla)

SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

  • 1% organic revenue growth and 30% EBITDA margin
  • 254,000 net subscriber decline from seasonal prepaid churn

Bulgaria - Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

Organic revenue growth

DOUBLE-DIGIT REVENUE GROWTH AND HEALTHY MARGINS IN EMERGING ASIA

BANGLADESH (GRAMEENPHONE)

  • 12% organic subscription and traffic revenue growth
  • 2.9 million net subscriber growth during Q4
  • Leveraging on data position, supported by superior 3G network

PAKISTAN

  • 10% organic subscription and traffic revenue growth
  • 1.2 million net subscriber growth during Q4

MYANMAR

  • 20% organic revenue growth and 41% EBITDA margin
  • 0.4 million net subscriber growth and 6% ARPU uplift vs Q3

INDIA

6

• Operating cash flow break-even following tight cost control

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items.

Pakistan - Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

EBITDA GROWTH AND SOLID POSTPAID PERFORMANCE IN THAILAND AND MALAYSIA

THAILAND (DTAC)

  • 15% organic growth in postpaid revenues
  • 1% organic EBITDA growth amidst 3% decline in subscription and traffic revenues
  • Lower regulatory cost offsetting prepaid device subsidies
  • 2,700 new 4G sites rolled out during the quarter

MALAYSIA (DIGI)

  • 14% organic growth in postpaid revenues
  • 6% organic EBITDA growth amidst 2% decline in subscription and traffic revenue
  • Improved margin on international traffic
  • 4G network reaching 85% population coverage

Malaysia - Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

1% ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH AND 2% EBITDA GROWTH

  • 1.2% organic growth adj. for one-time effect in Sweden
  • Organic revenue growth driven by emerging Asian operations and improved momentum on fibre in Norway and Sweden
  • Lower handset sale vs Q4 2015, especially in Thailand

Revenues (NOK m) EBITDA (NOK m) and EBITDA margin (%)

  • 4.8% organic growth adj. for one-time effect in Sweden
  • Organic EBITDA growth driven by increased contribution from Bangladesh, Malaysia, Myanmar and India

8 Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals.

CAPEX OF NOK 6.9 BILLION, DRIVEN BY INVESTMENTS IN 3G/4G AND FIBRE

• Full-year capex of NOK 23 bn, with capex/sales of 17.3%

• Fibre capex in Norway and Sweden of around NOK 0.8 bn in Q4, and around NOK 2.5 bn for full year 2016

CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT – Q4 AND FULL YEAR

NOK m Q4 16 Q4 15 Year 2016 Year 2015
Revenues 33 144 33 487 131 427 128 175
EBITDA before other items 10 793 10 860 46 483 44 197
Other items -
326
-257 -1 380 -872
EBITDA 10 467 10 603 45 103 43 325
Depreciation and amortisation -5 094 -5 083 -20 050 -18 384
Impairment losses -1 187 -2 103 -7 983 -2 181
Operating profit 4 186 3 417 17 070 22 761
Associated companies 1 439 -2 835 -1 796 -6 819
Net financials -1
803
-980 -3 543 -2 921
Taxes -910 -995 -5
924
-6 317
Non-controlling interests 625 732 2 974 3 289
Net income to Telenor equity holders 2 286 -2 125 2 832 3 414
Earnings per share (NOK) 1.52 -1.42 1.89 2.27

ADJUSTED* NET INCOME OF NOK 2.7 BILLION IN Q4

NOK m Reported Q4 16 Adjustment Adjusted Q4 16
Revenues 33 144 203 33 347
VAT provision Sweden
EBITDA before other items 10 793 251 11 044
Workforce reductions (-355m)
Other items -
326
326 0
Scrapping (-457m)
EBITDA 10 467 11 044
Sale of property (+458m)
Depreciation and amortisation -5 094 -5 094
India capex (-155m)
Impairment losses -
1 187
1 187 0
Tapad goodwill (-1.0 bn)
Operating profit 4
186
5
951
Associated companies 1 439 -1 528 -89
Reversal VimpelCom impairment
incl. share of Q3 net income
Net financials -1
803
478 -1 325
Taxes -910 -274 -1
185

Loss on derivative
/exchangeable bond)
Non-controlling interests 625 -23 648
Net income -
Telenor equity holders
2 286 417 2 703
Earnings per share (NOK) 1.52 1.80

11 *Adjusted for Other items, impairment losses, VimpelCom and other one-time effects disclosed in our financial reporting

12

Q4 2016

FREE CASH FLOW TO EQUITY OF NOK 10.3 BILLION IN 2016

Net cash flow from operating activities (NOK m) Net cash flow from investing activities (NOK m)

• NOK 39.8 bn in cash flow from operating activities in 2016, vs NOK 37.1 bn in 2015

• NOK -21.1 bn in cash flow from investing activities in 2016, vs NOK -20.3 bn in 2015

NET DEBT OF NOK 54 BN AND NET DEBT/EBITDA OF 1.2x

Net debt (NOK bn) and net debt/EBITDA Change in net debt (NOK bn) *

Net debt 30 Sep 2016 47.9
EBITDA (10.5)
Income taxes paid 1.5
Net interest paid 0.3
Capex paid 6.8
Divestment of business (0.5)
Dividends paid to Telenor shareholders 5.0
Dividends paid to non-controlling interests 0.4
Currency effects 1.1
Reclassification of deposits fin. services 1.2
Changes in working capital and other 0.7
Net change during Q4 16 6.5
Net debt 31 Dec 2016 54.4

DIVIDEND OF NOK 7.80 PER SHARE FOR 2016

  • Proposing a total dividend per share of NOK 7.80 for 2016, for AGM approval in May
  • Annual dividend to be paid out in two instalments:
  • NOK 4.30 to be paid out in May
  • NOK 3.50 to be paid out in November
  • Total payout of NOK 11.7 billion, +4% vs 2015
  • Confirming the company's ambition to deliver year-on-year growth in dividend

OUTLOOK FOR 2017

2017 2016
Organic revenue growth 1-2% 1.1%
EBITDA margin Around 36% 35.4%
Capex/sales ratio 15-16% 17.3%

Organic revenue growth in fixed currency, adj. for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. spectrum and licence fees.

HIGHLIGHTS 2016

FOURTH QUARTER

  • Revenues of NOK 33.1 bn (+1%)
  • EBITDA of NOK 10.8 bn (+2%)
  • High investments in mobile and fibre networks

FULL YEAR

  • Revenues of NOK 131.4 bn (+1%)
  • EBITDA of NOK 46.5 bn (+5%)
  • Progress on transformation agenda
  • Free cash flow to equity of NOK 10.3 bn
  • Dividend of NOK 7.80 per share

TELENOR GROUP – FOURTH QUARTER APPENDIX

TELENOR GROUP

214 million consolidated mobile subscribers Revenues in 2016: NOK 131 bn (USD 16 bn) Market cap: NOK 194 bn (USD 23 bn)

Other

GEOGRAPHIC SPLIT OF KEY FINANCIALS - FULL YEAR 2016

EBITDA

Emerging Asia Mature Asia

Scandinavia CEE Emerging Asia Mature Asia Other

EBITDA LESS CAPEX

Emerging Asia Mature Asia Other

EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licences 19

NORWAY

20

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile ARPU (NOK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

SWEDEN

21

Organic growth Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile ARPU (SEK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION – NORWAY AND SWEDEN

Norway – fixed broadband subscribers ('000)

High speed Low speed

Sweden – fixed broadband subscribers ('000)

High speed Low speed

DENMARK

23

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin 1 273 1 431 1 256 1 244 1 265 1 431 10% 10% 13% 12% 11% 12% Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 -6%

Mobile ARPU (DKK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

HUNGARY

24

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin 1 167 1 175 1 117 1 101 1 124 1 124 36% 24% 32% 30% 35% 27% Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 -4%

Mobile ARPU (HUF/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

25

MONTENEGRO AND SERBIA

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile ARPU (EUR/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

BULGARIA

26

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile ARPU (BGN/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

27

THAILAND (DTAC)

Mobile ARPU (THB/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

28

MALAYSIA (DIGI)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin 3 390 3 430 3 405 3 411 3 324 3 233 44% 40% 42% 45% 48% 45% Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 -3%

Mobile ARPU (MYR/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

29

BANGLADESH (GRAMEENPHONE)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile ARPU (BDT/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

PAKISTAN

30

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile ARPU (PKR/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

INDIA

31

CAPEX 41 35 190 489 409 EBITDA

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

MYANMAR

32

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

Mobile subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin 1 433 1 496 1 722 1 802 1 737 1 754 48% 43% 42% 46% 45% 41% Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 20% 33%

Mobile ARPU (MMK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

33

BROADCAST

DTH subscribers ('000) Revenues (NOK m) and EBITDA margin 1 591 1 597 1 765 1 561 1 546 1 495

DTH ARPU (NOK/month) EBITDA and capex (NOK m)

Organic growth assuming fixed currency, adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items. Capex excl. licence fees

CHANGES IN REVENUES AND EBITDA

Revenues EBITDA
Reported Organic Reported Organic
Norway -0.3 % -0.3 % 1.3 % 1.3 %
Sweden -9.6 % -2.4 % -35.6 % -28.1 %
Denmark -8.4 % -5.9 % 11.6 % 15.8 %
Hungary -6.9 % -4.0 % 4.8 % 10.3 %
Montenegro and Serbia -4.3 % 1.1 % -9.5 % -3.4
%
Bulgaria 2.3 % 5.3 % -2.8 % 0.7 %
Thailand -8.1 % -7.7 % 0.1 % 0.7 %
Malaysia -5.7 % -3.2 % 3.9 % 6.4 %
Bangladesh 9.2 % 11.4 % 9.9 % 11.9 %
Pakistan 10.5 % 12.0 % -4.9 % -3.8 %
India -1.3 % 3.1 % 206.9 % 203.5 %
Myanmar 17.2 % 20.2 % 12.2 % 16.2 %
Broadcast -6.4 % -6.4 % -11.9 % -11.9 %
Telenor Group -1.0 % 0.6 % -0.6 % 2.5 %

34 Organic growth YoY in fixed currency and adjusted for acquisitions and disposals. EBITDA before other items.

ADJUSTED* NET INCOME OF NOK 14.3 BILLION IN 2016

NOK m Reported 2016 Adjustment Adjusted 2016
VAT provision Sweden (-251)
Revenues 131 427 -8 131 419
Broadcast (+211m)
EBITDA before other items 46 483 40 46 523
Workforce reductions (-698m)
Other items -1 380 1 380 0
Loss on disposals (-618m)
EBITDA 45 103 46 523
Write down receivable India (-611m)
Depreciation and amortisation -20 050 -20 050
Sale of property (+458m)
Impairment losses -
7 983
7 983 0
India (-6.8bn), Tapad
(-1.0 bn)
Operating profit 17 070 26
473
Associated companies -1 796 1 511 -285
VimpelCom
(-1.1 bn) and Amedia
((-0,4 bn)
Net financials -3
543
1 573 -1 970
Taxes -5
924
-924 -6
847

Loss on derivative (exchangeable
bond) (-996m)
Non-controlling interests 2 974 -88 3 061
Recycling of currency losses internal
Net income to Telenor equity holders 2 832 14 308 loans (-577m)
Earnings per share (NOK) 1.89 9.53

*Adjusted for Other items, impairment losses, VimpelCom and other one-time effects disclosed in our financial reporting

BALANCE SHEET AND KEY RATIOS

Q4 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2015
Total
assets
206.2 202.0 204.9
Equity attributable to Telenor ASA
shareholders
50.9 53.1 58.5
Gross debt* 86.4 84.3 76.4
Net debt 54.4 47.9 54.1
Net debt/EBITDA 1.21 1.06 1.25
Return on capital employed** 8% 4% 8%

*) Gross debt = current interest bearing liabilities + non-current interest bearing liabilities

**) Calculated based on an after tax basis of the last twelve months return on average capital employed

NET DEBT RECONCILIATION

NOK bn Q4
2016
Q3 2016 Q4 2015
Current
interest bearing liabilities
26.0 25.7 12.6
Non–current interest bearing liabilities 60.4 58.5 63.8
Less:
licence
obligations
(4.9) (4.8) (4.9)
Debt excluding licence
obligations
81.5 79.5 71.5
Cash and cash equivalents (23.1) (27.6) (14.0)
Investments
in bonds and commercial papers
(1.7) (1.3) (1.0)
Fair value hedge
instruments
(2.3) (2.7) (2.5)
Net interest bearing debt excl. licence
obligations
54.4 47.9 54.1

DEBT MATURITY PROFILE (NOK BN)

Subsidiaries

Telenor ASA

FREE CASH FLOW TO EQUITY

NOK millions Q4
2016
Q4 2015 2016 2015
Net cash flows from operating activates 9 190 7 944 39 778 37 107
Net cash flows from investing activities -6 106 -6 431 -21 105 -20 281
Repayments of borrowings
-
license obligations
-218 -1 077 -1 562 -2 136
Repayments of borrowings

supply chain financing
-944 -876 -3 672 -2 538
Dividends paid to and purchase of share from non
controlling interest
-413 -509 -3 139 -3 777
Free cash flow to equity 1 509 -950 10 300 8 374