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SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED — Investor Presentation 2015
Aug 3, 2015
65879_rns_2015-08-03_a4fd6f57-4ae7-49b4-a2e5-63b18a30e488.pdf
Investor Presentation
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1
Suncorp Group Limited
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
4 August 2015
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Suncorp FY15 results presentation
Introduction 1 Patrick Snowball
Conclusion 3 Patrick Snowball
2
CFO report Business NPAT | Group capital | Outlook Steve Johnston
Q&A 4 Suncorp Leadership Team
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Introduction
Patrick Snowball Suncorp Group CEO
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
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4 August 2015
FY15 result overview ($m)
| FY15 | FY14 | %∆ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Insurance NPAT | 756 | 1,010 | (25.1) |
| Bank NPAT | 354 | 228 | 55.3 |
| Suncorp Life NPAT | 125 | 92 | 35.9 |
| Business lines NPAT | 1,235 | 1,330 | (7.1) |
| Other | (44) | (26) | 69.2 |
| Cash earnings | 1,191 | 1,304 | (8.7) |
| Life Insurance write-down | - | (496) | n/a |
| Other profit and acquisition amortisation | (58) | (78) | (25.6) |
| NPAT | 1,133 | 730 | 55.2 |
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Suncorp Group business line NPAT ($m) Profit diversification
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FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
770 600 1,330 1,235
8
12
105
883 1010 756
493
113
146 120
84
289 289 228 354
(263)
(632)
General Insurance Bank
Life underlying NPAT Non-core Bank
(60)
Life market adjustments
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Dividend
38 cent final dividend and 12 cent special dividend
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Special dividend
Final dividend
Interim dividend 30
12
20
38
40
15
30
20
20 20
38
35
25
20
15 15
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Top line growth Growth in key target segments
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1.9%
-0.5%
Short tail GWP Long tail GWP
2,041
6,722 6,690 2,003
6,391 1,911
5,842 1,810
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
Bank lending 3.9% Life individual in-force policies
5.6%
51,918
49,956 900
47,463^ 852
785
722
43,356^
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
7
Excluding Fire Service Levies
Suncorp Group Limited ^Core Bank lending only.
4 August 2015
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Underlying and Reported ITR Building Blocks and Simplification continue to deliver
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Underlying ITR Reported ITR
18.6%
17.0%
14.0% 14.8% 14.6%
13.6%
13.1% 13.4%
14.7%
10.5% 11.2% 11.1%
13.9% 12.8%
11.1%
10.9% 9.9%
7.8%
3.8%
1.9%
1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15
8
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Group operating expenses Less than 1% annual increase
Life Bank General Insurance
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2,663 2,703 2,710
291 303 281
619 624 646
1753 1776 1783
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FY13
FY14
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FY15
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Customer
A strengthened customer franchise
Strong outcomes across the Group
-
Industry leading satisfaction in key business lines
-
4 of the top 5 most advocated national insurance brands
-
Improved retention
-
Deeper relationships
-
Attracting new customers
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Industry leading customer satisfaction
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Industry average Jun 14 Jun 15
88
87
85
84
84
83
82 82
79
Motor Home Bank
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Optimised Platform
Unlocking the value of our 9 million customers
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Connected customers
Simplified systems
BANK LIFE GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATE
Underpinned by SUNCORP DATA
DATA LAKE
Business Intelligence SERVICES
Sitting within a
secure and scalable cloud CLOUD ENVIRONMENT
Supported by a unique
SERVICE RELENTLESS
way of working INNOVATION AGILE/ LEAN PARTNERING
CULTURE EXECUTION
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
CFO Report Steve Johnston Suncorp Group CFO
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4 August 2015
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Suncorp’s shareholder promise Simplified, de-risked financial services group
Yield
Growth
-
Dividend payout ratio of 60% to 80% and return of surplus capital
-
Organic strategy, focused exclusively in Australia and New Zealand
-
De-risked and simplified business model
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-
Efficiency-led profit growth
-
‘Above system’ growth in key markets
-
Multi-brand, multi-channel approach leveraging the Group’s 9 million customers
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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General Insurance
$m
General Insurance profit after tax
Underlying ITR of 14.7% exceeding commitment to ‘meet or beat’ 12% Reported ITR of 11.4%
GWP up 0.1% with positive unit growth in Personal lines
% Δ
FY15
756 (25.1)
Reserve releases of $427 million Natural hazards $473 million above allowance
GI CET1 1.40x PCA
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
4 August 2015
Gross Written Premium
Passing on efficiency benefits
| Product | FY15($m) | %∆ | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor | 2,770 | (2.1) | Customer unit growth offset by reduction in average written premiums | |
| Home | 2,449 | 0.4 | Targeted reductions driving high retention rates and moderated unit losses | |
| Commercial | 2,326 | (0.1) | Disciplined underwriting and focus on margin | |
| CTP | 1,112 | 5.9 | Good growth across Qld, NSW and ACT | |
| Other | 74 | (5.1) | ||
| Total | 8,731 | 0.1 | ||
| Australia | 7,526 | (0.8) | ||
| New Zealand | 1,205 | 5.7 | 2.9% in NZD terms |
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Investment assets
Low yield environment reducing underlying yield
Insurance funds ($9+bn)
Shareholder funds ($3+bn)
-
Investment income $399 million
-
Investment income $163 million
-
MTM gains of $176 million from decreases in risk-free rates
-
MTM losses of $30 million from widening of credit spreads
-
MTM losses of $56 million from decreases in break-even inflation
-
Total returns on cash and interest bearing securities of $115 million
-
Total returns on Equities and Infrastructure assets of $48 million
-
Annualised return of 5.2%
-
Underlying yield of 3.3% reflects low yield environment
Total investment income of $562 million – annualised return 4.4%
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
General Insurance
Event costs for FY15
| Date | Event | **Gross costs$m ** | **Net Costs$m ** |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep2014 | East Melbourne Storm | 17 | 17 |
| Oct 2014 | SydneyStorm | 22 | 22 |
| Nov 2014 | Brisbane Hailstorms | 361 | 250 |
| Dec 2014 | East Coast Storms | 34 | 34 |
| Jan 2015 | South Brisbane Hail | 13 | 13 |
| Feb 2015 | Cyclone Marcia | 149 | 149 |
| Mar 2015 | Narrabri Chinchilla Hail | 33 | 33 |
| Apr 2015 | NSW Low Storms | 250 | 135 |
| Apr 2015 | NSW ANZAC DayHail | 84 | 62 |
| May2015 | QLD NSW Low Storms | 55 | 52 |
| May/Jun 2015 | New Zealand events | 28 | 16 |
| Other smaller natural hazard claims | 285 | 285 | |
| Total | 1,331 | 1,068 | |
| Less: FY15 allowance for natural hazards | 595 | ||
| Natural hazards costs above allowance | 473 |
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
New Zealand Earthquake
Good progress being made
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Historical total claims development
$6bn
39k
$5bn
35k
$4bn
$3bn
31k
$2bn
27k
$1bn
$0bn 23k
Jun-11 Mar-12 Dec-12 Sep-13 Jun-14 Mar-15
Total Claims (NZ$) February 2011 Claims (NZ$) Claims Lodged (RHS)
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Risk of further increases diminishing
-
In total, $4.5 billion or 85% of total claims paid.
-
Commercial claims: 92% contracted or settled with only five outstanding claims exceeding $10 million
-
Residential claims: 77% of reported incurred claims cost paid, significantly higher than industry
-
New Adverse Development Cover provides additional protection
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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General Insurance reserve releases
FY15 net reserve release of $427 million or 5.4% of NEP
Building Blocks Simplification delivered one reduced legal claims system costs
Management have reduced settlements and duration
Absence of wage and superimposed inflation
Optimised claims processes
Reserve releases well above 1.5% of NEP
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
4 August 2015
Underlying ITR and Operating Expense Ratio Building Blocks and Simplification continuing to deliver Underlying ITR Operating Expense Ratio
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26.5%
14.7%
25.8% 14.3%
13.5%
12.1%
10.8%
24.0%
23.7%
9.0%
23.0%
22.6%
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
20
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Suncorp Bank
$m
Bank profit after tax
NIM improved to 1.85% Bank CET1 increased to 9.15% Home lending up 7.1% Business lending down 7.3%
% Δ
FY15
354 55.3
Cost to income ratio down to 53.4% Deposit to loan ratio 65.3%
Non performing loans down 20.1% Gross impaired assets down 34.5%
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
4 August 2015
Suncorp Bank lending portfolio Conservative approach to growth
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69% of business lending exposures
Lending assets $51.9 billion
<$10m
$50m-$100m
1%
Com/SME $25-$50m ,
9%
10%
(down 9.3%)
Housing 80% Agri $10-$25m 21% , < $5m ,
52%
(up 7.1%) 9%
(down 4.8%)
$5-$10m ,
17%
Consumer
1%
(down 11.8%)
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Funding and Liquidity Conservative balance sheet
Long term funding profile ($m)
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1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Aug 15 Jan 16 May 16 Mar 17 Nov 17 Aug 19
Covered Senior Unsecured (Domestic) Senior Unsecured (Offshore)
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Deposit to loan ratio
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83%
71%
65% 67% 69%
61%
55%
SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
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Source: Most recent company reports. Regional Bank data includes data for the Group, Major Bank data includes Retail and Business Bank divisions only
Suncorp Group Limited 4 August 2015
Credit quality Impaired and non-performing loans both down significantly
Gross impaired loans by segment
Total non-performing loans by segment
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Retail Agribusiness Commercial (SME) Retail Agribusiness Commercial (SME)
258
154
206
125
99 95
193 226
67 199 160
62
208
182 162
125 409 392 332 362
28 26 33 31
Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
4 August 2015
Suncorp Bank lending portfolio Now significantly de-risked with 80% mortgage portfolio
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2009 Lending portfolio 2015 Lending portfolio Portfolio
2009 2015
($54.4 bn) Summary ($51.9 bn) Metrics
Exposures
121 1
Com/ over $50m
SME
10%
Agri
6% Agri
9% Margin 1.68% 1.85%
Housing Com/ Housing
52%
Corporate SME 80%
& 10% Impaired
$1,474m $218m
Property assets
30%
Impairment
$710m $58m
losses
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
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4 August 2015
26
Suncorp Bank Contributing sustainable earnings to the Group
Key targets
Bank of the year
-
NIM 1.75% to 1.85%
-
Money Magazine’s “ Bank of the year”
-
Retail deposit to loan ratio 60% to 70%
-
Euromoney’s “ Best Bank in Australia”
-
Drive the cost to income ratio towards 50%
-
Sustainable retail lending growth of 1 to 1.3 times system
-
Industry leading customer satisfaction
-
A+/A1 credit rating
-
Basel II Advanced Accreditation
-
New banking platform – Project Ignite
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Suncorp Life
| $m | FY15 | %Δ |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying profit after tax | 113 | 34.5 |
| Market adjustment after tax | 12 | 50.0 |
| Life profit after tax | 125 | 35.9 |
Individual in-force premiums up 5.6% Super new business up 23.4% driven by WealthSmart and Everyday Super
Claims experience $8 million favourable Lapse experience $7 million favourable
Strong growth in Direct sales via insurance brands
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Life rebased assumptions
15% Illustrative lapse example
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Actual experience FY14 assumption Revised assumption
0.5%
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2008 2010 2012 2014 2015 2018 2020
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
FY15 CET1 movements ($m) Reduction due to increased Bank CET1 target
109 45 114 73 73 1,133 156 1,132 831 570 Excess CET1 NPAT Impact of Project Bank Target GI Target SGL & Life Growth & Other Dividend Excess CET1 30-Jun-14 FY15 Natural Hazards Ignite Change Change Target Changes Movements FY15 (ex div) on GI capital 30-Jun-15
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Suncorp Capital Ratios Strong General Insurance and Bank capital ratios
Bank CET1 ratios
General Insurance CET1 ratios*
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9.15%
8.80%
8.70% [8.80% ] [8.87% ] 8.70%
7.92%
SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
Source: Latest published company reports.
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1.40x
1.28x
1.04x
SUN Insurer 1 Insurer 2
Ratios listed relate to Prescribed Capital Amounts (PCA).
Source: Latest published company reports.
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Additional $320 million of capital held at Suncorp Group Limited
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Dividend
38 cent final dividend and 12 cent special dividend
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Special dividend
Final dividend
Interim dividend 30
12
20
38
40
15
30
20
20 20
38
35
25
20
15 15
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Suncorp Group
Key targets
‘Above-system’ growth in key target markets
1
Optimisation benefits of $170 million in 2018 financial year
2
‘Meet or beat’ an underlying 3 ITR of 12% through the cycle
Sustainable Group ROE of 4 at least 10%
5 60% to 80% dividend payout ratio
- 6 Continuing to return surplus capital to shareholders
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Conclusion
Patrick Snowball Suncorp Group CEO
~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
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4 August 2015
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Q&A
Financial results for the full-year ended 30 June 2015
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Supplementary Slides
Financial results for the full-year ended 30 June 2015
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Suncorp transformation
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Optimised Platform in 2017
2009 2011 2015 2017+
Optimised
Stabilise Integrate Simplify
Platform
ENABLED BY ENABLED BY ENABLED BY
Building Blocks Simplification Optimisation
Single view of: • LSP/ NextGen • Claims transformation
• Claims • Partnering • Ongoing SMART rollout
• •
Pricing • Claims Super Simplification
• •
People • Procurement Business Intelligence
• •
Financials Technology & Procurement
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‘One Company. Many Brands’ Cost Capital Customer Culture
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
~~3~~ 7
FY16 Reinsurance program
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6.9b
6.1b
2.5b
500m
Original cover Reinstatement Reinstatement Reinstatement
250m
200m Dropdown aggregate
Dropdown aggregate
50m
Retention
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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FY16 Reinsurance program
Drop-down aggregate program fully placed
250m 50m xs
200m xs 50m
100m xs 100m xs
150m xs 200m 150m xs 300m
200m
150m
Retention
100m xs 100m xs
50m xs 200m 50m xs 300m
50m
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
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Christchurch
earthquakes,
Natural hazards since 1967
Brisbane floods,
Suncorp long-term catastrophic loss experience Cyclone Yasi,
Melbourne
Events greater than $100m, gross of all reinsurance Hailstorm
5,000
AUS NZ Long run average
4,500
Hunter Valley
4,000 storm Marcia and Cyclone
Brisbane flood, NSW Low
3,500 Cyclone Tracy Storms
Melbourne &
Newcastle
3,000 Perth Hailstorms,
earthquake Christchurch
2,500 Sydney earthquakes
Hailstorm
Brisbane Brisbane
2,000
Hailstorm Hailstorm
1,500
1,000
500
-
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Optimisation
The next phase
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700
Optimisation Program:
600 • Claims transformation
• Ongoing SMART rollout Optimisation benefits $170m
500
• Super Simplification
400 • Business Intelligence
Simplification benefits $265m
300 • Technology & Procurement
$m
200
100 Building Blocks benefits $235m
0
Building Blocks costs
Simplification costs
(100) Optimisation costs
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
(200)
40
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
4 August 2015
Simplification benefits
$225 million in FY15, $265 million in FY16
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Original net impact Revised net impact
Revised
300 Simplification
Benefits
250
200
150
100 Original
Simplification
50 benefits
0
Original one-off
(50) project costs FY16
FY15
(100)
FY14
Revised
(150) Project Costs FY13
$m
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~
4 August 2015
Suncorp capital at 30 June 2015 $570m excess CET1 on a post-dividend basis
| $m General Insurance Bank Life NOHC and other entities Suncorp Group total |
$m General Insurance Bank Life NOHC and other entities Suncorp Group total |
$m General Insurance Bank Life NOHC and other entities Suncorp Group total |
$m General Insurance Bank Life NOHC and other entities Suncorp Group total |
$m General Insurance Bank Life NOHC and other entities Suncorp Group total |
$m General Insurance Bank Life NOHC and other entities Suncorp Group total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CET1 | 3,069 | 2,802 | 438 | 320 | 6,629 |
| CET1 target | 2,298 | 2,678 | 334 | 106 | 5,416 |
| Excess (pre-div) 771 124 104 214 1,213 |
|||||
| Dividend (643) |
|||||
| Excess (post-div) 570 |
|||||
| CET1 coverage ratio (pre-div) | 1.40x | 9.15% | 1.77x | ||
| CET1 targets | 1.05x | 8.75% | Amount equal to sum of PCA plus a target excess |
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
Suncorp market shares Growth opportunities
Incremental growth opportunities in markets where we are a leading player
Home and Motor Insurance 29%
QLD CTP 51%
Growth opportunities from entering new markets and expanding in OUR HOW existing markets
CI Aust CI NZ PI NZ[# ] CTP NSW 16% 25% 24% 21%
Potential to grow to natural market share in targeted segments
Suncorp Bank^ Suncorp Life` 3% 5%
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~~Suncorp Group Limited~~ 4 August 2015
#Vero and AAI
^Residential mortgages `In-force individual risk premiums Australia.
Important disclaimer
This report contains general information which is current as at 4 August 2015. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete.
It is not a recommendation or advice in relation to the Group or any product or service offered by Suncorp or any of its subsidiaries. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors, and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an investment is appropriate.
This report should be read in conjunction with all other information concerning Suncorp filed with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX).
The information in this report is for general information only. To the extent that the information may constitute forward-looking statements, the information reflects Suncorp’s intent, belief or current expectations with respect to our business and operations, market conditions, results of operations and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices at the date of this report. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Suncorp’s control, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied.
Suncorp undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this report (subject to ASX disclosure requirements).
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Suncorp Group Limited
4 August 2015
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Investor Relations App In 2014, Suncorp launched an Investor Relations application for tablets to enable easy access to a suite of investor materials.
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For all the latest news, updates and share price movements download the Suncorp Group investor relations app now. Search “Suncorp IR" on the app store or scan the QR code below.
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