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Síminn Investor Presentation 2022

Oct 25, 2022

2203_rns_2022-10-25_56b46d3a-8bed-438b-91ae-1ece29795d71.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Investor Presentation Q3 2022

Orri Hauksson and Óskar Hauksson

25 October 2022

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Key figures

Q3 2022 9M 2022
Revenue 6.210 m.kr.
Q3 2021: 6.124 m.kr. 18.339 m.kr.
9M 2021: 18.079 m.kr.
EBITDA 1.790 m.kr.
Q3 2021: 1.627 m.kr. 4.516 m.kr.
9M 2021: 4.219 m.kr.
EBITDA % 28,8%
Q3 2021: 26,6% 24,6%
9M 2021: 23,3%
EBIT 986 m.kr.
Q3 2021: 840 m.kr. 2.242 m.kr.
9M 2021: 1.887 m.kr.
CAPEX 1.953 m.kr.
Q3 2021: 265 m.kr. 3.083 m.kr.
9M 2021: -6.098 m.kr. *
Cash Equity Ratio Cash generated by operation
--- --- ---
33.852 m.kr.
Q4 2021: 3.509 m.kr. 80,4%
Q4 2021: 44,6% 2.916 m.kr.
Q3 2021: 1.444 m.kr.
  • Negative CAPEX in 9M 2021 is related to sale of network systems to Mila in the beginning of 2021. Mila is categorized as asset held for sale.

Operation


Income Statement

Income statement Q3 9M
2022 2021 % 2022 2021 %
Net sales 6.210 6.124 1,4% 18.339 18.079 1,4%
Cost of sales (3.681) (3.766) -2,3% (11.040) (11.241) -1,8%
Operating expenses (1.543) (1.518) 1,6% (5.057) (4.951) 2,1%
EBIT 986 840 17,4% 2.242 1.887 18,8%
Net financial items (84) 29 -389,7% (157) (101) 55,4%
Income tax (184) (162) 13,6% (404) (361) 11,9%
Net profit from continuing operation 718 707 1,6% 1.681 1.425 18,0%
Discontinued operation 35.628 350 35.916 3.134 1046,0%
Net profit 36.346 1.057 3338,6% 37.597 4.559 724,7%
EBITDA 1.790 1.627 10,0% 4.516 4.219 7,0%
EPS from continuing operation 0,10 0,09 11,1% 0,23 0,18 27,8%

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Revenue

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EBITDA

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EBIT

The Quarter

  • Revenue increase from Q3 2021
  • Revenue growth is 4,1% if adjusted for equipment sales to Mila and sale of Spotify subscription, but Siminn has stopped selling Spotify subscriptions
  • Mobile revenue growth was 9%
  • Increase in roaming revenue but also subscription in revenue
  • Data revenue increases by 5%
  • TV revenue increases by 8%
  • Gross profit increases by 4%
  • EBIT increases by just over 17%
  • EBITDA increases by 10%
  • Slight reduction in total cost between quarters
  • The gain from the sale of Mila is realized in the quarter

Revenue by segments

Segments Q3 9M
2022 2021 Change % 2022 2021 Change %
Mobile 1.618 1.484 134 9,0% 4.500 4.146 354 8,5%
Fixed voice 318 395 -77 -19,5% 1.063 1.200 -137 -11,4%
Internet & network 1.923 1.825 98 5,4% 5.651 5.517 134 2,4%
TV 1.674 1.544 130 8,4% 4.948 4.739 209 4,4%
Equipment sales 418 479 -61 -12,7% 1.359 1.512 -153 -10,1%
Other revenue 259 397 -138 -34,8% 818 965 -147 -15,2%
Total revenue 6.210 6.124 86 1,4% 18.339 18.079 260 1,4%

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Mobile

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Internet & network

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TV

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Other segments


Operations in the first nine months of 2022

Revenue driven EBTIDA growth

  • EBITDA increases by 7% compared to the same period in 2021
  • Operating income increases between periods
  • Revenue increased by 2.3% between periods if adjusted for Spotify which Síminn stopped selling last year and temporary revenue from equipment sale to Míla
  • Mobile revenue rises by almost 9%, mainly due to increased subscription revenue and roaming revenues. The rapid turnaround in tourism is affected.
  • Growth in television services is due to the increase in Síminn and Síminn Premium TV services
  • Revenue from data increased by over 2%
  • Operating profit increased by over 350 m.kr. between periods
  • Total costs are reduced by almost 100 m.kr. between periods
  • Profit from continuing operations increased by 256 m.kr.

  • Costs almost unchanged between periods despite high inflation

  • Labour costs increase by 140 m.kr. or 4.9%
  • Termination costs partly explanation but also wage inflation.
  • The largest cost items do not change much between years
  • IT costs increase related to the costs of updating internal systems
  • In contrast, the cost of services sold decreases, which is the result of cost containment in various sectors and better supplier contracts
  • Payments for Mila’s services will be around 40% of Síminn’s total cost without depreciation.
  • Interest expenses increases by 64 m.kr. between periods and interest income decreases by 26 m.kr.
  • Capital gains on Síminn’s share in Auōkenni amounted to 113 m.kr.

5

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow


Balance Sheet

Assets 30.09.2022 31.12.2021
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 2.312 2.219
Right-of-use assets 997 753
Intangible assets 21.870 19.403
Corporate bond 16.069 0
Other non-current assets 547 675
Non-current assets 41.795 23.050
Current assets
Inventories 1.215 923
Accounts receivables 2.351 2.234
Other current assets 2.278 3.082
Cash and cash equivalents 33.852 3.509
Assets held for sale 0 36.929
Current assets 39.696 46.677
Total assets 81.491 69.727

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Net interest bearing debt with lease liabilities

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Equity ratio

Equity and liabilities 30.09.2022 31.12.2021
Equity
Total equity 65.480 31.079
Non-current liabilities
Borrowings 5.953 5.943
Finance lease 786 653
Accounts payables 585 0
Deferred tax liabilities 485 604
Non-current liabilities 7.809 7.200
Current liabilities
Bank loans 332 1.518
Accounts payables 5.714 2.141
Current maturities of borrowings 248 180
Other current liabilities 1.908 1.783
Liabilities held for sale 0 25.826
Current liabilities 8.202 31.448
Total equity and liabilities 81.491 69.727

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Net interest bearing debt with lease liabilities to EBITDA*

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Return on Equity

Net interest bearing debt now take into account Simin Pay's consumer loans

Lease liabilities included from 2019

*Without government fine in 2020.


CASH FLOW

Cash Flow 9M 2022 9M 2021
Cash flow from operating activities
Operating profit 2.242 1.887
Operational items not affecting cash flow:
Depreciation 2.274 2.332
Gain on sale of fixed assets (56) (1)
4.460 4.218
Changes in current assets and liabilities 1.659 1.258
Cash generated by operation 6.119 5.476
Net interest expenses paid during the period (208) (83)
Payments of taxes during the period (557) (586)
Net cash from operating activities 5.354 4.807
Investing activities
Net investment in property, plant and equipments (3.083) 6.098
Other investment (96) (612)
Sale of subsidiary and discontinued operation 32.713 15.012
Investing activities 29.534 20.498
Financing activities
Dividend paid (500) (500)
Purchase of own shares (2.696) (2.088)
Share capital reduction 0 (7.968)
Payment of long term lease (155) (129)
Net Financing activities (1.186) (8.411)
Financing activities (4.537) (19.096)
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 30.351 6.209
Translation effects on cash (8) 8
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year 3.509 735
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 33.852 6.952

Cash flow

  • Significant change in operational assets and liabilities mainly due to the following:
  • Changes in due dates of invoices from Mila
  • The prepayment of English Premier League moved to CAPEX
  • Increased lending through Siminn Pay
  • High CAPEX in Q3 as a result of the aforementioned move from prepaid costs to CAPEX
  • Payment for the sale of shares in Mila was ISK 32.7 billion
  • Is held in bank accounts and monthly interest income around 160 m.kr.
  • Over 600 m.kr. increase in share buyback between years

CAPEX


CAPEX

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Síminn's investments increased considerably this year, which is a temporary increase

  • The renewal of the TV rights to the English Premier League is a front-loaded investment and now is the first year of a new contract.
  • The new contract became investment in Q3 2022. First payment was in 2021 but nothing is paid for the right in 2022. Next payment in 2023.

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Content rights Network TV CPE's BSS Other

*Adjusted for changed accounting treatment of content CAPEX


Highlights


The District Court of Reykjavík repealed the decision of the Competition Authority

  • The decision from the Competition Authority (ICA) from May 2020
  • 500 m.kr. fine because the ICA believed that Síminn had violated two settlements
  • The ICA believed the settlements had been violated by a Home Package containing broadcasts of matches in the English Premier League
  • Síminn still offered individual subscriptions to Síminn Sport and Síminn's Premium TV service as well as the company's telecommunications services, and the subscription to the company's TV services was significantly lower than the price of the Home Package

  • In January 2021, the Competition Appeals Committee repealed part of the decision

  • Related to an alleged breach of settlement regarding the separation of Síminn and Míla
  • Fine reduced by 300 m.kr.

  • In October 2022, the District Court of Reykjavík repealed the decision of the ICA

  • Síminn brought the matter to court as it was Síminn's assessment that the Appeals Committee's position on the remaining aspect was materially incorrect
  • Realistic and possible for customers to purchase telecommunications services from Síminn without purchasing a TV service that included broadcasts from English Premier League
  • The district court agreed with Síminn's arguments and held that the ICA had not proved that Síminn had violated the said decision
  • Furthermore, the District Court took the position of the Appeals Committee regarding the aspect that the committee had previously repealed, but the ICA had sought to have the decision of the Appeals Committee cancelled
  • Fine altogether waived, which has a positive effect on EBITDA in Q4 by ISK 200 million

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Top of the agenda

  • 5G rollout progressing fast
  • 65 new 5G transmitters have been installed
  • 35 in the capital area
  • 30 in rural areas
  • By end of the year in total 80 5G transmitters will be available to our customers.
  • Síminn expects to have 95% coverage (PoP) by the end of 2025

  • Co-operation with Reykjavík University

  • Síminn pays tuition fees to women with outstanding academic achievements for technical studies
  • The aim of the co-operation is to get young women to consider technology as an education and to increase the number of women graduating from technology
  • Five-year partnership agreement

  • Icelandic content from Síminn TV received 20 Edda awards

  • Shows and films from Síminn received a total of 41 nominations
  • Most awards of all television channels
  • The movie Beast was the winner of the evening
  • Systrabönd won the most awards in the drama category
  • The awards are encouragement to continue on the same path

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Síminn Pay

  • Síminn Pay's lending continues to increase and is currently around ISK 1.5 billion
  • Corporate note issue is to support growth in lending activities
  • The average term of a loan portfolio is about 6 months
  • The annual interest rate on loans is now 13.3%

  • Síminn Pay recently introduced an electronic order book that replaces old-fashioned corporate and institutional order books

  • Introducing a new and exciting payment solution in the near future that aims to make life easier for customers in a digital and flexible way

  • Continuous product development at the company and more innovations will be added later

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Total loans in end of quarters (M.ISK)


Successful Corporate Notes Offering in October

  • Síminn has 6 billion in long-term funding
  • Floating rates (REIBOR + margin)
  • Síminn is not paying down loans at present since leverage is low
  • Síminn has access to ISK 2 billion in credit lines and can also draw further ISK 3 billion in long-term funding
  • Síminn has started the process of reducing the weight of bank funding and increase the weight of debt originated from market instruments
  • Corporate note offering was held on 11 October where total bids amounted to ISK 3 billion at rates ranging between 7.10% - 7.39%
  • Síminn accepted offers for ISK 1.1 billion with 7.20% flat interest rates
  • This represents 64 bp margin on 6M REIBOR which makes this the most successful note offering Síminn has done

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The sale of Míla to Ardian closed on 30 September

  • Enterprise Value of Míla was ISK 69.5 billion.
  • According to the share purchase agreement, Síminn was paid ISK 32.7 billion in cash at closing and ISK 17.5 billion in form of a bond which Síminn loans to the buyer for three years
  • The bond is transferable and has 4% interest rate
  • It is necessary to assess the impact of negative developments in interest rates when the bond is put on Síminn’s books
  • Since interest rates are significantly higher now than when Míla was sold in Q4 2021, fair value is reduced by ISK 1.4 billion. The benchmark is 1% margin on RIKB 25.
  • Capital gains without the effect of the value of the bond and tax was ISK 37.8 billion.

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Wholesale agreement

  • Simultaneously with the sale of Míla to Ardian, a wholesale agreement was entered into between Síminn and Míla
  • The agreement is valid for 15 years
  • The agreement makes little difference to the business relationship between the companies as it was before the sale
  • The main change is that a framework is established for Síminn's purchase of broadband connections which was necessary due to burdensome requirements of the ICA
  • Clearer provisions on how Míla can change prices than before sales
  • Prices that are not regulated are now partly index-linked, but with a maximum increase
  • The effect of an agreement on the balance sheet are minimal
  • No lease obligation arises with Síminn as a result of the agreement
  • Nothing in the sale or the wholesale agreement is classified as a sale and leaseback

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Shareholders


Shareholders' meeting will be held on 26 October 2022

  • On 26 October, Síminn's shareholders will vote on the following proposal:

„Síminn hf.'s shareholder meeting, held on 26 October 2022, agrees to reduce the company's share capital from ISK 7,300,000,000 to ISK 4,400,000,000 with cash payment to shareholders in the amount of ISK 31,500,000,000. The reduction of share capital is based on item 2 of Paragraph 2 Article 51 Act no. 2/1995, on limited liability companies. The nominal value of outstanding shares decreases by ISK 2,900,000,000, but the reduction amount that is in excess will be deducted from other equity accounts. If the proposal is approved, the stock exchange will be notified with a separate notice regarding the processing of the share capital reduction, including the vesting date and expected payment date. Payment will be made as soon as possible after all mandatory conditions have been met.”

  • The current equity ratio is over 80%, which is far from the company's capital structure goals
  • Síminn is able to take advantage of opportunities that the company may want to explore in the domestic market, regardless of Míla's sales revenue
  • Síminn is not in technical debt
  • It is not the company's policy to have significant cash that is not used in day-to-day operations or investments
Síminn Group 30.9.2022 Lækkun hlutafjár 30.9.2022 PF
Non-current assets 41.795 0 41.795
Current assets 39.696 -30.542 9.154
Assets 81.491 -30.542 50.949
- thereof Cash 33.852 -30.542 3.310
- thereof Bond 16.697 0 16.697
Equity 65.480 -30.542 34.938
- thereof share capital 7.086 -2.900 4.186
- thereof retained earnings 56.837 -27.642 29.195
Non-current liabilities 7.809 0 7.809
Current liabilities 8.202 0 8.202
Equity and liabilities 81.491 -30.542 50.949
- thereof interest bearing debts 6.285 0 6.285
- thereof lease liabilities 1.034 0 1.034
Equity ratio 80,4% 68,6%

Shareholders

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Shareholders 19.10.2022 Position % O/S
Stoðir hf. 1.162.220.631 15,92%
Lifeyrissjóður verzlunarmanna 858.257.927 11,76%
Lifeyrissj.starfsm.rik. A-deild 786.450.000 10,77%
Gildi - lifeyrissjóður 545.992.195 7,48%
Brú Lifeyrissjóður starfs sveit 397.600.359 5,45%
Íslandsbanki hf,safnskráning 2 396.693.435 5,43%
Stapi lifeyrissjóður 287.878.868 3,94%
Birta lifeyrissjóður 282.396.563 3,87%
Söfnunarsjóður lífeyrisréttinda 251.575.320 3,45%
Lifeyrissj.starfsm.rik. B-deild 230.479.922 3,16%
Top 10 shareholders 5.199.545.220 71,23%
Other Shareholders 1.878.509.884 25,73%
Shares outstanding 7.078.055.104 96,96%
Own shares 221.944.896 3,04%
Total number of shares 7.300.000.000 100%

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Shareholders

  • Share buy-back
  • Share buy-back during the year amount to ISK 2,784 million
  • Annual dividend was ISK 500 million
  • Proposal of decrease of capital
  • Proposal on shareholder’s meeting on 26 October regarding decrease of capital with cash payment
  • Share capital decreased from ISK 7,300 million to ISK 4,400 million
  • Payment rate is 10.862
  • Shareholders were 1,242 at the end of Q3 2022
  • The share price has lowered by 7.5% year-to-date and by 3.6% for last 12 months.

5

Guidance 2022


Outlook for 2022

Updated guidance for 2022

  • Síminn has twice updated the year’s EBITDA guidance
  • Initial EBITDA guidance ranged from ISK 5.3 – 5.6 billion
  • On 30 September, the EBITDA guidance was raised to ISK 5.8 – 6.1 billion as uncertainty about the treatment of sales expenses for the sale of Míla had been eliminated
  • On 11 October, the EBITDA guidance was increased to ISK 6.0 – 6.3 billion following the ruling of the District Court of Reykjavík in respect of 200 m.kr. reimbursement from the ICA

  • The revenue outlook for 4F is good and expenses are relatively foreseen throughout the year

  • The outlook for CAPEX remains unchanged

  • CAPEX is expected to be close to the lower range of forecast

Guidance for 2022

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Group EBITDA excl. Míla was ISK 5.502 million in 2021

Group CAPEX excl. Míla was ISK 2.503 million in 2021


Appendix


Business segments

  • Mobile: Revenue from mobile services in Iceland and abroad, whether traditional GSM service, satellite service or other mobile service.
  • Fixed voice: Revenue from fixed voice service (fees and traffic).
  • Internet & network: Revenue from data service, incl. xDSL service, GPON, Internet, IP net, local loop and access network.
  • TV: Revenue from TV broadcast and distribution and Síminn TV (fees, traffic and advertisement).
  • Equipment sales: Revenue from sale of telco equipment.
  • Other revenue: Revenue from sold telco service, IT and finance.

Disclaimer

Information contained in this presentation is based on sources that Síminn hf. ("Síminn" or the "company") considers reliable at each time. Its accuracy or completeness can however not be guaranteed. This report contains forward-looking statements that reflect the management's current views with respect to certain future events and potential financial performance. Although the management believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct.

The forward-looking information contained in this presentation applies only as at the date of this presentation. Síminn does not undertake any obligation to provide recipients of this presentation with any further information on the company or to make amendments or changes to this publication should inaccuracies or errors be discovered or opinions or information change. Other than as required by applicable laws and regulation.

This presentation is solely for information purposes and is not intended to form part of or be the basis of any decision making by its recipients. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a promise or recommendation. Statements contained in this presentation that refer to the company's estimated or anticipated future results or future activities are forward looking statements which reflect the company's current analysis of existing trends, information and plans. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially depending on factors such as the availability of resources, the timing and effect of regulatory actions and other factors.

By the receipt of this presentation the recipient acknowledges and accepts the aforesaid disclaimer and restriction.


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