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Síminn Investor Presentation 2021

Oct 26, 2021

2203_rns_2021-10-26_d345bfb3-2605-4601-a0c3-5583eaf95e76.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q3 2021 Results

Orri Hauksson, CEO
Óskar Hauksson, CFO

26 October 2021


Highlights in Q2 and 1H 2021

Q3 2021 9M 2021
Revenue 6.381 m.kr.
Q3 2020: 6.420 m.kr. 19.141 m.kr.
9M 2020: 18.943 m.kr.
EBITDA * 2.974 m.kr.
Q3 2020: 2.805 m.kr. 8.071 m.kr.
9M 2020: 7.743 m.kr.
EBITDA % * 46,6%
Q3 2020: 43,7% 42,2%
9M 2020: 40,9%
EBIT * 1.526 m.kr.
Q3 2020: 1.338 m.kr. 3.774 m.kr.
9M 2020: 3.364 m.kr.
CAPEX 1.098 m.kr.
Q3 2020: 1.013 m.kr. 3.689 m.kr.
9M 2020: 4.129 m.kr.
NIBD / 12M EBITDA * Cash Cash generated by operation
2,45
Q4 2020: 1,94 6.952 m.kr.
Q4 2020: 735 m.kr. 2.968 m.kr.
Q3 2020: 2.213 m.kr.
  • Without government fine in Q2/Q4 2020

Operation


Income Statement

Income statement Q3 9M
2021 2020 % 2021 2020 %
Net sales 6.381 6.420 -0,6% 19.141 18.943 1,0%
Cost of sales (2.993) (3.143) -4,8% (9.360) (9.295) 0,7%
Operating expenses (1.862) (1.939) -4,0% (6.007) (6.784) -11,5%
EBIT 1.526 1.338 14,1% 3.774 2.864 31,8%
Net financial items (218) (143) 52,4% (720) (561) 28,3%
Income tax (251) (233) 7,7% (619) (565) 9,6%
Net profit from continuing operation 1.057 962 9,9% 2.435 1.738 40,1%
Discontinued operation 0 52 2.124 123
Net profit 1.057 1.014 4,2% 4.559 1.861 145,0%
EBITDA 2.974 2.805 6,0% 8.071 7.243 11,4%
EPS 0,15 0,11 36,4% 0,59 0,21 181,0%

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Revenue

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EBITDA *

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EBIT*

Operation Q3 2021

  • Operating income increases by 1% in the first 9 months of the year compared to the same period in 2020
  • Revenues from mobile services increases by over 6%, mainly due to success of the prepaid service Prenna and increased revenues from value-added services. Roaming income remains the same between years.
  • Performance improvement from 2020
  • Adjusted for 500 m.kr. Government fine in Q2 2020, EBITDA increases by over 4%, EBIT by over 12% and profit from continuing operations by almost 9%.
  • Financial expenses increase due to increased Mila indebtedness and the cost of refinancing
  • The cost of the Mila sales process is booked as a prepaid expense in the balance sheet

  • Without government fine in Q2/Q4 2020


Revenue by segments

Segments Q3 9M
2021 2020 Change % 2021 2020 Change %
Mobile 1.563 1.406 157 11,2% 4.362 4.110 252 6,1%
Fixed voice 382 423 -41 -9,7% 1.181 1.299 -118 -9,1%
Internet & network 2.199 2.227 -28 -1,3% 6.645 6.600 45 0,7%
TV 1.540 1.531 9 0,6% 4.728 4.614 114 2,5%
Equipment sales 478 567 -89 -15,7% 1.509 1.482 27 1,8%
Other revenue 219 266 -47 -17,7% 716 838 -122 -14,6%
Total revenue 6.381 6.420 -39 -0,6% 19.141 18.943 198 1,0%

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Mobile

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Internet & network

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TV

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Other segments


Operation in 9M 2021

Good results are largely due to cost reductions

  • Costs decrease between years despite considerable inflation.
  • Wage expenses decrease by 355 m.kr. or almost 8%, which is due to the reduction of FTEs in 2020 and outsourcing of software development.
  • Outsourcing has not, however, resulted in an increase in IC expenses.
  • Marketing expenses have been increased to boost future revenue

  • Expectations of revenue growth in key products have materialized so far this year.

  • Revenue from Internet and Network is expected to increase in Q4 after a small decrease in Q3.
  • TV services with steady but declining revenue growth.
  • In particular, the Premium product is behind the growth and Síminn Sport is growing as well.
  • Competition is intensifying due to changes in the focus of many direct-to-consumer DTC producers.
  • Declining revenue in foreign TV stations and VOD service.

  • The shortage of TV content due to COVID-19 has less effect today, which strengthens the TV content that Síminn can offer. In addition, there is a lot of exciting Icelandic content in the pipeline.

  • The exchange rate loss in the first 9 months of the year is due to a final settlement of an older TV content rights in Q1 2021.


5

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow


Balance Sheet

Assets 30.09.2021 31.12.2020
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 19.273 18.991
Right-of-use assets 5.051 5.378
Intangible assets 31.725 32.544
Other non-current assets 624 544
Non-current assets 56.673 57.457
Current assets
Inventories 1.288 1.127
Accounts receivables 2.464 3.147
Other current assets 2.108 834
Cash and cash equivalents 6.952 735
Assets held for sale 0 1.906
Current assets 12.812 7.749
Total assets 69.485 65.206

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Net interest bearing debt with lease liabilities

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Equity ratio

Equity and liabilities 30.09.2021 31.12.2020
Equity
Total equity 31.301 37.298
Non-current liabilities
Borrowings 24.878 14.289
Finance lease 4.790 5.066
Deferred tax liabilities 343 670
Non-current liabilities 30.011 20.025
Current liabilities
Bank loans 1.518 500
Accounts payables 2.392 2.554
Current maturities of borrowings 1.286 1.663
Other current liabilities 2.977 2.390
Liabilities held for sale 0 776
Current liabilities 8.173 7.883
Total equity and liabilities 69.485 65.206

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Return on Equity
* Without government fine in Q2/Q4 2020
Lease liabilities included from 2019


Cash Flow

Cash Flow 9M 2021 9M 2020
Cash flow from operating activities
Operating profit 3.774 2.864
Operational items not affecting cash flow:
Depreciation and amortisation 4.297 4.379
Other items not affecting cash flow (1) (4)
8.070 7.239
Changes in current assets and liabilities 625 1.250
Cash generated by operation 8.695 8.489
Net interest expenses paid during the period (718) (546)
Payments of taxes during the period (590) (499)
Net cash from operating activities 7.387 7.444
Investing activities
Net investment in property, plant and equipments (3.689) (4.129)
Other investment (606) (118)
Sale of subsidiary and discontinued operation 2.648 454
Investing activities (1.647) (3.793)
Financing activities
Dividend paid (500) (500)
Purchase of own shares (2.088) (1.433)
Share capital reduction (7.968) 0
Payment of long term lease (363) (420)
Net Financing activities 11.389 (792)
Financing activities 470 (3.145)
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 6.210 506
Translation effects on cash 7 (9)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the year 735 217
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 6.952 714

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Free Cash Flow*

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Free Cash Flow*

  • Free cash flow consists of cash from operations before interest less investing activities

CAPEX


CAPEX

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  • Restated according to changes made to treatment of TV rights.

Highlights


Síminn Pay

  • Diverse app with many possibilities
  • Loans - 14 days payment deadline or installment can be distributed up to 36 months
  • Food hall - Order food at about 30 restaurants
  • Parking - Registration of vehicles in a parking lot
  • Marketplace - Marketplace for retailers

  • Today there are 55,000 registered users

  • Half of the users are Síminn’s customers
  • The average age of users is 36 years
  • On average, there is a 10% increase in lending per month this year

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Síminn

  • Icelandic programming has never been more diverse
  • Síminn is at the forefront of diverse and popular Icelandic TV content.
  • A number of new Icelandic series are already on Síminn Premium TV for all age groups and new ones await publication
  • Birta
  • Venulegt fólk
  • Brúðkaupið mitt

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Síminn

  • A new sustainability policy was adopted this summer
  • Environmentally friendly supply chain and an active circular economy
  • Equality and labor force training
  • Cyber security and language technology
  • Good corporate governance and business ethics
  • Síminn has prioritized three Sustainable Development Goal

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  • Satisfied customers
  • Síminn has set the goal of having the most satisfied customers in 2022.
  • All operations take this goal into account, both for employees who are in direct contact with customers as well as other employees.
  • Measurements over the past few months show that Síminn is on the right track, both in terms of image and NPS measurements.

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Quarterly development of Síminn's customer image index since the beginning of 2017.

Gallup


Míla

  • Fiber installation of homes in Iceland
  • In September, fiber-optic-connected spaces in the country reached 103,600. Of these, 78,500 are in the capital area.
  • Increased emphasis has been placed on the installation of fiber-optic cables in urban areas throughout the country.
  • Work was done on laying fiber-optic cables in Reykjanesbær, Grindavík, Súðavík, Ísafjörður, Akureyri, Húsavík, Akranes, Vestmannaeyjar, Hofsós, Höfn in Hornafjörður, Reyðarfjörður, Eskifjörður, Fáskrúðsfjörður, Neskaupsstaður and Egilsstaðir.
  • In some places, a start-up fee is being charged.
  • Mobile RAN
  • The Installation of the 5G mobile network is in full swing and there are now 19 5G mobile sites in use and their number is steadily increasing.
  • Míla built a new 30-meter mast at Seyðishólar which increases services for cottage owners in Grímsnes, e.g. with powerful 5G service.

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Seyðishólar in Grímsnes


Míla

  • Renewal of the DWDM
  • Míla has completed the selection of supplier for the renewal of the DWDM system.
  • Preparation has begun and it is estimated that work will be done on replacing the system throughout next year.
  • Following the replacement of the system, domestic transmission capacity and flexibility will increase significantly, which will support other upgrades to Míla’s systems, e.g. fiber-optic installation and the development of 5G nationwide.

  • The power backup project

  • Míla participated in the power backup project together with Neyðarlínan and other telcos. The project involved improving reserve power in rural areas to ensure better uptime for telecommunications in the event of a prolonged power outage.
  • Power stations have been set up in many parts of the country, as well as new and better batteries have been installed. Connections have been installed in equipment spaces for portable power stations that facilitate operation in the event of a power outage.

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Sale of Míla to Ardian


Ardian acquires Míla

  • At the beginning of the year, Síminn hired the investment bank Lazard and Íslandsbanki to advise on future possibilities and Míla policies considering international developments in the composition of telcos.
  • Future ownership of Míla would be examined.
  • The aim of the work was to maximize the value of Síminn's assets for shareholders.

  • On 23 October Síminn signed an agreement for the sale of all holdings in Míla to Ardian.

  • The sale is subject to the normal conditions such as the Competition Authority's approval.
  • The EV is ISK 78 billion which is 17,1x EBITDAaL.
  • Síminn will be paid ISK 44 billion on the closing day in cash and ISK 15 billion in the form of a bond that Síminn lends to the buyer for three years. The bond is a one-off bond, bears market interest rates, is secured by shares in Míla and is transferable.
  • Estimated profit is just over ISK 46 billion considering the cost of the transaction.

  • A 20-year wholesale agreement between Síminn and Míla

  • Detailed agreement for duration but based entirely on the companies' current business relationship.
  • The majority of Síminn's and Míla's transactions are based on Fjarskiptastofa's price decisions.
  • Contracts for services that are outside the set of rules are mainly related to mobile and network operations that Míla purchased from Síminn earlier this year.

Ardian is a leading infrastructure investor in Europe

  • Considerable investment in the Nordic countries
  • Com Hem
  • Nevel
  • ISS
  • ENordic
  • Andberg Vind
  • Lyrestad Holding

  • Work closely with pension funds in the countries in which they operate

  • Long-term investment focus
  • Accelerated investments
  • Ardian has announced that it intends to accelerate the installation of fiber-optic cables in rural areas.
  • 5G deployment in Iceland will be faster than previously planned.

ARDIAN INFRASTRUCTURE

| FUND OF FUNDS
Primary
Early Secondary
Secondary
Mandates | US$60BN |
| --- | --- |
| DIRECT FUNDS
Buyout
North America Direct Buyouts
Expansion
Growth
Codnvestment | US$26BN |
| INFRASTRUCTURE | US$18BN |
| PRIVATE DEBT | US$8BN |
| REAL ESTATE | US$2BN |


Ardian's $18 billion infrastructure fund has a threefold focus

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ENERGY

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6GW
Heat & power renewable energy capacity

enordic
1st sustainable energy platform in the Nordics with both brownfield and greenfield assets

SKYLINE
Platform with 1.1GW capacity of wind and solar assets in the US

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TRANSPORT

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5,300km
Roads operated in 2020

7
Stakes in Italian airports
Linate, Malpensa, Turin, Naples, Trieste, Bergamo, Bologna*

ASTM
World's largest motorway operator

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TELECOM

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adamo
Spanish FTTH operator growing from 1.8m to 3.2m homes passed

INWIT
2nd largest independent European tower operator with >22k towers in Italy

EWE
40,300km telecommunications network


Sale of Míla changes the Balance Sheet for the parent company

  • Sale of Míla changes the balance sheet dramatically
  • Cash position will be strong
  • Opportunities for internal and external growth
  • Book value of Míla is ISK 11 billion
  • Bond of ISK 15 billion among Non-current assets
  • Bond is in ISK and can be cashed in
  • Sale of Míla has no changes for Síminn’s operating profit
  • EBITDA forecast for Síminn (parent) for the year 2021 is ISK 5,4 – 5,6 billion
Siminn parent 2019 2020 09 2021 Míla sale 09 2021 PF
Non-current assets 58.001 58.453 34.485 4.607 39.092
Current assets 5.417 5.294 11.359 41.809 53.168
Assets 63.418 63.747 45.844 46.416 92.260
- thereof Cash 165 708 5.888 41.809 47.697
Equity 36.827 37.448 31.573 47.107 78.680
Non-current liabilities 19.265 18.790 7.283 0 7.283
Current liabilities 7.326 7.509 6.988 -691 6.297
Equity and liabilities 63.418 63.747 45.844 46.416 92.260
- therof lease liabilities 4.643 4.802 1.520 1.520
Equity ratio 58,1% 58,7% 68,9% 85,3%

Outlook for 2021


Outlook 2021

Good outlook for the rest of the year

  • The operating result for the year has been good and strengthened as the year progresses.
  • Innovations in TV services, sales over GR's networks and stability in the coming years in EPL TV rights form a good basis for the sales operations in coming months.
  • Good cost control – Exchange rate stability is important considering the increasing importance of outsourcing abroad.
  • Míla will be part of the group in the coming months.
  • The EBITDA result for the year is likely to be at the upper limit of the earnings forecast.
  • Investments will be within the forecast range this year.

Guidance for 2021

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Consolidated EBITDA excl. Sensa and ISK 200 million fine was ISK 10.156 million in 2020

Consolidated CAPEX excl. Sensa was ISK 5.643 million in 2020


Shareholders


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Shareholders

Shareholders 20.10.2021 Position % O/S
Stoðir hf. 1.162.220.631 15,41%
Lifeyrissjóður verzlunarmanna 868.257.927 11,52%
Lifeyrissj.starfsm.rík. A-deild 744.000.000 9,87%
Gildi - lifeyrissjóður 612.192.195 8,12%
Íslandsbanki hf,safnskráning 2 396.693.435 5,26%
Brú Lifeyrissjóður starfs sveit 305.650.161 4,05%
Stapi lifeyrissjóður 300.051.432 3,98%
Birta lifeyrissjóður 276.946.563 3,67%
Lifeyrissj.starfsm.rík. B-deild 261.618.000 3,47%
Söfnunarsjóður lifeyrisréttinda 251.575.320 3,34%
Top 10 shareholders 5.179.205.664 68,69%
Other Shareholders 2.199.192.406 29,17%
Shares outstanding 7.378.398.070 97,86%
Own shares 161.601.930 2,14%
Total number of shares 7.540.000.000 100%

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  • Stoðir hf.
  • Lifeyrissjóður verzlunarmanna
  • Lifeyrissj.starfsm.rík. A-deild
  • Gildi - lifeyrissjóður
  • Íslandsbanki hf,safnskráning 2
  • Brú Lifeyrissjóður starfs sveit
  • Stapi lifeyrissjóður
  • Birta lifeyrissjóður
  • Lifeyrissj.starfsm.rík. B-deild
  • Söfnunarsjóður lifeyrisréttinda
  • Other Shareholders
  • Own shares

Shareholders

Share buyback

  • The Board has agreed to purchase for up to ISK 2 billion with share buyback.
  • The buyback program began at the beginning of May and just over ISK 1,5 billion has already been purchased.

Around 1.150 shareholders

  • Number of shareholders has increased by a third so far this year.
  • Síminn's share price has increased by 50% since the beginning of 2021.

Appendix


Business segments

  • Mobile: Revenue from mobile services in Iceland and abroad, whether traditional GSM service, satellite service or other mobile service.
  • Fixed voice: Revenue from fixed voice service (fees and traffic).
  • Internet & network: Revenue from data service, incl. xDSL service, GPON, Internet, IP net, core network, local loop and access network.
  • TV: Revenue from TV broadcast and distribution and Síminn TV (fees, traffic and advertisement).
  • Equipment sales: Revenue from sale of telco equipment.
  • Other revenue: Revenue from i.e. sold telco service, IT and hosting.

Disclaimer

Information contained in this presentation is based on sources that Síminn hf. ("Síminn" or the "company") considers reliable at each time. Its accuracy or completeness can however not be guaranteed. This report contains forward-looking statements that reflect the management's current views with respect to certain future events and potential financial performance. Although the management believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. The forward-looking information contained in this presentation applies only as at the date of this presentation.

Síminn does not undertake any obligation to provide recipients of this presentation with any further information on the company or to make amendments or changes to this publication should inaccuracies or errors be discovered or opinions or information change. Other than as required by applicable laws and regulation.

This presentation is solely for information purposes and is not intended to form part of or be the basis of any decision making by its recipients. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a promise or recommendation.

Statements contained in this presentation that refer to the company's estimated or anticipated future results or future activities are forward looking statements which reflect the company's current analysis of existing trends, information and plans. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially depending on factors such as the availability of resources, the timing and effect of regulatory actions and other factors.

By the receipt of this presentation the recipient acknowledges and accepts the aforesaid disclaimer and restrictions.


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