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SAS Earnings Release 2015

Dec 7, 2015

2961_iss_2015-12-07_f5f26e5e-50be-43fa-93fc-610f259268e0.pdf

Earnings Release

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Scandinavian Airlines 195 87 Stockholm Telephone: +46 8-797 0000 Fax: +46 8-797 1515

SAS traffic figures November 2015

  • Scheduled traffic (RPK) increased 9.6% and the capacity (ASK) was up by 9.8%.
  • The load factor decreased by 0.2 p.u. to 69.3%.
  • SAS carried 2.2 million scheduled passengers in November, up 3.7%.
  • The preliminary currency adjusted yield and PASK were both down 7% and the nominal yield and PASK were down 8% in November 2015.

Market development and commentary

Demand has been positive in Scandinavia during 2015. Overall market capacity has gradually started to increase during the last months and this trend is expected to continue, primarily on international routes. While the competition remains very intensive in certain markets and the demand in regions with high exposure to the oil sector is weaker, demand for leisure oriented routes and SAS long haul traffic is growing.

In response to the growing demand, SAS is increasing its intercontinental capacity by about 25% during the winter program through new routes and frequencies already announced. Also, until April 2016 larger aircraft will replace phased out Boeing 717 primarily in Sweden. Overall, this will result in a longer average stage length with subsequent effect on the yield/PASK and contribute to an expected scheduled capacity growth of 10-12% during the winter program. Excluding the long haul expansion the capacity growth is 3-4%. The total number of flights will however only increase by about 1%.

PASK and yield development Oct-Nov

In October 2015, SAS' currency adjusted yield and PASK were down 4.3% and 1.3% respectively. From November 2015, SAS will report PASK and yield for the same month as the reported traffic development as shown in the table on the right.

SAS scheduled traffic development in November

SAS increased its scheduled capacity in November by 9.8%. The traffic responded well and increased by 9.6%, primarily driven by growth on intercontinental routes. The overall load factor declined marginally by 0.2 p.u. to 69.3% mainly due to lower load factors on certain European routes.

SAS intercontinental capacity was increased 19.2% and the traffic grew 19.6%. The growth was driven by the new route between Stockholm and Hong Kong and more frequencies on existing routes. On European/ Intrascandinavian routes, capacity was increased by 6.9%. Traffic grew well, but did not match the capacity growth primarily in the Belgian and UK/Irish market. Demand continued to be strongest on leisure routes and on routes to/from Sweden. Domestic traffic was up 2.9%, and capacity was increased 3%.

Product and news update

  • SAS commenced new flights to Tallinn from Copenhagen, Oslo and Stockholm.
  • SAS' app received the highest rating amongst 12 airlines in Europe based on ratings from nearly 50,000 customers analyzed by Tnooz.
SAS scheduled traffic Nov 15 Change Nov-Nov 15 Change
ASK (Mill.) 3 455 9.8% 3 455 9.8%
RPK (Mill.) 2 395 9.6% 2 395 9.6%
Passenger load factor 69.3% -0.2 p u 69.3% -0.2 p u
No. of passengers (Mill.) 2.242 3.7% 2.242 3.7%
Nov 15 - Nov 15 vs.
Geographical Nov 15 vs Nov 14 Nov 14 - Nov 14
development. schedule RPK ASK RPK ASK
Intercontinental 19.6% 19.2% 19.6% 19.2%
Europe/Intrascandinavia 5.3% 6.9% 5.3% 6.9%
Domestic 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 3.0%
SAS charter traffic Nov 15 Change Nov-Nov 15 Change
ASK (Mill.) 142 -13.7% 142 -13.7%
RPK (Mill.) 135 -13.2% 135 -13.2%
Passenger load factor 95.1% +0.6 p u 95.1% +0.6 p u
No. of passengers (Mill.) 0.036 -14.0% 0.036 -14.0%
SAS total traffic
(schedule and charter) Nov 15 Change Nov-Nov 15 Change
ASK (Mill.) 3 596 8.7% 3 596 8.7%
RPK (Mill.) 2 530 8.1% 2 530 8.1%
Passenger load factor 70.4% -0.4 p u 70.4% -0.4 p u
No. of passengers (Mill.) 2.278 3.4% 2.278 3.4%
Preliminary yield and PASK Nov 2015 Nominal
change
FX adjusted
change
Yield, SEK 1.01 -8% -7%
PASK, SEK 0.70 -8% -7%
Oct 2015 Nominal
change
FX adjusted
change
Yield, SEK 0.96 -5.7% -4.3%
PASK, SEK 0.74 -2.8% -1.3%
November 2015
Punctuality (arrival 15 min) 89.1%
Regularity 99.1%