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Sabaf — Investor Presentation 2018
Mar 26, 2018
4440_ip_2018-03-26_354dc0c4-6187-443c-ad19-77a01949c0f5.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FINANCIAL PRESENTATION
Star Conference Milan, 27 - 28 March 2018
COMPANY PROFILE
Product range - the heart of gas cooking appliances
Industrial Footprint
Market, product & technology
MARKET
- ✓ Global leader in the segment of components for domestic gas cooking appliances, with over 300 customers in 60 different countries. A strong leadership in Europe (market share above 40%), estimated market share worldwide of about 10%
- ✓ Weight of top 10 customers on total Group sales is less than 50%
- ✓ Each top 10 customer represents less than 10% of total Group sales
- ✓ Long-term agreements and strong relationships with customers, based on mutual trust, technical cooperation, coengineering and tailor-made products
PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY
- ✓ Continuous product innovation: over 30 active patents
- ✓ Knowledge: forefront process technology internal development of special machinery, high performance molds for robotic diecasting, high speed and high precision tools not available on the market
- ✓ Cost and quality leadership: highly automated plants and low incidence of direct labor: € 58 mn investments (8.4% of sales) in the past 5 years, to reinforce competitiveness and to ensure the highest quality standards
- ✓ Strong operational leverage: great flexibility in production volumes growth, ready to satisfy customers requests
- ✓ Intellectual capital: highly specialized and qualified staff
Stock price and main shareholders
Sabaf vs. FTSE Italia STAR – past 3 years
Market cap: € 217 mn at 21-mar-2018
2018 proposed dividend: € 0.55 per share (0.48 € per share paid in 2017)
2017 PERFORMANCE
Performance data Income statement
| € x 000 € x 000 |
FY 17 | FY 16 | Δ % 17-16 | FY 15 | Δ % 16-15 | FY 14 | Δ % 15-14 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SALES | 150,223 | 100.0% | 130,978 | 100.0% | +14.7% | 138,003 | 100.0% | -5.1% | 136,337 | 100.0% | +1.2% |
| Materials | (59,794) | (39.8%) | (47,346) | (36.1%) | (54,366) | (39.4%) | (54,472) | (40.0%) | |||
| Payroll | (35,328) | (23.5%) | (32,112) | (24.5%) | (32,526) | (23.6%) | (32,180) | (23.6%) | |||
| Change in stock | 2,380 | 1.6% | (754) | (0.6%) | 1,025 | 0.7% | 2,447 | 1.8% | |||
| Other operating costs/income | (26,526) | (17.7%) | (25,401) | (19.4%) | (25,964) | (18.8%) | (26,180) | (19.2%) | |||
| EBITDA | 30,955 | 20.6% | 25,365 | 19.4% | +22.0% | 26,172 | 19.0% | -3.1% | 25,952 | 19.0% | +0.8% |
| Depreciation | (12,826) | (8.5%) | (12,882) | (9.8%) | (12,185) | (8.8%) | (12,292) | (9.0%) | |||
| Gains/losses on fixed assets | (12) | (0.0%) | 1 8 |
0.0% | 104 | 0.1% | 6 3 |
0.0% | |||
| EBIT | 18,117 | 12.1% | 12,501 | 9.5% | +44.9% | 14,091 | 10.2% | -11.3% | 13,175 | 9.7% | +7.0% |
| Net financial expense | (590) | (0.4%) | (519) | (0.4%) | (529) | (0.4%) | (531) | (0.4%) | |||
| Foreign exchange gains/losses | 274 | 0.2% | 435 | 0.3% | (89) | (0.1%) | 119 | 0.1% | |||
| Equity investements profits/losses | 3 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | (606) | (0.4%) | |||
| EBT | 17,804 | 11.9% | 12,417 | 9.5% | +43.4% | 13,473 | 9.8% | -7.8% | 12,157 | 8.9% | +10.8% |
| Income taxes | (2,888) | (1.9%) | (3,342) | (2.6%) | (4,475) | (3.2%) | (3,819) | (2.8%) | |||
| Minorities | (81) | (0.1%) | (81) | (0.1%) | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | |||
| NET INCOME | 14,835 | 9.9% | 8,994 | 6.9% | +64.9% | 8,998 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 8,338 | 6.1% | +7.9% |
Performance data Balance sheet
| € x 000 |
31-dic-17 | 31-dic-16 | 31-dic-15 | 31-dic-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed assets | 93.802 | 94.141 | 92.797 | 96.152 |
| Net working capital | 50.753 | 46.084 | 48.163 | 45.844 |
| Short term financial assets | 67 | - | 69 | - |
| Capital Employed | 144.622 | 140.225 | 141.029 | 141.996 |
| Equity | 115.055 | 112.377 | 111.040 | 110.738 |
| Provisions for risks and | ||||
| severance indemnity | 4.034 | 4.390 | 4.081 | 4.325 |
| Net debt | 25.533 | 23.458 | 25.908 | 26.933 |
| Sources of finance | 144.622 | 140.225 | 141.029 | 141.996 |
| Debt / Equity | 0,22 | 0,21 | 0,23 | 0,24 |
| Debt / EBITDA | 0,82 | 0,92 | 0,99 | 1,04 |
| ROI | 12,9% | 9,2% | 10,3% | 9,6% |
| NWC / Sales | 33,8% | 35,2% | 34,9% | 33,6% |
| DSO | 101 | 101 | 105 | 107 |
| DPO | 60 | 68 | 63 | 63 |
| DSI | 99 | 107 | 100 | 100 |
Performance data Cash flow statement
| € x 1000 € x 000 |
31-dic-17 | 31-dic-16 | 31-dic-15 | 31-dic-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash at the beginning of the period | 12,143 | 3,991 | 3,675 | 5,111 |
| Net profit | 14,916 | 9,075 | 8,998 | 8,338 |
| Depreciation | 12,826 | 12,853 | 12,185 | 12,292 |
| Change in net working capital | ||||
| change in inventories | (1,445) | 416 | (170) | (4,079) |
| change in receivables | (5,421) | 5,107 | 107 | (2,548) |
| change in payables | 998 | (1,286) | (58) | 365 |
| (5,868) | 4,237 | (121) | (6,262) | |
| Other changes in operating items | 905 | (234) | (1,931) | 2,609 |
| Operating cash flow | 22,779 | 25,931 | 19,131 | 16,977 |
| Investments, net of disposals | (13,944) | (11,762) | (12,079) | (11,491) |
| Free cash flow | 8,835 | 14,169 | 7,052 | 5,486 |
| Cash flow from financial activity | 978 | 4,249 | (61) | 8,054 |
| Own shares buyback | (2,110) | (1,676) | (718) | - |
| Dividends | (5,384) | (5,467) | (4,613) | (16,146) |
| ARC acquisition | - | (2,614) | - | |
| Forex | (2,929) | (509) | (1,344) | 453 |
| Net financial flow | (610) | 8,152 | 316 | (2,153) |
| Cash at the end of the period | 11,533 | 12,143 | 3,991 | 2,958 |
Performance data EBIT bridge 12M 2016 – 12M 2017
12
Performance data Tax benefits and incentives 2017
| EFFECTS ON 2017 AMOUNTS | Income taxes | % Tax rate |
|---|---|---|
| 2017 amounts | 2,888 | 16.2% |
| - "Patent box" tax benefit - Tax incentives for investments made in Turkey - "Super amortisation" tax benefit |
1,324 950 179 |
|
| 2017 amounts net of tax benefit/incentives |
5,341 | 30.0% |
| 2017 TAX BENEFITS AND INCENTIVES | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PATENT BOX | TURKEY INCENTIVES | SUPER AMORTISATION | |||||
| 1,324: € • 350 relating to 2015 € • € 422 relating to 2016 • € 552 relating to 2017 |
€ 950: • 592 relating to previous € years • € 358 relating 2017 |
€ 179 relating to 2017 |
Performance data Sales by market
| € x 000 € x 000 |
12M 2017 FY 17 |
12M 2016 FY 16 |
Δ % 17-16 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | 36,523 | 36,365 | 4% +0 |
| SALES Western Europe |
150,223 100.0% 11,678 |
130,978 8,553 |
100.0% +14.7% 5% +36 |
| Eastern Europe (incl. Turkey) Materials |
42,824 (59,794) (39.8%) |
34,123 (47,346) |
5% +25 (36.1%) |
| Middle East & Africa Payroll |
13,009 (35,328) (23.5%) |
11,698 (32,112) |
2% +11 (24.5%) |
| Asia (excl. ME) Change in stock |
10,516 2,380 1.6% |
8,088 (754) |
0% +30 (0.6%) |
| Other operating costs/income Latin America |
(26,526) 22,938 (17.7%) |
(25,401) 20,847 |
(19.4%) +10 0% |
| EBITDA North America |
30,955 20.6% 12,735 |
25,365 11,304 |
19.4% +22.0% 7% +12 |
| Depreciation Total |
(12,826) (8.5%) 150,223 |
(12,882) 130,978 |
(9.8%) 7% +14 |
Performance data Sales by product
| € x 000 € x 000 |
12M 2017 FY 17 |
12M 2016 FY 16 |
Δ % 17-16 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brass valves | 5,991 | 9,007 | 5% -33 |
| SALES Light alloy valves |
150,223 100.0% 39,351 |
130,978 32,393 |
100.0% +14.7% 5% +21 |
| Thermostats Materials |
7,376 (59,794) (39.8%) |
7,699 (47,346) |
-4 2% (36.1%) |
| Standard burners Payroll |
41,070 (35,328) (23.5%) |
37,338 (32,112) |
0% +10 (24.5%) |
| Special burners Change in stock |
27,184 2,380 1.6% |
21,215 (754) |
1% +28 (0.6%) |
| Accessories Other operating costs/income |
(26,526) 15,267 (17.7%) |
(25,401) 12,613 |
(19.4%) 0% +21 |
| EBITDA Professional burners |
30,955 20.6% 5,079 |
25,365 2,289 |
19.4% +22.0% +121 9% * |
| Hinges | 8,905 | 8,424 | 7% +5 |
| Depreciation Gains/losses on fixed assets |
(12,826) (8.5%) (12) |
(12,882) 18 |
(9.8%) |
| Total | (0.0%) 150,223 |
130,978 | 0.0% 7% +14 |
* Professional burners sales consolidated from the 1st of July 2016
Performance data Outlook
OUTLOOK
- ✓ The start of 2018 shows a slight increase in sales compared to the same period of 2017. After a year characterized by a growth rate that is clearly higher than the average trend of recent years and despite the still challenging competitive scenario, the Group estimates that revenues for the entire financial year 2018 will increase ranging from 3% to 5% compared to 2017
- ✓ The Group also believes that the adjustment of sales prices and further improvements in operating efficiency will enable it to balance the negative impacts associated with the weakening of the dollar and the rise in commodity prices, and therefore estimates operating profitability (EBITDA%) to be in line with 2017
- ✓ These forecasts assume a macroeconomic scenario not affected by unpredictable events. If the economic situation were to change significantly, actual figures might diverge from the forecasts
BUSINESS PLAN 2018 - 2022
Business plan 2018 - 2022 Key points 1/2
- ORGANIC: CAGR between 4% and 6% (€ 180 200 mn sales by 2022)
- BY ACQUISITIONS (€ 70 100 mn sales by 2022)
- € 200 - 230 mn by 2020
Estimated sales growth between 65% and 100% (2022 compared to 2017)
EBITDA margin • > 20% of sales
Business plan 2018 - 2022 Key points 2/2
- Organic growth: € 80 - 90 mn capex in 5 years (about 8% of sales per year)
- Growth by acquisition: up to € 140 mn investment in 5 years
- Estimated Dividends € 30– 40 mn in 5 years (between € 6 and 8 mn per year)
-
Lower payout than in previous years, to support future growth
-
Financial debt: up to € 120 mn by 2022
Organic growth Market development - Europe & Turkey
EUROPE (Turkey excluded)
2018-2022 GROWTH FACTORS
- ✓ Reinforce the leadership in this market, in order to strengthen the presence and commercial relationship
- Multi-year agreements recently undersigned with some of the major European market players. These agreements grant significant growth and allow high mid-term visibility
- Expected market share increase
TURKEY
2018-2022 GROWTH FACTORS
- ✓ Increase of local production, enhancing previous years success. Wider range of products manufactured locally
- ✓ Expected volume increase from current customers
- ✓ New contracts with new customers for valves and hinges
Organic growth Market development - Brazil
BRAZIL
2018-2022 GROWTH FACTORS
- ✓ Enter in the mid range and free-standing cookers markets:
- High volumes / low cost burners project
- Special burners project
- ✓ Enhancement of commercial relationships with major international Groups, also through co-engineering and development of customized products
- ✓ Market growth within present top customers
Organic growth Market development - North America
NORTH AMERICA
2018-2022 GROWTH FACTORS
- ✓ Expected annual double-digit growth:
- Long-term agreements and special projects with present customers, which are the major market players
- Sub-assemblies supply and customized components
- Top range professional products for high-end new customers
- ✓ Planning to operate through a production plant in North America
RISK FACTORS
- ✓ Exchange rate
- ✓ Import duties and other US protectionist policies
Organic growth Market development - India
INDIA
2018-2022 GROWTH FACTORS
- ✓ India is considered a high potential market, in which Sabaf Group is just at the beginning of its development. At present, only 30% of Indian people use gas as a cooking source, the remaining part still using biomass sources
- ✓ Expected annual double-digit growth
- ✓ The Group aims to increase the customer base, through:
- Agreements with domestic market leaders
- Development of specific burners and valves for Indian market, in order to fit local cooking needs (e.g. Series 4 burners)
- Increase demand for safety and quality
Organic growth Market development - China
CHINA
2018-2022 GROWTH FACTORS
- ✓ Supply agreements with global market leaders
- ✓ Development of new commercial relationships with big Chinese manufacturers
- ✓ Beginning of new projects with high-potential «newcomers»
- ✓ Evaluation of local partnerships
- ✓ Arc Handan JV deployment for wok burners
Organic growth Products
PRODUCTS GROWTH FACTORS
- ✓ Annual investments in R&D: 3% of sales (in line with historical trend)
- ✓ Greater care to specific markets needs and customization in order to increase client loyalty
- ✓ Focus on:
- Special burners: high performances and combustion efficiency
- "Easy to clean" burners
- "Precise flame setting" valves
- "Advanced assisted cooking" solutions
- Professional burners: also for use in high-range domestic cookers
- ✓ New concepts and new products, in an advanced development stage, are still confidential and not disclosed
Organic growth Process and industrial footprint
PROCESS IMPROVEMENTS
- ✓ Forefront process technology, based on automation and robotization of all production phases
- ✓ Increase of machining and assembling productivity through high-speed machinery
- ✓ Higher efficiency through scraps reduction
- ✓ Further interconnection of production with SAP management system (Industry 4.0)
- ✓ Lean manufacturing
INDUSTRIAL FOOTPRINT
- ✓ Increase of Turkey local production
- ✓ Planning to operate through a production plant in North America
- ✓ Evaluation to set up a production plant in India
Growth by acquisitions Investment sectors
Growth by acquisitions Target profile
| Target parameters | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TURNOVER | Up to € 70 mn sales |
|||||
| EBITDA | Higher than 10%. Steady results over the past years No bussinesses to be restructured |
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| SHAREHOLDING | Preference for entrepreneur entrepreneurial ownership ownership |
|||||
| EBITDA MULTIPLES | Non-dilutive | |||||
M&A TEAM
Dedicated to development of business contacts, creation of an internal Data Base, analysis and evaluation of opportunities, management of negotiations
DISCLAIMER
Certain information included in this document is forward looking and is subject to important risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially.
The Company's business is in the domestic appliance industry, with special reference to the gas cooking sector, and its outlook is predominantly based on its interpretation of what it considers to be the key economic factors affecting this business. Forwardlooking statements with regard to the Group's business involve a number of important factors that are subject to change, including: the many interrelated factors that affect consumer confidence and worldwide demand for durable goods; general economic conditions in the Group's markets; actions of competitors; commodity prices; interest rates and currency exchange rates; political and civil unrest; and other risks and uncertainties.
Pursuant to Article 154/2, paragraph 2 of the Italian Consolidated Finance Act (Testo Unico della Finanza), the company's Financial Reporting Officer Gianluca Beschi declares that the financial disclosure contained in this financial presentation corresponds to the company's records, books and accounting entries.
For further information, please contact Gianluca Beschi - +39.030.6843236 [email protected]