Investor Presentation • Sep 20, 2007
Investor Presentation
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Company Presentation Zürich, September 19/20, 2007
Klaus M. Hilligardt, CEO Edwin van der Geest, IR
This document contains forward-looking statements and forecasts based on assumptions and estimates made by Business Media China AG ("BMC") management. While we assume that the expectations of these forward-looking statements are realistic, we cannot guarantee that the expectations will prove to be correct. The assumptions may conceal risks and uncertainties which may lead to actual results significantly divergent from those made in the projective forecasts. The factors that can cause such a divergence include: changes in foreign exchange control or the economic and business environment, currency exchange rate fluctuations, the low market entry barriers for competitors, insufficient acceptance of new products or services and changes in corporate strategy. No update of the projected forecasts contained herein is planned, nor does BMC assume any obligation to do so.
| / P L s u m m a r y ( i E ) 1 0 0 0 n r o u |
2 0 0 7 H 1 , |
2 0 0 6 H 1 , |
2 0 0 6 |
2 0 0 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R e e n e s v u |
9 2 7 7 7 , |
3 0 5 2 7 , |
4 8 6 7 7 , |
2 1 8 5 6 , |
| N P f i / L t t e r o o s s |
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| T l A t t o a s s e s |
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| C C h d h i l t a s a n a s e q u v a e n s |
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| S ( ) f f d f i d t a e n o p e r o |
2 4 4 |
1 0 5 |
1 4 6 |
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Outlook
Ì Exploring synergies between OOH advertising, exhibitions and conference businesses
| B M C l i d d P / L j i b ( i E U R '0 ) * 0 0 t t t c o n s o a e p r o e c o n s s e g m e n n y |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E 2 0 0 7 |
E 2 0 0 8 |
E 2 0 0 9 |
E 2 0 1 0 |
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| Ra i lw S io t t ay a ns |
1 2, 2 4 5 |
1 9, 5 9 2 |
2 4, 4 8 9 |
2 9, 3 8 7 |
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| A irp t o r s s |
7, 2 4 9 |
2 4, 0 9 8 |
2 9, 5 8 4 |
5 2, 8 9 7 |
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| T l T l M d i t o a r a v e e a |
1 9, 4 9 4 |
4 3, 6 8 9 |
5 4, 0 7 3 |
8 2, 2 8 4 |
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| Ex h i b i i t o n s |
6, 6 1 2 |
1 0, 8 7 4 |
1 4, 7 9 2 |
1 8, 7 1 0 |
||
| O h t e r s |
1, 9 5 9 |
9, 3 0 6 |
1 3, 7 1 4 |
1 2, 2 4 5 |
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| R e e nu e v |
2 8, 0 6 5 |
6 3, 8 6 9 |
8 2, 5 7 9 |
1 1 3, 2 3 9 |
||
| E B I T D A |
/- 0 + |
9, 5 8 0 |
2 0, 6 4 5 |
3 3, 9 7 2 |
CNY/EUR 0.0979577
* These projections are based on existing asset and projects and are excluding the Beijing Olympics effect 2008 and the Shanghai EXPO effect 2010
Ad spend growth of China vs. World Ad spend % of GDP of China vs. World
(Source: Zenith Optimedia, Clear Media, Goldman Sachs Research estimates)
Outdoor advertising as percentage of total ad spend Ad spend per Capita of China vs. World
Exhibitions' Growth in China during 2000 – 2006
28Source:
The "Grand Dame" in China's Advertising Business
Ì
One of the most prominent figures in China's Advertising Busienss
Ì
Sorbonne Paris Graduate
STRÖR Group (leading Outdoor Company in Germany) 2000-2006 Director Sales & Marketing BlowUp Media GmbH
Mr. Zhang is the highest official in Chinese Railway Advertising and responsible for the Railway Advertising Reform.
| 2 0 0 7 |
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|---|---|---|---|
| A D V E R T I S I N G S P A C E |
No f s io ta t o ns |
Un i ts |
S Q M |
| Be i j in Ce l S io ( B J C ) tra ta t g n n |
1 | 8 2 0 |
5. 0 0 2 |
| Be i j in W S io ( B J W ) t ta t g es n |
1 | 1. 3 0 4 |
5. 8 5 0 |
| S h i j ia hu Ra i lw S io ( S J Z ) ta t z an g ay n |
1 | 4 8 7 |
5. 4 8 1 |
| To l 1 ta |
2. 6 0 2 |
1 6. 3 3 3 |
|
| Co ig d tra t s n c ne |
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| T ian j in Ra i lw S ion ( J A N ) ta t 0 8 ay |
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2. 8 8 7 |
| To l ( T O D A Y ) ta 2 |
3 0 6 2 |
1 9 2 2 0 |
|
| 2 0 0 8 |
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| S Ne io ta t w ns |
f s No io ta t o ns |
Un i ts |
S Q M |
| S ha ha i ( fo ha B J C ) ts t ng so m e m or e rm a n |
1 | 9 0 0 |
6 4 9 5. |
| A d d i ion l S ion in S ha ha i t ta t a s ng |
5 | 1. 0 0 0 |
6. 2 7 7 |
| C ( C ) he du b le B J to ng co m p ar a |
1 | 8 0 0 |
5. 0 2 2 |
| C ( C S ), ho ing be B J J Z 2 ion tw ta t ng q + s s = |
2 | 1. 0 0 0 |
6. 2 7 7 |
| S C A d d i ion l ion in he du t ta t a s ng |
1 | 4 0 0 |
2. 5 1 1 |
| Su f / b To l En d 2 0 0 8 Be inn ing 2 0 0 9 ta o g - |
4. 1 0 0 |
2 5. 7 3 6 |
|
| Inc l. Ex is ing hr io ( B J C / B J W / S J Z ) t t ta t ee s ns |
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| T ian j in + |
7. 1 6 2 |
4 4. 9 5 7 |
|
| 2 0 0 9 |
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| S Ne io ta t ns w |
No f s io ta t o ns |
Un i ts |
S Q M |
| B J C ( 2 ion be B J C / B J W d S J Z ), ta t tw ne w s ee n a n = |
2 | ||
| Da l ia / Q ing da e. g. n o |
1. 0 0 5 |
9. 4 1 6 |
|
| S J Z ( ion b le i h S J Z ) tw ta t t o s s co m p ar a w = |
2 | 8 0 0 |
0 2 2 5. |
| Su b To l En d f 2 0 0 9 / Be inn ing 2 0 1 0 ta o g - |
2. 3 0 0 |
1 4. 4 3 7 |
|
| Inc l. Ex is ing ion ( 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 ) t ta t s s - |
9. 4 6 2 |
5 9. 3 9 4 |
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| 2 0 1 0 |
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| Ne S io ta t w ns |
No f s io ta t o ns |
Un i ts |
S Q M |
| C ( C ) B J ion be l i ke B J ta t tw on e ne w s ee n = |
1 | 8 0 0 |
5. 0 2 2 |
| S ( S ) J Z ion b le i h J Z ta t t on e s c om p ar a w = |
1 | 4 6 0 |
2. 8 8 7 |
| Su f / b To l En d 2 0 1 0 Be inn ing 2 0 1 1 ta o g - |
1 2 6 0 |
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|
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1 0 7 2 2 |
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| T a r g e |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 0 0 7 E |
2 0 0 8 E * |
2 0 0 9 E |
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1 6 2 7 |
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| i f ( ) M d t e a o r m a s s q m |
1 9 2 2 0 |
4 4 9 5 7 |
9 3 9 4 5 |
6 3 0 3 7 |
| P i I r c e n c r e a s e s |
3 % |
1 0 % |
% 7 5 , |
% 7 5 , |
| O t c c u p a n c y r a e |
3 7 5 % , |
6 0 0 % , |
7 2 5 % , |
8 0 0 % , |
| A C i i / D i t v e r a g e o m m s s o n s c o u n |
3 5 % |
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| C 9 N Y 5 m |
C 8 0 N Y m |
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| F f 8 % l i f 5 t t e e o o c e n s e o w n e r o r |
f u r n o v e r r o m a g |
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d i f t t u c o n r o m |
t u r n o v e r a g e n |
| C i i i ) B M i b 1 t t t 5 a c v e s r e c e v e s a o u |
% t a g e n c o m m |
i i s s o n |
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| G M M E D I A l f l i t o n a e r c e n s e y |
3 1 % - |
6 % |
3 4 % |
4 % 7 |
| t c o s s |
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| G ( M T l d i & t t o a m e a a g e n |
4 % |
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1 0 % |
3 0 % |
4 4 % |
|
| f f l i e e s o r c e n s e o w n e r |
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| * W i h t o u |
"O i f i l t s p e c c y |
G i E m p c a m e s |
f f " t e c |
|
| G ** r o s s |
P f i i h t t t r o o w u |
h d a n o e r e a s y v |
/ D A |
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| T h i l I / l f d t t t e c n c a n e s m e n c o s s r e n e a o a s p a c e v w v |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N h i l i i i M d i F l i d t t t t t t o e c n c a n v e s m e n c o s s a s e x s n g e a o r m a s a r e c e n s e |
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| C L I |
S C S S E N E O T |
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| h / i t t p e r m u n |
/ i t p e r y r u n |
h / t p e r m s q m |
/ p e r y r s q m |
||
| A i 9 2 0 0 7 t r p o r s |
C N Y 5 1 5 1 |
C N Y 6 1 8 1 3 |
C N Y 3 3 9 |
C N Y 4 0 6 9 |
|
| S S ( C / ) T O T A L A L E V l i h i i D i t t t o u m e w o u o m m s s o n s s c o u n s |
|||||
| / h i t t p e r m u n |
/ i t p e r y r u n |
/ h t p e r m s q m |
/ p e r y r s q m |
||
| A i 9 2 0 0 7 t r p o r s |
C N Y 1 7 7 4 3 |
C N Y 2 1 2 9 1 2 |
C N Y 1 1 6 8 |
C N Y 1 4 0 1 4 |
| T t a r g e s |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E 2 0 0 7 |
E * 2 0 0 8 |
E 2 0 0 9 |
E 2 0 1 0 |
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| M d i f ( i ) t t e a o r m a s u n s |
7 2 8 |
2 3 2 8 |
3 0 2 8 |
3 3 2 8 |
|
| M d i f ( ) t e a o r m a s s q m |
1 1. 0 6 0 |
3 5 3 6 8 |
4 6 0 0 2 |
5 0 5 6 0 |
|
| P i i ( f l r c e n c r e a s e s p a s s e n g e r o w |
1 5 % |
1 5 % |
1 5 % |
1 5 % |
|
| i 2 5 % h ) n c r e a s e s e a c y e a r |
|||||
| O t c c u p a n c y r a e |
4 5 0 % , |
5 5 0 % , |
6 5 0 % , |
7 2 5 % , |
|
| / A i i d i l l t v e r a g e c o m m s s o n s c o u n e v e |
3 2 5 % , |
3 2 5 % , |
3 2 5 % , |
3 2 5 % , |
|
| T r n o e r u v |
f A G E N T r o m |
C S A T I V I T I E |
|||
| C 2 0 N Y m |
C 1 N Y 7 5 m |
C 1 N Y 5 m |
C 1 0 N Y m |
||
| F f 8 % l i f 5 t t e e o o c e n s e o w n e r o r u r n o v e r |
f t t r o m a g e n a c |
i i i ( d d i t t v e s e u c o |
f t n r o m u r n o v e r |
t a g e n |
|
| ) C i i i B M i b 1 % t t t 5 a c v e s r e c e v e s a o u a g e |
i i t n c o m m s s o n |
||||
| f i G M M E D I A l l t t o n a e r c e n s e c o s s y |
1 7 % |
4 9 % |
5 6 % |
6 5 % |
|
| M T l ( d i & i i i ) G t t t t o a m e a a g e n a c v e s |
|||||
| f l i d f f t t a e r c e n s e c o s s a n e e s o r |
1 6 % |
4 6 % |
5 4 % |
6 4 % |
|
| l i c e n s e o w n e r |
|||||
| * W i h i f i "O l i G E f f " t t t o u s p e c c y m p c a m e s e c |
|||||
| ** G P f r o s s r o |
i i h t t t w o u a n y |
h d / D o v e r e a s |
A |
| ( ) T l d i f i b i l i i i l i t t t & t t r a e m e a p r o a a r p o r r a a s a o n s v y w y |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 0 0 7 E |
* 2 0 0 8 E |
2 0 0 9 E |
2 0 1 0 E |
||
| E b i T t- t a r g e |
4 % |
1 3 % |
2 2 % |
3 0 % |
|
| ( ) D i i f i t t r n g a c o r s m p r o e m e n -o v v y -y |
|||||
| E 2 0 0 7 |
8 E 2 0 0 |
E 2 0 0 9 |
E 2 0 1 0 |
||
| S l a e s |
% 5 |
% 7 |
% 5 |
% 5 |
|
| P i r c e s |
2 % |
3 % |
3 % |
3 % |
*Without specific "Olympic Games Effect"
The rapidly increasing Profitability of the Travel Media Business is a result of increasing sales and prices as well as operational improvement.
P/E of BMC Peers
47Source: Bloomberg, 2006 P/E's
48Bloomberg, August 18, 2006
Predictable and higher return on investment due to long term licensing agreement in stations & airports
谢谢 !
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