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Prima Industrie — Investor Presentation 2019
Sep 4, 2019
4210_rns_2019-09-04_898eccba-c563-41a9-b2c5-5ca155b2f465.pdf
Investor Presentation
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- ‣ 40+ YEARS
- ‣ 20 YEARS LISTED
- ‣ 466.9 €M SALES
- ‣ 1800+ PEOPLE
- ‣ 8 PLANTS
- ‣ R&D COMMITMENT (5%-6% on sales)
- ‣ 13,000+ INSTALLATIONS
- ‣ 80+ COUNTRIES
+4% Increase in revenues
+14% Increase in adjusted EBIT
+29% Increase in Net Profit
2018 RESULTS
SHEET METAL PROCESSING MACHINES & SYSTEMS
ELECTRONICS & LASER SOURCES SERVICES ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING
MFG PLANT – Seinajoki (FINLAND)
MFG PLANT – Suzhou (CHINA)
OFFICES AND TECHNOLOGY CENTER – Chicago (USA)
| 3 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May Jun | ||||||||
| $49.8$ $49.4$ | ||||||||
| 49.2 48.9 | ||||||||
| 50.4 49.9 | ||||||||
| 50.5 | 50.6 | |||||||
| 49.1 | ۰ | |||||||
| 49.8 | 49.3 | |||||||
| 49.4 | 48.0 | |||||||
| 47.7 | 47.6 | |||||||
| 44.3 | 45.0 | |||||||
| 50.6 | 51.9 | |||||||
| 49.7 | 48.4 | |||||||
| 50.1 | 47.9 | |||||||
| 54.2 | 52.4 | |||||||
| 50.2 | 49.4 | |||||||
| 51.6 | 50.6 | |||||||
| 48.4 | 47.5 | |||||||
| 48.4 | 45.5 | |||||||
| 52.7 | 52.1 | |||||||
| 50.2 | 51.0 | |||||||
| 50.0 | 49.2 | |||||||
| 49.8 | 48.6 |
GLOBAL MFG. PMI TO 49,8 - LOWEST SINCE 2012
Source: Markit, JP Morgan Asset Management
IN 2017 ALMOST ALL WORLD MARKET ECONOMIES WERE EXPANDING (GREEN)
IN 2019 ALMOST ALL WORLD MARKET ECONOMIES ARE CONTRACTING (RED)
GLOBAL PMI INDEX CHANGE YoY
| (M 1 ) | Global M. PMI Y/Y HeatMap | @MacroTechnicals May surveys ASYPCTL A prev |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MT VORLD | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 20* | 2019 | 50.0 growing | 36ML | P Z $-1.7$ |
MT VOI | ||
| MT DM MT EM |
49.9 contracting 50.3 growing |
78ML 4ML |
$-2.2$ $-0.1$ |
MT DM MT EM |
||||||||||
| MT Fragile 5 | 50.8 growing | 7ML | 0.4 60 |
MT Fragil | ||||||||||
| USA . US CA Canada |
$-5.5$ $-7.1$ |
50.5 growing 49.1 contracting |
118ML 4IML |
$-2.0$ $-1.4$ |
$\blacktriangle \Leftrightarrow$ ▲△ |
USA Canada |
||||||||
| 돕 BB Brazil MX Mexico EA |
$-0.5$ $-1.0$ $-7.8$ |
50.2 growing 47.7 contracting |
IML 2ML 2ML |
0.5 58 $-1.4$ $-1.9$ |
Brazil Mesico EA |
|||||||||
| $\frac{d}{d}$ $\approx$ DE Germany 인 FR. France |
$-12.6$ $-3.8$ |
44.3 contracting 50.6 growing |
2ML 3MH |
$-2.3$ $-0.3$ |
German France |
|||||||||
| Italy Spain ES |
$-3.0$ $-3.3$ |
49.7 contracting growing |
5MH 3ML |
$-1.1$ $-2.2$ |
Italy Spain |
|||||||||
| Netherlands NL AT Austria |
$-8.$ $-9.0$ |
52.2 growing 48.3 contracting |
2MH 50ML |
$-1.1$ $-1.3$ |
Netherlar Austria |
|||||||||
| GR Greece Denmark DK |
0.3 0.1 |
54.5 growing 47.6 contracting |
3ML 12ML |
Greece Denmark |
||||||||||
| Sweden SE Norway NO. Switzerland CH |
$-2.7$ $-1.4$ $-13.8$ |
53.1 growing growing 54.4 48.6 contracting |
6MH 2MH 2MH |
$-0.8$ 0.6 $-1.3$ |
Sweden Norway Switzerlar |
|||||||||
| GB UK RU. Russia |
$-4.9$ 0.0 |
49.4 contracting 49.8 contracting |
34ML SML |
$-2.0$ $-0.4$ 35 |
- 23 - | UK Russia |
||||||||
| TR Turkey PL Poland |
$-1.1$ | 45.3 contracting 48.8 contracting |
4ML 2ML |
$-1.4$ $-1.6$ |
Turkey Poland |
|||||||||
| HU Hungary CZ Czech Rep |
2.7 $-9.9$ |
57.9 growing 46.6 contracting |
em r 77ML |
11 $-2.6$ |
the control | Hungary Czech Re |
||||||||
| South Africa ZA NG Nigeria $\frac{1}{2}$ $\frac{1}{2}$ $\frac{1}{2}$ Japan |
$-4.4$ 1.3 $-3.0$ |
45.4 contracting 57.8 growing 49.8 contracting |
2ML 4MH 2ML |
$-1.0$ 12 $-1.2$ |
South Af Nigeria Japan |
|||||||||
| ₽ AU Australia NZ New Zealand |
$-4.8$ $-1.3$ |
52.7 growing 53.0 growing |
2ML APR |
$-0.1$ 55 $-0.9$ |
Australia New Zeal |
|||||||||
| Singapore SG 高 DN. China |
$-2.8$ $-0.9$ |
19.9 contracting 2 growing |
33ML 2ML |
$-0.7$ 0.1 47 |
Singapor China |
|||||||||
| HK HongKong ΙN India |
0.6 1.5 |
8.4 contracting growing |
APR 3MH |
$-0.2$ 0.6 |
HongKor India |
|||||||||
| ID Indonesia South Korea KR MY Malaysia |
$-0.1$ $-0.5$ 1.2 |
growing contracting contracting |
9MH 3ML 2ML |
1.2 $-0.8$ $-0.1$ 53 |
73 | Indonesia South Ko Malaysia |
||||||||
| TW Taiwan PH Philippines |
$-5.0$ $-2.5$ |
contracting $\mathbf{H}$ growing |
2MH 2MH |
$-1.1$ $-1.3$ |
Taiwan Philippine |
|||||||||
| TH. Thailand VN Vietnam |
$-0.1$ $-1.9$ |
growing growing |
APR 2ML |
15 1 $-0.3$ |
Thailand Vietnam |
|||||||||
| source: ThomsonReuters Markit MacroTechnicals | $Z = 5Y$ 2-score | P = 5Y PCTL |
Source: Thompson Reuters Markit
CAPITAL GOODS DERIVATIVE WITH RESPECT TO GDP TREND
World
CECIMO Economic and Statistical toolbox
CECIMO ORDERS 1Q2019 DOWN 19% YoY UCIMU ORDERS 2Q2019 DOWN 31,4% YoY VDW ORDERS 2Q19 DOWN 22% YOY
CECIMO MEMBERS ARE MACHINE TOOLS ASSOCIATIONS FROM ITALY (UCIMU), SWITZERLAND, GERMANY, (VDW) FRANCE, SPAIN, PORTUGAL, UK, BELGIUM, THE NETHERLANDS, DENMARK, SWEDEN, FINLAND, AUSTRIA, CZECHIA, TURKEY
Recent years: 2007 to 2018
| The | capital | goods | sector | has | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| always | experienced | a | secular | ||
| growth | with | relevant | |||
| cyclicality, | with | : | |||
| | "up -period |
" | of | 7 - 8 |
years |
| and | |||||
| | "down | -period" | of | 2 - 3 |
|
| years |
Last cycle showed an "up period" starting from mid 2010 which lasted until mid 2018 .
PRIMA INDUSTRIE GROUP ORDER INTAKE
The chart shows, as from mid 2018, the beginning of a downturn of our market which is not currently as hard and sharp as the global crisis of 2008-09
SALES EXPECTED IN THE RANGE OF € 420-440 million (≈ 5% to 10% down from 2018, thanks to
- significant backlog of Jan.1st 2019)
- EBITDA MARGIN OF ≈ 9% (thanks to important structural reorganization and costs reduction actions that will bring structural benefits to the future profitability of the Group).
- NET FINANCIAL POSITION: IMPROVEMENT (compared to June 30, 2019). The strategy to downsize NWC is based on:
- Fiber laser components stock consumption
- Demo machines rationalization
- Credit collection improved
- Inventory excess absorption
"At the expiration of the current three-year plan and after the international exhibitions scheduled in the autumn, the 2020-2022 three-year plan will be prepared and the main guidelines of it will be disclosed to the market. We remain strongly positive on the medium-term prospects thanks to the technological content of the products, the strengthened international presence and the quality and expertise of the human resources characterizing our Group".
TREND JAN 2018 THROUGH AUG 2019 vs ITALIAN PEERS
LOWER TP, CONSERVATIVE RECOMMENDATIONS BUT SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE
| 2019 | 2020 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. IMI Mediobanca |
B. Akros Consensus | B. IMI | Mediobanca | B. Akros Consensus | |||||||
| 16,5 | 18,0 | 16,0 | 16,5 | 18,0 | 16,0 | ||||||
| ADD | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL | ADD | NEUTRAL | NEUTRAL | ||||||
| REVENUES | 430 | 433,6 | 434 | 432,5 | 438,6 | 440,6 | 436 | 438,4 | |||
| EBITDA | 37,5 | 40,1 | 3 9 |
38,9 | 41,84 | 43,2 | 4 2 |
42,3 | |||
| EBIT | 13,5 | 17,3 | 1 9 |
16,6 | 17,84 | 20,4 | 2 1 |
19,7 | |||
| NET RESULT | 5,65 | 8,1 | 1 0 |
7,9 | 10,25 | 11,5 | 1 2 |
11,3 | |||
| NFP | -103,6 | -93,1 | -97 | -97,9 | -98,5 | -87,4 | -85 | -90,3 |
PRIMA POWER SALES TO AUTOMOTIVE SECTOR HAVE DROPPED FROM 25% IN 2017 TO 14% IN 2018 and 12.5% IN 1H2019
- The automotive industry is facing major challenges around the world.
- For the first time in twenty years, sales in the automotive industry in China are declining
- Automakers are facing a shift in core competencies, as a changing business environment is requiring new skills and capabilities while making others less important. This requires a significant investment in new business models and new solutions.
- Four reasons the car industry is struggling (source BBC UK):
Falling demand: after years of strong growth, global car sales were broadly flat in 2018, largely because of a slump in demand in the
Emissions woes: in Europe, emissions issues are also causing headaches
- world's biggest market, China.
- for car firms.
- isn't quite ready for electric cars.
- A shift away from ownership? Renting can be an option
The electric challenge: A lot of carmakers are not ready to deliver electric vehicles at the right quantities (they need to change their operations but that requires investment. On the other side the market
AUTOMOTIVE MARKET: HSS STILL AN OPPORTUNITY
HSS is the main application for 3D laser machines
AUTOMOTIVE MARKET: HSS STILL AN OPPORTUNITY ELECTRIFICATION WILL INCREASE THE NEED FOR LIGHT AND RESISTANT MATERIALS
FIBER LASER TECHNOLOGY
- A quick change of the global scenario took place in the last few months: the entry of new Chinese fiber laser manufacturers caused an aggressive and unexpected fiber laser price decrease both
- in Europe (≈ -20-30%, depending on purchased quantities) and
- mostly in China (≈ -30-40% depending on purchased quantities)
Strategy: the introduction of the new pumping units and higher power modules by mid 2020 shall allow Prima a significant cost reduction and an important gain of competitiveness.
ADDITIVE MANUFACTURING
- Since several years Prima Industrie is investing in Additive Manufacturing (AM) technologies, leveraging on internal know-how on fiber laser.
- Among Prima Industrie competitors only Trumpf is investing in this technology which is expected to further boom in the next years.
- All dedicated R&D investments (partially funded with EU projects) have been charged to P&L; no capitalizations have been made so far.
- In 2019 AM contribution to Prima Group revenues will be of approx. 2% of Group revenues and expected to grow in the next years.
- Prima Additive division (PA) has been established in 2018 and a new dedicated building has been completed in 2019.
- PA is active on both main AM technologies (Powder Bed Fusion and Direct Energy Deposition). PA will exhibit for the first time at Formnext 2019 in November in Frankfurt (main AM world exhibition). A set of new products will be introduced to the market in 2H19 and 1H20.
THE CHINA CHALLENGE
2D laser cutting stand alone machines are becoming a commodity in China; the number of competitors present at the Chinese MWCS Expo in Shanghai has considerably increased from 2017 to 2018.
High level Chinese manufactures have also started competition on 3D laser cutting machines
Strategy: Prima can count on its wide and high tech product range and will focus in particular on :
- the best available 3D machine on the market 2D top of the range laser machines integrated
- within automatic cells
- cooperation with Lead Laser for mid range products
OUR WEAKNESS
GROUP REORGANIZATION & COST SAVING INITIATIVES
ONE COUNTRY – ONE COMPANY CONCEPT Significant cost savings and tax optimization in Italy and USA
HUB CONCEPT FOR EU SUBSIDIARIES
Reduction of the number of legal entities and leaner branch offices structure (done in Belgium, Denmark and Baltics. To be extended to other countries).
DEMO ROOM RATIONALIZATION IN EUROPE
2 main spots in Italy and Finland. In other countries short dedicated events with reduction of demo machines in stock.
G&A – S&M COST SAVING INITIATIVES Several planned initiatives
R&D FOCUS ON FEW SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS Fiber laser, Additive Manufacturing, new mid range laser products etc.
FLATTER ORGANIZATION Shorter reporting chains, younger management
WORKFORCE REBALANCING No replacement of turnover, retirement incentives, temporary workforce reduction (if necessary).
BACK UP INFORMATION
REVENUES 2009 -2018
€/mio EBITDA 2009 -2018 €/mio
NET RESULT 2009 -2018
€
/mio
NFP
Debt/Equity
OUR GROUP | REGIONS WE SERVE
Aerospace. 6,7%
Building & Housing
Equipment. 17,4%
Energy. 4,9%
Healthcare, Medical & Others. 1,7% Mechanics & Machinery. 10,6%
Steel furnitures and
panels. 11,8%
White goods. 10,1%
Yellow goods and trucks.
0,7%
Subcontractors. 23,7%
OUR GROUP | INDUSTRIES WE SERVE
27
Aerospace. 4,7%
Automotive. 14,4%
Building & Housing Equipment. 14,6%
Energy. 2,7%
Healthcare, Medical & Others. 1,4%
Mechanics & Machinery. 13,3%
Steel furnitures and panels. 13,4%
White goods. 9,8%
Yellow goods and trucks. 2,5%
Subcontractors. 23,1%
Highlights 1H2019
P&L adjusted with non recurring items and IFRS 16
| D '19 vs '18 % | |
|---|---|
| Values in €/thousand | ACT 30.06.19 | ACT 30.06.18 | D '19 vs '18 | D '19 vs '18 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Order Intake | 189.904 | 240.236 | (50.332) | -21,0% |
| Backlog | 136.055 | 191.962 | (55.907) | -29,1% |
| Revenues | 214.757 | 216.710 | (1.953) | -0,9% |
| EBITDA | 18.585 | 18.681 | (96) | -0,5% |
| EBITDA% | 8,7% | 8,6% | 0,1% | N/A |
| EBIT | 6.480 | 10.826 | (4.346) | -40,1% |
| EBIT% | 3,0% | 5,0% | -2,0% | N/A |
| Net Result | 1.815 | 11.102 | (9.287) | -83,7% |
| FCF | (26.628) | (9.256) | (17.372) | -187,7% |
| Net Financial Position | (132.824) | (75.544) | (57.280) | -75,8% |
| Headcount | 1.856 | 1.834 | 2 2 |
1,2% |
( % calculated over the revenues)
(headcount in units)
| Values in €/thousand | ACT 30.06.19 | ACT 30.06.18 | D '19 vs '18 | D '19 vs '18 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 214.757 | 216.710 | (1.953) | -0,9% |
| EBITDA | 18.585 | 18.681 | (96) | -0,5% |
| Non-Recurring Items | (1.150) | (1.286) | ||
| IFRS 16 | 2.689 | - | ||
| EBITDA Adj | 17.046 | 19.967 | (2.921) | -14,6% |
| EBITDA Adj% | 7,9% | 9,2% | -1,3% | N/A |
| EBIT | 6.480 | 10.826 | (4.346) | -40,1% |
| Non-Recurring Items | (2.299) | (1.595) | ||
| IFRS 16 | 107 | - | ||
| EBIT Adj | 8.672 | 12.421 | (3.749) | -30,2% |
| EBIT Adj% | 4,0% | 5,7% | -1,7% | N/A |
| Net Result | 1.815 | 11.102 | (9.287) | -83,7% |
| Non-Recurring Items | (2.440) | 3.581 | ||
| IFRS 16 | (267) | - | ||
| Net Result Adj | 4.522 | 7.521 | (2.999) | -39,9% |
| NFP | (132.824) | (75.544) | (57.280) | -75,8% |
| IFRS 16 | (26.146) | - | ||
| NFP Adj | (106.678) | (75.544) | (31.134) | 41,2% |
( % calculated over the revenues)
Source: company info + official communications to Consob
THE RASHANIMA TRUST (through Erste International SA) 29,10% LEE Joseph (directly or through World Leader Ltd.) 10,01% YUNFENG GAO (through Sharp focus International Ltd) 9,98%