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Poste Italiane — Earnings Release 2017
Feb 19, 2018
4431_ip_2018-02-19_a41cef9d-9155-4894-887d-8dabf63e7289.pdf
Earnings Release
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Preliminary Results FY 2017
Rome, 19 February 2018
Investor Relations
DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH OF NET PROFIT IN 2017 REACHING 689€M. DIVIDEND PAYOUT OF C.80% CORRESPONDING TO 0.42 € DPS
(€m)
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 33,112 | 33,441 | +328 | +1.0% |
| EBIT EBIT Margin |
1,041 3.1% |
1,123 3.4% |
+82 | +7.8% |
| Normalized1 EBIT EBIT Margin |
922 2.8% |
1,110 3.4% |
+188 | +20.4% |
| Net Profit Net Profit Margin |
622 1.9% |
689 2.1% |
+67 | +10.8% |
| Normalized1 Net Profit Net Profit Margin |
510 1.6% |
722 2.2% |
+212 | +41.6% |
| DPS (€) | 0.39 | 0.42 | +0.03 | +7.7% |
Payout ratio of about 80% on 2017 preliminary net profit, corresponding to a dividend of 0.42 € p.s., up by 7.7% vs. 2016
- 2017 non recurring items: capital gains investment portfolio (-532m), capital gain Mastercard stake disposal (-91m), early retirements incentives (+499m), real estate funds provisions (+113m) and write-offs of Alitalia stake (+82m, no impact on EBIT); tax effect on one-offs equal to -37m. 2016 non recurring items: capital gains from investment portfolio (-467m), capital gain on VISA stake disposal (-121m) early retirements incentives (+509m), real estate funds provisions (+68m), one-off revenues from USO (-108m); tax effect on one-offs equal to +6m.
PRELIMINARY RESULTS 2017: SEGMENTS HIGHLIGHTS
Mail and parcels impacted by 108 €m one-off revenue in 4Q 2016 and 23 €m one-off cost in 4Q2017
TOTAL FINANCIAL ASSETS
- Deposits do not include Repo and Poste Italiane liquidity
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES OVERVIEW OF MARKET REVENUES
REVENUES EVOLUTION
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES CURRENT ACCOUNTS
-
Including current accounts, time deposits and repurchase agreements
-
- Entirely invested in floating rate deposits c/o MEF
-
- Entirely invested in Italian Government bonds
-
- It only refers to Incomes
-
Average yield calculated as interest income and realized capital gains on total average financial assets
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES POSTAL SAVINGS
Investor Relations 7
Books
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES BANCOPOSTA REGULATORY FRAMEWORK AND CAPITAL POSITION
-
10.50% Min. CET1 ratio required to distribute earnings (transitionally reduced to 9.25% in 2017)
-
ROE defined as net earnings/CET 1 capital (excluding valuation reserves)
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES
TRANSACTION BANKING - REVENUES
(€m)
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards | 223 | 269 | +46.9 | +21.1% |
| Acquiring | 4 | 5 | +1.7 | +45.2% |
| VISA/Mastercard Capital Gains | 121 | 91 | -29.6 | -24.5% |
| Subtotal | 347 | 366 | +19.0 | 5.5% |
| Payment Slips | 619 | 572 | -46.1 | -7.5% |
| Bank & Money Transfer | 75 | 75 | -0.5 | -0.6% |
| Subtotal | 694 | 647 | -46.6 | -6.7% |
| Current Accounts fees | 210 | 212 | +1.9 | +0.9% |
| Other Revenues |
156 | 157 | +1.4 | +0.9% |
| Subtotal | 366 | 369 | +3.3 | 0.9% |
| Total | 1,407 | 1,383 | -24.4 | -1.7% |
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES TRANSACTION BANKING - VOLUMES
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-Paid cards | # of cards | (m) | 16.1 | 17.7 | +1.6 | +9.7% | |
| Transaction Value | (€m) | 8,095 | 10,164 | +2,068 | +25.6% | ||
| g n |
Debit Cards | # of cards | (m) | 7.0 | 7.1 | +0.1 | +1.5% |
| ri ui q |
Transaction Value | (€m) | 11,457 | 12,643 | +1,185 | +10.3% | |
| c A & |
Credit Cards | # of cards | (m) | 0.40 | 0.40 | n.m. | +1.3% |
| s d ar |
Transaction Value | (€m) | 1,045 | 1,073 | +28 | +2.7% | |
| C | Acquiring | # POS1 | (m) | 0.10 | 0.09 | n.m. | -3.1% |
| Transaction Value1 | (€m) | 11,800 | 12,650 | +850.0 | +7.2% | ||
| y e s, n er o nt |
Payments Slips | # of payments2 | (m) | 404.6 | 387.7 | -16.9 | -4.2% |
| M sf e & m n Tra y k a n P a |
Bank & Money Transfer | # of transactions | (m) | 19.1 | 20.1 | +1.0 | +5.0% |
| B | Strong growth in electronic payments replacing traditional payment systems |
-
Including POS and transaction value from Postal Offices
-
Including F23/F24
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES
TRANSACTION BANKING DIGITALIZATION PROGRESS
0.71m2 Daily Average Users
€2.3bn
Transaction Value
-
Registration includes both web and Apps
-
Related to 4Q 2017
Daily Average Visitors
FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT KEY METRICS
(€m)
| FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var. % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subscription fees | 402 | 397 | -4.9 | -1.2% |
| Management fees | 757 | 942 | +184.8 | +24.4% |
| 1 Life |
1,159 | 1,339 | +179.8 | +15.5% |
| Subscription fees | 23 | 25 | +2.2 | +9.6% |
| Management fees | 26 | 53 | +27.1 | +104.4% |
| Other Incomes | 57 | -2 | -58.7 | n. m. |
| Private Pension Plan | 106 | 76 | -29.3 | -27.7% |
| Technical Margin1 | 63 | 78 | +14.6 | +23.2% |
| P&C | 63 | 78 | +14.6 | +23.2% |
| Subscription fees | 4 | 12 | +7.6 | +183.0% |
| Management fees | 56 | 73 | +17.8 | +31.9% |
| ASSET MANAGEMENT | 60 | 85 | +25.4 | +42.4% |
| Acquisition costs | 495 | 523 | +28.1 | +5.7% |
| Labour cost | 36 | 38 | +1.9 | +5.3% |
| Operating costs | 83 | 85 | +1.7 | +2.0% |
| Other costs (mainly evaluation of liabilities) | 138 | 93 | -45.3 | -32.9% |
| TOTAL COSTS | 752 | 738 | -13.7 | -1.8% |
| EBIT Insurance & AM Services | 636 | 840 | +204.2 | +32.1% |
- Includes EBIT from Poste Welfare Servizi
FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT
GROUP GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUM
FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT LIFE PREMIUMS NET INFLOWS
(€bn)
Investor Relations 14
FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT
TECHNICAL RESERVES EVOLUTION
- Including non-life technical reserves and net of re-insurance reserves
FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT ASSET MANAGEMENT
Agreement with Anima supporting wealth management strategy of Poste Italiane
Mifid II fully implemented across the network
Continued Growth in Asset Management thanks to Equity and Balanced products
FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT STRONG SOLVENCY RATIO
295%
17%
-32%
AVERAGE NUMBER OF PRODUCTS HELD BY RETAIL CUSTOMERS
• Insurance Services
• Asset Management
Steady increase of cross-selling overtime
FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS TOTAL REVENUES & EBIT
VOLUMES AND MARKET PRICE FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS
- Net of Unaddressed Mail Volumes in 2016
AVERAGE PRICE INDEX – MAIL AVERAGE PRICE INDEX – PARCELS
TOTAL GROUP OPERATING COSTS
(€m)
Depreciation and Amortization
Costs of Goods Sold
Early Retirement Incentives
Labour Cost
Strong discipline in cost management
TOTAL GROUP OPERATING COSTS FOCUS ON LABOUR COSTS
Successful track record to reduce FTE
FROM GROUP EBIT TO NET INCOME 2017P
(€m)
Non operating items impacted by write-offs (94 €m)
CAPEX EVOLUTION (€m)
CAPEX BREAKDOWN BY CATEGORY (%)
- Other includes infrastructure to support delivery and logistics integration
INDUSTRIAL NET CASH POSITION
NEW SEGMENTS HIGHLIGHTS
PERIMETER CHANGES AHEAD OF CMD
| CURRENT REVENUES SPLIT | NEW REVENUES SPLIT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial 1 Services |
• Transaction Banking • Current Accounts • Postal Savings • Third Parties Distribution Products |
• Current Accounts • Postal Saving • Asset Management • Third Parties Distribution Products |
Financial 1 Services |
| Insurance & 2 Asset Management |
• Life • Private Pension Plan • P&C • Asset Management |
• Life • Private Pension Plan • P&C |
Insurance 2 Services |
| 3 Mail & Parcels |
• Mail Services • Parcels Services • Other Services • Distribution & Captive Services |
• Mail Services • Parcels Services • Other Services • Distribution & Captive Services |
Mail, 3 Parcels & Distributions |
| Other 4 Services |
• Telecommunication Services |
• Telecommunication Services • Cards & Acquiring Services • Money Transfer & Payments |
Payments, 4 Mobile & Digital |
PERIMETER CHANGES AHEAD OF CMD INSURANCE PREMIUMS TO BE PRESENTED ON A NET BASIS
POSTE ITALIANE SEGMENT REORGANIZATION NEW SEGMENT REPORTING: REVENUES BREAKDOWN
(€m)
POSTE ITALIANE SEGMENT REORGANIZATION NEW SEGMENT REPORTING: EBIT BREAKDOWN
(€m)
2017P
CLOSING REMARKS
OUR FOCUS NOW
APPENDIX
GROUP PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from sales and services | 8,743 | 8,463 | (280) | (3.2%) |
| Insurance premium revenue | 19,884 | 20,343 | 459 | 2.3% |
| Other income from financial and insurance activities | 4,421 | 4,560 | 139 | 3.1% |
| Other operating income | 64 | 75 | 10 | 16.0% |
| Sales | 33,112 | 33,441 | 328 | 1.0% |
| Personnel costs | (6,241) | (6,093) | 148 | 2.4% |
| Other operating expenses | (3,292) | (3,345) | (54) | (1.6%) |
| Net change in technical provisions for insurance business and other claims expenses |
(21,958) | (22,335) | (377) | (1.7%) |
| Depreciation & amortization | (581) | (545) | 36 | 6.2% |
| EBIT | 1,041 | 1,123 | 82 | 7.8% |
| Net interest income / (Expense) | 15 | (56) | (70) | (462.5%) |
| Profit before tax | 1,056 | 1,067 | 11 | 1.1% |
| Tax | (434) | (378) | 56 | 12.9% |
| Net income | 622 | 689 | 67 | 10.8% |
FINANCIAL SERVICES PROFIT & LOSS
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 5,837 | 5,810 | (27) | (0.5%) |
| o/w Market revenues | 5,294 | 5,246 | (49) | (0.9%) |
| o/w Intercompany revenues | 543 | 565 | 22 | 4.0% |
| Personnel costs | (126) | (109) | 17 | 13.3% |
| Other operating expenses | (4,896) | (4,927) | (30) | (0.6%) |
| EBITDA | 815 | 773 | (41) | (5.0%) |
| EBITDA margin | 14.0% | 13.3% | -0.6% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1) | (1) | (0.3) | (106.6%) |
| EBIT | 813 | 773 | (41) | (5.0%) |
| EBIT margin | 13.9% | 13.3% | ||
| Net interest income / (Expense) | (7) | 1 | 8 | 111.4% |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | 806 | 773 | (33) | (4.0%) |
| Tax | (246) | (188) | 58 | 23.7% |
| NET INCOME | 560 | 586 | 26 | 4.6% |
INSURANCE AND ASSET MANAGEMENT PROFIT & LOSS
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 23,773 | 24,354 | 581 | 2.4% |
| o/w Market revenues | 23,772 | 24,353 | 581 | 2.4% |
| o/w Intercompany revenues | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13.5% |
| Personnel costs | (39) | (41) | (2) | (5.4%) |
| Other operating expenses | (23,084) | (23,455) | (371) | (1.6%) |
| EBITDA | 650 | 857 | 207 | 31.9% |
| EBITDA margin | 2.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (14) | (17) | (3) | (23.0%) |
| EBIT | 636 | 840 | 204 | 32.1% |
| EBIT margin | 2.7% | 3.4% | ||
| Net interest income / (Expense) | 49 | 57 | 7 | 14.9% |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | 685 | 896 | 211 | 30.9% |
| Tax | (262) | (311) | (49) | (18.6%) |
| NET INCOME | 423 | 586 | 163 | 38.5% |
| €m | FY 2016 | 2017P | Var. | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 8,362 | 8,129 | (233) | (2.8%) |
| o/w Market revenues | 3,822 | 3,632 | (190) | (5.0%) |
| o/w Intercompany revenues | 4,540 | 4,497 | (43) | (0.9%) |
| Personnel costs | (6,059) | (5,928) | 131 | 2.2% |
| Other operating expenses | (2,204) | (2,213) | (10) | (0.5%) |
| EBITDA | 99 | (12) | (112) | (112.0%) |
| EBITDA margin | 1.2% | -0.1% | -1.3% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (536) | (505) | 31 | 5.8% |
| EBIT | (436) | (517) | (81) | (18.5%) |
| EBIT margin | -5.2% | -6.4% | ||
| Net interest income / (Expenses) | (26) | (112) | (86) | (330.4%) |
| PROFIT BEFORE TAX | (462) | (629) | (167) | (36.1%) |
| Tax | 83 | 127 | 44 | 52.8% |
| NET INCOME | (379) | (502) | (123) | (32.4%) |
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Luciano Loiodice, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.