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Poste Italiane — Earnings Release 2016
Nov 9, 2016
4431_ip_2016-11-09_c0c66c4a-2d52-4da8-8efd-f5ce0121b8f2.pdf
Earnings Release
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9 November 2016
Investor Relations
(€m)
Key Numbers
| 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var % |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 23,921 | 25,729 | +8% |
| EBIT | 930 | 1,196 | +29% |
| Net Profit | 622 | 807 | +30% |
9M 2016: FIGURES HIGHLIGHTS
- Including other segments (Poste Mobile and 'Consorzio Telefonia Mobile')
TOTAL ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT/ADMINISTRATION
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES (1/3) REVENUES EVOLUTION
(€m)
-
Current accounts/Active Portfolio Management includes interests income, realized capital gain and income from financial assets at FVTPL (Fair Value through profit or loss)
-
Transaction banking includes: payment slips, F24, money transfers, pension cheques and other revenues from current accounts. Net of intercompany values
-
Payment Card Fees includes a one-off capital gain of €121 million related to the acquisition and merger of Visa Europe Ltd with the US-registered company, Visa Incorporated
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES (2/3) REVENUES BREAKDOWN
| 9M 2016 €m 9M 16 vs 9M 15 (var.%) |
Rationale | |
|---|---|---|
| Return on Current Account Deposits |
1,610 +1.4% |
Enhanced active management of BancoPosta's asset portfolio |
| Fees from Postal Savings Collection |
1,174 -3.3% |
Lower fees related to lower recognized commercial costs |
| Fees from Transaction Banking |
786 +1.7% |
Higher revenues from payments slips (F23/F24) |
| Distribution Fees | 245 +22.5% |
Increase mainly due to a better performance on personal loans |
| Distribution Fees Payment Card Fees Payment Card Fees |
292 +67.8% |
Includes a one-off capital gain from VISA Europe and higher revenues from Postepay Evolution offset by lower fees from debt/prepaid cards |
|--|
FOCUS ON FINANCIAL SERVICES (3/3)
ACTIVE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT
4.4% 4.1% AVERAGE DEPOSITS1 ACTIVE PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT2 Average return3 (%) Unrealized gains (€m) Portfolio duration (years) 43,364 5,616 44,906 5,475 48,840 4,338 1,588 1,610 4,881 5.8 5.7 8.8% (€m)
-
Including interest income and realized capital gains
-
Average yield calculated as interest income and realized capital gains (pro rata temporis) on total financial assets
9M 2015 9M 2016
BANCOPOSTA REGULATORY FRAMEWORK AND CAPITAL POSITION
FOCUS ON INSURANCE & ASSET MANAGEMENT
GROUP GWP AND TECHNICAL RESERVES EVOLUTION
- Including non-life technical reserves and net of re-insurance reserves
FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS (1/2) VOLUMES AND MARKET REVENUES EVOLUTION
Revenues - Mail & Parcels (€m)
FOCUS ON MAIL & PARCELS (2/2) TOTAL REVENUES AND COST STRUCTURE
Depreciation & Amortization Intersegment Costs & Other Costs
TOTAL GROUP OPERATING COSTS EVOLUTION
Group Operating Costs
(€m)
COST STRUCTURE AT CONSOLIDATED LEVEL FOCUS ON LABOUR COSTS
(€m)
FROM GROUP EBIT TO NET INCOME
(€m)
GROUP CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
Capex evolution (€m) Capex Breakdown by Division (%)
INDUSTRIAL NET FINANCIAL POSITION
ACCELERATING ON PLAN EXECUTION (1/2) …ORGANICALLY
| VALUE DRIVERS | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| • Superior ROE in Financial Services |
9M16 ROE 34% | ||
| Financial Services | FOCUS ON PROFITABILITY |
• Ongoing optimization of client assets |
Well balanced mix Clear resilience of postal savings Material increase of deposits |
| & ROE | • Disciplined Active Portfolio Management |
Longer Duration from 5.5 to 5.7 years in Q316 Superior Yield >4% Embedded Gains €4.3bn |
|
| • Growing Life GWP |
• +6% vs 9M2015 |
||
| Insurance Services | |||
| & Asset Management |
FOCUS ON GROWTH |
• Growing in non-life |
• +55.6% vs 9M2015 |
| • Consolidating Growth in AuM |
• +30% vs 9M2015 |
||
| • Accelerating the deployment of new delivery process |
COGS -1.3% Labour costs -0.8% |
||
| Mail & Parcels | FOCUS ON TURNAROUND |
• Re-balancing revenue mix towards parcels |
17% Parcels on total revenues vs 15.2% 9M2015 |
| & GROWTH | • Optimizing CAPEX |
CAPEX €224m |
APPENDIX
| €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from sales and services | 6,498 | 6,406 | (1.4%) |
| Insurance premium revenue | 14,543 | 15,388 | 5.8% |
| Other income from financial and insurance activities | 2,828 | 3,887 | 37.4% |
| Other operating income | 52 | 48 | (7.7%) |
| Sales | 23,921 | 25,729 | 7.6% |
| Personnel costs | (4,370) | (4,333) | (0.8%) |
| Other operating expenses | (2,721) | (2,312) | (15.0%) |
| Net change in technical provisions for insurance business and other claims expenses |
(15,475) | (17,449) | 12.8% |
| Depreciation & amortization | (425) | (439) | 3.3% |
| EBIT | 930 | 1,196 | 28.6% |
| Net interest income / (Expense) | 41 | 21 | (48.5%) |
| Profit before tax | 971 | 1,217 | 25.3% |
| Tax | (349) | (410) | 17.5% |
| Net income | 622 | 807 | 29.7% |
GROUP KEY BALANCE SHEET ITEMS 9M 2016
| €m | FY 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Equivalents | 3,142 | 2,373 | (24.5%) |
| BancoPosta related Cash | 3,161 | 2,918 | (7.7%) |
| Receivables & Inventory | 2,158 | 2,253 | 4.4% |
| Financial Assets | 160,090 | 179,572 | 12.2% |
| Tangible and Intangible Assets | 2,796 | 2,602 | (6.9%) |
| Other | 4,489 | 4,910 | 9.4% |
| Total Assets | 175,836 | 194,628 | 10.7% |
| Trade Payables | 1,453 | 1,332 | (8.3%) |
| Financial liabilities | 57,478 | 63,397 | 10.3% |
| Technical Reserves | 100,314 | 113,878 | 13.5% |
| Other | 6,933 | 6,994 | 0.9% |
| Total Liabilities | 166,178 | 185,601 | 11.7% |
| Shareholders capital | 1,306 | 1,306 | - |
| Reserves | 8,352 | 7,721 | (7.6%) |
| Totale Equity | 9,658 | 9,027 | (6.5%) |
| Total Liabilities & Equity | 175,836 | 194,628 | 10.7% |
GROUP CASH FLOW STATEMENT 9M 2016
| €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | $Var.$ % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 622 | 807 | 29.7% |
| Depreciation and amortization | 425 | 439 | 3.3% |
| Net provisions for risks and charges | 138 | 150 | 8.7% |
| (Use of Provisions for risks and charges) | (263) | (383) | 45.6% |
| Net change in employee termination benefits and pension plans | (49) | (65) | 32.7% |
| (Gains) / Losses on disposals | 0 | 1 | n.m. |
| Other | 14 | 38 | n.m. |
| FFO | 887 | 987 | 11.3% |
| Change in working capital | 409 | (115) | n.m. |
| Cash flow from operations | 1,296 | 872 | (32.7%) |
| Capital expenditures | (229) | (252) | 10.0% |
| Net change in subsidiaries and associates | (211) | 0 | n.m. |
| Disposals | 2 | 7 | n.m. |
| Cash flow from investments | (438) | (245) | 44.1% |
| Dividend paid | (250) | (444) | 77.6% |
| State aid restitution | 535 | 0 | n.m. |
| Cash Flow from financial assets and liabilities | (991) | (952) | 3.9% |
| Cash flow from financing | (706) | (1, 396) | (97.7%) |
| Net change in cash | 152 | (769) | n.m. |
| €m | 9M 2015 | FY 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade receivables | 3,362 | 2,346 | 2,326 | (0.9%) |
| Inventories | 140 | 134 | 137 | 2.2% |
| Other receivables and assets | 3,186 | 3,200 | 3,589 | 12.2% |
| Current tax receivables | 705 | 72 | 180 | n.m. |
| Trade payables | (1,318) | (1,453) | (1,332) | (8.3%) |
| Other liabilities | (2,722) | (2,945) | (3,070) | 4.2% |
| Current tax liabilities | (354) | (53) | (354) | n.m. |
| Working Capital | 2,999 | 1,301 | 1,476 | 13.5% |
| Deferred tax asset | 608 | 623 | 650 | 4.3% |
| Deferred tax liabilities | (1,108) | (1,177) | (927) | (21.2%) |
| Working Capital and deferred taxes | 2,499 | 747 | 1,199 | 60.5% |
CHANGE IN GROUP WORKING CAPITAL 9M 2016
| €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trade receivables | 399 | 20 | (95.0%) |
| Inventories | (1) | (3) | n.m. |
| Other receivables and assets | 299 | (389) | n.m. |
| Current tax receivables | (46) | (108) | n.m. |
| Trade payables | (104) | (121) | 16.3% |
| Other liabilities | 64 | 125 | 95.3% |
| Current tax liabilities | 330 | 301 | (8.8%) |
| Deferred tax assets | 94 | (27) | n.m. |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 61 | (250) | n.m. |
| Total | 1,096 | (452) | n.m. |
| Financial Income on discounted receivables | 13 | 5 | (61.5%) |
| Net w rite-dow ns and loss on receivables |
(5) | (23) | n.m. |
| Deferred tax on fair value changes and TFR actuarial income | (160) | 355 | n.m. |
| Cancellation of shareholder receivables CE 16/07/08 (Legge di stabilità 2015) |
(535) | 0 | n.m. |
| Adjustments (non monetary items and shareholders' transactions) |
(687) | 337 | n.m. |
€m
| 9,929 | Totale Equity and Liabilities | 9,929 |
|---|---|---|
| 3,753 | Total Current liabilities | 4,235 |
| 1,061 | ||
| 188 | Financial liabilities | 1,035 |
| 322 | Other liabilities | 1,435 |
| 83 | Current tax liabilities | 53 |
| 1,966 | Trade payables | 1,224 |
| 133 | Provisions for risks and charges | 488 |
| 6,176 | Total Non-current liabilities | 3,047 |
| 152 | ||
| 387 | Other liabilities | 72 |
| 4 | Deffered tax liabilities | 30 |
| 1,259 | Financial liabilities | 1,253 |
| 1,877 | Employee termination benefits and pension plans | 1,443 |
| 397 | Provisions for risks and charges | 249 |
| 57 | ||
| 2,043 | Totale Equity | 2,647 |
Assets Equity adn Liabilities
| Totale Equity | 2,647 |
|---|---|
| Provisions for risks and charges | 249 |
| Employee termination benefits and pension plans | 1,443 |
| Financial liabilities | 1,253 |
| Deffered tax liabilities | 30 |
| Other liabilities | 72 |
| l Total Non-current liabilities | 3,047 |
|---|---|
| Provisions for risks and charges | 488 |
| Trade payables | 1.224 |
| Current tax liabilities | 53 |
| Other liabilities | 1,435 |
| Financial liabilities | 1.035 |
| Total Current liabilities | 4.235 |
|---|---|
| Totale Equity and Liabilities | 9.929 |
- It includes investments accounted for at cost in financial and insurance sectors
MAIL & PARCELS AND OTHER SERVICES NET DEBT BREAKDOWN 9M 2016
| €m | FY 20152 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Cash Equivalents | 1,331 | 1,070 | (19.6%) |
| Current Financial Assets | 169 | 65 | (61.5%) |
| Short term debt | (515) | 0 | n.m. |
| Current part of long term debt | (16) | (8) | (50.0%) |
| Other current financial liabilities | (20) | (23) | 15.0% |
| Current Financial Position | (551) | (31) | 94.4% |
| Current Net Financial Position | 949 | 1,104 | 16.3% |
| Long term debt | (400) | (400) | - |
| Bonds | (797) | (798) | 0.1% |
| Other non current financial liabilities | (57) | (56) | (1.8%) |
| Non Current Financial Position | (1,254) | (1,254) | - |
| Net Financial Position | (305) | (150) | 50.8% |
| Non current financial assets | 553 | 658 | 19.0% |
| Net Financial Position - Mail & Parcel and Other Sercvices |
248 | 508 | n.m. |
| Intersegment financial receivables | 674 | 724 | 7.4% |
| Intersegment financial payables | (615) | (958) | 55.8% |
| Net Financial Position (net of intersegments)1 | 307 | 274 | (10.7%) |
-
Including a Net Financial Position of Other Services (€ 54m for the first 9 months of 2016 and € 38m in 2015)
-
Poste Tributi previously included in Mail & Parcel sector has been reclassified to Financial services
| €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 4,337 | 4,520 | 4.2% |
| o/w Market revenue |
3,949 | 4,107 | 4.0% |
| o/w Intercompany revenue |
388 | 413 | 6.5% |
| Personnel costs | (92) | (92) | n.m. |
| Other operating expenses | (3,574) | (3,724) | 4.2% |
| EBITDA | 671 | 705 | 5.0% |
| EBITDA margin | 15.5% | 15.6% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1) | (1) | n.m. |
| EBIT | 670 | 704 | 5.1% |
| EBIT margin | 15.4% | 15.6% |
| €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 16,962 | 18,725 | 10.4% |
| o/w Market revenue |
16,962 | 18,725 | 10.4% |
| o/w Intercompany revenue |
0 | 0 | n.m. |
| Personnel costs | (23) | (29) | 27.5% |
| Other operating expenses | (16,564) | (18,250) | 10.2% |
| EBITDA | 376 | 446 | 18.7% |
| EBITDA margin | 2.2% | 2.4% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (7) | (10) | n.m. |
| EBIT | 368 | 436 | 18.5% |
| EBIT margin | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 6,193 | 6,257 | 1.0% |
| o/w Market revenue |
2,829 | 2,728 | (3.6%) |
| o/w Intercompany revenue |
3,364 | 3,529 | 4.9% |
| Personnel costs | (4,239) | (4,200) | (0.9%) |
| Other operating expenses | (1,702) | (1,618) | (4.9%) |
| EBITDA | 251 | 439 | 74.9% |
| EBITDA margin | 4.1% | 7.0% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (389) | (404) | 3.9% |
| EBIT | (137) | 35 | n.m. |
| EBIT margin | -2.2% | 0.6% |
OTHER SERVICES POSTE MOBILE KEY FINANCIALS
| P&L - €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 249 | 207 | (17.0%) |
| o/w Market revenue |
181 | 169 | (6.5%) |
| o/w Intercompany revenue |
69 | 38 | (44.7%) |
| Personnel costs | (17) | (14) | (17.7%) |
| Other operating expenses | (176) | (149) | (15.5%) |
| EBITDA | 57 | 44 | (21.5%) |
| EBITDA margin | 22.7% | 21.4% | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (28) | (24) | (15.1%) |
| EBIT | 29 | 21 | (27.8%) |
| EBIT margin | 11.5% | 10.0% | |
| Non-operating income/(expenses) | (1) | (1) | 17.0% |
| Profit before taxes | 28 | 20 | (29.0%) |
| Taxes | (10) | (7) | (30.1%) |
| Profit after taxes | 18 | 13 | (28.3%) |
| Cash flow statement - €m | 9M 2015 | 9M 2016 | Var.% |
|---|---|---|---|
| FFO | 44.6 | 34.9 | (21.7%) |
| Cash flow from investments |
(12.0) | 21.2 | 276.9% |
| Net change in cash | (5.5) | (6.7) | (21.6%) |
| Other key data | |||
| Average number of users (sim cards -#k) | 3,432 | 3,632 | 5.8% |
| 1 ARPU (€) |
5.3 | 4.8 | (9.1%) |
- calculated on total sim cards (active and non active sim cards)
FINANCIAL SERVICES COST STRUCTURE AND PROFITABILITY AT DIVISIONAL LEVEL
- Includes intersegment revenues
FOCUS ON INSURANCE AND ASSET MANAGEMENT REVENUES BREAKDOWN
INSURANCE AND ASSET MANAGEMENT COST STRUCTURE AND PROFITABILITY AT DIVISIONAL LEVEL
- Includes intersegment revenues
(€m)
| Mail & Parcels Including Network |
Financial Services | Insurance and Asset Management |
Poste Italiane Group2 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Revenues | 2,728 | 4,107 | 18,725 | 25,729 | |
| Intersegment Revenues | 3,529 | 413 | 0 | 0 | |
| Totale Revenues | 6,257 | 4,520 | 18,725 | 25,729 | |
| Personnel Costs | (4,200) | (91) | (29) | (4,333) | |
| Other operating costs1 | (1,954) | (221) | (417) | (2,751) | |
| Net change in Technical Provisions | 0 | 0 | (17,449) | (17,449) | |
| Intersegment Costs | (68) | (3,503) | (395) | 0 | |
| Operating Costs | (6,222) | (3,816) | (18,289) | (24,533) | |
| Operating Profit (Loss) | 35 | 704 | 436 | 1,196 |
-
Including external costs, and D&A
-
Including Other Services (Poste Mobile)
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that reflect the Company's management's current views with respect to future events and financial and operational performance of the Company and its subsidiaries. These forward-looking statements are based on Poste Italiane S.p.A.'s current expectations and projections about future events. Because these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, actual future results or performance may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these statements due to any number of different factors, many of which are beyond the ability of Poste Italiane S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely, including changes in the regulatory environment, future market developments, fluctuations in the price and availability of fuel and other risks. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements contained herein, which are made only as of the date of this presentation. Poste Italiane S.p.A. does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company. This presentation does not contain an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities issued by Poste Italiane S.p.A. or any of its subsidiaries. Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Poste Italiane S.p.A., Luciano Loiodice, declares that the accounting information contained herein corresponds to document results, books and accounting records.