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NRC Group Investor Presentation 2022

Feb 16, 2022

3693_rns_2022-02-16_e2f7083d-9d64-41db-b360-3f26ee545de1.pdf

Investor Presentation

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4th quarter 2021 result presentation

CEO Henning Olsen 16 February 2022

Disclaimer

  • This draft presentation (hereinafter referred to as the "Presentation") has been prepared exclusively for information purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any financial instruments.
  • This Presentation includes and is based on, among other things, forward-looking information and statements. Such forward-looking information and statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections. Such forward-looking information and statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We cannot give any assurance as to the correctness of such information and statements.
  • Several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the companies mentioned herein to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this Presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the company's business, segment, development, growth management, financing, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumption prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this document. We do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this Presentation.
  • There may have been changes in matters which affect the companies herein subsequent to the date of this Presentation. Neitherthe issue nor delivery of this Presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the company/companies have not since changed, and we do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation.
  • This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect of this Presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo City Court AS exclusive venue.

Highlights Q4

Revenue NOK 1.6 billion (NOK 1.6 billion Q4 2020)

EBITA* NOK 50 million

(NOK -10 million Q4 2020)

EBITA* margin 3.1% (-0.7% Q4 2020)

Order intake NOK 1.9 billion (NOK 1.4 billion Q4 2020)

Operating cash flow NOK 149 million

(NOK 110 million Q4 2020)

Summary 2021 and outlook

Key figures 2021

  • Moderate decrease in revenue
  • Strong increase in EBITA* margin
  • Lower net interest bearing debt
  • Order book increased 20%

Outlook 2022

  • Continued positive operational and financial development
  • Moderate to strong revenue growth
  • Moderate increase in EBITA* margin compared to 2021

2019 2020 2021

Order book (NOK million)

* Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses)

Health & safety

Q4 2020: 0

Covid-19

• Keep employees safe and minimize impact on operations

Q4 2020: 4.8%

  • New variant emerged, infection rate expected to be high
  • Expect impact on sickness absence

*LTI: Injuries resulting in absence at least one full day per million man-hours (incl. subcontractors). Previously reported as LTI-1. **TRI: Frequency of injuries with and without absence for personnel (employees, rented workers and subcontractors) per million hours worked. Previously reported as LTI-2. Figures per 31 December 2021 compared with 31 December2020.

KEY SUSTAINABILITY COMMITMENTS

Building sustainable infrastructure

The EU Taxonomy results for 2021

  • Revenue (economic activities)
  • 87% is eligible
  • 62% (72%*) is aligned
  • OpEx (operational expenditures)
  • 87% is eligible
  • 63% (72%*) is aligned
  • CapEx (additions to owned/ ROU assets)
  • 77% is eligible
  • 64% (69%*) is aligned

Profit & loss

  • Revenues up +1% from Q420
  • Adjusted for currency effects ~ +7%
  • EBITA* improvement of NOK 60 million from Q420
  • EBITA* margin of 3.1% vs -0.7% last year
  • EBT improvement of NOK 30 million from Q420
  • Full year amortisations include write-downs of NOK 16 million. Expected level for 2022 is NOK 40 million
(Amounts
in NOK million)
Q4 2021 Q4 2020 FY 2021 FY 2020
Revenue 1 601 1 578 5 957 6 449
Operating expenses 1 504 1 534 5 621 6 185
EBITDA* 97 44 336 264
Other income and expenses (M&A expenses) -22 9 -34 -1
EBITDA 75 53 302 263
Depreciation 47 54 196 214
EBITA* 50 -10 139 50
EBITA 29 -1 105 49
Amortisation 19 14 64 59
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 10 -16 42 -10
Net financial items -16 -20 -66 -84
Profit/loss before tax (EBT) -6 -36 -24 -94

Balance sheet

  • Cash: NOK 626 million
  • Interest-bearing debt reduced by NOK 31 million in Q4 to NOK 1,518 million
  • Net interest-bearing debt decreased by NOK 93 million in Q4 to NOK 891 million
  • NOK 399 million excluding leasing
  • Equity ratio: 47%
(Amounts
in NOK million)
31.12.2021 31.12.2020
ASSETS
Intangible assets 2 838 3 010
Right-of-use assets 514 588
Total other non-current assets 193 255
Cash and cash equivalents 626 610
Other current
assets
1 387 1 404
Total assets 5 587 5 867
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Total equity 2 622 2 731
Long-term financial lease liabilities 224 290
Long-term operating lease liabilities 95 106
Other non-current interest-bearing liabilities 880 1 042
Other non-current liabilities 26 52
Short-term financial lease liabilities 118 120
Short-term operating lease liabilities 55 57
Other interest-bearing current liabilities 146 153
Other current
liabilities
1 422 1 316
Total equity
and liabilities
5 587 5 867

Continued solid cash flow in Q4

Cash flow from continuing operations per quarter
(NOK million)
(Amounts
in NOK million)
Q4 2021 Q4 2020 FY 2021 FY 2020
238 Profit/loss before tax -6 -36 -24 -94
149 Net cash flow from operating activities -
continuing
Net cash flow from operating activities
149
149
110
100
358
358
312
316
129
110
Net cash flow from investing activities 5 -2 34 -150
63 Net cash flow from financing activities -91 -98 -377 304
43
31
17
Net change in cash and cash equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period
63
626
-1
610
14
626
470
610

Solid financial position as per 31 December

  • Cash position of NOK 626 million
  • Undrawn Revolver Credit Facility of NOK 200 million
  • Net interest-bearing debt of NOK 891 million - NOK 399 million excluding leasing
  • Leasing liability due in 2022 of NOK 173 million

Solid order intake Q4 2021

  • Order book NOK 7,801 million
  • Order intake of NOK 1,872 million
  • 2021 order intake NOK 7,581 million (NOK 5,339 million in 2020)

Improved order book and book-to-bill

Order book execution by country NOK million

Book-to-bill ratio Period order intake/revenue

Operational review

NRC Group Finland – Strong profitability

(NOK million) Q4 2021 Q4 2020
Revenue 706 740
EBITA* 59 62
EBITA* margin 8.3% 8.4%
Order intake 968 484
  • Organic growth** +3%
  • Strong profitability driven by Rail construction
  • Change in revenue mix in 2022
  • Machine sales contributing positively to the EBITA

NRC Group Finland – Decline in tender pipeline, but record high investment budget in Rail Construction

NRC Group Norway – Improved profitability and strong growth

(NOK million) Q4 2021 Q4 2020
Revenue 508 442
EBITA* 21 -43
EBITA* margin 4.2% -9.7%
Order intake 495 534
  • Improved profitability driven by Environment improvement measures yielding results
  • Solid order book going into 2022

NRC Group Norway - Solid tender pipeline

NOK 8.9 billion tender pipeline1 NOK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months

  • Strong pipeline Increase of NOK 1.4 bn in tender pipeline vs Q321 and an increase of NOK 2.7 bn vs last year
  • Mainly increase in rail construction

Budget 20222 • NOK 26.7 bn for 2022, at same level as 2021 and National Transport Plan for 2022

1) NRC Group estimates 2) National budget 2022, prop 1S

NRC Group Sweden – weak results – better outlook for 2022

(NOK million) Q4 2021 Q4 2020
Revenue 398 396
EBITA* -21 -22
EBITA* margin -5.2% -5.5%
Order intake 409 375

• Organic growth** +7%

  • EBITA affected by low revenues, and legacy projects coming to an end in Q4
  • Improved order intake and solid order book entering 2022
  • Still fierce competition

NRC Group Sweden – Continued high tender activity expected

Tender pipeline

Budget 20222

NOK 8.6 billion tender pipeline1 NOK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months

  • At same level as Q321 pipeline
  • Decrease of NOK -1.4 Bn compared last year at same time, mainly explained reduced level in maintenance due to awarded tenders in 2021
  • Delayed decisions on maintenance tenders

• SEK 30.7 bn for 2022, +2% higher than estimated in the NTP

Summary Q4

  • Organic revenue growth 7%
  • Improved profitability
  • Strong order intake
  • Solid cash flow

Financials

Operations • Continued focus on core processes in tendering and project execution • Focus on profitable growth

Outlook 2022 • Continued positive operational and financial development

  • Moderate to strong revenue growth
  • Moderate increase in EBITA* margin compared to 2021.

Appendix

Segments – Key figures quarterly development

Reported** Reported** ReportedReported*** Reported Reported Reported Reported Reported Reported Reported Reported
Norway operations (NOK million) FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021
Total revenue 771 1 598 2 281 1 866 1 859 470 545 683 583 407 476 541 442 423 433 495 508
EBITDA* 43 136 186 82 120 14 65 75 32 7 50 41 -17 6 29 42 43
EBITA* 21 96 97 -14 27 -5 43 52 8 -14 27 16 -43 -17 2 20 21
EBIT* 5 75 70 -23 16 -13 35 45 2 -18 23 16 -44 -18 -7 20 21
Sweden operations (NOK million) FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021
Total revenue 1 613 1 591 1 539 1 777 1 468 299 411 460 370 311 487 583 396 259 400 411 398
EBITDA* 221 27 -77 -21 -17 -7 -13 14 -71 -15 0 4 -10 -22 0 13 -9
EBITA* 198 -8 -125 -69 -67 -20 -24 2 -83 -27 -13 -7 -22 -35 -12 0 -21
EBIT* 179 -16 -125 -71 -71 -20 -24 2 -83 -28 -14 -8 -23 -36 -13 -1 -21
Finland operations (NOK million) FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021
Total revenue 2 388 2 811 2 640 361 601 712 713 540 700 831 740 446 695 793 706
EBITDA* 191 231 265 4 64 70 53 16 37 100 78 15 78 100 72
EBITA* 116 161 213 -13 45 55 29 -3 19 84 62 2 65 87 59
EBIT* 75 116 164 -24 35 45 19 -14 7 72 50 -9 55 76 41
Total group segment accounts FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020 FY 2021 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021
Total revenue 2 373 3 176 6 193 6 449 5 957 1 130 1 551 1 850 1 663 1 254 1 661 1 956 1 578 1 129 1 529 1 698 1 601
EBITDA* 236 132 267 264 336 -3 103 153 13 -1 81 140 44 -10 99 150 97
EBITA* 190 57 55 50 139 -54 51 105 -47 -54 27 88 -10 -59 47 102 50
EBIT* 156 29 -15 -8 75 -72 34 87 -63 -69 11 75 -25 -71 26 90 31

*Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses).

**Design operations restated as discontinued operations.

***Restated due to deviation from Q4 to full-year 2019 report related to the final settlement of a dispute from 2015 decided by an arbitration court.

Finland – Proposed higher level of investment in 2022

Rail investments and maintenance spending1 EUR million, 2019-24

Sweden – Budget 2022 in line with expectations

Rail investments and maintenance spending1 SEK billion, 2019-24

  • Budget SEK 30.7 Bn for 2021, +2% higher than estimated in the NTP
  • Rail investments SEK 16.7 Bn mainly targeted to existing larger projects, slightly higher than NTP
  • Maintenance 2022 In line with NTP. Expected additional increases in 2023/24
  • Renewal SEK 4.7 Bn in 2022 vs SEK 4.3 bn in P 2021
  • Maintenance backlog SEK ~18 Bn in 2020 and expected to be stable going forward

Norway - Budget 2022 for operation and investments is in line with 2021 and NTP

Rail investments and maintenance spending1 NOK billion, 2019-24

Investment and investment planning

  • Budget NOK 26.7 Bn for 2022, at same level as 2021 and NTP for 2022
  • Increase of NOK +3.0 Bn from 2021 mainly due increased investment and technical changes is the budget (ERMTS is moved to investments)
  • Investments mainly targeted to already awarded Inter City investment (IC) projects
  • NOK 7.6 Bn down NOK 1.6 Bn mainly due to technical changes in the budget (ERMTS moved to investments)
    • Renewal and upgrade NOK 3.2 Bn in 2021 (NOK 2.3 Bn in 2021)
  • Maintenance backlog NOK 23 Bn in 2021 and expected to increase to NOK 24.4 Bn during 2022

1) Norway: National budget 2022, National Railway Directorate NTP filings. Maintenance figures include Bane NOR operations and renewal, partly addressable. Excluding tram and metro. S2021: Revised budget 2021. NTP: National Transportation Plan 2022-2033