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NRC Group — Investor Presentation 2022
Aug 18, 2022
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Investor Presentation
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Capital Markets Update
AUGUST 2022

DISCLAIMER
This draft presentation (hereinafter referred to as the "Presentation") has been prepared exclusively for information purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any financial instruments.
This Presentation includes and is based on, among other things, forward-looking information and statements. Such forward-looking information and statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections. Such forward-looking information and statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We cannot give any assurance as to the correctness of such information and statements.
Several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the companies mentioned herein to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this Presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the company's business, segment, development, growth management, financing, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumption prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this document. We do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this Presentation.
There may have been changes in matters which affect the companies herein subsequent to the date of this Presentation. Neither the issue nor delivery of this Presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the company/companies have not since changed, and we do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation.
This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect of this Presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo City Court AS exclusive venue.
AGENDA Capital Markets Update 2022
| 10:00 am | Second quarter and first half 2022 results Henning Olsen and Ole Anton Gulsvik |
11:00 am | Performance and market opportunities Arild Moe, Robert Röder and Harri Lukkarinen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:15 am | Succeeding as a leader in sustainable infrastructure Henning Olsen |
11:30 am | Strengthening value creation Ole Anton Gulsvik and Henning Olsen |
| 10:30 am | Leveraging improved operational processes Henning Olsen |
11:50 am | Q&A |

PART 1
Second quarter and first half 2022 results

KEY FIGURES Improved results and strong order intake
REVENUE
NOK 1.9 billion
Q2 2021: NOK 1.5 billion
EBITA*
NOK 63 million
Q2 2021: NOK 47 million
EBITA* margin
Q2 2021: 3.0% 3.3%
ORDER INTAKE Q2 2021: NOK 2.2 billion
OPERATING CASH FLOW NOK 2.7 billion NOK -90 billion
Q2 2021: NOK -45 billion
ORDER BACKLOG Q2 2021: NOK 6.7 billion NOK 8.3 billion

* Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses)
Quarterly revenue and EBITA* per country
| Region | Organic growth | Revenue (NOK million) | EBITA* (NOK million) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | +58% | 686 700 433 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 |
70 60 50 18 40 30 2 20 10 0 |
• Revenue growth of 58% with major improvement in all division • Improved profitability driven by operational improvement in the Environment division • LTM Book to Bill at 1.1 |
| SWE | +34% | 516 700 400 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 |
200 150 100 2 50 0 -50 -12 -100 |
• Revenue growth of 34% in local currency due to increased volumes in Rail and Civil construction • Improved profitability due to better project margins • LTM Book to Bill at 1.5 in local currency |
| FIN | +3% | 695 712 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 |
-150 65 53 |
• Increased volumes in rail construction • Decrease in profitability due to the lower activity in light rail • LTM Book to Bill of 1.3 in local currency |
| Q2 2022 | Q2 2022 Q2 2021 |
Q2 2022 Q2 2021 |
HEALTH AND SAFETY Fewer injuries resulting in absence
LTI1 4.3
SICKNESS ABSENCE 4.3% Q2 2021: 3.9% Q2 2021: 0
TRI2 16.6 Q2 2021: 7.8 Q2 2021: 20.5
SERIOUS INJURIES
1


1) LTI: Injuries resulting in absence at least one full day per million man-hours (incl. subcontractors). Previously reported as LTI-1. 2) TRI: Frequency of injuries with and without absence for personnel (employees, rented workers and subcontractors) per million hours worked. Previously reported as LTI-2. Figures per YTD 30 June 2022 compared with YTD 30 June 2021.
INFLATION AND SYPPLY CHAIN RISKS Limited impacts of the global economy and the war in Ukraine

Limited supplies from Ukraine

Short term well protected against rise in material and fuel prices
3
Continue to manage risks in projects

PROFIT & LOSS Improved results

EBITA* Profit & loss
| (NOK million) | Q2 2022 | Q2 2021 | FY 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1 912 | 1 529 | 5 957 |
| Operating expenses | 1 804 | 1 430 | 5 621 |
| Other income and expenses (M&A expenses) | 0 | -5 | -34 |
| EBITDA | 109 | 93 | 302 |
| Depreciation | -45 | -52 | 196 |
| EBITA* | 63 | 47 | 139 |
| EBITA | 63 | 41 | 105 |
| Amortisation | -9 | -21 | 64 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 54 | 20 | 42 |
| Net financial items | -14 | -15 | -66 |
| Profit/loss before tax (EBT) | 40 | -5 | -24 |
Notes
• Revenues +25 % from Q2 21
• EBITA* improvement of NOK 16 million compared to same period last year
• EBITA* margin of 3.3% vs 3.0%
BACKLOG Strong order intake and order backlog

EU TAXONOMY Results 1st half 2022
| Eligible | Aligned | |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover (revenue) | 88% 2021: 87% |
69% 2021: 62% |
| Operational expenses (OpEx) | 88% 2021: 87% |
69% 2021: 63% |
| Investments (CapEx) | 76% 2021: 77% |
68% 2021: 64% |
PART 2
Succeeding as a leader in sustainable infrastructure

Positioned for profitable growth

Ready to capitalise on leading Nordic position
The leading rail infrastructure company in the Nordics with strong ESG anchoring
Record high order backlog in a growing market resilient to macro downturns
Strengthened tendering and project execution yield improved margins

Leading position in growing market
Markets with strict regulations and high barriers of entry
Nordic rail investments to continue at historically high levels driven by urbanization and sustainability megatrends
Long-term growth supported by National Transport Plans

| #1 in the Nordics | Yearly investments and maintenance | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | #2 | NOK 21 billion | |
| Sweden | #3 | NOK 18 billion | |
| Finland | #1 | NOK 10 billion |
Competitive advantage through a complete value chain

Unique market position in the Nordics
Competitors with more than NOK 1 billion revenue


Turning sustainability into contract wins

NOK 400 million mass removal and disposal contract for the City of Oslo's new drinking water supply using biogas trucks to significantly reduce the CO2 emissions

NOK 760 million contract for the electrification of Trønder- and Meråkerbanen with 48% reduction of the CO2 emissions by optimising concrete volumes and use of low-carbon concrete
Strategic targets
Reduction target for GHG emissions within 2025
30%
Recycling rate in all countries
70%
Net zero emission in the year
2050
Robust foundation for growth and continued improved profitability
| Short-term guiding 2022 |
Medium-term target 2024-2025 |
Long-term ambitions | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Moderate to strong growth | Above 5% growth p.a. over the cycle + bolt-on M&A | |||
| EBITA* margin | Moderate increase compared to 2021 |
4-5 % EBITA*margin |
*margin 5-7% EBITA |
||
| Resume dividend distribution | |||||
| emission reduction 2025 vs. 2022** 30% CO 2 |

PART 3
Leveraging improved operational processes


Operational improvements focused on project business
| Norway | Sweden | Finland | Notes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Project business ~NOK 4.8 billion LTM |
Rail construction | • Refurbishment, upgrades and new build • Medium to big sized projects 30 MNOK – 1,000 MNOK |
|||
| Civil construction | • Contracts from 6 - 36 months |
||||
| Environment | • Complementary service provider to own projects • Mainly smaller and short-term projects + selective large project |
||||
| Long-term contract business ~NOK 1.5 billion LTM |
Rail maintenance | • Operational maintenance of rail infrastructure • High value contracts 200 MNOK – 1,000 MNOK • Good visibility with contracts from 4 - 7 years |
|||
| Rail materials | • Procurement, logistics and warehousing (3PL) of rail materials (FTIA) • Stable business approximately NOK 500 million annually |
||||
| Develop capabilities to support core rail projects | Market not open for private contractors | • Long term contract 4 + 2 + 2 years |
Positioned to gain market share in long-term business portfolio
| Existing contracts | LTM revenue | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rail maintenance | Finland | • 4 out of 20 track maintenance areas • 3 out of 4 electrical areas |
~NOK 600 million |
| Sweden | • 4 out of 38 areas |
~NOK 500 million | |
| Rail material |
Finland | • Single supplier |
~NOK 400 million |
| Notes | |
|---|---|
| • | Long-term contracts with revenue and margin visibility |
| • | Platform for growth with recent contract wins |
| • | First maintenance contracts expire in 2024 |
| • | Targeting improved profitability through operational efficiency and scale |
• Synergies with rail construction by sharing machinery and expertise

Strengthened project business through transformation
| CMU 2020 focus | Actions | Results | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leadership Attract and retain right leadership |
• Strengthening management to support improvement processes and integration activities |
|||
| Tender approach Win the right projects at the right price |
• Selecting projects based on competitive edge and commercial potential • Professionalising calculation and risk assessment process |
• Improved project margins • A more balanced risk profile in the project portfolio |
||
| Project execution Do the projects right |
• Strengthening execution model and portfolio governance • Training and developing employees |
• Project profitability improves through the lifecycle of the project • Contract wins on sustainability proposition |
||
| Sustainability integration Be the most attractive employer of tomorrow's infrastructure |
• Attracting and retaining the right leadership, project managers and skilled workforce • Making ESG a competitive advantage |
Improved core processes yield results
Loss making projects won before 2020 finished

Improved project margins in rail and civil construction portfolios
Average project profitability 2%-points above 2019

2
Significant reduction of loss-making projects
Significant reduction of projects with low profitability

Still maintaining the upside from good projects
Project margins up 2%-points vs. projects won before 2020
Rail and Civil construction in Finland, Sweden and Norway, contract value > NOK 30 million

Improved project control yields net positive project adjustments
Net project adjustments Group Notes
NOK million, last 12 months, entire project portfolio excl maintenance and environment • Improved processes across all project

- phases from tendering to completion
- Early identification and mitigation of risks and opportunities to improve execution and margins
- Project portfolio subject to assessment and adjustment according to progress and de-risking
- Improved predictability in financial results
Ready to leverage improved operational processes

*Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses)
Strategic focus going forward

Margin improvement
Continue to improve core processes 1 2 3

Profitable growth
Increase revenue from large projects
Potential bolt-on M&A to optimise value chain

Increase competitiveness
Implement best practice across the Nordics
Sustainability as a competitive edge


Win the right projects at the right price
A fact-based analytical approach throughout the tender process by
- Selecting projects based on competitive edge and commercial potential
- Professionalising the calculation process
- Group-wide process for commercial risk assessments in the tender phase
- Analytical pricing approach based on systematic use of market intelligence
Operational excellence – do the projects right
Strengthen execution model and portfolio governance by
- Robust project organisation matching capabilities with project challenges
- Strengthen resource planning and sub-contractor strategy
- Contract management
- Implementing new risk management tools
- Monthly processes for governance of production cost vs. actual completion rate

Electrification of Trønder- and Meråkerbanen the first joint win between Norway and Sweden


estimated reduction of CO2 emissions by optimising concrete volumes and by utilising low-carbon concrete


Potential bolt-on M&A to optimise value chain 2
Financial capacity to execute M&A

Considering smaller to medium-sized candidates

Focus on profitability and strengthening value chain


Identify and implement best practice through Nordic collaboration
Sharing competence and capacity across countries
Winning and executing big projects with cross-national teams, utilising machinery
Targeting key processes for implementing best practice
Tendering, maintenance, bigger projects, digitalisation
Leverage and strengthen sustainability position and performance
Generate profitable growth, retain and attract talents, accelerate the green shift
PART 4
Regional review

Large markets driven by strong megatrends

Market drivers and characteristics
Population growth and urbanisation drives demand for sustainable infrastructure
International focus on low-carbon transport solutions to reach sustainability targets
National transportation plans provide good visibility on longterm investments
Combined railway maintenance backlog of NOK ~80 billion




Regional differences call for tailored approach
| FY 2019 EBITA* % |
LTM Q2'22 EBITA* % |
Share of LTM revenue |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRC | Capitalising on leading Nordic position |
0.9% | 2.8% | |
| NO | Positioned for profitable growth |
4.3% | 2.9% | 34% |
| SWE | Continued focus on restoring profitability |
-8.1% | -2.5% | 25% |
| FIN | Market leadership with proven execution |
4.9% | 7.3% | 41% |

PART 4
Regional review Norway


CLOSE-UP ON NORWAY Positioned for profitable growth

Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 Q1 22 Q2 22
Rail construction Civil construction Environment
Leveraging strong market positions

RAIL CONSTRUCTION
Market size NOK 27 billion1 in 2022 Major projects requiring a full value chain approach #2 position rail technical work

CIVIL CONSTRUCTION
Rail projects with significant civil scope Niches such as harbours and city infrastructure Minor overall market share

ENVIRONMENT
Leading position in mass transportation, Oslo Top 3 position in demolition and recycling Support NRC Group scope in rail projects Wastewater/sewage projects

1) NRC Group estimates, Norways's national budget 2022 and the National Transportation Plan
NITTEDAL STATION Applying full in-house value chain
Project details
| Start: | December 2020 |
|---|---|
| Completion: | August 2022 |
| Place: | Nittedal |
| Customer: | Bane NOR |
| Value: | NOK 220 million |

Timeline

Profitable growth through bigger projects

Projects won before 01.01.20
Projects won after 01.01.20
- Demolition and recycling
- Winning bigger projects to achieve profitable growth and build a stronger organisation
- Training and development of employees and building strong project teams
EBITA* % Environment
Key priorities to drive profitable growth


Continuous focus on tender process, project execution, resource utilisation and professionalisation of organisation Profitable growth through large rail and civil construction projects
Leverage and further develop leading local market positions in environment division to drive profitable growth


Solid tender pipeline with high number of large projects

pipeline compared to Q1 22 mainly related to civil and environment, and a decrease of NOK 0.9 billion vs last year, related to rail constructions
Budget for 20222NOK 26.7 billion, at same level as 2021 and in National Transport Plan for 2022
Long-term railway spending expected to grow
Long-term public railway spending1Notes

- Long-term stable to growing market based on the 2022-2033 National Transport Plan (NTP)
- Annual investments in new infrastructure increased 5% in the new NTP
- Increased focus on maintenance and renewal
- Major metro and light-rail projects
PART 5
Regional review Sweden


CLOSE-UP ON SWEDEN Continued focus on restoring profitability

Competitive markets with attractive size and growth potential

RAIL CONSTRUCTION
Market size NOK 14 billion1in 2022 #3 position Growing market, highly competitive Consolidation in the sub-contractor segment

MAINTENANCE
Market size NOK 14 billion1in 2022 #3 position Market share 4 of 38 maintenance contracts Stable, competitive market environment

CIVIL CONSTRUCTION
Minor overall market share Executing civil works in Rail projects Niche player with selective tender approach focused on private clients in the Karlstad area

GODSBANEGÅRDEN NORRKÖPING Utilising synergies between rail and civil construction
Project details
| Start: | August 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Completion: | May 2026 | |
| Place: | Norrköping | |
| Customer: | The Swedish Transport Administration | |
| Value: | SEK 157 million |

Timeline

Improved profitability in projects won after 2020

Accomplished
- Strengthened tender process
- Stable operations and profitability in Maintenance
- Finished production on loss-making legacy projects in rail and civil
- Projects won after 2020 shows better profitability in Rail Construction
EBITA* %
Maintenance
Projects won before 01.01.20
Projects won after 01.01.20
Key priorities to restore profitability and grow

Improve project execution by development and training of employees


Optimise production and win new contracts to leverage scale effects in maintenance
Enter the NOK 4.5 billion Stockholm metro market
High tender activity expected – focused on profit before growth

MNOK >300 MNOK 100-300 MNOK 30-100
Increase of NOK 0.6 billion in tender pipeline vs Q2 21 and increase of NOK 1.7 billion compared to same period last year explained by both rail construction and maintenance
Budget for 20222 SEK 30.7 billion, +2% higher than estimated in the National Transport Plan
Positioning to benefit from long-term trends
Long-term railway spending1 Notes

- Growth in investments driven by new railway lines , including high-speed lines, and ERTMS
- Increased maintenance spend with aim to reduce maintenance deficit
PART 6
Regional review Finland


CLOSE-UP ON FINLAND Market leadership with proven execution

Leading market position with growth opportunities

RAIL CONSTRUCTION
Market size EUR 450 million1 in 2022 #1 position

MAINTENANCE
Market size EUR 350 million2 in 2022
#3 position
Market size EUR 290 million in 2022 #1 position
LIGHT-RAIL

1) NRC Group estimates, Finland's national budget 2022 and the National Transportation Plan 2022-2033 2) Value on maintenance area contracts
JOENSUU RAILWAY YARD Executing complex upgrade during ongoing train traffic
Project details
| Start: | May 2021 | |
|---|---|---|
| Completion: | December 2023 | |
| Place: | Joensuu | |
| Customer: | Finnish Transportation Infrastructure Agency |
|
| Value: | EUR 42 million |

Timeline

Strong profitability based on solid tendering and execution

Projects won before 01.01.20
Projects won after 01.01.20
Accomplished
- Strong profitability driven by light rail and rail construction
- Right-sized maintenance and machine operations based on lower market share
- Material contracts extended for five years
Maintenance and materials
EBITA* %
Key priorities to drive profitable growth

Add adjacent capabilities within civil construction disciplines to strengthen value chain in rail construction
Keep and develop competitive advantage in light rail to win new projects
Improve profitability and increase market share in maintenance


Increased tender pipeline for maintenance

MNOK >300 MNOK 100-300 MNOK 30-100
pipeline related to maintenance contracts
Decrease of NOK 1.0 billion from same period last year mainly related to reduced tender pipeline for rail construction
Continued high investment level expected for light rail projects in the
Four major light rail contracts coming up for award
Estimated light rail market size

Notes
- projects
- Executed under the alliance project model
- Upcoming tenders for additional 4 projects – total value of EUR 1.1 billion
-
Potential revenue impact from 2024
-
NRC Group projects: Tampere 1, 2 and 2B, Jokeri Light Rail, Crown bridges
- Other projects: Kalasatama
In design phase, not awarded: Vantaa Tramway, Tampere 3, Western Helsinki, Turku Tramway
Stable long-term growth in railway spending
Long-term public railway spending1Notes

- New rail developments focused on network upgrades
- Growth in maintenance to repair and replace aging and non-working structures
- Significant projects being developed outside the NTP
Basic maintenance and upgrades New development
PART 7
Strengthening value creation

Leverage on a solid foundation for profitable growth
Revenue and EBITA* margin
EBITA* % Revenue (NOK billion)

* Before other income and expenses
Improvement program is yielding results


Notes
- Improvement program gradually yielding results
- Solid financial recovery during the latter part of the transformation phase
- Higher profit driven by increased margin
- Revenue growth from 2022 on back of strong order intake
Order intake and backlog support further growth


Notes
- Order intake and order backlog at record levels
- Rail infrastructure market remains strong
- Limited impact from economic uncertainties and war in Ukraine
- Well protected from increased material prices and inflation
- Low order backlog risk with public customers representing > 90%*
Leaner asset base with improved utilisation

Improved working capital management
77 173 88 80 164 77 -35 -85 101 Q2 20 Q3 20 Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21 Q4 21 Q1 22 Q2 22 Net working capital (NWC) NOK million
NWC – Average of last four quarters

Notes
- Public contracts less flexible focus on internal culture and processes
- Limited counterparty risk due to high share of public customers
- Seasonality in working capital with high trade receivables in second quarter
- Improved working capital management and cash conversion cycle
Delivering steady improvement in cash flow

Cash generation LTM per Q2 22

Notes
- Solid operational cash flow from improved profitability and working capital management
- Targeted investments in tangible assets in line with strategy of lean asset base
- Prioritised an ample cash position and debt instalments during transformation phase
Ensuring a robust financial position

Notes • Solid cash position even at peak working capital season • Undrawn NOK 200 million credit facility • Aligning debt structure with updated strategy and financials
• Improve financial flexibility and reduce cost of debt
600
Flexibility to increase the free cash flow to equity

| Leverage ratio: NIBD / EBITDA* LTM ratio | Notes |
|---|---|
| ------------------------------------------ | ------- |
- Long term leverage ratio target NIBD/EBITDA < 2.5x maintained
- Reduced leverage ratio due to increased profitability and prioritized debt instalments
- Flexibility to increase the free cash flow to equity going forward
- Resume dividend payments
- Execute bolt-on M&A
Clear capital allocation priorities
Support existing activities and organic growth
Continue to improve profitability over time

Maintain lean, efficient and sustainable asset base
Manage working capital
Align debt structure with updated strategy

Competitive direct returns over time
Policy of distributing a dividend of minimum 30% of net profit
Accretive M&A

Robust foundation for growth and continued improved profitability
| Short-term guiding 2022 |
Medium-term target 2024-2025 |
Long-term ambitions | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Moderate to strong growth | Above 5% growth p.a. over the cycle + bolt-on M&A | |||
| EBITA* margin | Moderate increase compared to 2021 |
4-5 % EBITA*margin |
*margin 5-7% EBITA |
||
| Resume dividend distribution emission reduction 2025 vs. 2022** 30% CO 2 |
|||||

Strategic focus going forward

Margin improvement
Continue to improve core processes 1 2 3

Profitable growth
Increase revenue from large projects
Potential bolt-on M&A to optimise value chain

Increase competitiveness
Implement best practice across the Nordics
Sustainability as a competitive edge

Ready to capitalise on leading Nordic position
The leading rail infrastructure company in the Nordics with strong ESG anchoring
Record high order backlog in a growing market resilient to macro downturns
Strengthened tendering and project execution yield improved margins

Questions?
