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NRC Group Investor Presentation 2020

May 20, 2020

3693_rns_2020-05-20_d58d242e-ce46-4f8a-ae9e-b3f091cc7642.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q1 2020 Earnings Presentation

CEO – Henning Olsen and CFO – Dag Fladby

Disclaimer

  • This draft presentation (hereinafter referred to as the "Presentation") has been prepared exclusively for information purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any financial instruments.
  • This Presentation includes and is based on, among other things, forward-looking information and statements. Such forward-looking information and statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections. Such forward-looking information and statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We cannot give any assurance as to the correctness of such information and statements.
  • Several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the companies mentioned herein to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this Presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the company's business, segment, development, growth management, financing, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumption prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this document. We do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this Presentation.
  • There may have been changes in matters which affect the companies herein subsequent to the date of this Presentation. Neither the issue nor delivery of this Presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the company/companies have not since changed, and we do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation.
  • This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect of this Presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo City Court AS exclusive venue.

Highlights Q1 2020

Operations and business during Covid-19

Main priorities
Keep employees safe and minimize impact on operations

Compliant with public restrictions and recommendations

Monitor potential effects on the industry and NRC Group's business
Operations
Limited impact on project execution to date

Maintenance and upgrade activities considered critical infrastructure
services and will be prioritised in case of resources scarcity

Risk management during Covid-19

Risk factors
Escalated
outbreak or measures can impact productivity and project
execution

Efficient project planning and execution dependent on customers
announcing and awarding tenders as scheduled

Potential disruptions in the value chain
Mitigating
factors

Tender processes progressing as normal to date

Robust financial position

National public transport agencies represent ~95% of backlog

Q1 key figures – profit & loss

  • Revenue in Q1 2020 of NOK 1,254 million (+11%)
  • Organic growth +7%
  • Growth driven by Finland
  • EBITA* in Q1 2020 of NOK -54 million
  • Normal seasonal activity
  • Partly execution of zero margin projects following project adjustments in Q419
  • Small negative effects from weakening NOK vs SEK and EUR
  • Limited effects from Covid-19
  • Depreciations of NOK 53 million
  • Amortisation of NOK 15 million
  • Estimate for 2020 is NOK 55 million
  • Net financial items: -22 million
  • Fx: NOK -4 million
(Amounts in NOK million) Q1 2020 Q1 2019 FY 2019
Revenue 1 254 1 130 6 193
Operating expenses 1 255 1 132 5 927
EBITDA* -1 -3 267
Other income and expenses (M&A expenses) -7 -48 -91
EBITDA -8 -51 176
Depreciation 53 51 212
EBITA* -54 -54 55
EBITA -61 -102 -36
Amortisation 15 18 70
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) -77 -120 -105
Net financial items -22 -16 -73
Profit/loss before tax (EBT) -99 -136 -178

Q1 2020 key figures – balance sheet

  • Substantial weakening of NOK vs EUR and SEK during March affecting the balance sheet
  • Fx effect on equity: NOK 182 million
  • Goodwill and other intangible assets: NOK 3,068 million (increase due to fx: NOK 280 million)
  • Cash of NOK 821 million
  • Interest-bearing debt including leasing: NOK 1,919 million (increase due to fx: NOK 147 million)
  • Leasing liability of NOK 542 million including operational lease of NOK 196 million
  • Net debt incl. total leasing: NOK 1,098 million (increase due to fx: NOK 140 million)
  • Equity: 45%
(Amounts in NOK million)
ASSETS 31.03.2020 30.03.2019 31.12.2019
Intangible assets 3 068 2 969 2 799
Right-of-use assets 539 573 522
Total other non-current assets 335 319 301
Cash and cash equivalents 821 439 154
Other current assets 1 384 1 484 1 648
Total assets 6 147 5 783 5 423
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Total equity 2 777 1 935 2 033
Long-term financial lease liabilities 220 204 214
Long-term operating lease liabilities 130 204 125
Other non-current interest-bearing liabilities 1 210 995 1 161
Other non-current liabilities 65 68 34
Short-term financial lease liabilities 126 111 123
Short-term operating lease liabilities 66 55 63
Other interest-bearing current liabilities 168 758 101
Other current liabilities 1 386 1 453 1 569
Total equity and liabilities 6 147 5 783 5 423

Q1 2020 key figures – cash flow


Cash flow from operating activities of NOK 57 million
(Amounts in NOK million) Q1 2020 Q1 2019 FY 2019

Discontinued operation: NOK 14 million
Profit/loss before tax -99 -136 -178
Net cash from investments of NOK -8 million

Capex net : NOK -8 million
Net cash flow from operating activities -
continuing operations
Net cash flow from operating activities -
discontinued operations
Net cash flow from operating activities
43
14
57
-88
56
-32
-37
109
71
Net cash flow from investing activities -8 -1 253 -931
Net cash flow from financing activities of NOK 610 million

Net proceeds from private placement NOK 672 million
Net cash flow from financing activities 610 1 339 628

Payment of leasing NOK -47 million

Interest NOK -17 million
Net change in cash and cash equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period
659
821
54
439
-232
154

8

• Payment of final purchase price for Norsk Saneringsservice and Gunnar Knutsen is expected to take place in Q2 20

Robust financial position as at 31 March

• Cash position of NOK 821 million

  • NIBD of NOK 1,098 million
  • f/x: NOK ~ 140 million 31 March
  • Undrawn Revolver Credit Facility of NOK 200 million

Interest-bearing debt

NOK million

Bank and bond maturities NOK million

Short-term focus on restoring profitability through operational improvements

Key focus areas in 2020 and beyond

People: Attract and retain the right leadership, project managers and skilled workforce

Tender process: Strengthen project selection, risk assessment and pricing process

Execution: Strengthen execution model and portfolio governance

Improvement programs progressing according to plan

Sweden Rail
Norway
Finland
People
New Country Manager and project directors

Strengthen project management skills
through internal training and recruiting

New management team and proven resources in place

Strengthen project management skills through internal
trainings and closer integration with Civil

Strengthen project management skills
through internal training and recruiting

New management group in Maintenance
Tender process
Improved tender process implemented

Pricing discipline key to regain profitability

Improved tender selection, risk assessment
and pricing implemented

Recruited proven calculation resources on complex
Rail construction projects

Group-wide processes on tender process
and risk assessment to be implemented
Execution
Project-
and contract management, cost
control and risk management

Extracting operational synergies between
Rail construction and Maintenance

Joint machine operations with Norway

Project-
and contract management, cost control and risk
management implemented

Resource planning and sub-contractor strategy

Joint machine operations with Sweden

Cooperation with Civil on complex projects

Risk assessment to be implemented
on new projects

Reorganized machine operations and
optimize capacity

Capacity adjustments Maintenance

Execution of NOK 55 million overhead reduction target is going according to plan

NRC Finland - Strong quarter

  • Revenue: NOK 540 million (NOK 361 million)
  • 40% organic growth driven by an additional sale of inventory to FTIA of NOK 110 million and by light rail
  • EBITA1 : NOK -3 million (NOK -13 million)
  • Strong performance in light rail
  • Lower result in Maintenance due to higher costs related to closure of maintenance area 1
  • Capacity adjustments in Maintenance implemented
  • Order intake of NOK 512 million
  • Low hit rate on track construction projects
  • Book to Bill LTM: 1.4

NRC Finland - Tender pipeline down from Q4

EUR 0.13 billion tender pipeline2

EUR million value, # of tenders, next 9 months

• New orders announced in Q1

  • Two maintenance contracts valued at EUR 9.3 million in total
  • Tender pipeline down from EUR 0.2 billion in Q4 to EUR 0.13 billion mainly due to less tenders in Rail construction
  • Tender pipeline in Rail construction does not reflect the expected growth in the market for 2020

15

2) NRC Group estimates

NRC Sweden – Developing according to plan

  • Revenue: NOK 311 million (NOK 299 million)
  • Organic growth: -2%
  • EBITA1 : NOK -27 million (NOK -20 million)
  • Execution of zero margin projects following project adjustments in Q4 19 according to plan
  • Weakening of NOK vs SEK
  • Cost reduction program according to plan
  • Improvement program according to plan
  • Order intake of NOK 517 million
  • Book to Bill LTM: 0.9

NRC Sweden - Growth in tender pipeline

Rail investments and maintenance spending1

SEK 9.1 billion tender pipeline2

(SEK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months)

• Improved tendering activity

  • Rail construction and Civil works pipeline increased from SEK 4.1 billion in Q4 19 to SEK 4.7 billion
  • Maintenance increased from SEK 2 billion in Q4 19 to SEK 4.3 billion

• New orders in Q1

  • SEK 149 million catenary contract
  • SEK 100 million track renewal project
  • SEK 75 million ground, foundation and construction contract

NRC Norway - Lower activity

  • Revenue: NOK 407 million (NOK 470 million)
  • Organic growth: -13%
  • Lower activity level in Rail as planned
  • Lower revenue and order book in Civil vs Q1 19
  • EBITA1 : NOK -14 million (NOK -5 million)
  • Execution of zero margin projects following project adjustments in Q4 19
  • Civil and Environment slightly affected by Covid-19
  • Rail is improving due to measures implemented
  • Weaker results in Environment vs Q1 19
  • Improvement program in Rail according to plan
  • Order intake of NOK 388 million
  • Good wins in Rail. Fierce competition in Civil
  • Book to Bill LTM: 1.2
  • Covid-19 may affect revenue growth and margins in Environment and Civil going forward

NRC Norway - Tender pipeline still strong

Rail investments and maintenance spending1

NOK billion, CAGR 2019-24

NOK 7.2 billion tender pipeline2

(NOK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months)

  • High tendering activity
  • Tender pipeline is still strong in Rail construction and Civil, but down from Q4 19

• New orders in Q1

  • NOK 75 million track, electro, signal and ground contract
  • NOK 47 million port construction contract
  • NOK 200 million extra maintenance spend approved for 2020

Record high order book in Q1 2020

  • Order book NOK 8,048 million
  • f/x: ~ NOK 734 million
  • Order intake of NOK 1.4 billion

593

Q1 20

824

529

Q4 19

  • Announced orders NOK 593 million
  • Unannounced orders NOK 824 million

21

1) Non-performing projects make up 6 % of total order book as at 31 March of which ~ NOK 300 million is scheduled for 2020 execution. Zero margin contribution expected to completion.

Good visibility in backlog

Order book execution by country NOK million

Book-to-bill ratio

Period order intake/revenue

NRC Group positioned in large and growing market with substantial short-term pipeline

NOK 40 billion addressable market 1

NOK billion, 2020 estimate

NOK 18 billion tender pipeline 2

3,3 3,9 4,7 4,4 0,7 0,9 8,7 5,2 3,9 Rail construction Rail maintenance Civil works NOK billion by segment and country, next 9 months

1) Public filings and NRC Group estimates, includes Project Fornebubanen in Norway 2) Addressable for NRC Group, company estimates. [email protected], EUR@ 11.5

9% annual growth expected in rail investments and maintenance spending

1) Norway: Revised national budget 2020, National Railway Directorate NTP filings. Maintenance figures include Bane NOR operations and renewal. Excluding tram and metro 2) Sweden: National budget 2020, Swedish Transport Administration estimates for 2023-24; Maintenance is shown excluding renewal/Reinvestments. Excluding tram and metro 3) Finland: Finnish Transportation Agency, NRC Group estimates

Summary CEO and CFO

Summary and outlook

  • Q1 results reflecting low seasonal activity
  • Keep employees safe and maintaining normal project execution amid Covid-19 pandemic
  • Improvement programs on track
  • 2020 financial targets and long-term ambitions maintained
  • Flat revenue development
  • EBITA margin to exceed adjusted 2019 level of 2.8%
  • Solid tender pipeline

Appendix

Segments – key figures quarterly development

Reported Reported Reported Reported Reported** Reported** Reported Reported*** Reported
Norway operations (NOK million) FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Total revenue 604 771 1 598 2 281 212 335 421 630 470 545 683 583 407
EBITDA* 13 43 136 186 -1 26 46 65 14 65 75 32 7
EBITA* 2 21 96 97 -7 19 36 48 -5 43 52 8 -14
EBIT* -2 5 75 70 -13 16 33 39 -13 35 45 2 -18
Sweden operations (NOK million) FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Total revenue 1 371 1 613 1 591 1 539 316 498 433 344 299 411 460 370 311
EBITDA* 173 221 27 -77 9 46 32 -60 -7 -13 14 -71 -15
EBITA* 160 198 -8 -125 2 38 23 -71 -20 -24 2 -83 -27
EBIT* 136 179 -16 -125 1 37 17 -71 -20 -24 2 -83 -28
Finland operations (NOK million) FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Total revenue 2 388 361 601 712 713 540
EBITDA* 191 4 64 70 53 16
EBITA* 116 -13 45 55 29 -3
EBIT* 75 -24 35 45 19 -14
Total group segment accounts FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Total revenue 1 975 2 373 3 176 6 193 528 827 851 971 1 130 1 551 1 850 1 663 1 254
EBITDA* 152 236 132 267 2 66 71 -7 -3 103 153 13 -1
EBITA* 128 190 57 55 -12 51 54 -36 -54 51 105 -47 -54
EBIT* 99 156 29 -15 -18 48 44 -44 -72 34 87 -63 -69

*Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses)

**Design operations reclassified as discontinued operations

***Restated due to deviation from Q4 to full-year 2019 report related to the final settlement of a dispute from 2015