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NRC Group — Investor Presentation 2020
May 20, 2020
3693_rns_2020-05-20_d58d242e-ce46-4f8a-ae9e-b3f091cc7642.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q1 2020 Earnings Presentation
CEO – Henning Olsen and CFO – Dag Fladby
Disclaimer
- This draft presentation (hereinafter referred to as the "Presentation") has been prepared exclusively for information purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any financial instruments.
- This Presentation includes and is based on, among other things, forward-looking information and statements. Such forward-looking information and statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections. Such forward-looking information and statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We cannot give any assurance as to the correctness of such information and statements.
- Several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the companies mentioned herein to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this Presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the company's business, segment, development, growth management, financing, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumption prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this document. We do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this Presentation.
- There may have been changes in matters which affect the companies herein subsequent to the date of this Presentation. Neither the issue nor delivery of this Presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the company/companies have not since changed, and we do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation.
- This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect of this Presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo City Court AS exclusive venue.
Highlights Q1 2020
Operations and business during Covid-19
| Main priorities | • Keep employees safe and minimize impact on operations • Compliant with public restrictions and recommendations • Monitor potential effects on the industry and NRC Group's business |
|
|---|---|---|
| Operations | • Limited impact on project execution to date • Maintenance and upgrade activities considered critical infrastructure services and will be prioritised in case of resources scarcity |
Risk management during Covid-19
| Risk factors | • Escalated outbreak or measures can impact productivity and project execution • Efficient project planning and execution dependent on customers announcing and awarding tenders as scheduled • Potential disruptions in the value chain |
|---|---|
| Mitigating factors |
• Tender processes progressing as normal to date • Robust financial position • National public transport agencies represent ~95% of backlog |
Q1 key figures – profit & loss
- Revenue in Q1 2020 of NOK 1,254 million (+11%)
- Organic growth +7%
- Growth driven by Finland
- EBITA* in Q1 2020 of NOK -54 million
- Normal seasonal activity
- Partly execution of zero margin projects following project adjustments in Q419
- Small negative effects from weakening NOK vs SEK and EUR
- Limited effects from Covid-19
- Depreciations of NOK 53 million
- Amortisation of NOK 15 million
- Estimate for 2020 is NOK 55 million
- Net financial items: -22 million
- Fx: NOK -4 million
| (Amounts in NOK million) | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1 254 | 1 130 | 6 193 |
| Operating expenses | 1 255 | 1 132 | 5 927 |
| EBITDA* | -1 | -3 | 267 |
| Other income and expenses (M&A expenses) | -7 | -48 | -91 |
| EBITDA | -8 | -51 | 176 |
| Depreciation | 53 | 51 | 212 |
| EBITA* | -54 | -54 | 55 |
| EBITA | -61 | -102 | -36 |
| Amortisation | 15 | 18 | 70 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | -77 | -120 | -105 |
| Net financial items | -22 | -16 | -73 |
| Profit/loss before tax (EBT) | -99 | -136 | -178 |
Q1 2020 key figures – balance sheet
- Substantial weakening of NOK vs EUR and SEK during March affecting the balance sheet
- Fx effect on equity: NOK 182 million
- Goodwill and other intangible assets: NOK 3,068 million (increase due to fx: NOK 280 million)
- Cash of NOK 821 million
- Interest-bearing debt including leasing: NOK 1,919 million (increase due to fx: NOK 147 million)
- Leasing liability of NOK 542 million including operational lease of NOK 196 million
- Net debt incl. total leasing: NOK 1,098 million (increase due to fx: NOK 140 million)
- Equity: 45%
| (Amounts in NOK million) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | 31.03.2020 | 30.03.2019 | 31.12.2019 |
| Intangible assets | 3 068 | 2 969 | 2 799 |
| Right-of-use assets | 539 | 573 | 522 |
| Total other non-current assets | 335 | 319 | 301 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 821 | 439 | 154 |
| Other current assets | 1 384 | 1 484 | 1 648 |
| Total assets | 6 147 | 5 783 | 5 423 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | |||
| Total equity | 2 777 | 1 935 | 2 033 |
| Long-term financial lease liabilities | 220 | 204 | 214 |
| Long-term operating lease liabilities | 130 | 204 | 125 |
| Other non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 210 | 995 | 1 161 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 65 | 68 | 34 |
| Short-term financial lease liabilities | 126 | 111 | 123 |
| Short-term operating lease liabilities | 66 | 55 | 63 |
| Other interest-bearing current liabilities | 168 | 758 | 101 |
| Other current liabilities | 1 386 | 1 453 | 1 569 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 6 147 | 5 783 | 5 423 |
Q1 2020 key figures – cash flow
| • Cash flow from operating activities of NOK 57 million |
(Amounts in NOK million) | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | FY 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • Discontinued operation: NOK 14 million |
Profit/loss before tax | -99 | -136 | -178 | |
| • | Net cash from investments of NOK -8 million • Capex net : NOK -8 million |
Net cash flow from operating activities - continuing operations Net cash flow from operating activities - discontinued operations Net cash flow from operating activities |
43 14 57 |
-88 56 -32 |
-37 109 71 |
| Net cash flow from investing activities | -8 | -1 253 | -931 | ||
| • | Net cash flow from financing activities of NOK 610 million • Net proceeds from private placement NOK 672 million |
Net cash flow from financing activities | 610 | 1 339 | 628 |
| • Payment of leasing NOK -47 million • Interest NOK -17 million |
Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period |
659 821 |
54 439 |
-232 154 |
8
• Payment of final purchase price for Norsk Saneringsservice and Gunnar Knutsen is expected to take place in Q2 20
Robust financial position as at 31 March
• Cash position of NOK 821 million
- NIBD of NOK 1,098 million
- f/x: NOK ~ 140 million 31 March
- Undrawn Revolver Credit Facility of NOK 200 million
Interest-bearing debt
NOK million
Bank and bond maturities NOK million
Short-term focus on restoring profitability through operational improvements
Key focus areas in 2020 and beyond
People: Attract and retain the right leadership, project managers and skilled workforce
Tender process: Strengthen project selection, risk assessment and pricing process
Execution: Strengthen execution model and portfolio governance
Improvement programs progressing according to plan
| Sweden | Rail Norway |
Finland | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| People | • New Country Manager and project directors • Strengthen project management skills through internal training and recruiting |
• New management team and proven resources in place • Strengthen project management skills through internal trainings and closer integration with Civil |
• Strengthen project management skills through internal training and recruiting • New management group in Maintenance |
|||
| Tender process | • Improved tender process implemented • Pricing discipline key to regain profitability |
• Improved tender selection, risk assessment and pricing implemented • Recruited proven calculation resources on complex Rail construction projects |
• Group-wide processes on tender process and risk assessment to be implemented |
|||
| Execution | • Project- and contract management, cost control and risk management • Extracting operational synergies between Rail construction and Maintenance • Joint machine operations with Norway |
• Project- and contract management, cost control and risk management implemented • Resource planning and sub-contractor strategy • Joint machine operations with Sweden • Cooperation with Civil on complex projects |
• Risk assessment to be implemented on new projects • Reorganized machine operations and optimize capacity • Capacity adjustments Maintenance |
Execution of NOK 55 million overhead reduction target is going according to plan
NRC Finland - Strong quarter
- Revenue: NOK 540 million (NOK 361 million)
- 40% organic growth driven by an additional sale of inventory to FTIA of NOK 110 million and by light rail
- EBITA1 : NOK -3 million (NOK -13 million)
- Strong performance in light rail
- Lower result in Maintenance due to higher costs related to closure of maintenance area 1
- Capacity adjustments in Maintenance implemented
- Order intake of NOK 512 million
- Low hit rate on track construction projects
- Book to Bill LTM: 1.4
NRC Finland - Tender pipeline down from Q4
EUR 0.13 billion tender pipeline2
EUR million value, # of tenders, next 9 months
• New orders announced in Q1
- Two maintenance contracts valued at EUR 9.3 million in total
- Tender pipeline down from EUR 0.2 billion in Q4 to EUR 0.13 billion mainly due to less tenders in Rail construction
- Tender pipeline in Rail construction does not reflect the expected growth in the market for 2020
15
2) NRC Group estimates
NRC Sweden – Developing according to plan
- Revenue: NOK 311 million (NOK 299 million)
- Organic growth: -2%
- EBITA1 : NOK -27 million (NOK -20 million)
- Execution of zero margin projects following project adjustments in Q4 19 according to plan
- Weakening of NOK vs SEK
- Cost reduction program according to plan
- Improvement program according to plan
- Order intake of NOK 517 million
- Book to Bill LTM: 0.9
NRC Sweden - Growth in tender pipeline
Rail investments and maintenance spending1
SEK 9.1 billion tender pipeline2
(SEK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months)
• Improved tendering activity
- Rail construction and Civil works pipeline increased from SEK 4.1 billion in Q4 19 to SEK 4.7 billion
- Maintenance increased from SEK 2 billion in Q4 19 to SEK 4.3 billion
• New orders in Q1
- SEK 149 million catenary contract
- SEK 100 million track renewal project
- SEK 75 million ground, foundation and construction contract
NRC Norway - Lower activity
- Revenue: NOK 407 million (NOK 470 million)
- Organic growth: -13%
- Lower activity level in Rail as planned
- Lower revenue and order book in Civil vs Q1 19
- EBITA1 : NOK -14 million (NOK -5 million)
- Execution of zero margin projects following project adjustments in Q4 19
- Civil and Environment slightly affected by Covid-19
- Rail is improving due to measures implemented
- Weaker results in Environment vs Q1 19
- Improvement program in Rail according to plan
- Order intake of NOK 388 million
- Good wins in Rail. Fierce competition in Civil
- Book to Bill LTM: 1.2
- Covid-19 may affect revenue growth and margins in Environment and Civil going forward
NRC Norway - Tender pipeline still strong
Rail investments and maintenance spending1
NOK billion, CAGR 2019-24
NOK 7.2 billion tender pipeline2
(NOK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months)
- High tendering activity
- Tender pipeline is still strong in Rail construction and Civil, but down from Q4 19
• New orders in Q1
- NOK 75 million track, electro, signal and ground contract
- NOK 47 million port construction contract
- NOK 200 million extra maintenance spend approved for 2020
Record high order book in Q1 2020
- Order book NOK 8,048 million
- f/x: ~ NOK 734 million
- Order intake of NOK 1.4 billion
593
Q1 20
824
529
Q4 19
- Announced orders NOK 593 million
- Unannounced orders NOK 824 million
21
1) Non-performing projects make up 6 % of total order book as at 31 March of which ~ NOK 300 million is scheduled for 2020 execution. Zero margin contribution expected to completion.
Good visibility in backlog
Order book execution by country NOK million
Book-to-bill ratio
Period order intake/revenue
NRC Group positioned in large and growing market with substantial short-term pipeline
NOK 40 billion addressable market 1
NOK billion, 2020 estimate
NOK 18 billion tender pipeline 2
3,3 3,9 4,7 4,4 0,7 0,9 8,7 5,2 3,9 Rail construction Rail maintenance Civil works NOK billion by segment and country, next 9 months
1) Public filings and NRC Group estimates, includes Project Fornebubanen in Norway 2) Addressable for NRC Group, company estimates. [email protected], EUR@ 11.5
9% annual growth expected in rail investments and maintenance spending
1) Norway: Revised national budget 2020, National Railway Directorate NTP filings. Maintenance figures include Bane NOR operations and renewal. Excluding tram and metro 2) Sweden: National budget 2020, Swedish Transport Administration estimates for 2023-24; Maintenance is shown excluding renewal/Reinvestments. Excluding tram and metro 3) Finland: Finnish Transportation Agency, NRC Group estimates
Summary CEO and CFO
Summary and outlook
- Q1 results reflecting low seasonal activity
- Keep employees safe and maintaining normal project execution amid Covid-19 pandemic
- Improvement programs on track
- 2020 financial targets and long-term ambitions maintained
- Flat revenue development
- EBITA margin to exceed adjusted 2019 level of 2.8%
- Solid tender pipeline
Appendix
Segments – key figures quarterly development
| Reported | Reported | Reported | Reported | Reported** | Reported** | Reported | Reported*** | Reported | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway operations (NOK million) | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Q1 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 |
| Total revenue | 604 | 771 | 1 598 | 2 281 | 212 | 335 | 421 | 630 | 470 | 545 | 683 | 583 | 407 |
| EBITDA* | 13 | 43 | 136 | 186 | -1 | 26 | 46 | 65 | 14 | 65 | 75 | 32 | 7 |
| EBITA* | 2 | 21 | 96 | 97 | -7 | 19 | 36 | 48 | -5 | 43 | 52 | 8 | -14 |
| EBIT* | -2 | 5 | 75 | 70 | -13 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -13 | 35 | 45 | 2 | -18 |
| Sweden operations (NOK million) | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Q1 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 |
| Total revenue | 1 371 | 1 613 | 1 591 | 1 539 | 316 | 498 | 433 | 344 | 299 | 411 | 460 | 370 | 311 |
| EBITDA* | 173 | 221 | 27 | -77 | 9 | 46 | 32 | -60 | -7 | -13 | 14 | -71 | -15 |
| EBITA* | 160 | 198 | -8 | -125 | 2 | 38 | 23 | -71 | -20 | -24 | 2 | -83 | -27 |
| EBIT* | 136 | 179 | -16 | -125 | 1 | 37 | 17 | -71 | -20 | -24 | 2 | -83 | -28 |
| Finland operations (NOK million) | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Q1 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 |
| Total revenue | 2 388 | 361 | 601 | 712 | 713 | 540 | |||||||
| EBITDA* | 191 | 4 | 64 | 70 | 53 | 16 | |||||||
| EBITA* | 116 | -13 | 45 | 55 | 29 | -3 | |||||||
| EBIT* | 75 | -24 | 35 | 45 | 19 | -14 | |||||||
| Total group segment accounts | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Q1 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 |
| Total revenue | 1 975 | 2 373 | 3 176 | 6 193 | 528 | 827 | 851 | 971 | 1 130 | 1 551 | 1 850 | 1 663 | 1 254 |
| EBITDA* | 152 | 236 | 132 | 267 | 2 | 66 | 71 | -7 | -3 | 103 | 153 | 13 | -1 |
| EBITA* | 128 | 190 | 57 | 55 | -12 | 51 | 54 | -36 | -54 | 51 | 105 | -47 | -54 |
| EBIT* | 99 | 156 | 29 | -15 | -18 | 48 | 44 | -44 | -72 | 34 | 87 | -63 | -69 |
*Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses)
**Design operations reclassified as discontinued operations
***Restated due to deviation from Q4 to full-year 2019 report related to the final settlement of a dispute from 2015