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NRC Group — Investor Presentation 2020
Aug 19, 2020
3693_rns_2020-08-19_e1ce3923-46ab-46fe-9956-25d0eca82f48.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q2 2020 Result presentation NRC Group
CEO – Henning Olsen and CFO – Dag Fladby
Disclaimer
- This draft presentation (hereinafter referred to as the "Presentation") has been prepared exclusively for information purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any financial instruments.
- This Presentation includes and is based on, among other things, forward-looking information and statements. Such forward-looking information and statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections. Such forward-looking information and statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions. We cannot give any assurance as to the correctness of such information and statements.
- Several factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the companies mentioned herein to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by statements and information in this Presentation, including, among others, risks or uncertainties associated with the company's business, segment, development, growth management, financing, market acceptance and relations with customers, and, more generally, general economic and business conditions, changes in domestic and foreign laws and regulations, taxes, changes in competition and pricing environments, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates and other factors. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumption prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this document. We do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct the information included in this Presentation.
- There may have been changes in matters which affect the companies herein subsequent to the date of this Presentation. Neither the issue nor delivery of this Presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the company/companies have not since changed, and we do not intend, and do not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation.
- This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect of this Presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Oslo City Court AS exclusive venue.
Highlights Q2 2020
| Revenue | • | NOK 1.7 billion | Revenue NOK million |
EBITA* NOK million |
NOK million | Order backlog** | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITA* | • • |
NOK 27 million Impacted by cost related to overcapacity in Finland |
7 632 | 7 526 | ||||
| Financial targets revised |
• • • |
2020: EBITA 1.5% - 2.0%. Revenues 2020 at same level as last year 2021: EBITA up towards 4.0% Long-term ambitions for 2024 maintained |
1 551 | 1 661 | ||||
| Orders | • • |
Order intake of NOK 1.3 billion Order backlog of NOK 7.5 billion |
51 | 27 | ||||
| Liquidity | • • |
Cash flow from operations of NOK 31 million Cash position of NOK 691 million |
Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 | Q2 2019 | Q2 2020 |
Operations and business during Covid-19
| Main priorities | • Keep employees safe and minimize impact on operations • Compliant with public restrictions and recommendations • Monitor potential effects on the industry and NRC Group's business |
|---|---|
| Operations | • Limited impact on project execution to date • Most tender processes progressing as normal • Maintenance and upgrade activities considered critical infrastructure |
| Risk management |
• Maintaining robust financial position • National public transport agencies represent ~95% of backlog • Outbreaks may impact productivity, project execution and value chain • Dependent on customers announcing and awarding tenders as scheduled |

Health and safety first

*LTI-1: Injuries resulting in absence at least one full day per million man-hours (incl subcontractors)
**LTI-2: lost time injuries in total per million man-hours, also including injuries that require medical treatment and alternative work (incl subcontractors)
Figures YTD per 30 June 2020 compared with YTD June 2019

Q2 key figures – profit & loss
- Revenue in Q2 20 of NOK 1,661 million
- EBITA* in Q2 20 of NOK 27 million
- Lower EBITA margin due to costs related to overcapacity in Finland
- Partly execution of zero margin projects following project adjustments in Q4 19
- Limited effects from Covid-19
- Depreciations of NOK 54 million
- Net financial items: NOK -18 million
| Q2 | Q2 | YTD | YTD | FY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Amounts in NOK million) | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Revenue | 1 661 | 1 551 | 2 915 | 2 681 | 6 193 |
| Operating expenses | 1 580 | 1 448 | 2 835 | 2 580 | 5 927 |
| EBITDA* | 81 | 103 | 80 | 101 | 267 |
| Other income and expenses (M&A expenses) | 2 | -4 | -6 | -52 | -91 |
| EBITDA | 83 | 100 | 75 | 49 | 176 |
| Depreciation | 54 | 52 | 108 | 104 | 212 |
| EBITA* | 27 | 51 | -27 | -3 | 55 |
| EBITA | 28 | 47 | -33 | -55 | -36 |
| Amortisation | 16 | 17 | 31 | 35 | 70 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 12 | 30 | -64 | -90 | -105 |
| Net financial items | -18 | -19 | -41 | -36 | -73 |
| Profit/loss before tax (EBT) | -6 | 11 | -105 | -126 | -178 |
Q2 2020 key figures – balance sheet
- Continued weak NOK vs EUR and SEK affecting the balance sheet
- Goodwill and other intangible assets: NOK 2,989 million
- Cash: NOK 691 million
- Interest-bearing debt including leasing: NOK 1,859 million
- Operating lease: NOK 158 million
- Net debt incl. total leasing: NOK 1,168 million
- Equity ratio: 44.5%
| (Amounts in NOK million) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | 30.06.2020 | 30.06.2019 | 31.12.2019 | ||
| Intangible assets | 2 989 | 2 960 | 2 799 | ||
| Right-of-use assets | 578 | 564 | 522 | ||
| Total other non-current assets | 319 | 303 | 301 | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 691 | 226 | 154 | ||
| Other current assets | 1 566 | 1 776 | 1 648 | ||
| Total assets | 6 143 | 5 830 | 5 423 | ||
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | |||||
| Total equity | 2 732 | 1 967 | 2 033 | ||
| Long-term financial lease liabilities | 273 | 204 | 214 | ||
| Long-term operating lease liabilities | 105 | 199 | 125 | ||
| Other non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 138 | 936 | 1 161 | ||
| Other non-current liabilities | 64 | 78 | 34 | ||
| Short-term financial lease liabilities | 130 | 104 | 123 | ||
| Short-term operating lease liabilities | 53 | 58 | 63 | ||
| Other interest-bearing current liabilities | 159 | 757 | 101 | ||
| Other current liabilities | 1 488 | 1 527 | 1 569 | ||
| Total equity and liabilities | 6 143 | 5 830 | 5 423 |

Q2 2020 key figures – cash flow
| Q2 | Q2 | YTD | YTD | FY | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Amounts in NOK million) | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2019 | ||
| • | Cash flow from operating activities of NOK 31 million | ||||||
| Profit/loss before tax | -6 | 11 | -105 | -126 | -178 | ||
| • | Net cash from investments of NOK -30 million | ||||||
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 31 | 11 | 87 | -21 | 71 | ||
| • | Net cash flow from financing activities of NOK -108 million | Net cash flow from investing activities | -30 | -106 | -38 | -1 359 | -931 |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | -108 | -119 | 502 | 1 221 | 628 | ||
| • | Settlement of purchase price of NOK 92 million for NSS and | ||||||
| Gunnar Knutsen in July | Net change in cash and cash equivalents | -108 | -214 | 551 | -160 | -232 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 691 | 226 | 691 | 226 | 154 |

Robust financial position as per 30 June

- Cash position of NOK 691 million
- NIBD of NOK 1,168 million
- Undrawn Revolver Credit Facility of NOK 200 million


Operational review
Improvement programs on track in Sweden and Rail Norway, additional measures to optimize capacity in Finland
| Sweden | Rail Norway |
Finland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| People | • New Country Manager and project directors • Strengthen project management skills through internal training and recruiting |
• New management team and proven resources in place • Strengthen project management skills through internal trainings and closer integration with Civil |
• Strengthen project management skills through internal training and recruiting • New management group in Maintenance |
| Tender process | • Improve tender process • Pricing discipline key to regain profitability |
• Improve tender selection, risk assessment and pricing • Recruit proven calculation resources on complex Rail construction projects |
• Group-wide processes on tender process and risk assessment |
| Execution | • Project- and contract management, cost control and risk management • Extract operational synergies between Rail construction and Maintenance • Joint machine operations with Norway |
• Project and contract management, cost control and risk management • Resource planning and sub-contractor strategy • Joint machine operations with Sweden • Cooperation with Civil on complex projects |
• Risk assessment to be implemented on new projects • Reorganize machine operations and optimize capacity • Capacity adjustments Maintenance |

Execution of cost reduction in Norway and Sweden is going according to plan

NRC Finland – Lower results due to overcapacity



NRC Finland – Delay in tenders to the market in 2020

NRC Finland – Still slow release of new tenders

EUR 0.16 billion tender pipeline2 EUR million value, # of tenders, next 9 months

- Tender pipeline slightly increased from Q1 20. Pipeline for 2020 remains at same level
- New orders in Q2
- EUR 16.1 million Maintenance contract with extension option

NRC Sweden – Improvements according to plan

-75 -65
* Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses) 16
NRC Sweden – Continued growth in tender pipeline
Rail investments and maintenance spending1
SEK billion, CAGR 2019-24

SEK 10 billion tender pipeline2
(SEK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months)

• Improved tendering activity
- Rail construction and Civil works pipeline SEK 5.6 billion (SEK 4.7 billion in Q1 20)
- Maintenance pipeline at SEK 4.5 billion (SEK 4.3 billion in Q1 20)
- Several contracts of SEK 100-300 million in pipeline
- New orders in Q2
- SEK 65 million track, electro, signal/telecom contract
- SEK 69 million track, electro, signal/ telecom and groundwork contract

NRC Norway - Lower activity

NRC Norway - Strong tender pipeline
Rail investments and maintenance spending1
NOK billion, CAGR 2019-24
0,0
5,0
10, 0
15, 0
20, 0
25, 0
30, 0
35, 0

NOK 7.5 billion tender pipeline2
(NOK million value, # of tenders, next 9 months)

- Tender pipeline is still strong
- New orders in Q2
- NOK 199 million electro ground contract for ERTMS preparations
- NOK 39 million electro and groundwork contract
- Additional NOK 200 million maintenance spend and NOK 550 million of investments for 2020 approved by Parliament

Sharp focus on ethics and compliance
Fair Play Bygg Agreement
- NRC Group Norway signed 'Fair Play Bygg' agreement
- Proactively work to prevent work-related crime
- Promote a business environment where companies compete on equal terms
Together with other major partners, we are committed to proactively influence our industry being even more transparent and compliant with regulations and guidelines. We want to go the extra mile.
Managing Director Norway Hans Olav Storkås




Order book and market
Orderbook and order intake Q2 2020

- Order book NOK 7,526 million
- f/x: ~ NOK -168 million
- Order intake of NOK 1.3 billion
Q2 20
- Announced orders NOK 554 million
- Unannounced orders NOK 753 million

* Non-performing projects make up 5 % of total order book as at 30 June of which ~ NOK 190 million is scheduled for 2020 execution. Zero margin contribution expected to completion.
Orderbook indicates moderate growth in 2021
Order book execution by country NOK million

Book-to-bill ratio Period order intake/revenue

NRC Group positioned in large and growing market with substantial short-term pipeline


Strong political support for sustainable investments





9% annual growth expected in rail investments and maintenance spending

1) Norway: Revised national budget 2020, National Railway Directorate NTP filings. Maintenance figures include Bane NOR operations and renewal. Excluding tram and metro 2) Sweden: National budget 2020, Swedish Transport Administration estimates for 2023-24; Maintenance is shown excluding renewal/Reinvestments. Excluding tram and metro 3) Finland: Finnish Transportation Agency, NRC Group estimates


Summary
CEO and CFO
Summary and outlook
| Improvement programs | • | On track in Sweden and Rail Norway |
|---|---|---|
| Additional measures Finland | • | Reduce cost and increase flexibility in cost base |
| Financial targets revised | • • • |
2020: EBITA 1.5% - 2.0%. Revenues 2020 at same level as last year 2021: EBITA up towards 4.0% Long-term ambitions for 2024 maintained |
| Outlook | • • |
Solid tender pipeline in Norway and Sweden Continued strong outlook for investments in sustainable infrastructure |


Segments – key figures quarterly development
| Norway operations (NOK million) | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Reported Q1 2018 |
Reported Q2 2018 |
Reported Q3 2018 |
Reported | Reported** | Reported** Q2 2019 |
ReportedReported*** | Reported | Reported | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2016 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 | ||||||||
| Total revenue | 604 | 771 | 1 598 | 2 281 | 212 | 335 | 421 | 630 | 470 | 545 | 683 | 583 | 407 | 476 |
| EBITDA* | 13 | 43 | 136 | 186 | -1 | 26 | 46 | 65 | 14 | 65 | 75 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
| EBITA* | 2 | 21 | 96 | 97 | -7 | 19 | 36 | 48 | -5 | 43 | 52 | 8 | -14 | 27 |
| EBIT* | -2 | 5 | 75 | 70 | -13 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -13 | 35 | 45 | 2 | -18 | 23 |
| Sweden operations (NOK million) | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Q1 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 |
| Total revenue | 1 371 | 1 613 | 1 591 | 1 539 | 316 | 498 | 433 | 344 | 299 | 411 | 460 | 370 | 311 | 487 |
| EBITDA* | 173 | 221 | 27 | -77 | 9 | 46 | 32 | -60 | -7 | -13 | 14 | -71 | -15 | 0 |
| EBITA* | 160 | 198 | -8 | -125 | 2 | 38 | 23 | -71 | -20 | -24 | 2 | -83 | -27 | -13 |
| EBIT* | 136 | 179 | -16 | -125 | 1 | 37 | 17 | -71 | -20 | -24 | 2 | -83 | -28 | -14 |
| Finland operations (NOK million) | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Q1 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 |
| Total revenue | 2 388 | 361 | 601 | 712 | 713 | 540 | 700 | |||||||
| EBITDA* | 191 | 4 | 64 | 70 | 53 | 16 | 37 | |||||||
| EBITA* | 116 | -13 | 45 | 55 | 29 | -3 | 19 | |||||||
| EBIT* | 75 | -24 | 35 | 45 | 19 | -14 | 7 | |||||||
| Total group segment accounts | FY 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2018 | FY 2019 | Q1 2018 | Q2 2018 | Q3 2018 | Q4 2018 | Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | Q2 2020 |
| Total revenue | 1 975 | 2 373 | 3 176 | 6 193 | 528 | 827 | 851 | 971 | 1 130 | 1 551 | 1 850 | 1 663 | 1 254 | 1 661 |
| EBITDA* | 152 | 236 | 132 | 267 | 2 | 66 | 71 | -7 | -3 | 103 | 153 | 13 | -1 | 81 |
| EBITA* | 128 | 190 | 57 | 55 | -12 | 51 | 54 | -36 | -54 | 51 | 105 | -47 | -54 | 27 |
| EBIT* | 99 | 156 | 29 | -15 | -18 | 48 | 44 | -44 | -72 | 34 | 87 | -63 | -69 | 11 |
*Before other income and expenses (M&A expenses)
**Design operations reclassified as discontinued operations
***Restated due to deviation from Q4 to full-year 2019 report related to the final settlement of a dispute from 2015

