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NRC Group — Investor Presentation 2017
Feb 15, 2017
3693_rns_2017-02-15_5b5be6dd-56f7-4eea-bbb8-d3a53287bd4c.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q4 2016 Result presentation
Oslo, 15 February 2017
Disclaimer
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical facts are forward-looking. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements for many reasons.
These forward-looking statements reflect current views with respect to future events and are by their nature subject to significant risk and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot assure you that our future results, level of activity or performance will meet these expectations. Moreover, neither we nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Unless we are required by law to update these statements, we will not necessarily update any of these statements after the date of this presentation, either to conform them to actual results or to changes in our expectations.
/ Highlights
/ Financials
/ Market
/ Consolidation & M&As
/ Summary & outlook
Highlights
Operations
Financials
All-time high fourth-quarter revenue and profit Full year 2016 organic growth of 59% Fourth quarter order intake of NOK 570 million Order backlog of NOK 1.4 billion in Q4 2016
Revenues of NOK 564.7 million in Q4 2016 vs NOK 439.8 million in Q4 2015 EBITDA of NOK 56.4 million in Q4 2016 vs NOK 39.5 million in Q4 2015 EBITDA margin of 10% in Q4 2016 vs. 9% in Q4 2015 Proposed dividend of NOK 0.80 per share
Key events Raised NOK 210 million through private placement of 3 million new shares Sale of Blom UK - remaining Geo business classified as held for sale Acquisition of Gravco AS
/ Highlights
/ Financials
/ Market
/ Consolidation & M&As
/ Summary & outlook
Q4 2016 pro forma key figures – profit and loss
- Revenue NOK 564.7 million (NOK 439.8 million)
- EBITDA NOK 56.4 million (NOK 39.5 million)
- EBITDA margin of 10.0% (9.0%)
- EBIT NOK 45.8 million (NOK 31.6 million)
| (Amounts in NOK million) | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 564,7 | 439,8 | 2 045,4 | 1 290,1 |
| Operating expenses | 508,3 | 400,3 | 1 855,1 | 1 177,5 |
| EBITDA | 56,4 | 39,5 | 190,2 | 112,6 |
| EBITA | 49,8 | 35,2 | 162,0 | 95,1 |
| EBIT | 45,8 | 31,6 | 145,5 | 78,8 |
| EBT | 42,7 | 30,8 | 135,1 | 73,3 |
| EBITDA (%) | 10,0 % | 9,0 % | 9,3 % | 8,7 % |
Includes pro forma figures for 2016 and 2015, adjusted for transaction costs and one-offs.
Q4 2016 reported key figures – profit and loss
- EBITDA NOK 47.4 million (NOK 18.5 million)
- Includes transaction costs of NOK 4.3 million, where NOK 3.1 million is related to a transaction which will not be completed
- EBIT NOK 37.8 million (NOK 11.1 million)
- Net profit NOK 32.4 million (NOK 24.5 million)
- Recognition of deferred tax in Q4 2015 of NOK 22 million and NOK 58 million for full year 2015
- Profit/loss from discontinued operations NOK -18.2 million (NOK 1.6 million)
- Profit from operation and sale of business in Q4 2016 is NOK 11.8 million. Net cash flow from sale is NOK 34.7 million
- IFRS adjustments with no cash or equity effect NOK –30.0 million
| (Amounts in NOK million) |
Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 551,7 | 331,7 | 1 975,0 | 678,2 |
| Operating expenses | 504,3 | 313,2 | 1 822,6 | 646,3 |
| EBITDA | 47,4 | 18,5 | 152,4 | 31,9 |
| Depreciation | 6,1 | 4,0 | 24,7 | 8,0 |
| EBITA | 41,2 | 14,5 | 127,7 | 23,9 |
| Amortisation | 3,5 | 3,4 | 14,0 | 6,7 |
| EBIT | 37,8 | 11,1 | 113,7 | 17,2 |
| Net financial items | -3,0 | -0,8 | -9,9 | -5,4 |
| EBT | 34,7 | 10,3 | 103,8 | 11,8 |
| Taxes | -2,3 | 14,2 | -25,0 | 42,5 |
| Profit/loss from continuing operations | 32,4 | 24,5 | 78,8 | 54,3 |
| Profit/loss from discontinued operations | -18,2 | 1,6 | -10,3 | -6,7 |
| Net profit/loss | 14,2 | 26,1 | 68,5 | 47,6 |
Reported figures for 2016 include Railcap from June 2016, Gravco from December 2016, and transaction costs and one-offs of NOK 17.1 million.
Order book development
Order book Q1 2015 – Q4 2016
In NOK million
Order book development Q3 16 – Q4 16
In NOK million
Q4 2016 key figures – balance sheet
- Intangible assets of NOK 645.3 million per 31 December 2016 vs. NOK 614.7 million as per 31 December 2015
- Net cash is NOK 225.6 million per 31 December 2016 vs. net cash of NOK 8.3 million as per 31 December 2015
- Equity ratio is 63% per 31 December 2016 vs 54% per 31 December 2015
- Remaining Geo business classified as asset held for sale
- NOK 9.1 million included in other current assets and NOK 7.9 million included in other current liabilities
(Amounts in NOK million)
| ASSETS | 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible non-current assets | 645,3 | 614,7 |
| Other non-current assets | 150,8 | 129,0 |
| Other current assets | 407,7 | 359,4 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 418,4 | 258,2 |
| Total assets | 1 622,2 | 1 361,3 |
| EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 31.12.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
| Total equity | 1 027,3 | 729,0 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 110,8 | 162,1 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 16,5 | 33,0 |
| Total interest-bearing current liabilities | 82,1 | 87,8 |
| Total other current liabilities | 385,5 | 349,3 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 1 622,2 | 1 361,3 |
Q4 2016 key figures – cash flow
| • Cash balance at NOK 418.4 million per |
(Amounts in NOK million) | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 December 2016 vs. NOK 258.2 million per 31 December 2015 |
Profit/loss before tax | 34,7 | 10,3 | 103,8 | 11,8 |
| Net cash flow from operating activities |
92,4 | 48,4 | 146,9 | 33,8 | |
| • Cash flow from operating activities in |
Purchases of property, plant and equipment | -3,1 | -3,3 | -52,2 | -11,7 |
| Q4 is NOK 92.4 million | Acquisitsion of companies, net of cash acquired | -18,0 | -87,2 | -41,5 | -239,9 |
| Net proceeds from sale of shares and other investments | 2,3 | 8,0 | 4,9 | 10,7 | |
| Net cash flow from investing act.- cont. oper. |
-18,8 | -82,5 | -88,9 | -240,9 | |
| Net cash flow from investing activities – discont. oper. |
22,7 | -3,1 | 21,0 | -8,1 | |
| • Net cash flow from investing activities in Q4 is NOK 3.9 million |
Net cash flow from investing activities | 3,9 | -85,6 | -67,9 | -249,0 |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 130,8 | 166,2 | 93,1 | 413,7 | |
| • Net cash flow from financing activities in Q4 is NOK 130.8 million |
Net change in cash and cash equivalents | 227,1 | 129,0 | 172,1 | 198,5 |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the start of the period | 187,8 | 127,5 | 258,2 | 52,4 | |
| Translation differences | 3,5 | 1,7 | -12,0 | 7,4 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period | 418,4 | 258,2 | 418,4 | 258,2 |
/ Highlights
/ Financials
/ Market
/ Consolidation & M&As
/ Summary & outlook
New Norwegian railway structure from 1 January 2017
- Reorganisation of the Norwegian railroad structure
- Creation of Jernbanedirektoratet and Bane NOR
- Positive long-term effect on activity levels and effectiveness
- As expected, some short-term term uncertainty
- Clear signals from new Bane NOR CEO
- Long-term potential for cost reduction of 10-15 per cent
- Increased visibility from use of frame agreements
- Four-year budgeting cycle supports larger contracts
Overview of public bodies in new Norwegian structure
- Regulates Jernbanedirektoratet, Bane NOR and NSB
- Develops overall strategies and policies for parliamentary approval
- Develops the National Transport Plan (NTP)
• New public administrative entity from January 2017 • Responsible for coordination, operative management and railway development
- Government owned infrastructure company
- Manages existing and build new railway infrastructure
- 4-year contracts with the railway directorate
- To develop 4-year budgets from 2018
• State owned railway operator • Also engaged in transport of people by bus, goods by rail and real estate
Political commitment to long-term railway spending
- Norway and Sweden will in 2017 adopt new National Transport Plans (NTP) for 2018-2029
- Both proposals indicate increased spending from the previous NTPs
- The primary market for NRC Group in Norway is considered to be approximately NOK 4 billion per year
- Expected to increase to more than NOK 6 billion when maintenance is privatized
- The addressable Swedish railway market is approximately 4x the size of the Norwegian market and tenders are typically larger
*)Sources:
2006-2017: The Norwegian national budget, National railroad authority, Swedish national budget From 2018: Proposals for Norwegian and Swedish National Transport Plans 2018-2029
Key market observations - Norway
- Observations
- NOK 5 billion investment needed to reset the maintenance shortfall
- Some lag experienced in tendering processes due to the reorganisation of Bane NOR
- Growth in project size
- New NTP to be decided before summer
- Examples of upcoming projects
- Meråker NOK ~ 1 000 million
- Arna/Bergen NOK ~ 450 million
- Skien Driftsbanegård NOK ~ 350 million
- Moi NOK ~ 200 million
Operations & maintenance
Source: Infrastructure seminar at Bane NOR 9 February 2017
Key market observations - Sweden
- Observations
- Growth in project size
- Trafikverket's lack of resources has delayed tendering processes
- New NTP to be decided before summer
- Examples of large upcoming projects
- Flackarp SEK ~ 4-5 000 million
- Vastlenken SEK ~ 4 000 million
- Hamnbanan Gøteborg SEK ~ 1 500 million
/ Highlights
/ Financials
/ Market
/ Consolidation & M&As
/ Summary & outlook
Consolidation and M&A's
• Several companies acquired in 2015 and 2016 in Norway and Sweden
- Continued focus on new acquisitions several ongoing processes in both Norway and in Sweden
- One acquisition aborted due to due diligence findings
- Solid balance sheet and cash position
/ Highlights
/ Financials
/ Market
/ Consolidation & M&As
/ Summary & outlook
Summary & outlook
Summary 2016
- Organic growth in 2016 of 59%
- Improved profitability
- Successful integration of acquired companies
- Continuous improvement being achieved within health, environment and safety (HES)
- Proposed dividend of NOK 0.80 per share
Focus areas for 2017
- Continued focus on consolidation and M&As
- Further strengthening of the organisation to be prepared for expected high growth and larger projects
- Ambition to win large projects in Norway and Sweden
- Further develop partnerships with large international players to secure resources
- Secure the position as the #1 privately owned railway specialist in the Nordics
/ Highlights
/ Financials
/ Market
/ Consolidation & M&As
/ Summary & outlook
20 largest shareholders
Per 13 February 2017
| INVESTOR | NO OF SHARES | % OF TOTAL | ACC TYPE | COUNTRY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DATUM | 5 100 000 | 13,16 | NOR | |
| SWEDBANK | 4 011 253 | 10,35 | NOM | SWE |
| URBEX INVEST | 3 107 033 | 8,02 | NOR | |
| DANSKE BANK | 2 871 208 | 7,41 | NOM | SWE |
| DNB NOR MARKETS | 2 051 593 | 5,29 | NOR | |
| CHARLOTTE HOLDING | 1 928 008 | 4,98 | NOR | |
| NORDEA BANK | 1 826 925 | 4,71 | NOM | SWE |
| ARCTIC FUNDS | 1 699 884 | 4,39 | IRL | |
| SOGN INVEST | 1 281 046 | 3,31 | NOR | |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG | 1 126 210 | 2,91 | NOR | |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB | 974 644 | 2,51 | NOR | |
| NORRON SICAV TARGE |
697 677 | 1,80 | LUX | |
| STATOIL PENSJON | 609 641 | 1,57 | NOR | |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG |
604 040 | 1,56 | NOR | |
| GRANSHAGEN INVEST | 601 007 | 1,55 | NOR | |
| MIDDELBORG INVEST | 600 000 | 1,55 | NOR | |
| SVENSKA HANDELSBANKEN | 580 000 | 1,50 | SWE | |
| IMSET HOLDING | 441 988 | 1,14 | NOR | |
| KRAG INVEST | 412 900 | 1,07 | NOR | |
| SORA | 390 000 | 1,01 | NOR | |
| TOTAL NUMBER OWNED BY TOP 20 | 30 915 057 | 79,79 % | ||
| TOTAL NUMBER OF SHARES | 38 753 350 |
Seasonal fluctuations in earnings
Revenues Q1 2015 – Q4 2016 In NOK million
EBITDA Q1 2015 – Q4 2016
In NOK million
Pro forma figures adjusted for transaction cost and one-offs excluding other