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Nordex SE — Investor Presentation 2016
Aug 31, 2016
309_ip_2016-08-31_069b8d79-2b27-4724-a2b3-dfe62832dc4f.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Commerzbank Sector Conference
31 August 2016
After strong H1 performance, profitability guidance increased;
other guided key figures confirmed
- EUR >2.1 bn order intake expected in H2
- Quality of projects unchanged; AWP projects classified in conditional and firm OB after closing of AWP acquisition in Q2
- Robust pipeline; EUR 1.4 1.6 bn firm order intake expected from conditional OB in H2
- Around 30% of straight-forward signing of projects expected in H2
- Integration well on track; synergy potential confirmed
Commerzbank Sector Conference
After closing in Q2, EUR 765 mn of AWP order backlog was classified to conditional OB
Order Backlog Development Q1-Q2 2016 (EUR mn)
Commerzbank Sector Conference
Robust pipeline to reach full-year firm order-intake target
Conditional Order Backlog Development H1 2016 (EUR mn)
- Order intake Q4 expected to be stronger than Q3
- Good pipeline visibility supported by conditional OB with OI expectation in H2 in the range of EUR 1.4 - 1.6 bn
- 30% share of H2 firm order intake expected to be generated from straight-forward sales
AWP Nx * Nx considered with 6 months, AWP with 3 months
Backup: H1 2016 Conference Call presentation
Nordex SE Conference Call H1 2016
Pamplona, 28 July 2016
Highlights H1 2016
Financials H1 2016
Operational developments
Market developments
Outlook and guidance 2016
- Successful completion of acquisition of AWP
- Strong sales growth in H1
- Profitability improved
- Strong balance sheet: financing secured until 2020
- World's tallest wind turbine installed
- Guidance:
- increase in EBITDA margin
- sales target adjusted
-
order intake target confirmed
-
New organization and governance structure fully operational
- On track to reach synergy targets
- COE programme running, 2018 target confirmed (-18%)
- Merger costs in 2016e: EUR 20 mn
Consolidated income statement: Strong topline growth and improved profitability
| in EUR mn (AWP consolidated from 1.4.2016) |
1.1.-30.6.2016 | 1.1.-30.6.2015 | Δ in % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 1,483.9 | 1,100.3 | 34.8 |
| Total revenues | 1,503.0 | 1,083.7 | 38.7 |
| Cost of materials |
-1,129.9 | -847.8 | 33.3 |
| Gross profit | 373.1 | 235.9 | 58.2 |
| Personal costs | -126.6 | -93.3 | 35.7 |
| Other operating (expenses)/income |
-110.0 | -54.6 | 101.5 |
| EBITDA | 136.5 | 88.0 | 55.1 |
| Depreciation | -44.6 | -26.3 | 69.6 |
| EBIT | 91.9 | 61.7 | 49.4 |
| Net financial result |
-16.1 | -10.2 | 57.8 |
| EBT | 75.8 | 51.5 | 47.2 |
| Tax | -24.9 | -14.3 | 74.1 |
| Net profit | 51.0 | 36.9 | 38.2 |
- Sales of almost EUR 1.5 bn in H1 covering 43.5% of target level in FY 2016. AWP Q2 accounted for around EUR 180 mn or 12%. Execution of AWP projects will be back-end loaded this year
- EBITDA margin of 9.2% (H1/2015: 7.9%) reflects the improvement in quality management and productivity
- Strong increase in other operating expenses reflects revenue-related costs as well merger costs. Depreciation includes EUR 10 mn PPA costs
Preliminary Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) on AWP transaction impact of EUR 10 mn in H1
Significant increase of gross margin, productivity almost stable
Development of gross margin (%) Gross profit per employee (EUR k)
Gross margin increased due to higher productivity and order execution according to plan
- Average gross profit per employee down 2.6% EUR 76 k in H1 2016
- Headcount as of 30 June 2016 of 4,923 (H1 2015: 3,060)
Negative FCF due to acquisition of AWP and increased working capital
Key figures cash flow statement (in EUR mn)
| in EUR mn | 1.1.- 30.6.2016 |
1.1.- 30.6.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Net profit plus dep./amortisation |
95.6 | 63.2 |
| Cash flow from changes in WC |
-145.5 | 2.4 |
| Cash flow from other operating ativities |
-53.9 | 7.7 |
| Cash flow from operating activities |
-103.7 | 73.4 |
| Cash flow from investing activities |
-366.6 | -31.4 |
| Free cash flow | -470.3 | 42.0 |
| Cash flow from financing activities |
375.6 | -35.0 |
- Working capital increased due to payment delays from Brazilian projects, production of H2 installations and preparation for US projects ("safe harbor")
- Cash flow from other operating activities reflects high sales tax refund receivables
- Cash flow from financing activities includes promissory note (EUR 550 mn), netted out against repayment of the bond (EUR 150 mn)
Balance sheet remains strong
| in EUR mn | 30.6.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 30.6.2016 | 31.12.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid funds | 460.3 | 529.0 | Trade payables | 495.7 | 254.9 |
| Trade receivables and future receivables |
511.7 | 275.5 | Current bank borrowings |
13.2 | 6.6 |
| Net inventories | 391.7 | 218.6 | Other financial liabilities |
81.2 | 184.2 |
| Other current assets |
221.0 | 115.9 | Other current liabilities | 522.6 | 431.9 |
| Current assets | 1,584.7 | 1,139.0 | Current liabilities | 1,112.7 | 877.6 |
| Property, plant, equipment | 263.1 | 145.6 | Financial debt |
634.9 | 43.8 |
| Goodwill | 515.7 | 10.0 | Deferred tax liabilities | 140.6 | 55.4 |
| Capitalized R&D exp. | 223.4 | 110.9 | Other non-current liabilities |
56.7 | 27.8 |
| Deferred tax assets | 71.8 | 35.1 | |||
| Other non-current assets | 179.4 | 19.5 | |||
| Non-current assets | 1,253.4 | 321.1 | Non-current liabilities |
832.2 | 126.9 |
| Shareholders' equity |
893.2 | 455.6 | |||
| Total assets | 2,838.1 | 1,460.1 | Total liabilities | 2,838.1 | 1,460.1 |
Balance sheet reflects consolidation of AWP from 1.4.2016
Net debt EUR 187.8 mn (31.12.2015: net liquidity EUR 322.0 mn)
Equity ratio post-acquisition almost unchanged at 31.5% (31.12.2015: 31.2%)
Financing secured for upcoming years
Long-term financing of company and projects long-term secured
- First "Green Schuldschein" (SSD) worth EUR 550 mn issued by Nordex end of March with settlement in April
- SSD tranches of 3, 5, 7 and 10 years with fixed and variable coupons between 1.5% and 3.0% (on issue date)
- EUR 150 mn bond repaid mid of April
- Effective 1 April, major AWP Banks have joined the syndicated guarantee facility with EUR 65 mn commitment each using the increase option
- New facility amount: EUR 1.2 bn; 5-years term until December 2020
- Capital increase with issuance of 16.1 mn New Shares completely subscribed by Acciona S.A.; new number of shares at 96,982,447
Debt maturity profile as of July 2016 (in EUR mn)
- Debt profile currently consisting of two elements:
- Original EUR 100 mn R&D loan (EIB) drawn down completely
-
Promissory note ("Green Schuldschein") of EUR 550 mn closed, tranches of 3-10 years, average maturity ~4.3 yrs.
-
Generation Gamma: 71%, Delta: 21%, AW3000: 8%
-
11 countries, main markets: GER (342 MW), LatAM (183 MW), TUR (143 MW), PAK (123 MW)
-
Rostock blade facility benefited from more efficient production processes
- AWP: low blade output order related
Installations (MW) Blade production (#) Turbine assembly (MW)
- Turbine production output up more than 28% in line with higher demand
- AW products contributed 10% to total output
Organic growth in service business at 9 %
Service sales (in EUR mn) Service KPIs*
| KPI | H1 2016 | H1 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Renewal rate | 76% | 87% |
| Availability | 97.2% | 97.7% |
| Order backlog | EUR 1.1 bn as of June |
2016 |
*Nordex wind farms only
- Service sales rose by 24 % to EUR 121.2 mn in H1 2016. AWP Q2 service revenues accounted for EUR 15.2 mn of this increase
- Renewal Rate of expired service contracts declined to 76% (H1 2015: 87%) as Nordex chose to not extend low-margin contracts in the US and Italy
COE program was developed in Acciona Windpower over the last 4 years delivering COE reductions year by year
| New designs implemented New rotors developed New products launched Site-specific designs |
2.058 COST DOWN IDEAS 51 VALUE UP IDEAS |
PROCESS REALIGNMENT IMPROVEMENT METHODOLOGY |
|---|---|---|
| One team per COE lever Allocated Engineering resources Critical mass (110 participants) Regional groups (32 participants) |
14MULTIFUNCTIONAL TEAMS BI-WEEKLY DRUMBEAT MEETINGS MONTHLY MANAGEMENT REVIEWS |
MANAGEMENT COMMITMENT CONSTANT FOCUS STRONG LEADERSHIP |
Both programs have been launched by platform to achieve a common goal in COE reduction
3 Operational developments
Based on COE know how developed by Acciona Windpower and the experience from Nordex we are ready to deliver in our combined company
- One COE programme running per platform
- Same principles and methodology
- More than 280 people directly participating
- 888 active ideas
- Full Management support and commitment
18% TARGET 2018
Market update: medium and long-term growth in US and emerging markets; near-term competitive advantage in Germany
Acciona Windpower accounts for 1/3 of new orders
Turbine orders H1 2016 vs. H1 2015 (in EUR mn)
- Large orders from utilities with Nordex technology in H1 2015 not repeated in H1 2016
- Increase in conditional order intake by 57% to EUR 938 mn compared to end December 2015
-33% AWP Q2 1,353.5 1,330.2 H1 2015 H1 2016 -2%
Order intake (turbines) by country
- Strong order intake from Germany supported by upcoming changes in regulation and product fit in IEC III class
- Generation Delta and Generation Gamma turbines account for 27% and 37% of order intake (based on MW) respectively
- AW3000 turbine accounts for 32% of order intake (based on MW)
Commerzbank Sector Conference 31 August 2016 22
Order backlog provides strong foundation for H2 sales
Order backlog turbine business (in EUR mn)
- Firm order backlog of EUR 2,0 bn (turbines, excluding service business)
- Book-to-bill ratio close to 1
Order backlog turbine business by regions
- Two thirds of order backlog in Europe, with a significant pipeline in Brazil
- Additional order pipeline through conditional orders of EUR 938 mn at end June 2016 (end Dec 2015: EUR 597 mn)
6 Outlook and guidance 2016
Outlook for 2016*
Order intake: EUR >3.4 bn
Sales: EUR 3.35-3.45 bn
EBITDA margin: 8.3-8.7%
W/C ratio: <5%
CAPEX: EUR 80-90 mn
Nordex 2018 targets:
- Sales EUR 4.2 4.5 bn
- EBITDA margin >10%
*based on consolidation of AWP for 9 months from April 2016 onwards
- This presentation was produced in August 2016 by Nordex SE solely for use as a source of general information regarding the economic circumstances and status of Nordex SE. It does not constitute an offer for the sale of securities or an invitation to buy or otherwise acquire securities in the Federal Republic of Germany or any other jurisdiction. In particular it is not intended to be an offer, an investment recommendation or a solicitation of an offer to anyone in the U.S., Canada, Japan and Australia or any other jurisdiction. This presentation is confidential. Any reproduction or distribution of this presentation, in whole or in part, without Nordex SE's prior written consent is expressly prohibited.
- This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of Nordex SE and/or the industry in which Nordex SE operates, these statements are generally identified by using phrases such "aim", "anticipate", "believe", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "guidance", "intend", "objective", "plan", "predict", "project", and "will be" and similar expressions. Although we believe the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are based upon reliable assumptions, they are prepared as up-to-date and are subject to revision in the future. We undertake no responsibility to update any forward-looking statement. There is no assurance that our expectations will be attained or that any deviations may not be material. No representation or warranty can be given that the estimates, opinions or assumptions made in, or referenced by, this presentation will prove to be accurate.
Together on the same course
Lars Bondo Krogsgaard (CEO)
Ralf Peters (Head of Corporate Communications) Rolf Becker (Investor Relations)
Nordex SE Langenhorner Chaussee 600 22419 Hamburg Germany
Tel: +49-40-30030-1000 Fax: +49-40-30030-1333 Email: [email protected] Web: www.nordex-online.com