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Nordex SE — Call Transcript 2012
Aug 14, 2012
309_ip_2012-08-14_f5b5fc46-8ac7-4f76-bcc8-6284d4cc3311.pdf
Call Transcript
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Nordex SE Conference Call H1 2012
- 1. Highlights H1 2012 Dr. J. Zeschky
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2. Market development and order intake Dr. J. Zeschky
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5. Concluding remarks Dr. J. Zeschky
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3. Financials B. Schäferbarthold
- 4. Guidance 2012 B. Schäferbarthold
HIGHLIGHTS AND FINANCIAL SUMMARY H1 2012
- Markets remain challenging due to policy uncertainties and grid connection issues
- Nordex is gaining market volume compared with the industry as a whole
- Nordex: stable order intake of EUR 522 mn; global industry orders down by approx. 30%1
- Conditional order backlog rose to EUR 1.4 bn in Q2 (Q1:1.3 bn)
- Firm order book of EUR 873 mn forms strong basis for profitable H2-2012
- Sales increase of 4.4% YoY
- Further reduction in working capital as a result of destocking; improved operating cash flow
- Liquid funds remain high; Nordex well financed
- Start of serial production N117/2400 on schedule
- Signing of one of the largest framework contracts for Nordex in Finland (up to 111 WTG)
1) MAKE Consulting, July 2012
MARKET DEVELOPMENT H1 2012
Regional development Market highlights
- Cumulated forecast downgraded but global WTG installations to grow with a CAGR of ~6%
- Global growth in H1-2012 up by 20%; Germany (+26% YoY) and USA (+37% YoY) above average
- Demand in Northern Europe and Eastern Europe above average (CAGR +10%)
- Southern Europe held back by the credit crisis, but still growing slightly mainly thanks to Turkey and France
- USA will be the most volatile market due to the uncertain PTC situation – but there are proposals to extend it
- Asian volume still driven by China but currently affected by grid constraints
- RoW South Africa as an emerging market for wind
Sources: 2010/ 2011 - GWEC; 2012-2016 - MAKE Consulting, July 2012; BWE; AWEA
ORDER INTAKE OF EUR 522MN IN LINE WITH OUR GUIDANCE FOR 2012 AND ABOVE INDUSTRY TREND
Development of firm order intake H1 2010 - 2012 (in EUR mn) above industry trend
- 50% of the order intake guidance for 2012 (EUR 1 1.1 bn) already received
- Well above the average of the wind industry (-30% YoY) according to MAKE Consulting
- Comparably low exposure (~10%) to countries affected by the €-crisis and to Asia
Development of firm order backlog 2010 – HY1 2012 in EUR mn
- Order backlog 50 % above H1 2011
- Further improvement due to European order intake European business covers more than 80 % of the order book
- Conditional order backlog at EUR 1.4 bn
In EUR mn
| H1 2012 | Q2 2012 | H1 2011 | Q2 2011 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 421.1 | 222.8 | 403.3 | 220.1 |
| Total revenues | 435.4 | 244.3 | 442.7 | 250.4 |
| Cost of materials |
(339.3) | (187.8) | (318.7) | (180.6) |
| Gross profit | 96.1 | 56.5 | 124.0 | 69.8 |
| Personnel costs |
(67.2) | (34.4) | (66.7) | (34.0) |
| Net other oper. expenses |
(27.5) | (18.7) | (43.1) | (28.1) |
| EBITDA | 1.4 | 3.4 | 14.2 | 7.7 |
| Depreciation | (14.5) | (7.6) | (12.6) | (6.5) |
| EBIT | (13.1) | (4.2) | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Net financial result |
(11.0) | (5.8) | (7.4) | (4.4) |
| EBT | (24.1) | (10.0) | (5.8) | (3.2) |
| Tax | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Net Profit | (23.3) | (9.3) | (4.1) | (2.2) |
- Sales increase of 4.4 % YoY thanks to strong European business
- Structural costs down by almost 14 % YoY
- Slight improvement of gross margin and positive EBITDA as well as the strong order book - are a good basis for the expected EBIT improvement for H2 2012
In EUR mn
| H1 2012 | Q2 2012 | H1 2011 | Q2 2011 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net result | (23.3) | (9.3) | (4.1) | (2.2) |
| Depreciation | 14.5 | 7.5 | 12.7 | 6.6 |
| Change in provisions | 2.0 | 7.2 | (16.6) | (8.5) |
| Change in working capital | 19.1 | (29.7) | (132.2) | (34.4) |
| Other cash outflow from operating activities |
(16.3) | (14.4) | 17.8 | 0.6 |
| Cash flow from operating activities | (4.0) | (38.7) | (122.4) | (37.9) |
| Cash flow from investing activities | (21.0) | (11.9) | (23.8) | (13.4) |
| Cash flow from financing activities | (13.1) | (7.0) | 192.2 | 103.0 |
| Change in liquidity from cash flows | (38.1) | (57.6) | 46.0 | 51.7 |
| Liquidity beginning of period | 212.0 | 230.7 | 141.1 | 133.9 |
| Other | 1.2 | 2.0 | (2.9) | 4.3 |
| Liquidity end of period | 175.1 | 175.1 | 184.2 | 184.2 |
Significant improvement in operative cash flow YoY
Development of inventories and working capital ratio 2010 – Q2 2012
- Strict working capital management resulting in a working capital ratio of 22.5 % (2011: 27.7 %)
- Decrease of working capital by EUR 19,1 mn compared to year end 2011
- Significant decrease in inventories due to installation oriented production
In EUR mn
| H1 2012 | 2011 | H1 2012 | 2011 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid funds | 175.1 | 212.0 | Current bank borrowings |
29.7 | 76.2 |
| Trade receivables and future receivables |
278.6 | 260.1 | Trade payables | 111.5 | 109.7 |
| Net inventories | 234.6 | 227.4 | Other current liabilities | 297.0 | 407.6 |
| Other current assets | 60.2 | 60.7 | Current liabilities | 438.2 | 593.51 |
| Current assets | 748.5 | 760.2 | Non-current bank borrowings |
34.0 | 0 |
| Deferred tax assets | 41.4 | 40.7 | Deferred tax liabilities | 15.7 | 16.8 |
| Other non-current assets | 237.7 | 228.1 | Bond2 | 150.1 | - 1 |
| Other non-current liabilities | 37.0 | 42.1 | |||
| Non-current liabilities | 236.8 | 58.9 | |||
| Shareholders' equity | 352.6 | 376.6 | |||
| Total assets | 1,027.6 | 1,029.0 | Total assets | 1,027.6 | 1,029.0 |
1Bond disclosed under current liabilities/ short-term debt in FY 2011 in the amount of EUR 154.6 mn 2 incl. accrued interest
- Solid balance sheet
- Equity ratio slightly decreased to 34.3 %
| FY 2012e | |
|---|---|
| Sales | EUR 1 – 1.1 bn upper end possible if project execution at a swifter pace |
| Firm order intake |
EUR 1 – 1.1 bn |
| EBIT | 1 – 3% margin Economies of scale |
| Working capital ratio | Decrease compared to 2011 (27.7 %) |
| Cash flow | Positive operating cash flow |
On the basis of 73.529 mn shares, as of August 2012
Disclaimer
The targeted goals in this document reflect forward looking statements which are based solely on estimates and not on predictable risks.
Should the estimates with regard to the successful integration of acquisitions and the future internal growth of the company not to be realized or if other unpredictable risks should arise, it cannot be ruled out that the actual financial results of the company will differ substantially from the targeted goals as laid out in this document.
In this respect Nordex SE is unable to give a guarantee that the actual financial results of the company will not differ from any forecasts or guidance given.
Contact
Ralf Peters
Head of Corporate Communications Phone: +49 (0)40 30030 1522 Fax: +49 (0)40 30030 1333 eMail: [email protected]
Nordex SE
Langenhorner Chaussee 600, 22419 Hamburg, Germany www.nordex-online.com