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NLB — Investor Presentation 2020
May 18, 2020
1985_rns_2020-05-18_e05753e4-f3e0-4228-88c8-66bb93583695.pdf
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NLB Group Presentation 1Q2020 Results

Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Nova Ljubljanska banka d.d., Ljubljana (the "Company"). This presentation has been prepared solely for the purpose of informative presentation of the business conduct of the Company. This presentation has not been approved by any regulatory authority and does not constitute or form part of any offer to sell or issue or invitation to purchase, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase, any securities of the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
This presentation should not be considered as a recommendation that any recipient of this presentation should purchase or sell any of the Companies financial instruments or groups of financial instruments or assets. This presentation does not include all necessary information, which should be considered by the recipient of this presentation when making a decision on purchasing any of the the Companies financial instruments or assets. Each recipient of this presentation contemplating purchasing any of the Companies financial instruments or assets should make its own independent investigation of the financial condition and affairs, and its own appraisal of the Companies creditworthiness. Any corporate body or natural person interested in investing into Companies financial instruments or assets should consult well-qualified professional financial experts and thus obtain additional information. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of the presentation and are subject to change. No reliance may or should be placed by any person for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.
The presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of their respective parent or subsidiary undertakings or associated companies, or any of such person's respective directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or advisers, as to, and no reliance should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the truth, fullness, accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation or any other information relating to the Company, its subsidiary undertakings or, associated companies or affiliates, whether written, oral or in a visual or electronic form, and howsoever transmitted or made available and no responsibility or liability whatsoever is assumed by any such persons for any such information or opinions or for any errors or omissions or for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The information in this presentation is subject to correction, completion and change without notice..
This presentation does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company. In giving this presentation, none of the Company or any of their respective parent or subsidiary undertakings or associated companies, or any of such person's respective directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates or advisers, or any other party undertakes or is under any obligation to amend, correct or update this presentation or to provide the recipient with access to any additional information that may arise in connection with it. None of the foregoing persons accepts any responsibility whatsoever for the contents of this presentation, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by any such person in relation to the contents of this presentation. To the fullest extent permissible by law, such persons disclaim all and any responsibility or liability, whether arising in tort, contract or otherwise, which they might otherwise have in respect of this presentation. Recipients should not construe the contents of this presentation as legal, tax, regulatory, financial or accounting advice and are urged to consult with their own advisers in relation to such matters.
To the extent available, the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from official or third party sources. Third industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. While the Company reasonably believes that each of these publications, studies and surveys has been prepared by a reputable source, the Company have not independently verified the data contained therein. In addition, certain of the industry, market and competitive position data contained in this presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the markets in which the Company operates. While the Company reasonably believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or competitive position data contained in this presentation.
This presentation may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose, without the prior, written consent of the Company. The manner of distributing this presentation may be restricted by law or regulation in certain countries, including (but not limited to) the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan. Persons into whose possession this presentation may come are required to inform themselves about and to observe such restrictions. By accepting this presentation, a recipient hereof agrees to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
NLB is regulated by The Bank of Slovenia i.e. "Banka Slovenije, Slovenska 35, 1505 Ljubljana, Slovenia" and by The Securities Market Agency i.e. "Agencija za trg vrednostnih papirjev, Poljanski nasip 6, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia.

NLB Group Highlights
Key developments
• Covid-19 outbreak
- ➢ Government measures: immediate intervention measures & strategic measures.
- ➢ NLB Group measures: necessary measures to protect customers and employees by ensuring safety conditions and ensuring services are provided without disruption.
- ➢ Clients turned to digital channels and the Bank proved to be well prepared also for such circumstances
• Acquisition of Komercijalna banka a.d. Beograd
- ➢ On 26 February, NLB entered into a share purchase agreement with the Republic of Serbia for the acquisition of an 83.23% ordinary shareholding in Komercijalna Banka a.d. Beograd
- ➢ The closing of the transaction is expected in Q4 2020
• Capital measures
- ✓ Tier 2 issuances in total amount of EUR 285m
- ✓ Discussions with MIGA for guarantee agreements, which could reduce the risk weighted assets of NLB d.d. on consolidated level by around EUR 300 million
- ✓ Inclusion of minorities underway
• Regulatory changes
- ➢ New P2R composition (the P2 additional own funds requirement to be held in the form of CET1 capital, shall, instead, be held in the form of 56.25% of CET1 capital and 75% of Tier 1 capital, as a minimum)
- ➢ MREL requirement: 15.56% of Total Liabilities and Own Funds (TLOF) on sub-consolidated level of the NLB Resolution Group from 31 December 2021 onwards
- ➢ ECB/BoS ban for 2019 dividend payments
• Annual General Meeting
➢ 35th General Meeting of NLB d.d. will be held in Ljubljana, on 15 June 2020

COVID-19 Impact

Covid-19 measures by country
| Moratorium | Other CB / regulatory measures |
Gov't aid |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia | • Max 12 m • Opt-in mode |
• 2019 dividend payout banned • Capital and operational relief by the ECB |
• First stimulus package 3 bn EUR: to cushion the impact of coronavirus on Slovenia's economy and people: preserve jobs, improve liquidity, aid to agriculture; etc. • Second stimulus package 2 bn EUR: needed changes to the first package plus state guarantee for SMEs and corporates |
| North Macedonia |
• Min 3 m • Opt-in mode (Retail, SME) • Opt-out mode (Corporates) |
• Reintroduction of non-standard reserve requirement • 2019 dividend payout banned |
• Financial support to companies for salaries payment • Subsidy for the amount of 50% of the social security contribution • WB loan facility announced: 100-140 m EUR • EU mechanism for help announced: 100-140 m EUR |
| R. Srpska | • Max 6m • Opt-in mode |
• Dividends and variable payments banned • New structural liquidity requirement regulation in preparation |
• Solidarity fund introduced to cover min salary and social contribution payments to closed businesses • 330m EUR IMF facility and 250m EUR EU financial assistance granted (to BIH) • Guarantee scheme anounced, no details so far |
| Federation BiH |
• Max 6m • Opt-in mode |
• Dividends and variable payments banned • New structural liquidity requirement regulation in preparation |
• 1-1.5bn EUR Program: min salary and social security contribution paid to closed businesses, tax deferral, guarantee fund established • 330m EUR IMF facility and 250m EUR EU financial assistance granted (to BIH) • Guarantee scheme in the amount of 40m EUR |
| Kosovo | • Moratorium until 30th April • Opt-in mode |
• Waiver of Central bank regulation on Credit risk area, few measures canceled on liquidity risk |
• Postponement of tax payments for central and local government • Introduction of social package in the amount of 179 m EUR • Guarantee scheme –Micro and sole traders for liquidity needs up to EUR 10t loan with maturity of 24 months, the total Guarantee fund is EUR 15 mio -50% of the amount will be guaranteed by the Kosovo Credit Guarantee Fund, 30% by the KS Government, 50% of the interest will be subsidized by the KS Gov |
| Montenegro | • Min 3 m • Opt-in mode |
• Prohibition to banks from paying dividends • Allowed breach of concentration limits |
• Credit lines to improve liquidity of companies (max 3m EUR) • Tax deferrals |
| Serbia | • During state of emergency • Min 3 m • Opt-out mode |
• 500 mEUR liquidity aid • Reference rate drop by 50bps to 1.5% • Agreement with banks to strengthen capital and not to pay dividends |
• 5 bnEUR Program • Min. salary paid for SMEs • State loans, guarantees to SMEs • Tax deferrals • Guarantee scheme – 2bn EUR state guarantee program for SME corp. clients. State would guarantee 80% of exposure, however up to 24% gross exposure (or 480m EUR in absolute amount) in case if whole originated portfolio would default. The banks are able to participate in this scheme accord. to their current market shares, with certain adjustments based on success in campaigning. |
NLB Group Assets by segment and geography
Credit portfolio(1) by segment (Group, 31 Mar 2020, EURm)
Well diversified credit portfolio, with substantial retail exposure

Credit portfolio(1) by geography (Group, 31 Mar 2020, EURm)
Source: Company information Note: (1) Credit portfolio also includes advances to banks and central banks; (2) State includes exposures to central banks; (3) The largest part represent EU members.
Segmentation by industry & sectors
Limited exposure to sectors considered as sensitive
| Corporate sector, industry structure | Performing loans | Accomodation | Performing loans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accommodation and food service activitie | 95,663,755.47 | 2.58% | Hotels and similar | 63,550,411.00 | 1.71% |
| Act. of extraterritorial org. and bodies | 18,806.77 | 0.00% | Accomodation | 14,960,718.00 | 0.40% |
| Administrative And support service activ | 108,843,969.09 | 2.93% | Restaurants and mobile food | 10,900,261.00 | 0.29% |
| Agriculture, forestry and fishing | 136,668,579.93 | 3.68% | Others | 6,252,365.00 | 0.17% |
| Arts, entertainment and recreation | 13,955,117.96 | 0.38% | 95,663,755.00 | 2.58% | |
| Construction industry | 243,838,919.13 | 6.57% | Manufacturing (main sub industries - related to car industry) | Performing loans | |
| Education | 13,974,177.92 | 0.38% | Manufacture of electric motors, generators and transformers | 35,555,303.63 | 0.96% |
| Electricity, gas, steam and air conditio | 155,269,815.04 | 4.18% | Manufacture of metal structures and parts of structures | 23,025,523.43 | 0.62% |
| Finance | 110,598,239.18 | 2.98% | Manufacture of other parts and accessories for motor vehicles | 21,037,060.56 | 0.57% |
| Human health and social work activities | 21,173,762.84 | 0.57% | Manufacture of batteries and accumulators | 12,668,527.09 | 0.34% |
| Information and Communication | 186,238,155.22 | 5.02% | Casting of light metals | 16,512,615.17 | 0.44% |
| Manufacturing | 864,266,702.81 | 23.29% | Manufacture of electricity distribution and control apparatus | 9,578,870.98 | 0.26% |
| Mining and quarrying | 17,495,131.31 | 0.47% | Manufacture of other pumps and compressors | 4,749,304.37 | 0.13% |
| Professional, scientific and Techn. Acti | 81,557,679.19 | 2.20% | Manufacture of fluid pow er equipment |
3,634,623.13 | 0.10% |
| Public admin., defence, compulsory socia | 116,601,862.42 | 3.14% | 126,761,828.37 | 3.42% | |
| Real estate activities | 145,435,801.58 | 3.92% | Transport | Performing loans | |
| Services | 81,817,113.02 | 2.20% | Exposure to client w ith State Guarantee |
393,194,298.63 | 10.59% |
| Transport and Storage | 565,444,278.23 | 15.24% | Land transport (passenger) | 22,089,862.81 | 0.60% |
| Water supply | 25,987,000.39 | 0.70% | Land transport (freight and piplines) | 79,126,658.84 | 2.13% |
| Wholesale And retail trade | 726,343,117.78 | 19.57% | Postal services | 17,966,436.18 | 0.48% |
| other | 92,442.22 | 0.00% | Water transport (all) | 1,511,283.14 | 0.04% |
| Total | 3,711,284,427.49 | 100.00% | Air transport (all) | 168,055.64 | 0.00% |
| 514,668,652.05 | 13.87% |
• Accomodation, Manufacturing (related to Car industry only) and Transport represents 9.27% (0.34bn EUR) of corporate exposure (excl. exposure to corporate client with state guarantee)

Portfolio response
Moratorium structure of NLB Group, by non-financial corporation and households (as at 1 May 2020, EURm)
| Gross book value | Number of applications | % of relevant book | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NLB-Group | Approved | Rejected | In process | Approved | Rejected | In process | Approved | Rejected | In process |
| Total requests | 1,114 | 471 | 640 | 52,960 | 2,067 | 8,469 | 13.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% |
| o/w Non-financial corporation | 627 | 96 | 165 | 4,103 | 68 | 542 | 7.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% |
| o/w Households | 479 | 373 | 459 | 48,846 | 1,989 | 7,914 | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% |
Serbia and Macedonia implemented such schemes on an opt-out basis, which means that a relatively large share of exposures have been included.
| Gross book value | Number of applications | % of relevant book | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NLB D.D. | Approved | Rejected | In process | Approved | Rejected | In process | Approved | Rejected | In process |
| Total requests | 222 | 52 | 214 | 3,798 | 459 | 3,846 | 4.6% | 1.1% | 4.4% |
| o/w Non-financial corporation | 129 | 39 | 105 | 323 | 27 | 297 | 2.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% |
| o/w Households | 92 | 11 | 93 | 3,465 | 423 | 3,536 | 1.9% | 0.2% | 1.9% |
| Gross book value | Number of applications | % of relevant book | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategic foreign markets | Approved | Rejected | In process | Approved | Rejected | In process | Approved | Rejected | In process |
| Total requests | 892 | 419 | 426 | 49,162 | 1,608 | 4,623 | 9.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| o/w Non-financial corporation | 497 | 56 | 60 | 3,780 | 41 | 245 | 5.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| o/w Households | 387 | 363 | 366 | 45,381 | 1,566 | 4,378 | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
• On NLB Group level EUR 1,114 million moratorium approved so far, 56% to Non-financial corporations and 44% to Households.
- The amount represents 13.9% of total gross book in the two segments.
- Rejection rate is approximately 7.5%.
- Additional EUR 640 million are still to be processed.
- Moratorium will mitigate asset quality deterioration (freezing of DPD counter and suspension of automated forbearance flag), but asset quality deterioration likely even during moratoria as rating process in the corporate segment is ongoing as well as monitoring of Retail.
- Intra-moratorium IFRS9 stage migration: individual review of corporates as well as expert-opinion-based portfolio assessment for retail expected to lead to S1/S2 migration and contribute to provision increase in 2Q2020. In 1Q2020 weaker macroeconomic assumptions were incorporated into IFRS9 provision calculation, which contributed to one-off increase of pool provisions in this period.
Impairments and provisions & cost of risk
Cost of risk high

Impairments and provisions (Group, EUR m)
Cost of risk(1) (Group, bps)
In first three months of 2020, the Group established EUR 28.3 million of net impairments and provisions, while in the same period of previous year EUR 0.6 million.
Impairments and provisions for credit risk were net established in the amount of EUR 28.2 million and thus the cost of risk was high, 146 bps. Cost of risk in Q1 2020 without COVID-19 effect is 18 bps.
New credit impairments and provisions in total amount of EUR 24.5 million were established in Q1 2020 due to COVID-19 outbreak (recalculation of all parameters is performed annually, usually in the second quarter of the year, but since the macroeconomic environment has changed significantly since the year-end, additional ECL were recognised in all banks already in Q1, based on current assumptions).
Other impairments and provisions in Q1 2020 were net established in the amount of EUR 0.2 million, while in the same period of 2019 EUR 3.9 million.

*Other includes: NLB Srbija, NLB Crna gora, Leasing companies, LHB Frankfurt and NLB InterFinanz
75 38 -62 -43 -20 146 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1-3 2020 CoR 0 bps
Note: (1) Cost of risk = credit impairments and provisions (annualised level) / average net loans to customers;

Key Developments

Key performance indicators of NLB Group
| Medium-term targets set in 2018(1) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YE 18 | YE 19 | Q1 20 | Medium term(8) | ||||||
| Net interest margin(2) | 2.56% | 2.48% | 2.29% | >2.7% | |||||
| Loans to deposits ratio | 68.3% | 65.5% | 66.6% | <95% | |||||
| Total capital ratio | 16.7% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 15.75%(7) | |||||
| Cost-income ratio | 58.5% | 58.7% | 60.3% | ~50% | |||||
| Cost of risk(3) | -43 bps | -20 bps | 146 bps | <90bps(5) | |||||
| Return on equity (RoE) | 11.8% | 11.7% | 4.3% | ~12.0% | |||||
| Dividend payout | 70% | ~70%(6) | |||||||
| NPE ratio(4) | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | <4.0% |
Source: Company information
Note: (1) Target set by NLB management as a part of their financial projections for 2019-2023; (2) Calculated on the basis of interest bearing assets; interest margin data for 2018 are adjusted to new methodology (calculation based on the number of days for the period). (3) Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers; (4) Based on EBA definition. (5) CoR < 90bps should be read as NLB Group's limit that should not be exceeded even in deteriorated economic conditions. (6) The payment of dividends by NLB, will depend on NLB's capital structure, risk appetite, profits, financial condition, regulatory requirements, general economic and business conditions, and future prospects. (7) Revised in April 2020 (from 16.25%); target total capital ratio is regularly revised by the competent bodies to reflect each time the applicable capital requirements. (8) Mid-term target is subject to review as COVID-19 will likely have a negative impact on achievement of the target within the originally foreseen timeframe (2023).

Revenues and Cost Dynamics

Net interest income (Group, EURm)
Net non-interest income (Group, EURm)



Cost of risk(1) (Group, bps)
Costs (Group, EURm)

Net impairments and provisions (Group, EUR m)

Note: (1) Cost of risk = credit impairments and provisions (annualised level) / average net loans to customers;
Release
146
Loan dynamics
Gross loans to individuals Gross loans to corporate
+4% YoY
-1% YtD


Gross loans to corporate (in EUR million)
Yields - loans to corporate

4.07% 31 Mar 2019 4.11% 31 Dec 2019 4.10% 31 Mar 2020 2,376.8 2,267.8 2,354.2 Yields - loans to individuals Gross loans to individuals (in EUR million)
0
1,000
1,500
500
500
1,000
1,500
0
2,000

Note: (1) Without funding of subsidiaries; (2) Only banks also before new segmentation from 2019 on; consolidated data for volumes.
0 500
2,500
0 500
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
Income Statement


Notes: (1) Gains less losses from capital investments in subsidiaries, associates, and joint ventures. (2) NLB Skladi, NLB Vita and Bankart.
In Q1 2020, NLB Group generated EUR 18.3 million of profit after tax:
- Net interest income was lower by EUR 2.0 million (3%), mainly due to an increase in interest expenses in the Bank (new subordinated Tier 2 instruments issued in 2019 and Q1 2020), which was partially compensated with the loan volume growth.
- Higher net fee and commission income by EUR 2.3 million YoY (6%), mainly from the retail segment in the banking subsidiaries in SEE. An increase was recorded from total fees from basic accounts, payment transactions, and cards and ATM operations (3% in total), and also in fees from investment funds and bancassurance business. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak a decrease of net fee and commission income in the second half of March 2020 was recorded (fewer withdrawals and payments made by customers).
- Total costs higher by EUR 4.9 million or 7%, mostly due to higher employee costs, costs of services and IT.
- Net established impairments and provisions were EUR 28.3 million, while in the same period of previous year EUR 0.6 million. New credit impairments and provisions in total net amount of EUR 24.5 million established in Q1 2020 due to COVID-19 outbreak.
Result before impairments and provisions (Group, EURm) Contribution to the NLB Group consolidated result a.t. (EURm)

Balance sheet structure – NLB Group
Simple client business driven balance sheet


Liabilities
NLB Group – performance indicators across SEE countries

| Slovenia | North Macedonia |
Bosnia and |
Herzegovina | Kosovo | Montenegro | Serbia | NLB Group | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NLB d.d., Ljubljana |
NLB Banka Skopje |
NLB Banka Banja Luka |
NLB Banka Sarajevo |
NLB Banka Prishtina |
NLB Banka Podgorica |
NLB Banka Beograd |
||
| Data on stand-alone | basis | Consolidated data* |
||||||
| Result after tax (EURm) |
7.5 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 0.1(6) | 0.3 | 18.3 |
| Total assets (EURm) |
9,946 | 1,472 | 769 | 634 | 800 | 530 | 633 | 14,288 |
| RoE a.t. |
2.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 11.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 4.3% |
| Net interest margin(1) |
1.65% | 3.43% | 2.41% | 2.95% | 4.12% | 4.16% | 3.64% | 2.29% |
| Cost/income | 68.0% | 41.5% | 47.9% | 56.2% | 32.8% | 55.0% | 73.4% | 60.3% |
| Loans/ Deposits % (net) |
59.8% | 77.7% | 67.6% | 79.6% | 80.8% | 87.0% | 100.2% | 66.6% |
| NPL ratio | 3.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 3.9% |
| NLB ownership (%) |
87.0% | 99.8% | 97.3% | 81.2% | 99.8% | 99.9% | / | |
| No. of branches (#) |
92 | 53 | 53 | 37 | 34 | 19 | 28 | 316 |
| Market share by total assets (%) |
23.6% | 16.1% (4) | 18.3% (2, 4) | 5.3% (3, 4) | 17.8% | 11.8% (5) | 1.7% (4) | / |
Note: Financial data as of March 2020
*Consolidated data. Including non-core members and other activities and other core members.
(1)Calculated on the basis of interest bearing assets; (2) Market share in the Republic of Srpska; (3) Market share in the Federation of BiH; (4) Data for market share as of 31 Dec 2019; (5) Data for market share as of 29 Feb 2020. (6) Bank achieved profit before impairments and tax in the amount of EUR 2.8 million. Net profit in the amount of EUR 0.1 million exceeds YoY result but is impacted by additional provisions that were formed for one litigation case (EUR 2.2 million)

Business Performance

Net interest income & net interest margin
Interest income remains under pressure

Interest income Interest expenses
Interest income (Group, EURm) Net interest margin(1) (Group, %)

Net interest margin(1) in NLB Group banks (in %)

Source: Company information Note: (1) Calculated on the basis of interest bearing assets.
Net interest income drivers – NLB d.d.

Net interest income drivers – Strategic foreign markets(1)

Net non-interest income – NLB Group Good performance in Fees and Commissions

Net non-interest income (Group, EURm) (1)
Non-recurring other net non-interest income
| in EUR million | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Change YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recurring other net non-interest income Net income from financial transactions |
2.3 | 2.6 | -0.3 | -12% |
| (Fees from Exchange differences) | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 17% |
| Net other income | -0.5 | 0.2 | -0.7 | - |
| - external realization NLB (IT, cash logistics) | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 6% |
| - rents | 0.9 | 1.5 | -0.6 | -41% |
| - regulatory charges (SRF, DGS) | -2.4 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -8% |
Dividend income
Net fee and commission income growing YoY (Group, EURm)

Net non-interest income reached EUR 46.4 million and decreased by EUR 8.7 million or 16% YoY. The YoY dynamic was influenced by the following factors:
• Net fee and commission income higher by EUR 2.3 million or 6% YoY, mainly from the retail segment in the banking subsidiaries in SEE. An increase was recorded in basic accounts fees, payment transactions, and cards and ATM operations (3% in total), and also in fees from investment funds and bancassurance business. Due to the COVID-19 outbreak a decrease of net fee and commission income in the second half of March 2020 was recorded (mainly on card operations, fewer withdrawals and payments from customers were made).
• Important material non-recurring other net non-interest income in Q1 2019 with a positive impact on the Group's result were a partial repayment of a large exposure measured at fair value through profit and loss in the amount of EUR 5.1 million, and the sale of debt securities held by the Bank with a positive effect in the amount of EUR 2.6 million. The Bank realized profit from the sale of the securities portfolio also in Q1 2020 in the amount of EUR 2.3 million.
Note: (1) From June 2019 on different presentation of non-recurring items is in use. (2) Includes investment funds, guarantees, investment banking, insurance products and other services.
Costs – NLB Group
Costs increased YoY


- Total costs amounted to EUR 74.6 million, and are thus by EUR 4.9 million or 7% higher YoY, mostly due to higher employee costs, costs of services and IT (mostly licences).
- The QoQ decrease due to performance rewards paid in December and higher other general and administrative costs in Q4 2019 (mostly costs of services and marketing).
- CIR stood at 60.3%.
- Headcount dropped by 19% over 2012-March 2020 driven primarily by Slovenia core & non-core members.
- Ongoing closures of unprofitable branches.
Operating expenses (Group, EURm) Employees and branches evolution – stronger rationalisation in tougher Slovenia market (#)

of branches

Impairments and provisions & cost of risk
Cost of risk high

Impairments and provisions (Group, EUR m)
In first three months of 2020, the Group established EUR 28.3 million of net impairments and provisions, while in the same period of previous year EUR 0.6 million.
Impairments and provisions for credit risk were net established in the amount of EUR 28.2 million and thus the cost of risk was high, 146 bps. Cost of risk in Q1 2020 without COVID-19 effect is 18 bps.
New credit impairments and provisions in total amount of EUR 24.5 million were established in Q1 2020 due to COVID-19 outbreak (recalculation of all parameters is performed annually, usually in the second quarter of the year, but since the macroeconomic environment has changed significantly since the year-end, additional ECL were recognised in all banks already in Q1, based on current assumptions).
Other impairments and provisions in Q1 2020 were net established in the amount of EUR 0.2 million, while in the same period of 2019 EUR 3.9 million.

Cost of risk(1) (Group, bps)

Note: (1) Cost of risk = credit impairments and provisions (annualised level) / average net loans to customers;
*Other includes: NLB Srbija, NLB Crna gora, Leasing companies, LHB Frankfurt and NLB InterFinanz

Assets and Liabilities

NLB Group Assets
Well diversified loan book, strong liquidity position

Total assets of NLB Group – structure (EURm)

Credit portfolio by segment (Group, 31 Mar 2020)

Banking book portfolio by asset class (Group, 31 Mar 2020)

NLB Group Assets – Loan portfolio
Balanced loan portfolio with loan growth in most of banks
Gross loans to customers by strategic member – contribution (EURm)

Gross loans stable or growing in all subsidiaries banks, especially in NLB Banka, Beograd and NLB Banka, Podgorica.
Gross loans to individuals in subsidiary banks grew by 1.8% and to corporate by 1.5% YtD.

NLB Group Liabilities and Equity
Funding structure driven by stable and price insensitive deposit base

NLB Group Liabilities
Stable deposit base with decreasing interest rate
Deposits from customers by strategic member – contribution (EURm)

Deposit stays on the same level across all markets, despite low interest rate environment.
NLB d.d. charges minimum 0.03% monthly fee on deposits volume (threshold from January 2019 at EUR 100k) to corporate deposits and account balances.

Capital - NLB Group
• At the end of March 2020, the Total capital ratio for NLB Group stood at 18.5% (or 2.2 p.p. higher YtD), and for NLB at 26.1% (3.4 p.p. higher YtD). • The higher total capital adequacy derives from higher capital (EUR 212.0 million for NLB Group) mainly due to inclusion of all T2 instruments in capital (EUR 240.0 million), while
other comprehensive income decreased for EUR -25.3 million.
Strong capital position
NLB Group capital ratios (%) Capital structure and ratios

RWA structure (EURm)

| (in EUR million) | 31.3.2020 | 31.12.2019 | Change YtD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common Equity Tier 1 capital | 1,423.2 | 1,451.2 | -28.0 | -1.9% |
| Additional Tier 1 capital | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Tier 1 capital | 1,423.2 | 1,451.2 | -28.0 | -1.9% |
| Tier 2 capital | 284.6 | 44.6 | 240.0 | |
| Total capital | 1,707.8 | 1,495.8 | 212.0 | 14.2% |
| Total risk exposure amount (RWA) | 9,226.7 | 9,185.5 | 41.2 | 0.4% |
| RWA for credit risk | 7,725.0 | 7,720.2 | 4.8 | |
| RWA for market risks + CVA | 547.6 | 523.7 | 23.8 | |
| RWA for operational risk | 954.1 | 941.6 | 12.6 | |
| Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio | 15.4% | 15.8% | -0.4 p.p. | |
| Tier 1 Ratio | 15.4% | 15.8% | -0.4 p.p. | |
| Total Capital Ratio | 18.5% | 16.3% | 2.2 p.p. |
NLB Group capital ratios and local requirements (31 Mar 2020, %)

Note: *As of 1 January 2020 new SREP capital requirement applicable for NLB Group leading to overall capital requirement of 14.25% (lower by 0.5 p. p.).
Capital evolution and requirements
Strong capital position

Structure of the Overall Capital Requirement (OCR)
- Total capital ratio reaching 18.5% on Group level in March 2020.
- As from 1 January 2020, Pillar 2 Requirement (P2R) is lowered by 0.5 p.p. (to 2.75%) as a result of better overall SREP assessment. Comfortable buffers against 2020 regulatory requirements of 14.25% OCR.
- NLB medium term target set at 15.75%(2) total capital ratio; to be regularly revised by competent bodies to reflect each time applicable capital requirements. Medium term target incl. P2G and management buffer.
- NLB issued Tier 2 instruments in total amount of EUR 285 million. The bonds issued on 19 November 2019 and on 5 February 2020, each in the amount of EUR 120 million, are included in the capital as per 31 March 2020. The Bank obtained ECB permission for inclusion of both instruments in the calculation of its Tier 2 capital in March 2020.
- The Bank of Slovenia adopted a macroprudential measure in April 2020 placing temporary restrictions on banks and savings banks in their profit distribution for the profits generated in 2019 and 2020, and to undistributed profits and reserves from previous years. The measure is expected to be in place for one year, although the Bank of Slovenia will closely monitor the situation, and will modify the measure as appropriate should the risks increase or decrease significantly. The first assessment of the measure is planned for the end of this year.
- NLB accounts EUR 35mln from 2019 profits in its regulatory capital (CET1). The remaining of the 2019 result in amount of 157mln is not yet accounted for in the capital. In the upcoming AGM it is suggested to resolve on a proposal to keep retaining all profits also in respect of the decision of BoS.
On 12 March the ECB announced the amended composition of the P2 additional own funds requirement. On 8 April NLB d.d. received the decision by ECB amending the composition of the P2 additional own funds requirement. This Decision shall apply retroactively from 12 March 2020. With this specific measure (P2R being covered with CET1 with at least 56.25%, and being covered with T1 with 75%), capital req. for NLB Group stand at:
| OCR | CET1 | T1 | TCR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted | 9.55% | 11.56% | 14.25% |
The TSCR and OCR for total capital remained unchanged.
Note: (1) OCI – Other Comprehensive Income, Intangible assets are deduction item; (2) Revised in April 2020 (from 16.25%)

Asset Quality

Diversified credit portfolio, focused on core markets and cautious risk taking

Credit portfolio(1) by currency and rate type (Group, 31 Mar 2020)

Source: Company information
- No large concentration in any specific industry or client segment
- Lending strategy focuses primarily on its core markets of retail, SME and selected corporate business activities
- Great emphasis is also placed on further improvement of credit portfolio
- Intensive and proactive handling of problematic customers
- Cautious lending policy
- Early warning system for detecting increased credit risk
- The Group is actively present on the market, financing existing and new creditworthy clients.
Note: (1) Credit portfolio also includes advances to banks and central banks; (2) Rating A, B and C are performing exposures. Rating A: investment grade clients with high financial stability; Rating B: clients with high ability to repay their obligations, a significant aggravation of the economic environment would cause problems to them; Rating C: performing clients with increased level of risk who may encounter problems with settlement of liabilities in the future; Ration D and E are NPLs: Default clients (article 178 of CRR), including clients in delay >90days and other clients considered 'unlikely to pay' with delays below 90 days. Numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Diversified credit portfolio, focused on core markets and cautious risk taking

Credit portfolio(1) by segment (Group, 31 Mar 2020, EURm)
Credit portfolio(1) by geography (Group, 31 Mar 2020, EURm)

Note: (1) Credit portfolio also includes advances to banks and central banks; (2) State includes exposures to central banks; (3) The largest part represent EU members.
Dec-15
NPLs fully covered by provisions and collateral

Top 20 NPLs (Group, 31 Mar 2020)

NPL by geography (Group, 31 Mar 2020) NPL cash coverage(1) (Group, %)


An important Group strength is the NPL cash coverage (CR1), which remains high at 93%. Further, the Group's NPL coverage ratio 2 stands at 64 %, which is well above the EU average as published by the EBA.
As such, it enables a further reduction in NPLs without any material losses.
Source: Company information Note: (1) Cash coverage calculated including both individual and pool provisions.
New NPL formation very low, successfull legacy resolution

Low NPL in Retail segment throughout the economic cycle.
In Corporate segment a considerable reduction of NPL is observed in industries with the highest NPL %.
Top 10 NPL represent 32% of the entire NPL volume; the coverage with provisions remains high, limiting the potential losses.
NPL ratio increased from 3.8% to 3.9 YtD, while NPE ratio remained at the end year level at 2.7%.

Note: NPL was defined until December 2014 as loan exposure to D and E clients/claims and delays over 90 days from loans to A, B and C classified clients. Since customers with loans (in arrears over) with 90 days past due should be classified in nonperforming grade (D or E), NPL definition changed and from 31.12.2014 include only D and E exposures; NPLs, NPL ratio and NPL cash coverage based on Credit portfolio; (1) Refers to corporate loans issued since 2014 and retail loans issued since 2015.
High % of Stage 1 Loan portfolio (Valued at amortized cost & FVTPL)

Stage 1 loans represent 91% of loan portfolio valued at amortized cost and fair value through P&L.
Due to NPL reduction Strategy the share of Stage 3 loans is decreasing.
Limited volume of Stage 2 loans.


Strategy & IT

NLB went through difficult times – A new period is about to start
2016


2013
-
Strong incumbent heritage
-
Lagging behind international trends
-
Limited business/ customer focus
Restructuring
3 years of progressive implementation of the Restructuring Program
-
PAT back to positive
-
OPEX reduction by 20%
-
Rundown of NPL portfolio
Strategy 2020
4 years strategy defining initiatives to improve profitability
-
13 strategic initiatives successfully closed; 4 major programs started
-
Targets have been reached: NLB became the most profitable Slovenian group
-
IPO/ privatization
Strategy update 2025
NOW we are updating the strategy since…
2019
-
…key restrictions were finally eliminated (state aid process concluded)
-
… market environment has been changing
-
… new opportunities emerged
-
… we would like to identify, detail and operationalize future path for the entire NLB GROUP

We are a successful, geographical niche player with strong foundations to build on
Foundations to benefit from

Strong market positions
Above 10% market share in 5/6 countries with high entry barriers. Wide coverage and accessibility

Regional roots
The only cross-regional player with local HQ: market knowledge and image

Positive brand perception at subsidiaries
High brand equity (except for Slovenia, due to the turbulences in the past years)

Recent successes, local innovation Good recent performance, acknowledged innovations (digital) in Slovenia

Untapped opportunities
Plentiful untapped potential to be exploited in various market segments and in operations

Track record of innovation
The pioneer of banking innovation in Slovenia

First Slovenian bank to launch contactless ATMs

First Slovenian bank to launch chat and video call functionalities and the only bank with multichannel 24/7 support

Only bank with fully mobile express loan capabilities (Consumer & SME)

First Slovenian bank to offer card management functionalities in mobile wallet

Top-ranked financial apps on App Store and Google Play

Demonstrated success in moving to digital


% Penetration of client base
Use of video call functionality (# of contacts)

E- and M-bank transactions (in EURm)

E-bank M-bank
Mobile bank users(1) ('000s) Online bank users(1) ('000s)

Note: All figures are for Slovenia (1) Individual users (Klikin and NLB Klik); (2) In 2017 ~30,000 inactive NLB Klik users systematically removed.
Medium-term objectives in IT and Digital
Leverage digital and data to enhance our business model
Enhance customer experience ✓ Increase customer satisfaction ✓ Create new business opportunities Optimise operations ✓ Full (paperless) digitalization of processes ✓ Increased process automation ✓ Reduction in cost-to-serve ✓ Concentration on value adding activities (advisory, sales) Data insights ✓ Risk scoring models ✓ Behavioral models to inform individualized customer offers ✓ Support of automated decisions ✓ Upgrading digital channels to support full customer journeys ✓ Migration of customers to new digital channels ✓ Idea management implementation ✓ Deploying partnerships to explore new concepts ✓ Open eco-system to become solution Omni-channel Strategic initiatives 1 2 Innovative solutions 3 Increase innovation capacity ✓ Agile development ✓ Pull ideas driven by customer demands ✓ Empowering employees Simplification ✓ Process and product simplification to support digital delivery ✓ Simplified IT enabling digitalization 4 Strategic objectives Improve customer insight ✓ Data collection ✓ Data extrapolation ✓ Advanced analytics

NLB Group synergy opportunities
Group synergies are being addressed in all functional areas
- Established predominantly for subsidiary banks, but will increasingly service also the parent company
- Core banking maintenance and development operating since the beginning of 2018
- Expansion in 2019 provided additional support:
- API roll-out
- ETL's and data modelling in EDWH
IT competence center Process (System) competences
- Standardization of the loan origination and approval process and unification of the platform for all 6 subsidiary banks. An RFP to purchase a platform was launched in Q4 2019. POCs of shortlisted bidders is expected to start in Q2
- Introduction of RPA in 2 banks in the Group
IT regionalisation activities Procurement
- Regional SIEM(1) and SOC(2) successfully set up by the parent bank in Ljubljana covering all banks in the Group
- Regional synergies in all major areas of IT infrastructure have been addressed
-
Unification / Standardization activities in infrastructure and application have been launched
-
Central sourcing in strategic sourcing categories is in place
- Regional synergy potential explored in categories with highest spend
By actively working on Group synergies, NLB Group leverages on costs (scale), speed of implementation and knowledge sharing


Outlook

Covid-19: Macro & business outlook
Macro outlook & risk factors affecting the business outlook similar contraction (-6.0%). The economic growth in the Group's region could drop to around -4.5% this year. • Economic momentum in the region has worsened due to COVID-19 pandemic (since end of Q1 2020). Countries in the region implemented different mitigation measures, with the aim of mitigating adverse negative impacts of the pandemic. Substantial drop in the economic activity, lower industrial production and consumer spending is expected to cause an economic slowdown and increased unemployment in the region. • Based on the measures taken by the governments in Slovenia and other countries, the Group is granting an option of moratoriums on payment of obligations to all eligible borrowers due to COVID-19, which will not be treated as a trigger for significant increase of the credit risk. Nevertheless, all clients requiring the moratorium will be closely monitored as their financial situation and identification of credit deterioration will lead to downgrade and impact the IFRS 9 staging. • Risk factors affecting the business outlook are (among others): the economies' sensitivity to a potential slowdown in the Euro area or globally, credit spreads widening, potential liquidity outflows, worsened interest rate outlook, regulatory and tax measures impacting the banks, and other geopolitical uncertainties. • The overall slow-down of the economy is expected to have a negative impact on new loan generation and consequently lower net interest income than previously expected. Margins are expected to be under further pressure. The additional pressure on interest income in retail market in Slovenia is expected due to regulatory restrictions for consumer lending put in place by the end of 2019. A negative effect is expected also on fees and commissions as a result of lower transaction volumes (card business and payments). • Due to slower business operations linked to moratoriums and the crisis, some of the activities of the Group are expected to be cancelled or postponed; which will reflect in lower costs. On the other hand, costs related to protection of health - hygiene, safety products and transportation, resulting from the current situation will increase. • Due to the impact of worsened macroeconomic environment at the end of Q1 2020 the Group made one-off adjustment of expected credit losses in accordance with new macro forecasts, consequently resulting in an increase of cost of risk. The cost of risk for 2020 is under current knowledge and anticipated consequences expected to be in a range of 150 bps, although this will depend on the length and severity of disruption in corporate operations and consumer incomes. • Due to recent ECB measures taken, NLB Group is expecting to benefit from the lower capital requirements, while due to ECB recommendation on dividend distributions during the COVID-19 pandemic towards European banks, the dividend distributions by the Bank are not envisaged in 2020. Business outlook
• We expect that the global economy will experience a recession in 2020 of around -3%. The Euro area, with an already weak economic growth in 2019, could contract by around 6.5% this year, while Slovenia can experience a
Appendixes
| Appendix 1: Segment Analysis |
46 |
|---|---|
| Appendix 2: Macro Overview |
65 |
| Appendix 3: Financial statements |
78 |


Appendix 1
Segment Analysis

NLB Group business segments
| Retail banking in Slovenia(1) |
Corporate and investment banking in Slovenia |
Strategic foreign markets |
Financial markets in Slovenia |
Non-core members |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Micro NLB Skladi Bankart(2) |
Key corporates SME corporates Investment banking and custody Restructuring and workout |
NLB Banka, Skopje NLB Banka, Banja Luka NLB Banka, Sarajevo NLB Banka, Prishtina NLB Banka, Podgorica NLB Banka, Beograd |
Treasury activities Trading in financial instruments Asset and liabilities management (ALM) |
Non-core members according to EC commitments REAM entities NLB Srbija NLB Crna Gora |
|
| (Mar 2020, in EUR million) | • Largest retail banking group in Slovenia by loans, deposits and number of branches • #1 in private banking and asset management • Focused on upgrading customer digital experience and satisfaction |
• Market leader in corporate banking with focus on advisory and long-term strategic partnerships • Market leader in Investment Banking and Custody services • Regional know-how and experience in Corporate Finance and #1 lead organiser for syndicated loans in Slovenia • Strong trade finance operations and other fee based business • Market leader at FX and interest rate hedges |
• Leading SEE franchise with 6 independent, well capitalised and largely self-funded subsidiaries • The only international banking group with exclusive focus on the SEE region |
• Maintaining stable funding base • Management of well diversified liquidity reserves • Managing interest rate positions with responsive pricing policy |
• Assets booked non-core subsidiaries funded via NLB d.d. • Controlled wind-down of remaining assets, including collection of claims, liquidation of subsidiaries and sale of assets |
| Profit b.t. | 7.0 | 0.04 | 11.3 | 5.8 | -2.2 |
| Total assets |
2,531 | 2,205 | 4,740 | 4,408 | 159 |
| total assets(3) % of |
18% | 15% | 33% | 31% | 1% |
| CIR | 71.6% | 51.9% | 52.1% | 24.3% | 242.8% |
| Cost of risk (bp) |
77 | 185 | 181 | / | 116 |
Notes: (1) Divestment of 50% equity stake in NLB Vita in December 2019; (2) 39% minority stake; (3) Other activities 2%.
NLB d.d.
| NLB d.d., Ljubljana | "on stand alone basis" | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key financial indicators | Change | Balance sheet | Change | ||||||
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | in 000 EUR | 31 Mar 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 | ||||
| ROE a.t. | 2.2% | 12.8% | -10.6 p.p. | Total assets | 9,945,909 | 9,801,557 | 144,352 | 1.5% | |
| Interest margin | 1.65% | 1.92% | -0.3 p.p. | Loans to customers (net) | 4,682,723 | 4,589,170 | 93,553 | 2.0% | |
| CIR | 68.0% | 51.9% | 16.1 p.p. | ||||||
| Cost of risk net (bps)* | 124 | -27 | 150 | Loans to customers (gross) | 4,834,095 | 4,718,049 | 116,046 | 2.5% | |
| LTD net | 59.8% | 62.8% | 0.0 | Gross loans to corporate | 2,303,449 | 2,154,467 | 148,982 | 6.9% | |
| Income statement | Change | Gross loans to individuals | 2,354,224 | 2,376,792 | -22,568 | -0.9% | |||
| in 000 EUR | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | Gross loans to state | 176,422 | 186,790 | -10,368 | -5.6% | |
| Total net operating income | 68,128 | 81,398 | -13,270 | -16.3% | Financial assets | 3,053,237 | 3,168,624 | -115,387 | -3.6% |
| Net interest income | 37,165 | 39,757 | -2,592 | -6.5% | Deposits from customers | 7,834,716 | 7,760,737 | 73,979 | 1.0% |
| Net non-interest income | 30,963 | 41,641 | -10,678 | -25.6% | Deposits from corporate | 1,575,956 | 1,674,873 | -98,917 | -5.9% |
| o/w net fees and commissions |
26,083 | 25,220 | 863 | 3.4% | Deposits from individuals | 6,146,089 | 5,984,982 | 161,107 | 2.7% |
| Total costs | -46,325 | -42,231 | -4,094 | -9.7% | Deposits from state | 112,671 | 100,882 | 11,789 | 11.7% |
| Employee costs | -27,134 | -24,980 | -2,154 | -8.6% | |||||
| Other general and administrative expenses | -14,539 | -12,919 | -1,620 | -12.5% | NPL gross | 188,562 | 169,451 | 19,111 | 11.3% |
| Depreciation and amortization | -4,652 | -4,332 | -320 | -7.4% | % NPL | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.2 p.p. | |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 21,803 | 39,167 | -17,364 | -44.3% | Capital (according to local legislation) | ||||
| Impairments and provisions | -14,205 | 6,137 | -20,342 | - | Total capital ratio | 26.1% | 22.6% | 3.4 p.p. | |
| Result after tax | 7,476 | 42,210 | -34,734 | -82.3% | |||||
| Number of employees | 2,646 | 2,664 | -18 | -0.7% |
*Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers.
Result after tax and before impairments and provisions


Retail Banking in Slovenia
| in EUR million consolidated |
Retail Banking in Slovenia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Change YoY | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2019 | Change QoQ | ||
| Net interest income | 21.3 | 23.0 | -1.7 | -7% | 21.3 | 21.8 | 23.0 | -2% |
| Net non-interest income | 18.6 | 20.1 | -1.4 | -7% | 18.6 | 21.4 | 20.1 | -13% |
| o/w Net fee and commmission income | 19.3 | 19.5 | -0.3 | -1% | 19.3 | 20.9 | 19.5 | -8% |
| Total net operating income | 39.9 | 43.0 | -3.1 | -7% | 39.9 | 43.2 | 43.0 | -8% |
| Total costs | -28.6 | -26.8 | -1.8 | -7% | -28.6 | -33.8 | -26.8 | 16% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 11.4 | 16.2 | -4.9 | -30% | 11.4 | 9.3 | 16.2 | 22% |
| Impairments and provisions | -4.6 | -1.1 | -3.5 | - | -4.6 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -199% |
| Net gains from investments in subsidiaries, associates, and JVs' |
0.2 | 1.1 | -0.9 | -81% | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | - |
| Result before tax | 7.0 | 16.3 | -9.3 | -57% | 7.0 | 7.9 | 16.3 | -11% |
| 31 Mar 2020 31 Dec 2019 31 Mar 2019 | Change YtD | Change YoY | ||||||
| Net loans to customers | 2,357.4 | 2,385.1 | 2,277.1 | -27.7 | -1% | 80.3 | 4% | |
| Gross loans to customers | 2,387.5 | 2,410.2 | 2,305.0 | -22.7 | -1% | 82.6 | 4% | |
| Housing loans | 1,435.4 | 1,425.0 | 1,376.8 | 10.4 | 1% | 58.6 | 4% | |
| Interest rate on housing loans | 2.51% | 2.54% | 2.54% | -0.03 p.p. | -0.03 p.p. | |||
| Consumer loans | 679.6 | 688.3 | 628.4 | -8.7 | -1% | 51.2 | 8% | |
| Interest rate on consumer loans | 6.35% | 6.33% | 6.28% | 0.02 p.p. | 0.07 p.p. | |||
| Other | 272.5 | 296.9 | 299.7 | -24.4 | -8% | -27.2 | -9% | |
| Deposits from customers | 6,618.3 | 6,456.2 | 6,095.4 | 162.1 | 3% | 522.9 | 9% | |
| Interest rate on deposits | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.00 p.p. | -0.01 p.p. | |||
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 43.0 | 40.8 | 43.9 | 2.2 | 5% | -0.9 | -2% | |
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 Change YoY | |||||||
| Cost of risk (in bps)(i) | 77 | 19 | 58 | |||||
| CIR | 71.6% | 62.3% | 9.3 p.p. | |||||
| Interest margin | 1.91% | 2.24% -0.33 p.p. | ||||||
| (i) Cost of risk for 2019 is adjusted to new methodology. |
• The segment's profit before tax amounted to EUR 7.0 million, a 57% decrease YoY, due to established credit impairments and provisions due to COVID-19 outbreak, lower profit from the Retail segment in the Bank, and lower contribution from NLB Skladi and NLB Vita(1) .
- Net interest income was 7% lower YoY. Due to over liquidity of the Bank, the policy to de-stimulate the deposit collection triggered the retail deposits margin after transfer price (FTP) reduction, which resulted in EUR 3.3 million YoY lower interest income from deposits. Interest income from retail loans was EUR 1.9 million higher YoY due to higher volume and higher interest margin. In Q1 2020 the COVID-19 outbreak had already affected new production in retail loans. Especially the production of new consumer loans in Q1 2020 was lower YoY and amounted to EUR 51.5 million (EUR 100.4 million in Q1 2019). Balance of housing loans increased by EUR 58.6 million YoY (EUR 10.4 million YtD). The share of consumer loans in all gross loans decreased to 28% (from 29% at the 2019 YE).
- The segment recorded EUR 18.6 million of net non-interest income. The comparison shows EUR 1.4 million (7%) decrease YoY, EUR 0.3 million due to decrease in net fee and commission income mainly due to EUR 0.7 million higher expenses of card processing.
- Total costs were EUR 1.8 million (7%) higher YoY.
- Net impairments and provisions were net established in the amount of EUR 4.6 million due to additional credit impairments and provisions related to COVID-19 outbreak in Q1 2020.
- Deposits from customers increased EUR 522.9 million (9%) YoY (EUR 162.1 million or 3% YtD). In 2019 the segment also included the result of the JV company Vita, which was divested at the end of 2019.
Retail banking in Slovenia
High and stable market shares across products
Market share of net loans to individuals in Slovenia Market share of deposits from individuals in Slovenia

Upside from fee generating products
NLB Private banking offering NLB Bankassurance GWP (EURm)




Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Q1 2019Q1 2020
Life Non-life

Long-term deposits Sight deposits Short-term deposits
- Improving macro and low household indebtedness (21% GDP) driving retail banking growth
- Further extending set of products and services offered to clients using digital channels.
-
1 player in Private Banking(1)
- Limited competition and strong cross-selling capabilities with Bankassurance and asset management
-
1 player in Slovenian asset management(2) ; market share of NLB Skladi at mutual funds in Slovenia equals 33.8% as of 31 March 2020
- AuM of 1,311.9 EURm as of 31 March 2020 including investments in mutual funds and discretionary portfolios
- Bankassurance business
- Life: selling NLB Vita insurance products
- Non-life: beside NLB Vita insurance products also partnership with #2 non-life company Generali
Source: Bank of Slovenia (retail loans and deposits), Company information, Slovenian Fund Management Association Note: (1) Company information; (2) By AuM (Slovenian Fund Management Association).
Corporate and Investment banking in Slovenia
| in EUR million consolidated |
Corporate and Investment Banking in Slovenia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Change YoY | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2019 | Change QoQ | ||
| Net interest income | 9.4 | 10.8 | -1.4 | -13% | 9.4 | 8.9 | 10.8 | 5% |
| Net non-interest income | 10.9 | 15.5 | -4.6 | -30% | 10.9 | 9.6 | 15.5 | 13% |
| o/w Net fee and commmission income | 8.7 | 8.2 | 0.5 | 6% | 8.7 | 7.7 | 8.2 | 13% |
| Total net operating income | 20.2 | 26.3 | -6.1 | -23% | 20.2 | 18.5 | 26.3 | 9% |
| Total costs | -10.5 | -10.2 | -0.3 | -3% | -10.5 | -12.8 | -10.2 | 18% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 9.7 | 16.1 | -6.4 | -40% | 9.7 | 5.7 | 16.1 | 72% |
| Impairments and provisions | -9.7 | 3.3 | -13.0 | - | -9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | - |
| Result before tax | 0.0 | 19.4 | -19.4 | -100% | 0.0 | 8.9 | 19.4 | -100% |
| 31 Mar 2020 31 Dec 2019 31 Mar 2019 Change YtD |
Change YoY | |||||||
| Net loans to customers | 2,168.8 | 2,049.6 | 2,011.4 | 119.2 | 6% | 157.4 | 8% | |
| Gross loans to customers | 2,287.5 | 2,150.9 | 2,183.8 | 136.7 | 6% | 103.7 | 5% | |
| Corporate | 2,124.0 | 1,976.8 | 1,987.7 | 147.2 | 7% | 136.4 | 7% | |
| Key/SMECorporates | 1,962.4 | 1,819.3 | 1,697.2 | 143.1 | 8% | 265.3 | 16% | |
| Interest rate on Key/SME Corporates loans |
1.82% | 1.82% | 1.87% | 0.00 p.p. | -0.05 p.p. | |||
| Investment banking* | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | |||
| Restructuring and Workout | 161.4 | 157.4 | 290.4 | 4.0 | 3% | -129.0 | -44% | |
| State | 163.1 | 173.6 | 195.8 | -10.5 | -6% | -32.7 | -17% | |
| Interest rate on State loans | 3.24% | 1.88% | 2.84% | 1.36 p.p. | 0.40 p.p. | |||
| Deposits from customers | 1,203.5 | 1,299.1 | 1,111.7 | -95.6 | -7% | 91.8 | 8% | |
| Interest rate on deposits | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.00 p.p. | 0.00 p.p. | |||
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 145.5 | 128.7 | 262.8 | 16.9 | 13% | -117.2 | -45% | |
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 Change YoY | |||||||
| Cost of risk (in bps) (i) | 185 | -62 | 247 | |||||
| CIR | 51.9% | 38.8% 13.2 p.p. | ||||||
| Interest margin | 2.19% | 2.38% -0.19 p.p. |
- The segment's profit before tax amounted to EUR 0.04 million, EUR 19.4 million decrease YoY. The decrease is mostly due to establishment of credit impairments and provisions due to COVID-19 outbreak in Q1 2020 and lower non-interest income due to a positive one-off effect of partial repayment of a larger exposure measured at fair value through profit and loss in Q1 2019.
- Net interest income decreased EUR 1.4 million YoY, due to lower interest rates on loans, despite the EUR 103.7 million increase in gross loans to customers YoY (EUR 136.7 million YtD). Key and SME clients recorded a growth in gross loans (EUR 265.3 million), while gross loans in Restructuring and workout and gross loans to state recorded a decrease YoY (EUR -129.0 million and EUR -32.7 million respectively). YtD increase in corporate loans is partially linked to the COVID-19 situation (additional demand for working capital loans, revolving loans and limits for the daily liquidity).
- Net fee and commission income increased EUR 0.5 million YoY (6%), mostly due to increase in fees from investment banking and higher income from fees on high deposits (EUR 0.7 million in Q1 2020).
- Total costs increased EUR 0.3 million YoY.
- Impairments and provisions were established in the amount of EUR 9.7 million due to additional credit impairments and provisions related to COVID-19 outbreak in Q1 2020.
- The Investment Banking and Custody recorded non-interest income in the amount of EUR 3.2 million and increased by EUR 0.7 million YoY. Total income growth is the result of a larger volume of transactions and tariff adjustments. The total value of assets under custody decreased to EUR 14.1 billion (EUR 14.8 billion at 2019 YE).
Corporate banking in Slovenia High market shares across products(1)


#1 in corporate and state loans #1 in corporate and state deposits #1 in guarantees and letters of credit

- Largest bank in the country with high capacity to lend to and service large clients serving over 9,000 corporate clients as of 31 March 2020.
- Competitive advantage in SME market due to largest branch network fueled the growth in Mid Corporate and Small Enterprises.
- Investment Banking being successful organizer of syndicated loans, and co-organizer of the Banks own subordinated bonds
Strong local corporate fee business, across merchant acquiring, investment banking and custody services
13.6 k (2) POS terminals
37.6% market share(2) in merchant acquiring
EUR 14.1 bn assets under custody
Strategic foreign markets
| in EUR million consolidated |
Strategic Foreign Markets | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Change YoY | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2019 | Change QoQ | ||
| Net interest income | 39.8 | 38.6 | 1.2 | 3% | 39.8 | 40.0 | 38.6 | 0% |
| Net non-interest income | 13.0 | 12.5 | 0.5 | 4% | 13.0 | 15.4 | 12.5 | -16% |
| o/w Net fee and commmission income | 13.3 | 12.2 | 1.1 | 9% | 13.3 | 14.5 | 12.2 | -8% |
| Total net operating income | 52.8 | 51.1 | 1.7 | 3% | 52.8 | 55.4 | 51.1 | -5% |
| Total costs | -27.6 | -25.7 | -1.8 | -7% | -27.6 | -29.1 | -25.7 | 5% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 25.3 | 25.4 | -0.1 | 0% | 25.3 | 26.3 | 25.4 | -4% |
| Impairments and provisions | -13.9 | -3.2 | -10.7 | - | -13.9 | -5.3 | -3.2 | -163% |
| Result before tax | 11.3 | 22.2 | -10.8 | -49% | 11.3 | 21.0 | 22.2 | -46% |
| o/w Result of minority shareholders | 1.2 | 2.0 | -0.8 | -41% | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -43% |
| 31 Mar 2020 31 Dec 2019 31 Mar 2019 | Change YtD | Change YoY | ||||||
| Net loans to customers | 3,086.7 | 3,024.6 | 2,753.6 | 62.1 | 2% | 333.1 | 12% | |
| Gross loans to customers | 3,232.9 | 3,162.1 | 2,915.8 | 70.9 | 2% | 317.2 | 11% | |
| Individuals | 1,632.3 | 1,603.8 | 1,466.7 | 28.5 | 2% | 165.6 | 11% | |
| Interest rate on retail loans | 6.48% | 6.71% | 6.80% | -0.23 p.p. | -0.32 p.p. | |||
| Corporate | 1,494.8 | 1,470.3 | 1,364.6 | 24.5 | 2% | 130.1 | 10% | |
| Interest rate on corporate loans | 4.29% | 4.49% | 4.71% | -0.20 p.p. | -0.42 p.p. | |||
| State | 105.9 | 88.0 | 84.4 | 17.9 | 20% | 21.5 | 25% | |
| Interest rate on state loans | 3.34% | 4.00% | 4.23% | -0.66 p.p. -0.89 p.p. |
||||
| Deposits from customers | 3,825.7 | 3,856.7 | 3,466.1 | -30.9 | -1% | 359.6 | 10% | |
| Interest rate on deposits | 0.48% 0.53% 0.56% -0.05 p.p. -0.08 p.p. |
|||||||
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 111.5 | 111.6 | 146.2 | -0.1 | 0% | -34.7 | -24% | |
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 Change YoY | |||||||
| Cost of risk (in bps)(i) | 181 | -10 | 191 | |||||
| CIR | 52.1% | 50.3% | 1.8 p.p. |
(i) Cost of risk for 2019 is adjusted to new methodology.
Interest margin 3.43% 3.71% -0.28 p.p.
- The segment's profit before tax amounted to EUR 11.3 million, 49% decrease YoY, mostly due to established impairments and provisions due to COVID-19 outbreak.
- Increase of net interest income by EUR 1.2 million (3%) YoY was recorded due to higher volume (increase of gross loans to customers by 11% YoY), despite the decreasing trend of interest margins.
- Net non-interest income increased by EUR 0.5 million or 4% YoY while net fee and commission income increased by EUR 1.1 million or 9% YoY, mostly from retail segment.
- Total costs increased by EUR 1.8 million or 7% YoY, mostly due to increase in employee costs (EUR 0.8 million YoY).
- Impairments and provisions net established in the amount of EUR 13.9 million due to COVID-19 outbreak in Q1 2020.
- Gross loans to customers increased by EUR 70.9 million (2%) YtD due to increase in gross loans in all subsidiary banks, whereas the largest YoY increases were recorded in NLB Banka, Beograd (EUR 26.3 million), NLB Banka, Prishtina (EUR 15.0 million), and NLB Banka, Podgorica (EUR 14.3 million).
SEE banks continuing solid performance
- ✓ 3% growth of net interest income YoY
- ✓ Net non-interest income 3% higher YoY, mostly due to increase in net fee and commission income
- ✓ Growing credit portfolio in all markets, with aggregate deposits balance slight decrease YtD
| Skopje | NLB Banka | NLB Banka Banja Luka |
NLB Banka Sarajevo |
Prishtina | NLB Banka | Podgorica | NLB Banka | NLB Banka Beograd |
Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| core banks(1) |
|||||||||||||||
| B/S (EURm) | 31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 |
Δ |
| Total assets | 1,472 | 1,462 | 769 | 773 | 634 | 638 | 800 | 801 | 530 | 548 | 633 | 614 | 4,839 | 4,837 | 0% |
| Net loans to customers |
921 | 915 | 413 | 412 | 404 | 399 | 552 | 540 | 360 | 346 | 438 | 412 | 3,087 | 3,025 | 2% |
| Deposits from customers |
1,185 | 1,176 | 611 | 618 | 507 | 515 | 683 | 685 | 414 | 437 | 437 | 437 | 3,837 | 3,868 | -1% |
| P&L (EURm) | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Δ |
| NII(2) | 12.1 | 12.4 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 39.8 | 38.6 | 3% |
| NNII(2) | 4.6 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 15.1 | 14.7 | 3% |
| OpEx | -6.7 | -6.8 | -3.5 | -3.3 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -3.1 | -3.0 | -3.4 | -3.1 | -4.9 | -4.6 | -25.4 | -24.4 | 4% |
| PPI | 10.0 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 6.7 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 29.5 | 28.9 | 2% |
| Result a.t. |
5.4 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 23.6 | -48% |
| Ratios | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | |||
| RoE a.t. |
9.1% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 25.9% | 4.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 25.8% | 0.7% | -2.8% | 1.5% | 6.2% | |||
| Net interest margin(3) |
3.43% | 3.84% | 2.41% | 2.67% | 2.95% | 3.02% | 4.12% | 4.43% | 4.16% | 4.22% | 3.64% | 4.21% | |||
| CIR | 41.5% | 42.4% | 47.9% | 43.9% | 56.2% | 52.8% | 32.8% | 34.4% | 55.0% | 52.0% | 73.4% | 76.1% | |||
| LTD net |
77.7% | 80.6% | 67.6% | 63.8% | 79.6% | 77.9% | 80.8% | 81.4% | 87.0% | 83.2% | 100.2% | 94.2% |

Source: Company information
Note: (1) Calculated as simple sums for each item; (2) NII: Net interest income; NNII: Net non-interest income; (3) Calculated on the basis of interest bearing assets ;
NLB Banka, Skopje
| NLB Banka AD Skopje | "on stand alone basis" | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key financial indicators | Change | |||
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | ||
| ROE a.t. | 9.1% | 14.8% | -5.6 p.p. | |
| Interest margin | 3.43% | 3.84% | -0.4 p.p. | |
| CIR | 41.5% | 42.4% | -0.8 p.p. | |
| Cost of risk net (bps)* | 174 | 37 | 137 | |
| LTD net | 77.7% | 80.6% | -2.9 p.p. | |
| Income statement | Change | |||
| in 000 EUR | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | |
| Total net operating income | 16,114 | 16,120 | -6 | 0.0% |
| Net interest income | 12,055 | 12,413 | -358 | -2.9% |
| Net non-interest income | 4,059 | 3,707 | 352 | 9.5% |
| o/w net fees and commissions |
3,538 | 3,561 | -23 | -0.6% |
| Total costs | -6,693 | -6,830 | 137 | 2.0% |
| Employee costs | -3,558 | -3,416 | -142 | -4.2% |
| Other general and administrative expenses | -2,075 | -2,332 | 257 | 11.0% |
| Depreciation and amortization | -1,060 | -1,082 | 22 | 2.0% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 9,421 | 9,290 | 131 | 1.4% |
| Impairments and provisions | -4,027 | -946 | -3,081 | - |
| Result after tax | 4,853 | 7,502 | -2,649 | -35.3% |
| Number of employees | 883 | 878 | 5 | 0.6% |
| Balance sheet | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in 000 EUR | 31 Mar 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 | YtD | ||
| Total assets | 1,471,752 | 1,462,306 | 9,446 | 0.6% | |
| Loans to customers (net) | 920,807 | 915,149 | 5,658 | 0.6% | |
| Loans to customers (gross) | 978,656 | 969,213 | 9,443 | 1.0% | |
| Gross loans to corporate | 382,407 | 393,137 | -10,730 | -2.7% | |
| Gross loans to individuals | 576,499 | 573,826 | 2,673 | 0.5% | |
| Gross loans to state | 19,750 | 2,250 | 17,500 | - | |
| Financial assets | 242,280 | 242,360 | -80 | 0.0% | |
| Deposits from customers | 1,185,461 | 1,175,612 | 9,849 | 0.8% | |
| Deposits from corporate | 311,393 | 314,598 | -3,205 | -1.0% | |
| Deposits from individuals | 866,925 | 854,135 | 12,790 | 1.5% | |
| Deposits from state | 7,143 | 6,879 | 264 | 3.8% | |
| NPL gross | 51,833 | 48,311 | 3,522 | 7.3% | |
| % NPL | 4.4% | 4.2% | 0.2 p.p. | ||
| Capital (according to local legislation) | |||||
| Total capital ratio | 16.3% | 16.4% | -0.1 p.p. |
* Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers.
Result after tax and before impairments and provisions (EUR million)


NLB Banka, Banja Luka
| NLB Banka A.D., Banja Luka | "on stand alone basis" | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key financial indicators | Change | ||||
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | |||
| ROE a.t. | 6.1% | 25.9% | -19.8 p.p. | ||
| Interest margin | 2.41% | 2.67% | -0.3 p.p. | ||
| CIR | 47.9% | 43.9% | 4.0 p.p. | ||
| Cost of risk net (bps)* | 184 | -208 | 392 | ||
| LTD net | 67.6% | 63.8% | 3.8 p.p. | ||
| Income statement | Change | ||||
| in 000 EUR | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | ||
| Total net operating income | 7,222 | 7,541 | -319 | -4.2% | |
| Net interest income | 4,475 | 4,756 | -281 | -5.9% | |
| Net non-interest income | 2,747 | 2,785 | -38 | -1.4% | |
| o/w net fees and commissions |
2,829 | 2,579 | 250 | 9.7% | |
| Total costs | -3,457 | -3,310 | -147 | -4.4% | |
| Employee costs | -2,188 | -2,104 | -84 | -4.0% | |
| Other general and administrative expenses | -926 | -871 | -55 | -6.3% | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -343 | -335 | -8 | -2.4% | |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 3,765 | 4,231 | -466 | -11.0% | |
| Impairments and provisions | -2,133 | 1,914 | -4,047 | - | |
| Result after tax | 1,361 | 5,862 | -4,501 | -76.8% | |
| Number of employees | 486 | 481 | 5 | 1.0% |
| Balance sheet | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in 000 EUR | 31 Mar 2020 31 Dec 2019 |
YtD | ||
| Total assets | 769,339 | 773,410 | -4,071 | -0.5% |
| Loans to customers (net) | 412,847 | 411,739 | 1,108 | 0.3% |
| Loans to customers (gross) | 429,709 | 426,844 | 2,865 | 0.7% |
| Gross loans to corporate | 167,950 | 173,476 | -5,526 | -3.2% |
| Gross loans to individuals | 206,689 | 200,454 | 6,235 | 3.1% |
| Gross loans to state | 55,070 | 52,914 | 2,156 | 4.1% |
| Financial assets | 175,620 | 148,104 | 27,516 | 18.6% |
| Deposits from customers | 610,599 | 618,095 | -7,496 | -1.2% |
| Deposits from corporate | 130,606 | 145,915 | -15,309 | -10.5% |
| Deposits from individuals | 431,164 | 435,123 | -3,959 | -0.9% |
| Deposits from state | 48,829 | 37,057 | 11,772 | 31.8% |
| NPL gross | 7,584 | 7,620 | -36 | -0.5% |
| % NPL | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0 p.p. | |
| Capital (according to local legislation) | ||||
| Total capital ratio | 17.7% | 15.9% | 1.8 p.p. |
* Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers.
Result after tax and before impairments and provisions (EUR million)


NLB Banka, Sarajevo
| NLB Banka d.d., Sarajevo | "on stand alone basis" | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key financial indicators | Change | |||
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | ||
| ROE a.t. | 4.2% | 13.5% | -9.4 p.p. | |
| Interest margin | 2.95% | 3.02% | -0.1 p.p. | |
| CIR | 56.2% | 52.8% | 3.5 p.p. | |
| Cost of risk net (bps)* | 199 | -10 | 209 | |
| LTD net | 79.6% | 77.9% | 1.7 p.p. | |
| Income statement | Change | |||
| in 000 EUR | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | |
| Total net operating income | 6,716 | 6,649 | 67 | 1.0% |
| Net interest income | 4,488 | 4,359 | 129 | 3.0% |
| Net non-interest income | 2,228 | 2,290 | -62 | -2.7% |
| o/w net fees and commissions |
2,229 | 2,010 | 219 | 10.9% |
| Total costs | -3,776 | -3,508 | -268 | -7.6% |
| Employee costs | -2,106 | -2,053 | -53 | -2.6% |
| Other general and administrative expenses | -1,242 | -1,109 | -133 | -12.0% |
| Depreciation and amortization | -428 | -346 | -82 | -23.7% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 2,940 | 3,141 | -201 | -6.4% |
| Impairments and provisions | -1,959 | -40 | -1,919 | - |
| Result after tax | 856 | 2,748 | -1,892 | -68.9% |
| Number of employees | 443 | 449 | -6 | -1.3% |
| Balance sheet | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in 000 EUR | 31 Mar 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 | YtD | ||
| Total assets | 633,814 | 637,739 | -3,925 | -0.6% | |
| Loans to customers (net) | 403,625 | 399,299 | 4,326 | 1.1% | |
| Loans to customers (gross) | 422,745 | 420,236 | 2,509 | 0.6% | |
| Gross loans to corporate | 188,473 | 189,476 | -1,003 | -0.5% | |
| Gross loans to individuals | 229,831 | 226,355 | 3,476 | 1.5% | |
| Gross loans to state | 4,441 | 4,405 | 36 | 0.8% | |
| Financial assets | 52,719 | 50,054 | 2,665 | 5.3% | |
| Deposits from customers | 506,945 | 515,230 | -8,285 | -1.6% | |
| Deposits from corporate | 133,400 | 134,566 | -1,166 | -0.9% | |
| Deposits from individuals | 292,383 | 300,051 | -7,668 | -2.6% | |
| Deposits from state | 81,162 | 80,613 | 549 | 0.7% | |
| NPL gross | 15,204 | 18,582 | -3,378 | -18.2% | |
| % NPL | 2.8% | 3.3% | -0.5 p.p. | ||
| Capital (according to local legislation) | |||||
| Total capital ratio | 15.9% | 16.0% | -0.1 p.p. |
* Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers.
Result after tax and before impairments and provisions (EUR million)


NLB Banka, Prishtina
| NLB Banka sh.a., Prishtine | "on stand alone basis" | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key financial indicators | Change | ||||
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | |||
| ROE a.t. | 11.8% | 25.8% | -14.0 p.p. | ||
| Interest margin | 4.12% | 4.43% | -0.3 p.p. | ||
| CIR | 32.8% | 34.4% | -1.6 p.p. | ||
| Cost of risk net (bps)* | 247 | -6 | 253 | ||
| LTD net | 80.8% | 81.4% | -0.7 p.p. | ||
| Income statement | Change | ||||
| in 000 EUR | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | ||
| Total net operating income | 9,493 | 8,703 | 790 | 9.1% | |
| Net interest income | 8,154 | 7,384 | 770 | 10.4% | |
| Net non-interest income | 1,339 | 1,319 | 20 | 1.5% | |
| o/w net fees and commissions |
1,977 | 1,575 | 402 | 25.5% | |
| Total costs | -3,118 | -2,997 | -121 | -4.0% | |
| Employee costs | -1,676 | -1,490 | -186 | -12.5% | |
| Other general and administrative expenses | -963 | -1,061 | 98 | 9.2% | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -479 | -446 | -33 | -7.4% | |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 6,375 | 5,706 | 669 | 11.7% | |
| Impairments and provisions | -3,481 | -363 | -3,118 | - | |
| Result after tax | 2,567 | 4,787 | -2,220 | -46.4% | |
| Number of employees | 470 | 470 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Balance sheet | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in 000 EUR | 31 Mar 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 | YtD | ||
| Total assets | 800,270 | 801,085 | -815 | -0.1% | |
| Loans to customers (net) | 551,648 | 540,073 | 11,575 | 2.1% | |
| Loans to customers (gross) | 582,100 | 567,103 | 14,997 | 2.6% | |
| Gross loans to corporate | 370,822 | 359,414 | 11,408 | 3.2% | |
| Gross loans to individuals | 211,253 | 207,689 | 3,564 | 1.7% | |
| Gross loans to state | 25 | 0 | 25 | - | |
| Financial assets | 75,074 | 77,977 | -2,903 | -3.7% | |
| Deposits from customers | 683,093 | 685,385 | -2,292 | -0.3% | |
| Deposits from corporate | 192,199 | 196,818 | -4,619 | -2.3% | |
| Deposits from individuals | 479,167 | 476,546 | 2,621 | 0.5% | |
| Deposits from state | 11,727 | 12,021 | -294 | -2.4% | |
| NPL gross | 11,115 | 10,939 | 176 | 1.6% | |
| % NPL | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.0 p.p. | ||
| Capital (according to local legislation) | |||||
| Total capital ratio | 17.7% | 16.4% | 1.3 p.p. |
* Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers.
Result after tax and before impairments and provisions (EUR million)


NLB Banka, Podgorica
| NLB Banka a.d., Podgorica | "on stand alone basis" | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key financial indicators | Change | ||||
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | |||
| ROE a.t. | 0.7% | -2.8% | 3.5 p.p. | ||
| Interest margin | 4.16% | 4.22% | -0.1 p.p. | ||
| CIR | 55.0% | 52.0% | 3.0 p.p. | ||
| Cost of risk net (bps)* | 63 | -21 | 84 | ||
| LTD net | 87.0% | 83.2% | 3.8 p.p. | ||
| Income statement | Change | ||||
| in 000 EUR | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | ||
| Total net operating income | 6,254 | 6,052 | 202 | 3.3% | |
| Net interest income | 5,231 | 4,788 | 443 | 9.3% | |
| Net non-interest income | 1,023 | 1,264 | -241 | -19.1% | |
| o/w net fees and commissions |
1,302 | 1,318 | -16 | -1.2% | |
| Total costs | -3,440 | -3,146 | -294 | -9.3% | |
| Employee costs | -1,877 | -1,809 | -68 | -3.8% | |
| Other general and administrative expenses | -1,217 | -958 | -259 | -27.0% | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -346 | -379 | 33 | 8.7% | |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 2,814 | 2,906 | -92 | -3.2% | |
| Impairments and provisions | -2,668 | -3,369 | 701 | 20.8% | |
| Result after tax | 117 | -489 | 606 | - | |
| Number of employees | 304 | 300 | 4 | 1.3% |
| Balance sheet | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in 000 EUR | 31 Mar 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 | YtD | ||
| Total assets | 530,339 | 548,483 | -18,144 | -3.3% | |
| Loans to customers (net) | 360,122 | 346,299 | 13,823 | 4.0% | |
| Loans to customers (gross) | 373,904 | 359,180 | 14,724 | 4.1% | |
| Gross loans to corporate | 111,294 | 100,961 | 10,333 | 10.2% | |
| Gross loans to individuals | 237,690 | 231,506 | 6,184 | 2.7% | |
| Gross loans to state | 24,920 | 26,713 | -1,793 | -6.7% | |
| Financial assets | 22,178 | 57,339 | -35,161 | -61.3% | |
| Deposits from customers | 413,792 | 436,545 | -22,753 | -5.2% | |
| Deposits from corporate | 126,064 | 135,396 | -9,332 | -6.9% | |
| Deposits from individuals | 270,659 | 283,091 | -12,432 | -4.4% | |
| Deposits from state | 17,069 | 18,058 | -989 | -5.5% | |
| NPL gross | 17,781 | 18,129 | -348 | -1.9% | |
| % NPL | 3.8% | 4.0% | -0.2 p.p. | ||
| Capital (according to local legislation) | |||||
| Total capital ratio | 14.1% | 15.0% | -0.8 p.p. |
* Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers.
Result after tax and before impairments and provisions


NLB Banka, Beograd
| NLB Banka a.d., Beograd | "on stand alone basis" | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key financial indicators | Change | Balance sheet | |||
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | |||
| ROE a.t. | 1.5% | 6.2% | -4.7 p.p. | ||
| Interest margin | 3.64% | 4.21% | -0.6 p.p. | ||
| CIR | 73.4% | 76.1% | -2.6 p.p. | ||
| Cost of risk net (bps)* | 141 | 34 | 108 | ||
| LTD net | 100.2% | 94.2% | 6.0 p.p. | ||
| Income statement | Change | ||||
| in 000 EUR | 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | YoY | ||
| Total net operating income | 6,737 | 6,034 | 703 | 11.7% | |
| Net interest income | 5,407 | 4,913 | 494 | 10.1% | |
| Net non-interest income | 1,330 | 1,121 | 209 | 18.6% | |
| o/w net fees and commissions |
1,433 | 1,190 | 243 | 20.4% | |
| Total costs | -4,948 | -4,590 | -358 | -7.8% | |
| Employee costs | -2,703 | -2,477 | -226 | -9.1% | |
| Other general and administrative expenses | -1,549 | -1,452 | -97 | -6.7% | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -696 | -661 | -35 | -5.3% | |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 1,789 | 1,444 | 345 | 23.9% | |
| Impairments and provisions | -1,519 | -392 | -1,127 | - | |
| Result after tax | 270 | 1,052 | -782 | -74.3% | |
| Number of employees | 482 | 455 | 27 | 5.9% |
| Balance sheet | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| in 000 EUR | 31 Mar 2020 | 31 Dec 2019 | YtD | |
| Total assets | 633,203 | 614,268 | 18,935 | 3.1% |
| Loans to customers (net) | 437,609 | 412,046 | 25,563 | 6.2% |
| Loans to customers (gross) | 445,834 | 419,521 | 26,313 | 6.3% |
| Gross loans to corporate | 273,827 | 253,842 | 19,985 | 7.9% |
| Gross loans to individuals | 170,335 | 164,003 | 6,332 | 3.9% |
| Gross loans to state | 1,672 | 1,676 | -4 | -0.2% |
| Financial assets | 80,547 | 74,781 | 5,766 | 7.7% |
| Deposits from customers | 436,628 | 437,268 | -640 | -0.1% |
| Deposits from corporate | 190,460 | 186,376 | 4,084 | 2.2% |
| Deposits from individuals | 242,231 | 249,021 | -6,790 | -2.7% |
| Deposits from state | 3,937 | 1,871 | 2,066 | 110.4% |
| NPL gross | 8,014 | 8,004 | 10 | 0.1% |
| % NPL | 1.5% | 1.6% | -0.1 p.p. | |
| Capital (according to local legislation) | ||||
| Total capital ratio | 18.6% | 19.5% | -0.8 p.p. | |
* Calculated as credit impairments and provisions over average net loans to customers.
Result after tax and before impairments and provisions


Financial markets in Slovenia
| in million EUR consolidated |
Financial Markets in Slovenia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Change YoY | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2019 | Change QoQ | ||
| Net interest income | 6.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 9% | 6.5 | 8.4 | 6.0 | -22% |
| Net non-interest income | 1.2 | 2.1 | -1.0 | -45% | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | - |
| Total net operating income | 7.7 | 8.1 | -0.4 | -5% | 7.7 | 8.7 | 8.1 | -11% |
| Total costs | -1.9 | -1.7 | -0.2 | -10% | -1.9 | -2.3 | -1.7 | 19% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | 5.8 | 6.4 | -0.6 | -9% | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.4 | -8% |
| Impairments and provisions | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 94% | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | - |
| Result before tax | 5.8 | 6.1 | -0.3 | -5% | 5.8 | 6.4 | 6.1 | -9% |
| 31 Mar 2020 31 Dec 2019 31 Mar 2019 | Change YtD Change YoY |
|||||||
| Balances with Central banks | 1,082.0 | 1,044.1 | 666.3 | 37.9 | 4% | 415.7 | 62% | |
| Banking book securities | 2,977.5 | 3,093.6 | 2,924.1 | -116.1 | -4% | 53.4 | 2% | |
| Interest rate on banking book securities | 0.80% | 1.03% | 1.10% | -0.23 p.p. -0.30 p.p. |
||||
| Wholesale funding(i) | 161.5 | 161.6 | 244.0 | -0.1 | 0% | -82.5 | -34% | |
| Interest rate on wholesale funding (i) | 0.57% | 0.50% | 0.51% | 0.07 p.p. 0.06 p.p. |
||||
| Subordinated liabilities | 286.6 | 210.6 | 0.0 | 76.1 | 36% | - | 0.0 | |
| Interest rate on subordinated liabilities | 3.41% | 4.03% | - | - | - | |||
| (i) Item includes only borrowings, till 30 June 2019 it included also deposits from banks. |
• Net interest income EUR 0.5 million (9%) higher YoY, mostly due to balance sheet management strategy where key priority is de-stimulating of deposit collection due to over liquidity of the bank. FTP for collected deposits decreased, driving ALM expenses substantially lower. This effect was partly neutralized with lower income from the banking book securities portfolio.
- Lower net non-interest income, EUR 1.0 million YoY, mostly due to open FX position in HRK, AUD, NOK, RUB and CAD and volatility of those currencies on financial markets. This effect was partly neutralized with higher net interest income from money market deposits in foreign currencies.
- Increase in balances with central banks (EUR 415.7 million YoY and EUR 37.9 million YtD), while Banking book securities decreased substantially YtD (EUR - 116.1 million). Change in the position reflects measures related to management of credit spread risk exposure and regulatory capital optimization. Cashflow from due and sold securities and from raised subordinated debt was placed with the Central Bank.

Financial markets in Slovenia
Strong liquidity position

Well positioned and funded division
- Strong liquidity buffer provides solid base for future core growth consisting of liquid assets which are not encumbered for operational or regulatory purposes
- Banking book securities portfolio is well diversified in terms of asset class and geography to minimize concentration risk, and is invested predominantly in high quality issuers on prudent tenors
- Liquidity ratios (as of 31 Mar 2020): LCR 339% (NLB d.d.) and 304% (NLB Group); NSFR (preliminary) 158% (NLB d.d.) and 158% (NLB Group)
The volume of ECB eligible credit claims increased due to the modification in ECB eligibility criterion adopted on 10 May 2019 in ECB Guideline (EU) 2019/1032.
Well diversified banking book by geography (31 Mar 2020)

Maturity profile of banking book securities(3) (31 Mar 2020, EURm) (4)

Note: Numbers refer to NLB d.d. only; (1) Incl. trading and banking book securities; (2) Includes other European countries, US, Australia and Russian federation; (3) Including DARS bonds;
¸ (4) Loans booked under segment Corporate Banking Slovenia.
Non-core members
| in EUR million consolidated |
Non-Core Members | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Change YoY | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2019 | Change QoQ | ||
| Net interest income | 0.4 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -61% | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | -33% |
| Net non-interest income | 1.0 | 2.9 | -1.9 | -65% | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.9 | -45% |
| Total net operating income | 1.4 | 3.9 | -2.5 | -64% | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.9 | -43% |
| Total costs | -3.4 | -3.2 | -0.3 | -9% | -3.4 | -4.2 | -3.2 | 18% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | -2.0 | 0.7 | -2.8 | - | -2.0 | -1.7 | 0.7 | -16% |
| Impairments and provisions | -0.2 | 0.7 | -0.9 | - | -0.2 | -1.4 | 0.7 | 84% |
| Result before tax | -2.2 | 1.4 | -3.7 | - | -2.2 | -3.2 | 1.4 | 29% |
| 31 Mar 2020 31 Dec 2019 31 Mar 2019 | Change YtD | Change YoY | ||||||
| Segment assets | 158.7 | 169.5 | 216.9 | -10.7 | -6% | -58.2 | -27% | |
| Net loans to customers | 60.2 | 67.4 | 103.8 | -7.2 | -11% | -43.6 | -42% | |
| Gross loans to customers | 130.9 | 137.2 | 196.0 | -6.3 | -5% | -65.1 | -33% | |
| Investment property and property & equipment received for repayment of loans |
74.5 | 75.6 | 85.4 | -1.0 | -1% | -10.9 | -13% | |
| Other assets | 24.0 | 26.5 | 27.7 | -2.5 | -9% | -3.7 | -14% | |
| Non-performing loans (gross) | 93.4 | 93.6 | 126.3 | -0.2 | 0% | -32.9 | -26% | |
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 Change YoY | |||||||
| Cost of risk (in bps)(i) | 116 | -243 | 359 | |||||
| CIR | 242.8% | 81.1% 161.8 p.p. |
(i) Cost of risk for 2019 is adjusted to new methodology.
- A substantial decrease in total assets of the segment YoY (EUR 58.2 million) which is in line with the divestment strategy of the non-core segment, hence EUR 2.5 million YoY decrease of net operating income.
- The segment recorded EUR 2.2 million of loss before tax.
- Lower net non-interest income due to positive effect from contractual penalty (EUR 1.3 million) in Q1 2019.
- Additional impairments for credit risk.
Other
| in EUR million consolidated |
Other | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 2020 | 1-3 2019 | Change YoY | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2019 | Change QoQ | ||
| Total net operating income | 2.2 | 2.4 | -0.2 | -8% | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1% |
| Total costs | -3.2 | -2.5 | -0.7 | -30% | -3.2 | -6.2 | -2.5 | 48% |
| Result before impairments and provisions | -1.0 | -0.1 | -0.9 | - | -1.0 | -4.0 | -0.1 | 75% |
| Impairments and provisions | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | 0.1 | -5.7 | 0.0 | - |
| Result before tax | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.8 | - | -0.9 | -9.7 | -0.1 | 91% |
• The segment Other recorded EUR 0.9 million of loss before tax, EUR 0.8 million decrease YoY.
• EUR 3.2 million of total costs, related mostly to IT, cash transport, external realization, restructuring costs and empty business premises. EUR 0.9 million increase YoY related mostly due to EUR 0.8 million higher IT costs (mostly licenses).


Appendix 2: Macro Overview

NLB Group – Macro overview
NLB d.d. & 6 subsidiary banks operate in Slovenia (EU member) & 5 SEE countries (convergence to EU)
| EUR | |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 48.0 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | 2.4 |
| Population (m) | 2.1 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
22.3% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
AA- / Baa1 / A |
| EUR(3) | |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 18.3 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | 2.6 |
| Population (m) | 3.5 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
28.4% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
B / B3 / n.a. |
| EUR | |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 4.9 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | 3.6 |
| Population (m) | 0.6 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
27.4% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
B+ / B1 / n.a. |

| Slovenia | EUR |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 48.0 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | 2.4 |
| Population (m) | 2.1 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
22.3% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
EUR AA- / Baa1 / A |
| Kosovo | |
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 7.1 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | 4.2 |
| Population (m) | 1.8 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
15.5% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
n.a. / n.a. / n.a. |
| North Macedonia |
|
|---|---|
| GDP (EURbn) | 11.3 |
| Real GDP growth (%) | 3.6 |
| Population (m) | 2.1 |
| indebtedness(1) Household |
24.5% |
| Credit ratings (S&P / Moody's / Fitch) |
BB- / n.a. / BB+ |

Source: Central banks, National Statistics Offices, FocusEconomics, NLB.
Note: GDP volume and growth for 2019; (1) Includes households loans as % of GDP, Q4 2019, annualized; (2) Bosnia and Herzegovina is comprised of 2 entities, The Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Republika Srpska; (3) Official currency is BAM – Bosnia-Herzegovina Convertible Mark, pegged to EUR.
Macro Overview
Economic data Fiscal data Monetary data
- The COVID-19 outbreak has deeply affected economies, causing shocks on both sides, supply and demand.
- The economic growth in the Group's region could contract by around -4.5% this year due to the virus outbreak.
-
If the outbreak is not put under control and the lockdowns lifted by the end of May 2020, more severe recession could be expected.
-
Adopted enormous fiscal measures are meant to help the companies and households to overcome the economic shock caused by the coronavirus outbreak.
-
Fiscal measures will be mostly financed by government budgets, which will force them into borrowing, which will in turn increase their public debts.
-
Monetary measures aiming to ensure enough liquidity and smooth operations in the money markets and among financial intermediaries are being implemented.
- Fed, ECB and other major central banks, have provided major stimulus on COVID-19 shock and expressed their "whatever it takes" commitments.

Real GDP growth, %

KEY FINDINGS:
Highest contraction of economic growth in 2020 is expected in Montenegro (- 9%) due to its dependency to highly affected tourist sector, followed by Bosnia and Herzegovina and Slovenia (-6%).
The economic growth in the Group's region could contract by around -4.5% this year due to the virus outbreak, if the outbreak is put under control and the lockdowns lifted by the end of May 2020, else deeper recession could be expected.
| Real GDP growth, % | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4.1 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.6 | -6.0 | 3.0 |
| North Macedonia | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 3.6 | -3.0 | 5.0 |
| Kosovo | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -2.5 | 4.5 |
| Serbia | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 4.2 | -2.0 | 4.0 |
| Montenegro | 3.4 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 3.6 | -9.0 | 6.0 |
| Slovenia | 2.2 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 2.4 | -6.0 | 4.0 |
| Eurozone | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.2 | -6.5 | 3.5 |
Sources: Statistical Offices, NLB
Average inflation rate, %

KEY FINDINGS:
Due to shocks on both sides, supply and demand, along with low oil prices, it is expected low inflationary environment in 2020.
Since the uncertainty and low-inflationary expectation exist, the producers are forced to keep low prices, while the consumers are precautionary, which is resulting in the lowinflationary spiral.
| Average inflation rate, % |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina |
-1.1 | -1.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| North Macedonia |
-0.3 | -0.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Kosovo | -0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Serbia | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Montenegro | 1.5 | -0.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Slovenia | -0.8 | -0.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Eurozone | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
Sources: Statistical Offices, NLB
Unemployment rate, %

KEY FINDINGS:
Due to the global Covid-19 shock, the unemployment is projected to increase vastly all around the world and in the Group's region as well.
If the scenario that the outbreak is put under control and the lockdowns are lifted by the end of May 2020 holds, the economic growth will follow in 2021 and unemployment rate could start gradually diminishing.
| Unempoyment rate, % |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 43.2 | 41.7 | 38.4 | 36.0 | 33.3 | 38.0 | 37.5 |
| North Macedonia | 26.1 | 23.7 | 22.4 | 20.7 | 17.3 | 22.0 | 21.0 |
| Kosovo | 32.9 | 27.5 | 30.5 | 29.5 | 25.7 | 30.0 | 28.5 |
| Serbia | 17.7 | 15.3 | 13.5 | 12.7 | 10.4 | 14.5 | 14.0 |
| Montenegro | 17.6 | 17.7 | 16.1 | 15.2 | 15.1 | 20.0 | 18.0 |
| Slovenia | 9.0 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 9.0 | 7.5 |
| Eurozone | 10.9 | 10.0 | 9.1 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
Sources: Statistical Offices, NLB
Current account, % GDP

KEY FINDINGS:
Current accounts will slightly deteriorate in the Group's region in 2020.
Trade deficits and surpluses are being affected on both sides with stalled imports and exports.
| Currrent Account, % GDP |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | -4,9 | -4,5 | -4,2 | -3,6 | -3,5 | -5,6 | -4,6 |
| North Macedonia | -1,9 | -2,9 | -1,1 | -0,1 | -2,8 | -1,9 | -1,7 |
| Kosovo | -8,6 | -7,9 | -5,4 | -7,6 | -5,8 | -6,8 | -5,2 |
| Serbia | -3,5 | -2,9 | -5,2 | -5,2 | -6,9 | -5.5 | -5.0 |
| Montenegro | -11.0 | -16.2 | -16.1 | -17.0 | -15.2 | -18.1 | -15.2 |
| Slovenia | 3.8 | 4.8 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Eurozone | 2.6 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
Sources: Statistical Offices, NLB
Macro Overview – Fiscal data
Fiscal Balance, % GDP

KEY FINDINGS:
Fiscal measures for countervailing the virus outbreak will be mostly financed by government budgets, which will force them into borrowing, which will in turn increase their public debts.
| Fiscal balance, % GDP |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | -4.5 | -3.0 |
| North Macedonia | -3.5 | -2.7 | -2.7 | -1.8 | -2.0 | -6.0 | -3.5 |
| Kosovo | -1.6 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -2.6 | -2.5 | -5.0 | -3.5 |
| Serbia | -3.5 | -1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | -0.2 | -7.0 | -2.5 |
| Montenegro | -8.0 | -3.4 | -5.5 | -3.6 | -2.9 | -7.5 | -4.0 |
| Slovenia | -2.8 | -1.9 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -7.0 | -3.0 |
| Eurozone | -2.0 | -1.4 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -5.5 | -3.5 |
Sources: Statistical Offices, NLB
Macro Overview – Fiscal data
Public Debt, % GDP

KEY FINDINGS:
Public debt will increase in the whole Group's region, since the medical and fiscal measures will be financed by the governments budgets and borrowing.
Public debts spanned in 2019 from very low in Kosovo (17.5%) up to 75% in Montenegro, hence setting them in different positions regarding the free fiscal space for borrowing.
Public debt will increase by around 6 p.p. up to 14 p.p. in 2020 in the Group's region.
| Public debt, % GDP |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 45.5 | 44.1 | 39.2 | 34.3 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 42.0 |
| North Macedonia | 38.1 | 39.9 | 39.4 | 40.6 | 40.2 | 48.0 | 49.0 |
| Kosovo | 13.1 | 14.4 | 16.2 | 17.1 | 17.5 | 23.5 | 26.0 |
| Serbia | 69.5 | 67.6 | 59.3 | 53.7 | 52.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Montenegro | 66.2 | 64.4 | 64.2 | 70.1 | 75.1 | 89.5 | 88.0 |
| Slovenia | 82.6 | 78.7 | 74.1 | 70.4 | 66.1 | 78.0 | 78.0 |
| Eurozone | 90.8 | 90.0 | 87.8 | 85.9 | 85.0 | 96.5 | 97.0 |
Sources: Statistical Offices, NLB
Loans growth (NFC + Households), %

KEY FINDINGS:
In February 2020, the levels of credit growth are still unaffected by Covid-19 outbreak.
Kosovo (10.7%) and Serbia (9.2%) leading the credit growth in the region in February 2020.
| Loan growth (NFC + Households), % |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Feb 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2.4 | 3.8 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 3.9 |
| North Macedonia | 9.6 | -0.1 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 6.8 |
| Kosovo | 7.3 | 10.6 | 12.4 | 10.9 | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| Serbia | 3.3 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| Montenegro | 2.5 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| Slovenia | -5.1 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 |
| Eurozone | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations
Total Loans (NBS), % GDP

KEY FINDINGS:
Entire region below Eurozone average with a solid growth potential.
Stable loans to GDP ratio in BiH, North Macedonia and Serbia.
In Slovenia, the negative trend stabilized in 2019. In Montenegro, the ratio is continuing to fall. In Kosovo, the share of loans in GDP is steadily increasing, but still the lowest among peers.
| Total Loans as % of GDP | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 60.1 | 58.9 | 57.3 | 58.3 | 58.2 | 58.9 |
| North Macedonia | 48.6 | 49.8 | 47.0 | 47.4 | 48.1 | 48.2 |
| Kosovo | 33.5 | 34.9 | 37.1 | 39.2 | 41.9 | 42.5 |
| Serbia | 56.7 | 57.5 | 58.7 | 56.8 | 57.0 | 57.5 |
| Montenegro | 69.6 | 67.8 | 62.1 | 63.2 | 63.6 | 62.1 |
| Slovenia | 58.3 | 52.3 | 49.5 | 49.3 | 48.6 | 49.0 |
| Eurozone | 92.0 | 91.4 | 90.8 | 90.1 | 90.5 | 91.7 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations
Note: Eurozone Total loans includes only NFC + Households loans
Deposits growth (NFC + Households), %

KEY FINDINGS:
In February 2020, the levels of deposit growth are still unaffected by Covid-19 outbreak.
Kosovo (14.0%) leads the deposit growth in the region in February 2020, followed by strong growth of other countries in the region.
An exception is Montenegro, which is the only country with the negative growth in 2019 and February 2020. Its growth was influenced by the exclusion of deposits from Invest Bank and Atlas Bank due to their bankruptcy proceedings.
| Deposit growth (NFC + Households), % |
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Feb 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8.2 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| North Macedonia | 6.4 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| Kosovo | 7.4 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 7.3 | 14.3 | 14.0 |
| Serbia | 7.1 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 14.9 | 7.8 | 8.4 |
| Montenegro | 11.8 | 10.5 | 13.7 | 3.2 | -2.5 | -1.4 |
| Slovenia | 5.6 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Eurozone | 3.0 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations
Total Deposits (NBS), % GDP

KEY FINDINGS:
In 2019, growing deposits to GDP ratio in the whole region with the exception of Montenegro, though in the latter the ratio is still above its peers in the region.
Across the whole region the share of deposits in GDP is lower than in Eurozone.
| Total Deposits as % of GDP | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 55.8 | 57.5 | 59.0 | 62.6 | 64.5 | 67.6 |
| North Macedonia | 53.1 | 53.4 | 52.5 | 53.2 | 55.7 | 57.5 |
| Kosovo | 45.3 | 46.1 | 47.5 | 47.8 | 50.6 | 54.0 |
| Serbia | 41.7 | 42.7 | 45.1 | 44.3 | 46.1 | 48.3 |
| Montenegro | 65.9 | 72.4 | 72.2 | 74.8 | 74.1 | 71.4 |
| Slovenia | 65.9 | 65.5 | 63.8 | 63.4 | 62.7 | 63.8 |
| Eurozone | 80.9 | 82.1 | 83.9 | 85.3 | 87.1 | 91.2 |
Sources: National Central Banks, ECB, Own calculations
Note: Eurozone Total deposits includes only NFC + Households deposits; For Montenegro, deposits data excludes deposits with Invest Bank and Atlas Bank, according to CBCG

Appendix 3 Financial statements

NLB Group Income Statement
| (EURm) | 1-3 2020 |
1-3 2019 |
YoY | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2019 | QoQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interest and similar income |
90.6 | 90.4 | 0% | 90.6 | 92.1 | 90.4 | -2% |
| Interest and similar expense |
-13.2 | -11.1 | -19% | -13.2 | -12.4 | -11.1 | -6% |
| Net interest income |
77.4 | 79.4 | -3% | 77.4 | 79.7 | 79.4 | -3% |
| Fee and commission income |
57.8 | 53.8 | 7% | 57.8 | 61.3 | 53.8 | -6% |
| Fee and commission expense |
-15.4 | -13.8 | -12% | -15.4 | -17.8 | -13.8 | 13% |
| Net fee and commission income | 42.4 | 40.1 | 6% | 42.4 | 43.5 | 40.1 | -2% |
| Dividend income | 0.0 | 0.1 | -86% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -35% |
| Net income from financial transactions |
3.8 | 12.3 | -69% | 3.8 | 5.8 | 12.8 | -35% |
| Other operating income |
0.2 | 2.7 | -91% | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.7 | -71% |
| Total net operating income |
123.8 | 134.5 | -8% | 123.8 | 129.8 | 134.5 | -5% |
| Employee costs |
-42.9 | -40.1 | -7% | -42.9 | -48.0 | -40.1 | 11% |
| Other general and administrative expenses |
-23.7 | -21.9 | -8% | -23.7 | -32.3 | -21.9 | 27% |
| Depreciation and amortisation |
-8.1 | -7.7 | -4% | -8.1 | -7.7 | -7.7 | -5% |
| Total costs | -74.6 | -69.7 | -7% | -74.6 | -88.0 | -69.7 | 15% |
| Result before impairments and provisions |
49.2 | 64.8 | -24% | 49.2 | 41.9 | 64.8 | 17% |
| Impairments and provisions for credit risk | -28.2 | 3.3 | - | -28.2 | -2.3 | 3.3 | - |
| Other impairments and provisions |
-0.2 | -3.9 | 95% | -0.2 | -8.4 | -3.9 | 98% |
| Gains less losses from capital investments in subsidiaries, associates and joint ventures |
0.2 | 1.1 | -81% | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 | - |
| Result before Tax |
21,0 | 65.3 | -68% | 21,0 | 31.2 | 65.3 | -32% |
| Income tax expense |
-1.6 | -5.4 | 71% | -1.6 | 2.2 | -5.4 | - |
| Non Controlling Interests |
1.2 | 2.0 | -41% | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -43% |
| Net Profit / (Loss) Attributable to Shareholders |
18.3 | 57.9 | -68% | 18.3 | 31.3 | 57.9 | -42% |

NLB Group Statement of Financial Position
| (EURm) | 31 Mar 2020 |
31 Dec 2019 | YtD |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSETS | |||
| Cash and balances with Central Banks and other demand |
|||
| deposits at banks |
2,095.4 | 2,101.3 | 0% |
| Financial instruments |
3,711.3 | 3,829.7 | -3% |
| o/w Trading Book |
25.6 | 24.0 | 6% |
| o/w Non-trading Book |
3,685.7 | 3,805.7 | -3% |
| Loans and advances to banks (net) | 93.6 | 93.4 | 0% |
| o/w gross loans |
93.7 | 93.5 | 0% |
| o/w impairments | -0.1 | -0.1 | 13% |
| Loans and advances to customers | 7,759.8 | 7,604.7 | 2% |
| o/w gross loans |
8,125.6 | 7,938.3 | 2% |
| - Corporates |
3,823.6 | 3,646.3 | 5% |
| - State |
286.0 | 278.6 4,013.5 |
3% |
| - Individuals o/w impairments and valuation |
4,016.1 | -333.6 | 0% |
| Investments in associates and JV | -365.8 | 7.5 | 10% |
| Goodwill | 7.7 3.5 |
3.5 | 3% 0% |
| Other intagible assets |
34.4 | 36.0 | -5% |
| Property, plant and equipment |
193.3 | 195.6 | -1% |
| Investment property |
52.2 | 52.3 | 0% |
| Other assets |
337.2 | 250.0 | 35% |
| Total Assets | 14,288.3 | 14,174.1 | 1% |
| LIABILITIES & EQUITY | |||
| Deposits from banks and central banks |
63.1 | 42.8 | 47% |
| Deposits from customers |
11,652.9 | 11,612.3 | 0% |
| - Corporates |
2,641.7 | 2,772.0 | -5% |
| - State |
282.5 | 257.4 | 10% |
| - Individuals |
8,728.6 | 8,582.9 | 2% |
| Borrowings | 232.5 | 234.8 | -1% |
| Subordinated liabilities Other liabilities |
286.6 | 210.6 342.6 |
36% |
| 328.4 | 12,443.2 | -4% | |
| Total Liabilities Shareholders' Equity |
12,563.6 | 1,685.9 | 1% |
| Non Controlling Interests |
1,678.9 45.9 |
45.0 | 0% 2% |
| Total Equity | 1,724.7 | 1,730.9 | 0% |
| Total Liabilities & Equity |
14,288.3 | 14,174.1 | 1% |
