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NEURIZER LTD — Investor Presentation 2016
Nov 22, 2016
65442_rns_2016-11-22_0529e5dc-2f48-49e0-8858-ab6376a7ba21.pdf
Investor Presentation
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November 2016
Cheap Reliable Energy
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Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX:LCK) 2016
Leigh Creek Energy Disclaimer
This presentation has been completed by Leigh Creek Energy Limited. It may contain forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the energy industry. It’s believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a variety of changes in underlying assumptions which could cause actual results or trends to differ, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling & production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal & regulatory developments, economic & financial market conditions in various countries & regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals & cost estimates amongst other items, & the cumulative impact of items.
This presentation may also contain non-IFRS measures that are unaudited, but are derived from & reconciled to the audited accounts. All references to dollars, cents or $ in this presentation are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated.
Mineral Resource Statement
Estimates of Mineral Resources reported in this announcement were initially reported & released to the ASX on 8 Dec 2015. We are not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the 8 Dec 2015 announcement & all the material assumptions & technical parameters underpinning the estimates in that announcement continue to apply & have not materially changed.
Gas ResourcesStatement
Gas Resources reported in this announcement were initially reported & released to the ASX on 8 Jan 2016. We are not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the 8 Jan 2016 announcement & that all the material assumptions & technical parameters underpinning the estimates in that announcement continue to apply & have not materially changed. All estimates are based on the deterministic method for estimation of petroleum resources.
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Table of contents
| Section | 1 | Market Opportunity | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Section | 2 | LCK Solution | 9 |
| Section | 3 | ISG Technology | 16 |
| Section | 4 | Corporate & Financials | 22 |
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Market Opportunity Section 1 |
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Right market, right time, right place
The right market, the right time:
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Stability of energy supplies in crisis
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Dramatically rising power and gas prices
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Longterm supply constraints
The right place:
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Ideal project location for ISG
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Strong local demand from major customers
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Legal and regulatory certainty in South Australia
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Very supportive government
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Expensive and Unreliable Power in SA
The Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) is in turmoil, with South Australia at the epicentre. Prices have risen despite falling demand, averaging A$104/MWh since July, 2016.
Electricity Futures Price Quarterly ($/MWh)
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Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020
Vic Jul-16 Vic Oct-16 SA Jul-16 SA Oct-16
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Grid stability is becoming an important concern due to:
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The National Electricity Market on the day of the South Australian Blackout, 28 September 2016
Intermittent power
Renewable mandates and certificates
Withdrawal of both base-load and peak-load fossil supply
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Gas prices rising, LNG Exports driving demand
SA Daily Gas Consumption for Power (TJ) and Price (A$/GJ)
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200 10
SA Gas Price (RHS)
160 8
120 6
80 4
40 2
0 0
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Despite gas demand for electricity generation falling, prices have more than doubled to A$9/GJ inAdelaide since 2014.
Except for SA, other States are limiting supply of new gas.
Further gas shortfalls are anticipated as the 3 LNG plants in QLD ramp up.
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Regional demand for500-900MW
LCEP is near major energy consumers:
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Olympic Dam(Cu/U)
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Prominent Hill (Cu)
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Carrapateena (Cu)
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Whyalla (Steel and Hydromet)
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Port Pirie (Pb)
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Central Eyre (Iron Ore)
As well as the metropolitan demand centre in Adelaide.
Leigh Creek Energy Project (LCEP)
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Moomba
Prominent Hill
Olympic Dam
Port Pirie
Whyalla
Central Eyre
Adelaide
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Transmission Lines Gas Pipelines
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LCK Solution
Section 2 |
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TheLeighCreekEnergySolution
Plentiful energy from in-situ gasification (ISG) of coal will permit, in a staged development, low cost domestic supply of:
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Electricity – reliable baseload for SA
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Natural Gas – into the East Coast system
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Further development – fertilisers and explosives
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LCK’s primary focus is to provide reliable electricity supply to major energy consumers in SA and the metropolitan demand centre in Adelaide.
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2,964 PJ Syngas Low cost
Natural Gas
Syngas Production baseload
into pipeline
Resource through ISG Electricity
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Syngascomposition and uses
ISG produces a syngas which contains a variety of components. The composition and energy content changes depending on whether the gasifier is Air-blown or[(1)] are: Oxygen-blown. The main fuel components
- Methane – CH 3-15% 4
12 GJ synthetic natural gas
- Carbon monoxide –CO 10-20%
590 litres of ammonia
Hydrogen –H2
20-35%
490 litres of methanol
1t LC Coal 15 GJ Syngas
260 litres of liquid fuels
2 MWh electrical
(1) HRL Process Modelling of ISG for Leigh Creek Coal, December 2015
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Gas and Coal Resources
Coal resource: JORC 2012: 377 million tonnes inferred.[(1)] Gas resource: SPE-PRMS: 2,964 PJ 2C.[(2)]
| Category | 1C | 2C | 3C |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gas Resource (PJ) | 2,748 | 2,964 | 3,303 |
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Resources will likely convert from 2C to 2P Reserves once gas demonstration is completed in the middle of 2017.
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Option to produce power or annual production of up to 80 PJ of saleable natural gas.
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Offering 25-50 years of production, depending on production profile.
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(1) Refer ASX release dated December 8, 2015
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(2) Refer ASX release dated January 8, 2016
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SouthAustraliaisanexcellentjurisdiction
South Australia consistently ranks near the top of the world’s mining provinces as a place to do business.[(1)]
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Clear title and development pathway
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ISG is included in existing legislation
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Government support for Unconventional Gas
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Native Title process well understood
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Highly skilled labour in need of employment
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Identified as the state which supported natural resource development the most.
Leigh Creek Energy Project (LCEP)
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Darwin
Brisbane
Perth
Sydney
Adelaide
Canberra
Melbourne
Hobart
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SA has a roadmap for unconventional gas, has encouraged a migration of gas companies into the state, and has established a A$24m PACE Fund to assist in the proving of new resources.
(1) Fraser Institute 2015 survey placed SA 10[th] out of 109 regions worldwide
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Government funding supports
Federal R&D tax offset on PCD spending:
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Advance Finding Certificate awarded from Federal Government on eligible activities on our Pre Commercial Demonstration
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Estimated expenditure on eligible activities totals A$21m
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Implied cash rebate totalling A$9m
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Financing options are being investigated
Furthermore, LCK has A$45m in available tax losses
SA Government PACE grant:
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The South Australian Government has announced a A$24m scheme to “Accelerate Investment in Gas Projects”
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LCK will be an applicant for matching funds for the PCD
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The maximum application amount is A$6m
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Next steps forLCK
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2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Stage 1 Stage 2
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Appraisal Gas Commercial
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Demonstration
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JORC 2012 resources Approvals Approvals
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Gas certification Construction Construction
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Site environmental Cold and hot Cold & hot characterisation commissioning commissioning Syngas demonstration Electricity and syngas (mid-2017) production (2019) Plant expansions
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ISG Technology Section 3 |
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In-Situ Gasification(ISG)
The ISG process converts coal to syngas underground and then brought to the surface. The syngas is processed and can be used in a number of ways:
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Power
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Methane
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Methanol
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Fertiliser
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Others
Standard oilfield equipment is used in the process.
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LeighCreekCoalField–idealforISG
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Leigh Creek is an existing mine site. It produced coal for 60 years for the Port Augusta power station, 250km away.
Ideal Location with existing infrastructure:
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Remote from majorpopulations
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Self-contained groundwater system
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Power transmission lines
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Sealed road, airport, rail, water
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Major gas pipeline 125kmaway
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Township of Leigh Creek
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ISG gasdemonstration
Demonstration willshow community and government that ISG can operate:
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Safely
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With minimal impact to the environment
Data Obtained from Demonstration Allows:
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Government to approve Commercial Project
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Development of safety and environmental controls
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Optimisation of plant design
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Operating costs discovery
Crucially, for a total spend of A$20m LCK will likely convert 2,964 PJ of 2C resources into a similar amount of 2P reserves.
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Key Engineering Contracts Awarded
LCK PCD Engineering Design
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Production well
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Gas analyser
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Condensate separation tank
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Thermal oxidiser
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Condensate buffer tanks
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Generators and diesel storage
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Water injection facility
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Cold Vent/Safety Vent
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Access Road
LCK has awarded the contract for the Thermal Oxidiser and Cold Vent package to Gasco Pty Ltd.
LCK corporate video and ISG explanation:
https://youtu.be/w1-4gYzT8Ek
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LCK PCD Design
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The Carbon Energy
Demonstration Facility
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TheworldwideexperienceofISG
Commercial Operations:
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Angren, Uzbekistan: 60 yearsof operation
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Eskom, Majuba, South Africa – co-firing power station with syngas
North American Experience:
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40 years of trials & demonstration
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Multiple sites, techniques, outcomes
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Utilised standard oil-field
Australian Experience:
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Linc Energy – demonstration facility operated for 11 years
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Carbon Energy – demonstration facility operated for 5 years
Carbon Energy Bloodwood Creek Project
Queensland Government’s Chief Scientist, Dr. Geoff Garrett AO , confirmed that Carbon Energy:
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Met the key recommendations of the government appointed Independent Scientific Panel (ISP).
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“It is clear that Carbon Energy has contributed to the collective understanding of UCG and the conditions under which the operation is likely to be both safe and successful.”
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Demonstrated safe and effective decommissioning and completing of a plan for rehabilitation which were independently reviewed by experts appointed by the DEHP.
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Corporate & Financial Section 4 |
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LCK Corporate Summary
| LCK Capital Structure | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shares | 265.9m | |||
| Options | 40.4m | |||
| Market Cap @ A$0.13 | A$ | 34.6m | ||
| Cash (as at 30-Sep-16) | A$ | 5.4m | ||
| Debt | A$ | 0.0m | ||
| Enterprise Value | A$ | 29.2m | ||
| EV/Resource (2C) | A$/GJ | 0.01 |
| Top Shareholders | # of Shares | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allied Resource Prtnrs. | 104.8m | 39.4 | ||
| CITIC Australia | 17.2m | 6.5 | ||
| RBC Investor Services | 6.7m | 2.5 | ||
| One Design Skiff & Sails | 5.2m | 1.9 | ||
| HSBC Custody | 4.6m | 1.7 | ||
| Top 20 | 176.1 m | 66.2 |
Leigh Creek (LCK) has 2,964 PJ of PRMS certified and is syngas aiming for commercial production from 2019.
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First demonstration is due syngas in the mid-2017.
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ExperiencedTeam
| The Team | Experience |
|---|---|
| Justyn Peters Executive Chairman |
Senior exec with Linc Energy (LNC), the Australian pioneer in ISG, and previously held senior roles in the Queensland EPA. Major shareholder in Allied Resource Partners (ARP). |
| Phil Staveley CEO |
30 years working in oil and gas and mining in planning, commercial and finance roles for firms like Schlumberger, SAGASCO, SAOG, and Normandy. |
| Justin Haines COO |
Broad experience across engineering and geological services. Most recently, worked as Technical Manager for Carbon Energy, successfully operating their ISG facility. |
| Mark Terry CFO |
CPA with more than 20 years of experience in the mining industry, including KPMG, Normandy, Newmont, and Xstrata. |
| Andrew Harrington GM – Project Finance |
20 years across consulting, project finance, institutional banking, and stockbroking. Was a #1 rated equity analyst by Reuters. |
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LCK compares verycheaply
LCK is trading at an EV/Resource of only A$0.01/GJ.
EV/Resources (2C)
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A$ 1.19
1.20
1.10 A$ 1.04
1.00
0.90 Macquarie Bid
0.80 (Nov 13, 2016)
0.70
0.60
Average: A$0.52/GJ
0.50 A$ 0.45
0.40
0.30 A$ 0.26
0.20 A$ 0.15
0.10
A$ 0.01
0.00
Leigh Creek Energy Senex Energy Cooper Energy Strike Energy Central Petroleum Beach Energy
2C Resources 2,964 PJ 1,273 PJ 361 PJ 164 PJ 143 PJ 1,255 PJ
A$ / GJ
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- LCK Resource’ Under Avg Valuation: A$1,541m
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Conclusion: Right market, right time, right place
LCK is ideally placed close to major South Australian (SA) energy consumers, infrastructure, as well as the metropolitan demand centre in Adelaide City, where LCK can provide a cost effective solution to an energy market in turmoil.
LCK will provide:
Key Points:
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Cheap Electricity
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Reliability of supply
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Supply to a natural gas market in shortage
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Spending ~A$20m to convert 2,964 PJ (3tcf) of 2C syngas into a similar amount of 2P syngas.
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The South Australian government is very supportive of the unconventional gas industry
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Appendix 1 - Commercial electricityproduction
The application of ISG is new, but the equipment for both gas handling and the power station is standard:
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Performance guarantees from turbine suppliers
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Gas clean-up and upgrading into natural gas (>93% CH4)
: Relationships
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ElectraNet – transmission routes
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CQ Partners – power market studies
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APA – gas pipelineroutes
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Shanghai Electric Group – power station construction
Indicative Timeline :
- Approvals by early 2018, then 18 month constructiontime
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Syngas produced from ISG can be used to fuel a standard Open Cycle or Combined Cycle gas turbine. Feasibility is underway for a staged 100-500MW power station option.
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