AI assistant
NEURIZER LTD — Investor Presentation 2016
Sep 6, 2016
65442_rns_2016-09-06_cb211601-08c5-4aa0-9a0c-553165839de3.pdf
Investor Presentation
Open in viewerOpens in your device viewer
==> picture [686 x 109] intentionally omitted <==
Cheap Reliable Energy September 2016
==> picture [634 x 157] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
1
Disclaimer
This presentation has been completed by Leigh Creek Energy Limited. It may contain forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the energy industry. It’s believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a variety of changes in underlying assumptions which could cause actual results or trends to differ, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling & production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal & regulatory developments, economic & financial market conditions in various countries & regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals & cost estimates amongst other items, & the cumulative impact of items.
This presentation may also contain non-IFRS measures that are unaudited, but are derived from & reconciled to the audited accounts. All references to dollars, cents or $ in this presentation are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated.
Mineral Resource Statement
Estimates of Mineral Resources reported in this announcement were initially reported & released to the ASX on 8 Dec 2015. We are not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the 8 Dec 2015 announcement & all the material assumptions & technical parameters underpinning the estimates in that announcement continue to apply & have not materially changed.
Gas Resources Statement
Gas Resources reported in this announcement were initially reported & released to the ASX on 8 Jan 2016. We are not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the 8 Jan 2016 announcement & that all the material assumptions & technical parameters underpinning the estimates in that announcement continue to apply & have not materially changed. All estimates are based on the deterministic method for estimation of petroleum resources.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
2
An energy market in turmoil
The Australian East Coast electricity market (NEM) is in turmoil. Prices have risen despite falling demand and grid stability is becoming an important concern for power consumers due to:
-
Intermittent power
-
Two-way power flows
-
Renewable mandates and certificates
-
Withdrawal of both baseload and peakload fossil supply
-
Gas shortages
Market power and vertical integration of retailers South Australia (SA) is at the epicentre of this turmoil.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
3
High electricity prices despite weak demand
SA power prices are higher than anywhere else in the NEM.
==> picture [455 x 249] intentionally omitted <==
Major consumers are now worried about reliability of power supply as well as the price of power. Despite the closure of large manufacturers in South Australia helping to lower demand, the Image: LCEP Laydown area July 2015 Image: PEL 650 looking north towards Lobe C remaining consumers are suffering from energy insecurity.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
4
Power per capita in steep decline
Due to rooftop solar, energy efficiency measures, and closure of manufacturing.
==> picture [480 x 291] intentionally omitted <==
Retail prices have tripled from $100/MWh in 2000 to $280/MWh Image: LCEP Laydown area July 2015 in the current year.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
5
Gas prices also rising rapidly
Despite gas demand for power declining, prices have doubled to $7/GJ in Adelaide.
==> picture [449 x 304] intentionally omitted <==
Further gas shortfalls are anticipated as the 3 LNG plants in QLD ramp up. Stretched balance sheets and restraints to new gas Image: LCEP Laydown area July 2015 Image: PEL 650 looking north towards Lobe C exploration result in lower than anticipated supply.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
6
The Leigh Creek Energy solution
-
The Leigh Creek Energy Project (LCEP) is aiming for commercial production from mid 2019. Cheap energy from in-situ gasification of coal will permit, in a staged development, low cost and domestic supply of:
-
Electricity – baseload and peaking for SA
-
Pipeline Gas – into the East Coast system
-
Fertilisers – SA farmers currently import 100% of their nitrogen fertiliser needs
-
Explosives – SA is a significant mining region and there are few options for miners
Our primary focus is reliable electricity supply to major customers in SA.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
7
LCK Corporate summary
| LCK Capital Structure | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shares | #m | 265.9 | ||
| Options | #m | 40.4 | ||
| Market Cap @0.14 Cash Debt Enterprise Value EV/Resource (2C) |
$m $m $m $m $/GJ |
37.2 8.7 0.0 28.5 0.01 |
||
| Top Shareholders | #m | % | ||
| Allied Resource Prtnrs. | 104.8 | 39.4 | ||
| CITIC Australia | 17.2 | 6.5 | ||
| RBC Investor Services | 6.7 | 2.5 | ||
| One Design Skiff & Sails | 5.2 | 1.9 | ||
| HSBC Custody | 4.6 | 1.7 | ||
| Top 20 | 176.1 | 66.2 |
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek (LCK) has 3,000PJ of PRMS certified gas and is aiming for commercial production from mid 2019. First gas demonstration is due in the March Quarter of 2017.
Image: LCEP Laydown area July 2015 Image: PEL 650 looking north towards Lobe C
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
8
Experienced Team
| The Team | Experience |
|---|---|
| Justyn Peters Executive Chairman |
Senior exec with Linc Energy (LNC), the Australian pioneer in ISG, and previously held senior roles in the Queensland EPA. Major shareholder in Allied Resource Partners (ARP). |
| David Shearwood Managing Director |
Almost 30 years of experience as a fund manager, strategist and investment banker at Macquarie Bank, Westpac, QBE, Atom Funds Management, Du Pont, and Rio Tinto. Major shareholder in ARP. |
| Phil Staveley CEO |
30 years working in oil and gas and mining in planning, commercial and finance roles for firms like Schlumberger, SAGASCO, SAOG, and Normandy. |
| Justin Haines GM – Technical |
Broad experience across engineering and geological services. Most recently, worked as Technical Manager for Carbon Energy, successfully operating their ISG facility. |
| Mark Terry GM – Project Development |
CPA with more than 20 years of experience in the mining industry, including KPMG, Normandy, Newmont, and Xstrata. |
| Bruce Holman GM – Strategy |
30 years in mining, investment management, and NSW Treasury. Transaction roles at Treasury included the sale of Macquarie Gen. |
| Andrew Harrington GM – Project Finance |
Image: LCEP Laydown area July 2015 Image: PEL 650 looking north towards Lobe C 20 years across consulting, project finance, institutional banking, and stockbroking. Was a #1 rated equity analyst by Reuters. |
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
9
3,000PJ of certified gas
Identified 377Mt of coal resources at Inferred category under the JORC 2012 code, independently reported by GeoConsult in December 2015.
Resources based on over 6,000 drill holes Average depth is 500m+
LCK has achieved certification of its recoverable gas resources under the SPE-PRMS code, by MHA Petroleum Consultants of Denver USA.
Cate or 1C 2C 3C g y Gas Resource (PJ) 2,748 2,964 3,303
Resources will likely convert from 2C to 2P Reserves once gas demonstration is completed in the March Quarter of 2017.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
10
South Australia is an excellent jurisdiction
Leigh Creek Energy Project (LCEP)
In the annual Investment Attractiveness Survey conducted by the Fraser Institute , South Australia consistently ranks near the top of the world’s mining provinces. In the 2015 survey, SA ranked 10[th] out of 109 regions.
==> picture [220 x 169] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Darwin
Brisbane
Perth
Sydney
Adelaide
Canberra
Melbourne
Hobart
----- End of picture text -----
Clear title and development pathway
- ISG is included in existing legislation
Broad government support of economic development
-
Native Title process well understood
-
Highly skilled labour in need of employment
Image: LCEP Laydown area July 2015
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
11
Regional demand for 500-900MW
Leigh Creek Energy Project (LCEP)
LCEP is near major energy consumers:
Olympic Dam (Cu/U)
- Prominent Hill (Cu)
Carrapateena (Cu)
Whyalla (Steel, Hydromet) Port Pirie (Pb)
Central Eyre (Iron Ore) As well as the metropolitan demand centre in Adelaide city.
==> picture [237 x 251] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Moomba
Prominent Hill
Olympic Dam
Port Pirie
Whyalla
Adelaide
----- End of picture text -----
Transmission Lines MAPS Gas Pipeline
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
12
In-Situ Gasification (ISG)
The ISG process converts coal to syngas underground, and is then brought to the surface. The syngas is processed and can be used in a number of ways:
-
Power
-
Methane
-
Methanol
-
Fertiliser
-
and others
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
13
The worldwide experience of ISG
Commercial Operations:
-
Angren, Uzbekistan: 60 years of operation
-
Eskom, Majuba, South Africa – cofiring power station with syngas
North American Experience:
-
40 years of trials & demonstration
-
Multiple sites, techniques, outcomes
-
Utilised standard oil-field
Australian Experience:
-
Linc Energy – demonstration facility operated for 11 years
-
Carbon Energy – demonstration facility operated for 5 years
Carbon Energy Bloodwood Creek Project Queensland Government’s Chief Scientist, Dr Geoff Garrett AO, confirmed that Carbon Energy:
- Met the key recommendations of the government appointed Independent Scientific Panel (ISP)
“It is clear that Carbon Energy has contributed to the collective understanding of UCG and the conditions under which the operation is likely to be both safe and successful.”
• Demonstrated safe and effective decommissioning and completing of a plan for rehabilitation which were independently reviewed by experts appointed by the DEHP.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation 14
www.lcke.com.au
Leigh Creek Coal Field – ideal for ISG
==> picture [551 x 126] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek is an existing mine site. It produced coal for 60 years for the Port Augusta power station, 250km away.
Ideal Location with infrastructure:
Remote from major populations
Self-contained groundwater system Power transmission lines
-
Sealed road, airport, rail, water
-
Major gas pipeline 125km away
-
Township of Leigh Creek
==> picture [248 x 183] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
15
Next steps for LCK
Stage 1 Gas Stage 2 Appraisal Demonstrati Commercial on
-
JORC 2012 • • Approvals Approvals
-
resources • Construction • Construction
-
• Gas certification • Cold and hot • Cold & hot
-
• Site environmental commissioning commissioning
-
characterisation • • Syngas demonstration Electricity and syngas (Q1 2017) production (2019) • Plant expansions
-
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
16
ISG gas demonstration
Target operation of gas production demonstration during Q1 2017 at LCEP. To show community and government that ISG can operate:
-
Safely, and with
-
Minimal im act to the environment p
Indicative Timeline Event Q4 2016 Stage 1 Gas Demonstration Approval Q1 2017 Stage 1 Gas Demonstration
Data Obtained from Demonstration Allows:
-
Government to approve Commercial Project
-
Development of safety and environmental controls
-
Optimisation of plant design
-
Operating costs discovery
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
17
Syngas fuel for power and pipeline gas
ISG produces a syngas which contains a variety of components. The composition and energy content changes depending on whether the gasifier is Air-blown or Oxygen-blown. The main fuel components are:
Methane – CH 4
3-15%
Carbon monoxide – CO 10-20% Hydrogen – H2 20-35%
The application of ISG is new, but the equipment for both gas handling and the power station is standard:
-
Performance guarantees from turbine suppliers
-
Gas clean-up and upgrading into pipeline gas (>93% CH4)
-
Surplus gas will be sold to the East Coast market.
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
18
Commercial electricity production
Syngas produced from ISG will be used to fuel a standard Open Cycle or Combined Cycle gas turbine. Planning is underway for a staged 100-500MW power station.
: Relationships
-
Shanghai Electric Group – power station construction
-
ElectraNet – transmission routes
-
CQ Partners – peaking power studies
-
APA – gas pipeline routes
-
Indicative Timeline :
-
Approvals by end 2017, then 18 month construction time
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation 19
www.lcke.com.au
LCK compares very cheaply
==> picture [557 x 330] intentionally omitted <==
LCK is trading at an EV/Resource of only $0.01/GJ Image: LCEP Laydown area July 2015
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation 20
www.lcke.com.au
Conclusions
-
Leigh Creek Energy aims to produce cheap energy
-
LCEP will initially generate electricity from syngas to support existing and potential manufacturing and mining operations in SA
-
Future expansion looking to include natural gas and ammonia-based fertilisers
-
SA has a supportive and enabling regulatory framework and process
-
The Leigh Creek Energy project is located on a former coal minesite that has significant existing infrastructure
-
LCK is working with the local and regional communities to achieve positive outcomes
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
21
Appendix 1: Existing Transmission Lines
==> picture [100 x 190] intentionally omitted <==
----- Start of picture text -----
Regional
network
and
potential
major
customer
locations
----- End of picture text -----
==> picture [475 x 390] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [84 x 35] intentionally omitted <==
==> picture [101 x 40] intentionally omitted <==
Leigh Creek Energy Limited (ASX: LCK) – Investor Presentation
www.lcke.com.au
22