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Multiconsult

Investor Presentation Nov 4, 2020

3667_rns_2020-11-04_b8df2af6-3760-4a20-b975-db4a96d366da.pdf

Investor Presentation

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MULTICONSULT CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 2020

OSLO, 4 NOVEMBER 2020

DISCLAIMER

This presentation includes forward-looking statements which are based on our current expectations and projections about future events. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including statements regarding our future financial position, risks and uncertainties related to our business, strategy, capital expenditures, projected costs and our plans and objectives for future operations, including our plans for future costs savings and synergies may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Words such as "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "may," "assume," "plan," "intend," "will," "should," "estimate," "risk" and similar expressions or the negatives of these expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. In addition any forwardlooking statements are made only as of the date of this notice, and we do not intend and do not assume any obligation to update any statements set forth in this presentation.

08:15 -
08:30
Registration
08:30 -
09:00
Q3 2020 Presentation Grethe Bergly, CEO & Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
09:00 -
09:15
Break
09:15 -
09:45
On a Journey
Grethe Bergly, CEO
The Turnaround
Grethe Bergly, CEO
09:45 -
10:00
Market
Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
10:00 -
10:15
Break
10:15 -
10:50
Way Forward
Grethe Bergly, CEO & Herman Smith, CDO
10:50 -
11:10
nextLEVEL

Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
11:10 -
11:25
Financial targets Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
11:25 -
11:30
Final words Grethe Bergly, CEO
11:30 -
12:00
Lunch

ON A JOURNEY

By CEO GRETHE BERGLY

NET OPERATING REVENUES | YTD

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

MNOK 2 694

MNOK 2 531

ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN | YTD

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

5.1 % *

** 2020: Excluding one-off nextLEVEL restructuring cost of NOK 30.0 million in Q3 and YTD 2020 * 2019: Excluding one-off charges of NOK 30.2 million in Q1 and Q2.

nextLEVEL | full realisation MNOK 150

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

NOK 0 MNOK 138

OTHER OPEX RATIO (*) | YTD

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

15.8 %

18.8 %

* ex. IFRS 16 margin

SHARE PRICE

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

NOK 93.0 (+ 62%)

NOK 57.4

VALUE CREATORS

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

3 005 2 938

ORDER INTAKE | YTD

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

MNOK 3 261

MNOK 3 019

ORDER BACKLOG

3Q 2019 vs 3Q 2020

MNOK 3 040

MNOK 2 732

COVID 19 | employees infected at work

4 Nov 2020

EMPOWERED BY MULTICONSULT

DEICHMAN BJØRVIKA, Oslo

  • ~ 19.600 m2
  • Winner of "Betongtavlen 2020"
  • Multiconsult set for engineering services inn all phases of the project

FINANSPARKEN, Stavanger

• One of the largest wood buildings in Europa • Winner of Årets Bygg (The building of the year) 2019 and Årets Trebryggeri (The wood building of the year) 2019

SKI RAILWAY STATION, Ski

  • New railway station and infrastructure
  • Multiconsult has been involved in the planning and design of new Ski Railway Station since 2006
  • The landscape architecture is done by LINK arkitektur

CAMPUS ÅS, Ås

• ~ 63 100 m2

  • Co-location of the veterinary institute and the veterinary college at Norwegian University of Life Sciences (NMBU)
  • Design group: Multiconsult, Link arkitektur, Henning Larsen Architects, Fabel Arkitekter and Erichsen & Horgen

Photo: Jacob Due og Henning Larsen

STILL TO BE EMPOWERED

(PROJECT WINS)

• 11 km new roads engineering services

NEW E6 MOELV-ROTERUD, Innlandet

  • New four-lane bridge crossing lake Mjøsa
  • Multiconsult is set to deliver design and

The New Mjøsa Bridge | Ill: Nye Veier

OCEAN SPACE CENTRE, Trondheim

• ~49 000 m2

  • A knowledge centre for future ocean space technology
  • Multiconsult will design foundation and concrete work, supporting structures and construction.

Ill: Statsbygg / Snøhetta

THE FORNEBU SUBWAY LINE, Oslo

  • 8.2 km new subway and 6 new stations
  • One of Norway's largest and most challenging transport projects in recent times
  • Multiconsult in joint venture with Cowi and including partners LINK arkitektur and Jotne, will provide engineering and architecture services for the entire design project.

THE TURNAROUND

By CEO GRETHE BERGLY

SOLID FOUNDATION

  • Highly skilled employees
  • Competent leaders
  • Strong client relations
  • Strong project portfolio
  • Strong historical record
  • Culture of empowerment

The key has been to adjust, not to transform!

WHY - WHAT – HOW - WHO

WHERE DO YOU START IN ORDER TO ACCOMPLISH BUSINESS CHANGE

  • Agree on current state of affairs
  • Act on fact
  • Few and common goals (focus)
  • Expectations and commitment
  • Follow-up and measure
  • Transparency and availability
  • Courage
  • The right persons in the right positions

THE NEED FOR IMPROVEMENT WAS EVIDENT AND PREPARATIONS STARTED IMMEDIATELY

IMPROVEMENT 2019

  • nextLEVEL IMPLEMENTATION Low-hanging fruits
  • Gradual focus towards improvement and performance in organisation

nextLEVEL PREPARATIONS

  • Thorough analysis
  • Benchmarking with peers and comparable companies
  • Target setting and corresponding measures

  • Clear mandates and responsibilities

  • Reporting with transparency
  • KPIs guiding and performance tracking throughout the organisation

Turnaround started with new management in place

  • Extensive knowledge of the organisation
  • Some new external experience
  • Priority on core business
  • Action plan based on analysis and clear goals

Our success is made possible by strong commitment in the organisation

  • Creating visible and lasting results
  • Building on a strong culture and competencies
  • Use of the insight and capabilities of the organisation
  • Courage in target setting and measures
  • Strong commitment during a demanding Covid-19

ONE MULTICONSULT

We own our together!

PROJECTS

EMPLOYEES

CLIENTS

MARKET & SALES

By CFO HANS-JØRGEN WIBSTAD

SALES AT 3 261 MNOK | +8 % year-on-year

SALES GROUP | MNOK

BACKLOG AT 3 040 MNOK | +11 % year-on-year

BACKLOG GROUP | MNOK

BACKLOG PER REGION | MNOK

SOLID MARKET OUTLOOK WITH CERTAIN SHORT-TERM UNCERTAINTIES

The State Budget
2021

Solid activity levels look to continue within most sectors

NOK 3 billion The Norwegian Public Road Administration reduction compared to 2020,
while Nye Veier
portfolio does remain strong
Solid growth in rail investment: NOK 5 billion increase from 2020
+54%
National
Transport Plan

The National Transport plan 2018-2029 promises high activity
with 54% increased annual investment
Expected that a revised NTP 2021-2029 will lead to reductions
77.4
50.1
NTP 2014-2017
NTP 2018-2029
COVID -
19

Expect less activity in the private market, especially hospitality, tourism & offices

Municipal investment expected to decrease following local Covid-19 strain

Public sector (state) increased investment to counter negative development

Increased competition from international competitors

BUSINESS AREAS

Expected decrease in private sector activity countered by increase in public investment within B&P

  • term Expected increased number of projects in the public sector
  • The continuing uncertainty from Covid-19 will be a major factor in the coming period for the private sector
  • We see increasing competition for all projects and pricing is under pressure

Despite road investment reduction, the increase in railway projects indicates a positive outlook for transportation

  • An increase in railway projects the coming years, confirmed by the National Budget for 2021: NOK 5 billion up from 2020
  • Decline for medium sized projects due to client re-organization. Reduction of NOK 6 billion from 2020 in the National Budget for roads
  • International EPC-Contractors are showing significant interest in the Norwegian market

Maintenance lag & growing market for sustainability adaptions leads to a positive outlook for W&E

  • High maintenance lag in water and wastewater infrastructure
  • Robust market for investigation for contaminated soil
  • Growing market for ESG adaptions

Renewable Energy

Overall positive outlook within RE driven by Transmission & Distribution and awaiting re-start after Covid-19 internationally

  • Wind power in Norway declining due to tightening of regulations
  • Hydropower in Norway slow due to low power prices, awaiting tax reliefs to be approved
  • Active market for Transmission & Distribution and electrification and expected to grow
  • International projects slowed down due to Covid-19
  • Expected solid development in solar and advisory services for new energy solutions

Outlook for industry market looks positive with opportunities in green projects and land-based aquaculture internationally

Long term

  • Interesting opportunities in green projects such as Carbon Capture Storage, hydrogen and battery manufacturing
  • Increased market for land-based aquaculture on the international market

Active transport infrastructure and housing markets lead to a positive outlook despite commercial Covid-19 effects

AMENTS
  • Market for urban transport infrastructure continues to be solid
  • Sustainable city development and smart societies are exciting markets: ex. Lierstranda, Drammen and Tjeldbergvika, Svolvær
  • Housing market is active with low interest rates while office space market is experiencing clear Covid-19 related downturn

Currently stable O&G market, however long-term uncertainties and expected decline

  • The O&G market in Norway has stabilised
  • Several existing land facilities will be upgraded or modified and Multiconsult is well positioned
  • Long term outlook Norway is more uncertain, however expertise is valuable in other markets
08:15 -
08:30
Registration
08:30 -
09:00
Q3 2020 Presentation Grethe Bergly, CEO & Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
09:00 -
09:15
Break
09:15 -
09:45
On a Journey
Grethe Bergly, CEO
The Turnaround
Grethe Bergly, CEO
09:45 -
10:00
Market
Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
10:00 -
10:15
Break
10:15 -
10:50
Way Forward
Grethe Bergly, CEO & Herman Smith, CDO
10:50 -
11:10
nextLEVEL

Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
11:10 -
11:25
Financial targets Hans-Jørgen Wibstad, CFO
11:25 -
11:30
Final words Grethe Bergly, CEO
11:30 -
12:00
Lunch

WAY FORWARD

By CEO GRETHE BERGLY and CDO HERMAN SMITH

The rapid change in our surroundings will change our business as we know it. Even more important, it will create new opportunities for new products, new business models and new ways of working.

TO SUCCEED, ACTION IS REQUIRED

A MAJOR PLAYER

ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL & GOVERNANCE (ESG)

Collaboration for forwardlooking solutions for the benefit of people, the globe and the customer.

  • Solar-, wind- and hydropower
  • Water management
  • Floods and landslides
  • Research and development
  • Circularity
  • Civil protection

ESG | RENEWABLE INDUSTRY AT A RECORD HIGH LEVEL

In 2019, total turnover in the Norwegian renewable energy industry increased by 30 per cent to a record high of NOK 45.1 billion.

LIDL SHOPPING STORE, Visby, Sweden

The first zero-CO2 certified building in the world. The concept for the new store in Visby consists of several collaborative solutions to achieve the certification requirements for both Zero-CO2 and BREEAM-SE Excellent.

The shop is built entirely of wood. It has been equipped with solar cells, green roof surfaces with sedum plants, grass and herbs. The plot also has eco-zones and planting areas that contribute to biodiversity.

The project has been carried out as a pilot project for the new certification Zero-CO2. Link Architecture has collaborated with Lidl and the Sweden Green Building Council in the implementation of the project.

ZEB FELXIBLE LAB, Trondheim

ZEB (Zero Emission Building) Flexible Lab will be the most sustainable building in the world with documented climate accounts and an office building with highly specialized research equipment and teaching premises where NTNU and SINTEF will test new zero-emission technology.

The building design of the ZEB Flexible Lab and selection of technologies is made in co-creation between NTNU, SINTEF, Metier and Veidekke Entreprenør with LINK Arkitektur, Multiconsult, Aas Jakobsen, Siemens, Sweco, Oras Trondheim and Vintervoll.

ESG | GREAT POTENTIAL IN CIRULARITY

Reuse is one of the most relevant topics in the construction, real estate and construction industry right now. The industry accounts for 16 per cent of Norway's greenhouse gas emissions and around 25 per cent of waste production in Norway.

ESG | CIRCULARITY

SOFIENBERG SECONDARY SCHOOL, Oslo

At Sofienberg in Oslo, a school building from 1970 will have new facades with solar energy production and low energy consumption. Materials taken out in connection with the rehabilitation must be reused.

Reuse of materials is an important measure to reduce material consumption in the construction industry. According to a recent report, around 20 percent of waste production takes place in this industry, and there is a great potential for increasing recycling and reuse.

REUSE OF HOUSES Norway

Multiconsult and Link arkitektur have prepared a feasibility study for Nye Veier AS related to reuse of redeemed houses in connection with major transport developments.

SUSTAINABILITY | CIRCULARITY

REGIONAL RECYCLING NETWORK FOR BUILDING MATERIAL, Norway

Two regional reuse networks with a dozen real estate companies are now being established in Oslo and Trondheim.

The networks will make it easier for real estate companies to reuse building materials in the rehabilitation or demolition of buildings.

ESG | HUGE INVESTMENT NEEDS

Society depends on good water and sewage services. In order to ensure continued clean tap water and in nature, there is a need to invest more than NOK 280 billion in the municipally owned water and sewage systems until 2040. Norsk vann

There is a need for close to NOK 4 billion for flood and landslide protection measures throughout the country. In Norway 172,000 live in danger of landslides, quick clays and floods. NVE

ESG | CIVIL PROTECTION

NEW WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM, Oslo

The new water source is Holsfjorden. A tunnel will be built to a new water treatment plant in Oslo, as well as 15 km of lines in tunnels for onward distribution of the treated water.

100 per cent fossil fuel-free construction site. Machinery powered by 100 per cent sustainable biofuel or electricity, measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from major drivers of emissions and materials.

ESG | CIVIL PROTECTION

SURFACE WATER PROJECT, Norway

Multiconsult is engaged by the Norwegian Public Roads Administration to prepare impact/benefit assessments as well as proposals for measures regarding to climate adaptation of roads as a result of increased surface water.

ESG | CIVIL PROTECTION

KLIMAGRUNN | Innovation project Norway

The Norwegian Public Roads Administration, BaneNOR and Statsbygg have joined forces to reduce greenhouse gas emissions related to ground stabilization by means of lime-cement piles.

The aim of «KlimaGrunn» is to develop climate-friendly protection and ground reinforcement methods for quick clays that also safeguard biodiversity.

As part of the tender work, Multiconsult and partners have developed a new and comprehensive working methodology for lime-cement stabilization of soft clay..

We are planning the society of the future

CHANGES URBAN LIFE

In 2015, 54% of the world's population lived in cities.

By 2050, 66% of the population is expected to live in cities, ie. over 6.2 billion people.

  • Urban Developments
  • Urban Infrastructure
  • SMART Buildings & Neighbourhoods

LIERSTRANDA Lier and Drammen

Lierstranda is the largest urban development project in Norway. The new fjordside town will significantly increase the population of Lier Municipality, as well as providing access to the coastline.

Keywords for the planning process include zero emissions, sustainability, eco-friendly, urban and modern. Lierstanda will contain 16 000 new residents and 16 000 jobs. Total plan area is 1.0 million m2.

In an interdisciplinary partnership with LINK arkitektur and WSP Norge, Multiconsult develops the zoning plan for the new fjordside town.

TJELDBERGVIKA Svolvær

Clemens Eiendom has developed its first smart neighbourhood in Tjeldbergvika outside Svolvær. Each of the 213 homes are planned with a starter kit where technology will be the foundation for solutions that contribute to sustainable solutions and better community.

Multiconsult is engaged to define what this starter kit should contain and what the smart concept requires of technical basic solutions and associated investments in among other things, power supply.

STEPPING UP DIGITALISATION

DIGITALISATION

Scandinavia is one of the leading markets for digitalisation of the building and construction industry.

• CDO

  • Digital Strategy
  • Digital Innovation
  • Strategic cooperation agreements

THE DIGITAL CROSSROADS OF THE INDUSTRY

Herman Bjørn Smith

Chief Digital Officer Multiconsult

WHAT WE'RE DOING, AND WHAT WE'RE GOOD AT

Consepualization & Construction Visualization

Planning

ADDRESSING CHALLENGES IN THE INDUSTRY

  • Low productivity
  • Lack of predictability
  • Low margins
  • Pricing models
  • Pace of innovation

POSSIBLE OUTCOMES

Integration throughout the value chain

Extreme use of data The software expert

INTEGRATION THROUGHOUT THE VALUE CHAIN

EXTREME USE OF DATA

THE SOFTWARE EXPERT

EMBRACING ALL THE ROLES

  • Integration throughout the value chain
  • Extreme use of data
  • The software expert

The total disrupter?

EMBRACING ALL THE ROLES

  • Integration throughout the value chain
  • Extreme use of data
  • The software expert

The total disrupter?

WILL WE SEE THE «TESLA» OF OUR INDUSTRY?

Our business will be based on value networks

WANT TO CHALLENGE THE TRADITIONAL VALUE CHAIN

VALUE CHAIN DYNAMICS

'The Government will ask underlying businesses to develop new contract forms where the contractors will be more involved in designing solutions.

  • Holistic value creation
  • Life cycle perspective
  • Value networks

Today's focus Tomorrow's focus WHAT IS VALUE CREATION? Design and construction are a fraction of the total value of society, but have the greatest impact on the end product. Howe, M., Knight, R., Pitteway, S., Dacre, I., Jones, M., Constructing Excellence South West, Outcome Led Procurement Design Business Cost Operation & maintenance Construction Social value

THE BUSINESS MODELS OF THE FUTURE

Oscar Research and Development Project |

HOLISTIC VALUE CREATION IN A LIFE CYCLE PERSPECTIVE

  • Design and consulting based on a life cycle perspective provides increased value creation for the project owner
  • Comprehensive choices in early phase development are crucial for value creation in the project's life cycle
  • High risk of impairment through poor relay exchanges between phases

DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE – AND AN INDUSTRY CHALLENGE

GAIN & OPERATIONS

EBIT 8% Initial EBIT 10% Long term

Strengthened operations and value creation

ANCHORING THE STRATEGY

GO provides us with a foundation to ensure:

  • Profitability that gives room for future growth and future-oriented development
  • Positioning for large EPC/IPD projects and digital innovation

WE BELIEVE IN…

  • The importance of understanding clients challenges and requirements
  • The importance of highly competent employees
  • Increased requirements for interpersonal competence
  • Need for new competence

WE BELIEVE IN…

  • An industry in rapid change driven by digitalisation and sustainability
  • A value chain moving in another direction - with effective value networks based on innovation, new players and new roles
  • Increased demand to create value in a holistic perspective
  • Increased demand for life cycle perspective

OUR COMMITMENT

Multiconsult will seek effective value networks to ensure holistic and sustainable value creation for our clients, project owners and society in general

  • throughout the project's lifetime

By CFO HANS-JØRGEN WIBSTAD

nextLEVEL AS MAIN MEASURE TO TURN REDUCED PERFORMANCE

nextLEVEL TARGET OF 150 MNOK IN PROFITABILITY IMPROVEMENT NOW WITHIN REACH

MNOK

COST OUT AND OPERATIONS DETAILED

COST CATEGORIES HAVE BEEN BENCHMARKED AND ANALYSED THOROUGHLY

MANAGEMENT TOOLS AND REPORTING SUPPORT THE TRANSFORMATION AND CREATE A COMMON UNDERSTANDING OF PROGRESS

DEVELOPMENT AND REPORTING

• Next Level ambitions part of business unit management reports

PERFORMANCE MONITORING

• Development of KPIs integrated in business reviews

TRANSPARENT AND CONSISTENT REPORTING

• Reporting part of all management levels, executive management, board and external reporting

LARGE EFFORTS HAVE BEEN MADE TO REDUCE OFFICE COSTS AS OUR BIGGEST POTENTIAL COST CATEGORY

  • Gradual change to more efficient office space
  • Exit from contracts
  • Negotiations on facility services terms
  • Sublease of excess office space

REDUCED PROCUREMENT SPEND AND HEADCOUNT IN STAFF HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO EXTENSIVE COST REDUCTIONS

  • Staff now delivering same services with reduced FTEs
  • Quality of financial reporting, HR services and IT increased during the same period
  • Reduced professional services and developing internal capabilities
  • Extensive analysis of procurement spend
  • Supplier base reduced and procurement terms negotiated
  • Continuous development to further reduce procurement spend

FINANCIAL TARGETS

By CFO HANS-JØRGEN WIBSTAD

TARGET | PROFITABILITY

Initial EBIT margin

8%

Long term EBIT margin

10%

TARGET | REVENUE GROWTH

From 2020 to 2025 CAGR of 10% over the cycle, including acquisitions.

The growth is expected to be lower than the average in the initial part of the period

Net operating revenues

TARGET | GEARING AND EQUITY

Gearing ratio

max 2.5x

Normal: 1.0 - 2.0x Special: 3.0x up to 18 months

Equity ratio

25%

  • Maintain financial strength
  • Financial position and sufficient loan portfolio
  • Expected organic investment requirements or M&A considerations
  • Seasonal change in working capital
  • Predictable and stabile dividend policy with market consideration/expectations

TARGETS | DIVIDEND PAYOUT

  • Current dividend policy
  • When deciding the annual dividend level the Board of Directors will take into consideration expected cash flow, capital expenditure plans, financing requirements and appropriate financial flexibility.

Dividend payout of profit

50%

M&A STRATEGY

  • Moderate and selective strategy, with focus on core business
  • Continuously monitoring opportunities

TARGETS | SUMMARISED

CLOSING

By CEO GRETHE BERGLY

TO EVOLVE, SUSTAINABLE PROFITABILITY IS REQUIRED

Achieving sustainable profitability is fundamental to securing healthy growth

With our nextLEVEL initiatives our target is to reach a healthy 8% EBIT margin and a longer term target of 10%.

TO WIN, OPTIMALISATION IS REQUIRED

We truly believe the winning formula going forward is having the best people, utilising the best digital solutions and optimised processes.

Our most important asset is our people who are among the brightest minds in the industry, coupled with digitalisation and process optimisation, we aim to be industry leaders.

TO SUCCEED, EXTRAORDINARY CUSTOMER VALUE IS REQUIRED

The rapid change in our surroundings will change our business as we know it. Even more important, it will create new opportunities for new products, new business models and new ways of working.

The companies who manage to utilise new technology to create extraordinary customer value while delivering sustainable solutions will succeed. We will be one of them.

Q&A

By CFO GRETHE BERGLY, CEO and CFO HANS-JØRGEN WIBSTAD

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