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Mowi ASA — Investor Presentation 2021
May 19, 2021
3665_rns_2021-05-19_07cd22bb-03b4-4723-933e-6fbddd90c694.pdf
Investor Presentation
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Q1 2021 presentation
CEO: Ivan Vindheim CFO: Kristian Ellingsen
19 May 2021
Forward looking statements
This presentation may be deemed to include forward-looking statements, such as statements that relate to Mowi's contracted volumes, goals and strategies, including strategic focus areas, salmon prices, ability to increase or vary harvest volume, production capacity, expectations of the capacity of our fish feed plants, trends in the seafood industry, including industry supply outlook, exchange rate and interest rate hedging policies and fluctuations, dividend policy and guidance, asset base investments, capital expenditures and net working capital guidance, NIBD target, cash flow guidance and financing update, guidance on financial commitments and cost of debt and various other matters concerning Mowi's business and results. These statements speak of Mowi's plans, goals, targets, strategies, beliefs, and expectations, and refer to estimates or use similar terms. Actual results could differ materially from those indicated by these statements because the realization of those results is subject to many risks and uncertainties.
Mowi disclaims any continuing accuracy of the information provided in this presentation after today.
Highlights
- Q1 operational EBIT of EUR 109 million in line with trading update
- Demand for salmon on the road to full recovery on less restrictive Covid-19 measures
- Increasing prices during the quarter despite global supply growth of 14%
- Record high Q1 harvest volumes of 125k GWT
- Improved biology and production YoY
- Blended farming cost of EUR 4.20/kg, down from EUR 4.62/kg YoY
- Seasonal record high volumes of 62k tonnes and earnings in Consumer Products
- Satisfactory Feed volumes of 100k tonnes in a low season
- Quarterly ordinary dividend of NOK 0.77 per share
Key financials
| Mowi - main figures Group Unaudited million EUR |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational revenue and other income |
1 022 4 16 |
884 8 % |
3 761 4 |
| Operational 1) EBITDA |
151 3 |
149 4 |
504 6 |
| 1) Operational EBIT |
109 2 % 0 |
109 3 |
337 7 |
| EBIT | 268 3 |
-54 1 |
183 5 |
| 1) Cash flow from operations |
168 7 |
184 4 |
331 5 |
| Total assets |
996 5 5 |
499 3 5 |
846 0 5 |
| (NIBD)1) 2) interest-bearing debt Net |
273 6 1 |
356 6 1 |
458 4 1 |
| Basic (EUR) EPS |
0 45 |
-0 15 |
0 23 |
| 1) Underlying (EUR) EPS |
0 15 |
0 14 |
0 43 |
| 1) Net cash flow per share (EUR) |
0 40 |
0 19 |
0 01 |
| Dividend declared and paid per share (NOK) |
0 32 |
2 60 |
2 60 |
| ROCE 1) | 7% 12 |
% 10 7 |
% 8 3 |
| 1) equity ratio Covenant |
2% 56 |
% 51 1 |
% 52 0 |
| Harvest volume (GWT) |
125 468 51 |
83 119 % |
439 829 |
| per kg1) Operational EBIT - EUR Total - |
0 87 |
1 31 |
0 77 |
| Norway | 0 98 |
1 66 |
1 03 |
| Scotland | 46 1 |
0 63 |
0 87 |
| Canada | -0 36 |
0 91 |
-0 48 |
| Chile | 0 40 |
1 21 |
0 43 |
| Ireland | 4 55 |
n/a | 2 81 |
| Faroes | 0 48 |
2 79 |
1 52 |
Salmon prices – weekly reference prices
• Prices in Q1 2021 down by 23% YoY in Europe on high global supply and Covid-19 restrictions
Ref. price Norway EUR (NASDAQ average superior Oslo, GWT/kg)
Ref. price Chile USD (Urner Barry average D-trim 3-4 lbs FOB Miami)
Ref. price North America, West Coast USD (Urner Barry avg. superior GWE 10-12 lbs FOB Seattle)
EUR per kg (Oslo)
Price achievement (1), contract & superior share
Operational EBIT comparison
- Farming effect:
- Price: EUR -138m (price achievement down 19% YoY)
- Cost: EUR 53m
- Volume: EUR 51m
Norway
| SALMON OF NORWEGIAN ORIGIN |
||
|---|---|---|
| EUR million |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operational EBIT |
73 2 |
83 7 |
| EBIT | 149 0 |
-49 0 |
| (GWT) Harvest volume |
74 992 |
50 492 |
| Operational kg (EUR) EBIT per |
0 98 |
66 1 |
| - of which Feed |
-0 02 |
0 05 |
| - of which Markets |
0 10 |
0 12 |
| - of which Consumer Products |
0 23 |
-0 14 |
| Price achievement/reference price |
% 92 |
% 89 |
| Contract share |
% 21 |
% 43 |
| Superior share |
89 % |
89 % |
- Earnings impacted by high supply and continued Covid-19 lockdown measures
- All-time high harvest volumes for a first quarter
- Cost reduction on positive scale effects and generally improved biology
- Some issues with winter sores in the quarter
- Costs expected to be impacted by lower volumes in the second quarter compared with first quarter
Norway: Operational EBIT/kg per region
- Region South: Increased harvest volumes and improved cost
- Region Mid: Increased volumes, however, early harvest related to gill issues. Improved cost
- Region North: Increased volumes and cost. Generally good biology and improved production
Norway: Sales contract portfolio
- At the low end of contract share policy and positioned for continued Covid-19 recovery
- Expected contract share for 2021 of 25%
Scotland
| SALMON OF SCOTTISH ORIGIN |
||
|---|---|---|
| EUR million |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operational EBIT |
26 6 |
5 7 |
| EBIT | 40 2 |
-18 2 |
| Harvest volume (GWT) |
18 273 |
9 036 |
| Operational (EUR) EBIT kg per |
1 46 |
0 63 |
| - of which Feed |
-0 09 |
0 00 |
| - of which Markets |
0 14 |
0 19 |
| - of which Consumer Products |
0 27 |
0 10 |
| Price achievement/reference price |
114 % |
101 % |
| Contract share |
% 43 |
% 75 |
| Superior share |
% 96 |
% 96 |
- All-time high harvest volumes for a first quarter following improved biological performance
- Improved earnings on lower cost and increased volumes
- Despite lower market prices in the quarter, price achievement was good and impacted by strong spot performance and positive contract contributions
- Harvest from sites outside the Isle of Skye in the second quarter which carry a higher cost level (compared to first quarter)
Canada
| SALMON OF CANADIAN ORIGIN |
||
|---|---|---|
| million EUR |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operational EBIT |
3 9 - |
7 3 |
| EBIT | -10 9 |
3 0 - |
| volume (GWT) Harvest |
10 741 |
8 066 |
| Operational (EUR) EBIT kg per |
0 36 - |
0 91 |
| - of which Markets |
0 18 |
0 23 |
| - of which Consumer Products |
0 02 |
0 02 |
| Price achievement/reference price |
93 % |
92 % |
| Contract share |
3 % |
0 % |
| Superior share |
% 89 |
% 87 |
- Results significantly impacted by low prices due to the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdown measures affecting the foodservice segment in North America
- Cost stable year-over-year, however, at a high level
- Restructuring plan for Mowi Canada is progression due to the length of the production cycle it will take time before it results in lower RFS costs and higher volumes
| SALMON OF CHILEAN ORIGIN |
||
|---|---|---|
| EUR million |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operational EBIT |
7 8 |
16 6 |
| EBIT | 5 8 |
32 7 |
| (GWT) Harvest volume |
19 405 |
13 669 |
| Operational kg (EUR) EBIT per |
0 40 |
21 1 |
| - of which Markets |
0 09 |
0 09 |
| - of which Consumer Products |
0 41 |
0 58 |
| Price achievement/reference price |
% 90 |
% 91 |
| Contract share |
% 35 |
% 43 |
| Superior share |
% 85 |
% 85 |
- Results impacted by reduced prices owing to Covid-19 and increased freight rates YoY
- Lower cost YoY on higher volumes
- Mowi Chile managed reasonably well in an unusually warm and dry summer which caused issues with low oxygen levels and algae
- Carrying no frozen inventory
Ireland and Faroes
| SALMON OF IRISH ORIGIN |
||
|---|---|---|
| million EUR |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operational EBIT |
3 5 |
2 -1 |
| EBIT | 4 8 |
13 0 |
| (GWT) Harvest volume |
1 157 |
6 |
| Operational kg (EUR) EBIT per |
4 55 |
n/a |
| - of which Feed |
-0 16 |
n/a |
| - of which Markets |
0 19 |
n/a |
| - of which Consumer Products |
0 88 |
n/a |
| Price achievement/reference price |
n/a | n/a |
| Contract share |
92 % |
n/a |
| Superior share |
81 % |
n/a |
| SALMON OF FAROESE ORIGIN |
||
|---|---|---|
| million EUR |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operational EBIT |
0 4 |
2 5 |
| EBIT | 3 2 |
-4 3 |
| (GWT) Harvest volume |
901 | 1 851 |
| Operational kg (EUR) EBIT per |
0 48 |
2 79 |
| - of which Feed |
-0 04 |
0 00 |
| - of which Markets |
-0 01 |
0 41 |
| - of which Consumer Products |
0 00 |
0 00 |
| Price achievement/reference price |
112 % |
109 % |
| Contract share |
0 % |
0 % |
| Superior share |
% 93 |
% 80 |
- All-time high margin for Mowi Ireland (organic salmon) partly driven by egg sales
- Earnings for Mowi Faroes impacted by lower volumes and higher cost
Consumer Products
| CONSUMER PRODUCTS |
||
|---|---|---|
| EUR million |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operating revenues |
685 5 |
628 5 |
| Operational EBIT |
32 2 |
2 4 |
| Operational % EBIT |
7% 4 |
4% 0 |
| Operational % EBIT VAP only |
7% 4 |
2% 0 - |
| EBIT | 30 1 |
2 5 |
| Volume sold (tonnes prod weight) |
61 578 |
52 093 |
"Ducktrap Cold Smoked Salmon Entrée"
- Seasonal record high volumes and earnings
- Partly driven by Easter and Lent season
- Mowi yet again capitalised on its integrated value chain
- Continued shift in demand towards more elaborated products
- Covid-19 demand impact on foodservice and retail combined estimated to be approx. neutral in the quarter
- Foodservice started to improve in some markets
Feed
| FEED | ||
|---|---|---|
| EUR million |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
| Operating revenues |
119 9 |
120 1 |
| Operational EBIT |
-3 0 |
-1 0 |
| Operational % EBIT |
5% 2 - |
8% 0 - |
| EBIT | -3 0 |
-1 0 |
| Feed sold volume |
93 938 |
93 768 |
| Feed produced volume |
100 296 |
99 370 |
- Stable production in a low season quarter
- 96% self-sufficiency rate for feed consumption in Mowi's European farming operations
- Brexit transition handled well
Q1 2021 presentation
Financials, Markets and Harvest volumes
Profit and Loss
| Mowi Group EUR million |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operational revenue and other income |
022 4 1 16 |
884 8 % |
3 761 4 |
| Operational 1) EBIT |
109 2 0 % |
109 3 |
337 7 |
| Change in unrealized internal margin Gain/loss from derivatives |
10 2 8 9 |
-2 3 -4 0 |
14 1 -4 4 |
| fair adjustment of biomass Net value , |
88 2 |
-158 5 |
-143 4 |
| Restucturing costs |
-2 3 |
0 0 |
-14 5 |
| Production/license/sales taxes |
-4 4 |
-0 6 |
-1 7 |
| Other non-operational items |
-2 9 |
-0 2 |
-7 9 |
| from associated companies Income |
61 7 |
2 2 |
21 8 |
| Impairment losses |
-0 4 |
-0 1 |
-18 1 |
| EBIT | 268 3 |
-54 1 |
183 5 |
| Net financial items |
16 4 |
-39 6 |
-63 0 |
| Earnings before tax |
284 7 |
-93 7 |
120 6 |
| Profit for period or loss the |
233 6 |
-77 7 |
119 1 |
| Basic EPS (EUR) |
0 45 |
-0 15 |
0 23 |
| Underlying EPS (EUR) |
0 15 |
0 14 |
0 43 |
| flow (EUR) Net cash per share |
0 40 |
0 19 |
0 01 |
| Dividend declared and paid per share (NOK) |
0 32 |
2 60 |
2 60 |
| Operational EBIT margin |
10 7% |
12 3% |
9 0% |
| volume GWT (salmon) Harvest , |
125 468 51 |
83 119 % |
439 829 |
| 1) Operational per kg incl margin EBIT |
0 87 |
31 1 |
0 77 |
| ROCE 1) | 12 7 % |
10 7 % |
8 3 % |
- Positive net fair value adjustment of biomass of EUR 88 million mainly due to higher prices
- Income from associated companies includes EUR 53 million gain from divestment of DESS Aquaculture Shipping
- Associated companies: EBIT/kg of EUR 1.63 on 10.5k tonnes from Nova Sea
Financial position
| Mowi Group million EUR |
31 03 2021 |
31 03 2020 |
31 .12 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets Current assets Total assets |
3 448 7 2 547 7 996 4 5 |
3 210 7 2 288 6 499 3 5 |
3 337 3 2 448 7 846 5 .1 |
| Equity Non-current liabilities Current liabilities equity liabilities Total and |
3 051 2 2 191 7 753 5 5 996 4 |
2 624 2 2 131 4 743 8 5 499 3 |
2 764 1 2 362 5 719 5 5 846 .1 |
| 1) interest-bearing Net debt Equity ratio Covenant equity ratio |
273 6 1 50 9% 56 2% |
356 6 1 47 7% 51 1% |
458 4 1 47 3% 52 0% |
"Ducktrap Hot Smoked Salmon Tacos"
Cash Flow and Net Interest Bearing Debt
| Mowi Group million EUR |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| beginning | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| of | 458 | 337 | 337 |
| period* | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| NIBD | |||
| Operational EBITDA Change in working capital paid Taxes Other adjustments flow from operations Cash |
151 3 34 9 -24 2 6 8 168 7 |
149 4 75 9 -53 0 12 2 184 4 |
504 6 -56 9 -138 3 22 0 331 4 |
| Net Capex Other investments and dividends received Cash flow from investments |
-31 9 93 2 61 3 |
-73 0 1 0 -72 0 |
-308 8 25 3 -283 4 |
| Net interest and financial items paid* Other items Dividend of paid in capital / return Currency effect on interest-bearing debt |
-10 0 -10 9 -16 2 -8 1 |
2 -17 9 7 -132 9 8 5 |
-48 0 13 0 -132 9 -1 4 |
| NIBD | -1 | -1 | -1 |
| end | 273 | 356 | 458 |
| of | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| period* | |||
| *Excluding effects of IFRS 16 | |||
| distribution: NIBD |
|||
| EUR | % | % | % |
| 93 | 94 | 92 | |
| USD | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| % | % | % | |
| GBP | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| % | % | % | |
| Other | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| currencies | % | % | % |
- Seasonal release of working capital, partly offset by tax payments
- Other investments include EUR 113 million proceeds related to divestment of DESS Aquaculture Shipping
- Acquisition of 1 farming license in Norway Region North
Overview financing
- Total committed financing of EUR 1,956 million out of which approximately EUR 680 million in cash and undrawn lines
- Comfortably compliant with equity covenant of 35%. No earnings covenant
- Long term NIBD target EUR 1,400m
- Bank facility: EUR 1,406m Facility Agreement
- Tenor 5 years (Maturity: June 2022)
- Covenant: 35% equity ratio (adjusted for IFRS 16 leasing effects)
- Lenders: DNB, Nordea, ABN Amro, Rabobank, Danske Bank and SEB
- Senior unsecured bond: EUR 200m
- Tenor 5 years (Maturity: June 2023)
- EURIBOR + 2.15%
- Senior unsecured green bond: EUR 200m
- Tenor 5 years (Maturity: January 2025)
- EURIBOR + 1.60%
- Senior unsecured Schuldschein loan in the German market: EUR 150m
- Tenor 7 years (Maturity: May 2026)
- EURIBOR + 1.70%
2021 Cash Flow Guidance
- Working capital build-up EUR ~110m
- Expect tie-up in 2021 as Covid-19 market situation improves
- Support further organic growth
- Capital expenditures EUR ~265m
- Freshwater investments EUR ~60m
- Sea water expansion projects EUR ~40m
- Consumer Products: Automation projects. EUR ~10m
- Interest paid EUR ~45m (ex IFRS 16 effects)
- Taxes paid EUR ~60m
- Quarterly dividend payment in Q2 2021 of NOK 0.77 per share
Supply development
| Estimated | volumes | Compared | Q1 2020 to |
. volumes Est |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suppliers | Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
Volume | % | Q4 2020 |
|
| Norway | 316 600 |
273 500 |
43 100 |
8% 15 |
364 800 |
|
| Scotland | 35 600 |
28 900 |
6 700 |
23 2% |
42 000 |
|
| Faroe Islands |
20 300 |
15 600 |
4 700 |
1% 30 |
20 500 |
|
| Other Europe |
13 500 |
9 000 |
4 500 |
50 0% |
12 500 |
|
| Total Europe |
386 000 |
327 000 |
59 000 |
18 0% |
439 800 |
|
| Chile | 182 300 |
168 600 |
13 700 |
8 1% |
195 900 |
|
| North America |
30 400 |
29 500 |
900 | 3 1% |
34 700 |
|
| Americas Total |
212 700 |
198 100 |
14 600 |
4% 7 |
230 600 |
|
| Australia | 16 200 |
14 300 |
900 1 |
13 3% |
23 600 |
|
| Other | 6 700 |
4 000 |
2 700 |
5% 67 |
5 500 |
Source: Kontali |
| Total | 621 600 |
543 400 |
78 200 |
14 4% |
699 500 |
|
| Global supply growth of 14% was higher than expected • • expected share of large sized salmon |
Norway: Higher supply growth than expected. Good seawater growth and higher than | |||||
| • | Scotland: Supply growth in line with expectations on improved biological performance | |||||
| • | Chile: Supply higher than expected due to accelerated harvesting in relation to algal bloom and to reduce biological risk. Biomass down approx. 21% YoY at quarter-end |
- Global supply growth of 14% was higher than expected
- Norway: Higher supply growth than expected. Good seawater growth and higher than expected share of large sized salmon
- Scotland: Supply growth in line with expectations on improved biological performance
- Chile: Supply higher than expected due to accelerated harvesting in relation to algal bloom
Global volume development
| Estimated | volumes | Compared | to Q1 2020 |
Est . volumes |
12 month |
comparison | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q1 2021 |
Q1 2020 |
Volume | % | Q4 2020 |
LTM | PTM | % |
| EU+UK | 266 400 |
221 100 |
45 300 |
20 5% |
313 000 |
1 115 400 |
1 014 400 |
10 0% |
| Russia | 22 100 |
16 300 |
5 800 |
35 6% |
27 400 |
84 100 |
78 600 |
7 0% |
| Other Europe |
28 000 |
23 700 |
4 300 |
18 1% |
32 800 |
111 100 |
103 700 |
7 1% |
| Total Europe |
316 500 |
261 100 |
400 55 |
21 2% |
373 200 |
310 600 1 |
196 700 1 |
9 5% |
| USA | 135 800 |
122 000 |
13 800 |
3% 11 |
133 100 |
520 500 |
475 300 |
9 5% |
| Brazil | 28 000 |
24 000 |
4 000 |
16 7% |
32 500 |
102 600 |
96 300 |
6 5% |
| Other Americas |
40 400 |
32 500 |
900 7 |
24 3% |
35 100 |
136 700 |
128 800 |
6 1% |
| Total Americas |
204 200 |
178 500 |
25 700 |
14 4% |
200 700 |
759 800 |
700 400 |
8 5% |
| China / Hong Kong |
14 400 |
19 600 |
-5 200 |
5% -26 |
14 900 |
69 400 |
102 300 |
2% -32 |
| Japan | 16 500 |
13 300 |
3 200 |
1% 24 |
19 100 |
67 100 |
52 900 |
8% 26 |
| Taiwan South Korea / |
17 800 |
14 900 |
2 900 |
5% 19 |
16 700 |
67 700 |
57 200 |
4% 18 |
| Other Asia |
21 300 |
18 500 |
2 800 |
15 1% |
22 300 |
77 800 |
73 600 |
5 7% |
| Total Asia |
70 000 |
66 300 |
3 700 |
5 6% |
73 000 |
282 000 |
286 000 |
-1 4% |
| All other markets |
26 900 |
26 800 |
100 | 0 4% |
35 600 |
119 700 |
112 300 |
6 6% |
| Total | 617 600 |
532 700 |
84 900 |
9% 15 |
682 500 |
2 472 100 |
2 295 400 |
7% 7 |
| Inflow to US from Europe |
28 500 |
25 900 |
2 600 |
10 0% |
27 700 |
101 000 |
101 100 |
-0 1% |
| Inflow from Chile to EU |
8 200 |
10 000 |
-1 800 |
0% -18 |
8 400 |
35 000 |
34 400 |
7% 1 |
Source: Kontali
- Covid-19 continued to significantly impact trade flows and channel logistics in the quarter
- Continued shift in demand from foodservice to retail. Strong growth in retail VAP
- Net demand effect approx. neutral in the quarter
- Retail sales up 20-25% in key salmon markets. Expected to have positive effects post Covid-19
- Chinese/Hong Kong consumption impacted by Covid-19 and trade flows
Page 24
Global volume development
| Q1 2021 Market |
Change vs Q1 2020 |
Q1 2021 EUR |
Change vs Q1 2020 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) Norway |
EUR 5 20 |
5% -22 |
EUR 5 20 |
5% -22 |
| Chile (2) Chile GWT (3) , |
USD 5 19 USD 5 62 |
6% 0 -7 3% |
EUR 4 31 EUR 4 66 |
0% -8 -15 2% |
| North America West Coast (4) North America East Coast (5) America (3) North GWT blended , , |
USD 3 24 USD 3 51 USD 6 84 |
-12 1% -13 1% 1% -12 |
EUR 2 69 2 91 EUR EUR 5 68 |
-19 6% -20 5% 6% -19 |
Ref. price North America, West Coast USD (Urner Barry avg. superior GWE 10-12 lbs FOB Seattle)
Notes:
(1) NASDAQ average superior GWE/kg (gutted weight equivalent) (2) Urner Barry average D trim 3-4 lbs FOB Miami (3) Reference price converted back-to-plant equivalent in GWT/kg (4) Urner Barry average GWE 10-12 lbs FOB Seattle (5) Urner Barry average GWE 10-12 lbs FOB Boston/New York
• Prices in Q1 2021 down by 23% YoY in Europe on high global supply and Covid-19 restrictions
Page 25
Ref. price Chile USD (Urner Barry average D-trim 3-4 lbs FOB Miami)
Industry supply growth 2021e
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Estimates 2021 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWT (1,000) | Low | Y/Y growth |
High | Y/Y growth |
||||
| Norw ay |
1 128 | 1 200 | 1 232 | 1 330 | 1 318 | 7 % | 1 343 | 9 % |
| UK | 137 | 171 | 160 | 185 | 182 | 13 % | 188 | 17 % |
| Faroe Islands | 65 | 78 | 73 | 90 | 88 | 21 % | 92 | 27 % |
| Other Europe* |
25 | 36 | 42 | 55 | 53 | 25 % | 57 | 35 % |
| Total Europe | 1 355 | 1 485 | 1 508 | 1 660 | 1 641 | 9 % | 1 680 | 11 % |
| Chile | 594 | 621 | 701 | 595 | 588 | -16 % | 603 | -14 % |
| North America | 149 | 142 | 142 | 135 | 132 | -7 % | 138 | -3 % |
| Total Americas | 743 | 764 | 842 | 730 | 720 | -15 % | 741 | -12 % |
| Other | 67 | 72 | 92 | 111 | 109 | 18 % | 114 | 23 % |
| Total | 2 164 | 2 321 | 2 442 | 2 501 | 2 469 | 1 % | 2 534 | 4 % |
*Ireland and Iceland
| Q2 2018 |
Q2 2019 |
Q2 2020 |
Q2 2021 |
Estimates Q2 2021 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWT (1,000) | Low | Q/Q growth |
High | Q/Q growth |
||||
| Norw ay |
255 | 277 | 271 | 286 | 282 | 4 % | 291 | 7 % |
| UK | 32 | 44 | 41 | 47 | 46 | 14 % | 48 | 19 % |
| Faroe Islands | 16 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 6 % | 23 | 12 % |
| Other Europe |
6 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 % | 13 | 23 % |
| Total Europe | 309 | 346 | 343 | 368 | 362 | 5 % | 375 | 9 % |
| Chile | 130 | 143 | 158 | 121 | 119 | -25 % | 124 | -21 % |
| North America | 40 | 37 | 39 | 34 | 33 | -15 % | 35 | -10 % |
| Total Americas | 169 | 181 | 196 | 155 | 152 | -23 % | 159 | -19 % |
| Other | 14 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 17 % | 24 | 25 % |
| Total | 491 | 542 | 559 | 547 | 536 | -4 % | 558 | 0 % |
| H2 2018 | H2 2019 | H2 2020 | H2 2021 | Estimates | H2 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWT (1,000) | Low H2/H2 |
growth | High H2/H2 |
growth | ||||
| Norw ay |
611 | 656 | 687 | 727 | 719 | 5 % | 735 | 7 % |
| UK | 75 | 89 | 91 | 102 | 100 | 10 % | 104 | 15 % |
| Faroe Islands | 33 | 42 | 37 | 47 | 46 | 26 % | 49 | 33 % |
| Other Europe |
12 | 18 | 23 | 29 | 28 | 22 % | 30 | 34 % |
| Total Europe | 731 | 805 | 837 | 906 | 893 | 7 % | 919 | 10 % |
| Chile | 314 | 322 | 374 | 291 | 286 | -24 % | 296 | -21 % |
| North America | 78 | 75 | 74 | 71 | 69 | -7 % | 73 | -1 % |
| Total Americas | 392 | 397 | 448 | 362 | 355 | -21 % | 369 | -18 % |
| Other | 39 | 42 | 55 | 65 | 63 | 16 % | 67 | 22 % |
| Total | 1 162 | 1 244 | 1 340 | 1 333 | 1 311 | -2 % | 1 354 | 1 % |
(*) Ireland and Iceland
Page 26
Actual harvest volumes will be affected by e.g. water temperatures, development in biological growth, biological challenges such as diseases, algal blooms etc. and market developments.
• 2021 guidance: Limited global growth of 1% to 4%
Mowi volume guidance
| Atlantic salmon |
2019 | Q1 2020 |
Q2 2020 |
Q3 2020 |
Q4 2020 |
2020 | Q1 2021 |
Q2 2021 |
2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWT (1 000) , |
Actual | Actual | Actual | Actual | Actual | Actual | Actual | Guidance | Guidance |
| Norway | 236 | 50 | 56 | 76 | 78 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 260 |
| 9 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 57 | 0 | |
| Scotland | 65 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 52 | 18 | 20 | 60 |
| 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Canada | 54 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 10 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | |
| Chile | 65 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 64 | 19 | 15 | 70 |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ireland | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| Faroes | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 435 | 83 | 104 | 125 | 126 | 439 | 125 | 109 | 445 |
| 9 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
• 2021 volume guidance of 445k GWT reiterated
Outlook
- We believe in a tighter market balance
- Demand on the road to full recovery driven by less restrictive Covid-19 measures
- Global supply growth projected to be only 2% for 2021
- Previous low price levels and a shift in demand towards more elaborated products expected to boost demand post Covid-19
- Mowi well positioned to capitalise on a recovery
- Contract share deliberately reduced for 2021 to position the company to benefit from increasing prices
- Farming volume guidance of 445k GWT for 2021 reiterated
- Quarterly dividend payment in Q2 2021 of NOK 0.77 per share
Q1 2021 presentation
Appendix
Nova Sea
| Harvest volume |
(GWT) | EBIT per |
kg | NIBD EURm |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ownership % |
2019 | 2020 | Q1 2020 |
Q1 2021 |
2019 | 2020 | Q1 2020 |
Q1 2021 |
Q1 2021 |
|
| Nova Sea |
% 48 5 |
45 962 |
42 584 |
9 283 |
10 524 |
2 41 |
1 70 |
2 96 |
1 63 |
-44 2 |
- Leading integrated salmon producer in Northern Norway
- − 33.33 wholly owned licenses
- − 4 partly owned licenses
- Mowi largest owner with 48.5% through direct and indirect shareholdings
- Dividends
- − Paid dividends of NOK 500m in 2020 (Mowi's share NOK 241m through direct and indirect holdings)
- Proportion of income after tax reported as income from associated companies in Mowi Norway
- − EUR 8.5m in Q1 2021
Dividend policy
- Mowi's ambition is to create long-term value for the shareholder through both positive share price development and a growing dividend in line with long-term earnings
- − Quarterly ordinary dividend shall under normal circumstances be at least 50% of underlying earnings per share (EPS)
- − Excess capital will be paid out as extraordinary dividends
- When deciding excess capital the Board of Directors will take into consideration expected cash flow, capital expenditure plans, financing requirements and appropriate financial flexibility. Further to this a long-term target level for net interest-bearing debt is determined, reviewed and updated on a regular basis
- Shareholder returns are distributed primarily as cash dividends with the option of using share buybacks as a complementary supplement on an ad-hoc basis
Contract coverage and sales contract policy
| SALES CONTRACT POLICY |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Min hedging rate |
(1) hedging Max rate |
|||||||
| (2) Norway |
0 % |
50 % |
||||||
| Scotland | % 0 |
% 75 |
||||||
| Canada | % 0 |
% 30 |
||||||
| Chile (2) | % 0 |
% 50 |
||||||
| Ireland | % 0 |
% 100 |
||||||
| Faroes | 0 % |
30 % |
Notes:
(1) Hedging rates for the next quarter, limits dropping over time
(2) Contract rate can be increased to 65% under special circumstances
- Q2 2021 contract shares (% of guided volume):
- − Norway 28%
- − Scotland 45%
- − Canada 4%
- − Chile 42%
- − Ireland 85%
- − Faroes 0%
- Contracts typically have a duration of 3-12 months and are entered into on a regular basis
Quarterly segment overview
| SOURCES OF |
ORIGIN QTD |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR million |
Norway | Scotland | Canada | Chile | Ireland | Faroes | Other 1) | Group |
| OPERATIONAL EBIT |
||||||||
| FARMING | 50 0 |
20 7 |
-6 0 |
-1 9 |
4 2 |
0 5 |
67 5 |
|
| SALES AND MARKETING |
||||||||
| Markets | 7 2 |
2 6 |
2 0 |
1 8 |
0 2 |
0 0 |
0 3 |
14 1 |
| Consumer Products |
17 3 |
4 9 |
0 2 |
7 9 |
1 0 |
0 0 |
1 0 |
32 2 |
| SUBTOTAL | 74 4 |
28 2 |
-3 9 |
8 7 |
4 5 |
0 5 |
3 1 |
113 8 |
| Feed | -1 3 |
-1 6 |
-0 2 |
0 0 |
0 0 |
-3 0 |
||
| entities 1) Other |
-1 5 |
-1 5 |
||||||
| TOTAL | 73 2 |
26 6 |
-3 9 |
7 8 |
5 3 |
0 4 |
-0 2 |
109 2 |
| Harvest volume (GWT) |
74 992 |
18 273 |
10 741 |
19 405 |
1 157 |
901 | 125 468 |
|
| (EUR) 1) Operational EBIT kg - total Group per |
0 98 |
1 46 |
-0 36 |
0 40 |
4 55 |
0 48 |
0 87 |
|
| - of which Feed |
-0 02 |
-0 09 |
n/a | n/a | -0 16 |
-0 04 |
-0 02 |
|
| - of which Markets |
0 10 |
0 14 |
0 18 |
0 09 |
0 19 |
-0 01 |
0 11 |
|
| - of which Consumer Products |
0 23 |
0 27 |
0 02 |
0 41 |
0 88 |
0 00 |
0 26 |
|
| ANALYTICAL DATA |
||||||||
| (%) 1) Price achievement/reference price |
92 % |
114 % |
93 % |
90 % |
n/a | 112 % |
95 % |
|
| Contract share (%) |
21 % |
43 % |
3 % |
35 % |
92 % |
0 % |
25 % |
|
| Quality - superior share (%) |
89 % |
96 % |
89 % |
85 % |
81 % |
93 % |
90 % |
|
| GUIDANCE | ||||||||
| (GWT) Q2 2021 harvest volume |
57 000 |
20 000 |
12 500 |
15 000 |
1 500 |
3 000 |
109 000 |
|
| 2021 harvest volume (GWT) |
260 000 |
60 000 |
40 000 |
70 000 |
6 000 |
9 000 |
445 000 |
|
| Q2 2021 contract share (%) |
28 % |
45 % |
4 % |
42 % |
85 % |
0 % |
30 % |
Development in harvest volumes
| GWT | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021E | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1 000) , |
Total | Total | Total | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total | Q1 | Q2E | Total |
| Norway | 236 | 210 | 230 | 56 | 4 | 63 | 66 | 236 | 50 | 56 | 76 | 78 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 260 |
| 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 57 | 0 | |
| Scotland | 45 | 60 | 38 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 65 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 52 | 18 | 20 | 60 |
| 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Canada | 43 | 39 | 39 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 54 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 10 | 12 | 40 |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | |
| Chile | 36 | 44 | 53 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 65 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 64 | 19 | 15 | 70 |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ireland | 8 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | |
| Faroes | 10 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| Total | 380 | 370 | 375 | 104 | 98 | 0 | 116 | 435 | 83 | 104 | 125 | 126 | 439 | 125 | 109 | 445 |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 117 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
Growth relative to same period in previous year
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021E | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Total | Total | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Total | Q1 | Q2E | Total | |
| Norway | % | % | 10 | 10 | 4 | % | 13 | 3 | -10 | 10 | 21 | 19 | % | 49 | % | % |
| -7 | -11 | % | % | % | -11 | % | % | % | % | % | % | 11 | % | 1 | -1 | |
| Scotland | -10 | 34 | -36 | 82 | 78 | 118 | 19 | 70 | -43 | -9 | -18 | % | -19 | 102 | 37 | 14 |
| % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | -7 | % | % | % | % | |
| Canada | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % |
| 8 | -9 | 0 | 49 | 56 | 27 | 33 | 39 | -18 | -9 | -24 | -24 | -19 | 33 | 9 | -9 | |
| Chile | -41 | 22 | 18 | 60 | 53 | 3 | -3 | 24 | -31 | -6 | % | 21 | -2 | 42 | % | 8 |
| % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | 17 | % | % | % | 5 | % | |
| Ireland | -13 % |
% 15 |
-36 % |
-2 % |
69 % |
4 % |
-30 % |
% 7 |
-100 % |
92 % |
37 % |
6 % |
20 % |
n/m | -63 % |
-25 % |
| Faroes | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % |
| 273 | -45 | 29 | 9 | 84 | 31 | -46 | -10 | 64 | 144 | -8 | -40 | 24 | -51 | -14 | 5 | |
| Total | -9 | -3 | 1 | 28 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -20 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 51 | 5 | 1 |
| % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % |
Cash flow guidance and historic developments
Net capital expenditure Net working capital
Financial commitments and cost of debt (*) EUR million
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021E
Debt distribution and interest rate hedging
| CURRENCY | DEBT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CURRENCY | 2021(1) 31 03 |
Nominal(2) | rate(3) Fixed |
Nominal(2) | rate(3) Fixed |
Nominal(2) | rate(3) Fixed |
|
| EUR m |
165 8 1 |
380 0 |
2 19 % |
- | - | - | - | |
| USD m |
60 0 |
78 3 |
2 31 % |
60 0 |
3 72 % |
- | - | |
| GBP m |
40 0 |
23 5 |
2 83 % |
- | - | - | - | |
| Other (EUR m) |
79 9 |
- | - | - | - | - | - |
| Market value of IRS contracts (31/03/2021): |
MEUR | -14 6 |
|---|---|---|
| Q1(4): Change in market value due to market movements in |
MEUR | 0 0 |
| Q1(5): Change in market value due to interest settled on IRS contracts in |
MEUR | 3 1 |
Notes:
(1) Book value of interest-bearing debt
(2) Nominal value of hedging contracts at end of year (contracts run from March to March)
(3) Weighted-average fixed rate on hedging contracts for calendar year. Financing margin not included
(4) Quarterly change in market value booked against P/L
(5) Net amount of interest on IRS contracts settled quarterly in cash
- External interest bearing debt is distributed as follows: EUR 92%, USD 3%, GBP 3%, other currencies 2%
-
Policy: Mowi ASA shall over time hedge 0%-35% of the Group's long-term interest-bearing debt by currency with fixed interest or interest rate derivatives for the first 5 years, and 0% fixed rates thereafter. Interestbearing debt includes external interest-bearing debt and leasing in the parent company or subsidiaries. The interest rate hedges shall be based on the targeted currency composition. Interest rate exposure in other currencies than EUR, USD, GBP and NOK shall not be hedged
-
EUR/NOK
- − Mowi shall hedge between 0% and 30% of its assumed annual expenses in NOK against the EUR with a horizon of two years. The annual hedging shall be evenly distributed across the months of the year
- USD/CAD
- − Mowi shall hedge between 0% and 30% of its assumed annual expenses in CAD against the USD with a horizon of two years. The annual hedging shall be evenly distributed across the months of the year
- USD/CLP
- − Mowi shall not hedge the USD/CLP exposure
- Internal transaction hedging relating to bilateral sales contracts
- − All bilateral sales contracts are subject to internal currency hedging of the exposure between the invoicing currency and EUR
- − The operating entities hedge this exposure towards the parent company. In accordance with the general hedging policy, this exposure is not hedged towards external counterparties
- − The purpose of the internal hedging is to allow for a more accurate comparison between the Mowi Farming entities (including contribution from Sales) and peers with respect to price achievement and operational EBIT
Strategic currency hedging
| EUR/NOK | USD/CAD | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRATEGIC CURRENCY HEDGING |
MEUR | Rate | MUSD | Rate |
| 2021 | 149 4 |
10 33 |
21 6 |
1 32 |
| 2022 | 199 2 |
10 92 |
42 3 |
1 33 |
| 2023 | 49 8 |
10 65 |
10 2 |
1 27 |
| P/L effect of realized in Q1 (MEUR) contracts |
-0 5 |
|||
| Market value 31/12/2020 |
2 9 |
|||
| Change | 20 3 |
|||
| Market value 31/03/2021 |
23 1 |
|||
| DESIGNATED MARKET CURRENCIES |
|
|---|---|
| Norway | EUR |
| Chile | USD |
| Canada | USD |
| Scotland | GBP |
| Ireland | EUR |
| Faroe Islands |
EUR |
| Consumer Products Europe |
EUR |
| Asia | USD |
| Feed | EUR |