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Leonardo S.p.A. — Investor Presentation 2018
Mar 15, 2018
4038_10-k_2018-03-15_0b6781fa-7cd2-484c-b94a-915cb1fd35dc.pdf
Investor Presentation
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FY2017 Results Presentation
Alessandro Profumo Chief Executive Officer Alessandra Genco Chief Financial Officer
Rome, 15 March 2018
Group Overview Chief Executive Officer
2017 Results and Outlook Chief Financial Officer
Outstanding achievement signed yesterday
3
…strongly committed to strengthen business approach
Back to sustainable profitable growth
New 5 years Industrial Plan launched
Confident about the opportunity for Leonardo
We are going to set this business up to win
Sustainable financial strategy
Proposed dividend payment: 14 €/cents per share
…fully committed to execute this plan
2017 Results in line with revised Guidance
2018 planting the seeds for growth
| FY2017 Revised Guidance |
FY2017 Results |
FY2018E (as presented in January) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn |
11.3 – 11.7* |
11.6 | 12.5 – 13.0 |
|
| Revenues | € bn |
11.5 –12.0 | 11.5 | 11.5 – 12.0 |
|
| EBITA | € mln |
1,050 – 1,100 |
1,066 | 1,075 – 1,125 |
|
| FOCF | € mln |
500 – 600 |
537 | ca.100 | |
| Group Net Debt | € bn |
ca. 2.6** | 2.6 | ca. 2.6 |
*As of January, to take into account the postponement of C27J export contracts **Including the effect of US bond buy back
Clear priorities set
Doing the right things for the long-term
Return to top-line growth
Strict cost control, reinvested in growth
Annualised savings identified
ca.€200mln
Sustainable improvement in profitability
Focus on cash and a stronger capital structure
ca.70bn ca.10% ca.50%
2018-2022 cumulated orders
5%-6% ca.80%
5 yr. Revenue CAGR
Reinvested in competitiveness & capability
ROS by 2020
8%-10%
Investment grade
Avg. 2015-2018 CF Conversion; Accelerating FOCF from 2020
5yr EBITA CAGR
Credit rating
6
…2018 planting the seeds for growth
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
How to achieve double digit profitability by 2020
Electronics, Defence & Security Systems Helicopters Aeronautics
Increasing volumes
- Maturity of AW169 and AW189
-
Specific issues addressed
-
Increasing volumes
- Strong backlog
- DRS momentum
-
Mix of activities
-
Increasing volumes
- Strong Aircraft performance
- Normalised ATR (strong 2016)
- Aerostructures
RoS: Significant step up Remain strong Stable
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…benefits of operating leverage and cost control across all businesses
Group Overview
Chief Executive Officer
2017 Results and Outlook
Chief Financial Officer
Key messages
Entering a new phase: back to growth
2017 in line with revised Guidance
2018 planting the seeds for growth
Fully focused on Industrial Plan execution
Order intake
Book to bill at 1x; Building and exploiting our backlog is the foundation of future growth
Revenues
Broadly stable despite Helicopters softness
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
EBITA and Profitability
2017 mainly influenced by Helicopters short-term performance
© Leonardo - Società per azioni
Net Result Before Extraordinary Transactions
Below the line under control
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Deeper dive on FOCF
Short-term pressures; longer term improvement
Avg. FOCF 2015 – 2018
KEY DRIVERS
- EFA Kuwait working capital build up
- Higher investments
- Customer advances winding down
- Aerostructures underperformance
2018E – 2019E 2020E – 2022E
- Higher order intake
- Higher volumes
- Profitability improvement
- Helicopters recovery
- EFA Kuwait contribution
- Lower financial charges
Solid Financial Position
RCF renegotiated lowering margin (from 100 bps to 75 bps) and amount (from € 2.0 bn to € 1.8 bn). The facility will expire in 2023
CREDIT RATING
| As of today | Before last review | Date of review | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moody's | Ba1 / Positive Outlook | Ba1 / Stable Outlook | May 2017 |
| S&P | BB+ / Stable Outlook | BB+ / Negative Outlook | April 2015 |
| Fitch | / Stable Outlook BBB- |
BB+ / Positive Outlook | October 2017 |
…fully committed to Investment Grade
2018 Guidance: planting the seeds for growth
| FY2017A | IFRS15 Impact |
FY2017 Restatement |
FY2018E | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New orders | € bn |
11.6 | 11.6 | 12.5 – 13.0 |
|
| Revenues | € bn |
11.5 | 0.2 | 11.7 | 11.5 – 12.0 |
| EBITA | € bn |
1.07 | 0.01 | 1.08 | 1.075 – 1.125 |
| FOCF | € mln |
537 | 537 | ca.100 | |
| Group Net Debt | € bn |
2.6 | 2.6 | ca. 2.6 |
2018 exchange rate assumptions: €/USD 1.20 and €/GBP 0.90
……moving to growth
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
SECTOR RESULTS
Helicopters
Short term issues affecting results, well positioned to capture growth opportunities
| 4Q | FY | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mln |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
||
| Orders | 2,199 | 1,443 | (34.4%) | 3,737 | 3,153 | (15.6%) | ||
| Revenues | 1,074 | 907 | (15.5%) | 3,639 | 3,262 | (10.4%) | ||
| EBITA | 145 | 22 | (84.8%) | 430 | 260 | (39.5%) | ||
| ROS % | 13.5% | 2.4% | (11.1) p.p. | 11.8% | 8.0% | (3.8) p.p. |
2018 OUTLOOK
- Healthier market outlook driving higher volumes
- Well placed in most attractive segments, leveraging high quality product range
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Profitability gradual improvement; back to double digit in 2020
Electronics, Defence & Security Systems
Good 2017 commercial results, benefitting from growing outlook
| 4Q | FY | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mln |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
|
| Orders | 2,487 | 1,746 | (29.8%) | 6,726 | 6,146 | (8.6%) | |
| Revenues | 1,901 | 1,846 | (2.9%) | 5,468 | 5,506 | 0.7% | |
| EBITA | 289 | 262 | (9.3%) | 558 | 537 | (3.8%) | |
| ROS % | 15.2% | 14.2% | (1.0) p.p. | 10.2% | 9.8% | (0.4) p.p. |
Of which DRS:
| 4Q | FY | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| \$ mln | 2016 | 2017 | % Change |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
||
| Orders | 439 | 475 | 8.2% | 1,923 | 2,016 | 4.8% | ||
| Revenues | 583 | 616 | 5.6% | 1,753 | 1,914 | 9.2% | ||
| EBITA | 65 | 62 | (4.6%) | 128 | 143 | 11.7% | ||
| ROS % | 11.1% | 10.0% | (0.9) p.p. | 7.3% | 7.5% | 0.2 p.p. |
2018 OUTLOOK
- Revenues and profitability almost flat YoY
- Upward trends in some business areas
- Efficiency improvement
- Lower Contribution of some profitable programmes
DRS benefitting from positive market trend
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Avg. exchange rate €/\$ @1.1293 in 2017
Avg. exchange rate €/\$ @1.1069 in 2016
Aeronautics
Aircrafts positive results and outlook offsetting Aerostructures
| 4Q | FY | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mln |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
|
| Orders | 368 | 652 | 77.2% | 10,158* | 2,615 | (74.3%) | |
| Revenues | 1,070 | 920 | (14.0%) | 3,130 | 3,107 | (0.7%) | |
| EBITA | 149 | 117 | (21.5%) | 347 | 324 | (6.6%) | |
| ROS % | 13.9% | 12.7% | (1.2) p.p. | 11.1% | 10.4% | (0.7) p.p. |
*Including EFA Kuwait order
2018 OUTLOOK
- Revenues expected almost flat YoY
- Aircraft benefitting from EFA Kuwait and C-27J export
- Aerostructures volumes expected to decline
Profitability in line with 2017
- Efficiency improvement
- Higher Aircraft performance
Offsetting
- Lower ATR contribution
- Unsatisfactory Aerostructures performance
Space 2017 benefitting from lower taxes
2018 OUTLOOK
Revenues and profitability expected almost in line with 2017
APPENDIX
No material impact from IFRS15
- Leonardo will apply retrospectively IFRS15 in 2018
- FY2017 and 2017 quarterly will be fully restated in accordance with IFRS15 when presenting the 2018 corresponding quarterly accounts
- Not material preliminary impacts on FY2017 KPI's (higher revenues by ca. 2% and higher EBITA by ca. 1%)
- Cumulative estimated catch-up adjustment to be recognised in equity; ca. 5% reduction of Group net equity as of 31 December 2017
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More exposed area of activity is civil helicopters
FY2017 Results
| Group Performance | 4Q | FY | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € mln |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
2016 | 2017 | % Change |
|
| New Orders | 4,447 | 3,650 | (17.9%) | 19,951 | 11,595 | (41.9%) | |
| Backlog | 34,798 | 33,578 | (3.5%) | ||||
| Revenues | 3,968 | 3,543 | (10.7%) | 12,002 | 11,527 | (4.0%) | |
| EBITA | 506 | 363 | (28.3%) | 1,252 | 1,066 | (14.9%) | |
| ROS % | 12.8% | 10.2% | (2.6) p.p. | 10.4% | 9.2% | (1.2) p.p. | |
| EBIT | 351 | 262 | (25.4%) | 982 | 833 | (15.2%) | |
| EBIT Margin | 8.8% | 7.4% | (1.4) p.p. | 8.2% | 7.2% | (1.0) p.p. | |
| Net result before extraordinary transactions | 202 | 2 | (99.0%) | 545 | 274 | (49.7%) | |
| Net result | 154 | 2 | (98.0%) | 507 | 274 | (46.0%) | |
| EPS (€ cents) |
0.267 | 0.002 | (99.3%) | 0.879 | 0.474 | (46.1%) | |
| FOCF | 1,094 | 1,509 | 37.9% | 706 | 537 | (23.9%) | |
| Group Net Debt | 2,845 | 2,579 | (9.3%) | ||||
| Headcount | 45,631 | 45,134 | (1.1%) | ||||
Free Operating Cash-Flow (FOCF): this is the sum of the cash flows generated by (used in) operating activities (which includes interests and income taxes paid) and the cash flows generated by (used in) ordinary investment activity (property, plant and equipment and intangible assets) and dividends received.
Development costs capitalised as intangible assets at 31 December 2017
| € mln |
Self Funded National Security |
Self Funded Other |
Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 January 2017 Opening Balance |
1,472 | 490 | 1,962 |
| Gross R&D capitalised Depreciation and write offs Disposals Other Changes |
195 -44 0 9 |
43 -68 0 -9 |
238 -112 0 0 |
| Net R&D capitalised |
160 | -34 | 126 |
| 31 December 2017 |
1,632 | 456 | 2,088 |
Return to double digit profitability 2020
Helicopter recovery
BUILDING BLOCKS OF THE RECOVERY
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Helicopters
2016 REVENUES BY CUSTOMER/SEGMENT
2017 REVENUES BY CUSTOMER/SEGMENT
BACKLOG BY PROGRAMME DELIVERIES BY PROGRAMME
Availability of adequate committed liquidity lines
In order to cope with possible swings in financing needs, Leonardo can leverage:
- 31 December cash balance of ca. € 1.9 bn
- Credit lines worth € 2.5 bn (confirmed and unconfirmed)
- Revolving Credit Facility renegotiated on 14 February 2018, lowering margin (from 100 bps to 75 bps) and amount (from € 2.0 bn to € 1.8 bn). The facility will expire in 2023
- Bank Bonding lines of ca. € 3.7 bn to support Leonardo's commercial activity
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(1) Based on rating as of 31/12/2017
(2) Average. Expected to be renewed at maturity
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT
NOTE: Some of the statements included in this document are not historical facts but rather statements of future expectations, also related to future economic and financial performance, to be considered forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on Company's views and assumptions as of the date of the statements and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Given these uncertainties, you should not rely on forward-looking statements.
The following factors could affect our forward-looking statements: the ability to obtain or the timing of obtaining future government awards; the availability of government funding and customer requirements both domestically and internationally; changes in government or customer priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives (including changes in priorities to respond to terrorist threats or to improve homeland security); difficulties in developing and producing operationally advanced technology systems; the competitive environment; economic business and political conditions domestically and internationally; programme performance and the timing of contract payments; the timing and customer acceptance of product deliveries and launches; our ability to achieve or realise savings for our customers or ourselves through our global cost-cutting programme and other financial management programmes; and the outcome of contingencies (including completion of any acquisitions and divestitures, litigation and environmental remediation efforts).
These are only some of the numerous factors that may affect the forward-looking statements contained in this document.
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The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely.
Contacts
Raffaella Luglini
EVP External Relations, Communication, Italian Institutional Affairs, Investor Relations and Sustainability +39 06 32473.066 [email protected]
Valeria Ricciotti
Equity & Fixed Income Analysts & Investors and Relationship with Credit Rating Agencies +39 06 32473.697 [email protected]
Manuel Liotta
Group Sustainability & ESG +39 06 32473.666 [email protected]